Under Con-trol

Galway Monday Preview

2012-07-29T10:38:00.000-07:00

IT’S here! What a week of racing we have ahead of us Galway and Goodwood and for the enthusiasts plenty of other interesting cards around the UK. Visit this blog daily for a preview of some of the racing. I will attempt to help narrow the fields and throw in the odd bit of advice on what looks a good value bet.

So you are here for opinion so without further a due let’s dive into the big race for day 1 at Ballybrit.

The best Seven Days of the Galway year ahead.

5:35 Carlton Hotel Galway City Handicap

Traditionally one of the hardest puzzles of the week, a field off 20 will line up under the amateur riders for the €42,000 first prize.

Firstly to the favourites - Clarach, it is very difficult to see him being far away as they pass the winning post and at the time of writing 8/1 looks extremely generous. She has won 3 on the spin, 2 of those over hurdles.

The drying ground is certainly in her favour and with a useful young rider Declan Lavery claiming 7lbs off the weight and is drawn well in stall 6. Course form is in the book which is always a plus at Galway. She comes here amid doubts that she will make the line up for the hurdle. Her credentials are rock solid.

Earls Quarter will also prove popular given his connections but a long story short; despite catching the high quality Rebel Fitz out over hurdles here last autumn, I don’t think he is good enough and is plenty short enough in the betting.

A note of interest is that Robert McNamara who rides most of Dermot Weld’s in similar races is not on Midnight Music and instead is on Scots Gaelic who manage a fourth place at Royal Ascot two starts ago. The latter was a bit disappointing last time despite the trip not being ideal but this will be much more to his liking and the stable is in form.

Another of Pat Flynn’s representatives is Prince Chaparral, he needs to improve slightly to win but could be a good each way play and despite a big price and having leading Point-to-Point rider Barry O'Neill on his back, he is passed over.

Citizenship won one of Ireland’s biggest handicap hurdles in January and was an easy winner at Killarney last time out in first time blinkers. That was ran in a very slow time and is up in class and 10lbs higher now so while that is a big rise he still holds a strong chance but there is better value to be had.

Oilily: highest rated hurdler in the 5:35 field

Last year’s winner Fosters Cross comes here on the back of a fall last time over hurdles. He lines up off an 8lb higher mark when riders claim is considered and is now 10 years old so others are preferred.

Caim Hill comes here in fantastic form after a win over fences in Kilbeggan’s feature event 10 days ago. A 10 time visitor to the winners’ enclosure and two from two on the flat he is difficult to oppose but the verdict goes to OILILY.

A remarkably consistent mare her only poor efforts came one after the other in an interrupted seven month spell last year. She has competed at a high level over hurdles in the past and is the highest rated of these in that code.

She has had a lot of placed efforts but with first time cheekpieces at Leopardstown on her last run stuck to the task well to win last time and a repeat of that effort should see her go well. At 14/1 she looks the best value in the races but Clarach makes plenty of appeal also.

Verdict: Oilily – Clarach – Caim Hill

Elsewhere on the card the 5:00 Claregalway Hotel EBF Maiden looks yet again and as will be the case with maidens through the week to be between Aidan O Brien (L) and Dermot Weld (R).

Line Drummer represents Ballydoyle and ran a good race on debut only six days ago at Tipperary on soft ground behind a potentially useful stable mate. Provided he has recovered he holds leading claims.

Nearly all of Aidan O Brien’s representatives in this contest came after quite a recent run so it can be assumed the ground last week will not have blunted him. He is a son of Galileo and they usually improve with racecourse experience adding another positive to his chances.

Weld who is has won this in the region of 20 times in his training career has Thunder Mountain. He only beat one rival home in a strong maiden at The Curragh in May and despite his trainer’s record I would much rather be on Line Drummer.

I will not take the pleasure of sorting out the rest of the contests from you.

Away from Galway, course specialists Almaty Express and Rough Rock should give you a run for your money at Wolverhampton 7:00 and Yarmouth 3:50 respectively.

(Good luck and those of you who know me don’t be shy on donations should I ‘pox’ a winner or two)

China Can Rock Europe in Champion

2012-04-23T12:20:00.001-07:00

IRELAND’S biggest National Hunt Racing festival gets underway at Punchestown tomorrow. A seven race card that will begin at the afternoon time of 3:40 for the fourth year representing that it must be successful in boosting attendances.

Willie Mullins has dominated this meeting for the past few years where he has turned ducks into swans on more than one occasion. Of course he also had and has a number of top class Grade1 contenders and if he has over 10 winners for the week one would not be surprised.

Sizing Europe (L) and Big Zeb meet yet again

The big race on the opening day is the Boylesports.com Champion Chase. Here we have the Big Zeb-Sizing Europe rivalry that stretches back to this meeting in 2007 where Henry De Bromhead’s charge led at the line. The two champions have met six times Big Zeb came out on top in this race last year. But the score is currently 4-2 in favour of Sizing Europe and it is not surprising to see him as an odds-on favourite here.

Finians Rainbow who defeated him at Cheltenham went on to look even better at Aintree and some feel but for the last fence mess up by the officials at Cheltenham that Sizing Europe would indeed have won.

The softened ground is not likely to play to the strength of Sizing Europe but the only one it is likely to suit is Realt Dubh. He comes here a fresh horse with only one run since finishing second to Captain Chris at this meeting last year when he was well behind in the Queen Mother on that occasion. However Noel Meade is without a winner since March and that is a slight concern.

A really interesting contender is China Rock. Ruby Walsh will ride and is two from two on the nine year old. He travelled well yet again in the Gold Cup before not staying, and finally connections have seen sense and dropped him in trip. Amazingly he has only ever had one run at the minimum trip, when second to subsequent Supreme Novices' winner Go Native.

China Rock: has beaten Sizing Europe albeit before over further

He is still available at 33/1 and I expect him to trade at much shorter in running tomorrow evening.

Last year’s third Captain Cee Bee and Gauvain make up the field but have a lot of work to do to win.

It is hard to see beyond Sizing Europe but China Rock is outstanding value and is by no means out of it and could cause an upset under Ruby.

One of the other Grade1 races on the card is the Evening Hearld Champion Novice Hurdle. A small field of five is all that will contest the €50k first prize. It looks to lie between Trifolium and Alderwood. Trifoulim was third behind Cinders and Ashes in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle and with the forecast soft going is likely to be a short price favourite.

Alderwood won the County Hurdle, beating subsequent runaway Aintree winner Edgardo Sol into second, before following up at Fairyhouse. He is three years older than Trifolium so may lack the room for improvement of his younger rival.

It is unusual to be writing off Willie Mullins at Puchestown but all three of his horses are held by the two primaries mentioned.

Sir Des Champs looking for 8 in a row

Another poor turnout for a Grade1 contest is the case for the Growise Chapion Novice Chase. Sir Des Champs is unbeaten over an obstacle of any description and will go off at extremely short odds (currently 1/4). There is absolutely no concerns over anything for him other than he has never ran over three miles or further. That is unlikely to be a hindrance though as he was powering clear in the Jewson and Willie Mullins had seen him as a horse for the RSA Chase at the Cheltenham festival but went the Jewson route because of First Lieutenant’s presence there, who is also owned by Gigginstown.

Mosey Joe was second over hurdles here in 2011 and had looked impressive in three chase starts winning two (finishing 5^th in one where he sprawled on landing a few fences out when leading by over five lengths carrying 12 stone). He was ineligible for novice chases in the UK so has been given a break since. If he resumes in similar form he can be the one to chase home Sir Des Champs.

The big handicap on day one is the 4:55 where a field of 25 will face the starting tape. Former top level contender Snap Tie heads the field and will bid to overcome an absence of over 30 months. The fact that connections have persisted with the 10 year old suggests he still has something in the locker.

JP McManus has a number of contenders but interestingly AP McCoy does not take the ride on either Louisville Lip or Kandari both of which are off weights he can ride at. Kandari has had two runs for Jonjo O Neill and was behind subsequent Cheltenham and Aintree winner Ataglance before being brought down on his return to Ireland at the Fairyhouse meeting.

Ruby Walsh rides Ceol Rua suggesting that is Willie Mullins’ first string. Citizenship won the valuable Boylesports Handicap Hurdle in January and if bouncing back from defeat at Cheltenham is a major player.

Practically everything in the field holds some sort of chance but two I can suggest at fancy prices are Rory Anna and Benash. The first mentioned was in contention at Limerick on her last hurdles start before running out at the last. She always gives her running and the rain would have helped her chance.

Benash has been in and out this year but has put up some good performances in races that were beyond him. He was declared a non runner when entered in this 12 months ago. He ran very well until the approach to the second last at Fairyhouse over 2m6f. The drop back to two miles should suit (record of 21214 at the distance) and the rain will also have helped his chance. At 40/1 he is worth a bet despite his in and out form.

BEST BETS ON THE CARD: CHINA ROCK, BENASH (EW) and RORY ANNA (EW)

Aintree Card Bowl-ed Over With Quality

2012-04-12T02:41:00.001-07:00

The spectacular National Fences

CHELTENHAM is always seen as the best week of the year for national hunt racing, it is built towards for months and is full of hype and excitement. Aintree is a massive festival too but thankfully from the point of view of the punter does not have the same hype.

One thing that can be seen nowhere else is the spectacle of the Aintree fences and we are treated to a race a day over them for the Grand National Meeting.

The say they save the best to last but at Aintree the best goes first. Big Buck’s is seeking his fourth consecutive win in the Liverpool Hurdle at 2:00 against a weak field. Should he win he will set the record for most consecutive wins in National Hunt racing with 17, and break Sir Ken’s record stretching back half a century.

Arguably his best ever performance was in this race last year and to see him repeat that would put a smile on any face.

Big Buck's (L) on his way to a stylish vistory in 2011

But from a betting perspective is there really any reason to get involved? Big Buck’s is odds of 1/4 for victory (value for a horse like him you could say!). Who can chase him home, or since there is three places at least there is an EW option for punters.

Paul Nicholls has Tidal Bay and Poungach also. The former has plenty of form at the track and was 4^th in this in 2010 when trained by Howard Johnson, the latter is just out of novice company, he won a handicap at Sandown easily and fared ok behind Oscar Whiskey at Cheltenham in January.

He has the quality but there may be better options despite Nicholls turning up an option of going the handicap route at this festival.

Won In The Dark was ridden for a place here last year and duly did the job coming home well behind Big Buck’s to finish 3^rd. He is notoriously hard to win with but is capable of competing for minor money in the top races. If the race pans out in a similar nature to 2011 then he could be worth chancing for a place at big odds (currently a 66/1 shot).

Smad Place is second in the market and never runs a bad race, improved to come third in the World Hurdle, he is most likely to come second. There will be races to be had next season I imagine but they will be the ones without Big Buck’s in them.

The Anniversary Hurdle for 4-y-o’s looks one of the strongest renewals of the contest in recent years. The winner, third, fourth, sixth and last hurdle faller from the Triumph Hurdle all reoppose.

Countrywide Flame was a somewhat surprise winner at Cheltenham but now looks the one to beat. Grumeti has just under four lengths to find and the return to a flat track looks likely to suit, he holds Paul Nicholls’ Dodging Bullets on both meetings but this will be just his third run over obstacles and could improve.

Pearl Swan was flying up the straight at Cheltenham before falling at the last. You would have to think he would have been in the first four. If he gets over that and does not fall behind early on again he is sure to play a leading role under Ruby Walsh. Hinterland comes here fresh but the fact he is passed over by Ruby he can probably be discounted.

Saddler’s Risk has been very much a talking horse this year and would have to improve in a whole host of areas to win.

A tough race to call but there is no need to look away from the top of the market and take your choice from those who contested the Triumph. Personally I would be with Pearl Swan who will have improved for the experience.

Riverside Theatre can improve on the Ryanair performance

The highlight of Day1 and perhaps the festival on the Mildmay Course is the Betfair Bowl at 3:05. A field of 11 includes the last two winners of this event, Nacarat and What A Friend. They look to have work to do this year though. The former is 11-y-o now and the race fell apart a touch last year with a couple underperforming. What A Friend took a heavy fall last time in the Gold Cup and may not be capable of beating the favourites here although holds a better chance than his 12/1 price says.

I would love to see Hunt Ball win just for the antics of his fantastically entertaining and passionate owner Anthony Knott. This horse will be having his ninth run of the campaign that started out in the lowest possible grade, a class5 at Folkestone. He now takes on one of the biggest staying races in the season.

Nicky Henderson has the primaries; Riverside Theatre and Burton Port. Barry Geraghty has stuck with Riverside Theatre after their gutsy and gusty performance to win the Ryanair. Nothing really went right for him that day other than Captain Chris! He surely will perform better here and if he was good enough to win last time there is no reason to desert him now.

The horse does stay the distance although this is only his second run over 3m+.

Burton Port won over C&D as a novice and did well to finish fourth after labouring for a while in the Gold Cup. That can be put down to the ‘bounce factor’ following his lay-off and is likely to be far more dangerous now. However that Gold Cup may turn out to be one of the poorest in years and therefore Riverside Theatre is preferred.

Medermit also deserves a mention being only a length behind Riverside Theatre in the Ryanair. There is no reason to prefer him over the longer trip as he was outstayed near the line at Cheltenham.

BEST BET: RIVERSIDE THEATRE

Market Rasen Preview Tuesday

2012-03-26T09:52:00.002-07:00

Richard Johnson could be smiling tomorrow
with a good book of rides
photo: racing post

THE OPENER at 2:20 has a field of seven where a case can be made for all, conversely it is easy enough to oppose them all.

Enroller was a group horse on the flat and has run respectable in his last two hurdle runs. He is Noel Fehily’s only ride on the day, he has to give weight all round and may have to settle for minor money.

Langley’s best form has come with plenty of cut in the ground but he has only had 4 runs for Tim Vaughan and his record is F112. He has apparently improved for the addition of a tongue strap and with Richard Johnson back on board he is a player.

Osgood is a rare Mick Channon jumps representative. He was second to the Pipe’s “good thing”, Katchmore lost time. He appears here on the same mark. His best NH form is on a sound surface and he should be in the shakeup in an all round competitive affair.

An incredible tight market for the 2:50 with Union Island, having his first run over hurdles for Brian Ellison, the outsider of the quintet. He has been disappointing since returning from a break and is best watched.

The favourite at time of writing is Royal Entourage. He is up the weights after racking up a hat trick and is a leading contender again.

Hoback Junction was highly tried when with Lucy Wadham and ran ok last time to finish third. He appeared to lack fitness when fading late on but with that run under his belt he should be a major contender.

Presenting Ace and D’Gigi will need to show more than they have already to win but are by no means out of the reckoning.

Small but competitive fields are the order of the day. Not one for the each way punter.

The 3:20 is another tough contest to unravel. O Crotaigh has three wins and a nose margin second place at the venue and despite being six pounds higher than his last victory further progress is not ruled out from him back at this track.

His front running tactics should stand him in good stead in a small field. It is not hard to see why Midnight Sail is favourite. He is back in form following a layoff and went close on his most recent run behind a rival completing a four timer.

The step up in distance should also suit and his hurdle rating suggests that he is well in here.

A five horse class 5 chase where only one horse has a win over fences in the UK sounds like it should be straightforward at 3:50. But that horse, KERCABELLEC, is 14 years old, seven pounds out if the handicap and has had more horses finish in front of him than behind him this season.

No other horse jumps from the page with only slight appeal from the favourite Sacre Toi.

Kercabellec returned to the winners enclosure twice this time last year to end a four year drought. His mark is at the same lowly level here. He has gained five of his seven wins in March, the trainer has his horses in excellent form and at 20-1 he is worth a punt in an absolutely terrible looking race.

With absolutely nothing doing in the 4:20 and without some information not on the form book the only option I can see if getting financially involved is Charles. Whether or not he comes back fit after a Winter break is a question but if he does he should be better than the greater majority of these.

Dawn Commander (r): during his days in Ireland
photo: irishracing

If you are at Market Rasen and asking yourself will this day ever end, well there is just two more races and at last we see a couple of horses that can run faster than the ambulance.

Dawn Commander contested the Albert Bartlett at Cheltenham but was unable to make a serious impact into proceedings. He previously was just behind weekend winner Golden Call when conceding weight at Bangor in February.

On that form he will be very tough to beat. Finnegan Paddy has been consistent against some handy rivals all Winter but he is yet to get his head in front so is opposed.

Steve Gollings does well at the Licolnshire venue, he saddles All That Remains. The horse has not run over 3 miles since winning a Point-to-Point in Ireland. It does appear as if the step up should suit however as he was outpaced recently over 2m1f at Doncaster.

He looks the most potent threat to Dawn Commander.

Jonny Rye was just denied by last year’s Champion Bumber second Destroyer Deployed as he was third at Southwell earlier this month, a repeat of that should see him be hard to pass again.

The Bumper at 5:20 concludes the action. House Party was well beaten last time at Newbury following a very promising debut behind Call Back who has done ok since. Getting a four year old allowance he should go close to winning.

Scarlet Fire who’s penalty is negated by the riders claim must hold a strong chance again. And of the debutants Scarlet Fire looks the pick for a combination that had a winner in the last few weeks.

BEST BETS: DAWN COMMANDER, KERCABELLEC

From Alfie Spinner to Virginia Ash, its competitive as ever!

2012-03-13T15:41:00.001-07:00

NEPTUNE NOVICES HURDLE
This race is among the best at the festival with many future top class horses having contested it. Examples from the last decade are Hardy Eustace (1^st), Denman (2^nd), Peddlers Cross (1^st) and Rock On Ruby (2^nd).

The market suggests that Simonsig has the best chance, he has a big reputation and that is probably why he is so clear in the betting but his form so far has not proven anything.

MONKSLAND was an easy winner on soft/heavy ground at Navan in January and the runner up has since been a close second to Boston Bob and won another race also. Noel Meade and Paul Carberry won this with Nicanor in 2006 and Monskland could repeat the trick.

Ireland’s other main hopes are Bennefficient and Sous Le Cieux. They were first and second in the Delloite Hurdle at Leopardstown over 2m2f but the step up should not be a problem for either.

Batonnier improved out of all recognition to win at the course in January but is a tad short in the betting on what he has achieved. Cotton Mill comes here unbeaten, he was a wide margin winner of his first two races and just got the better of last Saturday’s winner Ambion Wood in very testing conditions at Warwick earlier in the year.

As long as he has recovered from them exploits there is no reason he cannot go well at 16-1. There are 18 entered but it really only concerns a handful.

Grand Crus: Can he break the World Hurdle runner-up hoodoo
photo: thisiscornwall.co.uk

RSA CHASE

The connections of GRAND CRUS have opted for the novice route and leaving a stab at the Gold Cup for another year.

He was an impressive winner at Kempton on Boxing Day and the third that day Bobs Worth takes him on again.

Grand Crus was second to the all conquering Big Buck’s in last year’s World Hurdle but the last two runners up in that, Punchestowns and Time for Rupert, were both beaten favourites in this contest. Although trends for this do not particularly favour David Pipe’s grey the opposition have too much to prove to take him on at the prices.

Bobs Worth is three from three at Cheltenham but was beaten again last time at Ascot, maybe a return to a left handed track will suit, and on trends he is the most likely winner.

First Lieutenant has not been at his best all year but reportedly had a back problem in the early season. He beat the Champion Hurdle winner Rock on Ruby a head in last year’s Neptune Hurdle and is a big threat on that form.

Paul Nicholls’ string usually does well in this contest and Join Together deserves a mention. His form has worked out quite well, he has won twice over fences at the track and is the only course and distance winner to line up. He has been kept fresh for this and is the choice of Ruby Walsh.

Can he defend his crown?
Sizing Europe beats Big Zeb in 2011
photo: betting.betfair.co.uk

Grand Crus is the one they all have to beat but is certainly not bulletproof.

QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE

A field of eight goes to post that includes the winners from the past two years, SIZING EUROPE and Big Zeb.

Moscow Flyer was the only horse older than nine to win it since 1998 but I do not think Sizing Europe has been reading much statistics. If anything he has looked even better this year when winning impressively on his last two starts.

There does not appear to be any real threat, Finian’s Rainbow was headed late on in the Victor Chandler Chase in January and was second in last year’s Arkle over this circuit.

Gauvain, Kauto Stone and Wishfull Thinking all probably prefer a bit further. Realt Dubh runs his first race of the season and there is no reason to see why Big Zeb can defeat his old rival.

Even money should not be a deterrent. Im So Lucky would be just that if he can make the frame given his horrific Cheltenham record, although he ran his best race in some time at Newbury behind Sprinter Sacre and could be one to look out for before the season is out.

CORAL CUP

Always one of the hottest races of the whole festival this year is every bit as difficult to unravel, David Pipe looks to hold a massive chance of gaining victory. He is represented by Star of Angels (4^th in this in 2009 before injury, winner last time), Consigliere (reverts from fences and better on a softer surface), POOLE MASTER (good novice hurdle form, well in at the weights, still unexposed) and recent French import Balgarry (most recent form is very strong but stepping up in trip).

Poole Master (right): well in on handicap rating
photo: Sportinglife.com

Like the Champion Chase the last two winners line up again –Spirit River and Carlito Brigante, the former needs to bounce back after losing his way over fences but Carlito Brigante’s only ever handicap run was in this last year and has ran well at a higher level in his career so may have a strong chance of repeating the trick carring 12lbs more.

Third Intention, Act Of Kalanisi , Get Me Out Of Here, and Final Approach all have a string claim. As you can see the race has plenty of strength and depth but it could pay to side with David Pipe with Poole Master and Star Of Angels both good each way prices.
Poole Master's jockey Chris Honour only needs one more win to ride out his claim. A goal after which he said he would retire, and what a story it would be if he could visit the winners enclosure at the Cheltenham festival on his last ride.

THE UNDERCARD

The Fred Winter is a bit of a lottery every year as the runners are relatively inexperienced and do not have a strong level of form. Its more about cleaning up the Triumph Hurdle than anything else.

But if you must buy a ticket for this lottery you could do worse than Royal Bonsai at 20-1. The John Quinn trained animal beat the consistent and subsequent winner Eagle Rock. He had a run on the All Weather in February so as not to increase his handicap mark. I have almost talked myself around now and he may well be worth an investment after all.

We could talk about ifs and buts about the Champion Bumper all evening, if I said to steer clear of the Fred Winter then definitely avoid this unless you are privy to reliable information. Yes many good horses do contest it but we do not know them yet. Royal Guardsman was a comprehensive winner of a strong Ascot bumber.

The Tizzards won this with Cue Card in 2010 and their charge can give a good account here.

The day kicks off with the four mile Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase and I see no reason to seek a big price here.

Allee Garde was a close third in a Grade1 at Leopardstown and he is taken to win for the father and son pairing of Willie and Patrick Mullins. Teaforthree and Harry The Viking look likely to play a leading part in the closing stages also.

So let’s hope it’s not the bloodbath some of us saw on day one. Have fun and God Speed!

BEST BETS: MONKSLAND, POOLE MASTER (EW) & STAR OF ANGELS (EW)

Cheltenham Day 1 - insert appropriate pun here

2012-03-12T13:56:00.001-07:00

"Down the Hill they come"
photo: drawbias.com

TAKE A deep breath, to ready for both the roar and the long week of 27 races, many hours of study and analysis that lays ahead. Cheltenham the eyes of the world are upon you, the hopes and prayers of punters everywhere march with you.

So let’s get straight down to business

SUPREME NOVICE HURDLE

I find it rather staggering that there is so little Grade1 form on offer. Only Colour Squadron, Galileo’s Choice and Dylan Ross have close up finishes as runners up at the top level.

That being said they are all easily enough opposed as either the form has not worked out or the trainers do not do particularly well at the festival.

It is noteworthy that Davy Russell has opted for Trifolium, this one has been competing in intermediate grade on a few runs this year and easily took a soft looking Grade2 last time. If he is as solid on faster going we will see but could go well for the same combo that brought us Weapons Amnesty.

Darlan currently heads the market but on his best run (last time) he fell two out. That leaves us with too many questions but if he travels like that in this race he will surely be among the first few home.

Steps to Freedom absolutely ran away with an Aintree bumper last year with only the re-opposing Montbazon hanging onto his coat tails. The Jessica Harrington trained horse won two battling finishes on his most recent starts, if you can call them recent as he was last seen in November (assumingly on account of having raced on the flat during the Summer).

Prospect Wells was not far behind that day but if he is among the outsiders I do not see how Steps to Freedom is so much shorter in the market.

I think he will go well but will be found wanting at the end of the race.

TETLAMI gets the nod in the festival opener; before we even consider his form he represents a top combination of Henderson and Geraghty and is 14-1, which is big for them.

He won the same race at Kempton at Christmas as Menorah did en route to victory in 2010, he jumped very fast and smooth, travelled well and when he was asked for something at the end he willingly gave it. He comes here quite unexposed compared to others but the price is too good to ignore.

If you fancy chancing an outsider you could do worse than Distant Memories, a useful flat performer, he was going well until he made a horrendous mistake at the second last at Naas when behind Midnight Game and Dylan Ross but he could have gone very close otherwise.

ARKLE NOVICE’S CHASE

No matter what you think he beat you must say that Sprinter Sacre has been breathtaking in his chasing career to date. We could well be looking at an easy winner of the Novice Championship.

Cue Card (right); Can he fulfill his promise?
photo: sportinglife.co.uk

However he was behind Al Ferof in last year’s Supreme Novice where he faded late on. A year older and having had a breathing operation nothing has laid a glove on him since and Barry Geraghty who has well over half a century of Grade1 winners says he could be the best he has ridden.

Menorah has to prove his jumping can hold up but as a Supreme Novice winner also he must hold a claim.

Like Sprinter Sacre, the extra year in age appears to have benefitted CUE CARD greatly. He could only manage fourth when favourite behind Al Ferof last year.

He has always been touted as a top future chaser by connections and his form over fences cannot be knocked. The Tizzard’s six year old represents the best value alternative to Sprinter Sacre in a small field.

JLT SPECIALITY HANDICAP CHASE

A race that is strong on stats, and although I do not like to adhere to them too strictly it helps to narrow this field of 19.

Quantitativeeasing heads the field after winning at Cheltenham in December over 2m5f. He has festival form also when second on this card in 2011 behind Divers. It would be a great achievement to win off 11st 12lbs but place money is probably most likely.

Hold On Julio has been all the rage for this contest since his Sandown win in early January but is available at a price of 13/2. Alan King and Robert Thornton have won this twice in the past decade and the lightly raced 9-y-o holds strong claims despite his sketchy jumping on occasion.

Our Mick has cannoned up the weights over the Winter and holds an each way shout, Noland, Mon Mome, Mount Oscar and Runshan are all probably too old according to statistics at least.

There is a former runner up of this contest in The Package. He has not ran in over 16 months but given his trainer that is not as major a concern as it could be. Baile Anrai is consistent, he has two wins and two falls in chases, he was still in contention in a very strong race when falling three fences from the finish and could be more than a lively outsider here.

Fruity O Rooney likewise, he was running a very good race before almost unseating at the last in the Sky Bet Chase and has only once been out of the first three over fences.

It is an absolutely wide open race and to make a selection I would chance PENTIFFIC. His rider gave him no mercy last time and he tired just before the last where he fell. He had not touched a twig before that and they did break the course record there over two furlongs further with Venetia Williams’ inmate cutting out the running.

The former Australlian trained animal is a tentative selection in a wide open race with The Package the other preferred option.

CHAMPION HURDLE

There will be no beating about the bush here- HURRICANE FLY will win barring, god forbid, injury. This year’s race is not a patch on last years and Willie Mullins’s superstar even looks value at 10/11.

No hot air with Hurricane
photo: guardian.co.uk

Zarkandar will have to improve to beyond his Triumph Hurdle win to challenge and has to overcome the poor record of five year olds. Binocular won a fairly poor renewal in 2010 and cannot be trusted and I think he could be a place lay if you like that type of bet.

Rock on Ruby and Oscars Well are closely matched on last year’s Neptune Hurdle form and they could fill the minor spots.

THE UNDERCARD

The Cross County is unravelable, the usual safe option of going with Enda Bolger does not look as easy this year with Garde Champetre beaten on all races this year (December win fell into his lap as he was well down the field when the leading group took the wrong course).

A NEW STORY will be the most senior contender at this year’s festival and given his excellent record over this course and is a good bet to make the first four yet again.

The Mares hurdle will probably see Quevega 10 lengths clear on the bridle yet again but I see little reason to get involved financially in it.

A rapid day one will have even the most enthusiastic of punter tired by the time the Pulteney Land Investments Novices´ Handicap Chase rolls around.

A field of 20 is not too easy to narrow, there was only 14 lengths between places first and tenth last season and I envisage a similar scenario this time around. TRIOLO D’ALENE, Bless The Wings and Hunt Ball are vying for favouritism.

The last mentioned has done nothing but improve all season he started off on a rating of 69 and seven races and six wins later he is up to 142.

Barry Geraghty has been bullish about the chance of Triolo D’Alene and he could be well ahead of this grade and is still improving, only five years old and if he is not in the shake-up it would be a surprise.

Bless The Wings has plenty going for him but may need more to win, course form is a plus however.

Going Wrong is not something that you would do if you followed Davy Russell and Ferdy Murphy when they combine at Prestbury Park. The 9-y-o has been brought about quietly much like last year’s winner Divers and must be respected.

Triolo D'Alene has promise
photo: Getty images

Finally Quincy Des Pictons beat a few respectable opponents by a good distance at Chepstow over Christmas. He has been transformed by the move to new trainer Alan Jones and if he can show his form on a faster surface at 20-1 he could be worth a small saver.

BEST BETS: TRIOLO D’ALENE (EW), and it’s obvious but Im going to do the cardinal sin of tipping – giving an odds on shot - and include HURRICANE FLY.

Doncaster Preview

2012-02-21T16:23:00.000-08:00

Town Moor: Good midweek card

IT IS good to see a day of good ground racing at Doncaster as the build up to the festival sees many putting in their final run within the next week before Cheltenham.

All seven races on Town Moor have something to get at least mildly excited about.

A Juvenile Hurdle opens proceedings at 1:55. Ardlui is
the only winner lining up. The form of his two hurdle runs is very strong with two good quality subsequent winners ahead of him when third on debut.

From his win there has been good performances from the second placed Tango De Juilley as well as a handicap win from the third placed horse.

Black Pond will likely improve for his debut run but the main challenge to Alan King’s charge will probably come from Eagle Rock he has bumped into some decent animals in his three hurdle races.

He had weekend Sandown winner Bourne 18 lengths behind on his last run and his debut conqueror Countrywide Flame has been placed twice at the highest level since. In between he was placed in a C&D Grade 2.

It’s impossible to recommend anything but the obvious here. Alan King’s stable is in great form and Ardlui may leave Eagle Rock to be the bridesmaid yet again.

The 32red Casino Beginners´ Chase looks to concern just a couple for win purposes but there are currently eight so there is each way possibilities.

As to what ground suits Aikman best is a question, he appears to go on anything but before last time I had been of the opinion that he prefers softer going. He flopped badly last time but this is a good opportunity to bounce back.

Aikman can bounce back
(Photo: turfpix.com)

He had a good season as a novice hurdler but has not yet shown that over the larger obstacles, arguably his best performance over fences this term was over an inadequate two miles at Carlisle on his chasing debut.

He can be forgiven the run last time and is the one to beat. Master Fiddle was way underpriced last time when well beaten and I do not see his situation getting any better this time. He was placed on this card last year and a place is likely the best he will muster again.

Quentin Collonges has only made it to the track twice in the last two seasons but was a good hurdler in 09/10. Henry Daly does well at Doncaster and this son of Dom Alco is feared most.

The Cockney Mackem has made the frame in all completed starts but with the stable not at the peak of its powers minors is probably the best he can hope for.

The 3:00 Mirror Punters Club E B F "National Hunt" Novices´ Hurdle has a competitive field as Paul Nicholls told us to expect in novice hurdles following the number of abandoned meetings a few weeks ago.

Oscar Nominee, despite finishing last of three on his most recent run was less than three lengths behind Supreme hopeful Cinders and Ashes on heavy ground. He was a 27 length winner previously and the return to better ground is the one to beat for a top team.

The form of The Weatherman’s runs has not worked out and more is needed here under a penalty. Presenting Ace came home at a respectful distance behind some useful rivals on his previous runs and can make the frame here.

It is worth keeping an eye on the hurdling debutants and Wordy’s Boy could be a good each way option following his return to action in January.

The past few renewals of the 3:30 32red Veterans´ Handicap Chase have been interesting and this one is no different. The current favourite is Mark The Book but he is plenty short enough for a horse who has had all his wins on heavy going.

Wogan’s only defeat at the course came in this race last year. He has yet to complete for new trainer Tom Symonds but is now 10 pounds below his last winning mark. This looks a good opportunity for Faasel but he appears to peak in the top races but note any market support here.

Auroras Encore missed last season but if he comes on for his reappearance holds strong claims at a big price despite conceding weight. It looks like it will not be long before Atouchbetweenacara can gain a victory as plummeting mark and a return to better ground ever enhances his chance. However the 11 year old only has two wins to his name.

David Pipe’s Faasel represents a decent ‘bet to nothing’ in a red hot contest.

Market support should be noted for Faasel
(Picture: pixmule.com)

We have a handicap hurdle at 4:05 where David Pipe’s Decoy heads the field. He was well beaten last time in the Lanzarotte but a better run is expected back in class 3 company. Corkage has been in great form over the Winter and has two wins and a place from three runs here, but it is possible that the handicapper has him for the moment.

Distime was a beaten favourite on his handicap debut but better can be expected this time but at 6-1 he is short enough. Bob ‘N’ You has some useful form but may need this after 16 months off, however the stable can prepare them fresh.

Dawn Commander was staying on the last twice and as a PTP winner the step up to 3 miles will suit. The first time visor saw Storm Survivor bolt in at Plumpton but is up 14 pounds for that.

Patsy Finnegan and Ely Brown are others to consider at bigger prices.

As is always the case with Hunter’s chases it is best to focus on the top of the market at 4:40. Lorikarad is the most obvious choice.

‘Stick to what you know’ is the call in the Bumper and Kaysersberg has the best form as well as being a C&D winner and is easy to side with. This Is Me was well beaten on his debut here but may be worth another chance after repeating the journey from Newmarket.

BEST BETS – AIKMAN, FAASEL

Taunton Preview

2012-02-20T08:31:00.000-08:00

TAUNTON stages a seven race card on Tuesday with six of the seven races sponsored by Bathwick Tyres. The recent freeze means that, all respect to Taunton, the card is higher quality than may have been expected.

Triumph hopeful Urbain De Sivola
(Photo: hoguenet.com)

It gets underway at 2:00 with a novice hurdle. Urbain De Sivola looks the one to beat. He slammed Ranjaan last time and he has won twice since (third and fourth also are subsequent winners) so that suggests he will be hard to beat here.

Dualla Lord is dropping down in distance for the first time after failing to live up to expectations but with Paul Nicholls’ stable under a bit of a cloud (only 1 weekend winner) he is easily passed over.

Ifyouletmefinish may give Nick Williams’ charge most to do. He was not disgraced behind either Pearl Swan or Grumeti over course and distance on his last two runs. Those coming from the point-to-point scene could play a part as could Giordano Bruno but the Phillip Hobbs is without a winner in February.

A Class5 Handicap Hurdle at 2:30 sees Changing Lanes, who landed one of the biggest gambles of the season when successful last week at Southwell, appear under a penalty. That seven pound is negated by useful amateur Mr J F Mathias who has ridden 10 winners for David Rees in the last three seasons.

He is still well below a previous winning mark and will be expected to win. Hobbs Dream won well over C&D last time but has since been hit with an 11 pound rise in the weights. Gentleman Jimmy was behind him that day but the swing in the weights should see them finish closer this time.

Eight time winner Cannon Fire and the relatively unexposed and first time blinkered Cosway Spirit are others to consider.

The poor but competitive Handicap Chase is difficult to sort out at 3:05. The Colin Tizzard yard had a brilliant weekend and Wosayu ran ok on his penultimate start but was last of three on heavy ground last time. With first time blinkers and back on better ground he could make the frame.

Kinkeel has been tilting at windmills on some of his starts this season, jumping around to pick up the scraps of prize money in the top events. He was beaten four times in this company in January but as always with the Tony Carroll yard look out for the market movement.

Alldunnandusted is still a maiden over the larger obstacles but with three hurdle wins should be involved in a race as lowly as this. Piran has shown nothing since moving house but has place claims on old form.

The 3:40 is a far more interesting contest. Sire De Grugy was fourth in the Betfair Hurdle on Friday and if he turns out again is very much the one to be on.

The Phillip Hobbs and Paul Nicholls stables did not fire to their usual high standard on the weekend but it would be foolish to leave Dare Me and Edgardo Sol out of calculations. The latter has been a model of consistency in big handicaps all season and with Harry Derham claiming seven could be dangerous.

Dare Me: chance after decent return run
(Photo blogs.bettor.com)

Dare Me is high quality and after a satisfactory reappearance it would be no great shock to see him end the stables mini drought. Alan King’s stable has no such form worries and Devil To Pay is a definite each way contender off a low weight.

Dee Ee Williams has been off since last March and off 147 this is too hot on reappearance. Higgy’s Rigazzo probably is not as good as many of these but Henderson’s representatives always deserve respect.

The verdict is if Sire De Grugy turns up he is the most solid option with Dare Me next best.

As I mentioned earlier Bathwick Tyres sponsor the card but will head man Wayne Clifford be winning back some of his prize money at 4:15?

Bathwick Junior is his representative; she showed some in her earlier races but after three tailed off efforts in novice hurdles moves into handicap company in first time cheekpieces.

One who has improved for the move to handicap company is Clever Dick. He had excuses last time but with a tongue tie on and Paddy Brennan an interesting booking, David Pipe’s inmate looks the one to beat.

There is no need to look beyond a couple in the Pontispool Equine Sports Centre Hunters´ Chase at 4:45. Templar has far and away better form than any of these and indeed is 17 pounds superior rated to his nearest rivals but concedes nowhere near that weight. He should take this with the minimum of fuss.

Divine Intavention beat the laboured Bob Hall last May and could be the one to chase him home if at his best.

The Bumper at 5:20 concludes the card but with little information on the horses I am choosing to avoid it.

BEST BET- URBAIN DE SIVOLA + CLEVER DICK Double

TAUNTON PREVIEW TUESDAY

2012-01-30T10:51:00.000-08:00

THERE IS a respectable card on offer at Taunton on Tuesday. There are seven races for us to get through.

I don’t think many of you who will be going will risk a speeding ticket to make the first at 1:40 –the Alpha Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Conditional Jockeys´ Handicap Hurdle.

The younger animals in it are well exposed and perhaps the most interesting contender is Venetia Williams’s Sendinpost. Once she got into the straight she flew home to only be beaten under 10 lengths after looking like a distant third was on the cards. The step up to three miles plus will suit and the trainer has been in great form all month.

That’s Some Milan looked like the winner on his handicap debut after the return from his layoff having traded at 4/6 in running. That was his first run for Ian Willliams and is expected to be fitter for that and looks a strong contender here.

The others have plenty to prove but the market may be a good help in solving this one.

The 2:10 Bravo Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Novices´ Hurdle on past evidence looks to lie between useful flat performers Alwaary and Dildar. The former now with Rebecca Curtis contesting pattern company nine times when with John Gosden and won in listed company at three.

Will you be risking Sanctuaire? (picture:Getty Images)

Dildar was fouth behind Pour Moi in a quick time affair at Saint Cloud in May, a race that contained French Derby second Bubble Chic and Group2 winner Vadamar. Paul Nicholls’s inmate will be the likely favourite considering he is getting weight all round.

The others are not without a chance and Constant Contact, Sew On Target and Tymford could all play a part.

For just five runners the Charlie Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Novices´ Chase at 2:40 is a good looking race. Sanctuaire returns to the venue where he burst onto the scene with a comfortable defeat of the then unknown Grand Crus. He now tackles the larger obstacles after two disappointing runs over hurdles.

The fact the Ruby Walsh takes the ride gives confidence but it is difficult to invest in him given his enigmatic nature. Easter Meteor got off the mark last time with a comfortable win to live up to the expectation placed on him by his useful relatives. Though, he probably will not be able to dictate up front this time around.

Shammick Boy took a heavy fall last time and on last season’s hurdle form he would be right in the shake up here. The trainer did not start the year with the customary excellent run of form and that is a negative.

Since injury Midnight Sail seems to have lost his form that saw his finish sixth in an Albert Bartlett and is best watched here.

The 2m1f Delta Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Handicap Hurdle at 3:10 has two extremely interesting handicap debutants, Ted Spread and Ifyouletmefinish, there was not much between the pair behind Grumeti over course and distance in December.

Jeremy Scott’s representative was since a four length second to Pearl Swan (conceding 11lbs) and may reverse form with the former St Ledger hope.

Of the slightly more experienced brigade, Double Handful has proved just that since moving to Lawney Hill and with two easy victories and a 19 pound rise he still has plenty to offer.

Double Handful has moved from Venetia Williams but she now has Monetary Fund formerly with Nicky Henderson. With the exception of last year’s Cheltenham run the six year old has never been far away at the business end, that said a mark of 130 on seasonal reappearance is probably beyond him.

The value of the race may lie with Pantxoa. The King-Hutchinson pairing has been in red hot form with a four wins and two places from their last seven runners. Pantxoa did not go well up in trip last time but he was highly regarded by Alan King before the novice season did not quite go to plan. If he puts in his usual solid run he looks good for a place here.

Pascha Bere is another who may be worth considering with the cheekpieces back on (last win came with them on).

Again a case can be made for a great deal of runners in the 3:40 Command And Logistics Company 40 Commando Royal Marines Handicap Hurdle. Val Mondo is currently at the head of the market on account of his running on fourth behind the handy Poole Master at Lingfield and the current vein of form of the stable.

Is It Me has two ways of going and despite his colossal price probably isn’t the worst 50-1 shot you will see. Woodlark Island is on a dangerous mark but may be one for the drier ground in a few weeks time.

Arctic Watch clearly doesn’t take a lot of racing but holds frame claims and despite still being a maiden one that looks certain to play a part at the finish is Anay Turge who was second to subsequent winners the last twice.

Venetia Williams;
multiple chances
(picture: racing post)

The 4:10 Go Commando Handicap Chase has attracted a few whom are dropping in grade. By the time this rolls around Venetia Williams may have already had a good day but Renard looks her best hope tomorrow.

Fifth and fourth on his last two starts when fading late, the drop in trip will suit. Another who will appreciate the shorter distance is Nomecheki, he completely dropped the anchor last time at the third last. Before that he was fourth in the 32 Red Chase at Sandown and a reproduction of that would see him make the places at least.

Frankie Figg appears at his best over the national fences and it is hard to have Star Galaxy off a career high rating aged 12 and a single figure price despite his January brace of victories.

Renard looks the most solid option here.

There are a few stables that do well with their newcomers in the represented in the 4:40 Dbs/Ebf Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race. The market and paddock watch is probably the best hope of unravelling this. I don’t have the answer so good luck.

BEST BETS – RENARD, PANTXOA (EW)

Ayr Tuesday Preview

2012-01-16T12:49:00.000-08:00

With Ayr having no expected problems with weather tomorrow it could be the only meeting on Tuesday. It is a decent card for a Wednesday and despite small fields they are engaging affairs.

Small fields the order of the day
(picture - wikipedia)

We are underway at 1:10 with the Betvictor.com Maiden Hurdle. A field of 10 contest, Donald Mc Cain has the 60,000 guineas purchase Lexi’s Boy. He was a steady performer on the flat with four AW wins. He was pulled up when a short price favourite on his hurdles debut and better is surely in store here.

Cadore was a clear second on his first time over obstacles and normal improvement would put him in the frame here for a team in good form (Russell-Buchanan). He comes in after a recent run and has the least question marks of the line up.

Mill Bay was not disgraced on two bumper runs at Musselburgh but may have place claims at best.The pick of the Nicky Richards’ trio Find A Key had a subsequent two time winner behind him (conceding 5lbs) in a Hexham bumper and holds leading claims.

A more open four runner field you are unlikely to see at Ayr on a Tuesday than in the Bet Mobile At Betvictor.Com Novices´ Chase at 1:40. Blenheim Brook heads them under a seven pound penalty but still well in on official figures.

He has an admirable record finishing first or second on 10 out of 13 rules starts and his two of his three runner-up finishes over fences were against useful rivals.

Dowd’s Destiny has only six runs despite being a nine year old. We still know little about him for a horse of that age and could well even improve and the stable are in great form (3 wins and 1 second in last 7 runners).

Trainer R TJ Wilson sends over Yes Tom from his Antrim yard. He has been keeping decent enough company and with Paddy Brennan on should give a good account.

Storming Gale completes the line up for a big stable but may be one for a handicap later this season but will have come on for his last run.

A tough one to call but despite having the worst chance on official ratings Dowd’s Destiny can make his presence felt over the 2m4f trip.

The 2:10 Best Odds Guaranteed At Betvictor.Com Handicap Chase over 3m1f looks easier to figure out. Sammy Spiderman has a good record at Ayr with four wins. Those wins took place on much softer going than is likely here, and he may be better over shorter despite a course and distance win (getting lumps of weight against veteran rivals), he receives weight again today and has a chance.

Quinder Spring has gradually filtered down the handicap but is still carrying the most weight here. Has had a short break since fourth at Catterick in November and in first time visor for an inform team holds major claims.

Martin Todhunter is also hoping that a first time visor can see him into the winners’ enclosure with Allanard. The eight year old has not won over this far but has only tried three times and appeared to stay. Now only one pound higher than his last win and goes well for jockey James Reveley he can win here.

There is nothing to get excited about in the 2:40 Watch Live Racing At Betvictor.Com Handicap Hurdle over an extended three miles.

Another Miracle heads the betting for the McCain stable and is a worthy favourite. He had some middling form in 2010 and went close on his stable debut in November.

Gleann Na NDochais won stylishly in late December and has strong claims off a 12lb higher mark. That was his handicap debut and he was stepping up in distance. He steps up again here, is the youngest in the field and is the one to beat.

Only two places on offer with the seven runners but Delightfully is another to consider.

Old Magic looks like one of them JP McManus sleepers and it could be his time to awaken in the 3:10 Play Casino At Betvictor.Com Novices´ Handicap Hurdle.

Stormion is the only last time out winner in the field and is respected. There is little to say about most of the others. Market signals could be vital to unravelling this one so follow them.

Anthor small field but competitive looking race at 3:40, the Betvictor.Com Conditional Jockeys´ Handicap Chase. Old boy Something Silver likes it here at Ayr with four course wins. He does not win often though and with only one win since February 2008 is passed over.

An improved run over course and distance last time puts Et Maintenant right into the shake up. Now eight pounds below the last winning mark and Grant Cockburn claiming eight more and with the ground to suit he can get his first win since 2010.

Primrose Time is up 11lbs for her latest run and conceding weight to all she may find life tough off a career high mark.

The 4:10 Bet Mobile At Betvictor.Com Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race concludes the Ayr card. Howaboutnow is the only winner in the sextet and is the one to beat.

Young Palm and Blazin White Face are the two most likely to challenge.

BEST BET – ET MAINTENANT

Warwick Saturday Preview

2012-01-13T19:34:00.000-08:00

Golden Chieftan has talent
(photo: sportinglife.com)

The first race is too tough an affair for me to sort out and it is easily passed over.

Therefore we shall begin in the 1:25 Betfred 1350 shops nationwide Novices´ Chase the three mile trip may be against Frascati Park who has done all his winning over shorter. Court Victory was disqualified last time and will need a better effort here to win.

Alfie Spinner had a win on very testing ground at Chepstow on Welsh National day and will go well here as he did when second in the Pertempts Qualifier on the card last season.

Golden Chieftan is one who will also handle the likely soft going that is often associated with Warwick but he has been let down by his jumping of late, if it has improved since he is the one to beat.

The Betfred The Bonus King Handicap Chase (For The Edward Courage Cup) is a very trappy eight runner contest. There is not much to separate them on paper.

Marodima was formerly useful and was a winner by some margin on Thursday on his first run since June. Despite that 53 length win over Massini Sunset he is not one to take a short price about here with only two days since that rout.

Roi de Rose was a comfortable winner on his second run last season and may have needed his first run again this time round when second last time (just holding Massini Sunset for 2nd). The winner has won again since and coupled with first time blinkers he looks a major player.

Another who was second last time was Super Foreman and has shown solid form all season, Moon Over Miami was not far behind him that day and may finish ahead of him this time and I think the race will be run to suit Charlie Mann’s runner who could go well at a big price.

Educated Evans has gone up 22lbs in the handicap since his first win in October and will need to pull out more off top weight here.

Thehilloffuisneach heads the market for the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle at 2:30, he has risen a great deal in the weights since his two December victories.

Last year’s winner Mobaasher has not shown much this season since his move to Rod Millman but was hardly in sparkling form before winning in 2011. 12 months on he is 12lbs lower and if he shows his best then he will make a mockery of his current 40/1 price.

Volador had some useful form before his lay-off but will likely be in need of this. Safran De Cotte won at Haydock in bottomless last time and should stay the new trip and is one to consider. The handicapper may have caught up with Water Garden, Petitfour has too much to do off 11-12 and his Cheltenham conquerer Dorset Square is yet another contender in a traditionally competitive Pertempts’ Qualifier.

Barwell Bridge (right) has strong claims
(photo: turfpix.com)

The selection here is Barwell Bridge, he ran really well before fading very late on at Wincanton behind two inform rivals and with a run under his belt back up in trip he is a major contender.

The 3:05 Neptune Investment Management Leamington Novices´ Hurdle is safe to narrow to three. Ambion Wood was an easy winner of a maiden hurdle last time and has some good runs behind useful rivals in the book.

Highland Lodge beat a fancied rival in Diocles over the Haydock brush hurdles last time and is a worthy favourite for a stable with a couple of recent wins in this contest. Cotton Mill is his main rival and was an easy winner of both his hurdle starts. Admittedly he did not beat too much but he looked a good horse in the process.

This winner of this race will no doubt be a strong contender for Cheltenham in March. Given the amount of subsequent winners that have emerged from Emma Lavelle’s charge’s victories he is taken to win again.

The big one at Warwick on Saturday is the Betfred Classic Chase. The favourite is Sona Sasta for David Pipe. He ran subsequent Welsh National winner Le Beau Bai close at Chepstow in December. He was well beaten at Leopardstown over Christmas though and jockey bookings would suggest he is second preference despite being favourite.

The stables other runner is Faasel. He has been second in 2 successive Kim Muir’s at the Cheltenham festival. He goes well fresh and is having his first start since his second place in the Bet365 at Sandown in April.

He does prefer good ground so any rain would hinder his chance. It is apparently currently Good/Soft at Warwick so that should be ok but it often rides softer than description here.

One who won’t mind soft ground is top weight Hey Big Spender. He appears to have a lot to do conceding about a stone all round but is not without a chance.

Blazing Bailey can come again (photo: racingpost.com)

Neptune Equester won at Haydock on Betfair day but was a 25 length fifth in the mud last time at Wetherby. The better the ground the better his chance but he may not be good enough anyway.

Blazing Bailey represents Alan King who has won the last 2 runnings of this race.

He couldn’t go the pace in the heavy going in the Welsh national but had previously run well for a long way in the Hennessy.

He rediscovered form early in the year last season and with 2 runs under his belt and given the trainer’s record in the contest he must be respected.

And finally Paddy Brennan takes a ride for former boss Nigel Twiston-Davies for the first time in a while. The pair team up on Major Mularkey with the trainer’s son Sam on old boy Hello Bud.

It is not an easy puzzle to solve but Blazing Bailey can come good again in the early year and go close for the King stable.

Much like the first race on the card the last one will have to sort itself out also.

BEST BET: BARWELL BRIDGE (EW) [ Mobaasher (EW)]

Doncaster Preview Wednesday

2012-01-10T09:34:00.000-08:00

Six Races on Town Moor (photo: drawbias.com)

THE SIX race mid week card at Doncaster gets underway with the Yorkshire Radio Supporting Yorkshire Racing Novices´ Hurdle at 1:05.

Gores Island is the among the more experienced in the line up, he won a decent novice hurdle last time when receiving weight but will have his work cut out under a penalty this time.

Despite drifting in the market Barenger was a seven length winner on day one of the Hennessy weekend on his racecourse debut. His inexperience did not inconvenience him there and he is likely to be popular for trainer and jockey in form.

Greenlaw was beaten less than five lengths in a listed Ascot bumper last time. Despite that event being a slowly run event there were plenty of useful rivals involved (winner prominent in Champion Bumper market) and he is one who could at least make the places today.

There is a hurdles newcomer in the shape of Theology now with Steve Gollings. The 125,000gs purchase has useful form on the level where he was fractionally denied in the 2010 Queen’s Vase when with Jeremy Noseda and is interesting.

Wordy’s Boy, Mountain Hiker and Pittodrie Star are others for the shortlist in a competitive 2m3f contest.

John Ferguson having great season
(picture: racingpost.com)

A 4yo hurdle at 1:40 (sponsored by Doncaster Racecourse Wedding Show 15th January) appears to easier to unravel. Art History was an improver for Mark Johnston and won his last two flat starts. His trainer John Ferguson has impressed in the stables first full season with a 42% strike rate and with the stables last three runners being successful Art History is the one to beat here.

Another useful recruit from the flat lines up for the Donald McCain stable, Gottany O’s a five time flat winner was sold for 130,000gs at Newmarket in October.

Blue Destination for John Quinn and Drumadoon who was a distant second to yesterday’s Taunton winner Kazlian are most likely to capitalise on any mishaps to the above duo.

A small field go to post for the 1stsecuritysolutions.Co.Uk Novices´ Chase over 3m. Three runners carry a penalty. The most experienced runner over the larger obstacles is Beneficial Reform he won over course and distance in November and was since behind the former Grade 1 novice Air Force One also at Town Moor. Cheekpieces now added and should not be too far away.

Edge of Town won on the back of over 20 months off track, he had solid novice hurdle form and provided he does not “bounce” after the long break he should have a say here.

Nicky Henderson’s Loose Performer is the highest rated of the line-up. His rider Jerimiah McGrath claims five to give him even more in hand over his rivals. He is the youngest in the field of four and is a tentative selection to follow up.

Arctic Actress and Peedeeque were both course and distance winners last time and the pair are likely to head the betting in the Pegler Yorkshire Handicap Hurdle at 2:50. The latter was top weight that day and has claims off a seven pound higher mark. Arctic Actress’s form is in and out but must be respected coming from a big stable.

Corkage was in the lead when falling last time at Catterick over the larger obstacles. He has not won since the summer of 2009 when with Lucinda Russell but has had time off before his seasonal reappearance in November. Keith Reveley’s charge likes good ground and provided it is not too holding at Doncaster he can give a good account off top weight (has won off a higher mark).

In the 3:25 St Leger Tickets On Sale 6th February Handicap Chase it appears wisest to stick with those at the head of the weights. Quel Ballistic was effectively brought down by the aforementioned Corkage in the same Catterick race. He was favourite that day and has major claims again.

Bishophill Jack came out the right side of two almighty battles on his last two runs and is the one to beat in a hat trick bid provided those two December races have not emptied him.

Since the move from Alan King Quetzal has won twice for Mark Todhunter but is still as inconsistent as before. The addition of cheekpieces had a positive effect last time and coupled with a more prominent racing style saw him come home a five length winner at Newcastle. If they have the same effect again he should be involved up front.

The Download Free Doncaster Racecourse iphone App Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race concludes the action at 3:55. David Pipe’s Irish purchase Shotavodka heads the field under a penalty after a win at Tramore in October.

Hi George holds the best previous form of the line up when third behind subsequent Cheltenham New Year’s day second Chancery at Haydock.

Don Cantillon’s This Is Me is also worth a look, his only runner travelling up from Newmarket.

BEST BET on the Card: Corkage (EW)

Hereford Preview Sunday

2012-01-07T12:42:00.000-08:00

The victorchandler.com "national hunt" maiden hurdle opens proceedings at 1:00 over a distance of 2m1f. The race appears to be at the mercy of Castle Conflict who has the strongest form on offer. He lost a much hotter race in the stewards’ room last time and despite the drop in trip should collect.

Edlomond and the Venetia Williams pair Sawpit Samba and Orange Gizmo are likely to contest the minors.

Johnny Owen is the odds on favourite for the 1:30 after his facile win at Southwell only four days ago. He was an eased down 19 length winner there and with Paddy Brennan on again he will take all the beating again with a weight of 10-2 in another contest for the lowly rated over 2m1f.

David Brace’s inmate was 4/6 at the time of writing so from a betting perspective it could be better to look at the place market. The consistent maiden Cruise in Style was probably going to make the frame before unseating last time and is a sporting alternative to the favourite.

The 2:00 Bet Mobile at Victorchandler.com Beginners´ Chase is the feature of the day. Last year’s Pertemps Final favourite Chartreuxmakes his seasonal reappearance. The lightly raced seven year old has only had six races (five under rules) and appears best fresh but then again that is the only occasions we have seen him is lacking recent runs. Provided he takes to the larger obstacles (has a Point-to-Point win) he is good enough to win here.

Rebecca’s Choice was headed late on after strong market support pre race. The 3m1f distance is a plus but his best runs have come in handicap company and may find these too strong.

Fennis Boy finished a respectable sixth in a good hurdle race at Kempton and has a good run of things since joining Tim Vaughan. This is his second spell at the larger obstacles after five unplaced efforts in Ireland and has to prove himself and therefore opposed.

Brackloon High was a beaten favourite last time and has only underperformed once. He is consistent and has frame claims but may find this race too hot to win and regular pilot Richard Johnson is on Fennis Boy.

There is a tight looking contest in store in the 2m6f Bet Live & In-Play at Victorchandler.com Handicap Hurdle at 2:30. All eight hold some sort of chance. Ebony River was just touched off when well backed at Bangor; he has gone up five pounds in the handicap for that and this event looks stronger and may have to settle for minors again.

Whispering Jack looks to have his work cut out off 11-10, Triptico has a bit to prove from last time when well beaten into third in the mud at Uttoxeter.

The selection here is five time jumps winner Lightening Strike (nap). He has had his problems with a near two year break until reappearing last February, a chance is taken that he still retains ability and with the stable in form off a reduced handicap mark and down in class.

There are a host of handicap hurdle debutants lining up in the 3:00 Play Casino at Victorchandler.com Novices´ Handicap Hurdle over 3m2f. It does not look a race to get too heavily involved in.

David Pipe’s The Tatkin, and last time out winner Waywood Princess are at the top of the market but others are by no means discounted.

The task of unveiling the winner does not get any easier in 3:30 Thermolast Roofing Ltd Handicap Chase. There are a few here that like to race prominently and Cabinet Minister is one. He has ran well on both chase starts and is worthy of top weight.

Jigsaw Dancer appears to have lost his sparkle and is best watched;Space Mission is consistent but has only one win despite making the frame regularly. Douryna and Always Bold are taken to fight it out. The former had good novice form and her jockey has been visiting the winners’ enclosure plenty in recent months.

Always Bold has improved since joining Martin Keighley and his chase mark has dropped. Despite his two Fontwell hurdle wins recently coming over 3m3f he may appreciate the shorter distance over fences so he is taken to shade a competitive event.

The Thermolast Roofing Ltd Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race concludes the card at 4:00. It looks as if the extra distance will suit the only winner in the field –Up To Something – who was a gritty winner on debut.

Ballylifen is the most experienced runner and looks likely to be involved again. Colin Tizzard’s Billy No Name had a satisfactory debut and there have been good performances and a couple of winners from that race and with Brendan Powell’s seven pound claim leaving him racing off 10 stone he can go close in the finale.

Pig Out on Sport this Christmas

2011-12-19T12:42:00.000-08:00

ON THE armchair this festive period? Have enough of Christmas movies and gameshows? Here is some sporting events you will not want to miss. And if you are local to some of the action why not go along and enjoy the action in the flesh.

FOOTBALL

There are no less than four Barclays Premier League rounds and a round of FA Cup action, where the Premier League sides join in, taking place between now and January 9th.
It will be Match of the Day, Final Score and Gillete Soccer Saturday and other highlights programmes a-go-go as I like to keep up with all the action in a convenient package. There is plenty of live action to be had over the next few weeks.
The pick of the clashes over the busy Christmas schedule are:

Premier League


Lennon beats Lampard in last seasons meeting. Pic: Google Images

Tottenham V Chelsea. Thursday 22nd December 20:00. Sky Sports 1

Both sides are vying for the champions league places and come the end of the season this “six pointer” could be pivotal. This London derby is always entertaining and has served up some memorable games in recent years.

Manchester City V Liverpool. Tuesday 3rd January 20:00. Sky Sports 1
This is their second league meeting in five weeks and City have had their flood of goals halted slightly with only one game of their last four producing more than one goal in their favour and up against the league’s tightest defence so far this season an interesting match is in store.

Newcastle V Manchester United. Wednesday 4th January 20:00. Sky Sports 1
The Magpies held the champions to a 1-1 draw earlier in the season and this is an important game for the Red Devils to win because the likelihood is that their Manchester rivals will win the rest of their Christmas fixtures and if they are to slip up at Liverpool this is their opportunity to pull ever closer.

FA Cup

Manchester City V Manchester United. Sunday 8th January 13:00. ITV1
The FA Cup has lost its allure in recent years but monstrous clashes like these have a place and significance no matter what is on the line. United will not want to lose to their cross town rivals who would be keen to hand out another drubbing after their 6-1 win in October. Both sides are expected to take the competition seriously as they have been eliminated from the Champions League.

RUGBY

Rabo Direct Pro 12

Two interprovincial derbies take place in quick succession during the holidays. They often look less competitive on paper than they turn out to be in reality. With all four provinces now in the Heiniken Cup, three on top of their respective groups, the competition is expected to be as great as ever.
Coverage of the matches comes from RTÈ, BBC and TG4.

Leinster V Ulster. Monday 26th December 17:30 RTÈ/BBC
Both sides come into the game after wide margin victories in the Heiniken Cup last week. One would expect the home side to win, they are currently at the head of affairs in the table and perhaps have more to play for. However Ulster will want to move nearer the summit of the table and will attempt to make it difficult for the home side.

Munster V Connacht. Monday 26th December 19:45 TG4
The history of these clashes often goes as follows, game is slow into life, low scoring for a long period with Munster eventually grinding out a victory or running in few late tries. Nothing in the recent form of the two teams would suggest a much different outcome.
A number of years ago a game between these two finished 3-0 to Munster with an O’Gara penalty after a long and gruelling 67 minutes the difference between the sides.
In Thomond Park one cannot see anything else but a victory for the reds. I think we can expect it to be higher scoring than that 2004 tie!


Good game in store at Ravenhill. Pic: munsterrugby.ie

Ulster V Munster. Friday 30th December 19:05 RTÈ/BBC
At Ravenhill this is a potential stumbling block for Munster. The away side won this fixture last year for the first time since the 2006-07 season.
Ulster would catch up on Munster in the Rabo standings with a win, if both sides play to European form it will be a tight and entertaining match and gets my pick as the Rugby highlight of the Christmas period.

Connacht V Leinster. Sunday 1st January 17:00 TG4
Connacht let a big lead slip in the reverse fixture in October against an under strength Leinster. Both sides have improved since that meeting but with all their internationals returned Leinster will not want to slip up and give the Ospreys an opportunity to take top spot.
Connacht’s mixture of youth and experience will be sure to give a mighty effort to humble the European champions and a bit more luck for the western side could see them run them close.

HORSE RACING

: Too old for a fifth King George? Pic:Racing Post

KEMPTON 26th & 27th December. Coverage Channel4/Racing UK
The King George was rearranged last season from its Boxing Day slot due to snow. Long Run took the spoils in January with Kauto Star well adrift in third. Kauto reversed the result at Haydock and along with stablemate Master Minded attempt to dethrone their Nicky Henderson trained rival.

This years renewal has more genuine contenders than in recent years with Kauto Star having dominated the race since 2005 until last January. Captain Chris, the Arkle winner last March and who unseated on his seasonal reappearance would be a clear danger to all if staying the new trip.
There is also a question whether or not Master Minded will see out the three mile trip but he has won a plethora of Grade 1 prizes, some in spectacular fashion so cannot be written off despite the perception that he will not appreciate the longer trip.

LEOPARDSTOWN 26th-29th December. RTÈ/At The Races
No weather problems are expected this year and with plenty of stars on show it will make good viewing.
It kicks off on St Stephen’s Day with the Racing Post Novice Chase the feature on day one. Bog Warrior who was an easy winner last time looks the one to beat with the likely competition coming from the Willie Mullins stable.
The Paddy Power Dial-A-Bet Chase looks to lie in the lap of last year’s winner Big Zeb, he is odds on in ante post markets for the event which he has won twice in the past.
The absence of Denman due to injury and retirement has put a slight dampener on the Lexus Chase but the line up is strong even without his presence. Quito de la Roque, Rubi Light, Joncol and Bostons Angel are just a quartet in a 17 strong entry.
The final day will (hopefully) see the reappearance of the mighty Hurrricane Fly in the Istabraq Festival Hurdle. He missed his earlier engagement in the Morgiana Hurdle because his trainer Willie Mullins was not happy with his well being.
The winner of that race Thousand Stars, his stablemate, is the most noteworthy rival. But if Hurricane Fly shows up in good heart then there will be no stopping him. He is possibly the best two mile hurdler since Istabraq whom the race is now named after and will be parading at Leopardstown on the day.

OTHER RACING
The Welsh National at Chepstow on the 27th is the other race of note, last season’s winner Synchronized will be attempting to win it again. Cheltenham will take place on New Year’s Day and for any of you major racing fans out there your appetite will need to be big to handle all the action.
There will be a host of meetings throughout the UK and Ireland over the festive season with a dozen on December 26th alone.

DARTS

If you simply cannot get enough then enjoy the two World Darts Championships. It is not a sport I would follow all year through myself but I do enjoy it for these two/three weeks every year.
The PDC tournament is currently in progress at the Alexandra Palace in London and concludes on January 2nd. You can see the action live on Sky Sports.
The BDO World Darts Championship begins on January 7th and takes place at the Lakeside Country Club in Surrey, UK. The live and highlights coverage can be seen on BBC television.
Whatever your sporting dish this Christmas season enjoy the action and have a Happy Christmas.

Can it be done?

2011-11-29T13:19:00.000-08:00

IS IT all just luck or is there skill involved? Are those professional out there really making a good living from it?

The activity I refer to is betting (or gambling if you prefer).

Betting on sporting events is not seen as an ‘acceptable’ way to make money. Everyone assumes that all money staked is ultimately lost. I am here to attempt to prove that theory wrong.

Many have lost fortunes in investments and trading on exchanges yet it is seen as a more acceptable way of doing the same thing - placing money on an outcome that you believe to be likely.

Picture: gamblingpokersite.com

I have heard a statistic that about one in every 20 to 30 people who gamble come out in the black. On this blog I will post everyday (that I have a bet) and I invite you to follow my journey to see what sort of profit is made.

From December 1^st I will embark on a journey to see if a significant profit can be made by investing on sporting events.

On a personal note, I have been betting for about 6 years but only since 2010 I think I can say “I know what I am doing”. The last 6 months (since May 2011) have been a “career best” for me.

Racing will be a main betting sport. Pic: espn.go.com

My bets will predominantly be Horse Racing and Soccer with the occasional bet on other events. No games where you play the house such as Blackjack or Roulette will be included. There will be lay (to lose) bets as well as win bets included.

I will attempt to be as honest as possible with all details regarding betting throughout the journey. If you have any comments you would like to make follow me on Twitter (@con_clancy).

This is not a tipping service, I am not employing any magical betting systems, and I am not promoting gambling.

I do not claim to known it all and at this game we are always learning and over the next few months we will surely do so.

So join me on a journey, you could be part of something!

Five to follow 2011/12

2011-11-10T16:20:00.000-08:00

The jumps season will be in top gear after this weekend. The deadline for the Totesport Ten to Follow is imminent and here are a few you may want to look out for over the course of the season.

Reve de Sivola

6-y-o. Trainer: Nick Williams

Reve De Sivola: could be a Welsh National type
Photo: Martin Lynch (racingpost.com)

This dour stayer, a former dual Grade1 winner looks due to bag a good handicap chase this season. I think he is an ideal type for the Welsh national. Jumps soundly, handles heavy going, stays as long as he is asked and has ran well at the track on a number of occasions.

He was placed at both the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals before being the beaten in the Grade1 novice chase at Punchestown.

Captain Chris

7-y-o. Trainer: P Hobbs

He progressed all the way through the season to win two Grade 1s, the Arkle Chase at Cheltenham and the Ryanair Novice Chase at Punchestown. He was unlucky not to win on his seasonal reappearance after unseating after the last when holding every chance.

He is versatile regarding trip and ground conditions. His trainer believes he will be better over longer distances. However the record of Arkle winners in the following seasons Champion Chase is remarkable and with that division not as competitive as it has been in recent years he could well collect a few prizes at shorter trips.

Until he runs in the King George, his reported target we will not know where his season may turn. Yet to be out of the first two home in 10 completed starts over obstacles so must be respected wherever he turns up.

Accordingtojodie

5-y-o. Trainer: N Henderson

Destroyed a decent bumper field at Galway on debut and was later sold. Now races with Nicky Henderson and got lost in the fog at Newbury last December on his first run for the new trainer. Has reportedly had a breathing operation since.

If the five year old shows a level of form like that easy Galway win he will be an exciting prospect over hurdles for the coming season.

Silviniaco Conti

5-y-o. Trainer: P Nicholls

Won his second chase start at Wincanton last time. He jumped well before fading late on his debut against Cue Card. He takes his place in an extremely competitive division this year but connections will hold no fear.

When Paul Nicholls first acquired him he stated he could be a future Gold Cup horse and that should not be taken lightly from the four time winning trainer. Nicholls thinks he may be better going right handed so the Feltham at Kempton on 26^th December could be a port of call for the son Dom Alco.

Silviniaco Conti: highly regarded
Photo: Mark Cranham (racingpost.com/photos)

Texas Jack

5-y-o. Trainer: Noel Meade

Has earned a late inclusion to the list after an impressive win at Clonmel on Thursday. He sluiced past the useful Make a Track under a cheeky Paul Carberry.

He has previously won the valuable Land Rover Bumper at Punchestown in May.

He has Grade1 aims after that win and Noel Meade has no doubts about his ability. Has won three from as many runs and looked very composed for a novice. He will be tough to beat and having looked more mature than many of his fellow novices who have turned out this season already.

He could be one to catch early in the season as a betting prospect given his current form.

National Hunt Season 2011/12 Preview

2011-11-03T06:55:00.000-07:00

THE NATIONAL HUNT season is about to kick off in earnest right about now. As ever there is a plethora of rivalries and clashes to look forward to, Nicholls versus Henderson for the champion trainer title, Long Run the new star will look to repel all comers. Is there life in the old guard Kauto Star and Denman? Will Big Bucks’ stay unbeaten or can a worthy rival emerge to challenge this ‘monster’?

The answers to these questions will be resolved over the coming months. So let us take a look at the various top drawer divisions.

2m Hurdlers

It is all about Hurricane Fly after his five Grade1 wins last season and is a true champion with 11 wins from 13 races over hurdles. There appears to be no apparent challengers in Ireland for his crown and with last year’s champion hurdle second, third, fourth turning their hand to other codes/distances and many of the top novice hurdlers from 2011 going chasing Spirit Son, Zarkandar and perhaps an on song Binocular are left to challenge the Willie Mullins horse.

Big Bucks'
Photo: Google Images

Staying Hurdlers

Big Bucks’ hit his prime last season and his win at Aintree was simply sublime; with just two hurdlers to jump the commentator Mark Johnson described his might “Big Bucks’ just coasting on the bit and Ruby Walsh has time to adjust his goggles!” Putting it plainly he is the best horse in training and in Oscar Whiskey and Thousand Stars he will have two new rivals to swat like all who came before.

In Ireland Willie Mullins again holds all the aces with Mourad, Quevega and the aforementioned Thousand Stars looking likely to share the races between them.

2m Chasers

Sizing Europe took home the ultimate prize in the Queen Mother Champion Chase at the Cheltenham festival but overall last year no horse dominated the division. Master Minded is going to race over further this season. Big Zeb is now 10 years old and may have his best days behind him. Captain Chris improved all season and finished with Grade1 wins in the Arkle and the Ryanair novice chase at Punchestown. Despite reports that he may be best over further the record of Arkle winners in the following years Champion Chase is very good (4 wins from 7 who tried) so he may well run at a variety of distances. Finian’s Rainbow, Ghizao, Realt Dubh, Golden Silver, and French Opera are others of note in the division and I’m sure all will hold strong chances of making the winners enclosure at some point.

Staying Chasers

Long Run leaves old guard in his wake in last years Gold Cup
Photo: Google Images

Last year’s Gold Cup signalled the end of an era. Kauto Star and Denman who have given us so much to savour in the last five years are coming to the end of the line and six year old Long Run is very much the leading contender for all the major prizes. With Weapons Amnesty and Imperial Commander out for the season others will look to provide a challenge to the Waley-Cohen’s animal. Diamond Harry will be back in action and will be one to follow early in the season as he is best fresh. Time for Rupert will look to fulfil the promise he failed to deliver on in last season’s RSA chase after a satisfactory reappearance in the Charlie Hall Chase.

Ireland appear to have a stronger division of staying chasers this year than in recent season’s Bostons Angel, Jessies Dream, Quel Esprit and Quito de la Roque all expected to come through from the novice ranks to challenge for honours. Pandorama on soft going will be a force also.

Master Minded and Riverside Theatre will be tried at the longer distances but will probably end up over two and a half miles as the season progresses.

Next the novice divisions of hurdling and chasing will be examined and they look as interesting if not more so than in recent seasons. Plenty of top hurdlers from 2010/11 are turning their hand to the bigger obstacles and we will see them next.

Champions Day lives up to the hype

2011-10-17T06:05:00.000-07:00

Billed as an historic day since the beginning of the flat season Qipco British Champions Day, the richest racing day ever to be staged in the UK, certainly lived up to the hype. Frankel, the main attraction in a plethora of horses from the top rung of racing’s quality ladder. The stunning weather at Ascot was more like what you would expect at the Royal meeting, Matt Chapman of At The Races put it into context “when god woke up this morning he thought ‘Qipco British Champions Day!’”.

PICTURE: Edward Whitaker (racingpost.com/photos)

There was an atmosphere of expectation for every race, and the crowd of c. 27,000 expectations were warranted. Fame and Glory the Ascot Gold Cup winner galloping back to form to hold any challenges, a sprint field of contenders who had contested Europe’s best sprint races all season and was won easily by favourite Deacon Blues, Dancing Rain a dual Oaks winner posted a heroic performance to make all in the Filly and Mares race, the almighty Frankel cosily sealed his title of champion miler, and the Champions stakes, said by some to be the best contest for many a year consisting of 25 Group 1 titles between the dozen strong line up including eight time top level victor and eventual runner up So You Think, Twice Over who had won the race as many times as his name suggests just two in a stellar field. The winner Cirrus Des Aigles however was gaining his first Group1 win as he mowed down the Aussie import to earn a celebration from the flamboyant Christophe Soumillon.

The issue in the preceeding days had been put to the back of people’s minds, then the whip rules cracked their way back into focus, Soumillon was adjudged to have hit Cirrus Des Aigles six times in the last furlong, one more than permitted but one less than allowed in the whole race. The Belgian was given a five day ban and a fine of over £50k in his share of the prize money. French based Soumillon was clearly incensed by the decision: "I'm very, very, very embarrassed for British racing. The people and the fans have been let down.

"This is 2011, we are civilised people, it's not the 1800s, we can't be treated like this. The rules can change, but not like this, you can't chop our heads and legs off.

Christophe Soumillion

PICTURE: Masakazu Takahashi

"I am not here to whip horses, I'm here to make the horse run his best. These whips are soft and maybe I should have hit him earlier. You're going flat out, there is a huge crowd here and advertising everywhere, how are you meant to see a tiny furlong marker.

"For the sake of 20 yards, I've been punished and lost £50,000, my valet will be paid, so will my agent, but I will not. This will have a big impact on my title challenge in France also.

"In what other sport do you see such big punishments for a little offence? It doesn't happen to Michael Schumacher or Zinedine Zidane, and they earn ten times what we do.

"I heard about this a week ago - how can I adapt my riding style in a week? The last time I rode in this country was a month ago. It's different in this country to everywhere else, I ride in many countries - we need international guidelines like they have in every other sport.

The lack of clarity and the difficulty in understanding the logic of the rules is reiterated by Soumillon. "I've hit my horse six times, that's less than seven, yet I get banned and all my money taken”. He said that he would take legal action against the new rules. "You can't take money earned off people like this. I will get a good lawyer and we will see."

There was compensation awaiting Soumillon at Woodbine on Sunday when he rode the French filly Sarah Lynx to victory in the Pattison Canadian International Stakes. John Hammond’s charge stormed to victory leaving last year’s winner Joshua Tree and Aidan O Brien’s Treasure Beach four lengths in her wake. Ironically had the race taken place in the UK the stewards may perhaps have had a look at his use of the whip (non-excessive as it was).

Everyone involved in racing is looking forward to the issue of the whip rules being resolved as soon as possible. There is a meeting today between jockeys and BHA officials and we all look to a successful compromise being made.

Qipco British Champions Day was a success and plans are already in place to boost the status of some of the races to Group1 status for 2012.