Trade, Live and Thrive

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Triangle Breakdown and Inv. H&S neckline support - Week 4 of March 2020.

2020-03-21T15:44:00.001+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

Reference: https://twitter.com/TradeLiveThrive/status/1241276834152513536?s=20

Brent has broken down from a Triangle pattern and is aiming for the Triangle target.

It took support for a week or so at the extended neckline of a inverted head and shoulders pattern.

Rest of the details are in tweets as above.

Nifty (Asia India) - Weekly Study - Week 2 of Decemberr 2019 - Reached All Time High..more Highs?

2019-12-07T17:59:00.001+05:30

Follow up of eaarlier Blog Post..see post below...

http://tradertradertrader.blogspot.com/2019/10/nifty-asia-india-weekly-study-week-4-of.html

Suggested Possiblities..

Possible (Bullish) Cypher Pattern seen on the Nifty Weekly Chart as above.

However this pattern can form if Nifty reaches Point C.

Point C is exactly at the All Time High.

Probability currently at 33%.

Current Scenario..

Point C is reached !!!

Future Possibilities...

Point D can be reached and pattern completed.

Probability currently at 49% (up from 33%).

Higher Highs are made.

Probability currently at 51%.

Nifty (Asia India) - Weekly Study - Week 4 of October 2019 - Back to the All Time High?

2019-10-18T18:48:00.000+05:30

Possiblities..

Possible (Bullish) Cypher Pattern seen on the Nifty Weekly Chart as above.

However this pattern can form if Nifty reaches Point C.

Point C is exactly at the All Time High.

Probability currently at 33%.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - All Time High to a Harmonic Cypher? Wrap - Week 4 of October 2019

2019-10-18T18:38:00.002+05:30

WRAP

Possible (Bullish) Cypher Pattern seen on the Nifty Weekly Chart and discussed in June 2019.

Pattern does not make a perfect D.

Pattern however reaches the 'Profit' target, getting to the Fibonacci 61.8% of the fall (C to D).

(Tweet here https://twitter.com/TradeLiveThrive/status/1176078961488494592?s=20 and here https://twitter.com/TradeLiveThrive/status/1183034822047911937?s=20 )

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - All Time High to a Harmonic Cypher? - Week 1 of August 2019

2019-08-03T23:03:00.001+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Nifty 50, falls hard from the All Time High.
Lands on the Kumo in a perfect touchdown.
Chikou Span (white line - see left) touches the price line.

NEXT

Bulls seek to stay above the Kumo support.
Last week's candle dipping below 'B' heightens the possibility (with probability now at 50%) of a run towards 'D' and a possible (Bullish) Cypher Pattern.

Bulls using current supports, pray they can avoid more red and need to get back above the Red and Blue lines (which would cross each other bearishly next week).

WRAP

Bulls, battered and bruised, pray for a green candle next.

Bears, seek more red on the screen and a dive to point 'D' (10456) as marked above.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Two Peaks and a Slip - Week 2 of June 2019

2019-06-08T18:17:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Nifty 50, makes two new All Time Highs.
Second High floats +1.13% above the first.
Bulls keep index above all signals on the Ichimoku System at this time.

NEXT

Bulls aim for 12366, the Fibonacci 127% as marked above.
Last week's candle dipping below 'A' triggers the possibility (now at 20%) of a run towards 'D' of a possible (Bullish) Cypher Pattern.

Bulls having pulled back above 'A' level, now look to trend on.

WRAP

Bulls on a roll, seek to make a new All Time High (12366) after climbing back above 'A' level.

Bears, seek more red on the screen and a dive to point 'D' marked.

S&P 500 (US) - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - Stuck to the 'Cloud' - Week 4 of March 2019.

2019-03-23T20:30:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Bulls get through the Kumo (cloud) and hover around the Fibonacci 300% level.

Index under the gravitational pull of the Kumo, stuck to the edge of the Cloud.

The 'Chikou Span' (left) is below the Price line.

NEXT

Bulls, want to take off from the Cloud (Kumo), and reach the All Time High of 2941.
Bears seek to get back into the Kumo and make this a 'Lower High' to match the 'Lower Low' of Dec 2018.

WRAP

After a long green run, Bulls seek to reach the All Time High 2941.

Bears plan to crash the party, make this a 'Lower High' and dive below the Kumo.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - 'Take off' from Kumo - Week 3 of March 2019

2019-03-16T22:43:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Nifty 50, 'takes off' after spending a dozen weeks around the gravitational field of the Kumo (cloud).
Blue line (Tenkan Sen) crosses above Red line (Kijun Sen) bullishly.

Chikou Span (white line - left), touches the price line from below.

NEXT

Bulls aim for 11760, the All Time High (ATH).

Chikou Span ready for Bearish deflection (@11555) or Bullish Cross of the Price line.

WRAP

Bulls on a roll, seek to make a new All Time High (11760+) after clearing 11555.

Bears, want to slip below the Fibonacci 23.6% (11333) and then throw back to the Kumo.

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Kumo Resistance & Fibonacci Supports 2 - Week 3 of March 2019.

2019-03-16T16:47:00.001+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Brent, takes Support at the 61.8% Fibonacci projection as marked above.
Bears keep it below the KUMO these past weeks.

Index stops right at the red line (Kijun Sen) at last week's close.

NEXT

Bears see resistance at the Kumo and the Kijun Sen (red line).

Bulls see support at Fibo 61.8% and the rising Blue line (Tenkan Sen).

WRAP

Bears after holding out below the Kumo, seek a lower low (below $50)

Bulls after weeks of consolidation, seek to get into the Kumo, break above the red line and reach $77.

CAC 40 (Europe Paris) - Étude de la semaine, Ichimoku - Ranging and now at Fibonacci 100% - Week 1 of March 2019

2019-03-02T21:02:00.001+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

Introduction & Primer à Ichimoku peut être lu sur ce lien> cliquez.

PAST

The CAC40 Index climbs to the Fibonacci 127% as marked by May 2018 and falls at this resistance to Fibonacci 61.8% by end of 2018.

Now it has reached the resistance at the Kumo and Fibonacci 100%.

L'indice CAC40 grimpe aux 127% de Fibonacci comme indiqué en mai 2018 et tombe à cette résistance à 61,8% à Fibonacci d'ici la fin de 2018

Maintenant, il a atteint la résistance au Kumo et à Fibonacci à 100%.

Chikou Span (white line, see left), reaches the point of Bullish Cross or Bearish deflection with the Price line.

The Kumo (cloud) along with the Fibonacci 100% are resistances. The Blue and Red lines are supports.

Chikou Span (ligne blanche, voir à gauche), atteint le point de déviation en croix haussière ou baissière avec la ligne de prix

Le Kumo (nuage) avec le Fibonacci 100% sont des résistances. Les lignes bleues et rouges sont des supports.

WRAP

Bulls seek to clear above resistance and reach the old high of 5686.

Bears plan to use current resistances to take a dive towards supports.

Les taureaux cherchent à dépasser la résistance et à atteindre l’ancien sommet de 5686.

Les ours prévoient utiliser les résistances actuelles pour plonger vers les supports.

Translation Credits :)

https://translate.google.com

S&P 500 (US) - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - Back to the 'Cloud' - Week 5 of January 2018.

2019-01-26T19:11:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index after dropping down to the Kumo (cloud), and doing a 7 week skirmish there, dives to the Fibonacci 162% mark and returns to the cloud.

The 'Chikou Span' (left) is below the Price line.

NEXT

Bulls, seek to get above the Kumo. and head for the Fibonacci 300% mark.
The Bear camp needs to use the resistance at the Kumo, to get a red candle after 5 green ones.

WRAP

After a V shaped recovery from the fall off the Cloud (Kumo), Bulls & Bears, need to resolve the direction from this neutral ground.

The Kumo (2645 to 2730) is the current range, take off from which, determines the future of the 'Trump' Rally.

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Kumo Resistance and Fibonacci Supports - Week 3 of December 2018.

2018-12-15T18:00:00.000+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Brent, pauses at the 162% Fibonacci projection as marked above.
Bears keep it below the KUMO for three weeks.
Chikou Span (left) stays deflected off the Price line - for now.

NEXT

Bears see resistance at the Kumo and the fall continuing towards the Fibonacci 200%.

Bulls seek to punch through the Kumo and reach $77 above the Kijun Sen (red line).

WRAP

Bears after holding out below the Kumo, see more red.

Bulls after three weeks of consolidation, seek to get into the Kumo and then strike above it towards $77.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Cloud (Kumo) Wars - Week 2 of December 2018

2018-12-08T18:42:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Nifty 50, spends a dozen weeks around the gravitational field of the Kumo.

Chikou Span (left), climbs above and below the price line.

NEXT

Nifty draws a wide range, between 10K and 11.2K, in a bid to resolve the direction.

Bearish cross of the Blue and Red lines, can be attenuated with a break above this range.

Cumulative effect of Bearish Signals and range break down, would give the Bears their honey.

WRAP

Bulls with a Higher low and pop above the Kumo, seek to get above range at 11.2K.

Bears, want life below the Kumo and plan a lower high and then a lower low near 8k.

S&P 500 (Americas, USA) - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - Skirmish at the 'Cloud' - Week 2 of December 2018.

2018-12-08T18:08:00.001+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index after dropping down to the Kumo (cloud), does a 7 week skirmish here.

The 'Chikou Span' (left) weaves in and out of the Price line.

NEXT

Bulls, seek to get above the Kumo. Bears push for life below the Kumo.
The 'Chikou Span' (left) on the Price line for a Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection.

WRAP

After a 7 week skirmish at the Kumo (cloud) Bulls and Bears, yet to resolve the direction from here.

The Kumo (2639 to 2697) and Fibonacci 262%, are the numbers to beat, for the future of the 'Trump' Rally.

BitCoin, BTC/USD - Ichimoku Chart Study - The Last Fibonacci - Week 4 of November 2018.

2018-11-23T11:26:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

BitCoin reaches the 78.6% Fibonacci retrace (from the All Time High to Zero).

Chikou Span (left) deflects bearishly, off the Price line (once again).

The red Kijun Sen and the blue Tenkan Sen lines also deflect Bearishly.

NEXT

Bears after deflection of the Blue and Red Lines, now seek life below the last Fibonacci.
Bulls pray for a green candle and support at the 78.6% Fibonaci retrace.

WRAP

Bears seek to stay below the blue line and and seek life below the last Fibonacci.

Bulls hope to form a bottom here and get above the Blue Tenkan Sen Line.

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Fibonacci Targets & Deep Dives - Week 2 of November 2018.

2018-11-03T18:00:00.000+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Brent, stops exactly at the 162% Fibonacci projection ($86.76), off the Channel.
Bears, dive to near the Channel bottom ($70.37 or Fibonacci 0%).
Chikou Span (left) at the Price line.

NEXT

Distance between the blue line (Tenkan Sen) and red line (Kijun Sen), should narrow further, next week, leading to the possibility of a Bullish deflection or Bearish Cross.

Bulls seek Support at Fibonacci 0% and some ranging inside Channel.
Bears aim for the Kumo and then $63.

WRAP

Bears after a precise stop and dive to where it began, see more red.

Bulls seek Support and consolidation at the Channel Bottom.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Kumo Bounce and Previous Lows - Week 5 of September 2018

2018-10-27T22:11:00.001+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index leaves the Support Zone of Kijun Sen and Tenkan Sen and manages a meager bounce off the Kumo (cloud).

Weekly close was just above the previous low of 9952 (Fibonacci 100%).

NEXT

Bulls seek to take support near the Previous low or before the Fibonacci 113%.

With the Blue Tenkan Sen (currently intertwined with the Kijun Sen) falling below the Red Kijun Sen, in the coming week, Bears hope for a Medium Term Trend Change.

WRAP

Bulls with a swathe of red on the screen, look for a bounce back towards the Support Lines (10880).

Bears, seek to close below the Fibonacci 113% and stay below the Kumo.

S&P 500 (Americas, USA) - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - From the 'Double Top', to the 'Cloud' - Week 4 of October 2018.

2018-10-25T22:41:00.002+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index after making a 'Double Top' and a 'Three inside down', drops down to the Kumo (cloud).

The 'Chikou Span' (left) is real close, to the Price line.

NEXT

Bulls, seek a bounce off the Kumo. Bears prefer life below the Kumo.
The 'Chikou Span' (left) approaches the Price line for a Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection.

WRAP

A Double Top and deep dive later, Bears press for a fall below the cloud (2613).

Desperate Bulls pray for a bounce off the Kumo, and life above weekly supports(2767).

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Channel breakout and Fibonacci Targets - Week 1 of October 2018.

2018-10-02T16:48:00.001+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index, breaks out of Range and hurtles towards the 162% Fibonacci projection, off the Channel.

Distance between the blue line (Tenkan Sen) and red line (Kijun Sen), reduces.

NEXT

Bears seek to stop the Bull run before the next resistance Fibonacci 162% ($86.76) and then take a dive towards the Channel.

Bulls on a roll, seek to clear the coming resistance and go on to Fibonacci 200%

WRAP

Bears pray for red before $86.76 is reached.

Bulls after a textbook break out, seek $90+

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Throwbacks and Red Line Supports - Week 4 of September 2018

2018-09-22T16:39:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index dives from the Fibonacci 141% and takes support at the Kijun Sen (red line).

Weekly close was below the previous ATH (All Time High), 11171 (Fibonacci 100%).

NEXT

Bulls now want to use current support at the red line (10858) to close above the old ATH (11171), by month end. (edited)

Bears see red, and look for life in the Cloud (Kumo)

WRAP

Bulls after the deep dive from Fibonacci 141%, seek to get green back on the screen, aim for life above the Blue Line (11313)

Bears, see more red and a fall below 10500 (i.e. into the Kumo) in the coming weeks.

S&P 500 (Americas, USA) - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - Double Top - Week 2 of September 2018.

2018-09-08T20:33:00.001+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index after breaking out above the Kijun Sen (red line) struggles near the Fibonacci 327%-341%.
The 'Chikou Span' (left) stays above the Price line.

NEXT

Bulls, 'trend on' if they can stay above the blue 'Tenkan Sen' support.
Bears seek make a Double Top.

WRAP

A Double Top is the current Bear Plan, staying below the Blue line, critical for the same.

Bulls seek to stay above the blue 'Tenkan Sen', and 'Trend on' to a new All Time High.

BitCoin, BTC/USD - Ichimoku Chart Study - Blue line Close - Week 1 of September 2018.

2018-09-03T20:16:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

BitCoin closes above the Tenkan Sen (blue line) last week.

Currently the Chikou Span (left) is on course, to cross or deflect the Price line (once again).

The red Kijun Sen is near the Tenkan Sen.

NEXT

Bears seek deflection of the Blue and Red Lines.
Bulls hope to get above the Fibonacci 61.8% and make a Higher High after the Higher Low.

WRAP

Bears hope for life below the blue line and seek a lower low.

Bulls seek to get above the 61.8% Fibonacci, and follow the Higher Low with a Higher High.

Gold Futures CFD - 'Weekly Technical Analysis' - Lower Low to Higher High? - Week 5 of August 2018.

2018-08-25T20:22:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Bears seek and get a lower low (sub 1238) below the Fibonacci 61.8%.

Bulls manage a bounce off support at the Fibonacci 38%.

NEXT

Bulls with support at a significant Fibonacci level, seek to bounce back above the Fibonacci 61.8%.
Bears want to retain their advantage and keep it below the Blue line.

WRAP

Fibonacci 100% ($1375) and life above the Kumo, is the Bull plan.

Bears hope to keep it red and below the Blue line.

Brent Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Chart Study - Red Line Take Off - Week 5 of August 2018.

2018-08-25T18:52:00.000+05:30

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Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index, after a 'lower High and lower Low', took support at the red line (Kijun Sen) for a few weeks.

Chikou Span (white line - see left) makes a Bullish Deflection off the Price line.

NEXT

Bears, after making a 'lower High and lower Low' seek to retain the trend.

Bulls taking off from support at the red line, would attempt a Higher High and life above the blue line.

WRAP

Bears want red and a 'lower High after the lower Low'.

Bulls after take off from support, now need to break trend with a High above $80.

Nifty (Asia India) - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Triangle breakout Targets and Fibonacci resistances - Week 3 of August 2018

2018-08-11T18:06:00.000+05:30

Introduction & Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link > click.

PAST

Index breaks upwards from the exact tip of the Triangle (link) and makes new Highs.
High wave candle forms last week, even as Bulls seek to make the 'Triangle Break out target' (link) - calculated to be about Fibonacci 127% to Fibonacci 141% above.

NEXT

Bulls seek to beat the Triangle Breakout Target.

Bears seek red after the High Wave candle (link).

WRAP

Bulls after the break out from the Triangle Pattern want to trend to the Fibonacci 141% next.

Bears, seek a Double Top and some red on the screen after last week's 'High Wave' candle.