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<?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" media="screen" href="/~d/styles/rss2full.xsl"?><?xml-stylesheet type="text/css" media="screen" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~d/styles/itemcontent.css"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:feedburner="http://rssnamespace.org/feedburner/ext/1.0" version="2.0"><channel><description>Vahid V. Motlagh is an independent and placeless analyst and researcher. He is a member of the World Futures Studies Federation and also a board member of the Shaping Tomorrow’s Foresight Network. Motlagh reads English, Arabic, Farsi, and Italian and is interested in science and technology foresight as well as futures studies and decision analysis tools and methods.</description><title>Vahid Scenario</title><generator>Tumblr (3.0; @vahidmotlagh)</generator><link>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/</link><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/vahid_v_motlagh" /><feedburner:info uri="vahid_v_motlagh" /><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="hub" href="http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/" /><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="hub" href="http://tumblr.superfeedr.com/" /><item><title>"Asymmetrical reciprocity in political complex adaptive systems will, sooner or later, result in the..."</title><description>“Asymmetrical reciprocity in political complex adaptive systems will, sooner or later, result in the crisis of legitimacy”&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; - &lt;em&gt;Vahid V. Motlagh&lt;/em&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/4Rxa7J9awto/16987782093</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16987782093</guid><pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 23:58:34 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16987782093</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>"The continuity of plans in mind is always in contrast with the discontinuity of assumptions about..."</title><description>“The continuity of plans in mind is always in contrast with the discontinuity of assumptions about reality”&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; - &lt;em&gt;Vahid V. Motlagh&lt;/em&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/bkA3z2-Cpng/16627495580</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16627495580</guid><pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 12:16:14 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16627495580</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Dr. Wendell Bell receives 2011 Laurel Award: all-time best futurist</title><description>&lt;a href="http://vahidmotlagh.blogspot.com/2011/09/biography-of-wendell-bell.html"&gt;Dr. Wendell Bell receives 2011 Laurel Award: all-time best futurist&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;Dr. Wendell Bell, as well as Dr. Michel Godet and Peter Schwartz receive 2011 Laurel Awards, the all-time best futurists as voted annually by Foresight Network members and/or by agreement of the Foresight Network Board. The ‘Laurel’ award is bestowed by the Board for outstanding services to futures thinking. We have all been influenced and affected by Dr. Wendell Bell in some form or other and we have him to thank for the wonderful science we all love –futures research, thinking and design.&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/zig-xmpLozY/16597788838</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16597788838</guid><pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 01:42:57 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16597788838</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Mika Mannermaa, pioneer of Futures Research in Finland, has passed away</title><description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;h1 class="ha"&gt;&lt;span class="hP" id=":n6"&gt; &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/h1&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/8slW1A1h7Nk/16596070646</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16596070646</guid><pubDate>Sat, 28 Jan 2012 01:12:00 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16596070646</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>World Economic Forum: Africa &amp; Asia to be centre of world economy within decades</title><description>&lt;a href="http://tgr.ph/wDjTBb"&gt;World Economic Forum: Africa &amp; Asia to be centre of world economy within decades&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/LlZgwjS8ov8/16573919602</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16573919602</guid><pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 15:01:43 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16573919602</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>"A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month,..."</title><description>“A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn’t happen.”&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt; - &lt;em&gt;Winston Churchill&lt;/em&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/I5rHLw05jUw/16535054319</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16535054319</guid><pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 00:03:54 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16535054319</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>مراکز آینده پژوهی حکومتی جدید التاسیس در ایران‎</title><description>&lt;p&gt;دانشگاه شریف
&lt;a href="http://ristip.com"&gt;http://ristip.com&lt;/a&gt;


دانشگاه تهران
&lt;a href="http://ayandehpajoohi.com/"&gt;http://ayandehpajoohi.com/&lt;/a&gt;


دانشگاه امیر کبیر
&lt;a href="http://research.aut.ac.ir/Persian/?mid=3238&amp;lang=fa"&gt;http://research.aut.ac.ir/Persian/?mid=3238&amp;lang=fa&lt;/a&gt;


دانشگاه آزاد - واحد علوم تحقیقات
&lt;a href="http://www.sabadnews.com/itnews/index.php?news=154232"&gt;http://www.sabadnews.com/itnews/index.php?news=154232&lt;/a&gt;


مرکز آینده پژوهی تابان
&lt;a href="http://www.tabancenter.ir"&gt;http://www.tabancenter.ir&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/nM-K5cZKzEU/16528203812</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16528203812</guid><pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 21:27:32 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16528203812</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>روی کدام آینده جهان شرط ببندیم: روشن یا تاریک</title><description>&lt;a href="http://bit.ly/x0q6Vb"&gt;روی کدام آینده جهان شرط ببندیم: روشن یا تاریک&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;در چارچوبی که هلال – مارین (2011) از مگا بحران جهانی ارئه می دهند ما برای چهار سناریوی 1&lt;strong&gt;) سقوط به سمت فاجعه، 2) تقلا به سمت بد تر شدن، 3) تقلا به سمت بهتر شدن، و 4) خیزش به سمت بلوغ تمدن انسانی &lt;/strong&gt;احتمالات عینی&lt;strong&gt; &lt;/strong&gt;را نمی دانیم. بنابراین باید از شرط بندی های دارای عدم قطعیت برای تعیین وزن های تصمیم یا احتمالات غیر جمع پذیر استفاده کنیم&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/Em509L5Y9lc/16410989919</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16410989919</guid><pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 19:58:46 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16410989919</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Two postdoctoral open positions for the Green Economy</title><description>&lt;p&gt;We seek two postdoctoral Research Fellows to undertake research for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs and its network and to help grow our industrial client base in this field. Both positions support our Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures and will play a key role in delivering CERF’s research programme. For these positions, a background in, or experience of fields allied to environment, food and rural affairs is required, alongside an awareness of the research needs for the green economy. The 2 post include: Research Fellow: Horizon Scanning / Futures Specialist &lt;a href="https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142144" target="_blank"&gt;&lt;a href="https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142144"&gt;https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142144&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/a&gt; and Research Fellow – Environmental Systems Analyst &lt;a href="https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142142" target="_blank"&gt;&lt;a href="https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142142"&gt;https://jobs.cranfield.ac.uk/wd/plsql/wd_portal.show_job?p_web_site_id=4009&amp;p_web_page_id=142142&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/a&gt; Online application forms can also be downloaded on each of the sites. I’d be grateful if you would pass this on to anyone you think might be interested. Regards and best wishes. Fiona PS. We need to organise a lunch soon. Fiona Lickorish Principal Research Fellow - Horizon Scanning &amp; Futures Centre for Environmental Risks and Futures —————————————————————————————————— + Rm. G02, Building 42, Cranfield University, Cranfield, MK43 0AL ( 01234 750111 (x2782) : &lt;a href="http://www.cranfield.ac.uk/sas/aboutus/staff/lickorishf.html" target="_blank"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.cranfield.ac.uk/sas/aboutus/staff/lickorishf.html"&gt;http://www.cranfield.ac.uk/sas/aboutus/staff/lickorishf.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/mYbHodvOJv0/16407407212</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16407407212</guid><pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 14:32:13 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16407407212</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>اعلام نیاز / برطرف سازی نیاز در اندیشکده وحید</title><description>&lt;p&gt;مشترک عزیز اندیشکده وحید&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;در طی سالیان گذشته موارد متعددی بروز کرده است که یکی از علاقه مندان سایت اندیشکده وحید نیاز یا تقاضائی برای کالا یا خدماتی داشته است و به طور شگفت انگیزی پس از تماس با من متوجه شده است که یکی دیگر از علاقه مندان سایت اندیشکده وحید دقیقا همان نیاز را می تواند برآورده کرده یا عرضه ای برای کالا یا خدمات مد نظر را تبلیغ می کرده است&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;با توجه به نرخ قابل توجه موفقیت در برقرار سازی چنین ارتباطات واسطه ای و به منظور تسهیل و تقویت بیشتر برقرار سازی این گونه ارتباطات در آینده (چه به صورت انتفاعی یا غیر انتفاعی) شما می توانید عرضه/تقاضای خود را به صورت خیلی مختصر اعلام کنید تا بتوانید از طریق شبکه مشترکان اندیشکده وحید که عمدتا شامل افراد گوناگون می شود به طور موثرتری به عرضه/تقاضای خود دست پیدا کنید&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;نمونه ای از آخرین موارد عرضه/تقاضا به شرح زیر است&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;موسسه مناسب برای یادگیری زبان انگلیسی&lt;br/&gt;نمونه های انجام شده پایان نامه دانشگاهی&lt;br/&gt;کتاب های دست دوم تخصصی&lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی فرصت های شغلی&lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی منابع انسانی برای مشاغل &lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی همکار برای ترجمه کتاب&lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی همکار/ شریک برای تاسیس موسسات یا شرکت ها&lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی فرصت های تحصیلی&lt;br/&gt;معرفی مورد مناسب ازدواج&lt;br/&gt;جست و جوی پارتی برای حل مشکلات اداری&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/xEK5jZ5t3QI/16361565395</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16361565395</guid><pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 23:39:19 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16361565395</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>la possibilità di leggere le immagini che pensiamo direttamente dal nostro cervello, aprendo la strada anche alla lettura dei sogni</title><description>&lt;a href="http://www.ilgiornale.it/interni/un_microchip_cervello_gira_film_tuo_sogno/22-01-2012/articolo-id=568186-page=0-comments=1"&gt;la possibilità di leggere le immagini che pensiamo direttamente dal nostro cervello, aprendo la strada anche alla lettura dei sogni&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;E ora, ogni volta che il cervello di un volontario produce un segnale cerebrale conosciuto, Gallant riesce a tradurlo in immagine&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/zwu6YShsOHM/16282048587</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16282048587</guid><pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 13:28:35 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16282048587</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Data indicates that the world 10 years from now, on balance, will be better than today---.says Jerome C. Glenn in THE FUTURIST November-December 2011</title><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/4DWcAPRSl_E/16250768855</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16250768855</guid><pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 02:02:40 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16250768855</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>اسلامی شدن علم </title><description>&lt;p&gt;اسلامی شدن و به تبع آن نفهمیدن علم یعنی اینکه کسی که در کل عمرش شرط بندی و قمار نکرده است مدرک دکترا بگیرد و برود در دانشگاه نظریه علمی آمار و احتمال را تدریس کند&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/tC_ayFCs-zk/16247531718</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16247531718</guid><pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2012 01:05:54 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16247531718</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>خداحافظی ملت ايران با خوشگذرانی </title><description>&lt;a href="http://www.tabnak.ir/fa/news/221418/%D9%BE%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AE-%D8%A7%D8%AD%D9%85%D8%AF%DB%8C-%D9%86%DA%98%D8%A7%D8%AF-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%D8%AD%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%84%D9%87-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86"&gt;خداحافظی ملت ايران با خوشگذرانی &lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/kEc63ENyK90/16238666872</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16238666872</guid><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 22:30:11 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16238666872</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>His latest book, Welcome to the Future Cloud, brings that high energy style to the year 2025 as Bullinga gives a rousing description of the technologies and cultural norms that he believes will shape humanity fifteen years in the future</title><description>&lt;a href="http://singularityhub.com/2012/01/18/qa-with-dutch-futurist-marcel-bullinga-as-his-latest-book-looks-to-2025/"&gt;His latest book, Welcome to the Future Cloud, brings that high energy style to the year 2025 as Bullinga gives a rousing description of the technologies and cultural norms that he believes will shape humanity fifteen years in the future&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/hnsAWLvGu70/16230493353</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16230493353</guid><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 19:54:36 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16230493353</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>The dynasty which created Shi’ism in Iran</title><description>&lt;a href="http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2012/01/the-dynasty-which-created-iran/"&gt;The dynasty which created Shi’ism in Iran&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;It is routinely unknown that before the Safavids, Iran was a predominantly Sunni domain&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/ydc3AqSo74s/16228103220</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16228103220</guid><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 18:59:52 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16228103220</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title> The history books of the future will tell us that this was merely one of the symptoms of the industrial revolution that, since about the 1980s, was finally easing its way towards its end</title><description>&lt;a href="http://allisstatus.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/helicoptering-to-success/"&gt; The history books of the future will tell us that this was merely one of the symptoms of the industrial revolution that, since about the 1980s, was finally easing its way towards its end&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;p&gt;No matter how gruelling the coming economic recession is going to be, there’s a lot of healthy, and exciting, work to be done in the future.&lt;/p&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/xNPGLZHRAaw/16224406777</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16224406777</guid><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jan 2012 17:03:27 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16224406777</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>A StrategicPedia to engage “specialists of the whole”</title><description>&lt;a href="http://seedmagazine.com/content/article/on_a_global_foresight_commons/"&gt;A StrategicPedia to engage “specialists of the whole”&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/06AK1WTvY70/16059588169</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16059588169</guid><pubDate>Wed, 18 Jan 2012 16:28:41 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16059588169</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>Edge Challenges Leading Thinkers To Name Their 'favourite Explanations'</title><description>&lt;a href="http://www.edge.org/responses/what-is-your-favorite-deep-elegant-or-beautiful-explanation"&gt;Edge Challenges Leading Thinkers To Name Their 'favourite Explanations'&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/bb7KvyjPC3E/16015958255</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16015958255</guid><pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 22:37:42 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/16015958255</feedburner:origLink></item><item><title>quantitative approaches that are able to predict human collective behaviors</title><description>&lt;a href="http://necsi.edu/research/overview/prediction.html"&gt;quantitative approaches that are able to predict human collective behaviors&lt;/a&gt;</description><link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/vahid_v_motlagh/~3/oU5I0fJyQP0/15966460211</link><guid isPermaLink="false">http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/15966460211</guid><pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 00:43:22 +0330</pubDate><feedburner:origLink>http://vahidmotlagh.tumblr.com/post/15966460211</feedburner:origLink></item></channel></rss>

