Visions and Views of Future Asia

Silver stable.. but move coming soon

2012-08-15T17:24:00.000-07:00

It was a very strange time for silver the last weeks.
But I think now is the time for the move..

it can be that it will first drop ... and then rally until next year.. so lets wait and see..

Also I am busy with the new site and silver coins webshop (www.tokyocoin.jp)
I will also move the blog to that site and also keep this one ..

The coin web shop will ship inside Japan silver coins..

So I will also set up the blog there and make some space for videos..

Looking at silver and Gold, I think there will be first drop .. and then it will go up.. or it will move very slowly and then sprint at the end of the year.

Also I am looking for some nice things to do during my vacation .. I found out there is some gold in the ground here in Japan .. http://www.water.sannet.ne.jp/p-omori/AI4.htm..

Japan is still strong

2012-07-12T03:21:00.000-07:00

Japan's Dentsu Agrees to Buy UK-Based Aegis for £3.2 Billion

You can see that Japan is still buying ..
also the silver price and gold prize are still going down and then up again..
I think juli 17 will be a turning point , so Gold and Silver will go lower .. but It didn't go as low a I was thinking , but I hope it will break 26 and 25 before the rally at the end of this year ....

you can also see more news about gold going to 2000 at the end of the year .. so I will stay and look if silver will go under 24 dollar .. if not I will wait for the rally up else I will buy again when it is going to this super low prize
but I still wait on the sell off of the European gold..

So do not get stressed and just wait an see what happens ..
the crisses is still expanding so thi story is not over yet .. maybe the real low .. is still in the making ...

I will not up date much because the silver is still very volatility and we just need to watch for a buying opportunity

All looks good for a nice bottom but also for the rally upwards at the end of the year ..
I think the shaking out of the paper investors will soon begin pushing the price more down !!

was that the top ?

2012-06-21T23:16:00.001-07:00

As I predicted there would be a top, but it looks like it didn't go high so as predicted we will see a big drop again

it can be that this patron will repeat again but it will breakout up or down , I expect first a breakout down wards very strong and then the upwards move but that will be later this year in 2 or 3 months .. so the dip will come soon .. but also the Europa bank need to be selling ..
So if this is a good pull down we will see 24 and lower .. the rid is not over ..

I only hope we will see a good spike up during this path down ...to make some money now .. but it looks like this will not the case , so wait for lower price and buy again ..
I still can buy some but now I really are at my limits .. so i hope to see 18 dollar , that would be a good max low prize .. but 22 dollar will also be nice, at the moment the yen is getting weak , strong dollar now at 80 hope to see that it will go back again to 78 or so but a really low silver prize can also compensate

I expect that this summer the silver prize will go up and down in strange ways but when the winter starts we will see a rising in the prize, hope it can hit 70 this year ..
I hope the silver storage will run out and there by push the prize in a upwards bubble

the weekend

2012-06-14T15:38:00.001-07:00

it looks like this week was just a roller-coaster. up down up ..
ending at the same level again ..

but this weekend will be the beginning of a move up or down ..
the BOJ is getting ready , so the yen will not drop ...
So I expect the silver prize and gold prize will move this time ..

Just sit back and enjoy the ride...

looks like europa is imploding !!

2012-06-13T21:17:00.001-07:00

Italy a bank is already closed and Spain is not really good even Germany loan is getting more expensive..
So this week and week end the gold and silver price will climb up ... I hope it will get enough push to go to the 40 dollars for silver and 1900 for gold ..
Then I expect a sell of in Europa of there metals ,and that will push the prices to new lows !!

silver looks now to be at 29 dollars and I hope it can break the 30 dollars later today .. when the Europa/US market is trading !!

Greece elections will not influence much but Italy is the one now to look at Spain and Greece is already imploded.. If it jumps to Italy I expect France to do some moves that the fire is not going to them ..

I expect some bank runs and also in other more stable countries in Europa that people will start to pull out there money .. Because it is not cheap for Europeans to buy silver and gold they will not go a mass buying these save havens ..

stable at just under 30 for silver and 80 for the dollar

2012-06-13T01:24:00.001-07:00

Looks like the we are climbing slowly out of the dip ..
I expect a spike up to 35 dollars soon and that the dollar yen will go to the 85 again ..

It was really uninteresting the couple of days , so i didn't post any news, I expect when Spain and Greece will go down the gold price will spike ..
It will be impossible to predict exactly when this will happen .
So I expect a scarp spike up to 35 dollars, but if it will continue up that will be the big question ..
it looks like the yen is losing it strength so the 85 will be possible in the near future, I hope it will be in combination with a high silver price making it possible to sell some silver ..

the problem is now is what will happen after this slow rise .. I expect a drop again but not a big one and then up to the 50 dollars
I think the picture will be more clear in the next 2 weeks so it is now just waiting for a new high or unlikely drop ..

I expect the spike in 2 a 4 weeks .. and i hope it will be high enough to sell ...
after that spike i expect it to fall back to 32 / 35 dollars and then a rally at the end of the year to 50 dollars ...

we saw a small drop yesterday ..

2012-06-07T15:33:00.001-07:00

as expected there was a drop , but i think this is not the drop .. i see gold and silver going up again also because off the bank rating of the Spain its banks ...
So i hope to see the silver price to get back to the 30 dollars again ..
it will drop if europa will start selling there metals but for that it is not yet the time so we need to hope to get the metals to a spike upwards where we can sell our silver and re-buy again if Europa is selling there gold and there by lower the price of silver .. at that moment silver van go under the 20 dollars .. after that rally down i expect silver to go to 60 dollars and then slowly go up too 100 dollars ...
This all is linked to the developments in Europa and the demand of silver for the economy

so lets hope silver will finds it way back up ... if it drops later this day .. then it can go down again and we need to wait for another wave .. i don't think it will now go back at 27 dollars again ...

the line is still up ..

2012-06-06T17:20:00.001-07:00

It looks like stocks and oil has found its way up again for the moment and gold and silver are following in this market, as i predicted yesterday silver will soon break the 30 again and yesterday it almost did, that was a little fast , bus if this line continues I think there is space for silver to go back at its stable prize of 35 dollars again there it will wait until more bab news out of Europa , or other QE3 and then spike up again ...
After this period, of rise I expect again a sharp pull down .. but if that pull down will be as strong as the previous I don't know .. I hope silver will top at 40 or 45 for one or 2 days and then maybe go down again .., this will make people crazy ..

So if silver continues to rise and it is profitable to sell maybe that will be a good chance to make some money, sell some silver, because I expect silver to drop again this year to a low .. I dot know if it will be as low as 21 dollars but I expect it again under the 30 dollars later this year ..
so if next week the silver prize is at 31/ 32 dollars I expect it to go up to 40 or higher , and then crash again to under 30 dollars ..
I hope it will be 2 days stable at 42/ 45 dollars so there is a chance to sell at that prize.

I think around August there will be a drop again and then around September the end of the year rally will start ...

So lets hope silver will top soon around 45 dollar and then I hope there is time enough to drop again before the big rally later this year .. It can also be that the rally will be at the beginning of 2013 ... but I think there will be a time you can sell silver and buy silver again cheaper .. this year (so at the end you will have more silver for the same prize.)

Also Europa is still getting worse and countries are not yet selling there gold .. so also lets wait what happens with Greece , Spain and the other euro countries, it looks like these problem will give us a opportunity to make money ...
also the BOJ will try to pus the yen back to 80 again or higher , if at that moment the silver prize tops. it will be a good moment to sell ..
because I think before the break down of the euro people will go flee into the yen there by pushing up the prize of the yen again , this pull will be so strong that the BOJ can prevent this move.. in 2013 I see that the yen will get weak if the Europa problem has been stabilized, but what the exchange will be of the dollar/yen at that time i can not yet predicted..

So if Friday the prize is around 30 than it will keep rising to higher levels .. but I expect a sharp pull back also soon again but I hope that will be around the end of this month ..

looks like we will soon break the 30 dollars again!!

2012-06-06T02:52:00.001-07:00

as expected there was a little BOJ action and now it looks like silver has found its way up again ..
I think we will see a rise in the prize in the next days .. It looks like the problems in Europa push the prize up of gold and silver but we need to wait a little longer to see if this is really the case and not because of a strong dollar ..
so we need the wait until the end of the week again

I expect that there maybe a pull back again and then we will see a way up again in the charts and a rally at the end of the year .. US elections

looks everybody is waitng ..

2012-06-05T15:53:00.001-07:00

So end of the week there maybe some activity , but now it will not move I expect some activity a the end of this week and end of next week ..
so It is now just going slow but that will change fast !!

also it looks like the BOJ did some stealth interventions..
But I expect the dollar will drop again soon ..

stable silent for the storm?

2012-06-04T03:54:00.001-07:00

At the moment it doesn't move much but I expect some big moving in 3 hours lets see what happens !!

Lets look what happens if the USA opens today ...
I think it will go up .. but will later maybe next week fall again very hard !!

could buy some at this low.

2012-06-01T02:45:00.000-07:00

I was able to buy some silver this morning .. next level I will buy is 65000 yen (kilo price)..
But there is a chance that if will not make this .. it looks like the BOJ is thinking about a intervention , but I think this will be not smart with the implosion happening in the euro zone ..

So there can develop some thinks in this weekend pushing the price up again ..
I think we will see the market going a little more down and so at the beginning of next week there real games will start will oil gold silver break there resultants or not

I hope they can .. but it will be for a short time .. then they will stabilize until the euro breaks up .. I will be busy this weekend .. everybody have a nice weekend and try to stack when the prizes are low .. but always keep in mind .. it always can get lower!!!

Revisit of low.

2012-05-31T15:46:00.002-07:00

Revisit of low.

It looks like today we have a good opportunity to buy today if the price sticks in the low 2170 yen for silver now at 7:20 it is recovering a little but I hope it will drop a little lower just before the price is set today at 10:00 (27.72 USD)

the 8 hour NetDania chart

As I predicted yesterday today Friday we have a good buying opportunity if the price of silver will be around this at 10:00 ... I will buy .. today ..
You can see in the 8 hour chart that the volumes are now increasing this means we will get a top or a bottom soon .. there is a nice wave patron in the volume chart.

Also the yen is getting at its low and we need to watch out for the BOJ.

So we are realy now on a turning point .. are we going down or up again.
If the price will stay this low this morning I will buy some silver to lower my stack price .. This looks to be a nice price. If it drops more I will wait again until it drops another 20% a 25% . that will be around 1600 yen .. that will be around 21 USD when the yen dollar exchange stays the same.
21 dollar is possible but I think that it will go there in a spike, and I think I will not be able to buy at that level maybe I will be able to buy in the low 24 USD if it falls but that is only if it falls..
So at the moment I didnt buy at these low prices times so now is for me to add some to my stack ..
I expect it to bounce up again in the beginning of the week and go around this level again next week a next big drop or spike I expect at the 16 JUNE ... one day before the elections in Greece.. after that day we will know if the prices go down or up ..
If they will go down we can expect a 20 USD price for silver and 1200 USD for gold .. if it goes up .. it will be a temporary spike up and followed by a down again soon I expect the real rally around the last 3 - 4 months of this year ..

So I hope it stay low until 10:00 of I hope it will drop a little more : )
and then sit back an watch what happens at the weekend .. (also oil is at a low)

looks like a Bottom at the moment

2012-05-30T15:42:00.001-07:00

If you look at gold silver (USD) and the silver price in Yen it looks we are at a old Bottom
the movement up and down (two small mountains) is a sign of testing the lower resistances. You can see it clearly at the silver yen chart ..

It looks like Denmark also is getting in problems the Spain problems are still unclear
and also India http://www.cnbc.com/id/47615018 is slowing down and the tax was increased of gold so India will buy less gold, I think China cant compensate for this , so that will pull the prize more down .
Also I think Banks in Europa will start selling some gold because of the gold prize can shot down and there by threaten there cash position .

So gold isn't yet a save haven .. it is now testing it bottom
So lets hope it will break true this bottom and continue the road down wards ..
I expect the gold prize to spike 1200 US and then re-bounce, or it will go slow to 1200 and stay there testing there again the bottom
We need to looks what is at that moment the news in the world .. I hope this will be around the American elections .. That can push the prize up again..
I expect Silver to go to the low 20 dollars again, I will not sell my silver because i know the prize will be higher in the future , also if I sell and buy silver here in Japan I needed to pay extra money .. So I will buy at the low more
also the yen is getting stronger again now at 79 hope to see it break the 79 this week and go to 78.5 This will push the price of silver even more down here In Japan ..

Also I think when silver is getting hard to get it will be very difficult in Japan because they don't like this metal ..So i will keep my sliver for the moment and will hope to add to my position in the near future, it now looks like my idea is working out and the price of silver will drop big time ..
So the line is still downwards .. so we need to wait , if you think this is the bottom than now a good time to add to your position, because this can also be the bottom , but I don't think so, because of the way the chart looks and all the news in the world.
There isn't a big change yet, there is only more of the same news and it is going the same direction .. more and more problems ..
Also this is the prefect situation to push people out of gold and silver .. if it keeps going down ...
I will wait until Friday and if The prize is more down I will keep waiting because the chance it will break true this bottom will get bigger with the days ... and then there will be a chance it will go down fast an then there will be my buying chance ...

Also we need to look at Friday because of Spain all important thing happen in the weekend when there is no trade, so if you add to your position do it on Friday.. because Monday it can shot up .. So I will look at Friday if the price is nice and maybe then add a little to my stack but if I get signals that it can go much lower (breaking this resistances) then I will wait again ..

hmmmm we are back where we where a view days ago

2012-05-29T16:41:00.001-07:00

The yen is still the same .. so room do go down .. so I think it will drop more ....

looks like Asia will stabilize .. so i hope Europa and America start selling ..

hope the yen gets stronger ..also

2012-05-29T08:58:00.000-07:00

it looks like a big fall but

But as you can see it is not that a big drop ..

as you can see the drop is also in gold
but the yen is down again

but not that much
hope it keeps dropping at this is a big sell off !!

we will see tomorrow .. here 1.00 in japan going to sleep ...was busy with android

The waiting game

2012-05-28T17:04:00.000-07:00

Silver looks to stabilize

I think many people also don't know where it is and that is why the market is now stabilizing

Another takeover by a Japanese company, Marubeni Nears $5 Billion-Plus Gavilon Deal
http://www.cnbc.com/id/47593164

the yen is still getting a little stronger

At the money I am also looking in programming Android software to make tool for the silver market and maybe also make some simple games, for children about silver and gold ..

So this time is often the most difficult time , nothing is happening , so if this take long people will go out of silver and gold to look for faster ways to get money , so we need to wait until the sell off begins of some more news that will move the market in a direction.

So you can buy now and go on a vacation if you don't want to buy at the lowest price and I think when you come back or later this year the silver price will go up, but is you do that please keep some reserves for the case I will drop..
I will keep watching the market and look for the right moment to buy but if I go on vacation I will buy an amount of silver at the 28 dollar range so it will pull my average price a little more down .

So lets wait ........
.

all looks to go down

2012-05-28T07:49:00.000-07:00

it looks like the yen is getting stronger and silver cheaper.

also gold is doing down

So It looks like it can work out as I was thinking but I need to wait 10 hours to see really if the price went good down ..
I hope this is the beginning of a rally down ward..

spike this morning

2012-05-27T15:36:00.002-07:00

Today Monday the gold and silver price spiked up.
looks like more and more people are preparing for a breakup of the Europa so maybe we can see this week what will happen to commodities .. Switzerland is now also looking what to do if the Europa breaks up ..

Looking at the charts it looks it is now at the point where the down trend an revers into a uptrend . so today looks to be a important day ..

I expect it to drop again , if it doesn't drop to new records this week, maybe this is the bottom .. The summer is always difficult ..

So lets watch and see what happens today ..

yen a little up this week and metals a little up.also

2012-05-25T16:07:00.001-07:00

As you can see in the charts above the yen was going up again and also the silver price but you look at the bigger picture as you can see in the charts the movement still looks to go down in both charts
So I hope Silver will drop again under the 28 dollar next week as it now does frequently and hopefully stay there at the end of next week , also I hope the yen will go down a little more and break the 79 ..

The problems in Europa are now getting bigger and we can maybe see next week or next month what will happen if a country will leave the euro.. If the price of the metals will continue to rise this will be a inducation that the metals will nog get much cheaper..
also I still expect that there is more space for the yen, yesterday i read that Japan Tabak toke over a Belgium company , just as I predicted ($500+ mill ) so there are not really problem in Japan and that will make the yen more expensive .

Also a slow drop never goes strait down there are always bump up wards.. so I expect some movement upward but after these tops there will be a bigger fall down .. resulting in a slow path down in the silver prize the next week .

also the movement of silver between the 28.5 and the low 27 look like day traders are making these movement in the market and make use of the volatility of silver. so short term predictions are made now very difficult .

So I many focus on the medium term and thatb trend looks to be down .. but we need to look what happens in europa, will they push the price up or down ?

what will happen with europa.

2012-05-24T15:53:00.003-07:00

I just listed to my favorite Dutch TV show about the economy, and they tell there are two possibilities with what is going to happen with the Euro, and I agree with thee views.

1) Europa will become a USA with one government and one tax and in that way the money can bed spread between the rich and poor countries. This will be the best solution if you want to have a ONE EUROPA with one currency.

2) Germany or Greece or another country will step out of the Euro and that will make the Euro fall, I think Greece doesn't want to leave but Germany in the long run would not want to pay for other countries.
Because the countries and the people in Europa are not willing to act as one this would be a very likely possibility .

As you already can see I think that number 2 will be what will happen to the Euro, so now that we assume this will happen the only think we need to know is when will it happen and what exactly will happen to gold and silver ..

The when will be a surprise because if all would know many people will have advance of this fact so I think it will happen at the moment that will surprise people. but I think it will be in 1 or 2 years ..if the escalations continue in the way they develop now but , we also need the wait what happens with the German elections and the elections of the other countries.
So keep looking to the news for sign that something big will happen , normal it will happen when the banks are closed so weekends or holidays.

What will happen to silver or gold (up or down) is now not clear in the next days this will be the main point of my attention, because i to know if buying now is good or if it is better during the fall of the euro ..

wild ride

2012-05-24T07:09:00.001-07:00

At the moment the silver price is up again but the yen is dropping a little what is good I also read in the news that the BOJ will not do any actions yet .. so this can lead to a stronger yen ..

I hope that the wild ride at the moment of silver will end in a lower prize tomorrow morning .. You can not 100% predict what will happen but the major line you can predict ..

There will be a ride to the 50 dollar but when is the big question.. I think if the price is a little lower at Friday then this trend will continue next week what will mean we didn't see the bottom yet.

I hope we all be on time to by silver a liitle cheaper as now .. and that the sprint upwards will be clear ...

silver went up and down

2012-05-23T17:07:00.002-07:00

As I told yesterday There was a spike .. up wards..
The yen is looking to go down as predicted and the silver almost stay the same for the American trading day it is now moving between the 27 and 28 dollars ..
So I expect that Europa or and Asia will push the prize more down ..this week and that the US will not make a big move yet ..

So the yen will go down more to 79.00 this week and maybe next week goes to a stable 78.5 .. then we need to watch out for ninja BOJ actions to push the prize up again ..
So I hope before these attacks on the yen by the BOJ the silver prize will drop to low 27 dollars or 26 dollar ranges what will make the silver prize in yen around the 650.000 yen a kilo .. That looks to be a nice time for me to by some silver again ..
I will keep some money on the table for if the prize will go down more.
I expect it to go lower but don't know if I can buy at that moment I can only buy it here at stores at fixed prizes that are set at the beginning of the day , so for me it is not so easy to trade in silver because I buy real silver only .

The only thing I hope is that the BOJ will not do an intervention already at 79 or 78.5

lets look at the gold and silver price in dollar and yen

2012-05-23T03:21:00.000-07:00

Look at the charts below..
you can see that the top between 2007 and 2008and the dip we see now that there is a big difference between the dollar and the yen .. This is what I call the bubble.

With silver we already touched the high of 2007/2007 with this dip but in with the dollar this is not the case.
If gold will follow silver this means that gold can go lower .. 1200 but I think this will not happen because then the yen chart will look very different and that will mean that the yen needs to get very strong. and that will not happen because the BOJ will print more money to push the yen down and this will mean that japan will have a lot of free money ..

Also you can see the bubble of the dollar in this chart and I hope I can deduct what the points will be when things will change.
next the silver / gold and USD/ YEN

you see that the dollar has drop against the yen .. and also know that now Japan has the most debt papers of the US .. So the dollar can push the yen down.. so I don't see the dollar getting stronger against the yen .. also the other chart shows that ratio is going up again .. 50% is possible ..
The yen pull down is stop by the BOJ by making more Yen .. but if japan is smart they start buying commodities with this extra money because the fall of the dollar looks to be unstoppable.
The only what to get out of this mess it to push the reset button .. This would make silver and gold explode until the new currency will stabilize the commodity market again ..
So just before a reset of the BOJ or a bigger reset by the fed .. will give you investment opportunities.. because the chart will go up and down .. and that is the time to make a profit sell at a high buy at a low . and from the profit buy a house or farm .. or both..

So what will happen In this week ..
i expect a little pull up and then again a push down next week ... or it will stabilize
I think the silver price in japan has how a good low .. and this will be a good opportunity to buy and there by push up the market , but the gold prize is still some little to go more down , and because the Japanese don't like silver they will not buy silver and wait until the gold is at a good low at that time silver will be very very cheap here in Japan an then I will make my move .. because shortly after the low the BOJ will push the dollar up and there buy all the prize of the commodities is Japan ..

So I hope the prize will end under the 60.000 yen a kilo this week and go to the 50.000a kilo , I think that will be around the limit and the signal for me to make a big buy ....
And then hope the BOJ will push the yen down and that there will be a high again in the silver price so I can sell
Then I will be waiting on Europa for the big fall and new spike up (around the USA elections) so I hope I will be able buy at 50k and sell at 120k and then start re-buying around 90k again .... that would give me a nice profit in weight..

The stock I am looking at

2012-05-22T12:52:00.001-07:00

Here is my list what I am looking at to see how the stock market is doing, of cause I look also at other stock but these I like to know what they are doing . ..

INFA	43.32	+0.64 (1.50%)	4.69B
HWD	11.71	-0.44 (-3.62%)	993.88M
SLV	27.31	-0.37 (-1.34%)	8.75B
AAPL	557.02	-4.26 (-0.76%)	520.12B
MSFT	29.66	-0.09 (-0.32%)	249.00B
MOGLF	0.737	0.000 (0.00%)	2.73B
PCLN	657.18	-0.50 (-0.08%)	32.72B
LVS	47.71	-0.46 (-0.95%)	39.25B
RRS	4,994.15	+61.15 (1.24%)	4.58B
GOOG	597.40	-16.71 (-2.72%)	194.77B
FB	31.13	-2.90 (-8.52%)	66.54B

Informatica is my old company where I used to work for so I know the in and out of that company it is a tech company the same as Apple , PCLN GOOG MSFT and FB that are in this list.
commodities stock are SLV, RRS MOGLF and HWD (diamonds , company want to make a diamond ETF).

So at the moment these are the main stocks I look at, and then I look at the dollar yen exchange and the gold and silver prize in dollars ..
Also I am reading at the moment my first book and downloaded other books , I will give in the future a list of nice sites and book I like to read in the near future.

At the moment silver is down and the yen really stayed the same.. So we need to wait for a move from the yen now .. the silver price will continue to drop step by step ..