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	<title>Thomas De Maesschalck's blog</title>
	
	<link>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com</link>
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		<title>Daily economics – inflation and more</title>
		<link>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/daily-economics-inflation-and-more/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/daily-economics-inflation-and-more/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 23:30:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas De Maesschalck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal Ramblings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/?p=921</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The last couple of days have been pretty hot and it&#8217;s about to get even hotter, so far this summer is lining up to be pretty good. Here&#8217;s another edition of daily economics with an overview of some interesting articles and videos I spotted today (or in the last couple of days). 

InflationUS presents Hyperinflation [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The last couple of days have been pretty hot and it&#8217;s about to get even hotter, so far this summer is lining up to be pretty good. Here&#8217;s another edition of daily economics with an overview of some interesting articles and videos I spotted today (or in the last couple of days). </p>
<hr />
<p>InflationUS <a href="http://inflation.us/videos.html">presents Hyperinflation Nation</a>. This half hour long documentary is about the dangers of hyperinflation, it&#8217;s an interesting compilation of video clips filled with lots of information. It&#8217;s hard to imagine hyperinflation taking place in the developed world, but some contrarian voices believe the gigantic amount of money printing may trigger such a doom scenario.</p>
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<hr />
<p>Bread and circuses: Madoff <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124604151653862301.html">sentenced to 150 years</a> in prison. </p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;In today&#8217;s regulatory environment, it&#8217;s virtually impossible to violate rules.&#8221; &#8211; Bernard Madoff, Oct. 20, 2007</p></blockquote>
<p>Meanwhile, politicians are spending hundreds of billions in every major currency and passing bills over 1,000 pages long without even reading them. The latest example is the climate bill that was passed by U.S. Congress on Friday, a 300 page amendment was added to this already 900 pages long bill the night before the vote. I wonder whether there&#8217;s anyone who voted on this bill that had fully read it and understood what&#8217;s in it.</p>
<hr />
<p>Swine flu isn&#8217;t that hot anymore as it was a couple of weeks ago, but according to the CDC <a href="http://www.cdc.gov/media/transcripts/2009/t090626.htm">infections have topped</a> 1 million in the U.S. alone. Though, that&#8217;s still a lot less than the number of people that get infected by a regular flu every year.</p>
<hr />
<p>On the positive side, reports by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Bank <a href="http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg20227143.100-africa-alone-could-feed-the-world.html">claim there is plenty</a> of unused, fertile land available to grow more crops. The reports estimate 1.6 billion hectares could be added to the current 1.4 billion hectares of crop land in the world, with over half of the available land found in Africa and Latin America.</p>
<hr />
<p>Is Google going too far? An article by <a href="http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&amp;art_aid=108789">MediaPost reports</a> the search giant is experimenting with tying FICO scores to searchers, to offer advertisers the ability to target a specific type of consumer:</p>
<blockquote><p>The strategy will enable the search engine to help advertisers target a specific type of consumer through display and text ads, according to Masha Korsunsky, Google&#8217;s senior industry marketing manager, financial services.</p>
<p>The project is one of two initiatives that Google recently explored to help advertisers reach &#8220;credit-worthy consumers&#8221; online. For both projects, Google partnered with Compete and the research firm&#8217;s 2 million U.S. consumers who opt into these types of projects.</p>
<p>&#8220;Let&#8217;s say we have an advertiser who wants to reach consumers with a high FICO score who applied for mortgages in the first quarter,&#8221; Korsunsky says. &#8220;We can provide the advertiser with a list of Web sites on our Google content network that index against this segment.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<hr />
<p>Former ABN Amro <a href="http://news.sky.com/skynews/Home/World-News/Huibert-Boumeester-ABN-Amro-High-Flyer-Found-Dead-With-Gunshot-Wounds/Article/200906415322557?lid=ARTICLE_15322557_HuibertBoumeester:ABNAmroHigh-FlyerFoundDeadWithGunshotWounds&amp;lpos=searchresults">banker found dead</a> with gunshot wounds. Motives of the crime are unknown, but this case reminds me <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/31522053">of the German pensioners</a> who kidnapped and tortured their financial advisor after having lost their savings.</p>
<hr />
<p>The VIX index (aka fear index) has fallen to 25.35 for the first time since the collapse of Lehman send a shockwave through the financial world.</p>
<hr />
<p>Is China not as healthy as most believe? Telegraph writer Ambrose Evans-Pritchard <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/5675198/Chinas-banks-are-an-accident-waiting-to-happen-to-every-one-of-us.html">claims China&#8217;s banks are</a> an accident waiting to happen.</p>
<hr />
<p>Another interesting tale is that the audit of the Royal Canadian Mint has been completed. Media report <a href="http://www.ottawacitizen.com/missing+from+Royal+Canadian+Mint+Deloitte/1743823/story.html">17,500 troy ounces</a> of gold appear to have been stolen. At current market prices this stash of precious metals is worth around $16.3 million.</p>
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		<title>The bubbles of Goldman Sachs</title>
		<link>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/the-bubbles-of-goldman-sachs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/the-bubbles-of-goldman-sachs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Jun 2009 02:55:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas De Maesschalck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/?p=917</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An interesting piece about Goldman Sachs appeared in the latest edition of Rolling Stone magazine. Writer Matt Taibbi claims the Wall Street giant played/plays a big role in at least five bubbles: The Great Depression, the Dot Com bubble, housing bubble, oil/commodities bubble, and the bailout (tax money funded) bubble. Taibbi believes the next bubble [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An interesting piece about Goldman Sachs appeared in the latest edition of Rolling Stone magazine. Writer Matt Taibbi claims the Wall Street giant played/plays a big role in at least five bubbles: The Great Depression, the Dot Com bubble, housing bubble, oil/commodities bubble, and the bailout (tax money funded) bubble. Taibbi believes the next bubble will be global warming, he says Goldman envisions the paper-shuffling carbon market will be worth a whopping $1 trillion a year.</p>
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		<title>Daily economics – What the Chinese think about the US dollar</title>
		<link>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/daily-economics-what-the-chinese-think-about-the-us-dollar/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/daily-economics-what-the-chinese-think-about-the-us-dollar/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2009 22:02:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas De Maesschalck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/?p=914</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Li Lianzhong, head of the Chinese Communist Party&#8217;s policy research office, voiced his opinion today about what China should do to reduce its exposure to the greenback. The article offers some clues about what China&#8217;s strategy may be, which likely includes a larger role for gold and other hard assets instead of worthless paper.
Li claims [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Li Lianzhong, head of the Chinese Communist Party&#8217;s policy research office, <a href="http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/25062009/323/update-1-china-buy-gold-hedge-dlr-fall-researcher.html">voiced his opinion</a> today about what China should do to reduce its exposure to the greenback. The article offers some clues about what China&#8217;s strategy may be, which likely includes a larger role for gold and other hard assets instead of worthless paper.</p>
<p>Li claims the US dollar is poised for a fall, and adds that China should buy more gold to support the greater international role envisaged for the yuan. Furthermore, Li stated that China should use more of its $1.95 trillion in foreign reserves to buy energy and natural resource assets, a strategy the country has already been following a lot lately.</p>
<blockquote><p>Speaking at a foreign exchange and gold forum, Li also said that buying land in the United States was a better option for China than buying U.S. Treasury securities.</p>
<p>&#8216;Should we buy gold or U.S. Treasuries?&#8217; Li asked. &#8216;The U.S. is printing dollars on a massive scale, and in view of that trend, according to the laws of economics, there is no doubt that the dollar will fall. So gold should be a better choice.&#8217;</p>
<p>There is no suggestion that Li, even though he is a senior researcher, was enunciating an agreed party line.</p></blockquote>
<hr />
<p>I&#8217;ve been reading a lot lately, and one of the interesting sites I&#8217;d like to share is <a href="http://www.galmarley.com/FAQs_pages/monetary_history_faqs.htm">the brief history of money</a> from Garmarley. It&#8217;s a compilation of some of the monetary follies of the past, starting in 700 BC in Greece and ending with the episode of hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic.</p>
<hr />
<p>Another interesting read is this <a href="http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/hyper.htm">article about episodes of hyperinflation</a>, the site isn&#8217;t well structured but the information is pretty good.</p>
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		<title>Chart of the day: the Nikkei 225</title>
		<link>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/chart-of-the-day-the-nikkei-225/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/chart-of-the-day-the-nikkei-225/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Jun 2009 22:22:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Thomas De Maesschalck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Personal Ramblings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics and economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/?p=909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Japanese Nikkei 225 stock index made headlines today as the index had crossed the 10,000 barrier. The Nikkei index has climbed around 45 percent since its March low and is now at its highest level in eight months.
There&#8217;s little reason to celebrate though, a quick peep at the chart below reveals that even at [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Japanese Nikkei 225 stock index made headlines today as the index had crossed the 10,000 barrier. The Nikkei index has climbed around 45 percent since its March low and is now at its highest level in eight months.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s little reason to celebrate though, a quick peep at the chart below reveals that even at 10,000 the Nikkei is still down almost 75 percent since its peak in 1989. Since the Japanese bubble busted the Nikkei continued to seek lower lows, investors who followed a buy and hold approach for the last quarter century received a return of virtually zero percent. Three times hooray for massive government intervention, the same trick that&#8217;s now tried in the West.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/nikkei_chart_june2009.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-908" title="Nikkei chart" src="http://www.thomasdemaesschalck.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/nikkei_chart_june2009-300x116.jpg" alt="Nikkei chart" width="300" height="116" /></a></p>
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