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		<title>Inside Elections</title>
		<link>https://insideelections.com/</link>
		<atom:link href="https://insideelections.com/feeds/site" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
		<description>Inside Elections is a non-partisan newsletter covering U.S. House, Senate, and gubernatorial campaigns, Presidential politics, and political developments.</description>
		<dc:creator>Nicholas Demba</dc:creator>
		<dc:date>2026-07-01T03:55:00+00:00</dc:date>
		<dc:language>en</dc:language>
		<dc:rights>Copyright 2026</dc:rights>
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			<title>Colorado Primary Results: Rough Night for Washington</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/colorado-primary-results-rough-night-for-washington</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-07-01T03:55:00+00:00</dc:date>
			<description>
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						<i>By Nicholas Demba</i>
						<p>After seeing House members in Georgia, South Dakota, South Carolina and Iowa fail to make the jump to statewide office and a pair of House incumbents losing primaries in New York last week, there was increased national attention on a handful of races in Colorado to see if Washington is a visible stain on candidates&rsquo; resumes.</p>

<p>Here&rsquo;s what happened in the Centennial State on Tuesday:</p>

<p><strong>Senate. John Hickenlooper (D), elected 2020 (54%). </strong>Hickenlooper won re-nomination for a second term over progressive state Sen. Julie Gonzales by an underwhelming 57-43 percent. That&rsquo;s a similar margin to six years ago, when the former governor defeated former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff, 59-41 percent, in his initial primary. He is a prohibitive favorite in the general election against state Sen. Mark Baisley, who won the Republican nomination at the party convention in April. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>Governor. Open; Jared Polis (D), term-limited. </strong>Sitting House members from Dusty Johnson in South Dakota to Randy Feenstra in Iowa to Nancy Mace and Ralph Norman in South Carolina have struggled to translate their electoral success in Congress to gubernatorial primaries this year. That streak now extends to the upper chamber, as Sen. Michael Bennet was defeated by state Attorney General Phil Weiser. Weiser captured 55 percent of the vote to Bennet&rsquo;s 45 percent.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Bennet began the race as the front runner thanks to his three high-profile Senate bids and national fundraising network. But Weiser outflanked the senator by casting himself as the more anti-Trump candidate. Reps. Brittany Pettersen, Jason Crow and Joe Neguse must also be disappointed considering no one will be appointed by Bennet to the Senate seat.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, Republicans may have avoided their worst-case scenario as state Sen. Barb Kirkmeyer (41 percent) narrowly leads ministry leader Victor Marx (39 percent) with state Rep. Scott Bottoms in third (20 percent). Republicans had fretted that Marx, who was unable or unwilling to admit how many people he&rsquo;d killed in what will go down as one of the strangest interviews in election history, could have been a drag on the GOP ticket. However, Kirkmeyer would still be a considerable underdog against Weiser in November. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>1st District (Denver) Diana DeGette, D, re-elected 77%. Harris 77%. </strong>Fresh off of primary victories last week in New York where candidates backed by democratic socialist Mayor Zohran Mamdani unseated Reps. Dan Goldman and Adriano Espalliat, progressives appear to have defeated another long-time incumbent. DeGette, who has served in Congress since 1997, trails Melat Kiros, a democratic socialist activist and attorney, 49-44 percent with 73 percent of the estimated vote counted. If she prevails in the primary in this deep-blue district, Kiros is virtually guaranteed to be a member of Congress come January. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>3rd District (Pueblo area and Western Slope) Jeff Hurd, R, elected 51%. Trump 54%. </strong>Hurd had quite the tumultuous primary en route to a 68-32 percent victory in a rematch against former state Rep. Ron Hanks. Earlier this year, President Trump endorsed former state party vice-chairwoman Hope Scheppelman over the first-term congressman after he voted against Trump&rsquo;s tariffs on Canada. This set off a lobbying campaign from Speaker Mike Johnson and Republicans concerned that nominating Scheppelman could put the seat in jeopardy in November. Trump ultimately re-endorsed Hurd and enticed Scheppelman to drop out with an offer of administration positions for her and her husband.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Democratic voters nominated former Army Ranger and Aspen City Councilman Dwayne Romero. Hurd only won by 5 points in 2024. But he was massively outspent in that race by Democrat Adam Frisch, who benefitted from being able to raise money against Lauren Boebert for three years before the congresswoman decamped to the 4th District. It&rsquo;s a different story for Hurd this cycle: he reported $1.6 million in cash on hand to Romero&rsquo;s $371,000 in mid-June. Likely Republican.</p>

<p><strong>4th District (Eastern Colorado and Denver exurbs) Lauren Boebert, R, re-elected 54%. Trump 58%. </strong>Two years after moving from the more competitive 3rd District to win re-election over a crowded primary field, Boebert faced no opposition in her primary this time. Earlier this year, Trump suggested that someone run against her after she campaigned for Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie, but the filing deadline had already passed. Democrats have a credible challenger in retired Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, who was also unopposed in her primary and raised nearly $10 million as of May 10. But it&rsquo;s a tough district, even against a chronic underperformer like Boebert and in a good Democratic environment. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>5th District (Colorado Springs area) Jeff Crank, R, elected 55%. Trump 53%. </strong>Former Army captain and chief of staff to Doug Emhoff Jessica Killin won the Democratic primary and will face Crank in November. Killin defeated Army veteran Joe Reagan, 63-37 percent. Having already put her on the DCCC&rsquo;s Red to Blue program, national Democrats believe that Killin can make this blue-trending district competitive this year. Likely Republican.</p>

<p><strong>8th District (Northern Denver suburbs and Greeley area) Gabe Evans, R, elected 49%. Trump 49.6%.</strong> This seat is one of the top targets nationwide for Democrats on their path to a House majority. State Rep. Manny Rutinel will face Evans, who flipped this seat two years ago. Rutinel defeated former state Rep. Shannon Bird, 61-35 percent with 82 percent of the estimated vote counted. While some Democratic strategists preferred Bird because of Rutinel&rsquo;s progressive reputation, the DCCC did not put its finger on the scale for her like it did in California&rsquo;s 22nd, Maine&rsquo;s 2nd or Arizona&rsquo;s 1st districts. Republicans hope to levy a range of attacks against Rutinel including his activism for animal rights and against fossil fuels. Toss-up.&nbsp;</p>

<p><em>Jacob Rubashkin contributed to this analysis.</em></p>
					
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/colorado-primary-results-rough-night-for-washington">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>Podcast Episode 74: Inside Capitol Hill and Midterm Elections w/ Manu Raju of CNN</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/podcast-episode-74-inside-capitol-hill-midterm-elections-manu-raju-cnn</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-30T20:14:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p>Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Manu Raju of CNN take an inside look at the pressure GOP leadership is facing with narrow majorities and looming elections. Manu also reveals what Republicans and Democrats on Capitol Hill expect to happen in November, and how he got to throw out the first pitch at Wrigley Field. The episode also introduces Inshara Ali - the newest member of the Inside Elections team - and riveting discussion about potato chips, the World Cup, Questlove and Weird Al.</p>

<p><strong><a href="https://inside-elections.captivate.fm/" target="_blank"><em>Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.</em></a></strong></p>

<p>The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential and gubernatorial races in a nonpartisan, data-driven, and accessible way. With a combination of reporting and data, Inside Elections brings valuable context to complex races. Go to <a href="http://InsideElections.com/subscribe" target="_blank">InsideElections.com to subscribe</a> to the bi-weekly newsletter through individual subscriptions and group packages that are tailored for association and corporate PACs.</p>
					
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/podcast-episode-74-inside-capitol-hill-midterm-elections-manu-raju-cnn">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>Montana Senate: New Poll Confirms GOP Edge</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edge</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-30T16:15:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<i>By Jacob Rubashkin</i>
						<p>When Montana GOP Sen. Steve Daines dropped his re-election bid at the last minute earlier this year, he injected some intrigue to a sleepy contest. For a moment, the race looked poised to crash the Senate battleground.</p>

<p>But a new poll obtained by Inside Elections shows Republicans remain favored to hold onto the open seat, despite a worsening national political environment for the GOP and a well-funded independent candidate in the race.</p>

<p>A <a href="https://insideelections.com/files/content/other/MT_Senate_Toplines_v4.pdf" target="_blank">June 23-24 poll conducted by GrayHouse,</a> a Republican polling firm with no client in the race, found Republican Kurt Alme leading the field with 41 percent, followed by Democrat Alani Bankhead with 25 percent and independent Seth Bodnar with 17 percent. Libertarian Kyle Austin took 3 percent.</p>

<p>Alme, a former US Attorney and Daines&rsquo; handpicked successor, is untested as a candidate, and his sudden elevation and avoidance of a primary ruffled some local feathers even as national strategists appreciated the lack of a messy primary. Bodnar, the former president of the University of Montana, has support from some of the state&rsquo;s most prominent Democrats, including former Sens. Jon Tester and Max Baucus.</p>

<p>Democrats have had some success in backing independent candidates running in Republican states: Nebraska&rsquo;s Dan Osborn and Utah&rsquo;s Evan McMullin turned no-shot contests into competitive races in 2024 and 2022.&nbsp;</p>

<p>But Montana&rsquo;s Democratic rank-and-file begin the general election reluctant to back Bodnar, a former Green Beret and Rhodes Scholar.</p>

<p>That&rsquo;s because unlike in Nebraska or Utah, there is still an actual Democrat in the race: Bankhead, a previously unknown Air Force veteran who was boosted to a primary win by millions of dollars in spending from a group that actually supports Bodnar. The group believed Bankhead was more likely to drop out of a general election than her primary opponents.&nbsp;</p>

<p>But the Democrat made clear in a recent press conference she has no plans to drop out, and Inside Elections shifted the race from Likely Republican to Solid Republican last week.</p>

<p>In the GrayHouse poll, 60 percent of Democrats supported Bankhead while 28 percent supported Bodnar. Independents split between the three top contenders, with Bodnar winning 30 percent, Bankhead 27 percent, and Alme 22 percent.</p>

<p>The results are the latest evidence that Bodnar&rsquo;s path to victory is severely limited so long as Bankhead remains in the race.</p>

<p>Two other polls conducted since the June 2 primary tell a similar story to the GrayHouse survey.</p>

<p>A June 8-11 poll from <a href="https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/626280779039a0a32a936d7010103c7a8d7acb5e.pdf" target="_blank">GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies </a>showed Alme ahead with 44 percent, followed by Bankhead at 25 percent, and Bodnar at 20 percent. Austin captured 4 percent. Among Democrats, Bankhead led Bodnar, 59-32 percent.&nbsp;</p>

<p>A June 16-19 poll from <a href="https://242750075.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na2.net/hubfs/242750075/Toplines%20-%20Montana%20Senate%20General%20Election%2020260616_161028%20(1).pdf" target="_blank">Tavern Research</a> found Alme leading a four-way field with 49 percent, followed by Bankhead at 26 percent, Bodnar at 24 percent, and Austin at 2 percent. Bankhead captured 78 percent of the Democratic vote to Bodnar&rsquo;s 20 percent.</p>

<p>Tavern, a Democratic firm, has polled for pro-Bodnar groups, including the super PAC that boosted Bankhead in the Democratic primary.</p>

<p>That effort, backed by $2.5 million, was primarily to block former state Rep. Reilly Neill from winning the Democratic nomination. Neill was a vocal critic of Bodnar who had made clear she would not bow out of the general election. Unlike Bankhead, she had a staffed campaign that raised more than $200,000 through mid-May &mdash; Bankhead raised just $17,000. Republicans, meanwhile, spent several million dollars attempting to boost Neill among Democratic primary voters.</p>

<p>If there&rsquo;s a warning sign for Republicans, it&rsquo;s that their nominee is polling consistently below 50 percent in a state that President Donald Trump won with 58 percent of the vote in 2024 and where the last GOP nominee, Tim Sheehy, won 54 percent of the vote against an incumbent senator despite being outspent considerably. In GrayHouse&rsquo;s poll, a generic Republican beat a generic Democrat, 51-41 percent, and Trump&rsquo;s ratings remain in positive territory, at 53 percent approve and 47 percent disapprove.&nbsp;</p>

<p>As long as both Bankhead and Bodnar look competitive, that&rsquo;s not a problem for Alme, who only needs a plurality to win. But while Bankhead has said she won&rsquo;t drop out, she also hasn&rsquo;t shown any ability to raise money or mount a statewide campaign. Her primary win can be credited entirely to outside spending from a group that won&rsquo;t back her in a general election. Bodnar, meanwhile, is the top fundraiser in the field, with $2.1 million raised through May 13 to Alme&rsquo;s $1.2 million.&nbsp;</p>

<p>While Bankhead may poll ahead of Bodnar now, she does not have a path to victory herself even if Bodnar were to drop out, as she has called on him to do. So if the independent begins to spend more heavily to introduce himself to Democratic voters, and if outside groups begin to work to drive down Bankhead&rsquo;s support, the race could begin to develop in a different direction.</p>

<p>The Tavern Research poll found that in head-to-head matchups, Bodnar and Alme were tied, 50-50 percent, while Alme led Bankhead, 56-44 percent.</p>

<p>Ultimately, the presence of any Democrat on the ballot likely siphons off too many anti-Alme votes for Bodnar to pull ahead. That puts this race in a different category than Nebraska, where Osborn, the independent running a second time, engineered a one-on-one contest against Sen. Pete Ricketts that remains competitive &mdash; and unlike Montana, could provide a backdoor path to a Democratic Senate majority.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p><em>GrayHouse (R), June 23-24 (500 LV)(live caller/text-to-web)&mdash; General election ballot: Alme 41%, Bankhead 25%, Bodnar 17%.&nbsp;</em></p>
					
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/montana-senate-new-poll-confirms-gop-edge">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>2026 Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026): Republican Rebound?</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-june-25-2026-republican-rebound</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:30:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><em><strong>By Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales &amp; Inshara Ali</strong></em></p> <p>As Republicans face down a national environment and unpopular president that imperils their hold on the House &mdash; and increasingly, the Senate &mdash; the party has looked to gubernatorial races as an opportunity to make the best of an otherwise challenging cycle.</p> <p>Over the past decade, Democrats have picked up a net of eight governorships. But many of their strongest incumbents, including those who flipped states in 2018 such as Kansas&rsquo; Laura Kelly, Michigan&rsquo;s Gretchen Whitmer, and Wisconsin&rsquo;s Tony Evers, are headed for the exits. Republicans hope to capitalize on those open&#8230;
						<p><em>This is paid content. Subscribers can read the full article on the website.</em></p>
					 
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-june-25-2026-republican-rebound">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>2026 Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026): Alabama &#45; Illinois</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-june-25-2026-alabama-illinois</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:29:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>ALABAMA. Open; Kay Ivey (R), term-limited. </strong>Sen. Tommy Tuberville cleared a procedural hurdle in early June when the state GOP ruled that he met the party&rsquo;s residency requirements to be the nominee for governor. Tuberville still faces a lawsuit alleging that he fails the state Constitution&#39;s requirement that the governor must be a citizen of Alabama for at least seven years before their election. The former Auburn football coach had lived in Florida before running for the Senate, but says he moved back to Alabama in 2018. Former Sen. Doug Jones, who lost re-election to Tuberville in 2020, has made&#8230;
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			<title>2026 Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026): Iowa &#45; New Mexico</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-june-25-2026-iowa-new-mexico</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:28:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>IOWA. Kim Reynolds (R), not seeking re-election. </strong>In an upset, farmer and businessman Zach Lahn secured the GOP nomination against early frontrunner Rep. Randy Feenstra. On the Democratic side, state auditor Rob Sand is the Democratic nominee. Sand is a strong fundraiser who reported $18 million in cash-on-hand on May 14, and continues to receive significant support from his wife&rsquo;s wealthy family as well as a nationwide donor network. Sand will have to convince a significant portion of Republicans or independents to win the governorship, but as the agriculture economy struggles with the effects of Trump&rsquo;s tariffs and uncertainty in&#8230;
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			<title>2026 Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026): New York &#45; Wyoming</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-gubernatorial-overview-june-25-2026-new-york-wyoming</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:27:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>NEW YORK. Kathy Hochul, assumed office August 2021, elected 2022 (52%). </strong>Hochul will face Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman this fall. Hochul had a scare in 2022 but the political environment is much improved for Democrats, and the governor is on firmer political footing after a full term in office. While Blakeman may perform well in his home turf on Long Island, he&rsquo;s not well-known elsewhere in the state, and recently embarked on a tour of Western New York. The Republican got some welcome news when a state court ruled he could have access to several million dollars in public&#8230;
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			<title>Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/senate-report-shorts-june-25-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:26:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>Alabama Senate. </strong>Rep. Barry Moore won the GOP runoff against retired Navy SEAL Jared Hudson, 56-44 percent, and is favored to win in November. It&rsquo;s been a bumpy path for House members trying to make the jump statewide, but Moore was able to prevail, with help from President Donald Trump&rsquo;s endorsement. This is the race to succeed GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville, who is running for governor. Solid Republican.</p> <p><strong>Georgia Senate.</strong> Rep. Mike Collins won the GOP nomination with 56% percent over former Tennessee head football coach Derek Dooley in the primary runoff. While Dooley had support from Gov. Brian Kemp&#8230;
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			<title>House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/house-report-shorts-june-25-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:25:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>California&rsquo;s 14th District Special. </strong>State Sen. Aisha Wahab (43 percent) and BART Board member Melissa Hernandez (17 percent), both Democrats, are moving on to the August 18 special general election in the race to replace Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell, who resigned. Solid Democratic.<br /> <br /> <strong>Georgia&rsquo;s 11th District.</strong> In a rare Republican primary contest where Trump declined to weigh in, neurosurgeon John Cowan (65 percent) easily defeated former congressional aide Rob Adkerson (35 percent). Cowan outspent Adkerson, bolstered by $1.6 million he loaned to his campaign. Six years after Cowan lost a GOP primary to Marjorie Taylor Greene in&#8230;
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			<title>2026 Senate Ratings (June 25, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-25-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:25:00+00:00</dc:date>
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					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2026-senate-ratings-june-25-2026">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>2026 Gubernatorial Ratings (June 25, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-june-25-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-25T18:24:00+00:00</dc:date>
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					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2026-gubernatorial-ratings-june-25-2026">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>Maryland, New York, Utah and South Carolina Primary Results</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-new-york-utah-and-south-carolina-primary-results</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-24T22:27:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><em><strong>By Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales and Inshara Ali</strong></em></p>

<p>Key Democratic primaries dominated the most recent round of voting in Maryland, New York and Utah while South Carolina hosted runoffs on both sides of the aisle. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America flexed their political muscle in the Empire State in races that will shape the next Congress and Republicans hope will reshape the elections.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Rather than a national electorate focused on President Donald Trump, the strength of the economy and the direction of the country, GOP strategists will highlight the newest members as the faces and leaders of a Democratic Party that is out of step with the mainstream of the country. Only time will tell whether Republicans are successful in shifting the midterm conversation.</p>

<p>Here&rsquo;s what happened on Tuesday:&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>New York</strong></p>

<p><strong>1st District (Eastern Long Island and north shore of Suffolk County) Nick LaLota, R, re-elected 55%. Trump 54%. </strong>Former Army pilot Chris Gallant won the Democratic primary with 63 percent of the vote in a district that begins off the battleground. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>3rd District (Northern Nassau County) Tom Suozzi, D, re-elected 52%. Trump 51%.</strong> Suozzi easily beat back a more progressive challenger, 80-20 percent, and will face former state Rep. Mike LiPetri in the fall. LiPetri has a 60-point lead over Air Force veteran Greg Hach in the GOP primary. Lean Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>4th District (Southern Nassau County) Laura Gillen, D, elected 51%. Harris 50%. </strong>Hempstead Town Receiver of Taxes Jeanine Driscoll cleared her first hurdle as a congressional candidate, winning the GOP primary with 92 percent of the vote after being picked as a last-minute replacement for former Rep. Anthony D&rsquo;Esposito. Now she has to raise more money to compete against Gillen. Tilt Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>7th District (Northern Brooklyn and western Queens) Open; Nydia Velazquez, D, not seeking re-election. Harris 72%.</strong> State Assemblywoman Clare Valdez, a Democratic Socialist, won the Democratic primary 56-36 percent over Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and others, and will be a member of Congress next year. Valdez had support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani while Reynoso was backed by the outgoing congresswoman and state Attorney General Tish James. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>10th District (Lower Manhattan and northwestern Brooklyn) Open; Dan Goldman, D, lost primary. Harris 79%. </strong>Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander handily defeated the congressman, 66-34 percent, with approximately 90 percent of the estimated vote counted. While it might look like an upset, the outcome wasn&rsquo;t a surprise. Goldman won his initial primary in 2022 with just 26 percent and has never been a favorite of the party&rsquo;s progressive wing while Lander has a long political history in the community and had the support from Mayor Zohran Mamdani in this race. Lander will be a member of Congress next year. Solid Democratic.&nbsp;</p>

<p><strong>12th District (Midtown and Upper East and Upper West sides of Manhattan) Open; Jerry Nadler, not seeking re-election. Harris 81%. </strong>State Assemblyman Micah Lasher won the crowded and competitive primary. Lasher, who had the support of the outgoing congressman, finished first with 39 percent followed by Assemblyman Alex Bores (35 percent), John F. Kennedy grandson Jack Kennedy Schlossberg (11 percent), public health expert Nina Schwalbe (7 percent) and anti-Trump attorney George Conway (6 percent). Lasher is coming to Congress next year from one of the most Democratic seats in the country. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>13th District (Northern Manhattan and western Bronx) Open; Adriano Espaillat, D, lost primary. Harris 79%.</strong> Community organizer Darializa Avila Chevalier defeated the congressman, 49-46 percent, with 87 percent of the estimated vote counted. Avila Chevalier, a Democratic Socialist, was one of at least three candidates backed by New York City Zohran Mamdani to prevail on Tuesday. She&rsquo;ll be a member of Congress next year. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>17th District (Lower Hudson Valley) Mike Lawler, R, re-elected 52%. Harris 49.9%. </strong>Special forces veteran Cait Conley won the Democratic nomination with 51 percent against Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson (29 percent), Tarrytown Village Trustee Effie Phillips-Staley (16 percent) and others with approximately 72 percent of the estimated vote counted. Conley, who had support from VoteVets, will now face Lawler in one of the most competitive races in the country. Lawler is a rare Republican representing a district where Vice President Kamala Harris finished ahead of President Donald Trump in 2024. Lawler is a savvy politician, but he&rsquo;s at risk as a member of the party in power at a time when voters are dissatisfied. Toss-up.</p>

<p><strong>21st District (North Country and part of Albany area) Open; Elise Stefanik, R, not seeking re-election. Trump 60%. </strong>Sticker Mule CEO Anthony Constantino had Trump&rsquo;s endorsement and defeated state Assemblyman Robert Smullen, 59-40 percent, in the Republican primary. He&rsquo;ll face farmer Blake Gendebien, who won the Democratic nomination with 65 percent. This race is not likely to be competitive in November, unless Smullen continues running on the Conservative Party line &mdash; Constantino and state Conservative Party Chairman Jerry Kassar are locked in a bitter feud. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Maryland</strong><br />
<strong>5th District (D.C.&rsquo;s Prince George&rsquo;s County outer suburbs and southern Maryland) Open; Steny Hoyer, D, not seeking re-election. Harris 58%. </strong>State Del. Adrian Boafo won a crowded and expensive Democratic primary to succeed long-time Rep. Steny Hoyer. Boafo was endorsed by Hoyer and had significant support from a pro-cryptocurrency super PAC and AIPAC&rsquo;s super PAC. With two-thirds of the estimated vote counted, Boafo was first with 32 percent followed by wealthy home health care CEO Quincy Bareebe (18 percent), former Capitol Hill police officer Harry Dunn (14 percent), Prince George&rsquo;s County Councilwoman Wala Blegay (11 percent), former Prince George&rsquo;s County Executive Rushern Baker (10 percent),, state Sen. Arthur Ellis (4 percent) and others. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>6th District (Western Maryland and northwestern D.C. exurbs) April McClain Delaney, D, elected 53%. Harris 51%. </strong>McClain Delaney turned back an expensive challenge from former Rep. David Trone by 6 points with 67 percent of the estimated vote counted. The race has been called by the AP. Both candidates spent millions of their own fortunes on the race &mdash; Trone has spent at least $150 million running for office over the past decade. Alexis Goldstein, who ran on an anti-data center platform, is capturing 9 percent. Republicans appear on the precipice of nominating perennial candidate and famed Wizards heckler Robin Ficker, who will not win the general election. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>Governor. Wes Moore (D), elected 2022 (65%). </strong>Moore got his preferred GOP opponent in state Del. Dan Cox, who won the GOP primary with 45 percent over indoor soccer team owner Ed Hale. Moore thrashed Cox in 2022 and there&rsquo;s no reason to believe 2026 will be much different. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>South Carolina</strong></p>

<p><strong>Governor. Open; Henry McMaster (R), term-limited. </strong>State Attorney General Alan Wilson finished well ahead of Lt. Gov. Pam Evette in the GOP runoff and is well-positioned to win in November. Evette finished atop a crowded field in the initial primary with an endorsement from President Donald Trump. But Trump, seeing a potential Evette loss on the horizon, endorsed both candidates ahead of the runoff. Evette becomes the third Trump-endorsed candidate in recent weeks to come up short of nomination, joining Rep. Randy Feenstra in Iowa and Lt. Gov. Burt Jones in Georgia. Wilson, the son of Rep. Joe Wilson, is favored over Democratic state Rep. Jermaine Johnson, in November. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>1st District (Coastal South Carolina and Charleston Suburbs) Open; Nancy Mace R, lost primary for governor.</strong> Charleston County Councilor Jenny Costa Honeycutt defeated state Rep. Mark Smith, 54-46 percent, in the GOP primary. This seat was drawn to elect a Republican and it would take a significant Democratic wave to make it competitive, but retired Admiral Nancy Lacore is a strong fundraiser and will try her best after outpacing Hilton Head general counsel Mac Deford, 52-48 percent, in the Democratic primary runoff. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Utah</strong><br />
<strong>1st District (Salt Lake County) Open; Blake Moore, R, running in the 2nd District. Harris 60%.</strong> Former Rep. Ben McAdams is probably headed back to Congress after cleaning up in the Democratic primary for this redrawn seat. The onetime Salt Lake County mayor won 60 percent after progressives couldn&rsquo;t consolidate behind a single opponent. State Sen. Nate Blouin had backing from Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and finished in second with 24 percent. Solid Democratic.</p>

<p><strong>2nd District (Northern Utah) Blake Moore, R. Trump 59%</strong>. Moore beat state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, 58-42 percent, in the GOP primary. Lisonbee had support from a number of state legislators and Turning Point Action, and had made her opposition to a proposed data center in the district a major part of her campaign. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>3rd District (Eastern and Southern Utah) Celeste Maloy, R. Trump 60%. </strong>Two years after nearly losing her primary, Maloy put up a much stronger performance against former state Rep. Phil Lyman. A last-minute Trump endorsement probably wasn&rsquo;t even critical for Maloy, who leads, 69-31 percent, with just over half of the vote reporting. Solid Republican.</p>
					
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/maryland-new-york-utah-and-south-carolina-primary-results">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>Podcast Episode 73: Maryland (Primary) Matters w/ Pamela Wood of The Banner</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/podcast-episode-72-maryland-primary-pamela-wood-banner-hoyer</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-18T20:08:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p>Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Pamela Wood of The Banner break down the Democratic primary to replace long-time Rep. Steny Hoyer, the bitter Democratic race between the current and former members from the 6th District and look ahead to the potential redistricting that could eliminate the state&#39;s lone Republican. Episode also includes another band rec from Nathan, a book recommendation from Pamela, a PSA about McDonald&#39;s apple pies and Jacob digs into the political archives for some fun NBA Finals related material.</p>

<p><strong><a href="https://inside-elections.captivate.fm/" target="_blank"><em>Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts here.</em></a></strong></p>

<p>The Inside Elections podcast analyzes congressional, presidential and gubernatorial races in a nonpartisan, data-driven, and accessible way. With a combination of reporting and data, Inside Elections brings valuable context to complex races. Go to <a href="http://InsideElections.com/subscribe" target="_blank">InsideElections.com to subscribe</a> to the bi-weekly newsletter through individual subscriptions and group packages that are tailored for association and corporate PACs.</p>
					
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			<title>Primary Results in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/primary-results-in-alabama-georgia-and-oklahoma</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-17T14:05:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><em><strong>By Nicholas Demba, Jacob Rubashkin &amp; Nathan L. Gonzales</strong></em></p>

<p>Another Tuesday, another set of primary elections as voters in Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma select nominees for key general election contests. Whether it&rsquo;s setting the stage for important general election races or places where nominees will be prohibitive favorites, here are some key results.</p>

<p><strong>Alabama Senate. </strong>Rep. Barry Moore won the GOP runoff against retired Navy SEAL Jared Hudson, 56-44 percent, and is favored to win in November. It&rsquo;s been a bumpy path for House members trying to make the jump statewide, but Moore was able to prevail, with help from President Donald Trump&rsquo;s endorsement. This is the race to succeed GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville, who is running for governor. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Georgia Senate.</strong> While former Tennessee Volunteers football coach Derek Dooley had the strong backing of Gov. Brian Kemp, President Donald Trump&rsquo;s 11th hour decision to back Rep. Mike Collins on Sunday may have been the nail in the coffin for the political novice. Collins defeated Dooley 55 percent to 45 percent and is now set to face Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff in November. This is still a top GOP pickup opportunity, though Ossoff will be difficult to defeat in this political environment. Toss-up.</p>

<p><strong>Georgia Governor. </strong>Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms avoided a runoff in the Democratic primary last month but Georgia Republicans had to deal with another four weeks of bitter infighting. Ultimately, billionaire health care executive Rick Jackson toppled Trump-backed Lt. Gov. Burt Jones with 53 percent of the vote. Like the Senate primary, this race was thrown a last-minute curveball on Sunday when Gov. Brian Kemp endorsed Jones. The contest became the third-most expensive gubernatorial primary on record, per AdImpact, with Jackson spending more than $100 million of his own money on his campaign. The race is expected to be highly competitive in the fall. Tilt Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Georgia&rsquo;s 11th District. </strong>In a rare Republican primary contest where President Trump declined to weigh in, neurosurgeon John Cowan (65 percent) easily defeated former congressional aide Rob Adkerson (35 percent). Cowan outspent Adkerson, bolstered by $1.6 million he loaned to his campaign. Six years after Cowan lost a GOP primary to Marjorie Taylor Greene in the 14th District, he will be a heavy favorite to succeed outgoing Rep. Barry Loudermilk this November. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Oklahoma Senate.</strong> Rep. Kevin Hern won the GOP primary with nearly 70 percent and is the heavy favorite in the November general election. The race is to succeed Sen. Alan Armstrong, who is filling the remainder of the term of former Sen. Markwayne Mullin, now in Trump&rsquo;s cabinet. N&#39;Kiyla Thomas (44 percent) looks headed for a runoff with minister and nonprofit leader Jim Priest. A non-incumbent Democrat hasn&rsquo;t won a Senate race in Oklahoma since 1978. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Oklahoma Governor. </strong>State Attorney General Gentner Drummond (25.7 percent) and former state Sen. Mike Mazzei (25.2 percent) are locked in a close race for the GOP nomination that looks poised to go to an August 25 runoff (Trump had endorsed Mazzei). State Rep. Cyndi Munson won the Democratic primary with 75 percent in a race that some Democrats believe could develop into a sleeper pickup opportunity. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Oklahoma&rsquo;s 1st District.</strong> State Rep. Mark Tedford (32 percent) and Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (26 percent) are advancing to the August runoff. Tulsa School Board Member John Croisant, the Democratic nominee, is the underdog in the general election in the race to succeed Republican Kevin Hern, who is running for the Senate. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>Oklahoma&rsquo;s 5th District.</strong> Ironworker Trey Martin was working with some of the same consultants behind Nebraska independent Dan Osborn, Maine Democrat Graham Platner, and several other blue-collar candidates who have captured national attention. But he lost the Democratic primary, 57-43 percent, to teacher Jena Nelson. GOP Rep. Stephanie Bice is favored to win re-election. Solid Republican.</p>

<p><strong>California&rsquo;s 14th District Special. </strong>Democratic state Sen. Aisha Wahab is moving on to the August 18 special general election. She&#39;s at 42 percent in the all-party special primary with 82 percent of the estimated vote counted. The AP hasn&#39;t called the second spot yet. BART Board member Melissa Hernandez (17 percent) and attorney Rakhi Singh (13 percent), both Democrats, are currently in second and third place. Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned from this seat. Solid Democratic.</p>
					
					<p><a href="http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/primary-results-in-alabama-georgia-and-oklahoma">View Article at Inside Elections</a></p>
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			<title>2026 House Overview: Preparing for the Final Sprint</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-preparing-for-the-final-sprint</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:30:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong><em>By Nathan L. Gonzales &amp; Jacob Rubashkin</em></strong></p> <p>Even after a year and a half, it feels like the 2026 cycle is just getting started.&nbsp;</p> <p>Up to this point, most of the evidence has pointed toward a typical midterm election in which the president&rsquo;s party suffers significant losses in Congress. President Donald Trump&rsquo;s national job approval rating is hovering below 40 percent and Democrats have been consistently overperforming in a vast array of races around the country and across the partisan spectrum.&nbsp;<br /> While voters handed over the keys of the country to the Republican Party in 2024, there&rsquo;s still significant&#8230;
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			<title>2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026): Alabama &#45; Iowa</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-june-11-2026-alabama-iowa</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:29:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>Alabama. Special primary Aug. 11.&nbsp;<br /> 1st District (Mobile) Open; Barry Moore, R, running for Senate. Trump 67%.</strong> A late intervention by the U.S. Supreme Court cleared the way for Alabama to use a new congressional map that redraws the 1st and 2nd districts. As a result the 1st District now includes Mobile and southwestern Alabama. Former Rep. Jerry Carl is the favorite in the special primary election. Solid Republican.</p> <p><strong>2nd District (Montgomery and southeastern Alabama) Shomari Figures, D. Trump 57%.</strong> Figures will be an underdog against state Rep. Rhett Marques or retired Green Beret Joshua McKee in this redrawn&#8230;
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			<title>2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026): Kansas &#45; New York</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-june-11-2026-kansas-new-york</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:28:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>Kansas.<br /> 2nd District (Topeka, Kansas City, and parts of eastern Kansas) Derek Schmidt, R. Elected 57%. Trump 59%. </strong>Democratic nominee Don Coover is not your typical congressional contender. The 75-year-old first-time candidate is a West Point graduate and Army pilot who became a veterinarian involved in cutting edge animal cloning, and now runs an IVF practice for cattle and sheep, as well as his own ranch in southeast Kansas.* He&rsquo;ll need to raise more money to introduce himself to voters, and while this agricultural district has a clear Republican bent there&rsquo;s some evidence that Trump&rsquo;s trade policies have pushed&#8230;
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			<title>2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026): North Carolina &#45; Wisconsin</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/2026-house-overview-june-11-2026-north-carolina-wisconsin</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:27:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>North Carolina.<br /> 1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D. Trump 55%. </strong>Davis showed an ability to outrun the top of the ticket in 2024 but the GOP-controlled state legislature undercut his strength by removing his home county from the district this year. Davis outran Kamala Harris by 18 points in Greene County in 2024 en route to a 2-point victory. Now he has more Republican territory and the population trends are not favorable to an incumbent who relies on a dwindling Black population to turn out. Republican Laurie Buckhout isn&rsquo;t the strongest GOP candidate on the map&#8230;
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			<title>Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/senate-report-shorts-june-11-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:26:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>Iowa Senate.</strong> State Rep. Josh Turek cruised to victory over state Sen. Zach Wahls, winning 63-37 percent and carrying 96 of 99 counties. Turek, the choice of national Democratic strategists, was boosted by nearly $10 million in outside spending from VoteVets. Wahls lacked the financial resources to keep pace and finished ahead in just his home of Johnson County and two bordering counties.</p> <p>On the Republican side, Rep. Ashley Hinson easily defeated former state Sen. Jim Carlin, 74-26 percent. Hinson is a strong candidate for Republicans, with a newscaster&rsquo;s poise and political chops that helped her clear the primary of&#8230;
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			<title>Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)</title>
			<link>http://www.insideelections.com/news/article/governor-report-shorts-june-11-2026</link>
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			<dc:date>2026-06-11T18:25:00+00:00</dc:date>
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						<p><strong>California Governor.</strong> It was a dramatic journey, but Democrats have avoided catastrophe and at least one Democrat will move on to the November general election. Former Health &amp; Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra, who also served as California&#39;s attorney general and represented Los Angeles in Congress, placed first with 28 percent, followed by Republican Steve Hilton with 25 percent. Billionaire Tom Steyer finished in third with 23 percent after spending hundreds of millions of dollars of his own money. Solid Democratic.&nbsp;</p> <p><strong>Iowa Governor. </strong>Democrats officially nominated state Auditor Rob Sand while the GOP race saw a significant upset as businessman&#8230;
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