StockMarket Trivia

HAPPIEST MINDS- FLAG & POLE PATTERN

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Fri, 27 Aug 2021 09:09:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY

HAPPSTMNDS

STRONG BUY ABOVE 1475 CB

STOPLOSS 1310

TARGET 1575---1650---1780

RATIONAL :

➤ FLAG & POLE PATTERN

➤ ACCUMULATION ON DAILY CHART

➤ RSI ABOVE 60 INDICATES BULLISH MOMENTUM

DILIP BUILDCON LTD-SUPERTREND BREAKOUT

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 8 Jun 2021 11:20:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY

DILIP BUILDCON LTD

STRONG BUY RANGE 575 --- 565

STOPLOSS 545

TARGET 600 --- 640

RATIONAL :

➤ SUPERTREND BREAKOUT ABOVE 580 DAILY CHART

➤ RSI ABOVE 60 INDICATE BULLISH TREND

➤ 89 DMA SUPPORT AT 550

HIKAL WEEKLY HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Thu, 22 Apr 2021 10:18:00 +0530

TECHNICAL DESK CALL

HIKAL

STRONG BUY RANGE 201---196

STOPLOSS 174

TARGET 220 --- 240 --- 260

RATIONAL :

➤HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT ON WEEKLY CHART

➤STRONG ABOVE AVERAGE VOLUME ON DAILY CHART

➤MULTI YEAR HIGH ABOVE 200

PHILIPCARB- PARALLEL CHANNEL BREAKOUT

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Thu, 4 Mar 2021 12:04:00 +0530

TECHNICAL DESK CALL

PHILIPCARB

STRONG BUY RANGE 212 --- 208

STOPLOSS 189

TARGET 240 --- 260

RATIONAL :
⏩ PARALLEL CHANNEL BREAKOUT

⏩ 89EMA SUPPORT

⏩ PRICE VOLUME ACTION ABOVE 212 (CLS)

⏩ V SHAPE RECOVERY BREAKOUT ABOVE 185 (CLS)

MINDACORP- PRICE ACTION VOLUME BREAKOUT

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Mon, 22 Feb 2021 10:25:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY

MINDACORP

STRONG BUY RANGE 102 --- 96

STOPLOSS 87

TARGET 110 --- 120

RATIONAL :

➤ PRICE VOLUME BREAKOUT ON DAILY CHART

➤ RSI ABOVE 60 SUGGEST BUYING MOMENTUM

➤ MULTI MONTH BREAKOUT ABOVE 100 AFTER MARCH 2020

ABCAPITAL- CUP & HANDLE PATTERN

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 16 Feb 2021 09:58:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY

ABCAPITAL

STRONG BUY ABOVE 96 --- 92(AVG)

STOPLOSS 79

TARGET 115 --- 123 --- 143

LONG TERM TARGET : 240 (1YRS) 440 (3YRS) CAN BE MULTIBAGGER PORTFOLIO STOCK

RATIONAL :

➤ CUP & HANDLE PATTERN BREAKOUT ABOVE 96

➤ VWAP BREAKOUT ON DAILY CHART

➤ DOWNWARD SLOPPING TRENDLINE BREAKOUT

MAHINDCIE ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Mon, 15 Feb 2021 11:53:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY

MAHINDCIE

STRONG BUY RANGE 182 --- 176

STOPLOSS 162

TARGET 196 --- 204 --- 225

RATIONAL :

👉 VWAP BREAKOUT ABOVE 182
👉 ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT
👉 RSI BREAKOUT ABOVE 50% MEDIUM RANGE
👉 MULTI MONTH BREAKOUT AFTER HUGE CONSOLIDATION

IDEA WEEKLY CHART BREAKOUT

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Fri, 15 Jan 2021 17:20:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY CALL

VODAFONE-IDEA

STRONG BUY RANGE 13 --- 11

STOPLOSS CLB 9

SHORT TERM TARGET 18 --- 20

MEDIUM TERM TARGET 25 --- 30 (6 MONTHS)

LONG TERM TARGET 40 (2YRS)

TECHNICAL WEEKLY CHART MULTI MONTHS BREAKOUT

PRSMJOHNSN PRICE-VOLUME BREAKOUT DAILY CHART

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 6 Jan 2021 21:58:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY CALL
PRSMJOHNSN LTD

STRONG BUY RANGE 90 --- 87 --- 82

STOPLOSS 68

SHORT TERM TARGET 102 --- 112 --- 124

LONG TERM TARGET 145 --- 225 (1YRS) --- 425 (2YRS)

TECHNICAL CHART : PRICE - VOLUME BREAKOUT

IBREALEST DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 16 Dec 2020 10:57:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY CALL

IBREALEST LIMITED

STRONG BUY RANGE 78 --- 72

STOPLOSS 54

TARGET RANGE 90 --- 108

TIMEFRAME : 8 WEEKS

TECHNICAL CHART : ROUND PATTERN BREAKOUT

OLECTRA DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 9 Dec 2020 10:43:00 +0530

SHORT TERM DELIVERY CALL

OLECTRA GREENTECH LTD

STRONG BUY RANGE 103 --- 96 --- 87

STOPLOSS 75

TARGET RANGE 124 --- 146

TIMEFRAME : 8 WEEKS

TECHNICAL CHART - FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT

TATACOFFEE Daily Chart Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 1 Dec 2020 15:01:00 +0530

Short Term Delivery Call

TATACOFFEE Strong Buy Range 105 --- 101

Stoploss 98

Target Range 110 --- 115 --- 120

Time Frame - 21days

HEG Daily Chart Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Sat, 21 Nov 2020 10:56:00 +0530

Short Term Delivery Call

HEG Strong Buy Range 777 --- 755

Stoploss 699

Target Range 850 --- 890 --- 950

Time Frame : 8 weeks

GoaCarbon Daily Chart Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 4 Dec 2018 11:42:00 +0530

Short Term Deliver Call

GoaCarbon Strong Buy Above 530 Stoploss 510 Target 580---625

Graphical Presentation :

Technical Presentation :

On Daily chart the counter had been in a very deep correction from September 2018 till date. If we draw a fibonacci Retracement from recent low of 396 (52W Low) to recent top of 850 than 38% retracement come at 577 which should be touch in coming days as per the study if it hold the low price. Also the counter has today tried to breakout from downward trendline resistance of 530 but it got failed to give close above it but looking to today's volume we can presume that in coming days it should resume its upward movement and should give bounce back to our suggested target zone.

ONGC Daily Chart Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 3 Jul 2018 18:24:00 +0530

Short Term Delivery Call

ONGC Strong Buy Above 161 Stoploss 149 Target 167---175---190

Graphical Presentation :

Technical Presentation :

On Daily chart the counter had been in a very deep correction from january 2018 till date. If we draw a fibonacci Retracement from recent low of 151.80 (52W Low) to recent top of 212 (52W High) than 38% retracement come at 175 which should be touch in coming days as per the study if it hold the low price. Also the counter has today tried to breakout from downward trendline resistance of 161 but it got failed to give close above it but looking to today's volume we can presume that in coming days it should resume its upward movement and should give bounce back to our suggested target zone.

IBVENTURE daily Chart Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Sun, 31 Dec 2017 16:34:00 +0530

Short Term Delivery Call

IBVENTURE

Strong Buy Above 410 Stoploss 389 Target 425---445---515

Graphical Presentation :

Technical Presentation :

On Daily chart the counter had been in a very deep correction from September 2018 till date. If we draw a Fibonacci Retracement from recent low of 324 to recent top of 819 than 38% Retracement come at 513 which should be touch in coming days as per the study if it hold the low price. Also the counter has recently this week tried to breakout from bottom level with increase in volume so we can presume that in coming days it should resume its upward movement and should give bounce back to our suggested target zone.

Cochin Shipyard IPO: Apply or Ignore?

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Mon, 31 Jul 2017 17:27:00 +0530

Background:

Cochin Shipyard is a Government owned shipbuilding and ship repair company which was established in 1972. It enjoys the Miniratna status and as its name suggests, is based out of Kochi in Kerala. It is the largest public sector shipyard in India.

Business & Clients:

The company undertakes both defence and commercial orders
Defence accounts for nearly 80% of the revenues
Shipbuilding makes up ~ 80% of the revenues and the balance 20% comes from ship repairs
Indian Navy and Indian Coast Guards make up 85% of the revenues
The company is building India’s first IAC (Indigenous Aircraft Carrier)

There is a high client concentration risk and the defence sector is totally at the mercy of the Government

Future Prospects:

The company is enroute to build another IAC and also diversify into LNG Carriers (License obtained). Since most of the business comes from the defence sector, the company’s fortunes are tied up to the defence sector policies of the Government. We, as a firm policy, don’t predict and forecast Government policies.

The company currently has a healthy order book of ~ Rs 3,070 Crores which is nearly 1.4x of its FY17 revenues. The company’s CMD said that they turn down 20-30 vessels for repairs in a year due to lack of capacity. IPO proceeds will be utilized for capacity expansion by building a new dry dock and also by setting up a new ship repair facility.

The company is cash rich (Rs 1,600 crores of cash). It is further raising funds amounting to Rs 1,443 crores by the IPO route. The planned capex is Rs 2,800 crores which spreads over to FY23.

Financials:

The company has grown its revenues at a CAGR of 7.95% between FY12 and FY17
The company has grown its PAT at a CAGR of 15.75% between FY12 and FY17
The company has demonstrated pricing power by expanding margins
Other income makes up nearly 1/3rd of the EPS

Valuations:

At Rs 432, the market capitalization works out to ~ Rs 5,900 crores and the PE multiple 18.32x FY17 reported PAT. The company operates in a sector which has seen most companies crumble to debt (ABG Shipyard, Reliance, Bharti, etc.). However, Cochin Shipyard has stayed away from taking debt in its balance sheet and has remained profitable.

The company is well poised to benefit from its strong execution skills and steady order flow from the Government. It is operating in a cyclical business and there will be rough times in between.

The allotment price for retail shareholders will be ~ Rs 411 (Rs 432 with a 5% discount). The company has a book value of Rs 179 per share and a cash per share value of Rs 165 which offers a decent margin of safety.

Apply or Ignore:

Apply for the IPO with only 1 lot under one name as the issue will be oversubscribed and allotment at the most will be for a single lot. IPO market is generating a lot of buzz and one can expect a around 25% listing day gain from this IPO.

Disclaimer : Source - www.raghavbehani.com

Avenue Supermart (D-Mart) IPO Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Fri, 24 Feb 2017 16:58:00 +0530

D-Mart IPO- King of Retail

Since the days of Harshad Mehta, RadhaKrishna Damani is known to be the man of Midas touch. He is the big Bull Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s Guru and a Ace Investor.

RadhaKrishna Damani started his own venture D-mart Retail 17 years back in 2000 and D-Mart is expected to be listed at 18,000 Crores of Valuation next month. The Current Grey Market Premium on this issue is 50% or 150 per share,In next 3 mins, you will definitely learn what makes D-mart so special.

Introduction to D-Mart – D Mart is third largest in the sector after Reliance Retail and Kishore Biyani’s Future Group. D Mart is one of the few profit making grocery retailers, known for low-priced products and a low-cost business model. 53% of D-Marts revenue comes from Food, 21% from FMCG and 26% General Merchandise and Apparel. Business model is easy i.e. to retail quality goods at competitive prices. The majority of products stocked by them are everyday products forming part of basic rather than discretionary spending. D-Mart had 112 Stores at End of FY2016 with presence in 8 States and 41 cities, Maharashtra contributed 63% of revenue whereas Gujarat contributes 19%.

Why is D-Mart so Successful? (Moat Around the Business)

#Factor 1- Ownership of all Properties – Avenue Supermarts currently owns all its properties which eliminates rental cost. Rental costs typically account ~ 3 % – 8% for peers. It operates predominantly on an ownership model (including long-term lease arrangements, where lease period is more than 30 years and the building is owned by it) rather than on a rental model.

#Factor 2- Revenue Per Square Feet – This is the real big difference between a great business and a mediocre one. A Great business sweats its assets a lot more than the mediocre one. D-mart, Reliance Retail and Future Retail (Big Bazaar) have broadly the same product portfolio but D-mart does sales of 28,136 per Sq. feet whereas Reliance and Future do half of that at 13,901 Per Sq Feet and 12,914 Respectively.

#Factor 3 – Inventory Turnover – If there was one Ratio that we could have looked at and judged a Retail franchise, that would be Inventory Turnover. D-mart kills competition here, its like the Zara of FMCG Retail. D-mart Inventory Turnover is 14.18 (26 days) v/s 4.9x (75 Days) for Future Retail.

#Factor 4 – Shift from Unorganized to Organized – We expect a very large shift from unorganized sector to organized sector, Organized retail is expected to grow at 21% whereas unorganized retail is expected to grow at 11.7%. We believe post GST, the pace of shift from unorganized to organized will be faster which will benefit D-Mart.

#Factor 5 – Growth led by Same Store Growth Plus Expansion – D-Mart’s Same store growth in last 3 years has been an astonishing with 26%, 22% and 21% for FY 2014,2015, and 2016. They plan to add 2.1 Million Square feet or about 70 new stores by 2020 (Assuming every story is 30-35k Sq Feet). D-mart has been the fastest growing retailer and increased revenues from 2200 Crores in 2012 to 8,600 crores in 2016

#Factor 6 – Gross Margins – D-mart has the lowest Gross margin among all Players and still has the highest operating margin, making it a Moat. In a commodity business, the most efficient player wins, D-mart has show how selling its goods with economies of scale makes a it superb business model. D-Marts Gross margins are only 52% whereas Future Group its 65%, showing D-mart is passing the cost benefit to its customers and selling it cheaper than peers which ensures higher revenue per sq. feet.

#Factor 7 – Employee Cost – D-Mart has the Least number of Employees per square foot i.e. 1 employee for 800 Square feet whereas competitors have 1 employee for every 400-500 Sq. Feet (you don’t need someone to help you buy Maggi, do you?). This makes D-mart far more efficient compared to competition.

#Factor 8 – Return on Equity – By now i am sure you understood D-mart’s business model,You might be thinking that D-mart is a asset heavy business as it doesn’t rent properties rather it buys them, but D-mart has shown that even after having a very heavy asset base it has managed to deliver 20%+ Return on equity.

#Factor 9 – Comparison with Global Peers – D-Marts model is similar to that of Walmart, with a lot of owned stores, very high inventory turnover and low debt on balance sheet.Costco a members only wholesaler which has created immense value in last decade also a model of Economies of Scale. Zara and Walmart have proven that the only way to great value in retail is sell cheap and increase your Inventory turnover.

Stallion’s View – D-Mart is a Consumer facing business who has cost leadership as it pays all his suppliers within 15 days against a cash discount, passes this cost benefit to customers with lowest gross margins in the Industry at 52%. D-Mart has been Smart with its cost management compared to its peers, and even after being a asset heavy business model its ROE is more than 20%+ .D- Mart is Expected to come with a Valuation of 18,000 or about 40x FY2017 PE. D-mart has a strong Business model, Longevity and Growth on its side. The organized Retail is expected to grow at 21% for next 10 years, which ensures D-Mart won’t trade at cheap valuations for a long long time.

We Recommend a Subscribe on Avenue Supermart IPO (D-mart) and Believe it will list at 400/Share plus atleast.

Report by Stallion Asset on D-Mart

RSSOFTWARE WEEKLY CHART

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 27 Dec 2016 17:50:00 +0530

STRONG BUY RSSOFTWARE above 96 STOPLOSS 70 TARGET 150---200 (PURELY DELIVERY)

GRAPHICAL PRESENTATION:

TECHNICAL PRESENTATION:

Since start of the year 2015 stock has corrected from 300 level to low of 58 level in mid Jan 2016 where the counter has find some support level and from last 11 month the counter is consolidating in the price rage of 60 to 100 level. Further, the RSI Oscillator on weekly chart is indicating positive divergence from start of November month which is also coincide with MACD parameter too. So considering the above technical parameter on weekly chart we are advising our clients/Traders/Investors to but the stock after due diligence.

TVS ELECTRONICS LTD DAILY CHART

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Tue, 27 Dec 2016 16:51:00 +0530

BUY TVSELECT ABOVE 176 STOPLOSS 150 TARGET 250---300 (PURELY DELIVERY )

GRAPHICAL PRESENTATION:

TECHNICAL PRESENTATION:

On daily chart, recently stock has given a sharp rally from 100 to 231 within just 14 trading session which is spectacular gain in-spite of market under performance due to demonetisation by Modi led NDA government. so if we draw an Retracement from 100 to 231 level, after touching recent new high now the stock is in profit booking mood and has taken an support at 38% retracement level which coincide at 177 on close basis. Thus we are again advising our clients to reenter if they have missed first upmove rally in this counter.

LUPIN DAILY CHART

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Fri, 11 Nov 2016 17:28:00 +0530

Buy LUPIN 1480---1490 Stoploss 1420 Target 1600--1650 Duration- 4--7 Days

Graphical Presentation:

Technical specification: Lupin on daily chart had formed a double bottom in recent last three trading session from where it has given strong up move with good support of rising volume above daily average so we can expect the upmove will get extend till the price hold level of 1520 on closing basis. Also on RSI parameter it is on rising upward above 50 level in coming days so there is still lot of upside is left on daily chart. So Traders & Investors are advised to trade as per there risk appetite after consulting his Financial Advisor.

Justdial Daily Retracement Analysis EOD

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 24 Aug 2016 18:41:00 +0530

JUSTDIAL LTD

Buy Justdial 465---470 Stoploss 446 Target 554---621 Duration-2Months

Remarks: Justdial on daily chart had recently made a top of 904 in may month from where it is continuously sliding to downward and forming lower low and lower high pattern and is now in this month it is trying to consolidate for sometime after making a low of 446 in august this month and now it is showing some sign of retracement on upside. so if we calculate 23% retracement from high of 904 it comes to 554 and 38% retracement comes to 621 where this stock should go on upside in coming 2 months.

SBIN Daily Chart Gann Line Analysis

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 4 May 2016 19:53:00 +0530

Technical Desk Call : 05 May 2016

Strong Buy SBIN 179---175 Stoploss CB 165 Target 189---205 Duration: 20 Days

Justification: SBIN on daily chart looking very weak from last seven trading session where it had been cooling off from 200 level till today also it has been closed in lower side at 179.95 on close. we are expecting this counter to get strong support in coming days around 165 on close basis. On Technical parameter if we plot a study called " GANN SPEED LINE " than the stock should found support around 179 to 175 in coming trading session and also we are predicting RSI indicator should also support the chart pattern around 30 value.

NITESHEST DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Wed, 27 Apr 2016 16:49:00 +0530

Technical Desk Call: 27Apr2016

Buy NITESHEST 14--14.50 Stoploss 11 CB Target 22----25 Timeframe- 2Months

Justification : The NITESHEST on daily chart today looked promising as the counter had witnessed huge buying interest with above average volume on daily chart. Also before bouncing back today the counter had exactly taken a support level at 89DMA yellow line and had faced minor resistance level at 200DMA green line, but we are of the view that in coming days the counter will easily surpassed this minor resistance of 14.50 level. RSI on daily chart is also looking positive till it maintain above 70 mark, so looking above technical setup we advised Investors/Traders to buy the stock with due diligence.

TATASTEEL DAILY CHART ANALYSIS

noreply@blogger.com (Bhupendra Rampariya) — Mon, 28 Mar 2016 17:36:00 +0530

Technical Desk Call: 28March2016

Future Strategy:

Sell TataSteel Fut(Apr) 311---310 Stoploss 322 CB Target 281---271 Time-frame 10---14Days

Option Strategy :

Buy Tatasteel 280 Put (Apr) 3--4 Stoploss Rs. 1 Target 10--12

Justification: The stock has seen a sharp rally in current march series from its latest double bottom range 210-220 till today's high of 218 which was almost double top formation on daily chart. At current juncture, the stock bottomed out from 210 level to sharply bounced till 318 which on retracement chart if we see than today it has faced a stiff resistance level around 320 level on closing basis and had sharply corrected as expected which suggest some profit booking to emerged till level of 280---270 where again a stock can consolidate for some time.

At the same time, we are also observing a strong resistance and overbought indication on RSI and a negative divergence on MACD on daily chart which suggest some reversal on card. So considering current chart structure, we believe that this recent up move was mere a pull back of sharp fall in the counter of the past and thus we are again expecting some selling pressure to emerged again in this counter. Hence traders are advised to take short position as shown above.