The Argo Journal

Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

2024-07-15T23:42:00.000-04:00

Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

Donald Trump 49% {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (41%)
Joe Biden 48% {50%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [46%] (44%)

Men

Donald Trump 53% {56%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (44%)
Joe Biden 44% {41%} [48%] (42%) {42%} [47%] (41%) {48%} [46%] (42%)

Women

Joe Biden 51% {58%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [46%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (45%)
Donald Trump 45% {41%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (39%)

Donald Trump 44% {42%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
Joe Biden 41% {43%} [40%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (35%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% {10%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (15%)
Jill Stein 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
Cornel West 1% {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (3%)

Survey of 1,210 registered voters was conducted July 7-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

2024-07-15T22:21:00.000-04:00

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Arizona

Donald Trump 43% {40%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (42%)
Joe Biden 39% {38%} [42%] (41%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (8%)
Jill Stein 1% {1%}
Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Florida

Donald Trump 45% {43%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
Joe Biden 41% {37%} [38%] (39%) {34%} [34%] (37%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% {7%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
Chase Oliver 0% {1%}
Jill Stein 0% {1%}

Georgia

Donald Trump 46% {44%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
Joe Biden 40% {39%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [35%] (38%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)
Jill Stein 1% {0%}
Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Michigan

Joe Biden 43% {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} [38%] (38%)
Donald Trump 42% {37%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (40%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {8%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
Chase Oliver 1% {1%}
Jill Stein 0% {1%}

North Carolina

Donald Trump 44% {43%} [44%] (43%) {37%} [44%] (41%)
Joe Biden 42% {40%} [37%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (38%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% {7%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
Jill Stein 1% {1%}
Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Pennsylvania

Donald Trump 45% {44%} [43%] (44%) {40%} [44%] (39%)
Joe Biden 40% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [37%] (39%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
Jill Stein 1% {1%}
Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Survey of eligible voters: 506 (Arizona), 574 (Florida), 534 (Georgia), 560 (Michigan), 536 (North Carolina), and 891 (Pennsylvania) was conducted July 8-10, 2024. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 28-30, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2023 are in parentheses.

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

2024-07-12T06:07:00.001-04:00

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

Joe Biden 50% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (47%)
Donald Trump 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)

Donald Trump 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {41%}
Joe Biden 42% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% (11%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {11%}
Cornel West 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
Jill Stein 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
Chase Oliver <1% (1%)

Kamala Harris 50%
Donald Trump 49%

Gavin Newsom 50%
Donald Trump 48%

Gretchen Whitmer 49%
Donald Trump 49%

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted July 9-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-12, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-18, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

2024-07-06T17:29:00.000-04:00

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Arizona

Donald Trump 48% (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%}
Joe Biden 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {43%}

Georgia

Donald Trump 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
Joe Biden 46% (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {43%}

Michigan

Joe Biden 48% (46%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {44%}
Donald Trump 43% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%}

Nevada

Donald Trump 48% (47%) {51%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {43%}
Joe Biden 45% (47%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {40%} [44%] (43%) {46%}

North Carolina

Donald Trump 46% (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
Joe Biden 43% (42%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {43%}

Pennsylvania

Donald Trump 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%}
Joe Biden 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%}

Wisconsin

Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {44%}
Donald Trump 44% (47%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (47%) {46%}

Survey of 4,902 registered voters (781 in Arizona, 790 in Georgia, 694 in Michigan, 452 in Nevada, 696 in North Carolina, 794 in Pennsylvania, and 695 in Wisconsin) was conducted July 1-5, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point (+/-4% in AZ, +/-3% in GA, +/-4% in MI, +/-5% in NV, +/-4% in NC, +/-3% in PA, +/-4% in WI). Results from the poll conducted May 7-13, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 8-15, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-15, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-20, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 16-22, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 6, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2023 are in curly brackets.

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

2024-07-05T15:05:00.000-04:00

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

Donald Trump 48.2% (46.5%) {45.8%} [46.9%] (47.0%)
Joe Biden 43.1% (44.5%) {45.0%} [45.3%] (45.8%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 91% (89%) {91%} [91%] (89%)
Donald Trump 4% (6%) {3%} [5%] {6%)

Republican

Donald Trump 94% (92%) {93%} [93%] (92%)
Joe Biden 4% (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Independent

Donald Trump 45% (39%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
Joe Biden 38% (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%)

White

Donald Trump 54% (51%) {51%} [52%] (53%)
Joe Biden 38% (41%) {42%} [41%] (41%)

Black

Joe Biden 64% (67%) {70%} [70%] (67%)
Donald Trump 24% (23%) {17%} [22%] (21%)

Hispanic

Joe Biden 46% (44%) {44%} [52%] (54%)
Donald Trump 43% (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%)

Likely Voters

Donald Trump 43.5% (41.2%) {40.8%} [41.5%] (40.8%)
Joe Biden 38.1% (38.4%) {37.7%} [39.4%] (39.1%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7.1% (8.4%) {8.8%} [8.6%] (13.0%)
Cornel West 2.1% (2.3%) {2.3%} [1.8%]
Jill Stein 2.0% (1.8%) {2.4%} [1.1%]

Democrat

Joe Biden 86% (81%) {81%} [82%] (80%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% (6%) {5%} [6%] (11%)
Jill Stein 3% (3%) {2%} [2%]
Donald Trump 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
Cornel West 1% (3%) {2%} [2%]

Republican

Donald Trump 90% (88%) {88%} [87%] (85%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% (4%) {5%} [7%] (7%)
Joe Biden 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
Jill Stein 1% (0%) {1%} [0%]
Cornel West 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]

Independent

Donald Trump 37% (31%) {28%} [31%] (32%)
Joe Biden 28% (33%) {26%} [29%] (30%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% (16%) {23%} [18%] (26%)
Cornel West 6% (4%) {5%} [5%]
Jill Stein 3% (2%) {5%} [2%]

White

Donald Trump 51% (47%) {45%} [46%] (47%)
Joe Biden 35% (36%) {37%} [37%] (36%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% (7%) {8%} [8%] (12%)
Cornel West 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]
Jill Stein 1% (1%) {2%} [1%]

Black

Joe Biden 57% (60%) {58%} [58%] (58%)
Donald Trump 17% (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% (11%) {11%} [10%] (15%)
Cornel West 6% (1%) {4%} [5%]
Jill Stein 3% (4%) {1%} [1%]

Hispanic

Joe Biden 41% (33%) {30%} [41%] (44%)
Donald Trump 36% (37%) {35%} [37%] (35%)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 13% (13%) {19%} [10%] (13%)
Jill Stein 3% (2%) {4%} [0%]
Cornel West 1% (8%) {2%} [3%]

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 1-2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.53 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-8, 2024 are in parentheses.

New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

2024-07-04T16:07:00.001-04:00

New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

Donald Trump 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
Joe Biden 43% [44%] (46%) {44%} [47%] (43%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 91% [94%] (90%) {90%} [91%] (83%)
Donald Trump 5% [3%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)

Republican

Donald Trump 95% [94%] (91%) {91%} [90%] (88%)
Joe Biden 3% [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%)

Independent

Donald Trump 45% [47%] (47%) {41%} [38%] (37%)
Joe Biden 42% [40%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (42%)

Men

Donald Trump 57% [52%] (57%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
Joe Biden 34% [40%] (37%) {42%} [42%] (36%)

Women

Joe Biden 51% [48%] (54%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
Donald Trump 43% [43%] (38%) {47%} [42%] (37%)

White with B.A.+

Joe Biden 54% [51%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (51%)
Donald Trump 40% [44%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (36%)

White without B.A.

Donald Trump 67% [62%] (63%) {61%} [65%] (59%)
Joe Biden 28% [30%] (31%) {30%} [29%] (30%)

Black

Joe Biden 79% [65%] (76%) {71%} [82%] (71%)
Donald Trump 14% [26%] (16%) {20%} [13%] (12%)

Hispanic

Joe Biden 47% [52%] (52%) {43%} [47%] (41%)
Donald Trump 46% [38%] (39%) {45%} [35%] (38%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 48% [54%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (47%)
Donald Trump 45% [35%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (37%)

Age 30-44

Donald Trump 49% [45%] (44%) {48%} [42%] (42%)
Joe Biden 43% [47%] (46%) {43%} [53%] (39%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 55% [56%] (52%) {55%} [51%] (48%)
Joe Biden 37% [37%] (44%) {37%} [39%] (39%)

Age 65+

Joe Biden 48% [48%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
Donald Trump 45% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Survey of 1,532 likely voters was conducted June 28 - July 2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-27, 2023 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-11-02T11:00:00.000-05:00

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters (High Turnout)

Joe Biden 51% {54%} [49%] (52%)
Donald Trump 44% {43%} [46%] (42%)

Likely Voters (Low Turnout)

Joe Biden 50% {53%} [48%] (51%)
Donald Trump 45% {45%} [47%] (44%)

Registered Voters

Joe Biden 50% {54%} [49%] (53%)
Donald Trump 45% {42%} [45%] (40%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 90% {97%} [88%] (93%)
Donald Trump 8% {2%} [6%] (1%)

Republican

Donald Trump 92% {89%} [90%] (84%)
Joe Biden 5% {8%} [6%] (12%)

Independent

Joe Biden 53% {59%} [45%] (54%)
Donald Trump 35% {34%} [45%] (33%)

Men

Donald Trump 48% {49%} [56%] (47%)
Joe Biden 45% {48%} [37%] (45%)

Women

Joe Biden 54% {61%} [59%] (60%)
Donald Trump 42% {35%} [35%] (34%)

White, College

Joe Biden 56% {57%} [58%] (61%)
Donald Trump 40% {38%} [40%] (34%)

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 58% {53%} [57%] (55%)
Joe Biden 37% {44%} [35%] (39%)

Survey of 502 registered voters was conducted October 28 - November 1, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-11-01T10:29:00.005-05:00

New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 52% {51%} [48%] (49%)
Donald Trump 41% {41%} [43%] (38%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 97% {97%} [94%] (96%)
Donald Trump 2% {2%} [3%] (1%)

Republican

Donald Trump 94% {91%} [90%] (86%)
Joe Biden 4% {6%} [7%] (6%)

Independent

Joe Biden 59% {52%} [49%] (43%)
Donald Trump 29% {34%} [35%] (36%)

Men

Joe Biden 47% {50%} [44%] (43%)
Donald Trump 45% {43%} [46%] (43%)

Women

Joe Biden 56% {58%} [52%] (56%)
Donald Trump 37% {34%} [39%] (33%)

Whites with BA+

Joe Biden 62% {62%} [60%]
Donald Trump 34% {30%} [35%]

Whites without BA+

Donald Trump 47% {50%} [50%]
Joe Biden 45% {44%} [39%]

Survey of 1,253 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-15, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-11-01T09:52:00.002-05:00

New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
Donald Trump 43% {42%} [40%] (41%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 90% {91%} [92%] (93%)
Donald Trump 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)

Republican

Donald Trump 89% {84%} [85%] (84%)
Joe Biden 8% {11%} [10%] (11%)

Independent

Joe Biden 48% {47%} [44%] (51%)
Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (33%)

Men

Donald Trump 47% {46%} [49%] (45%)
Joe Biden 44% {44%} [41%] (42%)

Women

Joe Biden 54% {54%} [58%] (54%)
Donald Trump 40% {39%} [32%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

Joe Biden 58% {60%} [59%]
Donald Trump 36% {31%} [33%]

Whites without BA+

Donald Trump 56% {58%} [52%]
Joe Biden 39% {34%} [39%]

Survey of 1,862 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-11-01T08:59:00.008-05:00

New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 47% [47%] (47%)
Donald Trump 44% [42%] (41%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 91% [93%] (92%)
Donald Trump 4% [3%] (4%)

Republican

Donald Trump 90% [87%] (87%)
Joe Biden 8% [11%] (5%)

Independent

Joe Biden 47% [45%] (48%)
Donald Trump 37% [33%] (30%)

Men

Donald Trump 47% [47%] (47%)
Joe Biden 45% [42%] (41%)

Women

Joe Biden 50% [52%] (52%)
Donald Trump 41% [38%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

Joe Biden 49% [45%]
Donald Trump 45% [42%]

Whites without BA+

Donald Trump 59% [60%]
Joe Biden 35% [33%]

Hispanic

Joe Biden 55% [58%] (52%)
Donald Trump 33% [34%] (29%)

Black

Joe Biden 78% [75%] (85%)
Donald Trump 11% [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,451 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-18, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-11-01T08:55:00.005-05:00

New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
Donald Trump 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 96% {95%} [94%] (93%)
Donald Trump 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)

Republican

Donald Trump 91% {90%} [89%] (84%)
Joe Biden 5% {6%} [8%] (11%)

Independent

Joe Biden 52% {53%} [54%] (51%)
Donald Trump 34% {28%} [23%] (33%)

Men

Donald Trump 49% {46%} [43%] (45%)
Joe Biden 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)

Women

Joe Biden 56% {55%} [54%] (54%)
Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

Joe Biden 54% {46%} [55%]
Donald Trump 39% {45%} [40%]

Whites without BA+

Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%]
Joe Biden 36% {41%} [39%]

Hispanic

Joe Biden 66% {65%} [57%] (66%)
Donald Trump 26% {27%} [26%] (26%)

Survey of 1,252 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-10-26T13:02:00.000-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 49% [46%] (46%)
Donald Trump 49% [47%] (45%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 97% [96%] (94%)
Donald Trump 2% [0%] (1%)

Republican

Donald Trump 95% [93%] (92%)
Joe Biden 4% [4%] (3%)

Independent

Donald Trump 52% [45%] (43%)
Joe Biden 42% [38%] (39%)

Men

Donald Trump 53% [53%] (49%)
Joe Biden 44% [41%] (41%)

Women

Joe Biden 53% [51%] (50%)
Donald Trump 46% [42%] (43%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 93% [87%] (87%)
Donald Trump 5% [8%] (7%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 64% [59%] (60%)
Donald Trump 34% [28%] (27%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 86% [87%] (84%)
Joe Biden 12% [9%] (10%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 60% [64%] (61%)
Donald Trump 39% [28%] (23%)

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 55% [48%] (54%)
Donald Trump 41% [40%] (34%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 52% [53%] (50%)
Joe Biden 47% [42%] (42%)

Age 65+

Donald Trump 59% [55%] (58%)
Joe Biden 40% [40%] (38%)

White, College

Donald Trump 57% [54%]
Joe Biden 41% [39%]

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 76% [74%]
Joe Biden 22% [21%]

Black

Joe Biden 85% [83%] (85%)
Donald Trump 13% [8%] (7%)

Survey of 1,090 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-10-25T23:54:00.000-04:00

CBS News/YouGov North Carolina 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 51% [48%] (48%)
Donald Trump 47% [46%] (44%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 98% [95%] (94%)
Donald Trump 2% [4%] (3%)

Republican

Donald Trump 93% [93%] (90%)
Joe Biden 6% [4%] (7%)

Independent

Donald Trump 49% [46%] (45%)
Joe Biden 46% [40%] (40%)

Men

Donald Trump 53% [56%] (52%)
Joe Biden 44% [39%] (42%)

Women

Joe Biden 57% [56%] (54%)
Donald Trump 41% [37%] (38%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 95% [89%] (89%)
Donald Trump 5% [7%] (6%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 64% [58%] (64%)
Donald Trump 32% [34%] (27%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 86% [84%] (82%)
Joe Biden 11% [12%] (12%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 63% [50%] (61%)
Donald Trump 30% [39%] (24%)

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 55% [51%] (55%)
Donald Trump 44% [44%] (37%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 53% [45%] (45%)
Joe Biden 46% [51%] (48%)

Age 65+

Joe Biden 50% [40%] (38%)
Donald Trump 48% [55%] (59%)

White, College

Donald Trump 51% [46%]
Joe Biden 45% [48%]

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 65% [66%]
Joe Biden 34% [30%]

Black

Joe Biden 87% [83%] (86%)
Donald Trump 12% [10%] (5%)

Survey of 1,022 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-10-25T22:17:00.001-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 50% [48%] (48%)
Donald Trump 48% [46%] (42%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 96% [94%] (91%)
Donald Trump 4% [5%] (3%)

Republican

Donald Trump 91% [90%] (86%)
Joe Biden 8% [7%] (9%)

Independent

Donald Trump 48% [46%] (39%)
Joe Biden 47% [43%] (39%)

Men

Donald Trump 50% [51%] (47%)
Joe Biden 48% [45%] (45%)

Women

Joe Biden 52% [51%] (50%)
Donald Trump 46% [42%] (37%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 93% [87%] (85%)
Donald Trump 5% [10%] (7%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 62% [59%] (55%)
Donald Trump 35% [31%] (29%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 88% [85%] (80%)
Joe Biden 11% [13%] (12%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 68% [62%] (53%)
Donald Trump 29% [30%] (27%)

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 61% [52%] (55%)
Donald Trump 38% [38%] (36%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 53% [50%] (42%)
Joe Biden 46% [46%] (46%)

Age 65+

Donald Trump 53% [53%] (50%)
Joe Biden 44% [44%] (42%)

White, College

Joe Biden 49% [48%]
Donald Trump 48% [47%]

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 64% [66%]
Joe Biden 34% [31%]

Hispanic

Joe Biden 63% [56%] (61%)
Donald Trump 37% [36%] (30%)

Black

Joe Biden 92% [87%] (79%)
Donald Trump 7% [8%] (7%)

Survey of 1,228 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-10-19T00:54:00.000-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters, Including Leaners

Joe Biden 50% [47%] (46%)
Donald Trump 47% [44%] (46%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 98% [95%] (92%)
Donald Trump 1% [2%] (3%)

Republican

Donald Trump 97% [93%] (90%)
Joe Biden 2% [4%] (7%)

Independent

Donald Trump 48% [40%] (46%)
Joe Biden 45% [39%] (37%)

Men

Donald Trump 50% [49%] (49%)
Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)

Women

Joe Biden 54% [52%] (50%)
Donald Trump 44% [40%] (42%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 91% [88%] (89%)
Donald Trump 6% [6%] (6%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 61% [60%] (55%)
Donald Trump 35% [25%] (30%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 89% [91%] (87%)
Joe Biden 9% [5%] (7%)

White, 4-Year Degree

Joe Biden 52% [53%]
Donald Trump 42% [39%]

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 58% [56%]
Joe Biden 40% [37%]

Hispanic

Joe Biden 62% [62%] (69%)
Donald Trump 34% [27%] (21%)

Survey of 1,074 likely voters was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-10-18T23:43:00.001-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters, Including Leaners

Joe Biden 51% [50%] (48%)
Donald Trump 46% [44%] (42%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 95% [94%] (93%)
Donald Trump 4% [4%] (2%)

Republican

Donald Trump 94% [92%] (87%)
Joe Biden 6% [4%] (8%)

Independent

Joe Biden 51% [49%] (43%)
Donald Trump 42% [36%] (38%)

Men

Donald Trump 51% [49%] (47%)
Joe Biden 46% [44%] (43%)

Women

Joe Biden 56% [54%] (54%)
Donald Trump 42% [39%] (38%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 94% [91%] (95%)
Donald Trump 4% [5%] (2%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 58% [62%] (53%)
Donald Trump 38% [27%] (29%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 91% [87%] (81%)
Joe Biden 7% [9%] (12%)

White, 4-Year Degree+

Joe Biden 55% [53%] (53%)
Donald Trump 41% [40%] (36%)

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 52% [52%] (51%)
Joe Biden 46% [42%] (41%)

Survey of 1,112 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 2-4, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-09-20T17:42:00.000-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Joe Biden 48% (48%)
Donald Trump 46% (42%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 94% (91%)
Donald Trump 5% (3%)

Republican

Donald Trump 90% (86%)
Joe Biden 7% (9%)

Independent

Donald Trump 46% (39%)
Joe Biden 43% (39%)

Men

Donald Trump 51% (47%)
Joe Biden 45% (45%)

Women

Joe Biden 51% (50%)
Donald Trump 42% (37%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 87% (85%)
Donald Trump 10% (7%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 59% (55%)
Donald Trump 31% (29%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 85% (80%)
Joe Biden 13% (12%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 62% (53%)
Donald Trump 30% (27%)

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 52% (55%)
Donald Trump 38% (36%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 50% (42%)
Joe Biden 46% (46%)

Age 65+

Donald Trump 53% (50%)
Joe Biden 44% (42%)

White, College

Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 47%

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 66%
Joe Biden 31%

Hispanic

Joe Biden 56% (61%)
Donald Trump 36% (30%)

Black

Joe Biden 87% (79%)
Donald Trump 8% (7%)

Survey of 1,205 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-09-20T17:08:00.000-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

Donald Trump 48% (46%)
Joe Biden 46% (45%)

Democrat

Joe Biden 92% (92%)
Donald Trump 4% (4%)

Republican

Donald Trump 92% (89%)
Joe Biden 5% (4%)

Independent

Donald Trump 50% (43%)
Joe Biden 36% (41%)

Men

Donald Trump 53% (50%)
Joe Biden 40% (43%)

Women

Joe Biden 51% (47%)
Donald Trump 43% (42%)

Liberal

Joe Biden 89% (86%)
Donald Trump 7% (7%)

Moderate

Joe Biden 57% (58%)
Donald Trump 30% (26%)

Conservative

Donald Trump 84% (83%)
Joe Biden 12% (11%)

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 60% (62%)
Donald Trump 29% (23%)

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 52% (49%)
Donald Trump 38% (39%)

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 53% (49%)
Joe Biden 42% (43%)

Age 65+

Donald Trump 60% (60%)
Joe Biden 38% (35%)

White, 4-Year Degree+

Donald Trump 53%
Joe Biden 40%

White, No Degree

Donald Trump 71%
Joe Biden 24%

Hispanic

Joe Biden 61% (60%)
Donald Trump 30% (30%)

Black

Joe Biden 86% (86%)
Donald Trump 8% (5%)

Survey of 1,140 likely voters was conducted September 15-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-07-12T16:07:00.002-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Joe Biden 46%
Donald Trump 46%

Democrat

Joe Biden 92%
Donald Trump 3%

Republican

Donald Trump 90%
Joe Biden 7%

Independent

Donald Trump 46%
Joe Biden 37%

Men

Donald Trump 49%
Joe Biden 41%

Women

Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 42%

Liberal

Joe Biden 89%
Donald Trump 6%

Moderate

Joe Biden 55%
Donald Trump 30%

Conservative

Donald Trump 87%
Joe Biden 7%

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 59%
Donald Trump 23%

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 56%
Donald Trump 29%

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 52%
Joe Biden 42%

Age 65+

Donald Trump 58%
Joe Biden 39%

White

Donald Trump 53%
Joe Biden 39%

Hispanic

Joe Biden 69%
Donald Trump 21%

Survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-07-12T15:06:00.005-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Texas 2020 Presidential Poll

Donald Trump 46%
Joe Biden 45%

Democrat

Joe Biden 92%
Donald Trump 4%

Republican

Donald Trump 89%
Joe Biden 4%

Independent

Donald Trump 43%
Joe Biden 41%

Men

Donald Trump 50%
Joe Biden 43%

Women

Joe Biden 47%
Donald Trump 42%

Liberal

Joe Biden 86%
Donald Trump 7%

Moderate

Joe Biden 58%
Donald Trump 26%

Conservative

Donald Trump 83%
Joe Biden 11%

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 62%
Donald Trump 23%

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 49%
Donald Trump 39%

Age 45-64

Donald Trump 49%
Joe Biden 43%

Age 65+

Donald Trump 60%
Joe Biden 35%

White

Donald Trump 60%
Joe Biden 31%

Hispanic

Joe Biden 60%
Donald Trump 30%

Black

Joe Biden 86%
Donald Trump 5%

Survey of 1,212 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

2020-07-12T14:45:00.004-04:00

CBS News/YouGov Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Joe Biden 48%
Donald Trump 42%

Democrat

Joe Biden 91%
Donald Trump 3%

Republican

Donald Trump 86%
Joe Biden 9%

Independent

Joe Biden 39%
Donald Trump 39%

Men

Donald Trump 47%
Joe Biden 45%

Women

Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 37%

Liberal

Joe Biden 85%
Donald Trump 7%

Moderate

Joe Biden 55%
Donald Trump 29%

Conservative

Donald Trump 80%
Joe Biden 12%

Age 18-29

Joe Biden 53%
Donald Trump 27%

Age 30-44

Joe Biden 55%
Donald Trump 36%

Age 45-64

Joe Biden 46%
Donald Trump 42%

Age 65+

Donald Trump 50%
Joe Biden 42%

White

Donald Trump 52%
Joe Biden 38%

Hispanic

Joe Biden 61%
Donald Trump 30%

Black

Joe Biden 79%
Donald Trump 7%

Survey of 1,229 likely voters was conducted July 7-10, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

2020-03-09T20:38:00.003-04:00

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

Joe Biden 54% {17%} [26%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
Bernie Sanders 35% {25%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)

Among Men

Joe Biden 54% {14%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
Bernie Sanders 37% {32%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)

Among Women

Joe Biden 54% {19%} [25%] (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
Bernie Sanders 34% {20%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)

Survey of 559 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted March 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-9, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

2020-02-27T15:54:00.001-05:00

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Bernie Sanders (D) 48% [47%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (48%)
Donald Trump (R) 46% [46%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (44%)

Joe Biden (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {44%} [50%] (51%)
Donald Trump (R) 46% [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (42%)

Amy Klobuchar (D) 46% {36%}
Donald Trump (R) 46% {50%}

Pete Buttigieg (D) 45% [44%] (43%) {39%} [43%]
Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] (44%) {47%} [45%]

Donald Trump (R) 45%
Michael Bloomberg (D) 44%

Donald Trump (R) 47% [48%] (45%) {48%} [46%] (45%)
Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (45%)

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted February 19-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 13-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

2020-02-27T10:41:00.002-05:00

Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll

Joe Biden 36% [33%] (39%)
Bernie Sanders 16% [12%] (10%)
Tom Steyer 15% [4%] (2%)
Elizabeth Warren 8% [16%] (9%)
Pete Buttigieg 6% [3%] (5%)
Amy Klobuchar 4% [2%] (1%)
Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (0%)

Among Whites

Joe Biden 26% [28%] (24%)
Bernie Sanders 17% [13%] (10%)
Pete Buttigieg 13% [8%] (11%)
Elizabeth Warren 13% [24%] (21%)
Tom Steyer 12% [3%] (1%)
Amy Klobuchar 7% [3%] (3%)
Tulsi Gabbard 2% [3%] (1%)

Among Blacks

Joe Biden 45% [39%] (51%)
Tom Steyer 17% [5%] (2%)
Bernie Sanders 13% [11%] (10%)
Elizabeth Warren 5% [11%] (2%)
Pete Buttigieg 2% [1%] (1%)
Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (0%)
Amy Klobuchar 0% [0%] (0%)

Survey of 454 South Carolina voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on February 29, 2020 was conducted February 23-25, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

2020-02-18T23:00:00.000-05:00

Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll

Bernie Sanders 28.8% {27.4%} [24.8%] (26.5%) {24.4%} [21.7%] (24.2%) {20.2%} [15.4%] (27.1%) {24.9%} [28.9%] (26.3%) {17.2%}
Joe Biden 22.3% {30.0%} [32.2%] (27.4%) {27.4%} [25.0%] (31.3%) {32.9%} [29.7%] (33.9%) {32.6%} [23.9%] (25.9%) {27.4%}
Michael Bloomberg 13.6% {7.4%} [2.9%] (0.9%) {2.2%}
Elizabeth Warren 11.5% {12.7%} [12.4%] (19.4%) {21.2%} [22.9%] (15.2%) {14.0%} [14.6%] (14.2%) {9.7%} [6.7%] (8.4%) {9.3%}
Pete Buttigieg 7.7% {5.4%} [7.8%] (7.5%) {6.5%} [6.4%] (3.2%) {6.3%} [5.2%] (6.3%) {7.5%} [9.0%] (2.9%) {0.0%}
Amy Klobuchar 5.8% {3.6%} [2.1%] (1.5%) {0.9%} [0.4%] (0.8%) {0.2%} [0.8%] (0.7%) {0.6%} [1.1%] (0.8%) {4.6%}
Tulsi Gabbard 3.7% {1.2%} [3.8%] (2.4%) {2.8%} [0.9%] (2.9%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (0.2%) {1.0%} [0.8%] (1.0%) {1.9%}
Tom Steyer 2.6% {1.2%} [1.7%] (1.7%) {0.5%} [0.0%] (0.0%) {1.5%}
Someone else 4.0% {2.2%} [2.5%] (2.8%) {2.0%} [2.1%] (1.0%) {1.2%} [2.3%] (2.4%) {1.7%} [2.0%] (4.7%) {5.6%}

Survey of 573 Democratic primary voters was conducted February 16-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 15-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-26, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2019 are in curly brackets.