The Online Sports Bettor

Betting on the NFC Championship Game

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Thu, 19 Jan 2012 17:56:09 PST

I haven't posted any picks this year (aside from my season long bet on the Panthers). I've been betting the NFL all year, but mostly due to laziness I haven't been posting the picks. I had a good regular season, winning most weeks and losing a few. I also won a big money fantasy football league which was nice.

This weekend's bet is:

San Francisco 49ers -3 (+115) (bet at Bovada)

San Fran is in a good spot. In my opinion they're the best team left in the playoffs, and I'm not the only one who thinks this. The line on this game opened at even, and sharp bettors immediately jumped on it betting the 49ers up to -2.5. You'll still find them at -2.5 at most sportsbooks. I bet them at Bovada because I'm not scared of the extra half point, and I like the extra money at +115. It's a good bet.

Good Luck,

The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Bets - Opening Night!

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Thu, 08 Sep 2011 18:00:49 PDT

I'm looking forward to a good game tonight. I have no action on it. It's the first game of the season, and while I love to bet on the NFL, I won't bet any game just because it's on TV (Unlike some of my friends. It seems like the over is a popular bet tonight.)

Anyway, it should be an interesting start to the season. With a short off-season, it's going to take some teams time to adjust. I'm looking at the teams with QB changes, like Minnesota, Arizona, Carolina, Tennessee, Washington, Jacksonville, Seattle, Cincinnati and Indy (for this week at least). I think those are all of them, off the top of my head...

It takes time for QBs and WRs to get their timing down. Sometimes it takes several seasons, so I doubt that all these teams are ready for this week! It's something to factor in when handicapping a game, and it's also an important factor when betting the over/under.

Most people like to bet overs. It's more fun. You can root for a good game, and it's exciting every time someone scores. Because of this, one can usually find some value in a couple unders every week, and week 1 is no exception.

Not all the games are on the board yet. I usually wait to place my bets closer to game time, so I'm not posting any picks tonight. But check back later in the week, and I'll have some plays up for Sunday.

Good Luck!

The Online Sports Bettor

The Carolina Panthers, A Good Bet? - NFL Pre-Season Win Totals

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Thu, 19 Jan 2012 17:56:37 PST

2011/2012 Regular Season Win Total - Carolina Panthers Over 4½ (bet at Bodog)

The NFL South is a historically tight division. So tight that over the last 8 years, the team that finished last in the division went on to win the division the following year. The two years that this didn't happen, the last place team still had a winning record the following year. There is so much parity with these 4 teams that a few year over year changes can drastically change the make up of this division.

This brings us to last year's last place team, the Carolina Panthers.

The Panther finished the 2010 season with a 2-14 record. They were the worst team in the league and because of that their 2011 preseason win total is set at 4½ games, the lowest in the league. Lucky for us, this total has a lot of value.

Carolina doesn't have a great defense, but their problem last year was putting up points. With an improved offense they should have an opportunity to control the clock (and help their defense). After all the best defense is a good offense, and that's something the Panthers should have.

The Panthers have changed their offensive scheme. They shouldn't have a problem putting up points no matter who's at quarterback. Speaking of quarterbacks they drafted the #1 player in the NFL draft, Cam Newton, the Heisman Trophy winner from Auburn. He might not start the season at the helm, but it shouldn't be long before he takes over. Other first rounders on the Panther's offense include DeAngelo Williams, Jonathan Stewart, Jordan Gross, Jeff Otah, Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olsen. Don't forget that the Panthers still have Steve Smith at wide receiver too. That's a lot of talent.

Will they win the division? Maybe. Will they win more than 4 games? It sure looks like a good bet.

Good Luck!

The Online Sports Bettor

There will be football this year!

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 30 Jul 2011 07:59:50 PDT

I’m so happy that the NFL lock out is over. It looks like there will be football this year after all!

And all the moves the last couple of days have been crazy. Nnamdi Asomugha went to the Eagles, the Lions have one of the best DLines in the league and Kevin Kolb is in Zona. Other big names are Chad OchoCinco being traded to the Patriots, McNabb going to the Vikings and Hasselbeck signing with Tennessee Titans. I'm sure that every one's fantasy football draft boards have changed drastically over the last few days, and for good reason.

What does this mean to normal every week football bettors like you and me? That's a great question. With so much upheaval in the league and a shortened workout schedule and preseason, I would imagine the teams with the least amount of turnover will be the ones with the faster starts out of the gate. I would expect these teams to be able to perform better the first few weeks. The important thing to remember is that this edge can quickly fade after a couple of weeks when every team becomes comfortable playing as a single unit.

Teams that I would expect to stumble at the beginning are the other with new QBs and big changes on the Oline. If the price is right, I would bet against these teams the first few weeks, and then to start to bet on them as they improve. The thinking is that people would over value the Vikings with McNabb in week 1 and 2, but if the team loses and/or doesn't cover, the public will probably start to bet against him in week 3 just as the team is starting to come together. So the play in this example is to bet against the Vikings in the first 2 weeks and then on them in week 3.

Of course there are a lot more things to consider when placing a bet (like preseason performance, recent new, THE OTHER TEAM), but this is one angle that should not be ignored. Remember this is a weird year, where teams have not gotten their normal amount of practice coming in the season. Expect that to benefit the teams with the least amount of new faces.

That's all for now.
The Online Sports Bettor

The FBI Seizes The Three Biggest U.S. Poker Websites

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Mon, 08 Aug 2011 18:10:49 PDT

PokerStars, Full Tilt Poker, Absolute Poker, Ultimate Bet and UB.com are all offline due to the FBI crack down on online poker. Luckily Bodog is still up and will continue to be.

If you are looking for a trusted online poker room (and a great sportsbook), try BoDog. They're one of the best, and they are now the biggest that still caters to US players. They've been around for over 16 years, and they aren't going any where.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

March Madness is right around the corner!

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Tue, 15 Mar 2011 19:09:18 PDT

It's that time of year again. March Madness is here and the NCAA tourney starts on Thursday! But did you know that there are games to bet tonight?

Both the College Insider Tournament and the NIT Tournament have games going tonight and for the rest of the week. You can bet all these games online.

The first NCAA game is tomorrow night in Dayton, Ohio, and I have some action on it. I'm going with the favorite: USC -4½ over Va Commonwealth

The Heat won the other night, so I'm 2-0 on my basketball picks this season. Basketball isn't my strongest sport, so I'll take the odd wins here and there. After all, no one says you have to bet everyday.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

March Madness is coming!

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 12 Mar 2011 06:41:16 PST

I haven't written in a while, The last time I did, I smoked the NBA All-Star Game. The West easily won.

And March Madness is coming! Are you ready for the next couple of weeks? I can't wait. What a great time of year! There are so many games to bet and everyone matters. The first weekend of March Madness in Las Vegas in the second most heavily bet weekend on the year (second only to the Super Bowl). I'm really looking forward to it this year since I'll be there. You can find me at the Wynn.

Today's Bet:
Miami Heat -8 over Memphis Grizzlies
The Heat broke their losing streak. They're about to go on a run here...

That's all for now.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NBA All Star Game Betting

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 30 Jul 2011 08:00:40 PDT

NBA All-Star Game Sunday, 8:30 pm Eastern – TNT

This year's All Star game is at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California. The Western conferance is lead by hometome hero Kobe Bryant, and the East will be lead by Heat players LeBron James and Dwyane Wade. It should be a close game. Both rosters are stacked and this game could easily go either way. That said giving any points is an advantage, so I'm happy taking the West +2.

Western Conference All Stars +2 (-105) over Eastern Conference All Stars (bet at Bodog)

It was a down year in football. Congrats to the Packers for winning the Super Bowl, and Aaron Rodgers for getting the Super Bowl MVP. Regular season stars Tom Brady for winning the 2010 MVP and Michael Vick for getting the NFL comeback player of the year.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Super Bowl Bets - More Added Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 20 Feb 2011 07:54:50 PST

Adding a few more prop bets. This will probably be it for the game. All bets placed at Bodog.

Total Receptions – Antwaan Randle El (PIT) Under 1 (-130)
Randle El isn't a factor in the Steelers offense. He didn't have a catch the entire playoffs, and he only had 2 or more receptions 6 times during the regular season. He'll need more than 1 catch to lose this bet. I think it's a lot more likely that he doesn't have any.

Total Receiving Yards – Donald Driver (GB) Under 45½ (-105)
46 yards is a lot for the aging Driver. He only exceed that total 4 times this season. He also tweaked his quad this week, and Rodgers has a lot of other guys to throw to.

Total Receptions – Rashard Mendenhall (PIT) Under 1½ (-105)
Looking at his season and playoff stats, he just doesn't catch much. I don't see why that would change today.

I'm already on:
Green Bay Packers -3 (EVEN) over Pittsburgh Steelers
Total Passing Attempts– Aaron Rodgers (GB) Under 34½ (+100)
Total Receiving Yards – Hines Ward (PIT) Under 42½ (-105)
Total Receiving Yards – Heath Miller (PIT) Over 42½ (-115)
Total QB Sacks by Pittsburgh Steelers Under 2½ (+105)

Good Luck!
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Super Bowl Bets - Added Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Fri, 11 Feb 2011 07:00:11 PST

All bets placed at Bodog. I'm already on a few prop bets. You should check out my last post for the reasons why.

Green Bay Packers -3 (EVEN) over the Pittsburgh Steelers
After a lot of thought I'm picking Green Bay will win this game. They opened as the favorite, so Vegas thinks the Packers will win too. That said, I'm going to give the 3 points. I think the Steelers played over their head to get back to the Super Bowl, and they just have too many weaknesses in their secondary to keep it close for 60 minutes.

Total QB Sacks by Pittsburgh Steelers Under 2½ (+105)
The Packers haven't given up more than 2 sacks in playoffs. At plus money, I think this bet has value.

I'm already on:
Total Passing Attempts– Aaron Rodgers (GB) Under 34½ (+100)
Total Receiving Yards – Hines Ward (PIT) Under 42½ (-105)
Total Receiving Yards – Heath Miller (PIT) Over 42½ (-115)

That's all of now. I'm still considering a few more bets. I'll update tomorrow.

Good Luck,
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Super Bowl Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Fri, 11 Feb 2011 06:59:54 PST

All bets were placed at Bodog. They offer a ton of prop bets on the Super Bowl. From the normal ones to "Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?"

I haven't picked a side yet, but I did bet a few props today.

Total Passing Attempts– Aaron Rodgers (GB) Under 34½ (+100)
Green Bay throws a lot, but 34 attempts is A LOT. It's more than Rodgers threw in their last 3 playoff games.

Total Receiving Yards – Hines Ward (PIT) Under 42½ (-105)
Ward has lost a step since his Super Bowl MVP performance years ago. The Packers were 5th in the league defending against WRs.

Total Receiving Yards – Heath Miller (PIT) Over 42½ (-115)
The Packers give up a lot of yards to tight ends, and Miller still gets a lot of looks.

That's all for now. I'll be back with more bets later in the week.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - The Playoffs - Championship Weekend - Added Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Fri, 11 Feb 2011 06:59:41 PST

6-0 last week! I added a few more plays for tomorrow. All bets were placed at Bodog.

Chicago Bears +3½ over Green Bay Packers
The Bears are a value bet here. They're a home team underdog in the NFC Championship game. The Packers are good, but it'll be hard for them to win in Chicago this weekend. This is the biggest game of Aaron Roger's career. He's not a tested playoff QB. I'm taking the points in this one.

Total Receptions – Donald Driver (GB) Over 4 (-135)
Drive had 5 receptions vs Philly and 6 in last week's blow out. He's a veteran that Rogers can count on in tight games, and he'll still get looks in blowouts. I like the over at 4.

Total Receptions – Greg Olsen (CHI) Over 3 (-130)
Jay Cutler and and Olsen go way back. Olsen might not get a lot of yards this week, but he'll get some looks.

Total Interceptions – Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) Over ½ (-135)
Tom Brady was picked off last week for the first time in 12 games. The Jets D is playing great, and they should be good for 1 pick vs Big Ben.

I'm already on:
New York Jets +3½ (-105) over Pittsburgh Steelers
Which team will record more sacks in the Jets/Steelers game ? New York Jets -1 (+110)

That's all my bets to tomorrow.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - The Playoffs - Championship Weekend

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Wed, 02 Feb 2011 16:49:02 PST

6-0 last week! Is it any question why I love the playoffs?

New York Jets +3½ (-105) over Pittsburgh Steelers
The last 3 times a team returned to the AFC Championship after having lost the previous year, they won. I'm not even better the Jets to win this game, I'm just betting that they cover the spread. The Jets also won their last match up in December. They were able to run on the Steelers D, and even though Polamalu is playing, he doesn't look completely healthy. Mark Sanchez has been solid through out the playoffs, but it's the Jets defense that will win this game. Over the last couple of weeks, they've confused, hurried and sacked Manning and Brady multiple times. Now they face Ben Roethlisberger who isn't as good a QB as either of those two. Big Ben was also sacked 6 times last week. I'm expecting the same to happen tomorrow.

Which team will record more sacks in the Jets/Steelers game ? New York Jets -1 (+110)
They both have good defenses, and the Steelers O-line is riddled with injuires.

I'll be back with more later. You can find this prop bet and other at Bodog.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

More NFL Playoffs Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 22 Jan 2011 06:34:41 PST

2-0 yesterday with the Steelers and Packers. I'm already on da Bears for today, and I'm adding some props bets below.

(SEA vs CHI) Sun, Jan 16th (1:00PM EST)
Total Passing Yards – Jay Cutler (CHI) Over 235½ Yards

(NYJ vs NE) Sun, Jan 16th (4:30PM EST)
Will LaDainian Tomlinson (NYJ) score a TD in the game? Yes +135

(NYJ vs NE) Sun, Jan 16th (4:30PM EST)
Will Wes Welker (NE) score a TD in the game? No -150

That's all for now. You can find these and another 70-80 bets at Bodog.

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Playoffs Bets

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 16 Jan 2011 05:20:14 PST

Right now I have action on 3 of the 4 football games this weekend. I'm also looking at the long list of prop bets offered at Bodog. I'll probably place a few prop bets on the games this weekend, and I'll update here as I do.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 Baltimore Ravens
Green Bay Packers +3 (-140) Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears -10 (EVEN) Seattle Seahawks

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Playoff Bets Week 1

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Fri, 14 Jan 2011 18:05:47 PST

Last week was another losing week. I'm glad this season this is over. It's time to focus on the playoffs that start today!

New Orleans Saints -10 over Seattle Seahawks
Baltimore Ravens -3 (-125) over Kansas City Chiefs
Green Bay Packers +3 (-125) over Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers Total Team Points Over 22½

(NYJ vs. IND) Total TD Passes – Mark Sanchez (NYJ) Over 1½ (+135)
(GB vs. PHI) Total Receiving Yards – James Jones (GB) Over 35½ (-130)

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL regular season record: 31-41-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 17

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 08 Jan 2011 11:54:21 PST

I missed posting last week thanks to the holidays. I won't miss another week this year. The playoffs are some of the best times to bet. With my regular season record, I'll be sure not to miss any playoff weeks.

I know that I'm picking almost every game on the board this week. This isn't my usual style, but I see a lot of value in week 17.

Kansas City Chiefs -3½ (-105) over Oakland Raiders
Carolina Panthers +14 (-105) over Atlanta Falcons
Tennessee Titans +10 (-115) over Indianapolis Colts
New York Giants -4 (-115) over Washington Redskins
Cleveland Browns +6 over Pittsburgh Steelers
Miami Dolphins +6 (-105) over New England Patriots
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7½ (-125) over New Orleans Saints
Buffalo Bills PICK over New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens -10 (-105) over Cincinnati Bengals
Houston Texans -3 (-115) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Chicago Bears +10 (-115) over Green Bay Packers
Arizona Cardinals +6 over San Francisco 49ers
San Diego Chargers -3½ over Denver Broncos
St. Louis Rams -3 over Seattle Seahawks

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL season record: 25-33-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 15

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 19 Dec 2010 05:31:49 PST

Traveling this week. Little time to post, so I'm on - Carolina, Chicago, Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh.

Good Luck!
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 14

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 02 Jan 2011 06:58:15 PST

Not a good week last week. 1-3 with 3 wins, but only 1 cover. I have 4 favorites again this week, and there is good value in these favorites.

Cleveland Browns Pick over Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals +8½ over Pittsburgh Steelers
Green Bay Packers -7 over Detroit Lions
Jacksonville Jaguars -4 (-105) over Oakland Raiders
Denver Broncos -4 (-115) over Arizona Cardinals
New York Jets -6 (-105) over Miami Dolphins

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL season record: 20-28-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 13

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 12 Dec 2010 06:58:25 PST

3-2 last week. I was 7.5 pts away from going 5-0. This week's plays:

Cleveland Browns +4½ over Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs -9 over Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints -7 (-105) over Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals +3½ (-105) over St. Louis Rams

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL season record: 19-25-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 12

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Fri, 03 Dec 2010 17:21:08 PST

3-1 last week. Still underwater for the year, but starting to come back. I have 5 plays for today and really like this card.

Jacksonville Jaguars +7½ (-125) over New York Giants
Carolina Panthers +10 (-120) over Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers +2 over Atlanta Falcons
Chicago Bears +3½ (-120) over Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos -3½ (-105) over St. Louis Rams

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL season record: 16-23-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 11

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 28 Nov 2010 06:03:07 PST

1-2 last week. Even though the Bills got their first win of the year, they didn't cover. Crazy! This week's picks are:

Green Bay Packers -3 (-125) over Minnesota Vikings
Baltimore Ravens -12 over Carolina Panthers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (+105) over San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants +3½ (-115) over Philadelphia Eagles

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL season record: 13-22-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 10

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sun, 21 Nov 2010 05:38:27 PST

2-1-1 last week, and I could have very easily gone 4-0. I have 3 games for now. I might add a game or 2 tomorrow morning.

New York Giants -14 (-105) over Dallas Cowboys - It's a big spread, but the Giants should open this game up early. The Cowboys are terrible, and they just fired their coach.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 (-115) over Carolina Panthers - Tampa Bay has been playing every game tough this year, and Carolina is full of injuries on both sides of the ball.

Buffalo Bills -3 (+110) over Detroit Lions - Bullafo gets its first win this week. The Lions will be without their starting QB.

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL record: 12-20-2

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 9

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 13 Nov 2010 07:58:29 PST

I'm still firing. Feel free to bet with me or against me this year. Just watch out cause I'm going to sweep one of these weeks.

Chicago Bears -3 (-105) over Buffalo Bills
Kansas City Chiefs +1 (-115) over Oakland Raiders
Indianapolis Colts +3 (-125) over Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay Packers -7½ over Dallas Cowboys

All bets made @ Bodog
2010 NFL record: 10-19-1

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor

NFL Football Picks/Bets - Week 8

noreply@blogger.com (Sports Bettor) — Sat, 06 Nov 2010 18:55:43 PDT

I went 3-1 last week, so things might be starting to change. It's hard to recover from a terrible start on the year, but I'm trying. Firing on 5 games this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars +6½ over Dallas Cowboys
Washington Redskins +3 over Detroit Lions
New York Jets -6 over Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs -7½ over Buffalo Bills
New Orleans Saints pick over Pittsburgh Steelers

All bets made @ BoDog
2010 NFL record: 8-16-1

Good Luck
The Online Sports Bettor