tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835Tue, 10 Sep 2024 12:14:49 +0000embedded musiclong-term analysisThe serious investor's 'must read'http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.com (TC)Blogger1572125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-3465948757009430540Sat, 14 Jan 2017 17:00:00 +00002017-01-29T10:17:01.509-05:00When last I reported the Elliott Wave count assigned to the S&P 500's counter-trend rally off March 2009 bottom was as follows... Subsequent developments, however, necessitate this modest adjustment... Wave (b) of B now marks its end at the S&P 500's early October 2011 bottom, rather than at its June 2012 bottom. As such, the S&P 500's October 2011 upside, "outside month"—a rare http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2017/01/stock-index-options-alert-jan-14-2017.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-658385009524232108Mon, 21 Sep 2015 16:00:00 +00002015-09-21T15:03:23.720-04:001, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144... starts the Fibonacci sequence. According to the Elliott Wave Principle, major market turning points frequently occur at instances in time that are some Fibonacci number from a previous major market turning point. For example... 2015 is a Fibonacci 8 years from 2007, a year marking a major market top. 2015 is a Fibonacci 13 years from 2002, a year http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2015/09/stock-index-options-alert-sep-21-2015.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-2199706751456701153Sun, 13 Sep 2015 16:00:00 +00002015-09-14T02:01:36.652-04:00 If you doubt me analysis suggesting a "run on the bank", so to speak, is to be a concerted affair whose one of many consequences could prop the unseemly hair mop placed atop the Republican party, then at your own peril do you ignore the purpose-filled run on the BRICS that has been gaining a huge head of steam ever since formal capitalization of the BRICS Development Bank earlier this year. Sohttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2015/09/stock-index-options-alert-sep-13-2015.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-813974950690010895Sun, 06 Sep 2015 00:30:00 +00002015-09-05T21:01:40.428-04:00 Today we feast on a few select quotes from this week's Credit Bubble Bulletin titled, "The Unwind." "I see discomforting confirmation that the current historic global monetary fiasco’s disaster phase is now unfolding. It is within this context that readers should view recent market instability." Definitely rhymes with my "In other words, yesterday's 'extreme' very well could be today's 'youhttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2015/09/stock-index-options-alert-sep-2015.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-1304245334214260843Sat, 05 Sep 2015 00:46:00 +00002015-09-04T23:08:22.390-04:00What's this? Another Ben Franklin sighting? Trump's vow not to run a third party campaign should he fail to gain the Republican Party nomination for president of the United States is interesting. BANG! Just like that. We have confirmation turmoil and chaos is not such a far-fetched prospect in a venture to grease the wheels for the only candidate with proven skills needed to steal the last http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2015/09/stock-index-options-alert-sep-4-2015.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8591218309130490812Fri, 04 Sep 2015 00:08:00 +00002015-09-03T22:35:08.946-04:00 The stock market's advance since March 2009 in all probability is O-V-E-R. This leaves major U.S. stock indexes at risk of sinking to levels last seen in the 1987-1994 period. How rapidly these levels might be reached is impossible to say. However, the U.S. stock market's inauspicious open on Monday, August 24, 2015 suggests major U.S. indexes could crater to this longstanding objective of minehttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2015/09/stock-index-options-alert-sep-3-2015.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6513266280846603344Mon, 24 Feb 2014 14:00:00 +00002014-11-17T10:00:22.275-05:00Today's vulnerable financial paradigm still offers no analytical middle ground worth hanging a hat on. "Hyperinflate or die" remains the global banking system's mantra. Institutional response to the 2008 financial crisis desperately seeking to sustain the post-Bretton Woods status quo serves nothing more than to extend a transitory illusion. The credit bubble maintaining the global banking http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2014/02/stock-index-options-alert-feb-24-2014.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6513198420624087103Thu, 19 Dec 2013 22:00:00 +00002014-10-27T09:12:36.433-04:00My desire to comment on these fleeting moments of bird brains mindlessly pecking at the largest collection of trash on the planet trading on global stock exchanges is exhausted. I would sooner report on sea gulls circling a municipal garbage dump than continue mocking a deception whose objective ventures destruction of so many significant accomplishments of the past several centuries. Chief amonghttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-19-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-64538003003706174Thu, 19 Dec 2013 01:00:00 +00002013-12-19T00:42:23.282-05:00Probably the most insightful question asked at today's Confetti presser was whether the Fed's third attempt at decelerating the rate at which it is tempting insolvency will prove as fruitless and misguided as the first two did. The answer, of course, is yes, today's $10 billion per month QE taper is virtually certain to prove another case of wishful thinking from the gods of zero due diligence. http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-18-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8359140865028337018Wed, 18 Dec 2013 00:00:00 +00002013-12-18T16:30:04.480-05:00The crème de la garbage is a disaster in waiting... I would sooner believe Jesus actually walked on water during his time on earth than suppose bankrupt financials could withstand the Fed withdrawing a dime of its extraordinary support. We might only conclude that, the very picture of the banking system's utter insolvency is presented here. Were the corrupt Fed's insane intervention—serving http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-17-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-269936756844277892Tue, 17 Dec 2013 03:00:00 +00002013-12-18T16:29:36.949-05:00The following presentation of NASDAQ's cumulative advance-decline we previously have put forward in support of an Elliott-based view supposing NASDAQ's Composite Index has been forming an Elliott "c" wave since mid-November 2012... Generally speaking, NASDAQ's cumulative advance-decline line has been in a death spiral ever since Y2k. Indeed, it remains so notwithstanding its turn higher over http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-16-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-3154815493124858428Sat, 14 Dec 2013 01:55:00 +00002013-12-18T16:29:09.615-05:00There is not much point getting hopped up over the severe state of unsustainable imbalance the reckless Federal Reserve insists on perpetuating at the behest of its bankrupt Venetian imperial masters whose unregulated offshore derivatives casino has made a joke of the Fed's balance sheet and, more critically, a joke of every so called regulatory body lording over the trans-Atlantic banking systemhttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-13-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6912757290260305449Fri, 13 Dec 2013 01:00:00 +00002013-12-18T16:28:46.502-05:00Considering the decisive role the Bank of England played in precipitating the global Great Depression of the 1930s, we might better contemplate how Venice on the Thames has again lured the U.S. Federal Reserve into a trap whose springing could threaten dissolution of the United States once events fully play out. To wit, once hyperinflationary hell reeks maximum havoc, indiscriminately destroying http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-12-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-777781392599288048Thu, 12 Dec 2013 02:45:00 +00002013-12-15T00:16:50.547-05:00As unlikely as it might seem, a setback from which there is no turning back, quickly sinking major indexes to levels last seen in the 1987-1994 period, finds both fundamental circumstance, as well as technical conditions over the short-, intermediate- and long-term, poising today's grossly mispriced markets for an historic shock up and down the capital structure. Coming entirely from out of http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-11-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8236685437542046851Wed, 11 Dec 2013 00:11:00 +00002013-12-12T20:37:26.232-05:00Let's step back, shall we, and consider the big picture... First off we see that, more or less over the entire duration of the reign of King Ponzi Greenspan the parabolic increase in indebtedness promoting a regime of asset-stripping facilitated through the use of derivatives in a paradigm this reckless Venetian front man running the Fed euphemistically called "market-based risk mitigation" http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-10-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-4740893224114423826Tue, 10 Dec 2013 01:08:00 +00002013-12-10T13:17:57.678-05:00Now a question for the ages. Will the pawn dutifully running the Fed into the ground taking on as much of Wall Street's garbage as the U.S. dollar can bear offer a parting shot acknowledging his extreme distaste for being so disrespectfully used and dishonored, having been forced into retirement for the sake of smashing the Tea Party's resistance to his reckless, hyperinflationary policy? Might http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-9-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8005929631772902999Sat, 07 Dec 2013 00:38:00 +00002013-12-11T21:52:05.147-05:00The Elliott Wave Principle provides an infinitely useful means of discerning the psychological backdrop underlying price movements of securities trading on the open market, as well as markets more broadly, where as a result of securities of a given class being exchanged, composite measures of trading activity (registered by indices) provide insight into mass psychology underlying the entire assethttp://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-6-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-3739113706794583072Fri, 06 Dec 2013 01:34:00 +00002013-12-06T10:06:49.299-05:00Although not a new development, uncertainty over the market's near-term prospect persists while the big picture slowly but surely clarifies. Still remaining relatively obscured in its structure yet to develop, however, a proposed Elliott "rising wedge" forming off October 2011 bottom—this completing the market's counter-trend rally since March 2009—might not be quite as advanced in its formation http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-5-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-7720933454350775542Thu, 05 Dec 2013 03:59:00 +00002013-12-05T14:50:56.209-05:00Recall NASDAQ's cumulative advance-decline line, starting last November (2012), reversed  its long-established "death spiral." Ever since, an Elliott 3rd wave's typical "dynamism" has been revealed by this measure's ascent running counter to its decade-and-running plunge into the abyss... Thus, a suitable Elliott wave count applied to NASDAQ's Composite index should acknowledge this http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-4-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-9116072226394735535Wed, 04 Dec 2013 03:18:00 +00002013-12-03T22:18:20.934-05:00Notwithstanding this week's softness, there is good reason to suppose the market's advance since early-October is not over, particularly assuming an Elliott "rising wedge" has been developing since October 2011. Indeed, technical circumstance rather decidedly suggests continuation of the market's [demand starved] ascent probably is in store going into year end. Marked above in red is http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-3-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6545812996885931902Tue, 03 Dec 2013 00:55:00 +00002013-12-03T13:38:59.364-05:00Liquid exhaustion is the message the following technical measure is giving in support of the prospective Elliott wave count we have been dissecting here over the past few days... So far, each successive corrective wave sinking the market over the interim since early-October 2011, when a prospective Elliott "rising wedge" began to unfold, is seeing the NYSE new 52-week high-low differential http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/12/stock-index-options-alert-dec-2-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-1884908796935791626Sat, 30 Nov 2013 00:39:00 +00002013-12-02T23:41:33.049-05:00From the framework of a prospective Elliott rising wedge forming to complete the market's counter-trend rally off March '09 bottom if there were any moment ripe for relatively frothy trading, this is it. There would be no better time than over coming weeks for some technical measures to register their best readings in five years. This is on the assumption a 3rd wave of a 3rd wave has been in the http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/11/stock-index-options-alert-nov-29-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-6088835127275408986Thu, 28 Nov 2013 02:43:00 +00002013-12-02T18:18:57.500-05:00Not to put too much stock in possibility a tremor to remember could hit before year end, we might give equal, if not greater consideration to a viewpoint respecting dynamism we see persisting in the face of an otherwise weak and deteriorated technical backdrop. This perspective would serve to delay (possibly for some months) the moment of truth when the banking system's insolvency in fact moves http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/11/stock-index-options-alert-nov-27-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-8346641333138209796Wed, 27 Nov 2013 02:04:00 +00002013-12-01T19:30:24.872-05:00There is no chance hopelessly insolvent albatrosses of the trans-Atlantic euphemistically called "banks" will sustain their present state of feigned viability if the means of subduing a growing social impulse demanding effective, activist leadership from the U.S. government addressing profound economic want will remain intact. Indeed, slated for near-term extinction is any talk of economic http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/11/stock-index-options-alert-nov-26-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32482835.post-255333475523365050Tue, 26 Nov 2013 03:57:00 +00002013-12-01T19:53:09.435-05:00Having concluded Friday's post  raising necessity that, political power be mobilized to challenge a murderous oligarchy, let's briefly consider this in light of an organized caucus—the Tea Party—that in recent years has seized power, and has since seen its political influence significantly marginalized following the government shutdown in October. Although the Tea Party advocates a "free http://stock-index-options-alert.blogspot.com/2013/11/stock-index-options-alert-nov-25-2013.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (TC)0