The Educated Sports Fan

My 2014 Super Bowl Prediction

2013-07-29T18:11:00.001-04:00

My 2014 Super Bowl Prediction

By Jordan Wagner

Yes, it is still July, but baseball highlights just don’t grip me the same way as an imagined Super Bowl matchup. I’ve wanted to get around to writing this article ever since March, and now I’m happy to announce my 2014 Super Bowl prediction:

Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks.

Let’s start with Denver. After their first season with Peyton Manning, I think it’s safe to say now that Denver is the strongest title contender in the AFC. This past year, he threw 400 completions for 4,659 yards, his second highest accumulation of yards during a regular season ever (1). With 37 TD passes this past season, he finished in third place overall, just behind Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers (2). Needless to say, Manning didn’t look old or rusty during his first season with Denver. His receivers, namely Demaryius Thomas and Erick Decker, had a solid year as well. Thomas finished off with 1,434 receiving yards, putting him at 4^th place overall, and Decker wasn’t too far behind with 1,064 yards. Denver’s passing attack was outstanding; Oddshark.com ranks their offense at number 2 overall coming into the 2013 season, just behind New England, which I find interesting considering Hernandez will no longer be playing and the effects of Gronkowski’s injury remain to be seen (3).

What’s going to be the X factor with the Denver offense this year? Wes Welker, of course. Everyone is anxiously waiting to see how he contributes to the Broncos’ offense, and I am anticipating he will be deadly on third down plays as a slot receiver. Defenses already have enough trouble guarding Thomas and Decker, so with the speedy Welker slicing across the middle of the field, it’s going to be mayhem for anyone facing Peyton and company.

But hey, don’t count out that Denver defense! Oddshark.com ranks them at number four overall coming into the 2013 season (3). In terms of yards allowed per game, the Broncos only allowed an average of 290.8, putting them at number 2 overall in that category just behind the Steelers (2). With 18.5 sacks last season, rising star Von Miller took 3^rd place overall for the year (and while he faces possible suspension charges, it would be for just four games, so I don't think that's long enough to seriously impact the Broncos overall). Even Champ Bailey, the aging corner, has stayed consistent over the past few years, averaging 2 interceptions a season and still providing a strong leadership presence, though obviously Miller shares part of that now as well. Point being, even compared to the Denver offense, the Denver defense is a considerable force in the NFL.

Last year’s playoff game against the Baltimore Ravens was certainly not an indicator of Denver’s true potential. If it were not for Manning throwing an uncharacteristic interception from running outside the pocket and throwing across his body, we very well might have seen this Broncos team in the Super Bowl already.

Peyton Manning of the Denver Broncos

The Seattle Seahawks are quite a force to be reckoned with these days. They have a multitude of weapons, but none so great as their defense. SBRForum.com ranks Seattle’s Defense at number one overall going into the 2013-2014 season (4). Cornerback Richard Sherman, after having only played one year in the NFL, caught 8 interceptions this past season, putting him at number three on the list of players with the most interceptions last year (2). The Seattle defense finished first in total points allowed (1). But these statistics don’t even do the Seahawks justice. There’s a reason they call their backfield the Legion of Boom. There’s a reason opponents fear the 12^th man. Just look at what the Seahawks did to the San Francisco 49ers last season at home. Seahawks up 14-0, 49ers about to kick a field goal, and it gets blocked by Red Bryant and returned for a touchdown by Richard Sherman. That’s just an example of how explosive, threatening and athletic the Seattle Defense is. There are countless others from the season, including big hits, interceptions and forced fumbles, but I want to highlight more of Seattle than just its astounding defense.

Russell Wilson. Boy, talk about a good start to your NFL career. The same could be said about RGIII and Andrew Luck, but I’d place my money that this now sophomore QB will see a Super Bowl appearance before the other two. Going back to that home game against San Francisco last season, Wilson had 4 touchdowns and was 15/21 throwing. Pretty impressive he was facing a 49ers defense that was still considered by some to be the best in the NFL. We all know he’s a running QB, and that adds a lot of dynamic to the Seahawks offense, but I say don’t discount this kid from the pocket. NFL.com notes his QB rating at 100, and I think we will see a lot from him in the upcoming season.

As talented as Wilson may be, though, you don’t talk about a Seattle offense without Marshawn Lynch. Beast Mode activated. 315 carries this past season, the most of his career. 1,590 yards, the most of his career. 11 touchdowns, second most of his career. And the stat that you can’t see in the numbers: he runs over the defense. Anyone that has watched Lynch play knows that just because a defender gets to him doesn’t mean he’s going down. If you look at the last three games of the regular season last year, he never dipped below triple digits for rushing yards. That’s scary consistent in my book. So what will be the X factors this year? A sophomore QB that has proven himself, the addition of Percy Harvin and the belief that San Francisco isn’t making back-to-back Super Bowl trips. Marshawn Lynch has proven that he has the talent and drive to be a top tier running back in the NFL, and with nothing but confidence lying ahead of him, I think we’ll be looking at another career year for the stellar RB out of California.

Marshawn Lynch of the Seattle Seahawks

Who will win the Super Bowl in 2014? The matchup will be amazing. Peyton Manning, the veteran, vs. Russell Wilson, the young gun. Marshawn Lynch, “beast mode”, vs. Von Miller and company. The Legion of Boom vs. Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker. This should be one for the ages. In the end, though, I think Seattle’s defense will be the edge needed to take down the Broncos.

Final Score: Seahawks, 28, Broncos 24.

Sources:

1. NFL.com

2. ESPN.com

3. www.oddshark.com

4. sbrforum.com

Think I'm spot on? Disagree entirely? Comment below and let me know!

My Olympic Experience

2012-08-10T15:05:00.000-04:00

By Jordan Wagner

This summer, I had the privilege of being able to study abroad in London with Florida State University and go to one Olympic event, the USA men’s basketball game versus France. What a summer it was. The atmosphere even before the opening ceremonies was ecstatic, electric and hectic. Waves and waves of visitors from all over the world flooded areas such as the London Eye and Piccadilly Circus. I was able to meet people from France, Austria, Brazil, Australia, and Scotland, among other countries. The country may have been British, but the city was certainly international. When Italy beat Germany in the Euro Cup match, you would’ve thought you were in Venice with all the Italian flags being waved in the streets. But the city was alive with Olympic fever. Banners, flags, and even newly constructed mini statues of the London 2012 mascots (these little guys that kind of look like the minions from Despicable Me) were sprinkled all over town, setting the mood for what was sure to be a fantastic few weeks.

A view from the London Eye

However, nothing could match the atmosphere of when the jets flew across the sky and over Olympic Stadium, spreading red, white and blue in a spectacular fashion. I watched the opening ceremonies at a crowded pub right outside Olympic Park; my friends and I watched the jets on TV, then turned around to look outside and saw them fly right over our heads. The prestige and utter brilliance of the summer Olympics is something that cannot be matched, and while I may value events like the Super Bowl more, there is no denying the power that the Olympics have in the sports world.

In front of Olympic Stadium

On Sunday, July 29^th, my friend Julien and I donned our USA outfits (complete with flags worn as capes and matching USA shoes) and proceeded to Olympic Park, where we attended the USA men’s basketball game versus France. While the Olympics might be international, the basketball arena seemed to be as American as a tailgate before a college football game. United States’ flags waved from every section of the arena. My row in particular consisted of three older women on my left, each holding up a letter to spell U.S.A. On the right of my friend, more American supporters, dressed in patriotic T-shirts and headwear. The NBA is watched around the world, and boy does the world love our NBA players. Heck, it was the game versus Tunisia where one of the opposing players asked Kobe Bryant to sign one of his shoes.

Team USA before the tipoff against France

This is a great thing. Our players inspire the rest of the world to get better at basketball. Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m certainly not saying other players and countries haven’t shown up this year. Tony Parker has played very well for France, and that team is certainly no pushover. Look at Spain, with both of the Gasol brothers and Serge Ibaka. Even non-NBA players such as the seven-footer Salah Mejri of Tunisia, who leads the Olympics in blocked shots, are showing they have what it takes to go head to head with our best players. Let’s not forget Lithuania actually was beating the U.S at one point late in the game when they met a few days back. Of course, the mighty USA is still the favorite to win the gold and hasn’t lost yet. It does go to show, though, that as the world becomes more globalized and connected, basketball greatness will not be limited to our great country.

I could not have asked for a more exciting opportunity this summer. The atmosphere was surreal, made up of people from all over the world in a city so unlike anything you would find in my home state of Florida. Bravo and cheers to London, you’ve made what I’ve seen of the 2012 Olympics so far absolutely phenomenal.

USA!!!

The State of the NFL: Bounties and Beyond

2012-05-15T23:55:00.000-04:00

Will Fairbanks

Within the last couple of months, we've seen four players, three coaches, and a general manager get suspended due to a "pay for pain" plot that has captured the sports world by storm. Current and former members of the New Orleans Saints have been investigated and were found to have violated the NFL's pay for perfomance rule. As a result, Gregg Williams, current Rams defensive coordinator, has been suspended indefinitely. Sean Payton, current Saints head coach, has been suspended for the season. Four former and current Saints players have suspensions ranging from three games to the entire 2012 season. In a time where player safety has taken the front seat in the NFL, the recent bounty scandal provides perfect examples of what Roger Goodell is trying to correct. The scandal has shown us nothing more than what the NFL has become: a money hungry, take the spotlight, physical, dangerous sport (as much as players may deny this).

One may come into the scandal and say that these players know what they are getting themselves into by signing a contract and joining a professional football team. First off, yes, players do know what they are getting themselves into, but not one of these players sign contracts that say, "I give permission for other players to intentionally injure me." To put it in perspective, take the sport of boxing for example. Boxers know what the sport entails. The objective in boxing is to either win by going ten rounds and landing the highest number of punches and big hits or by completely knocking the opponent unconscious with a blow to the head. Boxers know this before they step into the ring. Do you hear of boxers filing lawsuits against their employers citing brain damage? Another example is hockey. Within hockey, there are rules that outline fighting within the game. There are penalties in place for fighting, and within the context of the game, punching and taking an opponent to the ground is acceptable. The difference lies with intent.

In fact, if you want to go deeper, the bounty scandal can be viewed as conspiracy and players involved can be subject to civil lawsuits. These acts can be viewed as intentional torts, which in other terms is an intent to injure another party, whether its financially, physically, or emotionally. There was a situation in the NHL back in 2004, where Todd Bertuzzi, who at the time played for the Vancouver Canucks, attacked Steve Moore of the Colorado Avalanche as retaliation for a hit that Moore laid earlier in the game. Bertuzzi approached Moore from behind, landed a huge punch to the head, and slammed him to the ice. Every part of the act indicated that there was an intent to injure. Bertuzzi faced one of the longest suspensions in the history of the NHL and was sued in both Colorado and Canada. Moore was forced to retire from the injuries sustained during the attack. It may not have violated any pay for performance rules, but there were on-ice violations and the intent to injure which violates the most basic of human rights.

The NFL's bounty scandal highlights the state of the league. As Goodell tries to clean up the league, player safety has taken its fair share of criticism. However, Goodell is trying to get football back to its fundamentals. Professional football has grown to become a bunch of athletes looking to make a quick buck by providing highlight-reel, explosive hits trying to make a name for themselves. James Harrison quickly became one of the NFL's most targeted players when it comes to repeatedly breaking NFL policies regarding head to head hits on opposing players and was quoted saying he wasn't trying to injure anybody, but wanted to hurt them.

In a sense, Goodell has authentic, traditional, blue-collar football in mind when implementing the new policies regarding the types of hits that are now considered illegal. His mission in player safety does have an underlying concern for a loss of revenue to lawsuits and such, but step aside from that notion for a second. We have gotten to the point where players launch themselves headfirst into other players and call it a "tackle." For years, as fans, we have considered this one of the most exciting aspects of football, but is it worth it for all these players to sacrifice skill for one or two big hits a game, and half a dozen missed opportunities? These hits, by the way, are leading cause for brain damage, not for the player on the receiving end, but the giving end, and players wonder why they feel the aftermath later in life.

What happened to wrapping up the guy with the ball? In the last few years, the number of missed tackles has increased a substantial amount and this is highlighted here. Offensive numbers have increased as a result. Many games have lost their dramatics due to the fact that offenses can drive down the field at will and score at ease. There is, not excitement, suspense in the games controlled by defenses. The strategy of the game is highlighted more when the defense can control the game because the offense has to do everything in its power to overcome those obstacles, rather than hope for the last possession just to go up 49-48 by the end of regulation. Teams that know how to tackle have consistently ranked in the top 10 in total defense over the last few seasons and it should be no surprise this trend will continue with Goodell as commissioner.

There have been many topics in range with this post, but the hope is that it can help to portray the light at the end of the tunnel for the NFL. The recent bounty scandal only shows the last bit of corruption, the last obstacle to the policies that the NFL is trying to enforce. The scandal is not based on the hits that the players land on the opposition, but rather the intent behind the hits. There is an intent to lay a big hit, injure another player, gain notoriety and fame, and increase fortunes for it. This is what the league has become and this is what the league is trying to stop. The league once provided a place for defensive guys to play with reckless abandon but is now trying to do everything to stop this. They are trying to protect players, but in doing so, they are actually bringing strategy back into the game, something that has been missing for quite some time.

Why A Boston/Miami Series Will Be Fun To Watch

2012-05-11T17:12:00.001-04:00

By Jordan Wagner

Yes, Boston and Miami are two of the big dogs in the East, so any matchup between them is bound to be exciting. However, this year’s playoff potential between the Celtics and Heat might be the best we’ve seen yet for a couple of reasons.

The first being that this could be the last chance for the Boston Celtics to make a title run with the Big 3 (or, as some say, Big 4 with Rondo.) There’s already been talk about trading any of the aging stars this season, and while the Big 3 are together for now, the future is uncertain. Especially considering, even if a trade didn’t happen, that Paul Peirce had been contemplating retirement earlier in the season. Just how much of a factor will a last ditch effort with the familiar players be should Boston and Miami meet?

Then look at the Heat. After closing out the series with New York, 4-1, they have momentum going forward. Of course, they had that same momentum last year as well, which resulted in a loss in the finals to Dallas. What makes this year different? For one thing, humility. After losing to the Mavericks last year, the Heat revised their “not one…not two…not three…” championship plan to “let’s at least get one, first.” And the pressure is on. LeBron James is surely one of, if not the, best player in the NBA right now. He’s 27 years old and in his prime. But what happens if he doesn’t win it this year? He’s played 8 full seasons in the NBA and has yet to make that ring appear on his finger. If his 9^th comes and goes without a championship victory, will he start to panic? What more can he do if a team with Wade and Bosh can’t win him the final prize? We can’t know yet, but one thing is clear: LeBron doesn’t even want it to get to that point.

So you have two teams that have more pressure on them than anyone else in the East (Chicago’s not going to win it without Rose, period.) It will be exciting to watch them go at it. LeBron James vs. Paul Pierce. Dwayne Wade vs. Ray Allen. Chris Bosh vs. Kevin Garnett. One has time working against them. The other, the media. Who really wants it more? It will be a tough fight down to the wire, but my ultimate guess is the Heat. The Celtics would have to travel to Miami first and be able to squeeze at least one win out there to compete in the series. Easier said than done against a Heat team that has scored in triple digits every time they’ve been home in this playoff series so far.

They both need to get pass this next round, though. Neither the Pacers nor the Sixers are talked about as potential threats in the East, but sports are sports and should anything happen to Miami or Boston before the Eastern Finals, the other team will surely be celebrating. (Or can you imagine them both being knocked out? Wow, what a weird year for the NBA that would be.) However, taking the more likely path, an eventual Heat/Celtics matchup this year is sure to be one for the ages.

Who Can Beat the Heat?

2012-05-02T15:42:00.000-04:00

By Jordan Wagner

Ladies and Gentlemen: it’s round two for the Miami Heat to start that “Not one…not two…not three…” championship run. Before they can win the championship, they have to win the East. I cannot think of an easier scenario than this year for the Heat to lock up a trip to the ship.

Let’s start with the Knicks. Miami whopmed on New York 100 to 67 the first game of the series. Now that the Heat have the 2-0 lead, I’m not thinking a comeback is likely for a Knicks team that allowed a 32-4 run against them over the second and third quarter in game one. Let’s just call the Knicks a science experiment gone wrong and focus on the next round.

Should Miami move on, they will either play the Orlando Magic or Indiana Pacers. Therefore, they will either play a Dwight Howard-less Orlando team, or the Pacers, who lost to the depleted Orlando team the first game of the series. Don’t get me wrong, folks. I am a Magic fan through and through and want nothing less than for my team to win the NBA championship this year. However, we all must live on earth, and it doesn’t look like we would have a chance of beating the Heat this year (even the fact that we got a game on Indiana was utterly surprising to me.) What about the Pacers beating the Heat? Answer that question with the following headline: "Indiana upsets Miami to move on to the Eastern Conference Finals!" Yeah, it’s just not believable.

The real battle would have ensued in the Eastern Conference Finals had Chicago been able to keep Derrick Rose healthy. With him out of the picture, it’s going to be a struggle for the Bulls to even get past the winner of the Boston/Atlanta series. Now granted, Chicago has one of the top defenses in the NBA, so a trip to the Eastern Conference Finals is not out of reach. If one looks at the regular season, he would see that Chicago beat Miami twice without Derrick Rose. So why would it be the case that the Bulls won’t be able to handle the Heat again this year?

Simple: the playoffs are when it matters the most.

The Bulls do not have their MVP, who can create his own shots when the game is on the line. They have managed well up to this point with solid defense, good coaching and key efforts by players like Deng, Boozer and even Watson. But playing a Miami team that is only one series away from a berth to the championship will be more than difficult without the All-Star point guard. No, Ladies and Gentlemen, if I were a betting man my money, much to my dismay as a Magic and Bulls fan, would be on Miami to win the East.

Who they would play in the championship is certainly a different story. The obvious Thunder/Heat matchup would excite a lot of fans, pitting arguably the two best players in the league right now up against each other. Of course, there is always that pesky Lakers team that could slip their way into the Finals again. And who knows, maybe this will be an upset year and the Clippers will climb to the top. The West has yet to be won, but one thing is looking certain: if the Heat want a chance to try their luck again at a title and to begin that “not one…not two…not three…” run, this is the year to strike. The East is weak.

Stanley Cup Bound: Sidney Crosby, Difference Maker

2012-03-24T10:49:00.000-04:00

by Will Fairbanks

The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 13 of their last 14 games and are in a position to make a huge Stanley Cup push. The return of Sidney Crosby couldn't come at a better time as they look to make that final run. In the 5 games since his return, Crosby has posted 9 points. The Penguins started their run long before Crosby was set to return, but the addition of Crosby has added an entirely new dimension to the Pens game plan.

For those who don't know, Crosby has been out for majority of the season after suffering a season ending concussion during the 2010-2011 season. Crosby missed 41 of the teams remaining games since he experienced concussion-like symptoms after two hits in January of 2011. It also happened that Evgeni Malkin also went down with injuries the same season, leaving the Pens without their two leading scorers. The Penguins ended up getting ousted by the Tampa Bay Lightning during the 2011 playoffs in 7 games, thus ending their season. This is true testament to how well the team is built when the two leading scorers go down and they still hold their own against a team who ended up going to the Eastern Conference Finals. Solid defensive play and superb goaltending can go a long way in hockey and definitely adds to the mantra that defense can win championships.

Crosby tried to return back in December, registering 12 points in 8 games, before experiencing the same issues that originally sidelined him. It was believed to be a concussion but new reports came out specifying a soft-tissue complication in his neck. Crosby missed more time and delayed his return until about a week ago. On March 5, Sid the Kid was cleared for contact and has never looked back. March 15 marked Crosby's return to game , on a night where he registered 2 assists and went +3 against the New York Rangers.

However, the Penguins need Malkin and Crosby to be effective in order to win in the playoffs. It seems that the Pens have gotten it together this year without Crosby, although lately his presence has been truly welcomed. Pittsburgh has put together a total team effort this year on the offensive end while providing the same consistent approach on the blue line. The Pens have seen several players reach career highs in scoring including the likes of Chris Kunitz, James Neal, and Jordan Staal. Evgeni Malkin is having an MVP season, scoring 95 points, tops in the NHL. He is currently second in goals scored with 45, second only to Steven Stamkos with 50. Malkin could easily catch Stamkos in the goal chase, now that Crosby has returned. Malkin can play less of a distributor and more of a scorer as Crosby looks to set up more than shoot.

As Pittsburgh continues their red-hot play, it is important to notice some correlation between Crosby's play and their success. Granted, there is a limited sample size, but there is a relationship there. Pittsburgh has been playing team hockey over the course of the season without him, but now that he's back, they will look to generate offense through him. In the last 4 wins, Crosby's plus/minus numbers were more on the positive side and were higher than in the game Pittsburgh lost with him. For instance, in wins against the Rangers, Devils, Jets, and Predators, Crosby's plus/minus numbers were +3, +2, +4, and +1 respectively. In a loss to the Senators, Crosby's plus/minus stood at -1. Even going back to November and December of 2011, Crosby's plus/minus numbers reflect the impact that he or his line has on the Penguins' success.

Sidney Crosby needs to continue his hot play in order for Pittsburgh to continue their run into the playoffs. The more he looks to set his teammates up, the more likely they continue to win. The Penguins' offense is playing at its fullest potential right now with Malkin leading in points, Neal having two back to back 4 point games, and Crosby scoring 9 points in 5 games. Couple this with an experienced blue line and a proven goaltender in Marc Andre' Fleury and you have a Stanley Cup favorite. As of right now, the Pens are one point away from catching up with New York for the top seed in the Eastern Conference. With Crosby and the rest of the Penguins playing at their highest level going into the final games of the season, the Penguins are definitely my pick for the Cup.

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The AL Central

2012-03-21T09:17:00.000-04:00

Continuing with the early analysis on Major League Baseball's 2012 season, we take a look at the AL Central. There has been a lot of movement during the offseason in free agency, but it seems that one team has risen above the rest in this division. Another team is building through youth and is looking to become relevant, not only in the division, but in the rest of the league as well. The team in the Windy City has lost a lot over the span of the offseason, but will look to rebound with a new approach. The Central division will be powerful in a couple years, but until then, one team is running the show.

1. Detroit Tigers -

The Tigers made quite a splash this offseason landing possibly the second most coveted free agent on the market. Prince Fielder came with a hefty tag, a 9 year deal worth $214 million. The Tigers felt that this move was necessary due the loss of Victor Martinez, their prized catcher/designated hitter. The Tigers signed Fielder with hopes that he would play first and Miguel Cabrera would transition to play third. Questions linger as to whether or not Cabrera can make this move, but he has already played this position before. He primarily played third base when he was called up with the Marlins in 2003, so Detroit should not worry too much. The more relevant question with the acquisition of Fielder will be whether or not his power is affected by the move to Detroit. His power was aided by the hitter-friendly confines of Miller Park in Milwaulkee. Many say that he will be a glorified ground-ball hitter, but others suggest that he shouldn't have an issue with Comerica Park.

This team is World Series capable even while losing Martinez. The Tigers can get to the postseason on their pitching alone. Justin Verlander started 34 games winning 24 of them, an astounding feat by any means. He posted a 2.40 ERA with 250 strikeouts. Needless to say, he ended up dominating the Cy Young race. He should be able to replicate those numbers this season, and possibly win even more games with the offense that is behind him. Max Scherzer had a career high in wins going 15-9, but won primarily because of run support. Brad Penny and Rick Porcello more than held their own in the rotation combining for 25 wins. Doug Fister came via trade from the Mariners and provided excellent pitching going 8-1 with a 1.79 ERA.
The bullpen will be looking for another excellent year led by electric closer Jose Valverde. Valverde converted 49 saves out of 49 opportunities with a 2.24 ERA, a highly dominant mark. Setting him up was Joaquin Benoit who pitched in 66 games posting a 2.95 ERA. This duo looks really, really good. The rest of the bullpen should be able to hold their own, especially with the rotation handing them easier games.

Keys to Success - Look for Prince Fielder to get his power going. If he can't get it over the wall, the Tigers will have to alter their approach at the plate. He was catered to in Milwaukee given Miller Park, so it will be interesting to see how he responds at Comerica. With the loss of Martinez, Detroit will be much more reliant on Fielder and Miguel Cabrera.

Reason to Panic - The main reason to panic would be if Verlander or Cabrera go down with injury. Without these two key guys, the Tigers could struggle as they rely heavily on these guys. The Tigers have already lost Victor Martinez for the season; another injury could be devastating.

All-Stars - Justin Verlander, Miguel Cabrera, Jose Valverde

2. Minnesota Twins -

Out of any team in the division, the Twins have the most question marks. They have plenty of people on their roster that would indicate that they can compete however many of them have not lived up to expectations or have been out with injury. Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau have been absent for majority of the last two years and have not been able to give Minnesota the offense it so desperately needed. The addition of Josh Willingham should more than satisfy the void left by Micheal Cuddyer leaving for Colorado, having posted 26 HR's with 98 RBI's with Oakland last season. The addition of Ryan Doumit provides depth at the catcher and designated hitter positions.

One can go far as saying that the Twins rotation is the best aspect of the team. Led by Francisco Liriano and Scott Baker, the rotation can hold its own. However, the rotation has not reached its full potential. Baker was highly touted as one of Minnesota's best prospects but has yet to put it all together. Adding Jason Marquis provides a consistent, veteran arm. Joel Zumaya was added during the offseason but recently went down with another arm injury, adding to his already present arm troubles. With the departure of Joe Nathan from the closer position, look for Matt Capps to lead the way. A stud closer previously with Pittsburgh has now settled in with Minnesota. With a few runs behind them, this staff has the potential to win games, something that has been missing with Mauer and Morneau out.

The Twins are poised for a playoff run this year but the question marks could come back to haunt them. Minnesota was picked to finish second for this reason. The second Wild Card is going to come out of the West, forcing Minnesota to miss the playoffs. Minnesota can be a contender in the years to come as long as the young players come to life and provide what they have been missing the last few years.

Keys to Success - The offense will be there with Mauer, Morneau, and Willingham leading the way, but it will be up to the pitching staff to keep other offenses at bay. It is still a young staff but they came highly regarded. They need to come together soon before Minnesota decides to dump them for other pitchers. The time is running out for this staff, forcing the issue this year or next.

Reason to Panic - The same pitching staff will be the reason to panic. As stated before, the runs will be there (pending injury), but it will be up to the pitching staff to get them to the promised land. Scott Baker will be looked at most to lead the way as he comes in as the number 1 starter. Look for the Twins to do remarkably well this year considering the departures of a few key players, including Joe Nathan.

All-Stars - Joe Mauer, Francisco Liriano

3. Cleveland Indians -

The Indians are a budding young team that was almost able to put it together last year, but started falling off towards the end of the season. The Indians have since acquired Ubaldo Jimenez who has stated that he is looking to return to "ace" status. Jimenez coupled with the rest of Cleveland's young rotation should be able to blossom this year and begin to take shape as one of the best staffs in baseball. Josh Tomlin and Justin Masterson have been stellar in their role with the rotation and are looking to do the same this season. The Indians have added the veteran leadership of Derek Lowe to the staff, one that has been missing since Cliff Lee left.

The Cleveland lineup is the most intriguing aspect of the squad. They have the ability to be a dangerous team. If Grady Sizemore can stay healthy, Indians become a top 10 offensive team in the AL. Shin Soo Choo, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Carlos Santana are all coming into their own and look to carry this budding young team into the postseason. Travis Hafner is looking to return to his 40+ home run swing but injuries have hampered the guy since then. If then Indians do not find power in their lineup, it will be hard to challenge anyone in any division. They have added a few pieces here and there including Casey Kotchman, who brings a magnificent glove and a recently above average bat. Felix Pie, from Baltimore, and Aaron Cunningham, from San Diego, both could be instrumental for depth on the bench.

The Indians are close; REAL close. However, Cleveland does not have all the pieces together to make a run in the Central. They won't finish last, but they will surely not finish first for a while, unless disaster strikes Detroit. Cleveland has their young guys stepping up and and could be poised at a playoff run, however, they lack key pieces in their lineup.

Keys to Success - Cleveland's power numbers need to increase in order to complement the rotation with run support. Singles hitters can only get a team so far. Carlos Santana and Travis Hafner need to lead the way in this department or Cleveland will find itself at the bottom of the barrel again.

Reason to Panic - The bullpen looks a little shaky on paper. A few additions were made to help strengthen the unit, but it could still lead to Cleveland's demise. Look for the Indians to be a little rocky in the beginning of the season, but come together late for a push towards the playoffs.

All-Stars - Carlos Santana, Asdrubal Cabrera

4. Kansas City Royals -

The Royals have some of the leagues most highly touted prospects who are looking to make the Opening Day roster. Eric Hosmer was considered by some to be the best first-base prospect with any team and was actually rumored to be in trade talks with several teams over the winter months. Hosmer brings in a high average, run producing bat and a consistent glove at first. He will surely look to make an impact for the Royals. Mike Moustakas comes in as another valued prospect at third base. He played 89 games last year and definitely had some ups and downs. He posted a .263 average with subpar power and only 30 RBI's. He is surely better than those numbers suggest. With Jeff Francouer and Billy Butler leading the way, the Royals can be one of the surprise teams to come out of the American League.

The rotation could use some work. Picking up Jonathan Sanchez will surely help but the rest of the crew is too inconsistent to get anywhere. There are no guarantees with this rotation when the best guy coming into this year is Bruce Chen. He had a career year last year going 12-8 with a 3.77 ERA. Decent but not spectacular numbers by any means. The Royals can use some help here, but you never know, they could also surprise people. The bullpen is a bright spot for Kansas City. Adding Jonathan Broxton, the Dodgers' previous closer, will give Joakim Soria protection going into the 9th as Broxton will serve as his setup man. Broxton can be lights out and coupled with Soria, the Royals have quite a combination to close out games. In the case that either goes down with injury, as they both have done before, both are capable of closing duties. Look for this bullpen to make a splash this season. UPDATE: Joakim Soria is exploring the possibilities of Tommy John surgery and if procedure is done, Soria could miss much of the 2012 season.

The future is bright for the Royals, who seem to be building their team in similar fashion to the 2007-2008 Tampa Bay Rays. Adding key veterans, loading up in the draft and plugging in superb prospects along the way. Kansas City fans will have a lot to root for, however, the present still appears to have a bleak outlook.

Keys to Success - The offense will be able to put up runs and the bullpen will be able to close out games. This we know. However, if either of these two dimensions falter, the club will struggle. It is up to the youthful core of the Royals to put runs on the board.

Reason to Panic - The pitching rotation does not have a solid number 1 starter. The closest they get is Bruce Chen who is not a desirable Opening Day starter by any means. Some of these young guys could surprise this year now that they could have some run support, but the Royals will rely heavily on this rotation to hand leads to the bullpen.

All-Stars - Joakim Soria, Billy Butler

5. Chicago White Sox -

Chicago has lost two key pieces to their team over the winter months, none more important than skipper Ozzie Guillen (Miami Marlins). The second key piece actually followed Ozzie to the Marlins. Mark Buehrle was consistent but posted marginal numbers during his stay in Chicago. He never really had a consistent offense backing him up and is not a power, strikeout pitcher. He was never able to dominate batters the way "aces" should. Chicago really isn't losing much by him leaving. They worked hard to retain Jon Danks and he should be Chicago's Opening Day starter. Following him is Gavin Floyd, who is set to breakout, and Jake Peavy, who is looking for his first full season in a number of years. Philip Humber came on strong last year and is looking to replicate that season. The rotation, if healthy, could actually surprise and become one of the league's best. A lot is dependent on Jake Peavy and whether he can return to 2007 form.

The lineup lacks consistency and could spell trouble. Based on the numbers Adam Dunn posted last year, Chicago fans really don't know what to expect out of Dunn. While never really hitting for average, Dunn posts higher power and strikeout numbers. He was in a funk that he was never really able to get out of, and ultimately led to one of the ultimate busts in MLB free agency history. Paul Konerko was resigned and he has been nothing but consistent and is the polar opposite of Dunn. Fans know exactly what to expect out of Konerko: an above .270 average, roughly 25 homers, and around 90-100 RBI's every season. He had one of his better seasons last year. With another season like this, Konerko can lead the offense into the playoffs with some support from role players Gordon Beckham, AJ Pierzynski, and Alexei Ramirez.

The White Sox are probably the most difficult team to figure out in the division. They've lost their emotional leader in Guillen, their most consistent starter in Buehrle, and have issues with the offense going into the season. The bullpen could also spell trouble for the Sox as none of these pitchers have really shown their worth, with the exception of Matt Thornton. The White Sox could be in a mess of trouble this season if the offense can't get it going to match what the rotation is capable of doing.

Keys to Success - The rotation is probably going to be holding this team above water this season. Led by Danks and possibly the resurrection of Peavy, the rotation could be tough to handle. This group, in its fullest potential, could all win over 10 games. It is possible for the White Sox to make a play at the division, but could easily crumble to fall into last place.

Reason to Panic - As just mentioned, a collapse is highly likely given a new manager, inconsistent offense and an unproven bullpen. The team is relatively young outside of Konerko and Dunn, and this could ultimately lead to the White Sox having their worst year in ages. A team that won a Series in 2005 could likely find itself at the bottom of the barrel for years to come.

All-Stars - Paul Konerko, Alexei Ramirez

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The Mike Wallace Factor

2012-03-20T21:12:00.005-04:00

The Mike Wallace Factor: What losing him would mean to the Steelers

By Jordan Wagner

Despite his number of receiving yards decreasing slightly from the previous season, wide receiver Mike Wallace has shown again how valuable of an offensive threat he is for the Steelers offense. Wallace increased his number of season receptions for 2011 from 60 in the previous season to 72, it addition to posting up 1,193 receiving yards and ranking 11^th among top receivers in the NFL for that category. Joined by speedy companions Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Saunders, the Steelers offense contains some of the fastest receivers in the NFL. Pittsburgh has always been known as a ground and pound team, though. So what would losing Mike Wallace do to the offense for the 2012 season?

The answer to this question we could start by looking at quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben threw for the highest amount of yards in his career during the 2009 season; coincidentally, the same season the Mike Wallace joined the Steelers. He also doubled his number of 40+ yard passes from 7 the previous year to 14. Wallace’s speed makes him valuable from short slant routes (which the Steelers have implemented a lot more during this past season), where he can make defenders miss with his elusiveness, to long throws downfield where “it’s hard to overthrow him.” He’s been said to fly downfield as well as anyone in the NFL, and this does more than just give Ben a target far away. It spreads the field for the Steelers offense. While safeties must commit to him or be burned by his speed, other receivers such as Brown and Sanders can find more space than would have otherwise existed.

In terms of the run game, the Steelers did not crack a top ten spot in total rushing yards this season, ranking at number 14 behind the Buffalo Bills. Rashard Mendenhall’s total rushing yards dipped from the thousands the previous season down into triple digits. A lot of salvation for the Steelers offense came not from its running game, but its passing attack. The Steelers rushing game accounted for 13 of the 36 total of touchdowns by the Steelers for the 2011 season, while the passing game supplied 21 touchdowns (there was also a return and defensive touchdown to total the 36.)

However, it can certainly be argued that losing Wallace would not be entirely devastating to the Steelers offense and the team as a whole. One idea is that Antonio Brown and Emmanuel Sanders would be easy replacements into his role as a field stretcher. Emmanuel and Antonio are both lightning fast players who can stretch the field. Not paying Mike Wallace would also free up cap space to help the team in another position - possibly by allowing the Steelers to upgrade the offensive line and provide more protection for Ben Roethlisberger.

Not to mention, Art Rooney II has said that he would like to go back to the ground and pound game for the next upcoming season. This blue-collar style of football is what the Steelers have become known for over their existence, using their running game to eat up clock and then letting their strong defense close out the games. Should the Steelers choose to focus more on their running game for the next season, it appears obvious that the total number of pass attempts will drop, and the need for downfield passes will not be as great (although it should still exist to add balance to their offense.) The Steelers will use the first rounds, hopefully, to draft a cornerback or linebacker for more depth on defense, especially with James Farrior now gone, or perhaps new offensive linemen. A wide receiver, at least a notable one, isn’t something the Steelers are looking at for in the first rounds.

So what would losing Wallace mean for the team’s ultimate goal? It’s hard to say at this point whether losing the leading receiver in touchdowns from this past season will mean severe trouble for the Steelers in terms of being able to make a playoff berth. Obviously, Steelers fans would like if he could stay. He is a star receiver that is young, fast, and still has a ton of potential to develop his game. What will become interesting is if the Cincinnati Bengals are able to snatch him. With other receiver A.J Green, they might be able to pester the Steelers for their usual playoff spot in the AFC North. The Ravens, much to my dismay, proved this season that they were the best in the division. Having to battle with them and a Bengals team who has acquired a Steelers star player could prove problematic for Pittsburgh. There is also the possibility of Denver trying to acquire Wallace with Manning now a Bronco. However, it is the Steelers defense, arguably, that makes the team a contender for a playoff spot every year, and so perhaps a shifted focus back to blue collar football and a draft that picks up players to replace some of the oldest defensive players in the league will prove to be the more important factor for the Steelers this coming season, should Mike Wallace leave.

Sources: NFL.com, Nick Onderick, Matt Auster.

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The NL East

2012-02-19T15:31:00.001-05:00

Continuing with our early analysis of Major League Baseball's 2012 season, we will take a look at the newly rejuvenated National League East. Of baseball's six divisions, the NL East has recently become baseball's most storied division with Philadelphia's success, Atlanta's uprising, Miami's offseason, Washington's youth, and New York's struggles. We will take a look at how each of these teams will look in the upcoming season.

1. Philadelphia Phillies -

The Phillies will finish first in the division, yet again. They went after a few key guys in the offseason while losing a few as well. Leaving the Phils was Brad Lidge (who hasn't done much in the last year and a half), Ryan Madson, and Raul Ibanez. They brought in Jonathan Papelbon, Ty Wigginton, and Jim Thome. There is definitely more leaving than there is coming in. Ibanez gave them 20+ HR and 80+ RBI on average his three years in Philadelphia. He went for 34 HR and 93 RBI back in 2009. The biggest addition, however, came late last season when the team obtained Hunter Pence from the Astros through trade. During the offseason, Pence and the Phillies avoided arbitration and worked out a deal to stay. In his 54 games with the squad, he batted .324 with 11 HR, 35 RBI, quite some production.

Chase Utley is looking to return from injury after a less than stellar 2011 season. He missed quite some time due to a concussion amongst other injuries. His production has declined each of the last two seasons as he has dealt with injury. He is looking to regain his form and once again pair with Ryan Howard in the middle of the lineup.

The pitching rotation did lose Roy Oswalt to free agency, but Joe Blanton and Vance Worley are more than capable of providing consistent quality starts. Worley would have won Rookie of the Year honors if it were not for Braves' closer, Craig Kimbrel, getting the nod instead. Worley posted ridiculous numbers his first year in the bigs, helped in large by the offense, but is capable of doing it again. Cliff Lee was strong last year and is looking to return to the same as he joins Roy Halladay and Cole Hamels to round out the staff, arguably one of the best in baseball, if not the best (see Tampa Bay Rays).

Keys to Success - Chase Utley needs to be able to stay healthy to lead the way. The rest of the offense is potent enough to carry the team, but with Utley's leadership, the offense can be taken to another level. With the offense scoring runs, the rotation should have plenty of support to win games.

Reason to Panic - The Phillies addressed their need for a closer in Papelbon, but did not do much else to provide bullpen depth. It still remains a mystery how well this unit will do, but Philadelphia is lucky to have such a strong rotation that can go the distance if necessary.

All Stars - Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels

2. Atlanta Braves -

The Braves will finish 2nd in the division but they will make a huge late season push for the division title. The Braves were not an active player in free agency this offseason, only picking up Adam Russell, former Tampa Bay Rays reliever. He will be thrown into a pen that already has proven to be consistent enough to win games. The bullpen will be anchored by NL Rookie of the Year, Craig Kimbrel. He had a dazzling rookie campaign compiling over 40 saves with a 2.10 ERA. The bullpen should be able to hold its own when games are turned over to them.

Atlanta's starting rotation is phenomenal. Led by veteran Tim Hudson, the rotation should be what holds this team together. The team did lose Derek Lowe to free agency, but the Braves have the youth to step in and fill that void. Each starter is fully capable of winning 15 games this season. Very unlikely, but it can be done, each guy has the stuff to do so. Brandon Beachy is due to break out this year, Tommy Hansen has apparently altered his delivery to prevent injury, and Jair Jurrjens is looking to repeat his success from last season. However, all four of these guys went down with some sort of injury last year. If this rotation can stay healthy, Philadelphia better watch out.

The lineup is as potent as ever, pending injury. Chipper Jones can still supply a prominent bat when he's healthy. He has been dealing with knee surgeries the past two years, but claims he is not done playing. Jason Heyward, Atlanta's budding young star, was fighting shoulder issues for most of last season. If these two guys can return to form, the lineup with Dan Uggla, Martin Prado, and Brian McCann, will be a force to be reckoned with.

Keys to Success - Pitching will be the key this year. As long as the starters can stay healthy, Atlanta should have no issues at all keeping up with Philadelphia. The offense is potent enough to provide solid run support, no issues there. Once the game is handed to their closer, Kimbrel, it is lights out, game over. If they can get to situations where they can hand the ball to Kimbrel to preserve leads, Atlanta will win a lot of games.

Reason to Panic - Injuries have plagued the Braves for the last few seasons. It will play a major part again this season as Chipper and Heyward are both working their way back from their injuries. If players start going down in similar fashion to last year and the year prior, Atlanta will have a tough time getting anywhere in this division.

All-Stars - Craig Kimbrel, Brandon Beachy, Jason Heyward

3. Miami Marlins -

So, who didn't the Marlins sign this offseason? All jokes aside, Miami has made a huge push to bring in revenue for all the money they've spent. Whether it was spent on a brand new stadium, a new manager, or several premium players, the Marlins spent a lot of money to attract attention to South Beach for something other than basketball and football. A lot of attention has been put on the Miami Heat and Dolphins, but the Marlins are now relevant in Miami.

Ozzie Guillen was brought in to manage the club. With him he brings a wealth of experience getting to the postseason and even winning. This alone should show the direction this team is heading. The signing of Jose Reyes brings the offense and defense to an entirely new level. They are bringing in contact and speed on the basepaths, as well as defensive flash. It was noted that Reyes has lost some of his range, but he should look rejuvenated enough to give Miami a consistent glove on the infield. The Marlins also have Hanley Ramirez, Mike Stanton, and Logan Morrison to provide some pop to the middle of their lineup, however, it will be interesting to see how the new park affects that power.

The Marlins have also brought in three key pitchers in Mark Buehrle, Carlos Zambrano, and monster closer Heath Bell. This significantly improves their team pitching. Coupled with Josh Johnson and Anibal Sanchez, Zambrano and Buehrle could provide the depth in the rotation that they have been missing. Bell gives them the backend bullpen strength that could prove to have more of an impact on their season.

Keys to Success - Their lineup. You can put Hanley Ramirez in the number 3 spot when you have a guy like Jose Reyes batting leadoff, and good things are bound to happen. However, the key is power. Can the Marlins put up good power numbers in their new park? Its been said that the new park favors pitchers. There is enough speed here for sure, but it will be up to the power guys to drive them in.

Reason to Panic - Ego. The Marlins' demise could be all the personalities that they have in the clubhouse. For starters, Ozzie Guillen, has a personality all his own. Hanley Ramirez has already played diva, hinting that he would not want to move to third base. Carlos Zambrano has had a myriad of character issues in his time with the Chicago Cubs.

All-Stars - Hanley Ramirez, Heath Bell, Mike Stanton

4. Washington Nationals -

The Nationals will continue their youth movement as they get stud pitcher, Stephen Strasburg, back from surgery. We will see how effective he can be coming back after almost missing the entire 2011 season. The Nationals added Gio Gonzalez from Oakland, but besides that have really done nothing else to bolster their rotation or bullpen. The bullpen will still have Tyler Clippard who for the last two seasons has been an excellent setup man. Last season, he posted a sub-2 ERA in just over 88 innings pitched, a superb season by any means. If the Nationals can continue to build around these young arms, they will be relevant in the NL East for years to come.

Speaking of youth, the Nationals have perhaps the best prospect in all the land in Bryce Harper. There have been personality and character issues, but if Washington can allow him to mature (he's only 19), they shouldn't have any issues down the road. He has a potent bat, one that has been crushing home runs at the major league level since he was in his early teens. It has been up the air as to whether he will get called up this season to join the Nationals' lineup, but if he does it will make their lineup that much stronger. The lineup already includes guys like Jayson Werth, Ryan Zimmerman, and Adam Laroche. Each of these guys have been struggling as of late, but they are looking to turn their fortunes around.

Keys to Success - The Nationals' offense must get it going, and get it going early in games. The rotation and the bullpen will struggle, but if they score enough runs to outweigh the difficulties that their pitching will have, they should be fine. It is up to guys like Werth and Zimmerman to get the offense going and play the veteran role that Washington needs.

Reason to Panic - The only real reason to panic would be if these young guys that Washington has invested so much in, end up failing their projections. Strasburg and Harper have been two of the most exciting prospects in the last 5 years, and the sky is the limit for these two. However, if injuries persist for Strasburg and Harper just completely tanks, the Nationals will have a reason to panic, but more for the long term future.

All-Stars - Stephen Strasburg, Ryan Zimmerman

5. New York Mets -

The Mets finish last in their division due to their massive budget overhaul, opposite of their New York counterparts. They have cut costs all across the board, losing Angel Pagan and Jose Reyes, two key players in their offense. They did bring in several players, but none that will help them in this division. Jon Rauch might ultimately be the most significant acquisition for the Mets in the offseason, and he may not even be a difference maker. The Mets are getting Johan Santana back from injuries and surgeries, David Wright is looking for a rebound year, and Ike Davis is looking to blossom into what he is supposed to be.

Buster Olney, ESPN's senior baseball analyst, tweeted not too long ago that the Mets payroll stood at about $87.5 million with Jason Bay, Johan Santana, and David Wright making up $57.5 million, or about 65% of the payroll. How are the Mets supposed to go after other guys in free agency when you have 3 guys making up most of their payroll? They've invested too much for players that haven't lived up to their contracts. Santana hasn't pitched a game in over a year. Wright missed 60 games last season. Jason Bay hasn't been the same since he left Boston two seasons ago. The Mets simply could not afford to go after anyone significant in the offseason and could end up paying the price for it (aka $57.5 million for three potential injury-laden seasons).

Keys to Success - Specifically, it comes down to those 3 players carrying this team. The Mets have an average bullpen, a somewhat maybe above-average rotation with Santana, and what could be a potent lineup with Wright and Bay in the middle of it. These 3 guys produce, they could play a part in the division.

Reason to Panic - The fact that those 3 players tie up so much payroll ultimate cost the Mets a chance at getting anyone that would increase the likelihood of winning this season. If those guys go down, the season goes down. It will be interesting to see which direction the Mets go this year.

All-Stars - David Wright, Ike Davis

An Early Look at Major League Baseball: The AL East

2012-02-07T22:42:00.001-05:00

With pitchers and catchers reporting the weekend of February 17th, one can only be excited for what is to come in the upcoming baseball season. In celebration of the countdown to Spring Training, I will be breaking down each of Major League Baseball's divisions. With all the crazy offseason moves that teams have made, divisions will be shaken up to the point that baseball's powers will shift. I will give insight as to where each team will finish in their respected divisions as well as the keys to their success and what could cause their demise. I will also provide potential All Stars for each team. First off, I will discuss perhaps baseball's toughest division: the American League East.

1. New York Yankees -

The Yankees will finish first in the division largely in part of their payroll, as always. They can consistently field a team full of star power as well as players who consistently contribute. The Yankees will get it done this year because of the latest offseason moves that they have pulled off. Switching Jesus Montero, a stud catching prospect, for Michael Pineda from the Mariners, will prove to be baseball's most worthy investment. The Hiroki Kuroda pickup is definitely solid, but nothing will outdo the move for Pineda. He's a quality young pitcher that uses his height and arm angles to his advantage to dominate batters. Sure, you can say what about Pujols and Fielder? They will produce for their teams, absolutely, but there will not be a move that would prove to fill such a void in the Yankees roster. Last year, New York lacked quality depth in their pitching rotation. Outside of C.C. Sabathia and Ivan Nova, the Yankees' did not have a consistent third, fourth, or fifth quality starter. With Pineda and Kuroda moving in, the last spot will be a battle between Phil Hughes, Freddy Garcia, and A.J. Burnett, not a bad competition to have by any means, given the past success these guys have had and are looking to get back to.

Key to Success - Pitching rotation depth coupled with a high octane batting order will lead to plenty of wins. Guys like Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira, and Derek Jeter will lead the offense to top numbers that New York has been familiar with in the past. Using the short porch in right field, the Yankees will continue to hit for power and drive runs in.

Reason to Panic - Issues are present in the bullpen. Outside of Nate Robertson and Mariano Rivera, New York did not have solid bullpen pitching last year. Questions still remain about Rafael Soriano's health, Joba Chamberlain has vanished, and whoever loses out on the fifth spot in the rotation has not be proven to be effective with a role in the bullpen.

All Stars - Mark Teixeira, Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, C.C. Sabathia

2. Tampa Bay Rays -

The Rays will take (as of now) "the" Wild Card spot in the American League. They will be building off the momentum created last year with the epic run to the playoffs with Boston's collapse. Tampa addressed a few holes in their team this year as well but definitely flew more under the radar than the Angels, Tigers, and the Yankees. They added the likes of Carlos Pena, rejoining the team after a year with the Cubs, Luke Scott from the Orioles after a few down years up north, and Fernando Rodney who has had it rough in the past few years. The Rays got each of these guys at a discount if they end up producing to their potential. Both Pena and Scott are high power, low to mid average, high OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) kind of guys. Rodney could be valuable if he can learn to control his velocity and get the ball down in the zone. Also joining the Rays and competing to make the roster is Jeff Keppinger. He could prove to be a worthy pickup with consistent play.

We are all still waiting on B.J. Upton to finally show up while Longoria continues to carry this team offensively. Also, the Rays have the best rotation in baseball, bar none. A staff that has Shields, Price, Hellickson, Davis and Niemann is bound to do great things. If they unload any of these guys, the staff will be fine as Tampa has ample talent waiting to fill the void with Matt Moore and Alex Cobb.

Key to Success - Maddon-ball: playing defense while working to get on base. Seems like it doesn' t matter who Maddon has in the lineup; the Rays get on base, score runs, and pitch their way to wins. With the best staff in baseball along with the additions on offense, the Rays come close to the Division title.

Reason to Panic - Tampa has built a pretty solid team by the bay but the bullpen could ultimately lead to their demise. Many of these guys are still young and will face bumps in the road, but its how they respond that will be the difference. Guys like Kyle Farnsworth and Joel Peralta will provide the experience needed down the stretch and will help to build confidence for Jake McGee, Cesar Ramos, and new pitcher Burke Badenhop.

All Stars - Evan Longoria, James Shields, David Price

3. Boston Red Sox -

The Red Sox will make a strong run at the Wild Card and it will come down to the last 5 or 6 games. The last playoff spot will be decided between Texas, Boston, and Tampa Bay. As mentioned earlier, the Rays capitalized on Boston's late season collapse last season. Boston went into the offseason trying to remove the cloud hanging over their heads since then. Terry Francona and Theo Epstein are no longer with the team after Epstein took a job with the Chicago Cubs and Francona left (mutual? meh). Boston then filled the vacancies with General Manager Ben Cherington (internal hire) and Bobby Valentine (ex-Met manager, former ESPN analyst) as skipper. The Red Sox did manage to grab Kelly Shoppach from the Rays, Andrew Bailey from the Athletics, and Cody Ross from the Giants in a few free agency moves. They traded shortstop Jed Lowrie for relief pitcher Mark Melancon, which should help bolster the bullpen. The starting rotation could use work. Led by Josh Beckett and Jon Lester, the rotation had a lackluster 2011 season. Boston has since moved Daniel Bard from the pen and plugged him into the rotation. This experiment could backfire as Bard has never been in such a role.

The offense should lead the majors in pretty much every statistical category because they still have Adrian Gonzalez anchoring the middle of the lineup, David Ortiz's power, Dustin Pedroia's consistency, and Jacoby Ellsbury's versatility on the basepaths. Carl Crawford and Kevin Youkilis are looking to have rebound years, and if they do come back, it only means trouble for the rest of the league. The offense goes as injury goes.

Keys to Success - Whether or not Crawford and Youkilis can come back to their old forms and produce at a consistent level. Without them, the offense should not struggle as a collective unit, however, they would put it over the top. The bullpen could also be a strength of the Red Sox with the acquisitions of Melancon and Bailey coupled with Alfredo Aceves, but will miss the strength of Bard and the closing of Jonathan Papelbon (left for free agency).

Reason to Panic - If Boston were to struggle, it would be because of the starting rotation, which they also struggled with in 2011. John Lackey and Tim Wakefield led the way in poor starts last year, so if they continue to struggle, Boston will have issues. If the rotation can keep it together, Boston will be a strong force to be reckoned with in the entire league, let alone the AL East. It will ultimately hold them back though.

All Stars - Adrian Gonzalez, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Jon Lester

4. Toronto Blue Jays -

Yet again, the Blue Jays will finish fourth. Yet again, the Blue Jays go into the offseason with the attitude that next year is the year. Yet again, the Blue Jays really have nothing else going for them except for Jose' Bautista. They do have a hot young prospect at third base, Brett Lawrie, who has seen limited plate appearances (injury) and excelled. However, his long term success will be determined this year when he has a full season under his belt. Toronto did pick up Francisco Cordero, Sergio Santos, and Darren Oliver to strengthen the bullpen but have not done much to add to their rotation and their lineup. The rotation has shown flashes of brilliance with Ricky Romero and Brandon Morrow but anything beyond these two guys was obsolete. With Bautista anchoring the lineup, the Jays failed to give him better protection than Adam Lind and Colby Rasmus. Lawrie could make a difference if he produces like he did when he was called up last season (.293, 9 HR, 25 RBI in 161 PA). They were said to be interested in Prince Fielder but did not make any moves to add him. The Jays will finish fourth in the division largely in part of their lack of execution in the offseason.

Keys to Success - The offense. Plain and simple: the offense. If this offense can get a lead for this young rotation, the bullpen should be able to maintain. The offense needs to be able to string together at-bats in order to drive people in and not rely on Bautista's power to bail them out. If the Blue Jays can manage to be potent enough in scoring runs, they will be largely successful in this division.

Reason to Panic - Toronto will struggle with their rotation just as they have in years past. The rotation is made up younger guys who show flashes of excellence but haven't really put it all together yet. The Jays could really implode if the rotation shows its youth.

All Stars - Jose Bautista, Francisco Cordero

5. Baltimore Orioles -

Even with Buck Showalter leading the show in Baltimore, the O's don't get anywhere in the division, yet again. They are still waiting for Matt Weiters to break out, Brian Roberts to return to form, and Adam Jones to get his power stroke. As with the Jays, many of the Orioles show flashes of brilliance only to fade into the (lack of) depth of Camden Yards. The Orioles just shipped off Jeremie Guthrie who proved to be the most experienced starting pitcher on the team, a move that has Baltimore up in arms. A man who lost over fifteen games last year and had only five/six wins is considered a fan favorite? Just goes to show you where Baltimore is at right now with their squad. They are waiting for their young arms to blossom and when they do, Baltimore can at least play spoiler. Until then, Baltimore has a lot of needs to address and their farm system isn't getting it done and neither is the front office. You cannot field a team of washed up veterans (Vladimir Guerrero, left for free agency) with guys fresh out of Triple-A and expect to win, regardless of the skipper. They won't get far this year, or next, and probably the next until upper brass decides to spend a little money.

Keys to Success - The outbreak of Adam Jones and Matt Wieters. If these two guys can jumpstart the offense and show what they are capable of, Baltimore will finally have somewhat of an edge when it comes to opposing pitchers. Jones should finally prove that he is a five tool outfielder and provide some excitement in Baltimore.

Reason to Panic - Pitching. This team's lack of quality pitching is evident across the board. It has been a problem of the past and will continue to be one until the farm system develops quality (cough) or the front office goes after some guys via free agency/trades.

All Stars - Adam Jones

Drew Brees Broke The Record! Kinda....

2012-01-10T18:27:00.003-05:00

by Will Fairbanks

The game has changed. The players have changed. Lastly, the rules have changed. Drew Brees recently broke Dan Marino's 1984 passing record of 5,084 yards with his own 5,476 yards passing. However, how much weight is actually attached to breaking the record? Some might say a lot, but I say very little. It is a rare accomplishment to surpass a record that has stood for 27 years, but with the way that the National Football League is shaping up, Brees could break his own record next year. Hell, Tebow could even do it in two or three years (based on his performance against Pittsburgh) but that won't happen. Marino set the record in a completely different era of football than Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, and Brees.

First off, the professional game has changed completely. The way that offenses are now centered around the quarterback and his decision making is vastly different than before. Back in the 1970's and 1980's, teams were more centered around balanced and even more run-heavy offenses. Marino set the record in a time where the focus was not on the quarterback, making it more noteworthy that he could accomplish such a feat. Defenses were tougher, faster, and stronger than most offenses. Since then, offenses have grown to be quicker, more agile, and the systems more complex. Brady, Manning, and Brees all play in some of the most complex offensive systems in the game. The way that these offenses are structured, quarterbacks don't really need a spectacular running back or wide receiver. The offense simply needs players to fulfill certain roles because it is the quarterback who controls the flow of the game, not the running back (Chris Johnson & the Titans) or the wide receiver (Andre Johnson & the Texans). Teams draft or sign players to fulfill a necessity to the system. There isn't really a standout in any of these offenses. There isn't that one player (besides the QB) that is the star. For example, Rob Gronkowski and Wes Welker are products of their offensive system in New England. If it wasn't for the structure of the offense and Tom Brady, these players would not exist on their own. Welker never had notoriety in Miami; he gained it playing in New England's system. Another example, the Saints lost Reggie Bush to free agency but quickly filled the void by adding the same type of player in Darren Sproles.

Speaking of players, they are now physical freaks. Athletes are now focusing a lot more on the health and nutrition of their bodies. It is easy for these guys to run out on the field everyday and run with everyone else. When you look back to about 20 or so years ago, athletes were fit but they weren't so much focused on working out, busting out bench reps, and drinking nutritional shakes. With the money market of the game constantly growing, teams have had more money to invest in nutritional programs and training facilities. The availability of trainers has increased as well. Society has placed a growing emphasis on nutrition and athletes are more conscientious about what they eat. 20 years ago, this was not the case. New research and development in the health field have affected how these athletes prepare their bodies. They are taking supplements that did not exist in the past. Bill Romanowski was famous for how many supplements he would take daily to cater his body. He might have taken the wrong ones if you know what I'm sayin'.

The most important factor in my argument has to be that the rules in football have changed. Rules changed to disallow defenses from playing tough on wideouts. The five yard essentially "bump-and-run" rule was created in 1978 and later in 1994. Offensive lineman were also allowed to put their hands up to block incoming defensive lineman. "The net result of the rule changes was that teams suddenly began passing the ball far more often and far more effectively. Passing attempts, passing yards and passing TDs skyrocketed in the early 1980s. Perhaps most notably, Dan Marino rewrote the record books with his 5,084 passing yards and 48 TDs in 1984. His numbers were Ruthian in their scope, literally unimaginable just seven years earlier: Back in 1977, Buffalo quarterback Joe Ferguson led the NFL with 2,803 passing yards while another Miami Hall of Famer, Bob Griese, topped the league with 22 TD tosses." This goes to show that Marino's record was nothing significant either. His numbers were a result of softer coverages and less physical play by defenses.

Also, in 2004, pass interference rules were strictly enforced after Bill Polian, the Colts GM at the time, complained about New England's rough play against them in the playoffs that year. After this, numbers again skyrocketed. "The very next season, Indy quarterback Peyton Manning went out and rewrote the record books, with 49 TD passes and a 121.1 passer rating that was nearly 10 points better than any that had come before it. The league-wide passer rating, meanwhile, jumped from 78.3 in 2003 to a record 82.8 in 2004."

Since 2007, offenses have been catered to. Rule changes have disallowed defensive players from lunging at quarterbacks legs to tackle them. Carson Palmer tore ligaments in his knee one year, and Tom Brady fell victim to the same injury the next year. Such injuries prompted this rule. More recently, roughing the passer calls have been on the rise. Defenses only have a few ways to get to the quarterback now. Mentally, it makes defenses hesitate before taking them down. I understand that the league has to what it can to protect the quarterback, but that is why passing numbers have gone up and the number of sacks have gone down over the years. A pressing issue relevant within the past two seasons is the "Defenseless player rule." Defenses have been required to alter the way they hit and tackle "defenseless" players going out for a catch or after throwing a pass. Due to this, receivers have broken more tackles, taken less hits, and have had more yardage receiving. Defenses have gotten penalized for targeting defenseless players and leading with the crown of their helmet. Because of this, mentalities have changed on defense and offenses have taken advantage of it. However, this "defenseless player" rule is another topic within itself.

I understand that Drew Brees broke the record for most passing yards in a single season, but I disagree that it is any sort of major accomplishment. We have been seeing record setting numbers from all kinds of players on offense over the span of the last 10 years. Dan Marino's record was set during a time where offenses were just starting to adjust to tough, physical defenses. I will even go and say that Marino's record doesn't carry any significance because of the rule changes defenses endured in those days. Brees broke the record and that is that, but you have to understand that the game is changing and people are breaking records with ease because of the dynamics of the game, the athletes are a lot different, and rule changes have greatly impacted the way the defense can play against the opposing offense. The game is changing in many ways and records are going to be broken. Congratulations Drew Brees, but your record is going to get broken next year and probably the following year.

Should He Stay, Should He Go?

2011-12-18T21:59:00.001-05:00

The Dwight Howard Saga

By Will Fairbanks

This needs to stop sometime. Seriously, its getting old. Professional basketball players, and I repeat, PROFESSIONAL basketball players are asking for trades, demanding that they leave the team they are currently on, and are citing irreconcilable differences with ownership or the front office. I just can't see how a player can be considered "professional" if they publicly request for trades and consistently whine about who they are playing with. Last time I checked, players sign contracts for a certain amount of years and money and are obligated to carry out their "duties" with the provided team until the end of the contract. Recently, this has not been the case. Ever since Kobe and Amare wanted out of their respective teams and demanded to be traded, players left and right have been asking to do the same. With demands by Carmelo, Chris Paul, and now, the latest of these, Dwight Howard (all players of high caliber), front offices have been put in a tight spot. Do we satisfy the trade demand and try to get something of quality in return? Do we keep them here, listen to them whine and complain all season, while being led by this individual? Or do we put the season in jeopardy by not trading them and have them disrupting games with lackluster effort or even holding out?

Organizations are always put in tough situations when dealing with prima donna athletes. Lets take a step back and look at why. There are realistically three sets of people involved when a there is a potential trade. A player asks for a trade and he does not necessarily care about his image to fans. He wants to be in a situation that gives him better teammates and puts him in the position to win more games. On the other hand, a player asks for a trade and the organization sees it's image as number one. Every move the organization makes in dealing with a player's request is watched so closely that one false move could mean a decline in ticket sales and merchandise revenue. When dealing with a trade request, yes, the player and the organizations want to be happy, but what about the fans? After all, sports is an entertainment business relying on fan contribution. So what would I do if I were a GM dealing with one of these players?

In the instance of Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic, the answer is simple; trade him, trade him while I can. End the drama now, get something in return and continue building with what I have and what I will get. I am not worried about public image. I have to do what I can to make this as successful a season as possible. Some may say, I trade Howard and I lose out on the playoffs for a few years. I could then argue that I would much rather trade him, receive people who are willing to put in the time and effort to play for MY team, and want to win a championship. I don't want someone who will not play hard for MY team each and every day.

I certainly don't listen to his stupid requests for bringing in players to try and win. The man only has one year left on his contract and is claiming that he "could stay" in Orlando if an effort is made to satisfy those requests. I truly believe that regardless of anybody that I decide to bring in, Dwight Howard is gone after this year. Too much has happened for him to want to stay. I wouldn't even bother with his list of teams that he wants to go to. If one of those teams isn't willing to deal, then what do I do? I have to find the best possible trade out there in order to put MY team in a better position to build and win in the coming years.

As far as an actual trade is concerned, I would NOT trade Howard for Andrew Bynum. Howard is averaging 18.2 points/game, 12.9 rebounds/game, and 2.2 blocks/game while starting 566 out of 567 games. Howard has also been named the NBA's Defensive Player of the Year three years in a row from 2009-2011. Andrew Bynum averages 10.1 points/game, 7.1 rebounds/game, and 1.5 blocks/game while only playing in 332 out of 492 games, starting only 240 of them. Howard has missed only 7 games in his 7 years of playing. Bynum has missed 160, almost two full seasons worth. This trade offer supposedly offered by Los Angeles also included Pau Gasol and Hedo Terkoglu. Honestly, this wouldn't be fair at all. Gasol is consistent but nothing spectacular. He does not provide a defensive threat down low. Orlando would be losing a lot and not gaining enough in return.

The trade rumors surrounding Dwight to New Jersey have been interesting. These would involve New Jersey giving up Brooke Lopez. In order to have this work, a third team would have had to jump in. It was reported that Portland was offering Gerald Wallace, but that remains to be seen. I honestly feel that no matter where Dwight goes, there is really no match in trade value, unless you trade star power for star power. Right now there doesn't seem to be much out there for Orlando to get back on a trade but you have to find something. You can't play out the season, let him walk, and get nothing but a bitter ending to a storied career in Orlando.

It doesn't sit well with me that someone would begin a season requesting a trade to another team. What does that do for the team? Where does that leave his teammates knowing he doesn't want to play with them and that he merely plays with them to earn a paycheck? I kept emphasizing that it was MY team in these instances where I put myself in the GM's shoes because that's who makes the decisions. It won't be some player calling the shots on who to bring in or where he should land in a trade. He can argue that Orlando wouldn't be a basketball town if it wasn't for him, but I could come right back and say that the Magic made the decision on draft day to bring him in and give him an opportunity to be a star. Now that he is, he wants to leave? Okay, give him what he wants, but do it on your terms and get who is necessary to begin building again.

Tiger is Back, or Is He?

2011-12-11T12:52:00.001-05:00

Tiger's Back

Our first and possibly last golf discussion will be about the most dominant golfer in the last 20 years. Tiger Woods has won for the first time since his humiliating personal issues were shown to the whole world. Pundits, sports writers and many non golfers have proclaimed after his victory, "He’s Back!" Is he back to the Tiger Woods circa 2000, 2004-2007? No, and that player will likely never return. And surprisingly, this victory for him a couple weeks ago means less than the average sports fan realizes.

For decades, tournaments conducted after the end of the PGA Tour regular season have been referred to as “Silly Season” events: events that are not at all taken seriously by the professionals that play in them. Why do professionals not care in these events? Why are they viewed like a non-contact football practice and vacation? Why should Tiger receive less credit?

They are called Silly Season events for many reasons. The Silly Season consists of events that have some combination of the following characteristics: limited/zero effect on PGA tour status, limited fields, focus on charitable contributions, and huge paydays. Also, most if not all Silly Season events are in beautiful locations that these pros want to vacation to with their families. For example, the Grand Slam of Golf is held in Hawaii, Shark Shootout is held in Miami or Naples, Wendy’s 3-Tour challenge is held in Las Vegas.

So how does the Chevron World Challenge fit into the generally accepted definition of a Silly Season event?

1. It has zero effect on the PGA/European tour status as it is not a regular season event.

2. It has an extremely limited field, just 18 players, just one player ranked in the top 7 of the OWGR.

3. It has an asinine purse with over $5 million in prize money, nearly the same amount for a regular tour event, but with 88% less players. Every player receives a paycheck regardless of how badly they play, not true for PGA tour events.

4. The tournament raises money for Tiger Woods’ Charitable foundation.

5. The Chevron is held in Thousand Oaks, California, a beautiful city north of Los Angeles.

By any definition it is a Silly Season event.

Another crucial factor of why players didn’t focus on winning and just maintaining their swings was the weather. Weather played a major role in how players treated this event. It was quite windy this year, and scores reflected that being quite higher than in years past. For the non-golfers reading, wind is a swing killer. It kills rhythm, so much so arguably the most talented golfer in the world said earlier this year that he prefers not to play in windy tournaments because it hurts his game dramatically and it takes weeks to recover. This player simply voiced what every professional thinks about the wind. Knowing players thoughts, it was extremely likely these guys were just trying to maintain their rhythm in windy circumstances that were affecting them all week.

But describing this to the average sports fan, they still don’t really understand the time of the year. Even the casual golfer gives too much weight to these events and most people will say that it is still a big event because Player X, Player Y, Player Z was still playing. But were they really playing like it was a real tournament? The best way to make people understand how irrelevant this tournament was to everyone is to think of the Pro Bowl. These events are like the Pro Bowl as they are exclusively for golfers that have had a successful year. Only thing is Tiger has not been close to successful and is quite desperate for a positive story and a victory. Just remember that this a golfer who has been mostly terrible for 2 years, completely disgraced, his aura of invincibility gone, and then realize why that golfer will treat even the Silly Season events like a major tournament.

The force is strong in this one, or he has a temper.

So Tiger did win, but he won against a weak field, against players with little enthusiasm that were guaranteed a payday, while on vacation. He isn’t back, however he reminded the sporting world he is still capable of winning, and very much interested in doing so. I don’t believe he will ever be back to the Tiger of the early to mid-aughts, but he has all of the shots to win any given week.

For the non-golf fans that tune in for the majors or only when Woods is in the hunt, there are things you should look for in his game. Woods has big question marks that remain around his game, and going forward we should monitor several areas of his game which have been concerning even before his scandal broke out.

Will he swing smoother and not continue to destroy his knee? This is the biggest question mark when considering his future. If he continues to run 5 miles a day on his bad knee, he might not play another 5 years.
In the past several years, his putter has failed him in the final rounds of major tournaments.
His short game has been declining for over 2 years now.
His acumen for greens-in-regulation has dropped off. He needs to average 66% GIR’s.
In 2011, Tim Tebow completes more passes on a percentage basis than Tiger hits fairways. Can’t win events when you are in the woods. Need to hit more than 50% of the fairways to win major tournaments, and for Woods the minimum expectation should be 55%.

Author’s note: Golf will not be a regular feature on this blog, however when significant events occur we will provide our viewpoints. I envision for the foreseeable future that we will stick with the big three sports for both professionals and collegiate athletics.

The Ever Elusive Question: Why the hate?

2011-12-10T13:04:00.001-05:00

Why the Hate?

Will Fairbanks

Time and time again, we have seen the epitome of victory flow through the veins of a young Tim Tebow. We have followed him through the ranks of his last years as a home-schooled, allowed to play for a public high school, football player. We watched him dominate, and I mean dominate, the college football ranks winning "two" national championships (The quotes will be explained later). Now, we watch him play quarterback for the Denver Broncos in the National Football League. Yet, time and time again we wait for him to falter. We wait for him to collapse in the face of adversity. Why? Why do we want such a successful individual to fail? After taking a look at some of the details surrounding the player Tebow actually is, we can finally find out the source of this hatred and animosity towards such prominent sports figure.

Tebow and the Gators won against the Seminoles all four years that he attended the University of Florida. As a Seminole fan, I can tell you that I did not enjoy watching Tebow dismantle the teams that we put on the field. However, this blurb is not directed towards why I may not be a fan of Tebow, but rather the reasons why Tebow is such a controversial person. I am going to divulge my thesis; I believe that Tebow gets more credit than he deserves. This is not to say that he is a terrible athlete by any means, nor does he not deserve some of the credit he does get, I simply feel that he gets too much.

Let me begin with the quoted “two” at this beginning of this piece. The Florida Gators won a BCS National Championship in 2006. Tim Tebow, while a freshman backup QB, is often noted for helping to win the Gators “two” national championships during his tenure. The second championship, in 2009, can indeed be attributed to Tebow. The first, however, cannot. The 2005-2006 Florida Gators were led by Chris Leak, the Gators all-time passing yardage leader; it was Chris Leak’s team. Tebow was battling for the position for starting quarterback as a freshman, but Leak eventually won out. As a result, Tebow became the backup. Tebow only threw 33 passes that year and attempted only 89 rushes. Many of these came in garbage time or against weaker opponents. In 2006, he did score touchdowns against the likes of LSU, Alabama, and 2 against Ohio State in the championship game but to say that he won those games for the Gators is a far stretch. Tebow led the Gators to the second championship while providing spot work for the first.

Statistically speaking, Tebow was a monster in college, but realistically, he was merely a fullback who could throw. The reason behind his success? The spread offense. The spread offense makes any quarterback look better than he really is. Take a look at the success of Oklahoma, Houston, and Oregon. When you employ many of the read-option plays on the run and pass, it automatically gives the quarterback an advantage in reading coverage, as well as choosing to hand off or take off. While playing in a pro-style offense in college, quarterbacks are relied upon to do so much more in diagnosing coverage, choosing a receiver, and rarely run. Tebow is the perfect player for the spread. Possessing less than perfect accuracy, it was easy for Tebow to find an open receiver rather than try to fit it into coverage. The spread allows for this with its many option plays because the defense is forced to play a fake first. Tebow’s running also opened up his passing game. Not to mention the number of skilled players (Percy Harvin, the Pouncey twins, Jeff Demps, Aaron Hernandez, etc.) that have come through and played with Tebow, allowing him to put up big numbers. This is reason number two as to why Tebow receives too much credit. He is less of a quarterback and more of an individual who could simply fit the role that the spread offense requires.

Since joining the professional ranks, Tebow has faced nonstop criticism for his poor mechanics and his lack of football knowledge. Because of the spread offense, he was never really required to improve his mechanics to have a quicker release. He did try to improve in order to prepare for the NFL draft, but upon playing his first pro game, he retreated back to the poor throwing motion he started out with. Since becoming the starter for the Broncos, Tebow has gone 6-1. This record has caused every media outlet in the country to scream Tebow’s name, calling him Denver’s “chosen one.” Fans have even started to craft personalized #15 Broncos jerseys to say “Jesus.” While making references to Tebow’s faith, this is also reflecting on his coming on strong to, how do we say, “save” Denver’s season. His faith is simply that. His faith. I will not harp on that. But for fans to call him Jesus after going 6-1 as the starter is simply absurd.

This is my last point. Tebow is not the reason for Denver’s 6-1 record. Tebow has the lowest completion percentage out of anyone in the league (47.5%) while only throwing 158 passes through 7 games. Denver’s pass game is 31^st in the league at just over 155 yards per game. The games where Tebow shines are against teams who rank in the bottom tier in pass defense and pressure on the QB. The two games that Tebow started and had QB ratings over 100 were against Kansas City and Minnesota. He still only completed 52% of his passes between the two games. Kansas City simply cannot get pressure on the quarterback and ranks 29^th in the league in sacks. Tebow completed 2 of 8 passes in this game. Minnesota is the exact opposite. They are tied for 2^nd in the league in sacks but have been destroyed by injury in their secondary and have the 26^th ranked pass defense in the league. When he faced an above average front 7 in Detroit, he was absolutely destroyed. He had a rating of 56.8 with 3 fumbles (1 lost) and an interception on 39 pass attempts and 10 rush attempts.

This nonsense of Tebow being the Broncos’ “savior” or “chosen one” is ludicrous. He is a vital part of the system in Denver as he was in Florida, but he is just that, a part. Head Coach John Fox has had to implement the spread option zone read just to give Tebow what he needs, proving he is not fit for the pro game. While it is working now, it will not work much longer. Tebow and Denver have only faced one defense ranked in the top 10 (New York Jets; they have enough problems of their own though). I would even go and say that Cam Newton has done more as a quarterback for Carolina, while facing more capable defenses, than Tebow has done for Denver. However, regardless of Tebow’s completion percentage, I will give him the credit he deserves in regards to not turning the ball over. He only has 1 interception on the year and has 6 fumbles, only one of which he lost. He is simply being the game manager that Fox needs. If it was not for having the 1^st ranked rush offense (led by McGahee, not Tebow), Denver would fall. The day that this is completely shut down, Denver will lose. The true test of this theory will come against Chicago’s 7^th ranked rush defense.

I understand what he has gone through. I understand what he is going through. I understand that he is a winner simply because he is part of a TEAM that is winning. In the pro game, I cannot believe that he can win a game by himself. To say that he is the sole reason why Denver has gone 6-1 since he became starter is unrealistic. The defense has gotten key players back from injury while playing subpar offenses. Denver’s pass offense is almost dead last and probably won’t improve with some of the most recent injuries. Right now, with the way he is playing…Denver is not winning because of him, they are winning despite him. He is playing poor to mediocre football against subpar teams, winning and gets heralded as a “Savior.” Tebow is receiving more credit than he deserves. This is why he is hated. This is why we wait. This is why we want him to fail.