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	<title>"VENUING VOICES"</title>
	
	<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices</link>
	<description>Boldly Going Beyond the Jumbotron...</description>
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		<title>Where Did My Network Go?</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4635</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4635#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Mar 2011 21:37:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4635</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My phone is beeping a lot less these days. I&#8217;m fairly certain I didn&#8217;t lose any of my extreme popularity. I seem to be getting the same amount of emails as ever &#8212; just not to my phone.
Verizon released its version of the iPhone for nearly a month and already has accumulated an 8.4% market [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>My phone is beeping a lot less these days. I&#8217;m fairly certain I didn&#8217;t lose any of my extreme popularity. I seem to be getting the same amount of emails as ever &#8212; just not to my phone.</p>
<p>Verizon released its version of the iPhone for nearly a month and already has accumulated an 8.4% market share for the product. Before the launch, Verizon claimed it had tested its network to ensure it could handle the rigor adding iPhone users would cause. As an Android user from the beginning, I am here to call shenanigans.</p>
<p>I no longer receive emails to my phone at work. I cannot always access Pandora while traversing New York City. Text messages sometimes do not send from my apartment. Everything seems a bit slower. Not AT&amp;T slow, but slow enough to where I notice the difference. </p>
<p><em>What responsibility does Verizon have to reimburse me or improve its network so it can perform as well as it had prior to the Apple influx? </em></p>
<p>I re-upped my Verizon contact 15 months ago long before Verizon or Apple publicly acknowledged they would be getting together. When the two companies finally did make an announcement, Verizon did not offer its existing customers early upgrades nor did they warn me that my data network would hurt. That would be fine&#8230;so long as the network did not suffer. </p>
<p>When fans who bought Super Bowl tickets were not able to view the game from their seats as the temporary structures did not pass inspect and instead had to watch from a special party area, the NFL was quick to offer compensation. The league even went out of its way to offer three options to the upset customers &#8212; options that provided the flexibility for the fans to receive proper compensation in monetary and sentimental value. </p>
<p>Verizon clearly doesn&#8217;t have to this &#8212; neither by what is forced upon them by the law nor by competition. There is no moral ex po facto rule and my data is still better than AT&amp;T. Yet, six weeks ago I had better service and I still pay the same much. The value I am receiving has gone down and Verizon hasn&#8217;t even issued an apology.</p>
<p>The practical side of me knows I should not expect anything but that doesn&#8217;t make me feel any better.</p>
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		<title>Forgot that Feeling</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4629</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4629#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Mar 2011 02:42:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4629</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With 1:01 left on the clock and the Knicks down two, Chauncey Billups pulled up from deep, way deep.  It was a &#8220;no-No-NO-YEEEEEEEES!&#8221; moment. Mr. Big shot swished a three pointer over the outstretched arm of Dwyane Wade. The Knicks led 85-84 and would not look back.
I&#8217;ve been a Knicks for as long as [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>With 1:01 left on the clock and the Knicks down two, Chauncey Billups pulled up from deep, way deep.  It was a &#8220;no-No-NO-YEEEEEEEES!&#8221; moment. Mr. Big shot swished a three pointer over the outstretched arm of Dwyane Wade. The Knicks led 85-84 and would not look back.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been a Knicks for as long as I have been conscious. I kinda, sorta remember two-for-eighteen. I definitely remember the missed finger-roll. My favorite memory is a toss-up between the Allan Houston triangle runner and Larry Johnson&#8217;s four-point play. </p>
<p>With those 1990s (and 2000) teams, the Garden was electric. There were epic battles with Chicago (which we often lost), Indiana (about a split) and Miami (won most of those!). Ewing, Oakley, Starks, Houston, Sprewell, Johnson, Smith, Harper, Childs, Dudley (Yes, Dudley!), Rivers, Davis, Blackman and Camby. Riley and Van Gundy. (We&#8217;ll just sweep the Don Nelson under the rug.) Those teams had heart. Ugly to watch but fun to root for. Cliche, cliche, cliche.</p>
<p>In the 1990s it was fun to root for the Knicks. Not only were they good, but they represented what New York City likes to think it is all about: hardworking and the best &#8212; yet still an underdog. How does that work? I&#8217;m not sure&#8230;it just does. It&#8217;s a New Yorker thing.</p>
<p>With every game &#8212; not big game, just game &#8212; the Garden would come to life. The fans and team were one. We would give each other everything we had. The players would play their asses off and the fans would scream and yell and provide the best home court advantage in the NBA. It was awesome.</p>
<p>Then the Knicks traded Patrick Ewing just months before his contract was set to expire. They were forced to outbid themselves and give Allan Houston $100 million. One bad contract turned into twenty-three bad contacts (yes, you only have fifteen active players on your payroll at once) and Isiah Thomas went down in history as the guy who ruined one of the league&#8217;s best franchises as well as a whole league (OK, the CBA &#8212; still a league, sorta). Ten years of misery ensued.</p>
<p>Then Donnie Walsh came. A man who had a plan. A man who had the patience to not succumb to the overbearing New York fans and media. Yes, he came at a good time when fans were &#8212; after eight years of misery &#8212; willing to allow a rebuilding effort. And yes, there was a light at the end of the tunnel in LeBron James that allowed us to be even more patient. So when LeBron went south and Amar&#8217;e was the only spoil from our war with Patience we were not very happy. It was nice to have a &#8220;star,&#8221; but was he really worth $99 million? Would his knees hold-up? Could we really compete?</p>
<p>At the All-Star break we were two games over .500. Relatively speaking we were ecstatic.</p>
<p>Then the trade happened. &#8216;Melo had come. Two stars. The first great scoring wing in NYC since Bernard King to accompany the best big man since #33. It would take awhile to jell but their collective greatness would bring moments. Maybe not a championship but year one had to bring hints.</p>
<p>February 27, 2011. Miami. Fourth quarter. The majority of South Beach fans finally decided to make it to their seats. The Knicks and Heat were playing. Five All-Stars and a former NBA Finals MVP on the court at once.</p>
<p>I have not had as much fun watching a Knicks game in a decade. My blood pressure was high. The refs were my enemy. The Heat were my archenemy. Loud voices and bad words were used. </p>
<p>Then Chauncey hit that three.</p>
<p>It was too good.</p>
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		<title>CC, His Option and Brian Cashman’s Future</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4621</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4621#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2011 19:38:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[New York]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Cashman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carsten Charles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cashman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CC Sabathia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tommy Devito]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4621</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[“You can opt out after [2011],” Cashman said Monday, recounting the conversation. “That way, if you’re still worried about playing in New York, you can leave.”

Famous last words?
Brian Cashman &#8212; the Yankees&#8217; General Manager and prime baseball issue decision maker unless those decisions are really important and/or necessitate signing a player to a really, really [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><blockquote><p>“You can opt out after [2011],” Cashman said Monday, recounting the conversation. “That way, if you’re still worried about playing in New York, you can leave.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Famous last words?</p>
<p>Brian Cashman &#8212; the Yankees&#8217; General Manager and prime baseball issue decision maker unless those decisions are really important and/or necessitate signing a player to a really, really big contract &#8212; has been awfully direct this offseason in his criticism of the organization. He point blankly admitted he did not want to sign Rafael Soriano and consequently lose a first round draft pick. He straightforwardly called CC Sabathia out for not losing the thirty pounds in the offseason that he had claimed to have lost. He even broached the subject of Derek Jeter moving off shortstop &#8212; a topic that has be a &#8220;no-no&#8221; for any Yankee employee to think about let alone discuss publicly.</p>
<p>If Cashman is trying to get fired so he can collect a check then prove his doubters by leading a mid-major organization to relevancy, he better not hold his breath. Hank Steinbrenner will allow Cashman to wallow in baseball purgatory &#8212; a figurehead leader without any relevant influence &#8212; as opposed to letting him leave just because he opens his mouth a bit. Yet, there is one move that would expedite Cashman&#8217;s transition to another team:</p>
<p><em>If CC Sabathia opts out of his contract. Even worse if he then jets to the Red Sox.</em></p>
<p>Sabathia is on the record as stating, &#8220;I have no idea [if I will opt out.] It is still in my contract. Anything is possible.&#8221; Couple that with his &#8220;noticeable&#8221; loss of weight &#8212; whether fifteen or thirty pounds it does not matter &#8212; and CC&#8217;s words and actions seem to make one thing clear: <em>he is in a contract year</em>.</p>
<p>Player options are a bit counterintuitive (or perhaps morally ambiguous). All other things being equal, if a player has a great year he will choose to opt out of his contract. Otherwise, if he plays poorly he will pick up his option and stay on for the previously negotiated amount. There is no, nor should there be any, loyalty from the player.</p>
<p>If CC has another great year, he will be a 31 year old workhorse southpaw entering free agency. As a matter of comparison, Cliff Lee was 32 years old this year when he received a 5 year, $120MM contract. Carston Charles Sabathia will be in a position to demand at least that number. Combine his excellent resume with $50MM coming off of the Red Sox payroll, the Angels determined to spend their way into relevancy and the Yankees desperate to keep their only stud starter and you have the recipe for a bidding war not seen since Mark Teixeira.</p>
<p>Which brings us back to Brian Cashman. The man&#8217;s fate seems tied to Sabathia. If the big lefty leaves and it <strike>will</strike> can be attributed to Cashman then he will get the Tommy Devito treatment. Otherwise, sorry Brian, but your stuck with the pinstripes.</p>
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		<title>The Argument for White Labeling</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4608</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4608#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Feb 2011 22:37:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buyzooka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commercialization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foursquare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gap]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Groupon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White Label]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4608</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[**Disclaimer**
We&#8217;ve pivoted our company to become a white-labeled product. We believe in it as a commercialization model.
Wikipedia has a nice definition of a white label. So nice, in fact, that I will not try to recreate a better one. Please read:
A white label product or service is a product or service produced by one company [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><em>**Disclaimer**<br />
We&#8217;ve pivoted our company to become a white-labeled product. We believe in it as a commercialization model.</em></p>
<p>Wikipedia has a nice definition of a white label. So nice, in fact, that I will not try to recreate a better one. Please read:</p>
<blockquote><p>A white label product or service is a product or service produced by one company (the producer) that other companies (the marketers) rebrand to make it appear as if they made it.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I believe the white-label will become a huge phenomena in the mobile/social/tech/eCommerce space(s). While the consumer facing tech product has worked in the past, it genuinely has had a few things work in its favor in the past to help ensure success. Some &#8212; like Facebook and Twitter &#8212; will surely continue to succeed while others &#8212; like Groupon and Foursquare &#8212; might find that the success they&#8217;ve had thanks to being first to market might not be defensible as much of their technology (read code/features; not scaling ability) will be commoditized and recreated by existing, bigger brands in other sectors. Let me explain&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>Case Study on Expense: Gap/Groupon Promotion</strong><br />
On August 19, 2011 Groupon hosted a Gap promotion offering $50 worth of apparel and accessories for $25. The deal sold 441,000 times, netting over $11MM. Groupon generally takes half of that. A nice $5MM+ day for Groupon <em>but at least a $7.5MM hit to the Gap&#8217;s bottom line</em> (source: http://mashable.com/2010/08/19/gap-groupon/).</p>
<p>The question regarding the case study is who had more reach? The Gap or Groupon. Groupon can email millions of people. But at least that many have heard of the Gap. Granted I cannot estimate how many people Gap can make aware of a daily deal but I am guessing it is a lot.</p>
<p>In the future, what is stopping Gap from using one of the many white label Groupon clones who would charge a lesser cut while allowing the Gap to claim 100% of the branding of the offer&#8217;s page? </p>
<p>No white label will be able to compete with Groupon in the brick n&#8217; mortar ma and pa shops (i.e. local) sector. But on the national level for large corporations the white label might make sense.</p>
<p><strong>Case Study on Reach: Foursquare</strong><br />
As a member of the mobile/social community, we all hail to Foursquare. Today they just announced they have translated their application into five new languages. To date, they have a user community of over 6.5 million people who aggregately check-in over 2 million times per day. Clearly impressive numbers.</p>
<p>But take this into consideration, the NBA Facebook fan page has nearly 7.5 million users. Clearly this is a granny smith apple to macintosh apple comparison at best. I wish I had the NBA Turnstile numbers instead, but I think you &#8212; the intelligent reader you are &#8212; understand my point: it is much easier for an existing mega-brand to accumulate a following than a tech start-up.</p>
<p>Does this mean the end of Foursquare? Of course not. They have a great product and are led by some brilliant people. I am just making a point of relative scale.</p>
<p><strong>The Theoretical Argument</strong><br />
People create start-ups every single day. Nowadays, many of those infant companies are in the social/mobile/tech space. Some succeed but many more fail. </p>
<p>But what if you are one of the lucky few to make it? You raise some money and have a nice initial customer base. You might even be earning a bit of revenue. Now you face competition from people who see your success and clone your technology. This is where the real problem comes because nowadays <em>your competition does not just come from other start-ups, but from large corporate entities who have the wherewithal to quickly catch-up &#8212; both in terms of capital and existing customer base. </em></p>
<p>Technology is often easily replicable.  Foursquare founder Dennis Crowley once said (somewhere, I don&#8217;t have the exact quote) that he believed the check-in would be a commodity &#8212; it would be how different applications used the feature that would differentiate. Unfortunately for many start-ups, Crowley&#8217;s statement can be applied to many other tech features. </p>
<p>Gowalla and Scvngr built upon Foursquare&#8217;s technology.</p>
<p>Fanvibe and Crowdzone look a lot alike.</p>
<p>Living Social is essentially Groupon.</p>
<p>But these all represent technology companies copying technology companies. What happens when Comcast Spotlight creates Buyzooka.com &#8212; a Groupon clone &#8212; then puts its sales and marketing teams behind the effort? I&#8217;ve already mentioned my curiosity to see how well NBA Turnstile is doing, but how about ESPN Passport as a Foursquare for sports?</p>
<p>These larger entities have the ability to sit and watch as tech start-ups duke it out to see who will be declared king. However, the start-ups often bout in a ring only visible to early adopters. Mainstream users &#8212; and when the real money comes in &#8212; do not know about the leaders in the tech world until the Big Corporations of the world have time to clone them. At that point, the question becomes what is more powerful? A head start and user base of a few million or a large brand name with immediate recognizability from tens of millions of consumers. </p>
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		<title>White Stripes announce Amicable Breakup after Stunning 13-Year Career</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4605</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4605#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 17:50:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Music]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Break Up]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack & Meg White]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack White]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Meg White]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White Stripes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White Stripes + break up]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4605</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[*FAIL*
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><a href="http://whitestripes.com/">*FAIL*</a></p>
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		<title>Facebook Looks to Drive Revenue</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4595</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4595#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Jan 2011 22:52:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conspiracy theories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DST]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[eduardo saverin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Sachs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Zuckerberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rel8tion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sean parker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zuckerberg]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4595</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Eduardo Saverin: &#8220;You know what, settle an argument for us. I&#8217;d say its time to start making money from theFacebook but Mark Zuckerberg doesn&#8217;t want advertising. Who&#8217;s right?&#8221;
Sean Parker: &#8220;Neither of you, yet. TheFacebook is cool. That&#8217;s what it&#8217;s got going for it.&#8221;
Mark Zuckerberg: &#8220;Yeah.&#8221;
Sean Parker: &#8220;You don&#8217;t want to ruin it with ads because [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><blockquote><p>Eduardo Saverin: &#8220;You know what, settle an argument for us. I&#8217;d say its time to start making money from theFacebook but Mark Zuckerberg doesn&#8217;t want advertising. Who&#8217;s right?&#8221;<br />
Sean Parker: &#8220;Neither of you, yet. TheFacebook is cool. That&#8217;s what it&#8217;s got going for it.&#8221;<br />
Mark Zuckerberg: &#8220;Yeah.&#8221;<br />
Sean Parker: &#8220;You don&#8217;t want to ruin it with ads because ads aren&#8217;t cool.&#8221;<br />
Mark Zuckerberg: &#8220;Exactly.&#8221;<br />
Sean Parker: &#8220;It&#8217;s like you&#8217;re throwing the greatest party on campus and someone saying it&#8217;s gotta be over by eleven.&#8221;<br />
Mark Zuckerberg: &#8220;That&#8217;s exactly right.&#8221;<br />
Sean Parker: &#8220;You don&#8217;t even know what the thing is yet. How big it can get, how far it can go. This is no time to take your chips down. A million dollars isn&#8217;t cool. You know what&#8217;s cool?&#8221;<br />
Eduardo Saverin [giving evidence at the deposition]: &#8220;A billion dollars. And that&#8217;s what shut everybody up.&#8221;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Its official: Facebook is cool.</p>
<p>With the announcement that they will be introducing new advertisements helping companies that you &#8220;Like&#8221; to announce to your friends that you &#8220;Like&#8221; them and the purchase of Rel8tion &#8212; a Seattle start-up that focuses on optimizing ad delivery using demographics and location as input variables &#8212; Facebook clearly now know what the thing is. Tell your friends, the party will be going all night long.</p>
<p>With Goldman Sachs&#8217; special vehicle investment and a declaration to open up the books before April 2012, Facebook is finally making an all-out effort to drive revenue. On top of the recent changes to optimize advertisements, the company also announced that starting in July all third party applications will have to use their Credits system for in-app purchases. This shift of strategy to align product development with revenue creation seems to indicate that Zuckerberg and Co. might be looking to an IPO (Shakespearean Aside: I really do not believe Zuckerberg&#8217;s motivation to have a really big number associated with Facebook&#8217;s IPO is to drive his personal wealth. I actually look at it in much the same way I look at athletes&#8217; contracts. At some point they know an offer is more than enough money to ensure several generations of posterity will be able to eat, but they still want the biggest offer because it is a respect thing. An athlete wants the players in every clubhouse to know that <em>he</em> is making X amount of dollars a year because <em>he</em> is the best there is. Zuckerberg, like the athletes &#8212; I believe&#8211; sees the IPO valuation as a large piece of his legacy.) &#8212; or they just want to blow everyone&#8217;s socks off when they do have to show their books (Second Shakespearean Aside: I think this would be enough for the Zuck).</p>
<p>So why is Facebook making this shift? Perhaps it might not be a radical shift or even a pivot, but a new &#8220;product&#8221; to develop. Still, Facebook now has $2.36bn in funding from a number of institutional backers across many countries. These entities are the faction who most want Facebook to become extraordinarily profitable. Goldman Sachs, Digital Sky Technologies, and the other funds who have generously bought into Facebook vision are all guests at Mark&#8217;s party.</p>
<p>The interesting things to look in the future are patterns that the guests are running the party. There isn&#8217;t enough evidence to believe it to be the case now, but a conspiracy theorist might argue these last few moves to be the foundations of an argument built upon circumstantial evidence.</p>
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		<title>Uninformed Predictions for the 2011 Yankees Season</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4588</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4588#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Jan 2011 21:44:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yankees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2011]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ARod]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cashman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Girardi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Posada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rafael Soriano]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4588</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Yankees had a disappointing offseason. Cliff Lee treated them as if he was the popular girl, they were the A/V geek and the 2011 season was the prom. Theo Epstein decided to go all George Steinbrenner on the Yankees. Civil war in the front office led to overpaying for Rafael Soriano and rumors of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>The Yankees had a disappointing offseason. Cliff Lee treated them as if he was the popular girl, they were the A/V geek and the 2011 season was the prom. Theo Epstein decided to go all George Steinbrenner on the Yankees. Civil war in the front office led to overpaying for Rafael Soriano and rumors of Andruw Jones and Carl Pavano. Basically, the Yankees look like a team with little leadership or direction.</p>
<p>So what can the Yankees expect going into 2011:</p>
<p>- CC Sabathia will be the Yankees only trustworthy starter. Phil Hughes might get off to a hot start and AJ Burnett will look unhittable a hand few of times, but only the big fella will be consistent from April through September.</p>
<p>- The offense will be streaky. With aging players, players with interesting platoon splits, and a few young guns, this team will score 14 runs a few games in a row before being shut out for a week.</p>
<p>- A very strong bullpen. Mo, Soriano, Robertson, Feliciano, Chamberlain, and Logan comprise the best back six in baseball. Now if only Ramiro Mendoza would come back for that long relief role.</p>
<p>- Many Joe Girardi press conferences where he tells you that there is not much too worry about although you can easily tell he is worried. Variations of:<br />
          &#8211; &#8220;Derek is swinging the bat well and hitting the ball hard&#8230;just right at guys.&#8221;<br />
          &#8211; &#8220;Alex has been seeing the ball great these past few weeks. It&#8217;s just a matter of time before you start seeing the results in his numbers.&#8221;<br />
          &#8211; &#8220;Jorge swing has been looking shorter. His contact rate is bound to increase soon.&#8221;<br />
          &#8211; &#8220;Soriano just needs to get used to playing in New York. With all the energy and excitement he brings to the mound, he just needs to learn how to use it to his advantage now that he is constantly in the spotlight. It&#8217;s just a matter of time.&#8221;</p>
<p>- A few dumb quotes from Hank. Examples:<br />
         &#8211; &#8220;Don&#8217;t let Cashman fool you. He really wanted Soriano. He would&#8217;ve taken credit if he was pitching to a sub 2 ERA so now he has to be blamed for his 17 blown saves.&#8221;<br />
         &#8211; &#8220;We are the best team in baseball&#8230;we just aren&#8217;t playing that way.&#8221;<br />
         &#8211; &#8220;No one on this team is untradeable. Even Robbie or Jesus.&#8221;</p>
<p>- Speaking of Jesus Montero, don&#8217;t expect him to be the everyday catcher &#8212; a position he should own at this point.</p>
<p>- 91 wins and a *possible* Wild Card birth.</p>
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		<title>Facebook Wants To Be A $1,000,000,000,000 Company…And It’s Possible</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4573</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4573#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Jan 2011 21:06:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1000000000000]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[advertising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[al capone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[don draper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Facebook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Zuckerberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scrooge mcduck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trillion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trillion Dollars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zuckerberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zynga]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Two industry sources tell Silicon Alley Insider that Facebook tells its new employees its goal is to be a trillion dollar company. If their current $50bn valuation is to be believed &#8212; and the fact it is already trading at over $100bn on secondary markets lends me to think it should be &#8212; then a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Two industry sources tell Silicon Alley Insider that Facebook tells its new employees its goal is to be a <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/50-billion-hah-facebooks-goal-is-to-be-the-first-trillion-dollar-company-2011-1">trillion dollar company</a>. If their current $50bn valuation is to be believed &#8212; and the fact it is already trading at over $100bn on secondary markets lends me to think it should be &#8212; then a trillion dollars is totally within the realm of possibility.</p>
<p>Facebook will have two sources of revenue moving forward: advertising and credits. Each will be multi-multi-multi-billion dollar businesses.</p>
<p><strong>Advertising</strong><br />
You know those advertisements on the right side of a Facebook page? Yes, those little ones that you never click on. <em>Those</em> advertisements represent a good chunk of the two billion dollars Facebook made this year. I&#8217;d argue that Facebook has yet to figure out how to optimize how it performs a service that as a whole has yet to be optimized&#8230;and still makes 10 figures.</p>
<p>Take a look at slide twenty-five in this PowerPoint presentation by Morgan Station on Internet Trends.</p>
<div style="width:425px"><strong><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/CMSummit/ms-internet-trends060710final" title="Internet Trends 2010 by Morgan Stanley Research">Internet Trends 2010 by Morgan Stanley Research</a></strong></p>
<p> If you clicked the link you saw a bar chart comparing the percentage of media consumption time versus percentage of advertising spending across industries. Twenty-eight percent of media consumption occurs on the internet yet only thirteen percent of advertising spend occurs there. Now there might be several good reasons for this delta such as the efficiency of internet advertising relative to other forms of media or that you can do a lot on the internet for free. Still, Morgan Stanley estimates the &#8220;fifteen-percent gap&#8221; represents a $50bn opportunity. Taking into account that the internet is like the universe &#8212; really big and still growing &#8212; and that consumer habits are shifting towards the web, I would argue that the internet&#8217;s portion of media consumption will grow from twenty-eight percent to something much larger meaning that $50bn opportunity is even greater. </p>
<p>So we all admit the internet is big and on the surface we all know that Facebook is a big part of the internet. But did you realize &#8212; and can you fathom &#8212; that Facebook represents 20% of all internet page views? The online advertising market was a $110bn market in 2010 yet Facebook only pulled in $2bn at most by selling ads. If Facebook can optimize their advertising revenues to the point where their market share of page views was directly proportionate to their market share of the online advertising market, they would have made $22bn. I would even argue that because of the insane level of targeting they can offer and viral effect their ads can have, Facebook should be able to charge better than the average online ad. In short, I think that in 2010 Facebook shorted itself over $20bn in revenues. As Facebook grows and maximizes their earnings potential, expect them to realize these dollars. Mark Zuckerberg is the new Don Draper.</p>
<p><strong>Credits</strong><br />
 Advertising might bring in tens of billions of dollars in the future, but credits will be Facebook&#8217;s moneymaker. Credits is Facebook&#8217;s currency. Facebook is in the process of forcing all developers that make applications on its platform to collect using the new tender. All Facebook asks for is a 30% royalty. Mark Zuckerberg is the new Steve Jobs.</p>
<p>The Credits market will be huge. Zynga pulled in an estimated $600MM in 2010. Thirty percent of that is $180MM. That is a big number. The social gaming market is projected to be worth $1.093bn by eMarketer. A lot of those dollars will be from games made on Facebook. That is $300MM and growing. Again, a big number. And social gaming is just beginning to make its way into the mobile space &#8212; a place that resembles the Wild Wild West and is ripe for the taking (that is why we are here&#8230;The Venuist is Butch Cassidy while I like to think of myself as Billy the Kid). </p>
<p>Credits will eventually find its way beyond social gaming. Look for Amazon, eBay, and other commerce sites to expand their presence on Facebook &#8212; if they haven&#8217;t already. These companies will never agree to lose 30% of their dollars just to be on Facebook, but look for them to figure out ways to use the site for commercial purposes &#8212; ways that will inevitably include Facebook taking a cut. Mark Zuckerberg is the new Al Capone.</p>
<p>As I wrote two days ago, Facebook will have <a href="http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4551">plenty of time</a> to figure out how to best monetize. With $2bn in reported 2010 earnings Facebook is clearly on its way. </p>
<p>Using Google&#8217;s ~25 multiple as a baseline, to be worth $1,000,000,000,000 Facebook would need to report earnings of $40bn. Facebook&#8217;s current Net Profit Margin is 25% and &#8212; like most companies &#8212; will probably decrease as it grows even if it figures out a way to optimize its advertising and credits revenue streams. Let us say that number drops to 10%, that means Facebook will need to bring in $400bn in revenue to be worth their goal. With 600MM active users today let us also predict Facebook reaches 1bn users for sake of this fuzzy math model. The company would then only need to make $400 per user to be worth $1,000,000,000. Four Benjamins per person.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s. It.</p>
<p>Mark Zuckerberg may not be Don Draper, Steve Jobs, or Al Capone, but he will soon be the next Scrooge McDuck, diving into his personal Money Bin that overlooks the city of Internetburg.</p>
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		<title>Blame Two Year Contracts for Why I Am NOT Excited About the Verizon iPhone</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4566</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4566#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Jan 2011 22:43:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Venuing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blackberry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iphone 4]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iphone5]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Stuart Mill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samsung]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Jobs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[two year contract]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Verizon iPhone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[viPhone]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I am loyal to Verizon Wireless. Their network is unparalleled and their customer service is good enough. I&#8217;ve never had too many problems with dropped calls or terrible 3G. Overall, I would rate my experience as a customer as satisfactory, which in a relative sense &#8212; given the industry &#8212; is impeccable.
I&#8217;ve always had just [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>I am loyal to Verizon Wireless. Their network is unparalleled and their customer service is good enough. I&#8217;ve never had too many problems with dropped calls or terrible 3G. Overall, I would rate my experience as a customer as satisfactory, which in a relative sense &#8212; given the industry &#8212; is impeccable.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve always had just one complaint, the phone selection always sucked. Once phones got beyond the point where &#8220;Snake&#8221; was the coolest game on the block, Verizon has always lagged in what type of hardware it offered. Yeah, it had the Blackberries when they were all the rage, but I refused to settle into the Jewish suburban stereotype using the BBM as a portable flirtation device.</p>
<p>Back in the day I wanted that Sidekick goodness and more recently I wanted the iPhone for its simple, sleek, and sexy look/UI. And today Verizon made the big announcement that they will be providing a CDMA version of the iPhone 4 beginning February 10.</p>
<p>Yet, I. Am. NOT. Excited.</p>
<p>My lack of excitement is not because I am incredibly in love with my original Motorola Droid (Can you say trendsetter?). I really do not care that I will not be able to browse the internet <em>while</em> I am making a call as when I am on a call I tend to enjoy talking to the person with whom I am talking. And my lack of thrill is not caused by the extremely boring nature of the announcement which lacked Steve Jobs&#8217; presence or scripted dances such as the ones Samsung used during its CES keynote presentation. </p>
<p>My lack of thrill comes because the common sense that resides somewhere in the (very very very) back-end of my brain knows it would be a dumb purchase to get an iPhone 4 when the iPhone 5 will be released with 4 months. And I know the iPhone 5 will be a dumb purchase because it will most likely also be a CDMA 3G phone instead of leveraging the new and improved 4G LTE network. </p>
<p>Which brings us to an inherent problem in the mobile market: the two-year contract. Created to ensure that you will provide the mobile wireless company a steady annuity, the two-year contract commits a customer to a service for 24 months in return for a subsidy on the hardware device (i.e., the phone). Verizon will take a hit of few hundred now, to ensure a steady stream much larger than that over the course of the contract. But twenty four months today is much different than twenty four months when the contract was created.</p>
<p>Thirteen months ago I got my original Motorola Droid. While I may have broken the unwritten rule of never getting the first version of a product (especially a tech product), I still hate my device. The newer versions of the Android OS are very cool and powerful, but they are clearly meant to be used on newer and greater phones. I feel like I am watching an HD feed on a bunny eared black and white TV. Yet that TV was created less than a year and a half ago. </p>
<p>Those who rush to get the iPhone 4 will surely miss out on the iPhone 5 this summer and probably on the first 4G LTE iPhone unless they pay the absurd contract cancellation fees. Two years is an eternity in this crazy tech world we live in and I refuse to miss out on the iPhone 5 for four months of bragging and boasting that I have the best phone on the best network. </p>
<p>***Warning: The next paragraph really nerds out but it is my closing argument&#8230;so try and read it***</p>
<p>If there was a present value equation to calculate the amount of utility one would receive from an iPhone 4 it would be severely worse than that of a waiting until summer and getting the iPhone 5. The question is at what rate are we discounting and what time period can we get the iPhone compatible with the 4G LTE network to determine if the inequality reads:</p>
<p>iphone 5 &gt; iPhone compatible with the 4G LTE network<br />
-or-<br />
iphone 5 &lt; iPhone compatible with the 4G LTE network</p>
<p>Although not all the variables are known (and some are inherently personal), unfortunately because of the two year contract we cannot take the utilitarianism viewpoint of making the immediate switch. </p>
<p>John Stuart Mill is rolling in his grave.</p>
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		<title>THIS Week in TEH NFL, WILD CARD WEEKEND, Part 1: “LESSONS, like, LEARNED”</title>
		<link>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4557</link>
		<comments>http://www.venuing.com/voices/?p=4557#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Jan 2011 22:32:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Venuing Voices</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Football]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aaron Rodgers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baltimore Ravens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Belichick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brees + Saints]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cassel + Chiefs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charlie Whitehurst]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colts + Jets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colts + Manning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DeSean Jackson]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Joe Flacco]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Who Dats]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[LESSON LEARNED, LIKE, #1
“SITUATIONAL FOOTBALL”
That’s what they call it up in Foxboro, the AFC city closest to the Venuist’s ancestral home.  It’s what they practice in cities like Pittsburgh and Baltimore in August, in preparation for January.  And it was a skill that the Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts showed was clearly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p><strong>LESSON LEARNED, LIKE, #1</p>
<p>“SITUATIONAL FOOTBALL”</strong></p>
<p>That’s what they call it up in Foxboro, the AFC city closest to the Venuist’s ancestral home.  It’s what they practice in cities like Pittsburgh and Baltimore in August, in preparation for January.  And it was a skill that the Green Bay Packers and Indianapolis Colts showed was clearly lacking in their Wild Card Weekend matchups this past weekend.</p>
<p>Green Bay: going into the final minutes of the first half, Green Bay completes enough plays to move the ball near to midfield.  All of the sudden, Rodgers lofts a perfect sideline pass to James Jones.  Even though Jones has COMPLETELY burnt cornerback Asante Samuel on the play, he manages to do a spectacular job of dropping Rodgers’ throw.  Bummer.  Next thing we know Green Bay goes: delay-of-game violation, dump-off-screen, eleven men standing around for twenty seconds looking for sideline direction as the remaining minutes of the first half tick away.  To this observer’s eye, it looked as if – after the completion – Aaron Rodgers was looking for a play from the sideline when none was forthcoming.  Once the Pack was called for failing to run a play, the de facto time out forced Green Bay to run another play.  At this point, coach Mike McCarthy opted to run a safe screen down the middle in hopes of huddling up and taking the team into the tunnel for halftime (the Packers were getting the ball back at the beginning of the third quarter).  The only problem with this was that IT APPEARED THAT THE COACH HAD NEVER INDICATED TO RODGERS THAT HE WAS INTENDING TO RUN THE CLOCK OUT.  The resulting mess, after the completion, was a bunch of men in yellow helmets wandering around the general vicinity of the line of scrimmage while Rodgers squirmed.  Seeing as the Packers went onto win the game, this seemed relatively harmless.  That said, had the Eagles struck back quickly in the second half (which they nearly did) the Packers gaff-tastic and incoherent strategy in the closing moments of the half would surely have been discussed on media outlets from Kenosha to Milwaukee from here to draft day, Spring 2011.</p>
<p>Indianapolis: ‘woe’ to the Manning-for-Absolute Dictator of the Universe brigade.  Green Bay may have well escaped disaster for their first half two-minute drill mismanagement; the Colts were far less fortunate.  Here at the Voices, there aren’t too many Jim Caldwell fans, but seriously…to call time-out with 29 seconds on the clock, clinging to a two-point lead?  Not only a two-point lead, but an opposing team teetering on the brink of field goal range, and down to their last time out?  In the national media, much has been made today as to the origin of this head-scratching tactical decision.  Instead, I come to you with a theory to offer: the Colts had somehow NEVER practiced this scenario in any meaningful way – be that a game or as far back as minicamp.  Caldwell looked out onto the field and he and his lieutenants (presumably) surmised that whatever personnel group they had on the field at that moment was not prepared to match what the Jets were prepared to run on the subsequent play.  A time-out was thusly called.  To call this series of events simply “bogus” would do a disservice to Bill, Ted, and Webster’s New American Dictionary.  It was indefensible (pun intended) and even worse, when they returned to the field, they had no spectacular defensive play call ready to throw at the Jets (only confirming the point that they were simply shuffling their personnel).  Compare this scenario with that of the Patriots in late-season late-game scenarios against the Colts and Packers.  In virtually the same, must-throw scenarios, the Pats regular, passing-situation defense stayed on the field and forced an interception (Peyton Manning) and a fumble (Matt Flynn) to ice victories.  While the Colts defenders appeared confused and desperate for a directive, the Patriots defenders (despite a average age of like, 13) looked poised.  That’s because in New England, players practice situational football.</p>
<p><strong>LESSON LEARNED, LIKE, #2</p>
<p>“DUMB LUCK”<br />
</strong><br />
While playing sound football and having plans of action tailored to each crucial game-day scenario is a good way to win football games, there are other ways to win.  For example, teams can also win by accidents of good fortune.</p>
<p>Take for example, the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens may have played, on paper, the best game of all if this weekend’s contests when they went up against the Kansas City Chiefs.  Well, it sure looked like that by the end at least.  But in the first quarter, the Chiefs were moving the ball with incredible efficiency on the ground and with quick, and rare, throws to Kansas City’s wide-outs.  This game plan was especially smart on the part of the because it both emphasized the Chiefs’ strengths on offense while playing away from Baltimore’s defense strong points.  Baltimore’s pass rush appeared to be neutralized by the rush and the Ravens’ secondary – which is full of playmakers such as uber-safety Ed Reed – was forced to play forward as part of “mop-up the run” duty.  Yes, things were going along quite well for the Chiefs until the Chiefs’ players decided that holding firmly on the football was somewhere down on their list of priorities beneath “maybe winning this game, maybe” and “taking the family to Disney World this offseason.”  Result: fumbles in bunches.  Now, if we are to believe football stat geeks who tell us that with each turnover, a team lessens its chances of victory in the neighborhood of 15% to 20% then by the end of the third quarter, the Chiefs had a 10% to -20%  of winning a playoff game they had once led, AT HOME.   Yes Baltimore Ravens, you were very good.  But you were also very lucky.</p>
<p>Think no other teams were lucky in victory during Wild Card Weekend? Then you must think that:</p>
<p>(i)	it didn’t matter that Michael Vick underthrew the pass that ended up in the arms of Green Bay defender Tramon Williams.  After all, it wasn’t as if rookie wide receiver Riley Cooper didn’t have Williams beat by two steps in the middle of the end zone for a sure score if the ball had been arched six-to-ten inches higher in the air.<br />
(ii)	it didn’t matter that not one of eight possible New Orleans defenders could plant themselves during Marshawn Lynch’s jaw-dropping, and back breaking, touchdown run for the Seahawks or that Matt Hasselbeck had played so little this year that there clearly was not enough good game 2010 tape on him for Gregg Williams to have concocted a more effective game plan.<br />
(iii)	it didn’t matter that the only proper tailback on active duty for the Saints by the second half against Seattle was a street free agent picked up a couple of weeks ago, and it didn’t matter that he was thrust into playing in place of not one, but three arguably-Pro Bowl talents.<br />
(iv)	it didn’t matter that the Colts played without their top three possession receivers – ones who make plays in the middle of the field where the Jets corners cannot play strict man-to-man coverage – and still nearly one except for Jim Caldwell’s inexplicable inability to guide his team through crucial time-management scenarios.  </p>
<p>Just ask the winning teams in all four games.  Having lady luck on your side is like having the wind at your back at sea – the forward momentum of a few lucky strikes is all but contagious.  Good football teams take this momentum and turn it into victories.</p>
<p>That said, if you believe that none of the above un/fortunate factors meant anything to the outcomes of their respective games then you may go ahead and applaud the Ravens, Packers, Seahawks, and Jets for their brilliance, and nothing less.  Surely, we witnessed greatness transpire this Wild Card Weekend, in such measure as we have never seen before.</p>
<p><strong>LESSIONLEARNED, LIKE, #3</p>
<p>“Don’t poke the bear unless the bear is crawling on all fours”</strong></p>
<p>To be fair to the Ravens and Jets, two teams that have shared both coaching and player personnel in recent history, and two teams that love to scream, and get all “jacked up” and talk a lot of shit whether anyone is listening or not, both teams picked an opportune week to talk all the trash they could talk.  Clearly, the Colts were a wounded Titanic at this point in the season, running on vapors and the strength of Peyton Manning’s family football legacy.  Sooner or later, the NFL was bound to wake up and realize that Indy no longer has an elite coach to complement Manning’s black-ops, quick-strike offense.  Likewise, the Ravens – already known to be a team that much prefers playing road games in the playoffs to actually showing up week-in and week-out in the regular season and vying for home field advantage – were pretty certain that they could eat an inexperienced Kansas City alive in KC’s own stadium.  They did.  Therefore, a week of braggadocio was justified in both cases making this the happiest time of the year for the second-most beloved NFL franchises in both Northern New Jersey and greater Baltimore.</p>
<p><em><strong>Stay Tuned for:</p>
<p>THIS WEEK IN TEH NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND: PART 2, “DIVISION ROUND PREDICTIONS”</strong></em></p>
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