tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-63434254407212462032026-02-22T00:07:26.653-08:00The Tech FarmThe World of Trends, the Stock Market, and Technology.techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.comBlogger252125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-48324945291366417082017-06-11T16:07:00.003-07:002017-06-11T16:07:25.433-07:00Find Automated Great Stock Trading Ideas using StockDomo.com (and track the performance of different buy strategies)Want to find great stock trading ideas using automated methods?
StockDomo.com provides great automated stock trading ideas based on many Buy Signal Strategies including stocks with above average volume exceeding the 52 week high.
The performance of the different strategies will be tracked as well.
StockDomo.com
techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-65589627579867890142016-02-11T21:54:00.000-08:002016-02-11T21:55:20.779-08:00Major Dome means Major Stock Drop Ahead. Target 1600 on the S&P 500, another 15% down from hereA Major Dome Pattern on the S&P 500 means that a Major Stock Drop Ahead. This dome has been forming for more than a 1 year, and is often a very bearish topping pattern.
More details in this link:
Major Dome Pattern means Major Stock Market Drop
techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-27252232266174005702015-09-05T20:46:00.002-07:002015-09-05T20:46:20.012-07:00Is September 2015 the start of a great Stock Market Crash? End of 7 year cycle, and September is worst monthAfter a seven year strong stock bull market in the U.S.A. since 2009 with hardly any stock corrections, is September 2015 the beginnings of a great Stock Market Crash?
September is seasonally the worst month of the year for stocks.
2015 is also likely the end of a surprisingly regular 7 year cycle.
An article from zerohedge.com points out this pattern:
1973: Oil Shock/Stocks Crash
techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-48938488046993355132015-08-24T22:51:00.000-07:002015-08-24T22:52:07.136-07:00Newly Developed Stock Screener which uses the PEGY Ratio.There's a newly developed Stock Screener at InvestDashboard.com.
There are many interesting filters there including Above Average Volume (for the day), Forward PE, EV to EBITDA Ratio, Beta as well as the PEGY Ratio.
The PEGY Ratio is an interesting way to evaluate whether or not a stock is growing at a reasonable price. For example, the PE might be high, but is there enough growth to justify techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-52983383576411895672014-07-08T22:04:00.002-07:002014-07-08T22:09:16.657-07:00Historical Best Day of Month to Dollar Cost Average or Invest: UPDATED: 1950 to 2014Historical Best Day of Month to Dollar Cost Average or Invest: Updated: 1950 to 2014
This article updates the previous "Best Day of Month to Dollar Cost Average".
1. This article now covers February 14, 1950 up to July 8, 2014.
2. The previous article used the Average S&P 500 methodology, which over weighed the S&P 500 when it is large (over 1500), and under weighed the S&techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-66453939807763973982014-07-02T00:18:00.001-07:002014-07-04T20:53:51.724-07:00"Don't Fight the Fed" is Wrong? What Is One Year Return After Rate Hikes or Rate Cuts?A. There is a common Wall Street mantra: "Don't Fight The Fed".
When the Fed is pumping liquidity (reducing Fed Funds Rate, instituting Quantitative Easing (QE)), you should follow the market upwards. If the Fed is taking away liquidity (raising Fed Funds Rate, and taking away Quantitative Easing), then be careful in the stock market.
This "Don't Fight the Fed" mantra seems to have techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-49129934397496866922014-06-29T15:44:00.001-07:002014-06-29T15:44:46.201-07:00SDIV: Global, High Dividend Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), Good Diversity.Are you looking for a single ETF or mutual fund to help give you great diversification and a high dividend? You should consider an international ETF which produces a high dividend. SDIV, an ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) from Global-X Funds, does that.
As of June 2014, the 12 Month Dividend Yield is 6.01%. The Total Annual Fund Operating Expense is 0.58%.  techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-91017113127528645312012-11-20T00:00:00.000-08:002012-11-20T20:48:21.854-08:00Is USA Doomed to Repeat 1921-1945: Prosperity, Depression, Totalitarianism, World War?Is the USA Doomed to Repeat 1921-1945: Prosperity, Depression, Totalitarianism, Major War?
In a previous post, we speculated that there is an 84 year cycle which includes an 84 year Major War Cycle.
In 1921 to 1929, we had the Roaring Twenties, a time of great Prosperity. There was great economic prosperity, the stock market had a large runup, and the 1920s was a decade of techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-72951206601450784912012-11-12T20:53:00.001-08:002012-11-12T20:53:09.311-08:00Will there be a Major US War in 2028? (World War 3?) The 84 Year U.S. Major War CycleWill there be a Major United States Involved War in 2028, Possibly Global?
If the 84 Year Cycle remains true, then we will have a possible major war (World War 3?) around 2028.
Year
Cycle
Major U.S. War
1776
+84
American Revolutionary War
1860
+84
U.S. Civil War
1944
+84
World War II
2028
Next Major U.S. techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-69059869832551314442012-10-24T23:17:00.000-07:002012-10-24T23:17:51.253-07:00Story of U.S. Stock Market in One Chart, 1975 to 2035The Story of the U.S. Stock Market (S&P 500) in One Chart from 1975 to 2035:
The Chart above tells the story of the United States Stock Market (as represented by the S&P 500 index) from 1975 to 2035.
Baby Boomers are the largest demographic group in the United States born around 1946 to 1960, right after World War II.
In the 1980s and 1990s, the Baby Boomers were in their Peak techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-25039357050902191632012-10-20T17:30:00.002-07:002012-10-20T17:38:58.142-07:00What does the U.S. Federal Government Spend Money on?What does the United States Federal Goverment Spend their money on?
In 2012, the breakdown is as follows:
In the chart above, over 62% of the 2012 US Federal Budget was spent on Entitlements including Health Care, Social Security, Pensions, Medicare and Medicaid. The next largest group is National Defense at 19%. Net Interest is at 6%, and that leaves 13% for all other spending techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-74361569384314572182012-10-16T21:49:00.000-07:002012-10-16T21:50:19.125-07:00Does Taxing the Rich Help Increase U.S. Revenue as a Percent of GDP? (Historic Range: 1934 to 2011)Does increasing the top marginal tax rate on the rich help the U.S. Revenue Problem?
In the chart above, the lower green line is the U.S. Revenue as a Percentage of GDP from 1934 to 2011. From 1944 to 2011, the Average U.S. Federal Revenue as a Percentage of GDP was a steady 17.8% with the highest being 20.9% of GDP in 1944, during World War 2. From 1944 to 2011, the U.S. Revenue techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-30902353549893006062012-10-12T00:22:00.001-07:002012-10-12T00:22:03.421-07:00Does the U.S. have a Spending or Revenue Problem? US Debt and DeficitDoes the United States have a Revenue Problem or a Spending Problem?
Since 1960, the United States has been on a Spending Trajectory, and the annual deficit over the last four years has been over $1 Trillion Dollars.
The Current U.S. National Debt is around $16 Trillion, and it is now over 100% of GDP (Gross Domestic Product).
But is it a U.S. Spending Problem or a Revenue Problem?
Intechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-27519814347811216772012-10-02T00:00:00.001-07:002012-10-02T00:00:19.802-07:00Trading the Largest 16 Year Stock Market Trading Range: Major Market Top or BreakoutThe U.S. Stock Market as represented by the S&P 500 Index is in a major 16 Year Trading Range from 1997 to 2012.
The Low of the trading range is around 666, which was reached January 2009. The S&P 500 last reached that level around the 1996-1997 timeframe.
The High of the Trading Range reached a level of 1576 on October 2007.
The S&P 500 is currently trading at 1444, techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-90299779158534565342012-09-25T00:24:00.001-07:002012-09-25T20:59:32.621-07:00Ten Year Predictions including Global Great Depression, War, and Obama/Romney.Today is September 24, 2012, and here are some ten year predictions (ending December 2022):
A. United States Elections:
President Barrack Obama, Vice President Joe Biden and the Democrats will win the U.S. election of 2012.
Following a major stock market crash between 2012 and 2016, the Republicans will win the election of 2016. However, the defeat of Mitt Romney in 2012, and the bad techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-34394718530707759002012-09-20T23:50:00.000-07:002012-09-20T23:50:26.923-07:00Aging Population Will Cause Great Bear Market to Last till 2025: The M/O RatioThe Aging U.S. Population Demographic will put great pressure on the Stock Market and cause Stock Crashes and Stagnation for many years, only recovering in 2025.
Zheng Liu and Mark M. Spiegel made a great observation and they found that there is a direct correlation between the Market's Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E) and a Demographic Ratio called the M/O Ratio.
M == Number of people in U.S. techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-17541470879283578502012-09-13T21:46:00.001-07:002012-09-13T21:46:07.964-07:00Monster Stock Rally, Blowoff Top then Massive Stock Crash?In the last post, this blog speculated that we are nearing a Major Market Top and will hit the third peak in a Triple Top, and we may see declines and stagnation for many years.
But what if, instead of a Triple Top Reversal, what if we break out of the previous highs on the S&P 500 (around 1550-1565 on the S&P 500 set in the year 2000 and 2007)? Then, we will have a very bullish techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-51644254362171562732012-09-11T00:10:00.001-07:002012-09-11T00:10:41.312-07:00Stock Market Major Triple Top: Big Drop Ahead? Target S&P 600.The U.S. Stock Market as measured by the S&P 500 index is at 1429 (Monday, September 10, 2012), just 10% below the all time closing high of around 1565 on October 2007.
The S&P 500 is nearing very strong overhead resistance, and it couldn't surpass it in 2000 (top #1) and then again in 2007 (top #2) when it could not surpass the all time high of 1565.
What if S&P 500 Can't techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-74686694805840990742012-09-06T23:05:00.000-07:002012-09-06T23:25:20.138-07:00S&P 500 Stock Market Crash?: $16 Trillion in National Debt and Bad DemographicsIs the Stock Market and the U.S. S&P 500 in Denial and is a Stock Market Crash Ahead?
Since the great stock market crash of 2008, the U.S. Stock Market has gone up from an S&P 500 low of 683 to 1432 today, September 6, 2012 for a gain of 110%.
However, during the same time, the United States National Debt went from $10.6 Trillion Dollars to today's $15.86 Trillion Dollars for a gaintechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-65759939717475688052011-11-26T21:34:00.001-08:002011-11-26T23:37:14.185-08:00College Major and Field Salary and Unemployment (2010)With tuition and higher education costs greatly outpacing inflation, choosing a Field and College Major becomes a more important decision.Based on the 2010 Census Data and the Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, here are the unemployment rates and 25, 50, and 75th percentile incomes based on the Field of Study. Results Sorted by 50% Percentile Income Field Unemployment25%techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-61529988413416854452011-11-01T21:59:00.000-07:002011-11-02T00:14:53.884-07:00Profit from Population Growth: 7 Billion People on EarthYou may have seen the most recent headline that the World Population is now 7 Billion Human Individuals.Can we profit from this? Water Infrastructure:Water Infrastructure will be needed to support the growing population.You can play this with the PowerShares Global Water Portfolio ETF (PIO) or the Powershares Water Resources ETF (PHO). Individual company names can include companies such as techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-55615214908634783632011-10-04T00:56:00.000-07:002011-10-04T02:36:32.145-07:00Undervalued Stocks with Respect to Growth and Yield (PEG+Y Ratio)As the Stock Market including the U.S. S&P 500 Index goes down, experienced people say you should start creating a wish list of companies to buy at lower levels.One measure of valuation is the PEG+Y Ratio which is the Forward Price Earnings Ratio divided by the Five Year Estimated Growth Rate Plus Yield:PEG+Y = (Forward Price Earnings Ratio) / (5 Year Estimated Growth Rate + Yield)PEGY (techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-6726838951948659222011-09-22T23:08:00.001-07:002011-09-22T23:33:41.798-07:00End of World Portfolio: Gold, Guns, and Spam: OutperformingSome people say that the End of the World Portfolio consists of "Gold, Guns, and Spam".To evaluate these, we will compare the S&P 500 compared to Gold (GLD), Guns (RGR: Sturm Ruger, maker of firearms), and Spam (HRL, Hormel, maker of Spam).(Dividends not taken into consideration):First Major Downturn: October 2007 to September 22, 2011: S&P 500: -27.83% GLD: +131.29% HRL: +57.62% RGR: +68.98%techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-62918337594441512592011-09-07T23:45:00.000-07:002011-09-08T00:07:13.467-07:00Idea #6: AEA: Cash Advance Centers: Profit from Bad Times and Living Paycheck to PaycheckSimple Idea #6: AEA: Advance America, Cash Advance Centers: Profit from Bad Times, Recession, Unemployment, and Living Paycheck to Paycheck TICKER: AEASECTOR: Financial Services, Loans, Credit Services GROWTH THEME: Bad times are with us with risks of recession, continued high unemployment and people continuing to live paycheck to paycheck. AEA, Advance America, Cash Advance America provides techfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6343425440721246203.post-36284273485525782872011-08-17T21:36:00.001-07:002011-08-18T21:47:37.493-07:00Idea #5: HANS: Hansen, Leading Energy Drink Maker, Monster brandSimple Investment Idea #5: HANS (Hansen): Leading Energy Drink Maker ('Monster' brand)
TICKER: HANS
SECTOR: Consumer Staples, Beverage, Energy Drink, Specialty Drinks
GROWTH THEME: Hansen (HANS) is a specialty drink maker, and their Monster Brand Energy Drink is a leader. Generation Y (a large group) and the Youth, and global growth will help propel stock and industry forward.
DEMOGRAPHICStechfarmerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11605788545688667371noreply@blogger.com0