WHAT TO TRADE NEXT

Trading record since SEPT 1 2008-- 183-8

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 30 Dec 2008 06:08:00 +0000

Zstock7 specializing in overnight trades, and week long trades. I also project accurate target price bottoms, to go long on a stock, and target price highs, to go short on a stock.
I don’t tie up your / my money in 3 week to 6 month’s trades. I like Quick 3% to 8% gains, and then I’m out of the trade…I specialize in over 650 stocks, and 25 ETF’s, so there are always two or 3 trades to work with per day.
Zstock7, also does IRA buy recommendations. Almost all of my recommendations return 25 to 40% within 6 months.

New Site!!! zstock7.com bookmark me

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Fri, 05 Dec 2008 07:36:00 +0000

UPDATE 12-25-2008
Since Sept 1st,
I have traded an astounding 182 -30 record.
Join my membership site and I'll show you how it's done.
BTW, I think anyone can learn my method, probably High school kids, can learn my method--
UPDATE 9-18-2009
trading record since Jan 1,2009, 360 wins, 65 break evens,

short interesting video

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Thu, 04 Dec 2008 21:32:00 +0000

I'd Rather Go Naked by Liv Films - The best free videos are right here

TOL reached the 200 day, my short sell target 20.38--as soon as it did that
SRS opposite index of sorts, not really for home building went from 102 to 120

$RLX,AMZN, member's only, AGP medicare

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Wed, 03 Dec 2008 21:49:00 +0000

$RLX

AMZN

AGP is setting up to be a nice short sell. $28 is my eventual target price, but I don't think AGP gets there all at once.

USO

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 02 Dec 2008 21:19:00 +0000

Wed, pre-market crude oil report, probably neutral to bullish. Any kind of news at this point is probably a good reason for the oil pits to try for higher prices.

I also have another signal, that virtually guarantee's USO will go up WED or Thursday. On another chart, I'm showing that the Dow probably starts out gapped___

zstock7's Weekly pick!

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Mon, 01 Dec 2008 21:30:00 +0000

The following is what my guest writing should look like on Trading Goddess's investment site---
==
==
What’s happening to XLV is the same thing, I’ve seen happen to 100’s of other Grade A companies.
A company decides to issue a profit warning, and the market immediately takes it into a very Low RSI reading.
It takes weeks for a company to come back up from a very low RSI reading.

Here’s a headline from Bloomberg--
“The proposed budget would also raise rebates that drugmakers must provide for patients on Medicaid, the nation’s health plan for the poor, to 22 percent of the manufacturer’s price from 15 percent. Lilly and AstraZeneca Plc said they would lose “several hundred million” dollars each in sales.”

This headline indicates to me, that the market will have a hard time determining the impact Obama’s plan will have on the XLV sector.
In the meantime, I can play XLV’s historical $2.2 to $3 price channel, until the market determines which way the health plan is going to go. This may take a long time. The longer it takes, the better it is for me. It means I will have more opportunities to make some money.

**
Here's my take on GENZ. It had really good looking EPS fundamentals going forward, until the healthcare reform changed the XLV's outlook.

TRADING RECORD

TGT,BIK, Chinese, Brasil ETF.

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Sun, 30 Nov 2008 06:52:00 +0000

Mouse Click on the picture for a nice surprise!!!

I’ll bet you ( trillion to 1 odds) TGT has to test $31, before it tests the 50 day
CLICK HERE to go to TGT Yahoo finance eps page

TGT retests $31, before moving higher. It's a little trick I have up my sleeve, that I haven't let anyone know about. It's sort of my invention, or just a really sharp, steeley eyed observation. When I open zstock7 member's only site, I'll post the trick--

When are the other countries getting too high?
BIK holdings and some fundamentals
CLICK HERE---BIK fundamentals

Duke Nu'kem

FF to 3:25

VIX,TOL

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Fri, 28 Nov 2008 19:27:00 +0000

TOL,RYL,MTH,KBH all became household words to me during the housing boom years. It's gotten to the point where I can usually decipher the chart signals fairly accurately. Today, housing stocks were following commodity stocks. That came as no surprise to me, because in the housing boom days, Housing stock prices were always emulataing the XLE prices.

I decided to retrieve an old VIX chart with the Fib lines. I don't know if the FIB lines are any help with the VIX. ( Old in this case is two weeks ago. In this business, that's usually ancient , although I do have charts that try to project 3 month's out. Someday, I'll have to separate those out from the pack.)
I mainly like to watch the Moving Averages on the VIX, for an up or down vote. The VIX is still high, so everyday, I get up anticipating 300 point swings in the DOW. I wonder how many traders are finding this to be the norm?

APOL, XOM,,XLE

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Wed, 26 Nov 2008 21:15:00 +0000

APOL

All comments welcome in the comments section.

XOM, may have topped out, so other sectors may have topped out as well.
If not, then I guess I better get bullish on XOM, cause XOM has the EPS to reach a new yearly high.
Here's a deep question, which puts into question the motives of the US Gov't. imo.
How does XOM get to be excluded from the bear market?

XLE

APC,XLI,CECO

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 25 Nov 2008 20:10:00 +0000

APC, this is a tough call. Short at $41, knowing full well EOG might make $90. Or play it safe and wait for $47-$50 area.
APC is a tough stock to short, and there's been many a time when I entered too early. UNG is set to DEC rally of $26 support---It just seems like $41 attempt is just doomed to failure. We'll see.

XLI

CECO is one of my flagship education stocks. I use it to determine the strength of the other education stocks. ( UTI,DV,APOL,STRA,etc) When CECO or COCO are close to a top, the other education stocks become shortable as well.
See a chart of UTI. You might like to short sell that one too!!!
Downside is, the market starts handing out new yearly highs on a plethora of stocks, ( doubtful)

CECO DEC ITM,ATM,OTM Strikes all working. Just remember though, OTM and ATM lose 15% of their value due to weekend time. T4-1 = T3 lose 15% on the weekly changeover.

D,NEM,IYF,HAL unirversal chart for OIH stocks

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Mon, 24 Nov 2008 19:48:00 +0000

twitter.com/zstock

only been on twitter for 5 days and already 40 of the top internet traders are following yours truly---How the heck did they find me?

$SPX

New traders should only trade Utility companies and telecoms.
These stocks have some of the most stable price channels out of all the stocks in the stock market.
What's wrong with new traders? They like the glitz and glam of RIMM and AAPL and then they get killed and they never come back.
Usually,
30% of my portfolio is weighted in these boring utility and telecom stocks.

NEM--
I think OBAMA gives another speech on Tuesday--Market sentiment sure does like his speeches--I think he's going to delay the tax break for the ultra rich. DOW +400 again?

IYF,long or short? Market sentiment says to go long. Logic says to short---So, I went net 60% logic---I'm short net 60% and long net 40%

HAL

On Friday I was 60% net short the portfolio, needless to say all my Shorts were stop lossed opening bell. The Longs did really really well---(Short SRS--long IYR) helped to more than offset this mornings losing trades--Right now I'm 80% net short---but I think I will add a couple of more long positions, just in case Tuesday is another up day. The market is coming from quite oversold conditions, and 4 up days in a row wouldn't surprise me.

AZO,PX,TDY,EBAY,HD,NDAQ,FXI,GDX,msft universal short sell set up

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Fri, 21 Nov 2008 22:40:00 +0000

AZO,TDY,PX

Retail,Banking,China, all real bull hammers--all moving higher---
Probably on Monday

GDX

MSFT

CLICK HERE
NASDAQ AFTERHOURS LINK

NAUD,SRS,VNO,BXP

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Thu, 20 Nov 2008 21:34:00 +0000

BXP, is this 2008-2009 low, probably not. But it's a nice set up for a mini rally, if you call potentially 35% higher in the next couple of weeks, mini.

VNO

SRS

NAUD (-2600)__hope you're not short anything___cause you are about to be beheaded!!!
chopped up in two, thrown out the window, you are a dead man walking-----

SRS T5 -- 5 weeks till option expire
If you want to daytrade what I think will be SRS collapsing either FRI or Monday---
Just remember if You buy on FRI and hold till Monday the option loses 15% of it's value over the weekend.
VNO and BXP charts on their way.

QQQQ,CSCO,AA,JPM

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Wed, 19 Nov 2008 18:55:00 +0000

JPM this chart says buy at $24, might get a bounce at $28

QQQQ chart posted way back on OCT 3rd. I re-released it on NOV 12th, and now I'm watching this friggin' thing work--who knew, way back then?

So, far the market is having a terrible options expire week--there might not be any relief until Monday or TUESDAY, the day or two after options expire.

JPM, i hope you aren't holding anything more than 3 days, because these stocks go up, and then right back down again.

CSCO

AA

X,MSFT

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 18 Nov 2008 21:34:00 +0000

X at 26.6 low, is about 50% below $40 target price--upper BB band and 36 -50 day

MSFT UPDATE FROM 11-12

HOG, Econ Cal 11-17

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Mon, 17 Nov 2008 19:35:00 +0000

On paper trades I do really good with HOG, so this time I decided to try some cash.
I think GM bailout--that's imminent, despite the vocals--will help HOG price.

Economic Calendar, Here's my take on events.

SUN,ATK,M3 money supply,USD,VIX,FXP,SMH

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Fri, 14 Nov 2008 21:35:00 +0000

SUN EPS upgraade, will really help the other refineries. look for FTO,VLO,HOC,TSO to benefit as well.

ATK, Doesn't get any easier than this. I can post gems like this all day long. zstock7 is coming, and posting these types of trades is the plan.

M3 money supply, How do you strengthen the dollar? You stop printing them, and the ones that wear out, you burn them. ( no,no, I don't know how M3 comes down )

VIX, I wish some of my long time readers would tell the new readers, that they can't remember the last time I got VIX wrong. ( at least refresh my memory, cause I can't remember EVER getting the VIX wrong)

USD, I try to follow the $USD news the best I can (it's still mysterious, I just know the Higher USD goes the lower oil goes) , but on a technical basis, the FIB 38% worked a couple of times in the past.

FXP 2 charts---this one is ( forget today's bull hammer signal) and the 2nd one is, use today's bull hammer signal--

Uh-oh, FXP has a real bull hammer. I never try to short sell a real bull hammer. Looks too scary to short. I'll short FXP at the BB middle band. That's a great short sell signal--look at the vertical down steepness or the BB mid band--that signal works 85% of the time on a stocks first attempt to go above that. That means 85% of the time a stocks first attempt to go above the vertical down BB mid band, the stock won't do it.

SMH coin toss for an overnight long, going into MON--
If I can get SMH for about 4% lower, I'd go for that.

$21 Billion saves 1 million housing loans. 5X that and the bear market is over. Neil Kaskary is your anti-christ. He’s at the treasury and just hands out the money to all his friends.
Here’s the downside to saving all these loans imo. Banks on every corner will disappear. Who cares, I don’t mind driving further to get to a bank. And I don’t mind if I have to stand in a longer line.
This is what he’s trying to avoid? “Long lines at the bank?” Give me a break. Send this guy to the electric chair for stupidity.
The only regulation you need for home loans---is a 20% down payment!!! No exceptions. That's why you lose all the corner ( 7-11) banks.
By the way, the 5X amount I'm talking about, exactly equals the pork barrel spending Congress added to the Bailout package.
Bottom Line__
Congress does not want to save you, the planet, or this market. You are on your own.

MSFT,TGT,USO,FSLR,MO

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Thu, 13 Nov 2008 19:54:00 +0000

On 11-11, I told you I'd take all your money if you went long going into FRI---
I have 5 years experience studying the effects of the economic calendar and it's relationship to the market.

MSFT, I don't know why this guy is short MSFT at $21.50?

UPDATE: ALL THE CHARTS WERE POSTED BEFORE THE 900 POINT CLIMB ON THE DOW--SO THE CHARTS ARE BACKTARD ( out of step) NOW

FSLR, when it's time to BUY FSLR, it's time to buy all the other solars, CSIQ,STP,SPWRA,WFR,ASTI,JASO,ETC--XLE and XME also trying to find support, so that helps the solar sector--

USO

TGT

MO

TOL, I closed out my TOL short today--started at $24 now $17 = 35% gain in stock price, in option price it's too BIG too post

QQQQ,AAPL,MSFT,JNPR,PBW

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Wed, 12 Nov 2008 19:39:00 +0000

QQQQ, wish I had remembered this chart last weekend--It's from my OCT 3rd blog--In my defense, back then, I though it was science fiction, so I buried it. ( dumb)

I already have numbers to support 6300 low for early 2009, and now they are saying the consumer 2009 is going to be worse than 2008--DOW 14,000 - 61% = 5350 LOW for 2009 looks like 1942
Chicago Economists sure don't know what to do.

NAUD didn't even move today--(-200) today.
Now I'm determined to find out what the components are for this indicator--cause it sure isn't this heatmap--

AAPL

MSFT

JNPR

PBW

ECON, naud, report,spwra

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 11 Nov 2008 21:31:00 +0000

Econ calendar___Friday is Doom Day from pre-market till selling off into the weekend.

naud report

I don't think I missed the correct entry price by 8%--28-29 looks about right-
I wrote on Nov 5 to wait for $25 entry---
29 is 60% below my long term target price 47ish.

DIA, VIX call,GOOG,GS eps,

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Mon, 10 Nov 2008 19:36:00 +0000

DIA will get to the 50 day, just not in the regular way.

Last week, the number of Americans continuing to collect unemployment benefits hit a 25-year high of 3,843,000.
Friday brings the release of the Commerce Department's October retail sales index, expected to show another monthly decline as hard-hit consumers continue to pull back on spending.
The government's report is expected to show retail sales dropping 1.2% in October after falling 1.2% in September.
With 84% of the S&P 500 having released results, earnings are on track to have fallen 13.9% from a year ago, according to the latest Thomson Reuters figures.
On Thursday morning, Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) is expected to post a quarterly profit of 76 cents per share versus a profit of 69 cents per share a year ago.
Sales at U.S. retailers probably fell in October by the most since the 2001 recession, pushing the economy further toward the worst slump in a quarter century, economists project a report this week will show.
Economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. last week projected the economy will shrink at a 3.5 percent pace this quarter and 2 percent in the first three months of 2009, making it the deepest slump since 1982.
Macy's Inc., Target Corp. and Gap Inc. posted declines in October sales at stores open at least a year. Nordstrom Inc., Kohl's Corp. and J.C. Penney Co. were among the chains that cut profit forecasts.
The numbers are brutal. Hardly anyone bought anything in the month of October. According to the ICSC-Goldman Sachs index, retailers had their weakest October performance since the index's inception in 1969! If this trend keeps up through the holiday season it is safe to say that January will become National Bankruptcy Month.

VIX call option lesson, follow up to comments section question.
at Zstock7 ( new site I'm building) , I can post 1000's of these examples, so you will finally get it.

GOOG, nobody I can find is buying GOOG, so I'll just wait for the RSI to give me a better reading. I don't like to buy stocks at RSI 36.

GS had it's eps estimates slashed this morning from 2.7 to -2.7, that's a $5 swing to the down side--
I prefer to go with Yahoo numbers--so I'll guess GS is now at $8 eps for 2008

DIA, long term, CLF,NDAQ group, ,UNG,MO

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Fri, 07 Nov 2008 18:20:00 +0000

DIA, I'll go with this long term scenario, till someone smarter comes out with a different one.

Zstock7 is coming, and there will be a lot more option price history at that site.
Most investors lose 30% overnight or over the weekend, ( even when the stock price goes up) cause they don't know a stocks option price history.
here's the one for CLF

here's the rest ( 8 more) the economy charts
CLICK HEREJohn C. LEE is the breadwinner--copy all his trades

NDAQ, is it lagging the rest of the market, or is it setting up to retest the recent low, where I will be a buyer of all of these__CME,NYX,CME,ICE,GS
keep in mind C and BAC retested their recent lows and so far so good, they bounced off them.

VIX, this was a big winner, cause almost every stock went up 4 to 10% the next day.
SEPT blog record really was 76 wins and 1 loss___and NOV is starting to look like SEPT record.

Nat Gas supplies start dwindling, the colder the weather gets. Tell me something. Are you wearing T-shirt's or long sleeves when you go out at night?
This dwindling supply leads to higher UNG prices, which lead to an energy rally, which leads to a SPY rally, which leads to a Jolly NOV. Happens every year, since Jesus Time.

MO I like the steady as a rock price channel

SPY Composite trade. $53 low. A percentage of that Probably happens in Jan time frame.

AAPL,USO, UNP 11-2 follow up, STP

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Thu, 06 Nov 2008 18:58:00 +0000

AAPL WEEKLY, BUY THE DIPS

USO, I know the exit price, just don't know if $50 is the real low, start nibbling go long USO

UNP --now I'm going long, just nibbling though

STP, I think this is a buying ( go long) opportunity) at these prices.

VIX,TOL,SPWRA,OIH,SMN,BBY

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Wed, 05 Nov 2008 18:26:00 +0000

VIX, here's one possible outcome from the endless possibilities that actually exist in a metaphorical future dimension. ( Time will Tell)
VIX at the 20 day go long the market. You can thank me later, for nailing this one.

With signals like this, it's a wonder that everyone isn't in the stock market

SPWRA , lowered estimates by 17% in AH yesterday. I don't think today was the go long price--It usually takes a while ( 5 days) for the market to determine a low for a stock after the company issues a warning.

OIH
Growler does some great charts
CLICK HERE

SMN

BBY,FXE,CSCO

I'm on the sidelines today, cause all the charts look like SMN to me today. I can't tell what to do. One day of waitng won't hurt. FRI is a down day probably, cause of employment report, so I can throw the darts on Thursday and whatever stocks they land on,I can short those.

RSH

noreply@blogger.com (zstock7.com) — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 17:37:00 +0000

Here's the RSH chart, that won't show up at my new site!
zstock7.com