B.A.R.D.

Whatever happens, it will.

2011-10-06T17:16:00.000-07:00

80%

2011-10-03T01:01:00.000-07:00

6:55pm 3rd October 2011

My 80% moment. I made it.

No improvement to my life will ever come close.

2011-09-08T22:15:00.001-07:00

Watching the movie "true grit" I am reminded of the evolution of empathy... a rising curve which tracks the increasing depth and breadth of empathetic love towards our fellow man. the casulness with which people regarded hanging, murder and lawlessness seemed still gentile compared to the rutheless sociopathy of the gladiatorial combat centuries before. nowadays we have another standard... but it is not perfect and I see clearly the standard of the future by which people will recoil in horror at how casually we ignored the multitude of serious medical conditions and tolerated the fact by which so many people suffered in silence within their own bodies and led live of quiet desperation. it is a clear path that we are forging - towards an ultimate rationality, a utilitarian responsibility which will not ignore the greater suffering for what is evident or intuitive. it will dig and scrap through data until the truth is revealed and all suffering can be abolished.

2011-05-30T05:14:00.001-07:00

People who's physiology is dysfunctional, leading to high levels of stress, will often seek out and lead lives of extreme hardship and challenge just so that their external experience is congruent with their internal one.

Can rationality be quantified / tracked?

2011-05-25T11:33:00.000-07:00

If this can be achieved, then we will have launched a social singularity.

The Death Delusion

2010-11-10T16:31:00.001-08:00

By Bard Canning

Recommend this article.

“Afraid of dying? Don’t be. It’s never going to happen to you, and I can prove it.”

It’s said that Albert Einstein once commented that the most fundamental question we can ever ask ourselves is whether or not the universe we live in is friendly or hostile. He hypothesized that your answer to that question would determine your destiny.

Surely death is the greatest threat that we all face. For many people it gives the universe a decidedly hostile bent. They believe that the race of life can never be won; that we are born to lose.

I do not agree. In fact, I believe that the race was never started to begin with and that death itself is an illusion.

The aim of my writing is the excavation and study of the truth. The truth as a pure product, consistent for all time. Through reasoned logic I intend to demonstrate that your own consciousness is not as finite in scope and lifespan as you may think.

To put it simply: I do not believe in death.

I do not think that we are immortal, far from it. My belief is that we are exempt from the unpleasant matter of death altogether. I believe that our general definition of sentience needs to evolve with our understanding of the nature of the universe and of human consciousness.

It has been my experience that once the spectre of death is stripped of its shadowy mask it becomes much easier to contend with as a concept. I believe that nothing truly known can be truly feared. If this article gives you solace and enables you to live your life with a little less fear then in many ways I have achieved my goal.

The Alpha and the Omega

“Death, in itself, is nothing; but we fear, To be we know not what, we know not where.”

John Dryden

Everyone eventually reaches the point in their lives where they become fully aware of the inevitability of their own death. It is at this point that they choose to either embrace the overwhelming significance of the realization or to recoil in horror. They may be tempted to abandon reason in favor of prescribed answers and short term comforts – such as spirituality, superstition or religion. Yet, what is the price that we pay when we allow fear and wish-thinking to warp our perception of reality? A very high one, in my opinion.

Maintaining a strictly rational and honest approach can be the harder choice in the short term but the one that I am convinced yields greater rewards in the end. I believe that the most powerful and courageous choice we can make is to embrace and commit to the power of reason, no matter how difficult or uncertain the journey may be. We should attempt to approach life as the ultimate scientist; with an open mind and without preconceptions. The reward for our efforts is the truth, and that is to be prized above all else.

A common belief is that to live a fulfilling life we should all simply pursue happiness for ourselves and for others. Yet, even our very happiness is subject to the laws of truth. How can we be sure that the actions we are taking are making us truly happy if we don’t have a rational understanding of ourselves and the universe that we live in?

I find no satisfaction in the phony grandeur of religious myths and doctrines. What I do have is a deep sense of wonder at the possibility that we may be able to explain our universe using reason alone. The beauty and grandeur of any explanation would be immeasurably enhanced by its truth.

Sapiens is Latin for “being wise” or “knowing”; coupled with the human genus it forms Homo Sapiens. Literally, we are the only genus of animals that know - about ourselves and about the world around us. Surely the greatest gift of sentience is the ability to consider one’s own existence and mortality. I cannot think of anything more appalling than the thought of someone having lived and died without ever having considered the nature of their own existence. This is what fundamentally separates us from animals. This self-awareness is the crowning achievement of the human intellect; to neglect it is to abandon what makes us uniquely human.

It’s All in Your Mind

“If real is what you can feel, smell, taste and see, then ‘real’ is simply electrical signals interpreted by your brain.”

Morpheus – The Matrix

Though science-fiction, the film The Matrix touches on a very important scientific problem: that there is currently no way for us to know for certain if what we experience is real or a sensory fantasy fed directly into to our brains. All of the input information that we receive arrives from our eyes, ears and other senses.

Prominent scientists and philosophers have calculated that there is at least a twenty-percent likelihood that we are all, in fact, living in a simulation.

Scientists are currently fitting deaf children with Cochlear brain implants that allow them to hear despite having no physical ear-drums at all. There are currently a number of similar devices under development that can be implanted into the visual cortex of the brain and will allow blind people to “see” a digital video image fed directly via electrical impulses to the synapses of the brain.

Reality is all in our own minds. We do not actually experience the real world, only the images, sounds and sensations fed to us by our senses and interpreted by our brains.

It’s true that this fantasy is directly influenced by the physical universe but research has shown that we all perceive the outside world in very different ways.

Since all experience occurs within your mind, your memories of your life right up to this very moment are as real and valid as the dream you had last night.

So, is “reality” a dream? I believe that it’s more like a memory of what our senses perceived a millisecond ago. A story told to us by our mind to represent our experience of the physical universe.

From an objective viewpoint your “mind” wouldn’t exist at all. An objective observer would only see the movement of atoms and electrons within your brain. Subjective experience is exactly that: subjective.

The Veil of Perception

“Reality is merely an illusion, albeit a very persistent one.”

Albert Einstein

Understanding the nature of death naturally requires an understanding of one’s own existence. “Cogito Ergo Sum” (“I think, therefore I am”); a most fundamentally profound philosophical observation made by Rene Descartes in 1637. There is very little that we can prove absolutely, but at the very least we know that we do exist.

All experiences and meanings are created within our minds. The objective universe does not “see” any “meaning”, it simply is.

The confusion occurs for many people when they try to merge the concept of their own subjective intelligence with the objective reality of the universe.

It’s true that at some point we will appear to “die”, but there is no reason to assume that our experience will be anything like how we imagine death to be.

Our brains are “experience machines”. All we can be is what we experience and anything outside of that is a subjective impossibility. Death is a physical process, and so impossible for us to directly participate in.

Death is Impossible

“I do not fear death. I had been dead for billions and billions of years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest inconvenience from it.”

Mark Twain

“…your lifetime is but a parenthesis in eternity.”

Dr Wayne Dyer

The spectre of death is an illusion, and one that you will never have to meet because it is impossible for you to do so. It’s not something that should concern you since you won’t be taking any part in it.

When we “die” our brain stops working and our consciousness ceases to function. We cannot experience an absence of experience; therefore, technically, we cannot participate in this idea of “death”.

Death may be a frightening concept, but, just like an imaginary bogeyman in your closet, you won’t be present when it comes knocking.

You felt no pain, happiness, love or fear before you were born, and you won’t feel anything when your time is done. If it saddens you to think that at some point in the future you will no longer physically exist then why does it not sadden you to think of the trillions of years before you were born in which you were also absent.

“Death” describes an infinite “nothingness”. We cannot experience “nothing”. If you are experiencing nothing, then you are not experiencing anything at all.

You cannot truly fear something which cannot exist for you. You can fear the concept of death, but it is nothing more than a shared myth, an illusion.

The Ghost in the Machine

“We are not physical beings having a spiritual experience; we are spiritual beings having a physical experience.”

Dr Wayne Dyer

Many terms have been used to define our “spirit”, “soul”, “mind” or “qualia”. When the supernatural elements are removed, I believe that these terms fundamentally refer to the same concept. Since our conciousness exists in the dimension of pure thought it could be said that we are living in a “spiritual plane” every day of our lives.

A subjective experience may be created by the functioning of a complex system, but the subjective qualia cannot be experienced by an outside observer, only by the mind within the system itself. It’s for this reason that consciousness exists in a different dimension to the physical universe.

The 19th century psychologist Hermann von Helmholtz proposed an experiment to demonstrate the nature of qualia: His instructions were to stand in front of a familiar landscape, turn around, bend down and put your head between your legs. He suggested that it would then be difficult in the upside-down view to recognize what you found familiar before.

What you were seeing was not the landscape, but your mental representation of it.

Dream On

“Have you ever had a dream, Neo, that you were so sure was real? What if you were unable to wake from that dream? How would you know the difference between the dream world and the real world?”

Morpheus – The Matrix

All subjective human experience exists in the dimension of pure thought. It is therefore impossible to truly conceive of anything in the physical universe.

All of our experience occurs within our brain. Even the world that we see around us is still a representation formed within our brain as an interpretation of what our senses perceive.

For example, the visual experience of color is entirely created in our brain. Light waves bounce off of objects and return to us at different wavelengths. Our brain attempts to delineate these differences by assigning different colors to these wavelengths. This evolutionary trait developed because it served a useful purpose for our species. Conversely, it was not sufficiently useful for us to perceive the ultraviolet or infra-red spectrums, so we did not evolve this capability, whilst other creatures did.

In truth, most of what we see is simply an representation for the physical world which helps us to understand and interpret it. This is highlighted in cases where these representations break down, such as during psychoactive drug experiences or in severe mental illnesses, such as schizophrenia.

The same is true for the other senses and experiences, such as pain. For example, if you hold your hand over a fire you experience the sensation of pain. The experience of pain is not intrinsic to the flame, it is simply a signal sent by the pain receptors in your hand to alert you that your body is being injured. It is a interpretation of what is occurring and it exists only within your mind.

Your experience of daily life is as real as your dreams, since both exist completely within your own mind. It is for this reason that our experience of life could be compared to a dream-state.

When you wake up, does the person that you were in the dream die? Of course not, who you were was only an illusion created in your own mind. But, then again, the same can be said for when you are awake.

The truth is, who you are right now is an “illusion”. Your illusion.

I’ll Be There in Spirit

Boy: “When you take apart a Lego house and mix the pieces into the bin, where does the house go?”

Girl: “It’s in the bin.”

Boy: “No, those are just the pieces. They could become spaceships or trains. The house was an arrangement. The arrangement doesn’t stay with the pieces and it doesn’t go anywhere else. It’s just gone.”

XKCD

A popular scientific observation is that all of the atoms in our bodies are in constant transition. They are shed from our bodies at a constant rate, with new atoms taking their place. The atoms that form your brain are replaced about every twelve months and almost your entire body is replaced about every seven years.

Therefore, how can you say you are the same person that you were a year ago? You can, of course, because your subjective consciousness is not a physical entity, it is an intangible system that is supported, but not reliant on, a physical substrate.

As with any system, it is maintained by a physical substrate, in this case your biological brain. The components of the system may change, but the system itself remains consistent.

Similarly, a computer system can be copied from a magnetically-encoded hard drive to an electronically-encoded RAM chip whilst maintaining its integrity.

If the carbon-based biology of your conciousness is constantly changing without your mind collapsing, then why couldn’t your mind be transferred to a silicone-based substrate, such as a computer processor?

The truth is that it doesn’t matter what form your mind takes, as long as its structure is maintained. This leads us to the inevitable conclusion that our minds may one day be copied onto a computer and that this copy would itself be an individual sentient mind.

As uncomfortable as it may make some people feel, there is no evidence to support the notion that our human consciousnesses are inextricably linked to the biological packages of meat, bone and grey matter that house them.

I believe that the concept of a “soul” has been created as a means to escape existential confusion and fear but remains unsupported by evidence or reason. Rather, what we are left with is conciousness; a complex system which is reliant upon, but not restricted to, a particular physical substrate.

The Chemistry Between Us

If you take the chemicals that create the emotion of love and combine them on a petri dish then have you created love itself? Most people would say that you haven’t, but when this exact reaction occurs within a human brain an emotion is said to have occurred.

Scientists can describe the physical properties of a single human thought by recording the electrical and chemical activity in the brain, yet what they are mapping is simply matter and energy moving through space, it is not the thought as experienced by the thinker. The qualia is “lost in translation”.

There is a gulf between the dimensions of objective facts from subjective experience. The two can influence each other, but between them is a fundamental divide.

As an example, the fundamental laws of logic hold true whether there is anyone around to define them as true, yet it takes a mind to conceive of those laws and of the concept of truth.

God Consciousness

“…this world known as the First Sirian Bank is a planet with a… crust consisting almost entirely of crystalline silicon… over the billenia earthquakes and so forth have caused the formation of billions of transistor junctions within that crust, forming by natural means the largest computer in the galaxy… we find the First Sirian Bank not only alive, but possessed of a universe-view sufficiently advanced to call him Human.”

The Dark Side of the Sun – Terry Pratchett

If you accept that your thoughts occur as an organised system, supported by a physical substrate then you must also accept that random thoughts are occurring throughout the universe whenever a sufficiently complex and ordered system is formed. Through pure chance, emergence, evolution or conscious design complex electro-chemical reactions could be formed to create a precise analogue of the processes taking place within a human brain.

Therefore the universe could be filled with a diffuse, disorganized intelligence. A “God Consciousness” if you like.

The only difference with the human mind is that our brains create linear cohesion through time and a home for these thoughts to interact and evolve.

It is a common assertion that we are sentient individuals because of the ordered complexity of our minds. Yet, it would be absurd to suggest that we would become more real or more sentient if our brains were increased in size or complexity. You are real now, and you would be real if someone removed half your brain. You might lose some of your capabilities, but you would still be a real, sentient individual. There are tumour patients who have had over half of their brains removed. It would be absurd to consider them to be half as real or half an individual. The same is true if the order of your brain was to be eroded completely. You might become significantly less intelligent but you would still exist as microscopic flashes of intelligence appearing throughout the universe. Except by then you would have lost the division between yourself and other minds because your thoughts would have spread out and merged with the general intelligence “fog”.

When your physical body dies your consciousness does not disappear, it merely becomes disorganized and less constrained by the linear concepts of time and space. Some people consider this to be rejoining the “God Consciousness”.

Artificial Intelligence

“For thousands of years, we have tried to understand how we think: that is, how a mere handful of matter can perceive, understand, predict, and manipulate a world far larger and more complicated than itself.”

Stuart J. Russell

If the right chemical reaction was created in a test tube which exactly mimicked the thought processes of a person sitting in a cafe eating a raspberry tart, then who is to say that this thought hasn’t actually occurred? Just because it has not taken place in a brain does not mean that it is less real, or that the qualia is lost.

In fact the “person” would not even realise that they existed in a test tube rather than a cafe since they would only be aware of what they perceived through their thoughts.

You are only aware of what you perceive through your thoughts.

Your mind can never die since death is an event restricted to the physical world and does not exist in the dimension of pure thought.

A Wake

“They’re made out of meat. …These creatures are the only sentient race in the sector and they’re made out of meat.”

“…And the ones who have been aboard our vessels, the ones you have probed?…”

“… We went into their heads and smoothed out their meat so that we’re just a dream to them.”

“A dream to meat! How strangely appropriate, that we should be meat’s dream.”

Terry Bisson

If you cut open a brain you can’t see the thoughts, only the physical clues that demonstrate that a thought is occurring. The electrical currents and chemical reactions are like a wake left in the ocean behind a boat that cannot be seen. The wake is evidence of the boat, but it is not the boat itself. The wake provides evidence that the boat is moving, yet if you stood below deck and closed your eyes you would not feel as if you were moving at all. In the same way, our consciousness exists on an ever-changing ocean of atoms within our skull, which is on a planet flying through space, yet we experience ourselves as a fixed point, a consistent individual conciousness.

The existence of our mind is evidenced by the “wake” left in our physical brains, but only we can experience our own consciousness.

Hold That Thought

“Music is what feelings sound like.”

Anonymous

A thought cannot fully exist within any one moment in time. If that were true then you could cryogenically freeze someone’s brain, halting the electrons and chemicals in that moment, and the person would be stuck forever thinking the same thought.

A thought does not exist at a fixed point in time; rather it exists in the transition between points.

It’s similar to music. A piece of music is not the notes on the page; rather it is the journey from one note to another that creates the song.

So are our thoughts created in the journey between moments in time.

Pause or End Game?

“You are the music while the music lasts.”

T.S. Eliot

If our consciousness is a chain of connected thoughts, like a string of musical notes, then the concept of death describes a chain of thought that is no longer continuing.

No pain can be felt, no disappointment, nothing.

“Nothing” is nothing, so it cannot exist, and so therefore neither can “death”.

Something can only be said to have ended when it will never continue.

In regards to our consciousness, death is more like a long pause than the end of the song.

Thank You, Come Again

In an infinite universe anything is possible and everything is inevitable. There is every chance that your chain of thought may be continued again somewhere, sometime, in the infinite possibilities of time and space.

It’s true that the atoms will have changed, but take a look at your own body. In the last few years almost every atom has changed within it too. Who you were then no longer exists. They could be seen as “dead”. You are a copy of that body, gradually constructed bit by bit around the old one using the proteins and enzymes that you have consumed (you are what you eat.) Therefore, if by random chance your final thought pattern was reconstructed a trillion years from now in another place, who is to say that this would not be you? Amazingly, you would not feel that any time had passed at all.

Zero-Point

“Thus that which is the most awful of evils, death, is nothing to us, since when we exist there is no death, and when there is death we do not exist.”

Epicurus

No person should fear death. Fearing death is a logical fallacy.

It’s like a mathematician fearing that one day the number zero will consume all the other numbers. This is impossible since the other numbers would always remain present; a particular formula might equal zero, but the numbers that created it would still be present, ready to repeat the formula once again.

Besides, zero isn’t even a real number.

Pi in the Sky

“I am incapable of conceiving infinity, and yet I do not accept finity.”

Simone de Beauvoir

To illustrate my point I ask you to look briefly at the number Pi. Pi is an infinite stream of chaotically generated numbers. It has been suggested that within these numbers would be the atomic positions of every atom in your body since the day you were born. Every thought you’ve ever had is contained, somewhere, within Pi. Indeed, so is every other possible experience you might have had.

You might say “So what? It’s just numbers, it’s just math. It’s not real experience.” Yet, your brain right now is just atomic particles moving from one position to another.

Therefore, if the universe is infinite, we are destined to live out every possible experience through the infinite possibilities of time and space. We can never die. The atoms that form us may change, so may their position, size, and time that they exist in, but these things have changed constantly throughout your life, yet you have remained alive and maintained the same identity.

The Mind as a Meme

“You can kill a man but you can’t kill an idea.”

Medgar Evers

One question that arises when we consider the constant changes that occur within the physical structure of the brain is how our minds and identities can remain so consistent and intact, despite the constant shifting of their physical foundations. My answer is that the mind is a highly complex and multi-layered meme.

A meme is the conceptual equivalent of a gene. It is a concept that can be shared between conscious minds without losing its fundamental integrity; like complex religious beliefs, or the simple custom of shaking hands.

Memes tend to compete with each other for survival and are subject to the same laws of evolution as other forms of life. Memes have been shown to develop self-defensive adaptations with varying levels of internal intelligence. In fact, I assert that since memes are complex intelligent systems they are as valid a form of life as our own protein-based genes or the humans which they construct.

In The God Delusion Richard Dawkins describes how memetic concepts often survive the passage of time and the transition from person to person without losing their integrity. They achieve this by utilizing a kind of conceptual compression; a step by step map of their structure that eliminates less important details in favor of the core subject.

The example that Dawkins gives is that when a carpenter teaches the technique for building a chair to an apprentice he describes a single step as “nail this leg here”, not “swing the hammer at thirty degrees and hammer five times.” This is because, ultimately, those smaller details are not important in achieving the goal of nailing the leg onto the chair; a goal which can be achieved despite various small changes and still produce a faithful recreation of a chair.

Our minds are the same in that they are memes kept alive by neurons that transfer their memetic information from generation to generation without losing fidelity. Even though the cellular and atomic structures of our brains is constantly changing, our meme-mind stays intact. Small details may change as the physical vehicles die and are replaced but the core integrity survives.

Your mind is a substrate-independent system. It is a consistent meme on an ever-changing ocean of cells and neurons.

A simple example would be if you recorded a time-lapse video of a tattoo on a person’s arm; it would seem to hover unchanged under the skin as the skin cells surrounding it died, shed and were replaced throughout the years. Similarly, an image moving across a TV screen is consistent in and of itself, but is illuminated by different pixels as it glides across the screen.

Your mind was never intrinsically linked to a particular set of atoms or a particular location in space. Because it is a meme it can be recreated at a later date, out of different materials and in a different location.

Time Enough

The universe is not linear – nor does it move at the speed of our subjective experience. This is all our own dream and unique to us.

Just watch a fly buzzing around some time. Do you think it is experiencing the world at the same speed as you?

Physics teaches us that the universe as we see it does not exist exclusively within this moment, or any moment at all; rather, it exists in all possible moments of time.

You really do have all the time in the world, because there’s no end to speak of, only the natural progression of your own story, which is all in your mind.

How can you rush a thought? A dream? You can only work against it or in harmony with it.

Work in harmony with your dream, your spirit, and you will enjoy happiness in your life.

Since the world that we see and feel is all created within our own minds, then so too is our experience of it. As Buddhists have taught for thousands of years: “You create your happiness; it comes from within.”

The Answer?

“If I am killed, I can die but once; but to live in constant dread of it, is to die over and over again.”

Abraham Lincoln

“Some people are so afraid do die that they never begin to live.”

Henry Van Dyke

The ultimate answer is to find meaning, peace and happiness in your life.

Most importantly, discard your fears about death or time passing you by. There is no end to be feared.

Anything that does not ultimately increase your happiness is unnecessary. I believe that if we all act from what makes us truly happy then there should be no deliberate suffering in the world. No truly happy person would ever needlessly harm another. People only increase suffering when they are insecure, fearful or lacking contentment in their lives. Therefore, any thought that does not serve to ultimately increase your happiness is irrelevant. This is why I believe it is so important to strip death of its fearful mask so that it no longer stands as a forboding figure at the end of our lives.

Enjoy this dream of “life”, and never worry about time passing and the end approaching, for that too is an illusion.

The universe is not dark or cold, it is simply free of emotion and subjective experience. It is made up of energy that occasionally condenses into matter and matter that occasionally evolves into sentient beings; all of which eventually returns again to rejoin the great river of energy. This energy is the source from which we have all emanated. In fact, we have never been apart from this source.

We like to draw divisions and imagine that we are somehow separate from each other and the rest of the universe, but the truth is that we are all fundamentally intertwined.

We are truly “at one” with the universe.

FIN

Following is the poem that I wish to be spoken at my funeral (modified from the original by Mary Elizabeth Frye).

“Do not stand at my grave and weep.

I am not there. I do not sleep.

I am a thousand winds that blow;

I am the diamond glints on snow;

I am sunlight on ripened grain;

I am the gentle autumn rain;

When you awake to greet the dawn

I am the day as it is born;

I am birds in circling flight;

I am the soft starlight at night.

Do not stand at my grave and cry;

I am not there. I did not die.”

———

If you want to read more check out my permanent blog at http://bardoubt.blogspot.com

If you discovered this article through StumbleUpon please recommend it by clicking here.

Feel free to leave a comment – I try to read and respond to them all.

Publishers and literary agents interested in my unpublished novel-length works can contact me at bardcan@gmail.com

If you’re looking for specific ways to eliminate fear and stress in your life and connect with a deeper sense of purpose I highly recommend the bookYour Erroneous Zones by Dr Wayne Dyer.

Also, further reading:

Like a Splinter in Your Mind: The Philosophy Behind the Matrix Trilogy

I Am a Strange Loop

Pulling Your Own Strings: Dynamic Techniques for Dealing with Other People and Living Your Life as You Choose

Awaken the Giant Within : How to Take Immediate Control of Your Mental, Emotional, Physical and Financial Destiny!

Notes from a Friend: A Quick and Simple Guide to Taking Charge of Your Life

______________

Death Delusion readers can take advantage of a special free online backup offer with a bonus 256mb for readers who click on this link.

My vernacular is built upon hyperbole.

2010-11-09T06:25:00.000-08:00

I am always wary of people that take great offence to hyperbole... They think in small ways. They sneer at the grandeur of other's thoughts, secretly insecure about their own limited mind-scope.
I am just as I am wary of those who regard swearing as indicative of a limited vocabulary... they are so often the limited ones.

Simplified Death Delusion

2010-09-26T08:14:00.001-07:00

Major-premise:
There is a 50% chance that your consciousness is immortal.

Minor-premise A:
There is a 50% chance that time is infinite.
There are two possibilities: that time ends or that it continues infinitely. If you accept that we cannot prove either and must therefore assign a 50% probability for each then you accept this premise.

Minor-premise B:
Your consciousness is substrate, space and time independent.
Sub-premise i:
Substrate independence.
If you accept that your consciousness can be copied onto a different substrate without losing integrity then you accept this premise.
Sub-premise ii:
Space independence.
If you accept that you are constantly moving through space without your consciousness losing integrity then you accept this premise.
Sub-premise iii:
Time independence.
Thought experiment: Imagine that your brain is frozen with every proton and electron held perfectly in place for a million years and then unfrozen again. You would resume thinking and not feel that any time had passed at all. If you accept that this consciousness would still be you then you accept this premise.

Thought experiment: Imagine that your brain is frozen and then all of the atoms are scattered to the corners of the galaxy before being brought back, arranged exactly as they were before and then unfrozen. You would resume thinking and not feel that any time had passed at all. If you accept that this consciousness would still be you then you accept minor-premise B.

If time is finite then our consciousness cannot be immortal.
If time is infinite then every possible combination of matter and energy would eventually occur and re-occur infinitely. Therefore, your consciousness would be recreated at some point in the future. If you accept the minor-premises then you accept that this recreation would be you and that the major premise is true: that there is a 50% chance that your consciousness is immortal.

2010-09-10T21:12:00.001-07:00

You must do what you need to do so you can do what you must do. Overcome your personal psychological barriers to reason and rational action.
Write down everything that you know you should be doing then write down the reasons why you're not doing them. Your entire focus should then be to overcome those reasons.

2010-09-10T21:08:00.003-07:00

The great triumph and challange of the rational scientific method is to admit ultimate, personal fallibility.

2010-09-10T21:08:00.001-07:00

"There are 27,000,000 enslaved human beings, yet PETA spends millions on opposing elephant rides." Digg comment

I, Metrics

2009-11-16T21:04:00.001-08:00

I have been requested to make my personal system available online for others to experience and test out. I have made a demo with some sample data which can be viewed at
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AoTcUIoZTAbZdHZEdWJOTTFNZ3VybVc1cGNkRllvSWc&hl=en
The form which feeds the data into this spreadsheet can be tested at
http://spreadsheets.google.com/viewform?formkey=dHZEdWJOTTFNZ3VybVc1cGNkRllvSWc6MA

I apologize for the intense mathematical format of the spreadsheet, but I have not had time yet to develop a clean, intuitive user-interface for it. Ultimately, I believe it will have a minimalistic natural-language interface that will hide most of the complicated maths.

It's a simple Google docs spreadsheet linked to a live form.

If you need help setting up your own version and interpreting results, feel free to contact me at bardcan@gmail.com

The correlation table uses the basic correlative coefficient to calculate the strength of the relationship between two series of data. The relationship is either positive (the values rise together, eg: weight gain and chocolate consumed) or negative (the values head in opposite directions, eg: weight gained and minutes exercise).

I use text coloring rules based on the strength of the correlations to draw the user's attention towards the most important relationships.

For example, in my data I quickly found that there was a strong negative correlation between my nasal congestion and how I felt each day. This focused my efforts on reducing my severe allergies and to my surprise I found that when treated effectively, many of my other symptoms, such as asthma, reflux, insomnia and headaches also reduced a great deal. It is these kind of indirect relationships that we can discover using a correlative system like mine.
The fascinating relationship between the autonomic nervous system, allergies, mood and chronic fatigue is the topic of a book I am currently writing.

I should point out that I am not a statistician or trained data-miner, so the algorithms in my system are still rudimentary.
I look forward to connecting with others in this growing self-quantification community so that I can further develop my system.

I, Medicine

2009-11-16T20:51:00.000-08:00

Predictive bio-metrics and health optimization

The most important online applications to be developed since the birth of the Internet are less than a decade away, yet they remain largely off the radar of investors and web-developers. These applications are optimizers for the most important thing we have - our health.

A couple of years ago IBM released a report that stated that by 2011 the total amount of data in the world may be doubling every eleven hours. I believe that this prediction will be more than met by the surge in self-tracking devices that will be released over the coming years.
I am a member of a growing community of web-developers and engineers, doctors and scientists that believe that the gold that can be mined from this data is vast and highly valuable.

The spread of ubiquitous micro-trackers will make health data collection cheaper and easier. The self-tracking hardware and software will no doubt be unified by cloud computing and result in a 'perfect storm' of accessible and highly effective health optimizers.
It's an important convergence of technology and timing, as the successful inventor Ray Kurzweil notes:
"I quickly realized that timing is the critical factor in the success of inventions. Most technology projects fail not because the technology doesn’t work, but because the timing is wrong—not all of the enabling factors are at play where they are needed. So I began to study these trends in order to anticipate what the world would be like in 3–5 or 10 years and make realistic assessments."
Based on that logic, now is the perfect time to be developing online personal health metrics.
I'm convinced that in a decade this particular area will be pervasive throughout the consumer market as well as the extended medical industry.

Imagine if the computer industry was nothing but repairmen that tried to salvage PCs in the last stages of severe virus infections. It would be a pretty bleak situation, yet that is the current state of the health-care system. For the most part, people are only treated once they have become sick and even then with largely disappointing results.
The computer industry, on the other hand, has an endless supply of optimization tools that improve efficiency and user experience long before the computer has become 'sick'. Defraggers, registry cleaners and driver updaters are just some of the tools in use.
I believe that the coming decade will bring with it a surge in online self-optimization applications. I also believe that the results for people's health will go far beyond current expectations.

Our personal health spectrum covers a wide range - from perfectly healthy to perfectly dead. Unfortunately, due to scarce resources and a lack of technological adoption, our current health-care system deals with only the last 20% of the spectrum - people who are sick or dying. The remaining 80% is a vast untapped market that will finally be utilized by cloud-based applications that use data-mining and the power of crowd-sourcing to deliver individualized health optimization.

My personal story is that I have an hereditary immunological condition that I have struggled with for some years. Like many people that I have met, I too felt dissatisfied with health-care system and decided to take matters into my own hands to try and improve my health.
I did manage to track down the cause of my health problems and have since made great progress in my treatment. At the same time I developed my own self-quantification system that allowed me greater insight into how the medications and lifestyle choices I was taking were affecting my health.
What fascinated me was that when I entered one month's worth of self-tracking data into my system it reached the same result that had taken me over a year to find through old-fashioned trial and error. This translated to a 20-fold improvement in efficiency.
I felt disappointed that I hadn't developed this tool years ago but excited about what discoveries it would lead me to next. I had become acutely aware by the potential of self-quantification tools.

Our very experience of life is filtered through our current state of physical and mental health. Having less than optimal health fundamentally affects the quality of our lives.
Right now our health-care system is a largely disorganized, anemic beast that advances with painful slowness and inefficiency.
Thankfully, as medicine is gradually transformed into an information technology, we will see an exponential acceleration in advancement.
My concept is to take this one step further and open up our medical laboratories to encompass the great experiment that is the human race.
Every day billions of people test out drugs and treatments in their own homes, but this data is largely lost, or relegated to unreliable analogies. I am committed to changing that.

Humans are not very good at deciphering patterns over time. We can be good at recognizing patterns over shorter periods but over days or weeks our estimates becomes extremely poor. We often miss obvious cause-and-effect connections whilst at the same time making false positives. For example, someone might swear that a placebo treatment such as homeopathy cured their hay-fever whilst ignoring the fact that three days of rain had washed the pollen out of the atmosphere.
A personal biometrics system sees through all the statistical noise and is unswayed by personal biases or wish-thinking. It also has the potential to negate or eliminate the placebo effect from subjective results.
With large enough numbers and some clever algorithms I believe subjective reporting will eventually exceed standard double-blind, placebo-controlled studies for reliability and insight.

The problem with a condition such as mine (and conditions such as chronic pain, chronic fatigue, fybromyalgia, migraine, and so on) is that they usually involve multiple organs and can be extremely difficult to diagnose and treat effectively. They can affect the homeostasis of the body's nervous system leading to debilitating allostasis.
I have my own theories about the mechanisms behind many of these conditions, but one man's opinion is merely conjecture and insignificant in the grand scheme of things. What is significant are measurable observations and results about people's health gained from multiple data points.
Yes, it is true that the self-quantification concept revolves around gathering subjective self-reporting data, which can be notoriously unreliable from a medical research stand-point, but the era of the Internet brings with it a new paradigm - truly massive numbers. Massive numbers of individuals from which to gather data, and, even more excitingly, massive amounts of data gathered on each individual.

My best friend of fifteen years is a doctor, so he is an invaluable resource as a sounding board and critic of my work.
I've quickly learned that doctors tend to be skeptical about the reliability of the data gathered, but, as we can see with sites like Curetogether.com, the results we obtain can be surprisingly accurate and comparable to those obtained through more traditional means.

I believe that in the next decade people will become increasingly comfortable with the idea of self-quantification. In fact, I believe that this paradigm-shift is already happening in society.
If you don't believe me or if you think that people will not be comfortable giving up so much personal information into the cloud, then I remind you that the same contention was raised about Gmail when it was first released.
The truth is, even though it sounds dreadful to have an email service that scans your emails for personalized keyword advertising, in practice it turns out to be a small price to pay for a fantastic free service.
I believe the self-quantification market will grow in very much the same way. After all, what better service can you provide than the gift of health?

I am convinced that in a decade or so we will see the refinement and clarification of our current medical knowledge as well as whole new discoveries and new avenues of research opened up by the power of ubiquitous tracking hardware and clever mathematics. Our job as developers and engineers will be to dig up the gold in these mountains of data.
The hardware is well on the way to becoming reality in our lives. From the Fit-Bit device to health-monitoring toilets (as we saw in a final-round proposal for Google's 10 to 100 project). Now all we need is a comprehensive, well-integrated, robust, cloud-based and highly scalable software solution to take advantage of this opportunity.

That is where my interest lies, and I'm committed to collaborating with others who are heading in the same direction. Not just because I think that it will benefit my own health and not just because I believe that there are fortunes to be made, but because I feel it has the potential to improve the health of millions, if not billions of people around the world.

By Bard Canning
14/11/09