Random-thoughts

The Greek Tragedy

2010-05-01T04:30:00.001-07:00

At the outset, what is pretty obvious to everyone is that the Greek crisis is simply on account of public debt (of the government). However, as history will show that this is directly linked to the private debt. Since in the event of bust in the private sector, perpetrates increase in governmental debt on account of decline of government income and increase in government expenditure on social sector, secondly, there would be some part of private debt guaranteed implicitly or explicitly by the government, which government needs to address through its public debt. Given this the variation in public and private debt is quite cyclic in nature, with the latter following the former. While in Eurozone on the whole the public debt is within healthy 85% of GDP, individual countries do not replicate the same strength. Greece for instance has seen the public debt far exceeding 100% of the GDP, landing into a deficit to the extent of around 13%. The public debt which took the upward direction from 2005 in Greece, kept upward journey unchecked when analysts, having failed miserably in predicting the US recession and sovereign debt crisis, in a move for redemption, went in frenzy with downgrading the Greek government to BBB plus rating for the first time in ten years on the 8th of December, 2009. Market always being a sentimental being responded with panic waves all around. Moody's and S&Ps warned of further downgrade with the fear of debt further going up to to 25% over the GDP in 2010. What made the matter graver was the fact that Greece has been cooking up its books, keeping under veils its debt which had reached 30 Bn Euro taking it to 113% of the GDP. This was followed by the announcement of austerity measure by the prime minister of Greece, George Papandreou, it contained serious measures than the one announced by UPA and ridiculed on net by their MP. For one 90 percent tax on bonuses of senior private sector bankers, ban in bonuses of public sector executives and 10% cut on civil servant allowances. On January 11, the wold community responded to the panic calls coming from Eurozone with IMF ( INternational Monetary Fund) appointing technical committee to assist Greek government in policy alignment and formulating measures to ward off the danger. As the Greek crisis pulled down the Euro to five year low, scathing attack came on Greece from the EU Commissioner, Joaqim Almunia criticizing the Greece government for fudging the data, while the statement of Dutch Finance minister Wouter Bos, calling it a Greek problem to be resolved by Greece only, reflected the general sentiment among EU member countries to stay away from the crisis, already reeling themselves under the impact of last years global recession. Greece however, extended its plea for a bailout package to the tune of 60Bn USD to EU and IMF. Towards the end of January, the investments of around 28 Bn USD in the first of the year government bond in Greece calmed some nerves. This was to an extent driven by a rumor that Greek government has Goldman Sachs to sell government debt to China, a swift denial of which brought back the clouds after a very brief sunshine. On February 11th 2010, a communication which marked the end of apprehensions on the survival of EU, notified the willlingness of the EU leader to support the bailout of Greek government subject to committed and visible efforts to reduce the deficit. March 4, again sentiments were revived, as the investors acted like a young soul in love, with the news of selling of 5 Bn Euro worth of 10 year bonds by Athens. Eurozone members on April 12th agreed to provide loans to the tune of 30 Bn Euro at the rate of 5 percent for three years, over and above 15 Bn Euro coming from IMF. April 22nd saw the deficit growing to 13.6 percent as against the estimate of 12.9 percent, enough to cause panic to already fearful markets on the back of highest in six years unemployment data. Subsequent downgrading by rating agencies, saw Greek regulator banning short selling of the stocks, as Germany predicted a need for around 100 to 120 Bn Euro to revive the Greek economy. The approval of this rescue plan is expected to come on 10th of May, 2010, when we will know if we are able to stave off the Greek tragedy, at least for now. While the financial tribe in India keeps tab on these developments, on an hour by hour basis, hope the matter is given due consideration by the political class in India, whose political ideologies revolve around free TV, Free rice and Free power, without any consideration to the far reaching impacts. The general populace can claim ignorance, but what about those who offer such populist lollypops. In India, we are not much better off given our own deficit is around 10.3%, we are still in perceivably better situation possibly because, growth in India is yet far from stagnation, and could be only a matter of perception, after Satyam and Lehman Brothers who do you trust. We as citizens need to decide between our most immediate selfish reasons and what we are going to leave for our children as we all know, there is no free lunch in this world, sooner or later we will have to pay for what we use.

To Will One Act a Day

2009-12-09T18:01:00.000-08:00

I remember I used to be amused with the precision with which my parents would go to bed and come out of it, same time, day after day, month after month. I with usual teenage swagger of thought would scoff at it, interpreting philosophy in my own way, letting life go, live the way you want to. I trust, it is common part of every individual's life, what we call growing up. But then, living the way you want to live is not about succumbing to temptations, but is about being in control. It is about deciding what you want to do without the worry and pretensions forced on by life and society as we have it. Step one is to identify what you want to do, apart from things that you have to do and then get engage in dogged pursuit of the same. Even if deciding what you want to do in life comes forward as a great liberating thought, it might not always be possible to go at it right at start after years of gluttony, silliness and societal adaptation. To will one act of the day could be a good point to start. It is this will to the act on this the Will to the life will build up and which as Shopenhauer said, is the key to riddle that man is to himself. It is important to have one thing fixed, uncompromising every day, not matter how silly it may be, something like a ritual, it could be half an hour set aside for listening music(not as backdrop but as activity) or exercise or walk or write or read or do nothing, but something constant and look forward to everyday...as a mark of control in otherwise uncontrolled and uncontrollable happenings in the world. It will keep you going every day with excitement..so as to encourage you to take on bigger things. The act of willing things in a particular fashion will embolden you to do bigger things, to bring all you are capable of being to the fore. To begin with, take one activity and go for a religious pursuit of it, walk, run, sit with your parents, walk the pet, do something, same time every day, at least do it every day, and being able to do it every day will bring so much feeling of being in control and happiness that you will love yourself and the world around more for it.

Self-Discipline

2009-07-02T10:45:00.000-07:00

I still remember how my parents would actually hold me up in the morning, as I would try to hold on to the door and try to sleep, there itself, like a horse. I was always thinking about what pleasure they might be drawing out of pushing me out of the bed at the unearthly hour of five in the morning. What great discovery I was expected to make by being out of the bed so early. They told me that I would be able to be a fast learner if I get up early in the moring, I did not believe a bit of it. I felt my level of stupidity to be uniformly constant, irrespective of whatever hour of day it was. My entire childhood and later early part of teenage life went by trying to understand the seemingly sadistic pleasure they would be deriving out keeping me deprived of sleep, while the later part of my teenage life and early adult life went in a sort of protest against this early life ritual, with unslept nights and days in slumber. It started dawning only couple of physical ailments and one child later, that early to rise may not make you wise, but vice-versa is certainly true. That is, if you are wise, you, most certainly will rise early. It is not only to catch a worm that one has to rise early, it is the most basic act which demonstrates your control over your own desire for luxury. It is one small step, which defines the journey one is going to take. Rising early, you can smell the air which still is not polluted. Getting up early is more about the effect it psychologically has on you, it is so difficult to get out of the comfort of the bed, especially in the cold of the morning. The very fact of getting out gives you a feeling of being in control. If you can top it up with little exercise, which is again contradicting the the temptation to luxury, the immense sense of self-control and control, in general, over life and your being. The sense of control will carry itself with you for the whole day and will at the end of the day, ensure that you are sure of your self and as a result, not worried and defensive (and offensive by the same logic) to people.

The Importance of Networking

2008-04-08T09:49:00.000-07:00

In today's professional world, or otherwise, you just need to look little bit deeply and you see the significance of networking. Once a term with slightly negative connotation, now is taken as necessary evil. It is not something that is gaining currency in the world of globalisation as rightists would say, or westernization as leftists would say. This is something that has been around probably since the time man came out of the cave to live in a society where one person interacted with other and the way one person lived and behaved was largely impacted by the people or the society at large, that he lived in. Unlike non-thinking animals, thinking man derives his power from the power he has over men who he calls his circle. The caveman who ruled the group, was the one voted to rule, half on his capability, half on the number of people on whom he held the sway. Call it any name, there was always democracy, the power of people, who made kings, wise and mad. It does not come from the real power that one held, many a sages with age not on their side, held more power than kings, simply because they would have big kings (again big by number of people in their army... people) on whom they held the sway. The long and short of it is that networking has historic origin. It has grown into the art through years of refinement. It is not a tool for the lowly people, it is a necessary need for the able ones. Able people, simply by virtue of their ability, make themselves indispensable. Through their hard work and dedication, they become more able, and are less and less tolerant to mediocrity, which in turn, teams up together, having beer together, amoral laughter together, in relationships with no depth, but with great calculation. A lone man with capable, is like out in front of a pride of lions with no protection, or support, or backup. Some time he tries to fit in to the same group of mediocrity, feels the shallowness of the relationships there. He is like a man on the top of the cliff, taking a plunge into the large expanse of water, only to find there is no depth in their. Instead of feeling the sheer fun of tearing through the depths of water, you end up in the mud at the base of shallow waters. Then humiliated and soiled, he sits alone in corner, alienated, feeling more vulnerable than ever before. You know, where the fault lies, not in the fact that he tried to network. But the fact that he tried to network out of his own class. To make fit in a totally different class, he makes compromises with himself, loses touch with his own class and keeps on going down the spiral feeding on self-deprecation and finally the mask goes off. He comes out as a lion in the club of wolves, who detest him for his majestic walk, come together and attack him. Kings became bigger kings by aligning with kings, never did they attempt to actually fit in with the masses. Alexander coming together with Porus is a glorious sight, and did give enormous range and strength to the Empire, but can not imagine what Alexander would have achieved by trying to cultivate relation with the group of vegetable sellers in the empire of Porus by sharing cheap drinks and lewd comments. It is very important to key in right, like-minded people in your network, who share your mental space. It is very improbable that you do not know those people, like-minded people know each other. I have seen in industry, if you list out ten most influential people, they would be known to each other and would be established as able people. If those ten people are in touch with each other socially they all will be successful from all worldly parameters. The issue is people skill, you work hard, do good work, know all others in the area you work who are like you. But you do not reach out to them, because you have been able to be all that you are because you never perceived any weakness in yourself, reaching out will mean recognizing your weakness, your Achilles heel. You all admire each other, and don't reach other and keep on humiliating yourselves by attempting to be a part of a human mass which is not equal to you in intellect or effort. You keep fighting with what you have and keep on bleeding, hoping for death or victory. Usually, it is death which comes first. Reach out, I tell you, reach out so that this flame of human excellence is not subjugated...

Significance of the Roots

2008-03-21T10:29:00.000-07:00

Not many people understand and appreciate the significance of small nuances which went into making all things Indian. Now the engagements in festivals is going so much down, even if there is some interest, mostly superficial one remaining in the festivals, it is more of a market driven exercise, which unfortunately is taking away the character of those festivals and converting them all into a look alike occasion to party. All festivities now resembling more and more New year celebration. Earlier, holi was not something to be celebrated in the plush hotel interiors. I still remember the days of reckless freedom, making groups of friends, so much laughs and fun and back slapping, going to each friends' house, having a lot of bhang and thandai and sweets and finally getting tired and lying on the street, lazing out in the sun. Where is the fun any more? Surprise is on the streets, there are more foreigners buying colors on the street than Indian. To think some one chose death over life, when life was lying in wait with all its promises, singing.. Mera Rang de Basanti Chola...

Looking inside the Leadership DNA-I

2008-03-02T09:03:00.000-08:00

Leadership is something that man has aspired for across the generations, or is it really a humane thing or a very basic animal aspiration? Any animal wants to head the group that he lives in be it the herd, a pride or a society for human beings, and entire life it the struggle to accomodate this all-engulfing feeling and still staying alive. The question is why we want to be leader, or may be in some instance why some holy men whose stories we love to talk of, despise of leadership, if leadership is such a basic instinct. Looking deeply, what I believe is that leadership in intself is not intent or the purpose. The purpose is to be free, free from the deprivation, free from the need to fit in, free to be. We want to revert to the blissful days in the embryo, we sleep and wake at the time when we want to, we live the way we want to, all our needs taken care of. It is our own small world, no one rubs you the wrong way, in fact, no one rubs you at all. Once in existence, you are inevitably thrown into chaos, in a congested life space where you struggle for toehold with people who all have same aspiration. The rules have to be there, with so many actors around, to bring a semblence of order into chaos. And entire struggle is to ensure that while the entire mass around you is tamed by putting to rules, and thus creating a better view for your existence, everyone's life is struggle is to evolve above the chain of rules. The holy men denouncing leadership, do so because they are away from the masses and therefore do not need to escape. Others, have no choice and have to aspire to rise and escape. How they do it, we look in following posts..

Is there a Justification?

2008-02-23T10:36:00.000-08:00

It sometime amazes me to think, how with so much of dexterity we try to justify the wrongs, especially if we know for sure that it is beyond our factulties, beyond our strength to win against the source of the wrong, the epicentre of the immense bottomless pain that we are subjected to. May be, it emnates from the hypothesis called the suvival of the fittest. We survive, to a great extent because we do not know. This not knowing allows us to believe in the beauty of life and to live our life without attempting to shorten the span of the futile exercise, which sooner or later is bound to come to an end, no matter how hard we might try. We turn our face from the ugliness which arise from the randomness inherent in the basic design of the network. We try to imagine a pattern which is nowhere, try to detect order, when there is none. All that is true is chaos, disorder and incoherence. What could justify the universe which allows a new life come to existence without an opportunity to see or know. Not that the event of new life coming to existence is something wrong, what I have problem with is in getting to terms with the fact that the one responsible for it to come in being is not around to welcome the soul. How could one justify this as act of God or Act of nature, both God and Nature I have been culturally conditioned to respect both. It is difficult to go unfazed in the trust that one places in the benevolent, all powerful forces, call it nature or God. As I prepare to welcome the extention of my being into future, as I pole vault my DNA to beyond my lifescope, and prepare an umbrella our the head of the soul yet to breathe life and try to stretch it from one end ot the sky to another, there is a corner in my heart which silently weeps for the other soul which would come to life arond the same time, but whose umbrella has been taken away by a storm. I think, it is the corner of dead tissues in heart, which shows as inactive in reports. May God have mercy on the the little one and the blessed mother.

The unalterable course of life

2008-02-01T09:32:00.000-08:00

You know the ideal way of life would be to first be old, when you are weak and you need a lot of wisdom and patience, and then be child, pursue art, profession wherever the heart may be, with childlike vigour and enthusiasm and having earned the wherewithalls finally, be young to enjoy the spoils of the win. But unfortunately, as nature would have it, we do not live life in that order. And, since we do not live in that order, we all tend to go through the same route, committing similar mistakes, moving across the same fault lines. What would be worse is to not resign to the fate and trying to pull and bring in one phase of life into another. What a great act of foolhardy! you lose out the best in both the life phases in question. There seems to be a danger in letting oneself flow in life, as dangerous as lying effortlessly in the river, till the split-second before you begin to drown. That split second moment of trust and letting go eventually metamorphoses into a journey of unrestrained happiness across large stretch of uninhabited land, a journey that stretches from eternity, unto eternity. As you work not because your life depends on it, but because the sweat out of the hard work is as enjoyable as a drop of sweat oozing off your forehead after a challenging game of soccer, or after you reach to the top of the hill, you collapse into a delirium, which makes the entire journey such a great source of happiness, that you really understand what it meant when some one says that the journey is the destination.

The Flight

2007-12-29T02:32:00.000-08:00

The sea spread,
in all its vastness,
in front of my eyes;
Undeterred, I kept on flying,
For I thought,
you to be flying
right beneath me.
I kept flying and grew tired by night,
stopped flapping my wings
allowed myself to drop,
And I kept dropping
when suddenly I noticed the sea;
Violent and Angry,
in front of my eyes
and looked around for you;
And I found on the shore
singing to the melody of the morning,
Happy in the knowledge
that day was about to break.
Enjoying your song,
little do you notice,
while the day was breaking,
far across the sea, so was I.

The Communist Conspiracy

2007-11-18T02:26:00.000-08:00

One just needs to look around and you will find many people capitalizing on the pretended concern of the downtrodden like Elseworth Toohey of Ayn Rand's Fountainhead. The concept is totally flawed, and when these people put masses together as one homogenous lot, they immediately by some divine design put themselves on the front of it. The idea of treating people as absolute equals is in contradiction of the scientific Darwin's theory of the survival of the fittest. This idea is based on total ignorance of the difference between one human being and other because once you acknowledge and appreciate the differences, you also need to accept that some of them will be equal or better than others in one respect or other. Once you acknowledge this, you have to admit that no one will have absolute right to rule on other, as the other is not a non-thinking, non-individual mob which ought to be rules by the manipulating individual who simply brand a group of people as downtrodden masses and with the claim of being a self appointed protector of the the masses, force themselves on the leadership position. And to think that all this is just happening out of innocent flow of current is a fallacy. The truth is that, it is all well thought out and well planned. Else why would you forcibly want to represent my case, thrust your leadership upon me and then get annoyed if this self-proclaimed is challenged in any way. This explanins the highest order of state terrorism seen in Russia and China, where the system itself is designed to propogate state terrorism. Unfortunate part is that when the same ideology descends in Nandigram, with all constitutional safeguards meant to protect individual freedom, Congress which rules in centre, together with a figurehead president, signs some sycillian Omerta, and enters into a eleven months long conspiracy of silence with their ruling partners. Why communist always succeeds at first, it breeds on the cowardice of individuals, because we do not want to fight our own fight, because we want someone else to pick up the cudgels on our behalf. Little do we realise that as we lose our right to fight to some one else, at the same time we lose the right to exist. We as a society realise the trap that we have landed into only when we have a Stalin who considers his Gestapo as a national necessity, a Mao, who considers Tanks at Tianman Square a social instrument, and a Karat who considers himself a trustee of people rights, and a CM who considers CPI-M cadres killing other countrymen worthy of national gallantry awards.

Nation as an Idea..

2007-09-30T03:00:00.000-07:00

In the movie Gladiator, the Emperor of Rome puts a very straight-forward question to the main protagonist, What is Rome and eventually proceds to answer himself saying " Rome is an idea". I believe, that is a profound statement, which holds true not only for Rome as an Nation for all nations in the world. What else is a nation, a geographical formation, farms, forests, city and rivers? No, I do not think it is, and that is why it can not be defined in physical structures. If it were so, how come Rajputana or Maratha or Magadh, which were nation within there own rights, ruled by different sovereigns, run under different laws, till right upto Mughal empire and even later for some time off and on, are now a part of larger nation, which we call India. It is simply becuase an idea called india, expanded and found friendly vibes in heart of people populating hitherto disparate nations and grew to eventually, take all of it in its fold. It is an idea, thought out by leaders of the country (not talking of poloticians) long time back, cherished like their offsprings and nourished which ensured that we today stand up and take pride for everything from Gods Own Country, to Bangalore (nee Bagaluru, name given by politicians not leaders, who had important things to worry aboutn than the name of the city, politicians changed the thing needing least effort, changing standard of living wouldhave taken more effort and intelligence), to Financial power house of Mumbai, to the seventh wonder of Taj, as a nation of Billion plus people, instead of ending up as a incoherent set of around one hundred Nepals or Myanmars. The politicians, while reap benefit of the idea for which leaders paid with blood, scheme against the same idea, Dravid Vs. Aryan of Karunanidhi, Dhartiputra of Thackrey, Anti-Bihari of ULFA and so on, but they are first to stake claim of a cricket win. Announcing prizes, not from the party funds but from the Taxpayers money, and jostling for space on the stage set for the winners, forgetting that the players who gave them this opportunity came from the idea which keeps us together as a nation, why Uddhav Thackrey wants to share the benefit of win of a team led by Dhoni, people from whose state are so unwelcome to his party, or why DMK goes gaga on a win in which so many Aryans (if there is any such thing left at all, down the centuries) participated. And worse still, while I am tempted to condone the politicians, since acting otherwise would go against their basic nature, who as is said, when not kissing your babies, will be stealing their lollipops, what is pathetic, we as a nation, while go in the frenzy of T20 win, no doubt a matter of pride, forget to pause a moment to spare a thought to one of the prime thinker of the Idea which is India, it was Birth Centenary of Bhagat Singh, the same day, and not a word from media (albeit a small note on fourth or fifth page, where you can find it with difficulty) or even the Prime Minister, who was busy congratulating the Cricket team. Let us give a moment to the man who gave his life for the cause at the age, when the GenX at that age is busy figuring the ooomph value of the new cell phone. Let us not forget that those who forget the past are doomed to repeat it.

Hinduism as Way ot Life

2007-09-22T22:58:00.000-07:00

Recently there was some issues raised by people on teaching yoga, calling it Anti-Christian, some issue raised with chanting Gayatri Matra in the US assembly. No questions raised, ever thought why. Kanwadias on the street, full page articles in the National Dailies (of course, written by Hindu writers), no questions. Why the same author has no courage to write on the public discomfort during Tazia processions? No discomfort there, such processions in later case is an example of secular India, a symbol of Ganga Jamuna culture. Secularism is treating all religions but for Majority religion as equal. Why nobody raises an issue, because Hinduism is not a political religion. It was not meant to bind people together, so that they can stay disciplined and united as a army, extending beyond geographical boundaries like Christian West or Islamic Middle East. Hinduism was not driven by an urge to expand and convert. It is fairly simple, someone steps in your garden, you tell him to enjoy the beauty, someone put one step in restricted army camp, or in the border protected by Army, you are bound to invite violence. Same is the reason, justifying why there is violence in heart of Delhi amidst all bandobast, when Police are trying to follow the law, remove encroachment and by mistake drops one holy book from a bookshop in process, at the same time, someone spending overtime life, calls Ram names and only protest seen is in some far off Ayodhya.