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<p>The candidacy of Barack Obama has been most often portrayed by an enthralled national media corps as an uplifting gospel revival meeting, dedicated to hope and change. And so it is. But Team Obama has also displayed a willingness to press any advantage in the service of its ultimate goal: winning. So the fact that the campaign had a <a href="http://www.crooksandliars.com/john-amato/keating-5-john-mccain-making-financial-">high-quality 13-minute video in the can</a> portraying John McCain's involvement in the Keating 5 banking scandal of a generation ago should hardly be surprising to anyone who has been paying attention to Obama since last year. The man consistently hits back as hard as possible, and he is totally unafraid to go negative.</p>

<p>Now, I know we're all supposed to be singing from the same hymnal on the left these days - the positive plans of the Obama-Biden juggernaut and all that , the change brand - but I'm breaking ranks. To this Democrat, used to suffering through disastrous election nights in the full knowledge that the results will further ruin his country, Obama's instinct to go for the vicious final punch, the head-snapping lights out political blow, is a thing of beauty.</p>

<p>Senator Obama knows that Senator McCain is on the ropes and reeling. Virtually tied until the wheels came off the American economic system after years of debt worship, McCain-Palin has many Republicans looking for the exits and talking about rebuilding their movement. But he is not content to let McCain fade, or to allow his opposing campaign to trot out a <a href="http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/10/wholl_call_obama_a_terrorist.php">series of lame attacks</a> - really, Bill Ayers is gonna change this election?! - without using every weapon at his disposal.</p>

<p>Besides, the stakes are big and the reward expansive for going negative in the last month. The entire conservative movement is ripe for dividing into rival camps - the social/religious camp versus the so-called economic conservatives. Huge majorities in Congress beckon. A sharp national turn to the left - the next New Deal - is lurking in the eaves.</p>

<p><a href="http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_flack/archive/2008/10/05/it-s-over.aspx">Howard Wolfson posited in the <em>New Republic</em></a> that this election is as good as over. I'm inclined to agree. and he's got the stakes entirely in focus:</p><blockquote><p>The economy is simply bigger than the rogues gallery that John McCain is conjuring up.</p>

<p>Why is this?&nbsp; Why won't the swiftboat tactics work this year? </p>

<p>Its
easy to lose sight of it in the day to day coverage, but the collapse
of Wall Street in the last weeks was a seminal event in the history of
our nation and our politics.
To put the crisis in perspective, Americans have lost a combined 1
trillion dollars in net worth in just the last four weeks alone.&nbsp; Just
as President Bush's failures in Iraq undermined his party's historic
advantage on national security issues, the financial calamity has shown
the ruinous implications of the Republican mania for deregulation and
slavish devotion to totally unfettered markets.&nbsp; &nbsp;</p>

<p>Republicans
and Democrats have been arguing over the proper role of government for
a century. In 1980 voters sided with Ronald Reagan and Republicans that
government had become too big and intrusive.&nbsp; Then the economy worked
in the Republicans' favor.&nbsp; Today the pendulum has swung in our
direction.&nbsp; Republican philosophies have been discredited by events.
Voters understand this. This is a big election about big issues.
McCain's smallball will not work. This race will not be decided by
lipsticked pigs. And John McCain can not escape that reality. The only
unknowns are the size of the margin and the breadth of the Democratic
advantage in the next Congress.</p></blockquote><p>So keep hitting, Barack - even if they're bleeding.</p>

<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> <a href="http://www.vanityfair.com/online/wolcott/2008/10/like-many-of-you-i.html">Jim Wolcott </a>must have been posting just as I was, on a similar wavelength - so I have to quote him:</p><blockquote><p>My rooting interest is less about Obama himself than about how big a
hurt he can put to the Republican Party. I don't want the Republican
Party simply defeated in November, I want to see it smashed beyond all
recognition, in such wriggling, writhing, anguished disarray that it
can barely reconstitute itself, so desperate for answers that it looks
to Newt Gingrich for visionary guidance, his wisdom and insight
providing the perfect cup of hemlock to finish off the conservative
movement for good so that it can rot in the salted earth of memory
unmissed and unmourned in toxic obscurity.</p></blockquote>



<p>______________________________________________________________________</p>

<p>Pre-order Tom's new book <a href="http://www.tinyurl.com/buycausewired"><em>CauseWired: Plugging In, Getting Involved, Changing the World</em></a></p>

<p>&nbsp;</p></div>

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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>The candidacy of Barack Obama has been most often portrayed by an enthralled national media corps as an uplifting gospel revival meeting, dedicated to hope and change. And so it is. But Team Obama has also displayed a willingness to...</description><enclosure url="http://www.youtube.com/v/ZTCphFFWTy0&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" length="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><media:content url="http://www.youtube.com/v/ZTCphFFWTy0&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" fileSize="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit><itunes:subtitle>The candidacy of Barack Obama has been most often portrayed by an enthralled national media corps as an uplifting gospel revival meeting, dedicated to hope and change. And so it is. But Team Obama has also displayed a willingness to...</itunes:subtitle><itunes:summary>The candidacy of Barack Obama has been most often portrayed by an enthralled national media corps as an uplifting gospel revival meeting, dedicated to hope and change. And so it is. But Team Obama has also displayed a willingness to...</itunes:summary><itunes:keywords>Politics, McCain, Obama</itunes:keywords><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/10/hit-em-while-th.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Their Heads on a Pike</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/407791794/their-heads-on.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>bailout</category><category>Obama</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 01 Oct 2008 15:25:08 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56361523</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>Strange to watch the American financial system teeter on the abyss, to listen to serious analysts use the word "depression," to witness the failure of massive financial institutions - and to see it all reduced as <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/30/AR2008093002336.html">just another factor</a> in the endless Presidential horse race. How will it play to voters - as if the Obama candidacy itself is more important than the U.S. economy, or the latest McCain gambit a bigger factor than crashing exchanges and frozen credit markets.</p>

<p>Loans are being called against capital that's not there. Companies are scouring their balance sheets and sharpening the axes down in HR. Credit is dry. The party is over. Yet, it's all about as important as <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/30/is-sarah-palins-lipliner_n_130352.html">Sarah Palin's lip liner tattos</a> (I kid you not). The looming changes in our society don't matter. The big question is this: how does it play? Bored with it all and with the rising dread we all seem to feel, <a href="http://dennisperrin.blogspot.com/2008/09/alone-in-bone-orchard.html">Dennis Perrin discards his scalpel for an ax handle</a>:</p>

<blockquote><p>Another month of this endless, dreadful election. Like
dragging dead cows through wet shit and mud. Maybe I should be amazed
by how excited and energized many observers remain, reacting to the
tiniest items, looking for any angle to celebrate and promote their
tribal leaders. But that would be wasted energy. Still, how sad and
sick it is that these jabbering proles have convinced themselves that
their opinions and concerns matter to the main players, especially in
the current financial maelstrom. The more contemptuously they are
treated, the more servile they become.</p>

<p>[snip]</p>

<p>Still, I'm glad that Obama showed who he really is, an energetic,
sometimes eloquent servant of empire, agreeing with McCain about NATO
expansion on Russia's doorstep, calling Venezuela a "rogue" nation,
pumping Iran up to monstrous proportions, etc. There was also the
requisite Kill Bin Laden moment, as if icing that figurehead would have
any real effect on the Terror Wars, apart from a short-lived propaganda
spike. Bin Laden serves as a boogeyman piñata that Obama keeps
whacking, hoping to see votes pour out once it breaks. He needn't swing
so hard. Obama could announce later today that he supports public
beheadings for "terrorists," and his liberal choir would sing their
approval, however edgy it may make them personally. Once you embrace
Joe Biden, anything's possible. Remember, this ticket is the "humane"
option. What better cover for ongoing brutality?</p>

<p>While browsing
in a local bookstore recently, I noticed that a number of anti-Bush
items, playing cards, coasters, 1/20/09 gear, were on sale, many
slashed down to practically nothing. We're nearing the end of the Hate
Bush industry, and it's been a profitable one for liberals, despite
their distaste for the man himself. Indeed, it was their distaste that
sold. Say what you will about Bush -- he moved liberal product, much
more than Ronald Reagan ever did, whose final days in office swiftly
evaporated to little fanfare. Not so Bush. And as their reactionary
cousins do with Bill Clinton, liberals will continue to hate Bush for
years to come, perhaps forever. Unless McCain is elected, dies, and
Sarah Palin becomes president. I'm certain some liberal hustler is
already preparing for <em>that</em> possibility. Can I interest you in a 1/20/13 ball cap?</p></blockquote><p>Over at his place, Jim Wolcott quotes a high financier talking about the gulf between the very rich and the rest of American society. Class warfare's in the air like fall pollen down on Broad Street, and <a href="http://www.vanityfair.com/online/wolcott/2008/09/in-the-gray-light-of.html">Wolcott forecasts the end</a> of the luxe television style we've all come to tolerate:</p><blockquote><p>In the gray light of an economy slipping into shark waters, the ads for
ABC's "Dirty Sexy Money," a whirlwind of louche, deluxe showponying
(limos, pet lions, and palatial lairs), seem particularly smirky and
loathsome. Television's prostration before the jaded flauntings of the
superrich doesn't seem like such fun anymore, if it ever was.
Entertainment's glamorizing of predation and luxury spending mirrors
the corporate pandering that has led us to this earthquake juncture.</p></blockquote><p>The broadsheets lead with arcane academic graphs explaining the market forces and leveraged derivatives - but the tabloids know where it's really at: they're running big gaudy graphics of fortunes lost by boldface names, a bit of old morning schadenfreude for the working class stiff gripping his takeout coffee in one hand and the <em>Daily News</em> in the other.</p>

<p>As <a href="http://firedoglake.com/2008/09/30/paulson-bailout-failure-first-shot-in-the-next-class-war/">Ian Welsh posits at FireDogLake</a>, the failed Paulson bailout may be the first shot in a real class war - not the one the GOP tarted up over the last two decades, the political strawman it could convince voters to run away from.</p><blockquote><p><a href="http://firedoglake.com/2008/07/13/there-was-a-class-war-the-rich-won-it/">The US has been trending towards plutocracy for over three decades</a>.
From being the Western nation with the most social mobility, America
went to being the country with the least. From having the least
inequality in the Western world it went to the most. The amount of
money <a href="http://firedoglake.com/2006/06/23/repeal-the-bling-taxermestate-tax-or-not/">the rich had ballooned to Gilded Age levels</a> and <a href="http://firedoglake.com/2006/06/23/the-long-suck/">the middle class didn't get a single raise</a>. Families went from being able to support themselves with one wage earner to needing two.</p>

<p>There has never been a better time to be rich in America. In the
last decades the truly rich have gone from merely flying first class to
owning their own jets. They've gone from earning 20 or 30 times what a
normal employee earns to taking home tens of millions of dollars every
single year—even when they are running the company, and the country,
into bankruptcy.</p>

<p>[snip]</p>

<p>Getting off the financial path, off the junkies fix of fake profits and
loose money is going to hurt. Let no one tell you otherwise. Over the
next few weeks and months we are going to hear a lot of screams that
everything bad that happens (and bad things are going to happen)
wouldn't have happened if only the American Plutocracy Act (aka the
bailout bill) had passed. As with withdrawal from a deadly addiction,
this is true to an extent. Stop taking heroin and the withdrawal
effects may make you wish you were dead, and claw for another hit to
make them stop. But going back on the drug isn't the solution to it
nearly killing you.</p></blockquote>
<p>Cue the mob.</p>

<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> The most popular story on CNN.com this morning as we wait for economic Armageddon tells the societal tale all too well: <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/SHOWBIZ/TV/10/01/tv.dancing.with.the.stars.ap/index.html">'Dancing' bids goodbye to another star</a>.</p>

<p>______________________________________________________________________</p>

<p>Pre-order Tom's new book <a href="http://www.tinyurl.com/buycausewired"><em>CauseWired: Plugging In, Getting Involved, Changing the World</em></a></p>






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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Strange to watch the American financial system teeter on the abyss, to listen to serious analysts use the word "depression," to witness the failure of massive financial institutions - and to see it all reduced as just another factor in...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/their-heads-on.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Comment of the Week: Bailout Edition</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/406347920/comment-of-the.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>bailout</category><category>Splurge</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 29 Sep 2008 10:24:14 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56279623</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I
see headlines and polls everywhere stating how unpopular the bailout
is. Everywhere. And I don't need a poll to know this either. People can't
declare bankruptcy anymore and are forced to hand their house keys back
to the bank but are expected to hand over $700B to a bunch of
millionaires who created this mess in the first place? Impossible to
sell that to the American public. This will hang over many a
politician's head much like votes supporting the Iraq war did.
Whether the bail out is necessary is beside the point. I think the gut
reaction to this is what counts and it<a href="http://www.politico.com/blogs/thecrypt/0908/Boehner_calls_bill_a_crap_sandwich__but_hell_vote_for_it.html"> feels rotten</a>. The ultimate in
rich corporate America running D.C. And in fact it is.</p>

<p>- Slappy</p></blockquote>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>I see headlines and polls everywhere stating how unpopular the bailout is. Everywhere. And I don't need a poll to know this either. People can't declare bankruptcy anymore and are forced to hand their house keys back to the bank...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/comment-of-the.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Targeting McCain in the Heartland</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/404781885/targeting-mccai.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>CauseWired</category><category>McCain</category><category>Obama</category><category>RuralVotes</category><category>YouTube</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 27 Sep 2008 12:00:29 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56209466</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>So much of the focus this political season is on the horse-race - endless analysis of the daily trackers, swing state polls, trends, and demographic groups. In terms of issues, the economy and American security tend to drown out specific concerns in the national din of election coverage. But there are signs out there that the long-awaited micro-targeting of local - or sub-section demographic and economic issues - is well under way, particularly on the left.</p>

<p>Here's a perfect example: <a href="http://www.ruralvotes.org">RuralVotes</a> is a 501c4 advocacy organization focused on progressive initiatives to revitalize rural America. Based in Massachusetts, RuralVotes pushes a progressive agenda that's in the economic interest of both U.S. farmers and the millions of who live in rural America - issues that, in the organization's words, include "alternative and renewable energy, sustainable food and agriculture,
bridging the 'digital divide' in telecommunications, protecting natural
resources and the quality of life that makes rural America a special
place and other noteworthy endeavors."</p>

<p>Taken as a whole, it's part of an attempted reinvention of the heartland - away from despoiling agribusiness monopolies and toward self-sufficient rural communities. A lofty goal indeed, but the work is often a combination of statehouse trench warfare and guerrilla communications. Outside of the big yearly Farm Bill, rural issues don't general find widespread debate on the American political stage.</p>

<p>So I was pleased to see RuralVotes run a highly-targeted rural issues radio campaign against John McCain in New Hampshire, a swing state where Barack Obama is somewhat vulnerable. And then, in spirited of <em><a href="http://causewired.com/">CauseWired</a></em> activism (yes, that's a book plug - get used to 'em!) they kicked it up a notch with a <a href="http://www.ruralvotes.com/thebackforty/?p=381">viral YouTube campaign</a>, simply taking the radio feed and connecting it to compelling images from rural New Hampshire and a link back to RuralVotes.com and its terrific <a href="http://www.ruralvotes.com/thebackforty">BackForty blog</a>. Well done, indeed:</p>

<p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>So much of the focus this political season is on the horse-race - endless analysis of the daily trackers, swing state polls, trends, and demographic groups. In terms of issues, the economy and American security tend to drown out specific...</description><enclosure url="http://www.youtube.com/v/Wmud8iVujX0&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" length="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><media:content url="http://www.youtube.com/v/Wmud8iVujX0&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" fileSize="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit><itunes:subtitle>So much of the focus this political season is on the horse-race - endless analysis of the daily trackers, swing state polls, trends, and demographic groups. In terms of issues, the economy and American security tend to drown out specific...</itunes:subtitle><itunes:summary>So much of the focus this political season is on the horse-race - endless analysis of the daily trackers, swing state polls, trends, and demographic groups. In terms of issues, the economy and American security tend to drown out specific...</itunes:summary><itunes:keywords>Politics, CauseWired, McCain, Obama, RuralVotes, YouTube</itunes:keywords><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/targeting-mccai.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>I've Got No Expectations: Those Oxford Blues</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/404184731/ive-got-expecta.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>debate</category><category>McCain</category><category>Obama</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 26 Sep 2008 20:02:09 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56190106</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>To listen to the campaign spinmeisters, Barack Obama can't string two words together in a debate setting and John McCain is a virtual novice going up against the Zeus of orators. As the national economy teeters and the suspense of McCain's tarted up "suspension" of campaigning this week <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/09/debate_is_on.html">wears off</a>, the old ways of pre-debate expectations spin are out in full force today.</p>

<p>Obama's people are simultaneously playing down his debating skills while attempting to ratchet up the expectations for the Republican. "If he slips up, makes a mistake or fails to deliver a game-changing
performance, it will be a serious blow to his campaign. Given his
unsteady performance this week, he desperately needs to win this debate
in a big way in order to change the topic and get back to his home
turf," said Bill Burton, the official leg-breaker of the hope and change juggernaut.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, McCain's camp is....well...what exactly? Who the heck knows. Coming up with some other lame-brained <a href="http://slate.com/id/2200927">stunt</a>? Suspending spin? Plotting to r<a href="http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MDZiMDhjYTU1NmI5Y2MwZjg2MWNiMWMyYTUxZDkwNTE=">eplace Sarah Palin</a> on the ticket? More <a href="http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/09/26/mccain/">flailing panic</a>? They <em>are</em> playing up Obama's speaking skills and casting their guys as the underdog; but they're also running online ads <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/2008/09/mccain_wins_debate.html">already claiming a debate victory</a>. But the expectations game with John McCain these days pretty much revolves around his ability to shock and surprise. He's morphed into the Bizarro version of a Republican presidential candidate.</p>

<p>So, for those of us who love political theater, rooting for another shocker comes with the territory. Can a debate be a game-changer? Not usually, but in this crazy year....the heavy stuff begins at 9 with co-host <a href="http://chervokas.typepad.com/">Jason Chervokas</a> and me, but jump on in anytime. </p>

<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> Meantime, read <a href="http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_flack/archive/2008/09/26/the-danger-of-chasing-news-cycles-or-why-a-war-room-isn-t-a-campaign.aspx">Howard Wolfson's take</a> on the McCain craziness. I think Howard's got it.</p>

<p><strong>UPDATE II:</strong> And away we go - action's in comments.</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>To listen to the campaign spinmeisters, Barack Obama can't string two words together in a debate setting and John McCain is a virtual novice going up against the Zeus of orators. As the national economy teeters and the suspense of...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/ive-got-expecta.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Shut Up and Deal: That Lemmon Song Tonight</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/402255184/shut-up-and-dea.html</link><category>newcritics</category><category>newcritics</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Sep 2008 18:56:44 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56099864</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>Over at <a href="http://www.newcritics.com">newcritics</a>, Lance Mannion will continue our New York-oriented Wednesday Night at the Movies film fest with a tribute to <em>The Apartment</em>, my favorite <a href="http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2006/01/the_lemmon_song.html">Jack Lemmon</a> flick and that's saying something. Join me, the <a href="http://selfstyledsiren.blogspot.com/2008/09/wednesday-night-at-movies-apartment.html">Sireen</a> (as I like to picture the Bogie of <em>Sierra Madre</em> calling her) and <a href="http://lancemannion.typepad.com/lance_mannion/2008/09/programming-n-2.html">Sir Lancelot</a> - along with the brilliant Lemmon, Fred MacMurray (as the heavy), and the bubblicious Shirley MacLaine - starting at 9 pm EDT at newcritics. (I'll note Bush speaks at the same time - er - stick with Lemmon and co).</p>

<p>A couple of other programming notes whilst I'm at it:</p>

<p>I'm in the middle of blogging the annual Clinton Global Initiative for onPhilanthropy.com - you can follow reports by me and Susan Carey Dempsey <a href="http://flip.typepad.com/news_onphilanthropy/">here</a>. And my report on meeting President Clinton to discuss the economy is posted over at <a href="http://causewired.com/2008/09/23/bill-clinton-and-the-economic-crisis-a-bloggers-chat/">CauseWired</a>.</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Over at newcritics, Lance Mannion will continue our New York-oriented Wednesday Night at the Movies film fest with a tribute to The Apartment, my favorite Jack Lemmon flick and that's saying something. Join me, the Sireen (as I like to...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/shut-up-and-dea.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>And They Still Come to New York</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/401350946/and-they-still.html</link><category>New York</category><category>Clinton</category><category>New York</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Sep 2008 08:10:46 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-56055520</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>These days, there's a bank on every corner in Manhattan. Some of them are still solvent. The old-timey diners and burger joints and real neighborhood bars are dwindling relics. The smoke shops and drug stores - not the chains, the ones with soda counters - are gone. The newsstands have been redesigned in sleek Euro post-modernism. The cabs have video screens. </p>

<p>New York is replacing itself with a version that is less recognizable, more saccharine and less grimy. Sleek signage. Big brands. Soaring towers. Streetscapes will all the interest of a bad virtual reality walk-through, all pale vanilla and man-made granite. Glass curtain walls, once the province of visionary architects, now slide from street to sky on every failed insurance building and former investment bank in town. The damned napkins have ads on them.</p>

<p>Yet, they still come to New York.</p>

<p>From my day-time perch over 42nd and Second, I watched the comic book armed camp that envelops the east side of midtown when the General Assembly opens and the president comes to town. Security becomes a cartoon best watched from on high, a parade of emergency services vehicles, ambulances, blacked-out Suburbans, snarling NYPD Harleys, police buses, scooters, bikes and what appear to be lightly-armored troop carriers. The hotel next door swarms with men in dark suits speaking into lapel pics as curly little chords run down into their shirts. Machine guns in Grand Central and out on Lex are the norm. Two Coast Guard warships sit in the East River. There are dogs. Many of them. And strangely, in a way, plain old uniformed cops directing traffic and standing around waiting for orders, doing what the Feds direct.</p>

<p>Yeah, they still come to New York, though our financial center is failing, perhaps for the final time. Will Wall Street be truly vestigial old-fashioned New York reference, clinging to the marketplace like that burger joint up on 52nd Street where not a single waiter was born after 1940?</p>

<p>The traffic cones and people barriers form extra lanes of traffic all along 42nd Street and avenues from First to Lexington, routing a virtual parade of motorcades. look, that was has 10 motorcycles, two ambulances, a dozen suburbans, and screaming sirens. Might&nbsp; be Bush. But there's another: one SUV, one NYPD cruiser, and a single motorcycle. The president of what small country? He (or she) still comes to New York, and not just for the half-price sale that is the flood of Euros to the city's stores.</p>

<p>Last night, a few bloggers made their way to the top of the Sheraton over on Seventh. I've been going there since the mid-80s, when I was a young political reporter covering the annual Bronx County Democratic dinners - the ones hosted by boss Stanley Friedman, a man with serious personal style who grandly feted the old titans, guys like Carmine DeSapio. The place has had a face-lift, but the big ballrooms are still there and the man who is hosting his own shadow gathering of world leaders for the fourth year was in fine form on the 45th floor. Bill Clinton can still hold a crowd of smart people in the palm of his hand, holding forth with a depth of knowledge that stuns and overshadows and destroys the tiny, cramped intellect of the man who rode in the really big motorcade past my office this afternoon, the forgotten man just serving out his failed term as big events swirl around his deserted island of contempt.</p>

<p>We waited in small, steamy hotel room making small talk about blogs with aides while the Secret Service watched the hallway and the greatest president of our lifetimes talked about economics (or so we guessed) with the president of Paraguay down the hall. Then we all sat around the living room in the suite and mostly listened (questions were few) to <a href="http://causewired.com/2008/09/23/bill-clinton-and-the-economic-crisis-a-bloggers-chat/">Clinton discuss the economic crisis</a> and what he'd do. Suffice to say, he suggested a better deal than the rapine weaseling of $700 billion from the taxpayers' account. We all thought the same thing though no one spoke it aloud. Yes, what a difference an administration makes.</p>

<p>Then it was down into the New York evening, my walk from west to east to the station, dodging the motorcades and lock-down zones. Was that fall in the air or just the chill of the city's tax base at basement temperature?</p>

<p>Still, the streets were filled. They were filled today. The helicopters buzzed and the motorcades whizzed along. Yes, they still come to New York.</p>

<p><strong>UPDATE:</strong> We'll be blogging CGI over at <a href="http://flip.onphilanthropy.com/news_onphilanthropy/">onPhilanthropy</a> - and I'll be <a href="http://twitter.com/tomwatson">Twittering away</a> as the spirit moves me.</p></div>

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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>These days, there's a bank on every corner in Manhattan. Some of them are still solvent. The old-timey diners and burger joints and real neighborhood bars are dwindling relics. The smoke shops and drug stores - not the chains, the...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/and-they-still.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>The Race Race</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/398322627/the-race-race.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>Obama</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 20 Sep 2008 14:25:14 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55908556</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Twelve men to hold office of President were slave-owners during their lifetimes - eight of those keeping black men and women in bondage while they were chief executive. The first was George Washington, who freed his slaves upon his death and was the rare American leader of his day to change his mind about the actual humanity of African slaves. Of the first five presidents, only John Adams never owned a black man. The last slave-owning American to serve as President was Ulysses Grant, the great Union general who died in 1885 -&nbsp; a year after Senator John McCain's paternal grandfather was born to a former slave-owning plantation family from Mississippi...and only ten years before Barack Obama's paternal grandfather was born in Kenya.</p>

<p>You can tease the family roots of both of our major candidates for president, and unwind a fading history of slavery, racism, colonialism and segregation. Indeed, Obama's unusually broad genealogy may contain the ultimate irony: several of his mother's ancestors <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2007/mar/04/uselections2008.barackobama">appear to have been slave owners</a>. To me, it's the immediacy of that history that stirs the imagination; in terms of generational advance, the turning over of leaves in the family scrapbook, most American history is shockingly near to us as we choose the 44th President of the United States. </p>

<p>Just 45 years after &quot;I Have A Dream&quot; - when I was a year old and Obama was all of two - an African-American man accepted the nomination for president of the Democratic Party, the same party whose solid Southern bloc opposed civil rights for a century after the Civil War. In the same year as Dr. King's speech at the Lincoln Memorial, a popular Democratic governor proclaimed: &quot;segregation now, segregation tomorrow and segregation forever.&quot;</p>

<p>It is easy to forget just what a leap Obama's candidacy really is for this country; and it's a mistake to pretend we all enjoy a post-racial society in America. Today, a <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/page/election-2008-political-pulse-obama-race">study by Stanford University for the Associated Press</a> is making headlines with its claim that &quot;40 percent of all white Americans hold at least a partly negative view toward blacks,&quot; including almost a third of independent and Democratic voters - the voters Barack Obama needs to win the Presidency.</p>

<p>&quot;There are a lot fewer bigots than there were 50 years ago, but that
doesn't mean there's only a few bigots,&quot; said Stanford political
scientist Paul Sniderman. Some excerpts from the study:</p><blockquote><p>
&quot;We still don't like black people,&quot; said John Clouse, 57, reflecting
the sentiments of his pals gathered at a coffee shop in Somerset, Ohio.
</p>

<p>Given a choice of several positive and negative adjectives that
might describe blacks, 20 percent of all whites said the word &quot;violent&quot;
strongly applied. Among other words, 22 percent agreed with &quot;boastful,&quot;
29 percent &quot;complaining,&quot; 13 percent &quot;lazy&quot; and 11 percent
&quot;irresponsible.&quot; When asked about positive adjectives, whites were more
likely to stay on the fence than give a strongly positive assessment.
</p>

<p>


Among white Democrats, one third cited a negative adjective and, of those, 58 percent said they planned to back Obama.


</p>

<p>The poll sought to measure latent prejudices among whites by asking
about factors contributing to the state of black America. One finding:
More than a quarter of white Democrats agree that &quot;if blacks would only
try harder, they could be just as well off as whites.&quot;
</p>

<p>
Those who agreed with that statement were much less likely to back Obama than those who didn't.

</p>

<p>Among white independents, racial stereotyping is not uncommon. For
example, while about 20 percent of independent voters called blacks
&quot;intelligent&quot; or &quot;smart,&quot; more than one third latched on the adjective
&quot;complaining&quot; and 24 percent said blacks were &quot;violent.&quot;
</p>

<p>

Nearly four in 10 white independents agreed that blacks would be better off if they &quot;try harder.&quot;
</p>

<p>The survey broke ground by incorporating images of black and white
faces to measure implicit racial attitudes, or prejudices that are so
deeply rooted that people may not realize they have them. That test
suggested the incidence of racial prejudice is even higher, with more
than half of whites revealing more negative feelings toward blacks than
whites. </p></blockquote>













<p>Is any of this surprising? Not to me. If you keep your ears open in daily life, experience will confirm in anecdotes what numbers say in polling. But it doesn't tell the whole story. [Indeed, there's an <a href="http://narcosphere.narconews.com/thefield/ap%E2%80%99s-ron-fournier-racial-arsonist-and-unethical-journalist">argument</a> to be made that the Stanford/AP numbers are misleading]. In my research for <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0470375043?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=newcriticscom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0470375043"><em>CauseWired</em> </a>- my first book, due out November 10th - I looked very closely at the attitudes of millennials, that super-wired (and perhaps over-hyped) next boom generation born after 1980. Study after study on the attitudes of Americans in their teens and 20s shows a far more tolerant society growing toward their majority; in all the research, bias in race, gender, sexuality is fading. This does not necessarily portend support for progressive policy - or liberal politicians; indeed, the generation is less overtly political than the ones that precede it. But it's more color-blind and more open-minded. Again, keeping your ears open can confirm the research - my kids simply don't see color, and I'm sure yours don't either. [Also, there is <a href="http://www.nationaljournal.com/njonline/mp_20080618_7672.php?related=true&amp;story1=null&amp;story2=null&amp;story3=null">plenty</a> of <a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/bad-math-and-bradley-effect.html">evidence</a> that the so-called Bradley Effect is no longer an operative worry for black candidates].</p>

<p>Yet, the electorate clearly does. For liberals, Barack Obama's ethnic mixture is a net positive - I will freely admit that after Hillary Clinton's historic campaign ended, the prospect of electing the first African-American president was one helluva consolation prize for this Democrat. Among independents, race is also just as clearly a mixed bag. Yet I would suggest that there's a strong point yet to be pressed that is lurking in the Obama political toolbox - and that's the idea that Barack Obama represents the sweeping reform of the black political landscape.</p>

<p>Clearly, there's a generational change in the wind; the group of African-American politicians who came to prominence during and after the civil rights movement of the 50s and 60s is fading. But age is just part of the equation. Obama represents a new path: the African-American politician who happens to be black&nbsp; - perfectly aware of the problems of the black community in America - but not tied entirely to representing those concerns as (in general perception) almost the entirety of his policy brief. Early in Obama's candidacy, the combination of Obama's refusal to &quot;be black&quot; politically and close historic ties to President Clinton, kept many prominent African-American politicians from his side. Winning changed that, of course. Evident talent changed that. And perhaps the chance to move finally from the traditional we/they structure of racial politics in the United States also played a role.</p>

<p>In the last few weeks of this campaign, as Senator Obama attacks the treacherous economy, our perilous foreign policy, and issues like poverty, infrastructure, taxation, the environment, health care and education, the descendants of slaves and slave owners alike will see a politician of color take on the broad responsibility for public policy - and make his final, specific arguments for the highest office.</p>

<p>And that ain't hope, baby. That's change.</p></div>

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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Twelve men to hold office of President were slave-owners during their lifetimes - eight of those keeping black men and women in bondage while they were chief executive. The first was George Washington, who freed his slaves upon his death...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/the-race-race.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>I'm Tom Watson, and I Approve (Of) This Message</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/395578719/im-tom-watson-a.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>Obama</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Sep 2008 16:41:35 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55768580</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p><object width="425" height="344"><param value="http://www.youtube.com/v/ONM7148cTyc&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" name="movie"></param><param value="true" name="allowFullScreen"></param><embed width="425" height="344" allowfullscreen="true" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/ONM7148cTyc&amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1"></embed></object></p>

<p>

Jason and I have been discussing the "power of the positive" over the last few days and both of us agree that just because we need a tough new Obama 2.0 to win the election, that doesn't mean our ticket-topper should stoop to conquer. Mainly because he'd fail.</p>

<p>Given the economic crisis - and it's going to get worse, folks - reasonable, mature leadership is desperately needed in this country. That, and a plan - a structure for a new way forward, the bones of the garden if not the blooms; that is to say, something well beyond "change."</p>

<p>This two-minute ad is easily the best of the general election campaign for the Obama-Biden team. They should continue with this message, and continue to put a little more meat on these terrific policy bones. Truth be told, I think the exciting Obama brand of the winter and early spring had become a little shop-worn - the mantras tired and useless, the enthusiastic "hope" church of the converted simply unable to recruit more believers with the rhetorical toolset of the primary campaign. </p>

<p>I think the <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/110446/Gallup-Daily-Obama-47-McCain-45.aspx">tide is swinging back a bit</a>, and I think a "<a href="http://chervokas.typepad.com/trickster/2008/09/obamas-new-deal.html">New Deal" call</a> to the swing state voters is the right call. What do you think?</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Jason and I have been discussing the "power of the positive" over the last few days and both of us agree that just because we need a tough new Obama 2.0 to win the election, that doesn't mean our ticket-topper...</description><enclosure url="http://www.youtube.com/v/ONM7148cTyc&amp;amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" length="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><media:content url="http://www.youtube.com/v/ONM7148cTyc&amp;amp;color1=0xb1b1b1&amp;amp;color2=0xcfcfcf&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;fs=1" fileSize="882" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit><itunes:subtitle>Jason and I have been discussing the "power of the positive" over the last few days and both of us agree that just because we need a tough new Obama 2.0 to win the election, that doesn't mean our ticket-topper...</itunes:subtitle><itunes:summary>Jason and I have been discussing the "power of the positive" over the last few days and both of us agree that just because we need a tough new Obama 2.0 to win the election, that doesn't mean our ticket-topper...</itunes:summary><itunes:keywords>Politics, Obama</itunes:keywords><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/im-tom-watson-a.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Free Review Copies of CauseWired for Bloggers…Pass It On</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/394680078/free-review-cop.html</link><category>CauseWired</category><category>CauseWired</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2008 19:24:34 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55722826</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<div class="entrybody">
			<div class="snap_preview">
<p>Review copies of my book are in. And thanks to my friends at Wiley, we’re launching a program to get as many review copies of <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0470375043?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=newcriticscom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0470375043"><em>CauseWired: Plugging In, Getting Involved, Changing the World</em></a> into the hands of bloggers as we can before publication. If you’re interested in writing about <em>CauseWired</em>
- and it covers online social activism across charities, NGOs,
politics, cause marketing and more - we want to rush you an advance
copy of the book.</p>
<p>Just drop a note with your name, blog, and snail mail address to Wiley’s extraordinary book marketer/guru/<a href="http://antickmusings.blogspot.com/">blogger</a>, Andrew Wheeler, at <a href="mailto:awheeler@wiley.com">awheeler@wiley.com</a> and we’ll make sure you get one. Andy very kindly put up a <a href="http://antickmusings.blogspot.com/2008/09/causewired.html">post on his own excellent book blog</a> and had some nice comments:</p><blockquote><p><span style="font-style: italic;">CauseWired</span> doesn't just have
something to say, it has a real, direct connection to what we're both
doing right now, and what we're (all of us) doing more and more every
day in the 21st century: connecting electronically about the things
that matter to us. So this is a book I'm excited about, and want to see
spread as widely as possible.<br><br>And that's why I want to give away
as many of those bound galleys as possible, to bloggers and podcasters,
to forum junkies and Facebook super-users, to LiveJournal mavens and
MySpace eyeball-destroyers, to people who live in the wired world and
who want to know what's going on there. If you want to read this book
before it's published, and you have somewhere (preferably online) to
talk to people about it afterwards, I'd like to send you a copy. Also,
if you work at a bookstore and think your customers might want to know
about <span style="font-style: italic;">CauseWired</span>, you qualify as well.</p></blockquote>
<p>Please feel free to pass this on to other bloggers or writers who think might like an advance copy. And you can still <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0470375043?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=newcriticscom-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=0470375043">hit the link</a> - top right on this page - for advances sales of the final hardcover!</p>
</div>					</div>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Review copies of my book are in. And thanks to my friends at Wiley, we’re launching a program to get as many review copies of CauseWired: Plugging In, Getting Involved, Changing the World into the hands of bloggers as we...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/free-review-cop.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>No Lipstick on Lehman's Pig</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/392770945/no-lipstick-for.html</link><category>New York</category><category>Politics</category><category>Reality-Based</category><category>Fannie Mae</category><category>Freddie Mac</category><category>Lehman</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 14 Sep 2008 20:50:28 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55623552</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>We may not be yet headed toward a world made by hand - to borrow the title, if not the mood of James Kunstler's <a href="http://www.amazon.com/World-Made-James-Howard-Kunstler/dp/0871139782">dark cinematic novel</a> of our post-energy future - but we may be headed toward a New York without its economic engine. Tonight, Lehman Brothers and its 158 years of Wall Street history teeter on the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/15/business/15lehman.html?_r=1&amp;partner=rssnyt&amp;emc=rss&amp;oref=slogin">edge of oblivion</a>, with no bail-out on offer from you and me, the humble taxpayer. Merrill Lynch is in talks with Bank of America to save itself. We - that's you and me, dear reader - have guaranteed the mortgage-backed security nest of vipers at <a href="http://news.google.com/news/url?sa=t&amp;ct=us/1-0&amp;fp=48cd794520bd53d9&amp;ei=DLzNSImbEKSeygTEyfHbBg&amp;url=http%3A//www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/13/AR2008091302638.html%3Fhpid%3Dmoreheadlines&amp;cid=1246214225&amp;usg=AFQjCNH2ajNJG7C7qoIgIScyiWGqUrVIbQ">Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae</a> in order to "save" that market. Insurance giant AIG edges toward the edge. The dollar's in the crapper, thanks to Republican policy protecting companies who make beau coup bucks by selling American-made on the cheap. And the polls now favor that failed political party and its former opposition leader, now comfy in the arms of both the K Street lobbyists who sold the economy down the river - and the flunky neocons who send other people's children to die in a failed experiment. Yeah, I don't know what the Bush Doctrine is either, except what I've heard on Fox. But when those thousands of six - and yes, seven-figure jobs - leave New York never to return in the lifetimes of those holding the pink slips and carrying cardboard boxes, it means the pork barrel of Federal emergency aid is empty. And there ain't puttin' no lipstick on that pig.</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>We may not be yet headed toward a world made by hand - to borrow the title, if not the mood of James Kunstler's dark cinematic novel of our post-energy future - but we may be headed toward a New...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/no-lipstick-for.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>I Still Hear Your Sea Waves Crashing</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/391684657/i-still-hear-yo.html</link><category>Reality-Based</category><category>Galveston</category><category>Ike</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 13 Sep 2008 12:28:39 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55577796</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[
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Six years ago, after a walk through its beautiful historic district on the bay, I stood along the seawall at Galveston, looking out to sea. Jimmy Webb's brilliant song has never seemed more fitting than today. The news from Galveston island - a low, heavily-developed spit of sand east of Houston, <a href="http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/archives/2008/09/post_50.html">looks pretty grim today</a>; the extent of the human damage is unknown, but it seems many residents stayed behind. In1900, Galveston was the site of the greatest record natural disaster in U.S. history; 8,000 people died and the island was swept clean of human habitation. Sometimes, history repeats and sometimes it doesn't. Let's hope it doesn't this time. And if it does, let's hope we're ready.</div>

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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Six years ago, after a walk through its beautiful historic district on the bay, I stood along the seawall at Galveston, looking out to sea. Jimmy Webb's brilliant song has never seemed more fitting than today. The news from Galveston...</description><enclosure url="http://www.youtube.com/v/dfYJKpLX1xw&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" length="858" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><media:content url="http://www.youtube.com/v/dfYJKpLX1xw&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" fileSize="858" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" /><itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit><itunes:subtitle>Six years ago, after a walk through its beautiful historic district on the bay, I stood along the seawall at Galveston, looking out to sea. Jimmy Webb's brilliant song has never seemed more fitting than today. The news from Galveston...</itunes:subtitle><itunes:summary>Six years ago, after a walk through its beautiful historic district on the bay, I stood along the seawall at Galveston, looking out to sea. Jimmy Webb's brilliant song has never seemed more fitting than today. The news from Galveston...</itunes:summary><itunes:keywords>Reality-Based, Galveston, Ike</itunes:keywords><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/i-still-hear-yo.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>The Smaller Map</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/387171324/the-poll-number.html</link><category>Politics</category><category>McCain</category><category>Obama</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 20:09:52 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55330078</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The poll numbers aren't particularly good, given where Democrats thought they'd be a week after Labor Day. The national polls show McCain either tied or slightly ahead of Obama, and the averages are creeping toward the red zone. Digby <a href="http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/">catches the zeitgeist</a>:</p><blockquote><p>This is a somewhat surprising development to those of us who had
thought this race couldn't be lost because of the political
fundamentals: a terribly unpopular Republican president, a Republican
party in disgrace, a failing economy, a useless expensive war and an
elderly, warmongering candidate from a bygone era. It was hard for me
to see how even the Democrats could lose an election under those
circumstances, even if they ran an inanimate object with a piece of
algae as a running mate. But the built in advantage has disappeared.
The race is back at parity, and it's a letdown, particularly after all
the months of excited talk about expanding the map, landslide and
realignment etc. The race can certainly still be won, but the playing
field is different than most observers expected.</p></blockquote><p>Sure, it's too early to panic but the ever-important media narrative is beginning to settle in: Palin changed the game, conservatives are coming home, McCain is more popular than Bush. Note that those changes do not reflect badly on the Obama-Biden ticket; indeed, I think they're doing very well on the stump. It's that the fickle media supporters of yesteryear (May) have moved restlessly on, borne back ceaselessly toward what they (and their ad sales people) always root for: <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/08/AR2008090801825.html">the dead heat</a>.</p>

<p>In my view, what's happened over the last couple of week is what was always going to happen. The map reverts to a near version of the one we played (and lost) on four years ago, and we fight over four or five states&nbsp; to decide the next four years. Those states are very clearly Michigan, Ohio,&nbsp; and Florida - with smaller states like Colorado playing a role, along with longshots like Virginia (for Obama) and Pennsylvania (for McCain). There are few opportunities to change the game now, except for the debates - surely fated to be among the highest-rated ever.</p>

<p>And it's getting late early this year: &quot;early voting&quot; begins in Ohio in 22 days. Your thoughts?</p></div>

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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>The poll numbers aren't particularly good, given where Democrats thought they'd be a week after Labor Day. The national polls show McCain either tied or slightly ahead of Obama, and the averages are creeping toward the red zone. Digby catches...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/the-poll-number.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>'Just another run-of-the-mill Wednesday. The calendar's full of 'em.'</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/387124917/just-another-ru.html</link><category>newcritics</category><category>Hitchcock</category><category>New york</category><category>newcritics</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 18:58:52 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55328470</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p>Huge news for cinema fans. The estimable <a href="http://selfstyledsiren.blogspot.com/2008/09/new-york-city-of-mind-series-at.html">Self-Styled Siren</a> is bring back Wednesday Night at the Movies at <a href="http://www.newcritics.com">newcritics</a>, with a little help from the film fest's founder <a href="http://www.lancemannion.com">Lance Mannion</a> and yours truly. It kicks off two nights from this one, and the theme is movies about New York. Here's the sked:</p>

<p>September 10: People-watching - <em>Rear Window</em>.<br>September 17: Ambition -- <em>Sweet Smell of Success</em>.<br>September 24: Drudgery (loneliness) - <em>The Apartment</em><br>October 1: Romance - <em>Desperately Seeking Susan</em><br>October 8: Resilience Double Feature - <em>Serpico</em> and <em>The 25th Hour</em><br><br>Some thoughts from our festival director:</p>

<blockquote><p><em>The idea is to focus on the films' relationship to their New York
settings, but that certainly doesn't begin to cover all the thematic
ground and the conversations will probably range a great deal further
than that.</em></p></blockquote><p>I can't wait. The list above was pared from a couple of dozens titles we kicked around in the planning, and it's a good one with a wide range of actors, directors, decades and genre. Anyone who took part in the virtual festival <a href="http://newcritics.com/blog1/tag/wednesday-night-at-the-movies/">Lance hosted early this summer</a> knows we're in for a treat - special guests, arguments over arcana, joyous critiques. I may have to refresh my memory on a couple of these so I'm off to fire up my Blockbuster account. <em>Rear Window</em> kicks it off, though - no need to order that one; I haven't watched that one above a dozen times, hence the title of this post. See you Wednesday!</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Huge news for cinema fans. The estimable Self-Styled Siren is bring back Wednesday Night at the Movies at newcritics, with a little help from the film fest's founder Lance Mannion and yours truly. It kicks off two nights from this...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/just-another-ru.html</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Ticonderoga's Choke Point</title><link>http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TomWatson/~3/385423327/ticonderogas-ch.html</link><category>New York</category><category>Ticonderoga</category><dc:creator xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">twwatson@earthlink.net</dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 06 Sep 2008 20:15:34 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-55237106</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p><style type="text/css">.flickr-photo { border: solid 2px #000000; }.flickr-yourcomment { }.flickr-frame { text-align: left; padding: 3px; }.flickr-caption { font-size: 0.8em; margin-top: 0px; }</style></p>

<div class="flickr-frame">	<a title="photo sharing" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/tomwatson/2834366162/"><img class="flickr-photo" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3168/2834366162_947f7f507e.jpg"></img></a><br>	<span class="flickr-caption"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/tomwatson/2834366162/">Ticonderoga</a>, originally uploaded by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/people/tomwatson/">Tom Watson</a>.</span></div>				<p class="flickr-yourcomment">	Fort Ticonderoga commands the west side of the lower end of Lake Champlain, its cannon covering both the approach from Canada and the St. Lawrence the north to the southern end of the lake - and the critical portage to the top of Lake George, only a mile or so to the east. In 18th century terms, it was a crucial valve in the plumbing that conducted men and material through the resource-laden wilderness between Albany and Quebec. During the French &amp; Indian War, it was the site of a particularly brutal little battle that the French - builders of the fort - won over the British; their victory was, however, short-lived. The English eventually won control over the areas to the north and west of Albany thanks to an influx of troops and superior American officers, from the young George Washington to the trackers and guides immortalized by James Fenimore Cooper several generations later.<br><br>Surrendered to Benedict Arnold and Ethan Allen during the early Revolution and its cannon hauled by boat down Lake George and overland along the basic route of the Mass Turnpike to Boston - there to assist Washington in hurling the British from Boston - the fort was a picturesque wreck by the first years of the Republic; Jefferson and Madison, touring upstate New York, strolled its romantic ruins and marveled at the lakes. Rebuilt a hundred years ago - and in stages ever since - Ticonderoga today is the gem of New York's colonial historic sites, perfectly genuine at its stony base and brilliantly simple in its presentation. There is no gaudy visitors center, no audio visuals, no sense of the precious.<br><br>Yet, as we read this week in the Times, it's a <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/04/nyregion/04fort.html?pagewanted=2&amp;_r=1&amp;sq=ticonderoga&amp;st=cse&amp;scp=6">financial wreck</a> - a ruin of philanthropic ambition and management, and is considering selling its art collection or closing for a year. We visited Ticonderoga - my third visit, my children's second - last week on the way home from Lake George, and spend an hour wandering the battlements and peering at the collection of arms and other archeological wonders in the simple galleries housed in reconstructed barracks. It remains a wild and beautiful spot, its bloody history aside, and the views across the farmlands and up toward Mount Defiance (where the British mule-hauled cannon to eventually force Ticonderoga's surrender from the rebels) are singularly beautiful. Moreover, they tell almost the complete story of New York's importance to the new United States - sitting astride one of the great inland trade routes linking Canada with Albany and the Mohawk, New York and the Hudson.<br><br>The Times story quoted Cliff Siegfried, director of the New York State Museum and the State Department of Education’s assistant commissioner for museums, who hinted at state support to save Ticonderoga (run now by a private foundation) from closing. <br><br>“Its importance to the economy of that region and the history of New York is obvious,” Siegfried said. “We’re going to work with them to make sure that it doesn’t fail. This is a hiccup in its history.”<br><br>I hope so. But I also wonder why this country doesn't have equivalent of the UK's excellent National Trust, some sort of national repository charged with preserving history and heritage; too many important sites are maintained as roadside attractions - or rich people's playthings.</p>
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</div>]]></content:encoded><description>Ticonderoga, originally uploaded by Tom Watson. Fort Ticonderoga commands the west side of the lower end of Lake Champlain, its cannon covering both the approach from Canada and the St. Lawrence the north to the southern end of the lake...</description><feedburner:origLink>http://tomwatson.typepad.com/tom_watson/2008/09/ticonderogas-ch.html</feedburner:origLink></item><media:rating>nonadult</media:rating></channel></rss>
