The Weather Guy

Good Rain Chances Through Sunday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Fri, 17 May 2013 12:08:00 +0000

Rain and thunderstorms are likely over the next few days as a big area of precipitation from an upper level system is moving in from the southwest. I don't think each day will be a complete (all day) washout but you'll need to be aware of the good possibility of rainfall each day. This is a big weekend for graduation festivities for many schools in the area.

A few of these storms could approach severe levels late this afternoon and evening across middle TN. Strong to severe storms cannot be ruled out for Saturday and Sunday but I do think those strong storms will be isolated in nature.

We'll 'cool' off a few degrees to the upper 70's but do expect a return to the 80's by Sunday or Monday at the latest.

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Second Consecutive 85° Daytime High

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Thu, 16 May 2013 22:50:00 +0000

Who would have thought we'd have frost on Monday morning and then hit 85° for highs on both Wednesday and Thursday? What a quick turnaround. This is what I love about May..it 'may' get chilly but it won't stay around long.

We're seeing some activity this afternoon on radar but most of us will see no rain. Thunderstorm chances do ramp up on Friday to 60% and continue to be likely through all of Saturday. Highs will be only around 80° on Friday and Saturday warming to the mid 80's once again on Sunday.

The first of next week promises sunny skies and highs in the middle 80's. Welcome to summer!

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Hot Wednesday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Wed, 15 May 2013 12:17:00 +0000

Hard to believe that it wasn't that many mornings ago (Monday) that we were dealing with frost. This morning we are 30° warmer than Monday morning and expect a high this afternoon of 85°. West southwest winds will be refreshing at 5 to 10 mph.

We'll include a slight rain chance for Thursday through next Tuesday as we'll be in a 'summer-like' pattern of pop-up thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain though. Highs will be in the 80's and lows in the upper 50's to mid 60's.

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Very Warm Today and Wednesday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Tue, 14 May 2013 12:15:00 +0000

After a morning low of 40° we'll run all the way up to 80° this afternoon under a sunny sky. Southwest winds from 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.

For tonight it'll be mostly clear with a low of 57°.

On Wednesday, another warm day with a high of 84°.

Slight thunderstorm chances on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

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Cold Start To Monday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Mon, 13 May 2013 12:14:00 +0000

A significant frost in the Cookeville area this morning as lows bottomed out at 34.9° at 5:47 am which was about 10 minutes after sunrise.

Expect temperatures to rise quickly (already 44.8° at 7:11 am) this morning and we'll top out at 66° later this afternoon with 70+ temps to our west around the Nashville area.

The rest of the week promises a quick warm-up with a high in the upper 70's on Tuesday and mid 80's on Wednesday. A slight chance for thunderstorms on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday.

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Cold Overnight

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Mon, 13 May 2013 05:00:00 +0000

Everything looks in order tonight for a significant frost event.

Temperatures are sitting at 40.2° just before midnight and I expect we'll drop another 6-8° by sunrise on Monday morning. If you've not covered your flowers or garden items like tomatoes, you still have a bit of time to do that.

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Sunny Sunday But Very Cold Temps Overnight

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sun, 12 May 2013 13:02:00 +0000

Happy Mother's Day to all you ladies whether you're a mom or want to be a mom!

We're waking this morning to sunny skies, a north-northwest wind, and chilly temperatures. Morning lows were around 40° and that occurred at 6 am, just after sunrise at 5:53 am. Temperatures will recover rapidly this morning but won't get above 61° this afternoon with winds from 5 to 15 mph during the daytime hours.

For tonight, temperatures fall rapidly after sunset and we're under a "Frost Advisory" from midnight through 8 am on Monday. Expect mid to upper 30's for much of middle TN but the Upper Cumberland region, including Cookeville, may see lows dip into the lower 30's. Frost is likely and may damage unprotected vegetation.

Today's record low was 37° in 1989
Tomorrow's record low was 35° in 1917

Looking into next week, we're expecting sunny, warm days and cool nights. Highs will range from 66° on Monday all the way to 83° by Wednesday. Rain is expected back in the picture for Thursday and Friday. A slight chance for showers during the weekend with warm temperatures.

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Frost Possible Early Monday Morning

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sat, 11 May 2013 20:26:00 +0000

Rain has moved out of the area on this beautiful Saturday afternoon. Skies are beginning to clear and highs are in the 60's across much of the region.

THE BIG NEWS:
A very strong cold front will push through the area tonight with drier and cooler air for all of the region on Sunday and Monday. Expect highs to struggle into the lower 60's on Sunday with sunny skies.

The big story is the cold air on Sunday night and into Monday morning. Near record cold air is forecast on Monday as we'll dip into the mid and upper 30's.

RECORDS:
Record low for Sunday is 37° in 1989
Record low for Monday is 35° in 1917

HOW COLD:
The forecasted low right now is 38° for Monday morning before sunrise.

CROP/FLOWER ADVICE:
If you've planted your garden and have tender crops, I'd advise covering them before going to bed on Sunday night. Additionally, any sensitive flowers should be covered as well.

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Nice Wednesday - Rain Returns Thursday through Saturday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Wed, 08 May 2013 12:39:00 +0000

Sunrise over Cookeville

Another nice day ahead on Wednesday with highs in the 70's today.
Only a slight chance for rain this afternoon.

Tuesday's high was 69.4° under a partly sunny afternoon sky.

A slight thunderstorm chance on Thursday with a high near 80° with thunderstorms likely on Friday, Friday night, and Saturday with highs in the mid 70's on both days.

We'll likely see sunshine on Sunday with a high in the mid 60's!

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Foggy This Morning - Warmer With Slight Thunderstorm Chances

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Tue, 07 May 2013 12:15:00 +0000

Looks like a nice day ahead in the Cookeville area with a high near 70°.

Monday was a mixed bag of weather with sunshine in the morning, rain in the afternoon, and rumbles of thunder in the early evening. We finally saw some sun late in the evening before sunset and clear skies overnight. The high was only 61°.

This morning we started out at a chilly 41°. Expect a slight risk of a shower or thunderstorm today (only 20%). We'll keep rain/thunderstorm chances in the forecast the rest of the week with a nice warming trend.The precip chances increase significantly as we get to the end of the week and the weekend.

Watch out for dense fog this morning, especially around bodies of water.

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Peeks of Sun This Morning With Good Rain Chances Today

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Mon, 06 May 2013 12:07:00 +0000

You may be waking up to a some sunshine this morning. While most of us wish it would stick around, it doesn't appear this will be the case. A pesky low pressure system is causing us to keep showers and possibly a thunderstorm in the forecast today.

Speaking of rain, we picked up 3.79" over the weekend. Add that to the 3.11" we had last weekend and you can bet all of us are ready for some sunny weather.

Today - rain, high near 61°
Tonight - slight rain chances, low of 43°
Tuesday - slight rain chances and warmer, high of 69°
Tuesday night - Foggy by morning, low 51°
Wednesday - partly sunny with a slight risk of a thunderstorm, high 73°

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Rainfall By Month - Wet 2013

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sun, 05 May 2013 21:28:00 +0000

2013 is off to a fast start with precipitation
The top number is the actual amount measured and the bottom number is the average amount for that particular month. Contact me with any questions.

January:
6.35"
Average: 5.07

February:
2.35"
Average: 4.89

March:
6.44"
Average: 4.82

April:
7.09"
Average: 4.53

May:
3.14"
Average through 5 days: .89

The total thus far in 2013 is: 25.37"
Average from Jan 1-May 5 is 20.02"
2013 precipitation is 26.7% ahead of average.

*Source: My Weather Station (Davis Vantage Vue)*

Are you interested in measuring rainfall for a great cause?
Learn more at CoCoRaHS or contact me.

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Sunday Weather Update - WET

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sun, 05 May 2013 13:54:00 +0000

We wake up to a wet Sunday morning across much of the Upper Cumberland.

Here in Cookeville, we tacked on another .84" of rain since midnight to go with the 2.20" on Saturday making for a combined total of 3.04" in the past two days since this weather event began.

HOW MUCH RAIN:
Studying the CoCoRaHS rainfall maps and station listings, I've found the most rain (as of 7 am) in Tennessee fell over the southeast section of the state.
Ooltewah 4.42"
Graysville 3.95"
Chattanooga 3.90"
Pikeville 3.78"
Dunalp 3.75"

THE WEEK AHEAD:
Looking ahead we see a good chance for rain on Sunday night, Monday, and parts of Tuesday. While skies will clear late Tuesday into Wednesday, we'll deal with fog developing during those overnight hours. Wednesday and Thursday will feature the garden variety and isolated pop-up showers and thunderstorms.

CAN WE GET A SUNNY & WARM WEEKEND:
By next weekend, we're looking at an increasing chance for rain. Can you say THREE weekends in a row? Forecasting computer models also show a rather chilly pattern developing as well.

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Saturday Afternoon Forecast Update - Rain

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sat, 04 May 2013 17:56:00 +0000

Moderate rain has been falling most of the day across Cookeville and the Upper Cumberland region. There are indications the intensity may pick up in the afternoon hours. As of 12:45 pm, we've received .65" at my weather station.

I did a quick survey of rainfall amounts since midnight in Middle TN. Manchester is reporting 1.82" at a station near New Union. The heaviest of the rain amounts are in the southern and southeastern sections of Middle TN. The Prentice Cooper State Forest weather station northwest of Chattanooga is just under 2" today.

A Flood Watch is in effect through Sunday.

Rest of today:
A 100% chance for rain with the rain becoming heavy at times. High 54°

Tonight:
Rain, heavy at times, with a low of 47°. Rain chances 100%

Sunday:
Showers likely with a high near 57°. Rain chances 80%

Expect a warm-up into the mid and upper 70's by mid to late next week.

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Friday Night Weather Update - Flooding Rains Saturday

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Sat, 04 May 2013 03:20:00 +0000

Another round of heavy rainfall is forecast for Saturday and Sunday in the Cookeville and surrounding areas. We're under a FLOOD WATCH through Sunday afternoon. Expectations of rainfall amounts are in the 2"-4" with some isolated amounts in the 5" range. Last weekend we recorded 3.11" of rainfall and there were problems reported across many areas of Middle TN. With saturated grounds and the potential for more rainfall than last weekend, the possibility exists for greater problems this weekend.

I've posted links below to radar.

The counties affected in this watch beginning at 7 am on Saturday are the following:
Bedford
Cannon
Clay
Coffee
Cumberland
Dekalb
Fentress
Grundy
Jackson
Macon
Overton
Pickett
Putnam
Rutherford
Smith
Sumner
Trousdale
Van Buren
White
Warren
Wilson

Remember a flood watch means there is a potential for flooding based upon the current forecasts. You should be aware of and monitor the latest forecasts along with being alert for possible flood warnings. People living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take immediate action should flooding develop.

National Weather Service Radar - Nashville

I will be monitoring statements from the National Weather Service all weekend and will bring you a variety of updates here and on the social media sites listed below. Stay tuned.

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Latest on Weekend Rains

noreply@blogger.com (Michael Detwiler) — Fri, 03 May 2013 03:50:00 +0000

Looks like another rain-filled weekend upcoming across much of Middle Tennessee. Here in the Upper Cumberland region you can expect rainfall up to 2" this weekend with some isolated amounts over 3".

When will it start?
Some rain has fallen this evening (Thursday) in isolated sections of the area. Generally we expect the actual rain event to begin overnight Friday into Saturday with the rains becoming heavier through the daylight hours on Saturday.

Are we expecting flooding?
With the grounds already saturated from last weekend's rain event you can expect that any rain that falls will not be absorbed into the damp grounds as easily. This will cause areas prone to flooding to possibly flood quicker than last weekend.

How much will we receive locally?
As stated above we are definitely going to see some significant rainfall totals on the order of 2" with isolated 3" amounts. I cannot rule a few spots seeing 3+...

Rest of the overnight:
Mostly Cloudy - Low 56°

Friday:
Mostly Cloudy - High 70° with a 50/50 chance of rain

Friday night:
Showers Likely - Low 53° with a 70% chance for rain

Saturday:
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm - High 61° - 100% chance for rain

Rain chances continue right on through early next week.

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