tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835Tue, 21 May 2013 23:20:22 +0000embedded musiclong-term analysisThe Risk Averse AlertThe serious investor's 'must read'http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.com (TC)Blogger1418125TheRiskAverseAlerthttp://feedburner.google.comSubscribe with My Yahoo!Subscribe with NewsGatorSubscribe with My AOLSubscribe with BloglinesSubscribe with NetvibesSubscribe with GoogleSubscribe with PageflakesSubscribe with FeedLoungeSubscribe with Live.comSubscribe with Excite MIXAdd to Any Feed Readertag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8812135982726890950Tue, 21 May 2013 23:07:00 +00002013-05-21T19:20:22.387-04:00This Favored NASDAQ Variation Says Big Risk NearRemember that "double three" I was detailing yesterday, alternation and all, projecting NASDAQ's Elliott wave form developing from March '09 bottom, as well as from October 2002 bottom before that? Is this the very thing I was describing? Has that measure of wave alternation typically distinguishing the first "three" from the second "three" in a "complex" Elliott corrective wave already been http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/laZzpzIZMXk/stock-index-options-alert-may-21-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/laZzpzIZMXk" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-21-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6700689116501299682Tue, 21 May 2013 02:05:00 +00002013-05-21T18:20:40.155-04:00Variations on the Least LovedSo, we see the party of Make Work and Money Grab euphemistically called "business" has voted down in Committee (check out the state constituency Tarpley attached to Rep. Duncan Hunter's name: LOL!) Representative John Tierney's version of Senator Elizabeth Warren's "Bank on Students Loan Fairness Act." Still, the national conversation is changing on account of Alexander Hamilton's resurrection http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/JOHLVJfME7w/stock-index-options-alert-may-20-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/JOHLVJfME7w" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-20-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-3889256506798942462Sat, 18 May 2013 01:04:00 +00002013-05-20T07:07:35.273-04:00Shovel Ready"It’s worth noting ... that when filthy rich market speculators were in the past celebrated for their brilliance and extraordinary market acumen – well, it proved a decent juncture to start worrying about the future. This spectacular cycle of speculator wealth accumulation has been going on for so long now that everyone has simply stopped worrying." —"Financial Euphoria" (Credit Bubble Bulletin, http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/FeoRasYPi2E/stock-index-options-alert-may-17-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/FeoRasYPi2E" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-17-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4930758885299510789Fri, 17 May 2013 00:01:00 +00002013-05-17T20:16:23.573-04:00The Nearness of the Inevitable Moment of TruthWhat can I say? I really haven't been much for writing while watching everything play out as it has. Besides, it has been all "top" risk alert here for several years now. Nothing has changed either. All the same, as far as we can tell, too, levitating trash still remains the nature of the game we're watching play out... Let's take the view that, an a-b-c-x-a-b-c is unfolding off March 2009 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/WMlPv2uRtvg/stock-index-options-alert-may-16-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/WMlPv2uRtvg" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-16-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4972691214282720947Thu, 16 May 2013 02:51:00 +00002013-05-20T15:37:44.337-04:00Evil AP and a Saintly AG Wow. Just how fantastically absurd must be credulity needed to sustain the unsustainable really is off the charts. This AP thing plainly exposes an intensifying effort to ratchet up police state and effectively impose dictatorship through the institution of the U.S. presidency. This specific action, presumably targeting AP for its exposure of CIA intrigues (that's not what Uncle Sam's spying http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/UvX7u6u2_Yk/stock-index-options-alert-may-15-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/UvX7u6u2_Yk" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-15-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7260729801884427214Wed, 15 May 2013 02:21:00 +00002013-05-15T23:04:10.033-04:00Bulls Everywhere Makes For A Lot of BSYo Dave, guess what? It's still garbage! In fact advancing participation has been stinking so badly this year—this on top of an ever thinning bid exposing contrived demand amidst fearlessness the bearded Confetti evidently believes his is power to command (not to mention everyone who overlooks his institution's insolvency)—that it rather appears this trash is closer to being buried than likelyhttp://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/VReSMm9NC9M/stock-index-options-alert-may-14-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/VReSMm9NC9M" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-14-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-5100741435321667539Tue, 14 May 2013 01:19:00 +00002013-05-17T23:07:00.401-04:00A Wave Count Fit for Complete BankruptcyThe case made here Friday suggesting the NASDAQ Composite is completing wave B of an a-b-c Elliott corrective wave forming off its Y2k peak now brings us to the NYSE Composite Index's prospective Elliott wave count and a harmonious projection of extraordinary weakness likely in store over the coming period... Even the above "best case" Elliott wave count applied to the NYSE Composite Index http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/BnF4d9hRhYU/stock-index-options-alert-may-13-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/BnF4d9hRhYU" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-13-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7911983581185591228Sat, 11 May 2013 02:27:00 +00002013-05-17T23:06:20.253-04:00Loving the Least Loved of AllWith the onset of national banking now squarely in the crosshairs, the continued survival of today's insolvent trans-Atlantic banking system propped up by equally bankrupt central banks now faces a degree of danger unlike anything since the disintegration of Adam Smith's Leveraged Ponzi Scheme in 2008. As ever in the evolution of developments over recent years, the fate of today's plainly http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/jjB-lnxAYuE/stock-index-options-alert-may-10-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/jjB-lnxAYuE" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-10-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6964836729432789866Fri, 10 May 2013 00:00:00 +00002013-05-20T21:42:42.506-04:00S.897: Lifting Employment and Exporting the American RevolutionHere's why Senator Elizabeth Warren's "Bank on Students Loan Fairness Act" (S.987) is merely a foot in the door to reestablishing a Hamiltonian credit system in the United States—an end whose consequence effectively would see the U.S. Federal Reserve nationalized and transformed into the Third Bank of the United States... Gainful employment for even college graduates is collapsing under the http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/cn0wa1GGryQ/stock-index-options-alert-may-9-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/cn0wa1GGryQ" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-9-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4806133544287081268Thu, 09 May 2013 02:41:00 +00002013-05-20T21:32:08.451-04:00Senator Warren Discovers Benevolent Life on Mars!An enthusiastic cheer is raised here for a U.S. Senator with a mind evidently friendly to the one and only Alexander Hamilton! Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren today submitted a bill (S.897) directing the U.S. Federal Reserve to open a credit window allowing the U.S. Department of Education to offer college students qualifying for Stafford loans financing at the Fed's discount rate (http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/kDBUNeDGA4w/stock-index-options-alert-may-8-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/kDBUNeDGA4w" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-8-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7535013797902936144Wed, 08 May 2013 03:27:00 +00002013-05-07T23:52:31.404-04:00All That In A PictureFollowing Friday's leap I concluded, "the better part of a rising phase of a corrective wave (i.e. the 3rd wave of a "c" wave of a "b" wave up from April 18th bottom) on volume screaming contrived demand, of course, is widely celebrated in fantasy land, but is likely to be given back as the market continues to base in preparation for its final move higher preceding its rather still probable http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/FBQueU3OFt4/stock-index-options-alert-may-7-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/FBQueU3OFt4" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-7-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-9086319572525858409Tue, 07 May 2013 02:20:00 +00002013-05-07T23:50:41.109-04:00Junkyard Dog Barks Twice for SatanGood to see the bankrupt albatrosses of the trans-Atlantic survived the weekend. Not many more remain which to play let's pretend we're solvent. Who's counting the fact Team Fraud's Hebrew attack dog twice was sicked on a world too feeble and cowardly to stop paying the devil his due? By the way, whose dumb idea in the nuclear age was it to congregate in a small geographical area millions of http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/efFU3wexSCg/stock-index-options-alert-may-6-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/efFU3wexSCg" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-6-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-903479156706368473Sat, 04 May 2013 02:36:00 +00002013-05-07T13:01:53.443-04:00The Cypriot Death CrossDon't be fooled. The trans-Atlantic Open Society for the Perpetual Levitation of Garbage has its work cut out for it. There's not a captive, criminally reckless central bank on the planet with power to forever forestall a fateful reversal of fortune at the core of today's gigantic pile of trash... Ooopsie. That "death cross" (circled) in the going rate for paper gasoline has got to be a huge http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/Bm7AlIOSJcw/stock-index-options-alert-may-3-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/Bm7AlIOSJcw" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-3-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-2846015967147438237Fri, 03 May 2013 03:25:00 +00002013-05-03T00:33:39.729-04:00Asleep at the OarsYesterday's Elliott wave view applied to the mighty Dow Jones Industrials Average finds the typical dynamism of an Elliott 3rd wave similarly displayed in the NYSE Composite index's advance off its mid-November 2012 bottom... This broad market measure, long conspicuously lagging the NYSE's cumulative advance-decline line, likewise quite considerably lags the Dow's advance off mid-November 2012http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/Z_BljJVkSLE/stock-index-options-alert-may-2-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/Z_BljJVkSLE" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-2-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-2246450196077759336Thu, 02 May 2013 03:00:00 +00002013-05-02T00:45:33.859-04:00WIP: Basing for Last Lift to PrecipiceThe Dow Jones Industrials Average presents a clear technical backdrop supporting our Elliott view that, 5 waves up from mid-November 2012 bottom are forming a "c" wave (which is itself completing an a-b-c up from early-October 2011 bottom)... As Elliott 3rd waves typically are most "dynamic," the 3rd wave of a 3rd wave of a 3rd wave likely will be the very most dynamic of all. Wave iii of 3 ofhttp://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/THmQ5c8dYi8/stock-index-options-alert-may-1-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/THmQ5c8dYi8" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/05/stock-index-options-alert-may-1-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-5912022643744192458Wed, 01 May 2013 03:30:00 +00002013-05-01T01:08:14.255-04:00Soon Dead Horses Near Finish LineJust a quick contrast of Europe and the U.S. tonight, and which of the two U.S. media is more like... Europe long has lagged the U.S. since March '09 bottom. This is displayed via $DAX:$SPX relative performance. (Truth is we are hard pressed to find anything outperforming the S&P 500.) Europe's lag can be seen supporting the likelihood $DAX is forming a "rising wedge" off early-October 2011 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/3HB5zEl0sCI/stock-index-options-alert-apr-30-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/3HB5zEl0sCI" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-30-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8140662974311671200Tue, 30 Apr 2013 02:16:00 +00002013-04-30T10:19:53.466-04:00 The Little Engine [of fraud] That CouldWhile there isn't a measure of the market's underlying technical state that isn't reading "garbage," the little engine [of fraud] that could just keeps on chuggin' its way up the mountain... It more or less goes without saying we strongly suspect the little engine [of fraud] that could will find its brakes rusted—frozen—once the mountain's peak is reached and the downhill trip is begun. Yet wehttp://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/XCX1rGoOWPg/stock-index-options-alert-apr-29-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/XCX1rGoOWPg" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-29-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4302177584340230824Sat, 27 Apr 2013 02:59:00 +00002013-04-28T21:34:46.657-04:00Venetian Intrigues 2013Let's quickly review the geopolitical situation. Whether the discerned message behind extraordinary events we have witnessed reveals the legitimate object of each given act ought not distract from who are their most likely author. This antagonist, indeed, an otherwise reasonably perceived culprit in fact helps better identify. In other words, the author of events seeming the most likely, given http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/-ZSLtRjvs5c/stock-index-options-alert-apr-26-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/-ZSLtRjvs5c" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-26-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-1804686643200716069Fri, 26 Apr 2013 02:16:00 +00002013-04-26T23:07:57.695-04:00Fed & WM: A Match Made in Refuse HeavenHow can I resist Jim O'Neil's suggestion the Fed start buying equities? Maybe the Capo should begin the binge taking on a boat load of Waste Management. I mean, seeing he is so big on transparency. Then, once and for all the world will be positively certain central banks have become one giant garbage dump. Well, one thing we did learn today is the CBOE pretty much is useless to those insolvent http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/REE6ldAJ2Ak/stock-index-options-alert-apr-25-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/REE6ldAJ2Ak" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-25-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7909391634113767986Wed, 24 Apr 2013 22:40:00 +00002013-04-25T11:43:11.941-04:00So Quiet You Can Hear a Pin DropWhat's this sound of a pin dropping we hear right now? Why, that's the nervous stirring of Wall Street's bankers realizing they're probably next. If they really don't know what to do at this decisive moment—the most critical in all our lifetimes—we might call it the result of a wildly overpriced "education." Keynes and Marx have nothing to offer here. Hamilton? A Princeton graduate hasn't the http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/uvyXQrfatEU/stock-index-options-alert-apr-24-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/uvyXQrfatEU" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-24-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-5570033114905870971Tue, 23 Apr 2013 21:15:00 +00002013-04-24T18:44:40.743-04:00@AP Tweets al QaedaEvidently, either someone wanted to test how brave is the face put on by the bankrupt Axis of Fraud following last week's death threat, or the hack of AP's twitter account exposes a Wikileaks-like CIA limited hangout today serving the Patsy Protection Team in hope of keeping all eyes fixed on al Qaeda in Iran (LOL! Those Ivy Leaguers say the funniest things when they're kissing Venetian butt! http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/XtJkrUFqDRs/stock-index-options-alert-apr-23-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/XtJkrUFqDRs" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-23-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7268457625531652952Tue, 23 Apr 2013 01:01:00 +00002013-04-23T18:38:01.750-04:00The Odds on Uncertainty HateIf the market hates uncertainty, then technical conditions evidently similar to those just prior to the market's bounce beginning late-February should prove no useful basis for projecting the same positive result presently. Indeed there are negative qualitative differences in otherwise seeming similarity of the market's technical state, now versus late-February, and these rather indicate there's http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/_VHK-stH7Ms/stock-index-options-alert-apr-22-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/_VHK-stH7Ms" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-22-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4108942982981296509Sat, 20 Apr 2013 01:49:00 +00002013-04-23T08:12:25.695-04:00Resurrecting the Mid-Night Ride of Paul Simon ReverePut away your "false flag," my friend. This is not what lies behind events in Boston this week. Nor, however, was the red, white and blue hoisted on "Patriots Day" signaling the start of the second battle of Lexington and Concord. Nevertheless our great challenge, truly, is making this effectively so. Here's what you don't know, because you quite possibly have yet to summons that truth-seeking http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/Pcg9dXoKlEI/stock-index-options-alert-apr-19-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/Pcg9dXoKlEI" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-19-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-270895675054683101Fri, 19 Apr 2013 00:12:00 +00002013-04-20T15:11:18.763-04:00The Hour for Waking is Very, Very Late Indeed...So what if I'm being repetitive. I guarantee tomorrow's remarks will be fresh and, truly, a real eye-opener. That is a promise. What I've marked above is no less significant than what I haven't. What's not noted is the very present moment. Here is the NYSE Composite Index a mere 3.6% lower than its peak of last Thursday and there is barely a shining star among NYSE-listed issues. This is no http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/WYRVP5m77s4/stock-index-options-alert-apr-18-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/WYRVP5m77s4" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-18-2013.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6688844666002620564Thu, 18 Apr 2013 02:01:00 +00002013-04-18T13:00:45.465-04:00Conflicting Bullish PercentsLooks like the individual investor might have been waiting for the much vaunted dip to buy. Their bullish sentiment jumped higher to 27% this week from last week's eye-opening 19%. As luck would have it, too, more "bargains" are to be had... Trouble is the NYSE Bullish Percent Index has moved to a precarious position that typically has coincided with a market under pressure (this vis-a-vis thehttp://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~3/I9Ikhp_VfuY/stock-index-options-alert-apr-17-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TheRiskAverseAlert/~4/I9Ikhp_VfuY" height="1" width="1"/>http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/04/stock-index-options-alert-apr-17-2013.html