Uncle Ti 88

Tianma Microelectronics - Shenzhen Stock Exchange - SZSE

2012-02-22T14:37:00.001+08:00

Tianma Microelectronics - Shenzhen Stock Exchange - SZSE

We shall look at this Shenzhen listed stock in China. They are involved in the design and manufacturing of LCD and LCM products. Commercials are still short on this one. What is happening in the LCD market? Just heard that Samsung is going to spin off its LCD business? Probably competition from Chinese companies like this force them to do so.

Osim - SGX

2012-02-22T11:56:00.000+08:00

Osim - SGX - COT Proxy

I would define this company as a value-added health product. Need massage chairs, belly vibrators? Think Osim. The commercials are moving into being net long and prices are moving higher. Time to go U-Long?

Cosco Corporation - SGX

2012-02-22T11:43:00.001+08:00

Cosco Corporation - SGX - COT Proxy

Cosco is involved in marine engineering and dry bulk shipping. Prices are edging higher from the low in November 2011. Will the optimism in the economy lift marine and shipping stocks? Usually these industries are used as a barometer for the economy as a whole. The commercials are still net short however their numbers are decreasing. Waiting for the time for them to be net long. But do take note that the commercials can come late into the game!

Biosensors International Ltd - SGX - Medical Technology

2012-02-22T11:34:00.003+08:00

Biosensors International Ltd - SGX - COT Proxy

A high-flying medical technology company that develops and manufactures medical devices. COT Proxy was heading down somewhere in August and became net long in September 2011 and it is continuing its rise up.

Read in the SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) magazine published by the Straits Times that the company is holding some medical patents. Probably this will be a cash cow for the company. Have not read the full prospectus/annual review and I can't comment much on this. But what I do know is that it is in an uptrend!

Interesting Start to 2012

2012-02-22T11:30:00.002+08:00

Been away for a couple of weeks on a business trip and this will be the first post for Feb 2012. What a start it has been for 2012! Stocks are doing well even though the Eurozone problems are still far from over. We can see that the bottom was made in October 2011 last year if stocks are continuing to head up.

Let's start off with stocks from Singapore Exchange - SGX!

Alstom (ALO) - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy

2012-01-26T17:37:00.002+08:00

Alstom - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy

Turbines, trains... a competitor to Siemens. Bon Jour... another French stock. Main trend is down, had a few false bull breakout and it starts to go down. Commercials are still net short on this one.

EADS - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy

2012-01-26T17:28:00.001+08:00

EADS - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy

Thinking of security, weapons, airplanes much? This chart is for my many French "visitors". I don't know who you are but you guys seem to like my blog so much that I get so many hits from you....

If you are looking at French stocks trading on Euronext Paris, this is one. Commercials been long on this one since Mid 2010! It is still rising while many other European stocks are taking a beating!

JES International Holdings SGX - COT Proxy - Time to Buy?

2012-01-25T10:08:00.003+08:00

JES International Holdings SGX - COT Proxy - Time to Buy?

I received a request to do a COT Proxy on a SGX stock JES International. This company operates a shipyard in China. I would normally avoid S-Chips stocks (China stocks that are listed in Singapore's SGX) but we will take a look at this anyway.

The price have surged last week from the low of 0.145. The commercials have been right so far in this stock. As you can see when they buy price goes up and when they sell price goes down. However you can also see that they are sometimes too early or a little too late.

This time the price has gone up but they are still net short. They might seem to be late to go into the buying or probably they think it might be a false bull run and they will maintain their short position...

Happy Lunar New Year! Year of the Dragon 2012!

2012-01-23T16:06:00.002+08:00

I will like to wish everyone a HAPPY LUNAR NEW YEAR!

Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA Futures Commitments of Traders Graph

2012-01-19T15:22:00.001+08:00

Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA Commitments of Traders Chart

We have been looking at commercials all these while and how their trading positions affect prices or sometimes how prices affect their trading decisions.

It will be interesting to see how the non-commercials or specialists as some call them behave in relation to market prices.

Look at the bottom of the DJIA at around 11000. The non-commercials are flipping to being net short but their numbers turned bullish and the DJIA bounced from that level to start the current rally.

British Sky Broadcasting Group LSE - Commitments of Traders COT Proxy

2012-01-11T17:07:00.003+08:00

British Sky Broadcasting Group LSE - Commitments of Traders COT Proxy

Judging by the Commitments of Traders Proxy (COT Proxy), the commercials are turning to be net short since December 2011. Going into 2012, looks like it is a good time to short British Sky Stock.

Note: Commitments of Traders Report are only available for futures contracts. For other instruments that do not have the COT Report, we use a proxy to simulate the real COT report. We are able to see what positions the big boys aka commercials are taking. For a detail explanation please visit these links in the order of:

1) Power of COT Report and COT Proxy
2) COT Proxy!
3) Euro FX COT Report vs COT Proxy
4) US Dollar Index COT Report vs COT Proxy
5) COT Proxy for Stocks
6) Example: Neptune Orient Lines - NOL - SGX

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Platinum - 3 January 2012

2012-01-11T15:14:00.001+08:00

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Platinum - 3 January 2012

Spot Platinum has hit a 4-week high. Long-term outlook is still bullish but we can see that the commercials are decreasing their net short position. After making the high, the price of Platinum might be in for a correction. We shall see if there are any extreme changes for the 10 January 2012 Commitments of Traders Report that will be released on Friday 13 January 2012... Friday the 13th.........

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - British Pound GBP/USD Metatrader - 3 January 2012

2012-01-11T11:50:00.002+08:00

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - British Pound GBP/USD - 3 January 2012

The british pound was in short-lived rally in October last year. The sellers then took control. The COT numbers released last week shows the short is losing strength. Stand-by to go long if the commercials and speculators starts to flip.

Natural Gas - NYME - COT - 3 January 2012

2012-01-10T16:25:00.003+08:00

Natural Gas - NYME - COT - 3 January 2012

Where is natural gas heading? One word, DOWN! Natural gas prices has been falling since its peak in 2008. The commercials and specialists have been taking that trade ever since.

If we can't go long and buy, we will sell short. How do you short natural gas if you are not trading futures? You can look into ETFs or funds. One will be the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG).

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Australian Dollar AUD/USD Metatrader - 3 January 2012

2012-01-10T15:09:00.001+08:00

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Australian Dollar - 3 January 2012

The chart above is based on the Commitments of Traders reports released by the CFTC and it is not the COT Proxy. The signal is still to go long on the Australian Dollar. For forex traders, you might want to consider going long on the AUD/USD. As you can see the long signal was in play since 15 March 2009.

This is one of the best currencies to invest in for 2012 (long) based on the current COT report.

SGX Singapore Stocks to Sell Short - COT Proxy - 3 Jan 2012

2012-01-03T17:11:00.000+08:00

Here are the list of stocks for SGX that the commercials are shorting:

1) Wilmar
2) UOB
3) UOL
4) Ascendas REIT
5) Cosco Corp
6) DBS
7) Genting
8) Keppel Land
9) Olam
10) SembMarine
11) SGX
12) SIA

And many, many more!

SGX Singapore Stocks to Buy - COT Proxy - 3 January 2012

2012-01-03T17:01:00.000+08:00

Let's start off 2012 with a bang! Let us see which of the stocks we should buy in accordance to the commitments of traders proxy. What are the big boys aka the commercials buying? We shall look at some of the Singapore stocks listed on the Singapore Exchange SGX first!

Commercials are buying :
1) ComfortDelGro
2) F&N
3) Golden Agri
4) Jardine C&C
5) SingTel
6) Starhub

If you are looking for stocks that the commercials are shorting in SGX, well you will be spoilt for choice!

Happy New Year!

2012-01-03T16:38:00.001+08:00

I wish all my readers a Happy New Year!

What To Invest or Trade In Now? Free Trading Signals

2011-12-26T21:03:00.000+08:00

In addtion to the previous post of Which Currency to Invest In? I will add in from time to time in this blog some other instruments that you can trade or invest in based on the commitment of traders report or commitment of traders COT proxy.

These will give you some trading ideas and save you the hassle of scanning through the whole list of instruments. This will save you time, energy and money. These are provided to you for free. You can choose to use them if you want them to help you in making your trading or investing decisions.

I will be covering various instruments which includes currencies, stocks, commodities, etc. I will cover international stocks also. I will cover both long and short trades.

However please note that while I may give you the entry signal, I may or may not have the time to give you the exit signal. That, you will have to work it on your own if I do not provide them. It is your responsibility to monitor your own portfolio. If you require any help, please contact me.

Please also note that I am not authorised to provide any financial advice, any advice taken by you will be under your own risk and responsibility.

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Silver - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 December 2011

2011-12-25T21:54:00.001+08:00

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Silver - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 December 2011

Silver has been in an uptrend for quite sometime now. However we can see that the number of commercials net short is decreasing since the middle of this year and the prices have been falling ever since. They are leaning towards being net long. The 50% line is something we need to look out for. If that happens silver prices will fall further and it looks like the downward momentum is gaining steam.

Merry Christmas!

2011-12-25T16:21:00.000+08:00

Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas! Enjoy the holidays!

For me I will be working hehe...

Which Currency to Invest In? The Best Currency to Invest In - Here Is The List

2011-12-25T16:20:00.000+08:00

Don't want the hassle to go through the Commitment of Traders Report or look through the charts to see which are the best currency to invest in right now? Ok here is a straightforward list applicable in the week starting 25 December 2011 based on last week's Commitment of Traders Report and Commitment of Traders Proxy (20th December 2011).

1) Australian Dollar - Long
2) British Pound Sterling - Short
3) Canadian Dollar - Long
4) Euro FX - Short
5) US Dollar - Long

Singapore Exchange SGX Share Price - Commitment of Traders COT Proxy

2011-12-25T15:39:00.001+08:00

Back in June 2011, we looked at the Singapore Exchange (SGX) chart. See link here. The commercials were short since April 2011 and it was recommended not to go long in that period if your risk tolerance is low. Let us see if that was a good recommendation.

Singapore Exchange SGX Share Price - Commitment of Traders COT Proxy

The commercials are still maintaining their net short position. The SGX share price is currently at 6.09. The failed ASX-SGX merger is one of the main headlines that SGX created and what a year it was for SGX in 2011.

Euro Economic Crisis - Confined to Eurozone or Spreading Global?

2011-12-21T11:52:00.001+08:00

News just out that the US markets had a surge of 3% on Tuesday due to:

1) US data showing a surge in new housing start
2) Strong encouraging news on Germany's economy
3) Reports of a Greek deal with private debt holders

Now is this a bear trap? And how does the other economy outside of the US and Eurozone doing?

As of this writing (data from Bloomberg):

TSX : +1.14%
BOLSA : +0.13%
BOVESPA : -0.42%
TA 25 : +1.74%
TOP 40 : +1.08%
NIKKEI : +0.29%
KOSPI : +1.15%
ASX 200 : +0.47%
STI : +0.91%

EU Asks World to Help Eurozone via IMF - A Bailout?

2011-12-20T18:01:00.000+08:00

How bad is the situation in Europe? Well, it looks bad enough that they are asking the world for help. Just days before it looks like there is hope for the EU and now this. Read the Channel NewsAsia link.

One day it is all rosy, next day it is all gloom and doom. News does confuse you doesn't it? Will all these help you in your trading decision? I gave up on all these news releases and just follow what the commercials do.

Of course people tell me that I am a sheep following the herd...