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<channel>
	<title>What the $%@&amp;* Trading!</title>
	
	<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com</link>
	<description>Trading thoughts, ideas, tips, musings, and pontifications. . .not necessarily in that order.</description>
	<pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2009 01:34:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Thank you GS</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/09/thank-you-gs/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/09/thank-you-gs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2009 01:34:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DDM]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DIA]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DYY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[GS]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[QLD]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2171</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oh my, what a wonderful day. GS GG Jul 135 calls bought yesterday bumped me to another tax bracket today.   GS gapped up in the morning and continued to move up. After gaining 100% I just had to take profits, and luckily it was near the top!
Besides the great play in GS calls, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh my, what a wonderful day. <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> GG Jul 135 calls bought yesterday bumped me to another tax bracket today. <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_lol.gif' alt=':lol:' class='wp-smiley' />  <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> gapped up in the morning and continued to <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MOVE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MOVE' )">move<span class="MOVE" ></span></a> up. After gaining 100% I just had to take profits, and luckily it was near the top!</p>
<p>Besides the great play in <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> calls, I also worked with <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DIA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DIA' )">DIA<span class="DIA" ></span></a> calls, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DDM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DDM' )">DDM<span class="DDM" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QLD" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QLD' )">QLD<span class="QLD" ></span></a> during the day. I was in the groove and had a totally fun , but tiring day trading. I got in and out of all, but still have my <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DYY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DYY' )">DYY<span class="DYY" ></span></a> positions, and a smidgeon of <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DDM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DDM' )">DDM<span class="DDM" ></span></a>.</p>
<p>Although I had a good day, the market was actually pretty crappy. It was a slow grind up and then a pretty quick fall into the close. Looking at how oversold the markets were by the end of day on Wednesday, you would think the bulls could mount a greater attack, much less peter out at the end. This market is very indecisive on which way to go, so maybe the bulls and the bears just need to get along for a while <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_rolleyes.gif' alt=':roll:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Top 12 indicators of a bad economy:</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/09/top-12-indicators-of-a-bad-economy/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/09/top-12-indicators-of-a-bad-economy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Jul 2009 00:24:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Psyche]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[funny]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2167</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[12. CEO&#8217;s are now playing miniature golf. 
11. I got a pre-declined credit card in the mail.
10. I went to buy a toaster oven and they gave me a bank. 
9. Hot wheels and Matchbox car companies are now trading higher than GM in the stock market.
8. Obama met with small businesses - GE, Pfizer, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>12. CEO&#8217;s are now playing miniature golf. </p>
<p>11. I got a pre-declined credit card in the mail.</p>
<p>10. I went to buy a toaster oven and they gave me a bank. </p>
<p>9. Hot wheels and Matchbox <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CAR" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'CAR' )">car<span class="CAR" ></span></a> companies are now trading higher than <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GM' )">GM<span class="GM" ></span></a> in the stock market.</p>
<p>8. Obama <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MET" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MET' )">met<span class="MET" ></span></a> with small businesses - <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GE' )">GE<span class="GE" ></span></a>, Pfizer, Chrysler, Citigroup and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GM' )">GM<span class="GM" ></span></a>, to discuss the Stimulus Package.</p>
<p>7. McDonalds is selling the 1/4 ouncer.</p>
<p>6. People in Beverly Hills fired their nannies and are learning their children&#8217;s names. </p>
<p>5.The most highly-paid job is now jury duty.</p>
<p>4. People in Africa are donating money to Americans.</p>
<p>3. Motel Six won&#8217;t leave the lights on.</p>
<p>2. The Mafia is laying off judges.</p>
<p>And my most favorite indicator of all.</p>
<p>1. If the bank returns your check marked as &#8220;insufficient funds,&#8221; you have to call them and ask if they meant you or them.</p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Looking for a good, no, great day</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/08/looking-for-a-good-no-great-day/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/08/looking-for-a-good-no-great-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Jul 2009 02:23:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DYY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[FAS]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[FAZ]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[futures]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[GS]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2158</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sometimes I amaze myself  Yesterday I &#8220;hoped&#8221; for a down move and a reversal&#8230;and today I got it! Sorta. I was looking for a gap down (didn&#8217;t get it) and a strong reversal (didn&#8217;t get it). But the intent was there  
My DYY positions continued down until the announcement of the Treasury auction&#8230;DYY [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sometimes I amaze myself <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif' alt=':D' class='wp-smiley' /> Yesterday I &#8220;hoped&#8221; for a down <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MOVE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MOVE' )">move<span class="MOVE" ></span></a> and a reversal&#8230;and today I got it! Sorta. I was looking for a <strong>gap </strong>down (didn&#8217;t get it) and a <strong>strong </strong>reversal (didn&#8217;t get it). But the intent was there <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_exclaim.gif' alt=':!:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>My <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DYY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DYY' )">DYY<span class="DYY" ></span></a> positions continued down until the announcement of the Treasury auction&#8230;<a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DYY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DYY' )">DYY<span class="DYY" ></span></a> has a portion of its assets in 3-year treasuries. It recovered a bit. The other trades I made today was averaging down in price some <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> Jul 135 calls. I was about to give up and just take my losses when the market, but more importantly, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> turned up and made a nice recovery. My <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> call position is sitting very nicely in the green. <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=GS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'GS' )">GS<span class="GS" ></span></a> earnings are next week, so I&#8217;d like to see a <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MOVE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MOVE' )">move<span class="MOVE" ></span></a> up to a great earnings report.</p>
<p>Futures this evening are still excited about the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MOVE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MOVE' )">move<span class="MOVE" ></span></a> up&#8230;they are continuing to the upside. Let&#8217;s see how Asia and Europe will react. Maybe that little bounce to test the June highs <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_question.gif' alt=':?:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>And all you <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=FAZ" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'FAZ' )">FAZ<span class="FAZ" ></span></a> / <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=FAS" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'FAS' )">FAS<span class="FAS" ></span></a> traders, don&#8217;t forget the 10-to-1 and 5-to-1 reverse splits are effective tomorrow. Time to make&#8230;.or lose&#8230;a lot of money fast again.</p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Where’s the credit?</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/07/wheres-the-credit/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/07/wheres-the-credit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2009 02:53:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DYY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[EDZ]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[TZA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Since I play in the markets, I have learned to expect the unexpected. So it was not unexpected that banks have stopped giving home equity loans and have stopped issuing credit cards. But it hit home recently and made me feel bad. Recently my air conditioner went on the blink and I had to have [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since I play in the markets, I have learned to expect the unexpected. So it was not unexpected that banks have stopped giving home equity loans and have stopped <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/perfi/credit/2009-07-06-banks-credit-cards_N.htm" target="_blank">issuing credit cards</a>. But it hit home recently and made me feel bad. Recently my <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AIR" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'AIR' )">air<span class="AIR" ></span></a> conditioner went on the blink and I had to have it replaced. So I whipped out my trusty Trane credit card that I received when I bought my high-efficiency furnace. But, since I haven&#8217;t used it in over 2 years, it had been canceled, without telling me. Within the same week I did receive a notice from one of my Visa cards, that it has been canceled because I haven&#8217;t used it in the last 12 months. And then I got a note from Advanta that said they were going out of the credit card business all together, so destroy the card&#8230;.can&#8217;t use it&#8230;.nope. It just doesn&#8217;t feel good when they take something away from you just because&#8230;.well, just because <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_exclaim.gif' alt=':!:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>The point I want to make is that, where is that $800 billion of stimulus and aid going? If people can&#8217;t get loans or credit, how is the recovery going to happen? </p>
<p>Oh well, I digress. I bought and sold both <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a> and EDZ today, which made for a good day. But the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DYY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DYY' )">DYY<span class="DYY" ></span></a> I had purchased yesterday continued to sink&#8230;which also means that commodities are sinking as well. Now what I would like to see is a big gap down on Wednesday morning with a strong reversal&#8230;one with strength AND volume. With  a month of meandering  with a downward bent, it may be time for a spurt up, at least to test the June highs. The test may just bounce the markets back down again, but at least we could put it in the books and wait for a breakout.</p>
<p>Okay, I can&#8217;t solve the world problems today. Back to the charts!</p>

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		<item>
		<title>Shampoo Trade</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/06/shampoo-trade/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/06/shampoo-trade/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jul 2009 02:22:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[BGZ]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DJ30]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[DYY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ERY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[SP500]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[TZA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[That&#8217;s all I heard today and read all weekend&#8230;.Head &#038; Shoulders. Well, it must be working, because none of my charts show any dandruff.   Today also reminded me of the day after the Memorial Day holiday&#8230;.which also happened to be an up day, strange market action, as twice now the market has been [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s all I heard today and read all weekend&#8230;.Head &#038; Shoulders. Well, it must be working, because none of my charts show any dandruff. <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_eek.gif' alt='8O' class='wp-smiley' />  Today also reminded me of the day after the Memorial Day holiday&#8230;.which also happened to be an up day, strange market action, as twice now the market has been positive after a holiday weekend.</p>
<p>I went to cash before the holiday, so I didn&#8217;t care what happened this morning. But after I saw the futures down and the market going down at the open, I thought how nice it would have been if I had held on to my <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ERY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'ERY' )">ERY<span class="ERY" ></span></a>!</p>
<p>During the morning I did see a scalp opportunity in <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BGZ" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'BGZ' )">BGZ<span class="BGZ" ></span></a> so I quickly made 50 cents in about 10 minutes. But after that I couldn&#8217;t keep track of all the ups and downs I kept running into. So I sat back. After the markets started to recover I looked for some longs to get, but still was a little scared in any direction. At the end of the day I nibbled on some <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=DYY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'DYY' )">DYY<span class="DYY" ></span></a>, the commodity double long, which looked very oversold. We&#8217;ll see&#8230;.</p>
<p>With the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^DJI" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( '^DJI' )">Dow<span class="^DJI" ></span></a> and S&#038;<a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=^GSPC" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( '^GSPC' )">P500<span class="^GSPC" ></span></a> closing up today, after being down so much in the morning, we may see some bouncing in the morning&#8230;.another &#8220;turnaround Tuesday?&#8221; We&#8217;ll see&#8230;.</p>

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		<title>It Happened!</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/02/it-happened/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/02/it-happened/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 17:22:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[ERY]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[QID]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[QQQQ]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[TZA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The day I have been positioning myself for, has happened&#8230;..and in a big way. I was done trading by 10:30AM EDT. Prior to the Employment Report I entered ERY, the 3x Energy Bear ETF, and was still holding on to TZA, QID and QQQQ puts from last Friday. I had sold off half of my [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The day I have been positioning myself for, has happened&#8230;..and in a big way. I was done trading by 10:30AM EDT. Prior to the Employment Report I entered <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ERY" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'ERY' )">ERY<span class="ERY" ></span></a>, the 3x Energy Bear ETF, and was still holding on to <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a>, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QID" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QID' )">QID<span class="QID" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QQQQ" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QQQQ' )">QQQQ<span class="QQQQ" ></span></a> puts from last Friday. I had sold off half of my position yesterday to try to minimize losses (see yesterday&#8217;s post). But today, I covered all those losses, paid the mortgage and have beer money for weeks to come. <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_mrgreen.gif' alt=':mrgreen:' class='wp-smiley' /><br />
<img src="http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/usflag3.gif" alt="usflag3" title="usflag3" width="75" height="75" class="alignright size-full wp-image-2131" /><br />
Now though, the markets are like watching paint dry. It is after lunch, major players have moved on to the Hamptons and the S&#038;P pit is quiet, zzzzzzz. I&#8217;ve popped the top off my first <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BUD" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'BUD' )">Bud<span class="BUD" ></span></a> Light and will sit back and look at all the pretty colored lines and blinking watchlists. Have a Happy 4th of July weekend&#8230;.and <strong><font color = red>God</font> Bless <font color = blue>America!</font></strong></p>

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		<item>
		<title>No follow-thru</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/01/no-follow-thru/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/07/01/no-follow-thru/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 00:45:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Trading]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[BGU]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[BGZ]]></category>

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		<category><![CDATA[TNA]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[TZA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2121</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[No matter what side of the market you are on, there is no follow-thru in either direction&#8230;and there hasn&#8217;t been for a couple months. We are at the same place we were in early May. We&#8217;ve been stuck between 880 and 945&#8230;.and this week it&#8217;s been 915 to 930. My, how exciting  
Economic reports [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No matter what side of the market you are on, there is no follow-thru in either direction&#8230;and there hasn&#8217;t been for a couple months. We are at the same place we were in early May. We&#8217;ve been stuck between 880 and 945&#8230;.and this week it&#8217;s been 915 to 930. My, how exciting <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_exclaim.gif' alt=':!:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Economic reports today were worse than expected. You still have to wonder why we are up after reports that mortgages applications are down and a half million people lost their jobs? I think things started to weaken in the afternoon when traders noticed no one was selling cars and that several states were having budget problems.</p>
<p>I thought I was going to be happy when I heard that mortgage applications were down. And then I was almost ecstatic when I heard that ADP Employment report sucked&#8230;but no! Markets moved up, I couldn&#8217;t see why, but they did. I did shave shares off as the markets went up for a loss, taking almost half off. But I also scalped some long ETS like <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TNA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TNA' )">TNA<span class="TNA" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=BGU" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'BGU' )">BGU<span class="BGU" ></span></a>, taking $50 here and a $100 there several times. It soothed the pain from my short positions, but I never recovered all. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m still in small short positions using <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QID" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QID' )">QID<span class="QID" ></span></a>. I&#8217;m looking for a spike after the Employment Report comes out at 8:30AM EDT to maybe come out breakeven for the week. After I unload my remaining shares, I&#8217;m looking to go out and buy enough beer to last the long holiday weekend <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>

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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Confidence waning?</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/06/30/confidence-waning/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/06/30/confidence-waning/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jul 2009 02:39:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Daily]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Opinions]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Other Traders]]></category>

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		<category><![CDATA[CNBC]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[IWM]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Psyche]]></category>

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		<category><![CDATA[TZA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2112</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Again, waking up this morning, I found my positions underwater. And for a few minutes the &#8220;good news&#8221; was that home prices only went down 18%&#8230;.so much better than last months -18.7%&#8230;.I feel richer already  
But then sanity came back to traders when we heard that mortgages were defaulting at a greater rate and [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Again, waking up this morning, I found my positions underwater. And for a few minutes the &#8220;good news&#8221; was that home prices only went down 18%&#8230;.so much better than last months -18.7%&#8230;.I feel richer already <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cry.gif' alt=':cry:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>But then sanity came back to traders when we heard that mortgages were defaulting at a greater rate and that consumer confidence was down. The market went down, as you would expect with this kind of news&#8230;and thus, my short ETFs went up: <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QID" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QID' )">QID<span class="QID" ></span></a> <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a>. Following along were some <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=QQQQ" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'QQQQ' )">QQQQ<span class="QQQQ" ></span></a> puts and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=IWM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'IWM' )">IWM<span class="IWM" ></span></a> puts. By mid-morning my biggest winner was the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=IWM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'IWM' )">IWM<span class="IWM" ></span></a> puts so I sold those off and half of the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a> position. Lunch time brought the usual meandering up <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=MOVE" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'MOVE' )">move<span class="MOVE" ></span></a> in the markets, so I refilled my <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=TZA" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'TZA' )">TZA<span class="TZA" ></span></a> position.</p>
<p>Near the close, the Plunge Protection Team was in full force, artificially taking the market up. Listen to what they were saying about the PPT on CNBC: <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1167028705&#038;play=1" target="_blank">Economic Analysis.</a> And also read about all the &#8220;transparency&#8221; the government is <em>removing</em> from our markets at the <a href="http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/06/nyse-halts-transparency-feels-goldman.html" target="_blank">Zero Hedge</a> blog <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_exclaim.gif' alt=':!:' class='wp-smiley' />  It&#8217;s hard to trade against the U.S. government.</p>
<p>So I remain in a short position because I think all the news can&#8217;t be good tomorrow morning: ADP Employment Report, <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ISM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'ISM' )">ISM<span class="ISM" ></span></a> Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending, Pending Home Sales, and Motor Vehicle Sales. We will also hear from California if they will be paying their bills with IOU&#8217;s or Fed bailout money. The Feds can&#8217;t backstop everything coming down the pike. Almost looks like a horrible <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=CAR" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'CAR' )">car<span class="CAR" ></span></a> crash in slow motion&#8230;.or some sort of crash <img src='http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_redface.gif' alt=':oops:' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>It&#8217;s </p>

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		<item>
		<title>Trading Pairs</title>
		<link>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/06/30/trading-pairs/</link>
		<comments>http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/2009/06/30/trading-pairs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 15:31:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>A.J.</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Other Traders]]></category>

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		<category><![CDATA[AAPL]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[RIMM]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://trading.valuemanagementpartners.com/?p=2108</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Adam Hewison at INO.com made a video on the changing relationship between AAPL and RIMM. He details a trading strategy called pair trading or trading pairs.
What trading pairs means is that you buy one market while going short the other market in the same sector. Now AAPL and RIMM are battling it out right now [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adam Hewison at INO.com made a video on the changing relationship between <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AAPL" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'AAPL' )">AAPL<span class="AAPL" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=RIMM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'RIMM' )">RIMM<span class="RIMM" ></span></a>. He details a trading strategy called pair trading or trading pairs.</p>
<p>What trading pairs means is that you buy one market while going short the other market in the same sector. Now <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=AAPL" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'AAPL' )">AAPL<span class="AAPL" ></span></a> and <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=RIMM" class="quote" onmouseover="sqttShowQuote( 'RIMM' )">RIMM<span class="RIMM" ></span></a> are battling it out right now in the smart phone sector. It remains to be seen who is going to be triumphant in this battle but it would appear as though Apple may have the upper hand. Trading pairs is what many professionals do when they are unsure as to the direction of the general market but feel pretty comfortable in their analysis of the relationship between two stocks.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ino.com/info/391/CD3578/&#038;dp=0&#038;l=0&#038;campaignid=3" target="-blank">The video is free to watch</a> and there is no need to register.</p>

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