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2017 Fantasy Football Projections: Jacksonville Jaguars

Kevin Hanson — Sat, 29 Jul 2017 12:34:33 +0000

In addition to viewing our 2017 Fantasy Football Projections by position, we will post our preseason projections per team.

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Below you will find our 2017 fantasy football projections for the Jacksonville Jaguars:

Quarterbacks

Player	Comp.	Att.	Yards	TD	INT	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Blake Bortles	109.9	582	3922	26.9	14.9	55.4	298	1.8	275.28
Bortles took a step back in his third season — 6.2 Y/A with a 23-to-16 TD-INT ratio in 2016 (vs. 7.3 Y/A and 35 TDs in 2015). Even so, Bortles still finished as a top-10 fantasy quarterback. In terms of fantasy production, Bortles’ success has been fueled by his rushing stats (1,088 rushing yards in three seasons) and passing volume (his 626 pass attempts last year were third behind Drew Brees and Joe Flacco). The transition to a run-based attack led by rookie Leonard Fournette and an elite defense, however, means that Bortles could throw it several times less per game in 2017.

More Fantasy Football QB Resources:

Running Backs

Player	Att.	Yards	TD	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Leonard Fournette	295.8	1278.4	8.7	19.6	144.3	0	194.47
Using a top-four selection on Fournette, a back with a rare combination of size, power and speed, the Jags should make him a workhorse sooner rather than later with the possibility of seeing 20-plus touches per game. Given their strong defense, the Jags are likely to shift to a run-heavy approach after calling a run on only 37.26% of their plays (seventh-fewest) in 2016.
T.J. Yeldon	46.3	182.7	0.3	26.3	183.7	0.4	40.84
Perhaps Yeldon turns out to be a surprise cut, but the former second-round pick’s best chance to see snaps as on third downs. Like Chris Ivory, however, there is little fantasy value for Yeldon barring an injury to Fournette.
Chris Ivory	46.3	196.6	1.6	8.2	63.5	0	35.61
Giving him a big contract in free agency last offseason, Ivory struggled with health and posted a career-low 3.75 YPC average in his first season with the Jags. Given the draft capital spent on Fournette, Ivory will have little to no fantasy value barring an injury to the rookie.
Tommy Bohanon	4.8	16.6	0	3.9	34.6	0	5.12
Corey Grant	4.8	20.7	0	3.3	26.8	0	4.75

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Wide Receivers

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Rush	Yards	TD	Points
Allen Robinson	76.5	1016.6	7	0	0	0	143.66
As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. Based on his talent, I expect improvement from A-Rob, but the Jags should become more of a run-first team with Leonard Fournette added to the mix.
Marqise Lee	59.2	764.3	3.3	9.4	57.2	0	101.95
After two injury-plagued seasons, Lee stayed healthy all season and posted career highs in receptions (63), yards (851) and touchdowns (three). If Allen Hurns (missed five games last year) stays healthy, Lee may have a difficult time duplicating those numbers as the Jags throw it much less in 2017.
Allen Hurns	51.9	689.6	4.9	0	0	0	98.36
The Jags gave Hurns a $40 million contract after he posted a 64/1,031/10 season in 2015, but things didn’t go as well for Hurns (or the entire passing offense) in 2016. Hurns had 40-plus yards in each of his first seven games last season, but then he caught just four passes in the next four games and missed the final five games of the season due to a hamstring injury. Aside from deeper leagues, the only Jags receiver worth drafting is the other Allen.
Dede Westbrook	18.2	262.3	1.6	0	0	0	35.83
Arrelious Benn	6.1	88	0	0	0	0	8.8
Rashad Greene	6.4	54	0	0	0	0	5.4

More Fantasy Football WR Resources:

Tight Ends

Player	Rec.	Yards	TD	Points
Mychal Rivera	24	244.5	1.6	34.05
Marcedes Lewis	18.5	202.4	1.6	29.84
Lewis has averaged just 17.7 yards per game over the past three seasons. So, even if he’s used more often in 2017, it’s difficult to imagine Lewis having a fantasy-relevant season.
Neal Sterling	10.2	96.5	0	9.65
Ben Koyack	7.9	71.5	0	7.15

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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Teams, 12th Pick

Kevin Hanson — Thu, 20 Jul 2017 01:53:27 +0000

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a “perfect” fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Starting on June 10th, we began drafting (at least) one fantasy football team per day using the 2017 Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator and we will continue to do so up until the start of the 2017 NFL season.

Each day, we will switch things up — e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

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Details of today’s mock draft:

Scoring: PPR scoring
# of Teams: 12
Draft Slot: 9
Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today’s mock draft:

1.12 – Devonta Freeman, RB, Atlanta Falcons: Despite getting 57 fewer touches year-over-year, Freeman finished as a top-six fantasy running back in 2016. Setting career highs in efficiency (4.8 YPC and 8.6 Y/R), Freeman now has back-to-back seasons with 1,000-plus rushing yards, 1,500-plus YFS, 50-plus receptions and 13-plus touchdowns.

2.01 – Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: There were four 200-yard rushing games last season and Ajayi had three of them. (Le’Veon Bell had the other.) Getting double-digit carries every week starting in Week 5, only Bell (243) had more carries than Ajayi (242) from Weeks 5 to 17 last season. Only Ezekiel Elliott (1,219) rushed for more yards than Ajayi (1,197) during that span.

3.12 – Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver Broncos: Thomas set five-year lows across the board: 90 receptions, 1,083 yards and five touchdowns, not bad for “five-year lows.” Before last season, however, Thomas had averaged 100/1,447/10 in his previous four seasons. Even if he doesn’t post another 100/1,400/10 season, it’s reasonable to expect an improvement over last year’s numbers.

4.01 – Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: Based on talent, A-Rob should bounce back in 2017. It’d be reasonable, however, to expect ~100 fewer pass attempts from Blake Bortles, who threw the third-most pass attempts last season behind only Drew Brees and Joe Flacco, as the team relies on its defense and ground game.

5.12 – Golden Tate, WR, Detroit Lions: Despite his slow start last year, Tate extended his streak of 90-catch seasons to three as he finished the year with 91 catches for 1,077 yards and four touchdowns. Failing to exceed 41 yards in his first five games, Tate had five-plus catches in 10 of his final 11 games and only Larry Fitzgerald and Jordy Nelson had more receptions than Tate (74) from Weeks 6 to 17.

6.01 – Greg Olsen, TE, Carolina Panthers: As steady as it gets, Olsen has finished with three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons and played all 16 games every year except his rookie season. Olsen has finished as a top-seven fantasy tight end in five consecutive seasons.

7.12 – Ameer Abdullah, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year — 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving — and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

8.01 – Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: Entering the season as the starter, Perkins should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches and he offers upside as my RB4.

9.12 – Corey Coleman, WR, Cleveland Browns: An explosive athlete when healthy, the Browns will be counting on Coleman to take a big step forward in his sophomore campaign with 1,000-yard receiver Terrelle Pryor now in Washington.

10.01 – Quincy Enunwa, WR, New York Jets: In a breakout season, Enunwa had 58 catches for 857 yards and four touchdowns in 2016 and finished as a top-45 fantasy receiver. By default, Enunwa moves into the team’s No. 1 receiver role with the team cutting Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker this offseason. The quarterback situation is a mess, but the Jets should be trailing (and therefore throwing) often.

11.12 – Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys: One of the biggest surprises of the 2016 season, Prescott finished with 17-plus fantasy points in 12 of 15 games (excluding Week 17 when most starters sat the majority of the game).

12.01 – Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Since 2010, Roethlisberger has missed multiple games in more seasons (four) than he has not (three). Leading such a high-powered offense, he should finish in the top-12 in terms of per-game production, but Big Ben has finished as fantasy’s QB18 and QB20, respectively, over the past two seasons and he has very pronounced home-vs.-road splits.

13.12 – Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins: With Washington losing DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon to Tampa and San Francisco, respectively, and signing Pryor in free agency, there should be plenty of opportunity for Doctson in 2017.

14.01 – Julius Thomas, TE, Miami Dolphins: After two disappointing seasons in Jacksonville, the reunion with Adam Gase is certainly a positive for Thomas, who had 12 touchdowns in each of his final two seasons with Denver and Adam Gase (and Peyton Manning). In fact, Thomas (33) has the eighth-most receiving touchdowns over the past four seasons.

15.12 – Pittsburgh Steelers DST

– View full mock draft results here

Complete your own mock drafts for free on our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator page.

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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 10 Teams, 4th Pick

Kevin Hanson — Tue, 18 Jul 2017 23:38:59 +0000

As the saying goes, practice makes perfect. While we may not be able to draft a “perfect” fantasy football team, the more we practice, the better our teams will be.

Each day, we will switch things up — e.g., PPR vs. standard scoring, league size, draft slot, 2-QB leagues, auction leagues, etc.

In addition, we will centralize links to our daily fantasy football mock drafts for an easy way to keep track of our mock drafts.

Embed from Getty Images

Details of today’s mock draft:

Scoring: Standard scoring (i.e., not PPR scoring)
# of Teams: 10
Draft Slot: 4
Roster Setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, Flex (RB/WR/TE), DST, 6 Bench

With that said, here are the results of today’s mock draft:

1.04 – Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers: Finishing as the WR1, WR1 and WR3 in standard-scoring formats over the past three seasons, respectively, Brown has triple-digit receptions in four consecutive seasons and double-digit touchdowns in three straight. No receiver, or player, has a higher floor than AB84.

2.07 – Leonard Fournette, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars: Using a top-four selection on Fournette, the Jags should make him a workhorse sooner rather than later with the possibility of seeing 20-plus touches per game. Given their strong defense, the Jags are likely to shift to a run-focused approach after calling a run on only 37.26% of their plays (seventh-fewest) in 2016.

3.04 – Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders: Overall his numbers were solid as Cooper set career highs in both receptions (83) and yards (1,153) in his sophomore campaign. That said, Cooper was much more productive in the first half (52/787/2) than the second half (31/366/3) of the season. Hopefully, he’s able to put together a more consistent season from start to finish in his age-23 season.

4.07 – Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: As Blake Bortles and the passing offense regressed, Robinson finished with 73 catches for 880 yards and six touchdowns in his age-23 season following an 80/1,400/14 line in 2015. As noted above, the Jags should be more of a run-based team in 2017, but A-Rob should post better year-over-year numbers.

5.04 – Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs: Kelce set career highs in receptions (85), yards (1,125) and 100-yard games (six) and led the position in fantasy points scored despite scoring only four touchdowns. With Jeremy Maclin now in Baltimore, Kelce should be the clear focal point of the passing offense and has a chance to finish as fantasy’s TE1 even if Rob Gronkowski plays a full season.

6.07 – Emmanuel Sanders, WR, Denver Broncos: After a career year in 2014 (101/1,404/9), Sanders has at least 75 catches and 1,000 yards in each of the past two seasons. His floor should be a 1,000-yard season, but there is some upside for more.

7.04 – Ty Montgomery, RB, Green Bay Packers: Due to injuries, Montgomery moved to running back last season and that’s the plan for him going into 2017. Ted Thompson used three draft picks on running backs — Jamaal Williams (134th overall), Aaron Jones (182nd) and Devante Mays (238), but Montgomery could finish as a top-24 fantasy running back in Green Bay’s high-powered offense.

8.07 – Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions: After missing all but two games last season due to a Lisfranc injury, Abdullah goes into the 2017 season as the Lions starting running back. On a per-touch basis, Abdullah was off to a good start last year — 18/101 (5.6 YPC) rushing and 5/57/1 (11.4 Y/R) receiving — and there is definitely some fantasy breakout potential in 2017.

9.04 – Paul Perkins, RB, New York Giants: Perkins enters the season as the starter and even though the team’s offensive line was essentially (and surprisingly) ignored this offseason, Perkins should easily exceed his 127 rookie touches.

10.07 – Jeremy Maclin, WR, Baltimore Ravens: Last season was a year to forget for Maclin (and his fantasy owners). Before last season, however, Maclin had 85-plus catches and 1,000-plus yards in each of his previous two seasons. Given the departure of targets from last year’s squad, Maclin could bounce back in a big way with good health.

11.04 – Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers: There are plenty of concerns with Stewart (age, durability, inefficiency, etc.), but I think Stewart will get a larger share of the workload than Christian McCaffrey.

12.07 – Kareem Hunt, RB, Kansas City Chiefs: Extremely productive at Toledo with nearly 5,000 career rushing yards, Hunt should be highly involved in the offensive game plan early on even if Spencer Ware continues to lead the backfield in touches.

13.04 – Derek Carr, QB, Oakland Raiders: Carr has thrown a total of 60 touchdown passes over the past two seasons combined and set a career low with six interceptions in 2016. Recovered from his broken leg, Carr could finish as a top-10 fantasy quarterback (QB9 in 2016) once again.

14.07 – Mike Wallace, WR, Baltimore Ravens: Fantasy owners don’t get excited when they draft 60 Minutes, but perhaps they should. Even though Wallace had his first 1,000-yard season since 2011, he has finished as a top-30 fantasy wide receiver (standard scoring) in seven of eight seasons since entering the league in 2009.

15.04 – Arizona Cardinals DST

– View full mock draft results here

Complete your own mock drafts for free on our Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator page.

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