Smart Investor

Vedanta Limited - Demerger Which company share to buy ?

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Mon, 11 May 2026 07:13:00 +0000

Last week we saw de-merger of Vedanta happen while the parent company is already traded - the rest 4 are yet to be listed in NSE and BSE Let us understand what business these de-merged entities business, prospects and future outlook.

**Vedanta demerger (effective May 1, 2026, record date)** split the company into five independent listed/pure-play entities via a 1:1 share entitlement ratio for shareholders (one share in each of the four new entities per Vedanta Ltd share held). The residual entity (Vedanta Ltd) remains listed and continues trading. The four new entities (Vedanta Aluminium, Vedanta Power,

Vedanta Oil & Gas, and Vedanta Iron & Steel) are expected to list around mid-June 2026. As of May 11, 2026, only the residual **Vedanta Ltd** has a live market valuation; the others use analyst sum-of-the-parts (SoTP) estimates based on pre-listing projections. Group-level SoTP valuations for all five entities combined are typically in the ₹820–900 range per original Vedanta share.

Here is the complete list:

1. Vedanta Ltd (Residual/Parent Entity) -

**Core businesses**: Majority stake in Hindustan Zinc Ltd (HZL, ~60–67% ownership — zinc, lead, silver; one of the world’s lowest-cost producers), Zinc International, copper, ferrochrome, nickel, base metals, and emerging high-tech ventures (semiconductors, displays/electronics). -

**Current valuation** (as of ~May 8, 2026): Share price ≈ ₹296–297; market cap ≈ ₹1.16 lakh crore (≈ $12.25 billion). Post-demerger adjustment, the stock trades ex-value of the spun-off entities (it had adjusted sharply lower from pre-demerger levels of ~₹770–795). -

**Future prospects**: Strong; HZL is expanding smelting capacity (target 2 MTPA) with EBITDA growth projected from ~$2.7 bn (FY27) to $3.4–4.2 bn (FY30) depending on prices. Cost leadership, silver by-product upside, and new-tech incubation provide diversification. Benefits from disciplined capital allocation and dividend flow-through from HZL. Commodity cycle (zinc/silver) and India’s industrial demand are key tailwinds.

2. Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Aluminium Metal Ltd)

**Core businesses**: India’s largest aluminium producer (installed capacity ~2.4 MTPA); includes Jharsuguda and BALCO smelters (51% stake in BALCO), Lanjigarh alumina refinery, captive bauxite/coal mines, and power assets. Focus on value-added products and backward integration. **Current valuation**: Not yet listed (expected mid-June 2026). Analyst estimates value it as the highest among demerged entities at ~₹400+ per share (listing expectation); some SoTP contributions as high as ₹449 per original share.

Expected to be a large-cap post-listing. **Future prospects**: Highly positive and seen as the most attractive pure-play. Low-cost global leadership, structural cost advantages via captive resources/renewables, and capacity expansions (e.g., new smelter trains). Benefits from global aluminium prices, energy transition (EV, renewables, solar), India infrastructure boom, and premium product mix. Strong cash flows support deleveraging.

3. Vedanta Power (Talwandi Sabo Power Ltd, to be renamed) -

**Core businesses**: Thermal power generation (~4,780 MW installed capacity across plants like Talwandi Sabo 1,980 MW, Jharsuguda IPP 600 MW, Meenakshi 1,000 MW, and Atena 1,200 MW). Captive and merchant power supporting group operations. - **Current valuation**: Not yet listed. Analyst estimates are modest (part of lower SoTP contributions; power often valued defensively at higher multiples but smaller relative size). - **Future prospects**: Stable with growth potential. Focus on operational efficiency, new PPAs, coal availability, and expansion into hydropower/nuclear for a cleaner energy mix. Supports India’s power demand; integrated model aids margins, though higher leverage is a monitorable.

4.Vedanta Oil & Gas (Malco Energy Ltd, to be renamed)

**Core businesses**: Cairn Oil & Gas — India’s largest private upstream crude oil producer (~25% of India’s total oil & gas output). Focus on exploration, production, and field development. - **Current valuation**: Not yet listed. Analyst SoTP contributions are relatively lower (~₹40 per original share in some estimates); expected to emerge as near-zero or low-debt entity post-demerger. - **Future prospects**: Supportive of India’s energy security. Benefits from stable/rising crude prices, production volume growth, and government policies favouring domestic output. Strong free cash flow generation potential; positioned for scale-up in upstream sector.

5. Vedanta Iron & Steel (Vedanta Iron and Steel Ltd / Vedanta Steel & Ferrous Materials)-

**Core businesses**: Iron ore mining (including India operations and Western Cluster Ltd), steel production (via ESL Steel), and ferrous materials. Integrated mining-to-steel model. -

**Current valuation**: Not yet listed. Analyst SoTP contributions are the smallest among demerged entities (~₹22 per original share in some estimates); expected to be a small-cap post-listing. -

**Future prospects**: Tied to domestic steel demand and mining policy reforms. Capacity / utilisation improvements and rising infrastructure spending in India are positives; cyclical but benefits from cost integration and domestic focus.

Summary : - The demerger aims to unlock value by removing the conglomerate discount, enabling pure-play valuations, focused management, and better capital allocation/deleveraging. Group FY26 performance was record-breaking (revenue ~$20 bn, EBITDA $6.3 bn, margins ~40%). -

Key risks across entities: Commodity price volatility, debt allocation (overall manageable, with power being the most leveraged), execution on expansions, and regulatory/mining policy changes. - Analysts are generally constructive post-demerger, with “Hold/Buy” views and expectations of re-rating as new entities list and operate independently.

Post merger which share you want to buy and why ? I

am looking for Vedanta Aluminium and Iron & steel what is your choice ?

SAIL - Bull Run begins

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Tue, 14 Apr 2026 14:29:00 +0000

1. Business Model & Revenue Streams SAIL operates an integrated steel business model, meaning it controls the process from raw material extraction to the final finished product. Core Operations: It operates five massive integrated steel plants (Bhilai, Bokaro, Durgapur, Rourkela, and IISCO) and three special steel plants. Product Mix: The revenue stream is split between Flat Products (hot/cold rolled coils used in autos and white goods) and Long Products (TMT bars, wire rods, and structural used in infrastructure and real estate). Captive Client: SAIL is the primary supplier of railway tracks to Indian Railways, providing a steady, reliable, and recurring revenue stream that private peers cannot easily replicate. Geographic Mix: Over 90% of revenue is domestic, making it a pure play on the Indian domestic economy rather than a global export hub. 2. Moat In the commodity business, your moat is your cost of production. SAIL has one massive structural advantage: 100% Captive Iron Ore: SAIL owns massive iron ore mines, making it completely self-reliant for its primary raw material. When global iron ore prices spike, Tata Steel and JSW Steel feel the pinch; SAIL’s margins are protected. Irreplaceable Land Bank & Infrastructure: The sheer scale of SAIL’s land holdings and established township infrastructure cannot be replicated by any new entrant today. Sovereign Backing: As a government-backed entity, SAIL enjoys an artificially low cost of debt and effectively zero bankruptcy risk. 3. Industry Macro Trends The India Demand Tailwind: India is the only major bright spot globally for steel. With GDP growing at ~7% and a massive $1.4 trillion National Infrastructure Pipeline, domestic steel consumption is projected to grow at a 5-6% CAGR, reaching 240+ million tons by 2035. The Import Threat: India recently shifted from being a net exporter to a net importer of steel. Cheap dumping from China and Vietnam is putting a ceiling on domestic steel prices. Green Steel Pivot: The global push for decarbonization is forcing heavy capex. SAIL recently partnered with BHP to explore low-emission steelmaking, signaling a shift toward sustainable practices, though this will require significant capital outlay. 4. Financial Health SAIL’s financials reflect a company recovering from cyclical lows, but weighed down by structural inefficiencies. Revenue: Hovering around ₹1.02 to ₹1.05 lakh crore annually. Top-line growth has been stagnant over the last 1-3 years due to subdued global steel prices. Margins & Profitability: Operating margins have compressed to the 8%–11% range. Net profits dipped to around ₹2,147 crore for FY25, a steep drop from the FY22 super-cycle highs of over ₹12,000 crore. Debt Profile: Surprisingly healthy for a PSU. Net Debt-to-Equity stands at a comfortable 0.66x. Interest coverage is manageable, and cash flow generation remains positive. SAIL is not over-leveraged. Return Ratios: This is the pain point. Return on Equity (ROE) sits at a poor ~4-5%, well below the cost of capital. This is due to a bloated balance sheet, high employee costs, and delayed capital expenditures. 5. Valuation vs. Competitors How does the market price SAIL against the titans, Tata Steel and JSW Steel? SAIL (P/E ~23.8x): The high P/E ratio is a “denominator effect”—because current earnings are depressed, the multiple looks inflated. Historically, SAIL trades as an asset play. On a Price-to-Book (P/B) basis, it is the cheapest of the three, trading near or below its book value. JSW Steel (P/E ~40x+): Commands a massive premium. The market loves JSW for its aggressive growth, rapid capacity expansion, and high operational efficiency (lowest conversion cost). Tata Steel (P/E ~16x - 27x): Sits in the middle. It has the captive iron ore advantage in India but is dragged down by its struggling European operations. Insight: You don’t buy SAIL for operational excellence; you buy it as a deep-value, cyclical rebound play when it trades below book value. 6. Bull Case (Upside): Coking coal prices crash globally, while the Indian government imposes strict anti-dumping duties on Chinese steel. SAIL’s margins expand rapidly, and its upcoming capacity additions (aiming for 35 MTPA) come online without delays. Return ratios push back into the double digits. Base Case (Neutral): Domestic demand remains strong due to infrastructure spending, setting a floor on revenues. However, margins remain range-bound as coking coal stays sticky and imported steel keeps domestic prices in check. The stock pays a decent dividend and moves sideways with the broader market. Bear Case (Downside): China floods the Asian market with cheap steel amid a global recession. Coking coal spikes due to supply chain disruptions. SAIL’s profitability goes negative, and the government forces the company into heavy, debt-funded capex, wiping out free cash flow. Earnings Flash: SAIL Q3 FY26 (Quarter Ended Dec 2025) SAIL’s latest Q3 FY26 earnings report is a classic story of operational leverage and balance sheet clean-up masking some underlying cost pressures. The headline reads like a massive win—a 251% YoY surge in quarterly net profit—but as always, the devil is in the details. 1. Revenue vs. Expectations: Solid Top-Line Execution Reported Revenue: ₹27,170 crore The Reality: This is a solid showing and largely in line with (or slightly beating) street estimates. The Driver: The top line wasn’t driven by soaring global steel prices—in fact, pricing remains subdued globally. Instead, it was driven purely by volume. SAIL moved 5.1 million tons of steel this quarter, a robust 15.9% increase YoY. India’s infrastructure engine continues to hum, and SAIL is successfully capturing that domestic demand. 2. Profit vs. Expectations: Reported Net Profit (PAT): ₹442 crore (up 251% YoY from ₹126 crore in Q3 FY25). The Reality: A 251% jump looks spectacular on a Bloomberg terminal, but you have to contextualize the base effect. Q3 FY25 was an exceptionally weak quarter. The Driver: This profit surge wasn’t fueled by expanding gross margins. It was fueled by higher sales volumes, operational efficiencies, and—most importantly—a plunge in finance costs. Because SAIL has been aggressively paying down debt, their interest burden has dropped significantly, allowing more operating profit to flow straight to the bottom line. 3. Key Metrics Investors Watch The Margin Squeeze: EBITDA margins actually declined slightly to 10.6% (from 11.6% in the previous fiscal year). EBITDA per ton dropped to ₹5,738. This shows that despite higher volumes, input cost pressures and cheap steel imports are preventing SAIL from passing costs onto consumers. Debt Reduction: This is the best part of the report. Borrowings have fallen from over ₹30,593 crore in March 2024 to ₹24,852 crore by December 2025. The Debt-to-Equity ratio has improved to a very healthy 0.44x. Management is fixing the roof while the sun is shining. Labor Productivity: SAIL is finally addressing its biggest historical weakness. Manpower was reduced from ~53,100 in early 2025 to ~50,600 by Jan 2026, pushing labor productivity up to 624 tonnes of crude steel per man, per year. 4. Management Guidance & Outlook Management’s commentary struck a cautiously optimistic tone, heavily leaning on domestic macro tailwinds. Domestic Strength vs. Global Weakness: While the World Steel Association points to a sluggish global environment, SAIL’s management highlighted that India remains an anomaly. They are projecting an 8.5% increase in Indian steel demand for CY2025/2026. Focus on Efficiency: They guided that their primary focus will remain on cost optimization, maximizing solid waste utilization (up to 117%), and maintaining high production volumes to offset the current margin pressures caused by global dumping. 5. Market Reaction Current Stock Price Action: The stock is currently trading in the ₹164–₹168 range. The market has reacted favorably to the debt reduction and volume growth, keeping the stock resilient. However, the lack of a massive breakout reflects the street’s caution regarding the EBITDA margin compression. Investors are happy with the deleveraging story but are waiting to see if SAIL can recover its pricing power before awarding it a higher valuation multiple. Technical Diagnostic & Trend-Sustainability Report: Current Market Price (CMP): ~₹167.90 Technical Analysis 1. Moving Average Convergence & Divergence Analysis The underlying momentum of SAIL can be decoded by looking at the alignment and spacing of its core moving averages. Trend Alignment (The “Bullish Stack”): The stock is currently exhibiting a perfect bullish alignment. Price (~₹168) > 20-DMA (~₹157) > 50-DMA (~₹155) > 100-DMA (~₹149) > 200-DMA (~₹141). This sequential stacking indicates that momentum is accelerating across all timeframes (short, medium, and long-term). The bulls are in full control of the trend. Stretch Analysis: The price is currently trading roughly 19% above its 200-DMA. Historically, for a heavy-weight metal stock, a 15-20% premium over the 200-DMA reflects robust trend strength without signaling extreme “euphoria” or an immediate need for a violent mean reversion. The trend has room to breathe. Crossovers: The stock is operating under a confirmed and sustained Golden Cross (50-DMA > 200-DMA). Furthermore, the 20-DMA recently bounced dynamically off the 50-DMA, rejecting a short-term bearish crossover and reinforcing the upward trajectory. 2. Structural Price Action (Support & Resistance) SAIL’s price action is currently defined by a classic “higher-high, higher-low” market structure. Polarity Levels (Support): The most critical structural feature is the ₹145–₹155 zone. In the previous cycle, this area acted as a heavy resistance ceiling. Recently, the stock broke above it, retested it, and successfully defended it. This zone has now undergone a polarity shift—transitioning from historical resistance into a hardened floor of support. Psychological & Multi-year Levels (Resistance): The stock is currently absorbing supply near its 52-week high of ₹171.50. Immediate Hurdle: The ₹175 level is the primary psychological barrier. Institutional algorithms will likely trigger minor profit-booking here. Macro Ceiling: If the ₹175 barrier is cleared on a weekly closing basis, the chart exhibits a structural vacuum, opening the door for a relatively frictionless move toward the ₹195–₹200 macro supply zone. 3. Institutional Volume & Delivery Analysis Price action without volume is just noise. SAIL’s volume dynamics currently validate the uptrend. Volume Consistency: The recent price appreciation from the ₹150s to the high ₹160s has been backed by expanding NSE+BSE combined volumes, frequently ranging between 20 million to 35 million shares daily. Buying pressure is visibly absorbing overhead supply. Delivery vs. Speculation: This is the most bullish data point. Daily delivery percentages have been clocking in between 40% to 44%, notably higher than the 1-month average of ~36%. Divergence Check: We do not see volume exhaustion. The RSI (14) currently sits in the 61–63 range. This indicates healthy bullish momentum with plenty of runway before hitting the overbought “danger zone” (>80). 4. Synthesis & Actionable Conclusion Technical Rating: STRONG ACCUMULATION / TRENDING BULLISH SAIL is not merely riding a sector tailwind; it is displaying independent structural strength. The alignment of moving averages, a confirmed polarity shift at previous resistance, and robust institutional delivery volume all point to trend sustainability. Trade Parameters: Target Price 1 (Short-to-Medium Term): ₹175.00 (Testing the psychological resistance). Target Price 2 (Structural Breakout): ₹195.00 – ₹200.00 (Macro gap fill on the weekly charts, triggered upon a decisive weekly close above ₹175). Stop-Loss Swing / Position Traders: ₹154.00 (Placed safely just below the 50-DMA and the recent structural swing-low. A daily close below this invalidates the immediate bullish momentum). Stop-Loss : ₹140.00 Placed below the 200-DMA to allow for macro volatility while remaining in the structural uptrend.

#Multibagger - BSE Limited how 1 lakh became 27 lakhs in 9 years

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Tue, 10 Feb 2026 05:14:00 +0000

Initial Listing Price (2017)

The BSE IPO was priced at the upper band of ₹806. On its listing day, February 3, 2017, it listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) at:

Listing Open: ₹1,085 (a premium of ~35% over the issue price).
Listing Day High: ₹1,200.
Listing Day Close: ₹1,069.20.

2. Volume Growth: From "Laggard" to "Leader"

The volume growth of BSE has been the primary engine for its recent stock price surge.

The NSE Dominance Era (2017–2022): For several years after listing, BSE struggled with low trading volumes, especially in the high-margin Derivatives (F&O) segment, where NSE held a near-monopoly. Daily volumes were relatively modest.
The Turnaround (2023–2026): Under new leadership and revamped product structures (like the Sensex and Bankex derivatives), volumes exploded.
- 2017 Volumes: Daily traded shares were often in the low lakhs.
- 2026 Volumes: Today, it is common to see 50 lakh to 80 lakh shares traded daily on the NSE, with turnover reaching thousands of crores per session.
- Derivatives Explosion: BSE’s market share in equity derivatives has jumped from nearly 0% to over 20% in the last two years, driving its massive profit growth.

If you had bought 100 shares of BSE Ltd in June 2017 at ₹1,000 per share, you would be sitting on one of the most successful "multibagger" runs in recent Indian market history.

Here is the step-by-step breakdown of your holdings and returns as of February 10, 2026.

1. The Share Multiplication (Bonus History)

BSE has issued two major bonuses since your purchase, both in a 2:1 ratio. This means for every 1 share you held, you received 2 additional free shares.

Initial Purchase (June 2017): 100 shares
Bonus 1 (March 2022, 2:1): 100 shares became 300 shares
Bonus 2 (May 2025, 2:1): 300 shares became 900 shares

Current Share Count: 900 Shares

2. Return on Investment (ROI) Calculation

To calculate your percentage returns, we compare your initial capital to the current market value of your total shares.

Component	Value	Calculation
Initial Investment	₹1,00,000	$100 \text{ shares} \times ₹1,000$
Current Price (Feb 10, 2026)	₹3,131	Approx. market price today
Current Market Value	₹28,17,900	$900 \text{ shares} \times ₹3,131$
Total Absolute Profit	₹27,17,900	$₹28,17,900 - ₹1,00,000$

Total Percentage Return: ~2,718%

Summary

Shares Held: You now have 9 times the number of shares you started with.
Portfolio Growth: Your ₹1 Lakh investment has turned into approximately ₹28.18 Lakhs.
Annualized Growth (XIRR): This represents a staggering compounded annual growth rate of roughly 48-50% over the last 8.5 years.

The impending listing of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) on the BSE is being viewed as the single biggest catalyst for the exchange sector in the next three years. Because SEBI regulations prevent an exchange from listing on itself, NSE must list on BSE, effectively making the "rival" its home platform.

Here is the outlook for BSE Ltd regarding this listing, turnover, and earnings through 2029:

1. The "NSE Effect" on BSE’s Turnover

The listing will directly impact BSE’s trading volumes in two ways:

Massive Listing Day Volume: NSE’s IPO is expected to be India’s largest-ever financial services IPO. The sheer volume of trading in NSE shares on Day 1 (and the subsequent weeks) will provide a massive one-time and ongoing boost to BSE’s cash segment turnover.
Institutional Traction: As institutional investors trade NSE shares on the BSE platform, it increases the overall "liquidity pool" of BSE. This helps narrow bid-ask spreads, making BSE a more attractive alternative to NSE for other stocks as well.

2. Impact on Earnings (Next 3 Years)

Analysts have a strong bullish outlook, with earnings expected to grow significantly.

Metric	Forecast (2026–2029)	Primary Driver
Revenue Growth	~16% – 24% CAGR	Surge in transaction charges from derivatives and the NSE listing.
Net Profit (PAT)	~20% – 34% CAGR	Operating leverage; as volumes grow, costs don't rise proportionally.
Return on Equity (ROE)	~39% (by 2029)	High cash generation and low capital expenditure requirements.

Derivatives Market Share: BSE’s profit explosion is currently driven by its success in the weekly options segment (Sensex/Bankex). Analysts expect BSE to capture 25%–30% of the total derivatives market share by 2028, up from its current ~20%.
Listing Fees: As more companies (including NSE) list and stay listed on BSE, the recurring annual listing fees provide a stable, high-margin revenue stream.

3. Future Risks to Watch

While the outlook is positive, two "impending" factors could temper growth:

Regulatory Changes: The 2026 Budget increased the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on F&O. While the market has absorbed this so far, any further hikes could hit the high-frequency trading (HFT) volumes that BSE relies on.
The "NSE Listing" Paradox: Once NSE is listed on BSE, investors will have a choice between the two giants. Some "exchange-thematic" capital might move from BSE to NSE, as NSE remains the larger and more dominant business by absolute profit.

Outlook

The next 3 years (2026–2029) are likely to be "Golden Years" for BSE Ltd. The NSE listing will not only provide a massive revenue spike through transaction fees but also cement BSE's position as a technologically equal competitor to NSE.

#Silver Trend February 2026

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Tue, 10 Feb 2026 04:13:00 +0000

February 10, 2026, silver in India is experiencing a significant recovery following a period of extreme volatility. After crashing from historic highs earlier in the year, the market has seen a sharp 5.3% jump, reclaiming the crucial psychological mark of ₹3,00,000 per kg.

Current Price Snapshot

1 Gram₹300📈 Up ₹15

10 Grams₹3,000📈 Up ₹150

100 Grams₹30,000📈 Up ₹1,500

1 Kilogram₹3,00,00,000📈 Up ₹15,000

Key Market Drivers & Outlook

The "Recovery Rally": After hitting a monthly low near ₹2.75 lakh/kg on February 6, silver has seen aggressive short-covering.

Traders who bet on falling prices are now buying back to exit positions, fueling the current bounce.

Global Signals:

While the US Dollar has shown some strength today—which usually pressures silver—the metal is finding support from positive global manufacturing data and its "undervalued" status compared to gold.

Resistance Levels: Experts suggest the current rally faces a tough test. While ₹3 lakh is a positive milestone, significant resistance lies in the ₹3.20 lakh to ₹3.50 lakh range

Warning: Some analysts (like those from PACE 360) remain cautious, labeling recent gains as a "dead cat bounce." They warn that despite the recovery, the long-term trend could see further corrections if industrial demand doesn't keep pace with the high price levels.

Why 2026 is a "Silver Year"Despite the recent price swings, the broader outlook for 2026 remains structurally supported by:

Green Tech Demand:

Silver's role in solar panels, EVs, and AI hardware provides a solid industrial floor.

Supply Deficit:

The market is expected to remain in a deficit for the sixth consecutive year.

Monetary Policy:

Anticipated interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve later this year could lower the opportunity cost of holding silver, making it more attractive to investors.

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Aluminium - New Gold

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sat, 04 Oct 2025 15:04:00 +0000

Are you ready for the rally

Aluminium Sector

Aluminium prices reached highs near $3,500/tonne in 2022 due to energy cost surges and geopolitical factors, but then eased in 2023 as supply stabilized.
In 2025, prices are expected to average around $2,625 per tonne, with some projections up to $2,700 - $2,800, supported by growing demand from EVs and renewables but tempered by economic uncertainties and tariffs.
Long-term outlook through 2030 anticipates aluminium market growth CAGR between 3% and 6%, with price ranges depending on supply-demand balance, decarbonization trends, and new capacity bringing moderate upward price pressure.
Commodity analysts highlight potential supply deficits in the near term (2025-2026) due to production limitations and geopolitical trade factors as a key upside risk.

Globally, aluminium remains a critical metal with demand driven by industrial, automotive, construction, and clean energy transitions, supporting a positive but moderate price growth outlook for the next 5 years.Here is a summary table of aluminium prices over the last 5 years and the outlook for the next 5 years based on global market data

NALCO

National Aluminium is undertaking significant expansion in aluminium and alumina production, with an investment outlay of around ₹30,000 crore over the next five years to strengthen its position and aim for Maharatna status.

Key Expansion Projects

NALCO is setting up a new aluminium smelter with a capacity of 0.5 million tonnes per annum in Odisha, backed by an investment of ₹18,000 crore, with operations targeted to begin by FY2030.
An additional ₹12,000 crore is allocated for a 1,080 MW coal-based captive power plant to support the new smelter, ensuring stable and cost-effective energy supply.
Alumina refinery capacity will increase by 1 million tonnes per annum (fifth stream) with an investment of around ₹5,677 crore, aiming for mechanical completion by March 2026 and full ramp-up soon after.
The Pottangi bauxite mine, a critical raw material source, is set to begin operations by Q4, FY2025-26, backed by an investment of about ₹1,961 crore.

Downstream and Value-Added Product Initiatives

NALCO is entering the aluminium foil segment with an investment of ₹150–₹200 crore.scanx
A 100,000-tonne wire rod mill and enhancements for rolled product capacities are planned, with a 10% growth target for overall production and a focus on new value-added products like special grade and fused alumina.

Strategic Objectives and Impact

These expansions are part of NALCO’s strategy to push annual turnover beyond ₹25,000 crore, a key threshold for Maharatna status.
The company aims for 22.5–23 million tonnes of alumina production by FY26 and a significant increase in both domestic and export sales of alumina and aluminium.scanx
Power cost reduction by leveraging captive coal mines will further boost competitiveness and profitability.

NALCO’s wide-ranging expansion plan will make it one of India’s most forward-looking and capacity-rich aluminium producers, further strengthening its foothold in both domestic and global markets

NALCO’s expansion plans are expected to significantly boost both topline revenue and profitability over the next five years. The company is investing around ₹30,000-₹35,600 crore in capacity additions, including a new 0.5 MTPA aluminium smelter, alumina refinery expansion, and captive power plants, aiming to push turnover beyond ₹25,000 crore by 2030—up from around ₹17,000 crore currently.

Impact on Revenue

The alumina refinery’s 1 MTPA fifth stream, slated to ramp up by FY27-FY28, will increase merchant alumina sales, contributing to strong revenue growth at a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 10-12% over the next five years.
The increased aluminium smelting capacity, combined with improved power cost structures due to captive coal mines, will further drive sales volumes and revenue, especially in domestic and export markets.
Revenue recorded a significant jump from ₹13,149 crore in FY24 to ₹16,788 crore in FY25, with the expansion expected to sustain and accelerate this growth trajectory.

Impact on Profitability

In FY25, NALCO reported a record net profit of ₹5,325 crore, a 158% increase year-on-year, driven by strong prices, operational efficiency, and early benefits from expansions.
Analysts expect earnings growth (PAT) at approximately 15% CAGR owing to margin accretive alumina sales and cost efficiencies from captive power and raw material sources.
The company’s debt-free status and strong internal accruals provide financial flexibility to fund capex without pressure, preserving profitability margins as expansions roll out.
NALCO’s focus on value-added products and global market expansions (e.g., UK market) is expected to sustain profitability through diversified revenue streams and premium pricing.

Overall, NALCO’s expansion is expected to solidify its market leadership, expand production volumes, and drive sustainable revenue and profit growth over the next five years, supporting its goal of attaining Maharatna status by 2030.

Hindalco

Hindalco Industries plans a substantial production capacity expansion over the next five years with a committed global investment of about $10 billion (around ₹82,000 crore) spanning aluminium, copper, and speciality alumina sectors.alcircle+2

Key Upstream Expansion Projects

Aluminium smelting capacity will grow with:
- An 180,000 tonnes per annum (TPA) expansion at the Aditya aluminium smelter in Odisha.
- A 360,000 TPA expansion at the Mahan aluminium smelter in Madhya Pradesh.
A new greenfield alumina refinery with a capacity of 850,000 TPA is under development to strengthen raw material security.wirecable+3
Copper smelting capacity will increase with a 300,000 TPA expansion at the Dahej smelter, positioning it as the world’s largest single-location copper smelter outside China.newindianexpress+2
Hindalco has secured the 12 million tonne Meenakshi coal mine to support energy needs and maintain low-cost production.economictimes+1

Downstream and New Business Initiatives

Hindalco aims to quadruple downstream EBITDA by FY30 through a mix of value-added aluminium, copper, speciality alumina, and recycling products.alcircle+2
A new battery foil manufacturing plant in Odisha with 25,000 TPA capacity (₹800 crore investment) is set to commence by July 2025 for EV battery markets.adityabirla
Construction is progressing on India’s first and the world’s second-largest dedicated e-waste and copper recycling facility at Pakhajan.hindalco+1
The US subsidiary, Novelis, is investing $4.1 billion in an expansion project at Bay Minette, Alabama, which will increase capacity to 5 million tonnes annually by 2026.angelone+1

Strategic Vision

Hindalco’s expansion will significantly boost aluminium smelting capacity by about 540,000 TPA overall, alumina refining by 850,000 TPA, and copper smelting by 300,000 TPA.
The investments aim to reinforce Hindalco’s position as the world’s lowest-cost aluminium producer and support leadership in copper and speciality alumina markets.
The focus on recycling, EV battery materials, and sustainability aligns with global demand trends and regulatory focus.

Hindalco’s aggressive expansion plan will scale up upstream capacities across aluminium and copper alongside strengthening downstream products, which is aimed at driving significant revenue and profit growth through FY30.

Key Observations

Hindalco is a much larger company, with FY25 revenue (₹2.38 lakh crore) approximately 14 times that of NALCO (~₹16,788 crore).
NALCO exhibits higher EBITDA and PAT margins (~39% and 32%), reflecting its focused upstream aluminium production and cost-efficient operations, while Hindalco’s margins are lower (~15% EBITDA, 6.7% PAT) due to diversified operations including downstream and copper businesses.
Hindalco’s absolute EBITDA and PAT are significantly higher given its size, but NALCO shows strong profitability percentages and a debt-free balance sheet, which indicates operational efficiency.
Both companies posted strong profit growth in FY25: NALCO’s net profit grew 158%, Hindalco’s PAT rose 58% year-over-year, supported by favorable macro conditions and cost optimizations.
With NALCO’s expansion plan, its topline and profitability are expected to grow substantially, but the scale will still be smaller than Hindalco’s large diversified footprint.

Technical Analysis

The picture below shows the strong momentum in Metal Sector with National Aluminium spiked by 40% while Hindalco gone up by 30% while the Sector is up by 22%

News Impact - BDL gets Rs.5000 crore order from Armenia

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sat, 30 Dec 2023 07:14:00 +0000

Bharat Dynamics (BDL) has finalised a major deal with Armenia for 15 Akash Air Defence (AAD) systems with Radars, with the transaction estimated to be valued between Rs 5000-6000 crore. As per the news sources, Oman has also expressed interest in discussions with BDL for the AAD system.

Views: BDL is well positioned in terms of significant potential for export of its products (missiles, torpedoes & counter measure systems). During the recent trials, AAD system demonstrated its unique capability of engaging four ariel targets simultaneously at a range of 25 kms, making India the first country to have such capability.

Company’s order backlog stood at Rs 20766 crore as of Sep-23 (9.6x TTM revenues) with orders pipeline remains very strong (both domestic and exports), providing strong growth visibility in the coming period. Bharat Electronics will also be the beneficiary as it is involved in supplying electronics systems like Rajendra PESA radar and other sub-systems.

Let us evaluate the performance of the stock

CMP - Rs.1,716

Year High - Rs.1810

Year Low - Rs.787

Returns

1 month - 47% a jump of Rs.553

6 months - 53% a jump of Rs.595

12 months - 81% a jump of Rs.771

This video is for education purpose only. For investment decisions please consult your Financial Advisor.

Date 30 Dec 2023

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Plastic Pipes - Excelleng Growth Prospects Ahead

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sun, 17 Dec 2023 05:46:00 +0000

Sector: Building Materials

December 17, 2023

Industry should continue to register healthy volume growth! We interacted with multiple dealers from north & west region, and regional manufacturers of plastic pipe industry to understand the on-going trends in terms of demand, polymer prices and outlook going ahead.

Following are the key highlights:

 Q3 is a seasonally weak quarter, owing to festive & marriage season. However overall demand has been sturdy, both agri and plumbing segment have been witnessing healthy demand.

 Spends in Jal Jeevan Mission continues to remain robust leading to strong demand for both Agri & Plumbing.

 Plumbing demand is also continuing its northwards march. Barring the seasonality impact, volume off-take has been growing on m/m basis for manufacturers.

 Plastic pipes are finding newer applications in infrastructure segment, leading manufacturers are launching new innovative products which should bode well for industry growth.

 The quarter commenced with sharp decline in PVC resin prices, however, there has been a steady uptick in prices since then. Hence, manufacturers do not expect any major inventory losses.

 New domestic capacity of PVC reins is likely to get operational by FY26. The current difference between domestic & import prices is ~Rs2/Kg.  CPVC resin prices are largely steady. Domestic capacities are coming-up, however the quantum is not enough & hence industry will continue to rely on imports.

 Dealers have commenced re-stocking post the sharp fall in resin prices, in anticipation of improvement in price hikes. Moreover, channel inventory is at normal level, for agri division the dealers hold inventory of ~10-12days while the same for plumbing is ~20-25days.

 The consensus view from our interactions is that the demand for plastic pipes will continue to grow for next 3-5years as the spends in irrigation & uptick in new construction is likely to expand.

We continue to remain positive on plastic pipe industry on account of healthy industry tailwinds lead by strong plumbing & agri demand backed by robust spends in Jal Jeevan Mission. Incrementally, with higher demand for branded products, organized players are likely to outperform industry growth.

Investors should track Q3 FY 24 results before buying.

PVC resin prices likely to remain range-bound, manufacturer’s margins are expected to remain steady. Hence, we reckon that plastic pipe industry will continue to deliver healthy growth in next 3- 5years. We prefer Apollo Pipes Ltd & Prince Pipes & Fittings Ltd from this segment.

Comparative Performance of Apollo and Prince Pipes.

This video is for education purpose only. For investment decisions please consult your Financial Advisor.

Date 17 Dec 2023

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Importance and Trend Indicators - Simple Moving Averages

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sun, 10 Dec 2023 08:44:00 +0000

SMAs are the most used tools by Smart Investors to understand and track the trends.

The following is a list of the same with trend indicators

Moving Average Roadmap!👇

5 Day EMA- Strong Momentum

9 Day EMA- Trailing Stop Loss

10 Day EMA- Short Term Trend

20 Day EMA- Pullback Support

30 Day WEMA- Stage Analysis

50 Day EMA- Uptrend Defence Line

100 Day EMA- Big Price Dip

250 Day EMA- Value Zone

200
Day EMA- Long Term

It will be a good idea to look at shares which are above 100, 50, 20 EMA which indicates bullishness in the scrip.

While analyzing a stock we must have a method by looking at the above technical indicators.

The best metric to follow moving averages is VWAP which takes into consideration daily volumes, high low and closing prices.

Technical analysis will also help investors to understand the resistance and support levels.

IRB Infra - Avoid

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sun, 10 Dec 2023 07:38:00 +0000

IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd won a Rs 7,380 crore contract for Hyderabad Outer Ring Road (ORR) project, under the toll-operate-transfer (TOT) model. The revenue-linked concession period for this project is 30 years.

Hyderabad Metropolitan Development Authority (HMDA) sought global bids for the project, which attracted bids from Eagle Infra India Ltd, Dinesh Chandra R Agrawal Infracon Pvt Ltd, and Gawar Construction Ltd.

The outer ring road is a road-cum-area development project since its aim is to develop well-planned and well-connected urban settlements around the Hyderabad Metropolitan Area.

The ORR is a 158-km-long eight-lane motorway with access control and has a total of 19 access points.

The ORR connects several areas: Narsing–Kokapet–Patancheru–Medchal–Shamirpet–Ghatkesar–Pedda Amberpet–Shamshabad–TSPA–Narsing–Nanakramguda–Gachibowli. Service roads are developed with two-lane undivided sections on both sides of the ORR.

The ORR also connects with other significant national highways and state highways.

IRB's chairman, Virendra D Mhaiskar, has revealed that the company's asset base will now exceed Rs 70,000 crore and that their share in the TOT area now stands at 37 per cent, which is the largest in India by any private player. He pointed out that the project will be carried out via IRB's private infrastructure investment trust platform.

According to a company statement, IRB Group has been awarded the second largest single asset TOT project in India, after the Mumbai Pune Expressway project, which is also part of the company's portfolio.

Avoid IRB till clarity emerges. Short spikes must be ignored.

The scrip did very well in last 1 year giving a return of 33% with a YH Rs.41 of and YL of Rs.22

Skipper Limited - Small Cap steady performer

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 08:22:00 +0000

Skipper Ltd. has today evolved into one of the world's leading manufacturers for Transmission & Distribution Structures(Towers & Poles) in it's Engineering Products segment, a leading and respected brand in the Polymer sector as well as trusted partner for executing critical Infrastructure EPC projects. Skipper's market reach spans across 40+ countries around the globe from South America, Europe, Africa,the Middle East, South and Southeast Asia and Australia. Within India,we are a preferred manufacturer of choice for our customers pan India,from J&K to Tamil Nadu and from North East India to Gujarat.

Holistic Products that Add Value

Skipper Limited is one of the world's largest integrated Transmission Tower manufacturing companies with Angle Rolling, Tower, Accessories & Fastener manufacturing and EPC line construction. Our manufacturing capacity is the largest in India and among the top 10 in the world. Skipper Limited is a national powerhouse in the Polymer Pipe business. Under the brand name of ‘Skipper’, the company manufactures huge range of premium quality pipes and fittings, which are used in different areas such as Plumbing, Sewage, Agriculture and Borewell sectors. Additionally, it is IT enabled and a number of operations are carried out on various ERP platforms. We are fast evolving from an Eastern region to a National Brand.

Our Integrated manufacturing units, Focussed Management and Committed Production & Quality teams make us the no. 1 choice for all our customers across Products and Sectors.

Scrip had a Year High of 255 and Year Low of 70.

Returns

1 month 2.33%

6 months 93.7%

12 months 230%

Date 15 Nov 2023

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JSW Infrastructure - Long Term Bet

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 05:42:00 +0000

JSW Infrastructure Limited was originally incorporated as a public limited company with the name of 'JSW Infrastructure & Logistics Limited' on April 21, 2006 by the RoC, at Mumbai. Thereafter, the name of Company was changed to "JSW Infrastructure Limited" on April 2, 2008 upon issuance of a fresh certificate of incorporation in change of name by the Registrar of Companies, Maharashtra at Mumbai.

The Company is a part of the JSW Group, a multinational conglomerate with an international portfolio of diversified assets across various sectors, including steel, energy, infrastructure, cement, paints, venture capital and sports. It scaled up business operations from a single Port Concession at Mormugao, Goa that was acquired by the JSW Group in 2002 and commenced operations in 2004, to nine Port Concessions as of December 31, 2022 across India, making us a diversified maritime ports company.

The Company is the fastest growing port-related infrastructure company in terms of growth in installed cargo handling capacity and cargo volumes handled and the second largest commercial port operator in India in terms of cargo handling capacity. The Company provide maritime related services including, cargo handling, storage solutions, logistics services and other value-added services to customers, and are evolving into an end-to-end logistics solutions provider. It develop and operate ports and port terminals pursuant to Port Concessions. It operate 9 Port Concessions across India with an installed cargo handling capacity of 153.43 MTPA as well as operate two port terminals under O&M agreements for a cargo handling capability of 41 MTPA in the UAE.

Company came with IPO priced at Rs.119. Shares got listed at Rs.157 a gain of 32% on listing. Currently trading at Rs.200 as of 13 November 2023

Date 15 Nov 2023

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Ircon International Limited - Growing Order Book

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 02:43:00 +0000

Ircon International Limited (IRCON), an integrated engineering and construction company having expertise in major infrastructure sectors including railways, highways, bridges, flyovers, tunnels, metro, railway electrification, aircraft maintenance hangars, EHV sub-stations, runways, EHV sub-stations, electrical and mechanical works, commercial and residential buildings, railway production units, development of industrial areas, amongst others. It offers Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) services on a lumpsum turnkey, EPC and item-rate basis for various infrastructure projects.

IRCON, a prominent public sector construction company in the country, has established itself as a leader in Transportation Infrastructure, particularly in the execution of Railway Projects. So far, the Company completed over 128 projects in 25 countries across the globe, and more than 400 projects in India. In the domestic market, it specializes in working in difficult terrains and disturbed regions. Furthermore, it is an active participant in prestigious nation-building projects.

Ircon International is a public sector construction company, with specialization in execution of Railway projects on turnkey basis and otherwise. After commencing business as a Railway construction company, it diversified along with its subsidiaries and Joint Ventures to roads, buildings, electrical substation and distribution, airport construction, commercial complexes, as well as metro rail works.

The Company is headquartered in Saket, New Delhi and it has an overseas office in Malaysia. So far, Company has completed over 128 projects in 25 countries across the globe, and 398 projects in India. In the domestic market, it specializes in working in difficult terrains and disturbed regions. Furthermore, it is an active participant in prestigious nation-building projects.

Date 15 Nov 2023

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Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited - Small Cap Value Buy

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 02:29:00 +0000

Welspun Specialty Solutions Limited (WSSL) is an ISO 9001:2015 & IATF: 16949: 2016 accredited company. Their Alloy/Special & Stainless steel plant in Bharuch, Gujarat produces 150,000 MT annually. They produce various Alloy Steel grades through the Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) and Ladle Refining Furnace (LRF) VD route, with a heat size of 35 tons. Stainless Steel is produced through EAF/EF, LRF, VD, and AOD/VOD routes. The products are cast through both, the continuous cast, as well as the ingot route.

WSSL's precision rolling mill downstream, has a capacity of 125,000 MT annually, catering to a wide size range of 45 mm to 235 mm Rounds and 55 to 340 mm RCS (Round Corner Squares).

WSSL offers bars in Hot Rolled, Heat Treated, and Peeled & Polished conditions for all critical applications. Their NABL-accredited testing facility meets the most stringent testing requirements.

At WSSL, quality is ensured from start to finish. The mission is to engineer top-notch Alloy, Special & Stainless steel, bench-marked globally. The world-class quality of WSSL steel is sought after by discerning global markets, for applications like Oil & Gas, Energy, Automotive, Engineering, Defence, Nuclear Power Railways, etc.

WSSL has an extremely tech-savvy team that believes in staying ahead of the curve by embracing the latest technology. The research and development division keeps WSSL abreast of cutting-edge technology. This helps them to adapt quickly to market changes and respond to the needs and requirements of emerging markets and businesses with the right solutions.

WSSL’s workforce is their asset and hence there is special emphasis on nurturing, rewarding, and retaining good talent. Performance is valued and individuals receive due recognition for their role in the company’s success. WSSL encourages employees to be innovative and constantly pursue excellence and quality.

In this video we will capture the Q2 FY 24 results and H1 FY 24 results recently declared by the company.

Investors should do well in researching and buying the scrip on dips and hold for long term.

Watch our video https://youtu.be/i32xVptgYzA

Date 15 Nov 2023

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Diwali 2023 - Stock Picks for next 1 year

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sun, 05 Nov 2023 14:01:00 +0000

@SmartInvestor

#SmartInvestor #DiwaliPicks #DiwaliStocks

Here is the top 10 list of small caps with great potential for next 1 year

Electrosteel Castings

RVNL

Ircon

SJVN

BHEL

PNB

Welspun Speciality

Kalyan Jewellers

Axtel

Yes Bank

Date 02 June 2023 This post is bought to you by Smart Investors - Indias Most Knowledgeable Equity Researchers. For more informative videos Like, Share and Comment on Vidoes. Subscribe to our channel to get new video alerts. Contact - intellinvestor@gmail.com or whatsapp@ Social Media Links - Youtube Channel - https://www.youtube.com/@Smart_Investor1 Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/smartinvestor1/ Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/smrtinvestr/ Blogs - https://ingeniousinvestor.blogspot.com/ Twitter - https://twitter.com/SmartInvestor For paid consultation - topmate.io/smart_investor

L & T - Buy on dips

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Sun, 05 Nov 2023 13:23:00 +0000

*Jefferies on L&T*

Buy Call

Target Raised To Rs 3,400

Q2 EBITDA At 4% Which Is Lower Than the Expectation

Order Flow Was Strong At 72% YoY Growth

Management Said Co Should Do Better Than FY24 Order Flow/Revenue Guidance

Margin Was Revised To 8.5-9% From 9% Earlier, Lower FY24-26 EBITDA By 2-3% To Factor Same

If Projects Reach Margin Recognition Levels Earlier, This Cut Could Surprise

Prospect Pipeline Is Up 39% YoY

*CITI on L&T*

Buy, TP Rs 3550

Strong Order Inflows & Execution; Margin Guidance Toned Down

Reported very strong order inflow(+96% YoY in P&M business) & revenue growth (+25% YoY in P&M business) in 2Q

Near-term, 4QFY24/1QFY25 may face some headwinds

*CLSA on L&T*

Buy, TP Rs 3600

Order inflow spikes & capital return takes ROE 15%+

Guidance beating 2Q: inflows up 72% and execution up 25% YoY

Prospects spike led by GCC Capex and entry into semiconductors

Weak link in 2Q was its E&C margin, down 78bps

*InCred on L&T*

Add Call

Target Raised To Rs 3,300

Q2 EBITDA At Rs 5,630 Cr Up 15% YoY, 9% Above Est

Profit Was At Rs 3,220 Cr, Up 45% YoY, Beating Est

Management Gave Guidance Of A Strong Order Pipeline Of Approx Rs 8.8 Lk Cr

Order Pipeline Up 39% YoY, Mainly Led By A Sharp Improvement In The Hydrocarbons Biz.

Buy on dips and add to your portfolio.

Scrip had a YH of 3114 and YL of 1970

Technically scrip is trading above 20, 50, 100 and 200 DMA

Date 02 June 2023

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Reliance Pre Merger - Buy

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Wed, 19 Jul 2023 05:42:00 +0000

@SmartInvestor #SmartInvestor #Investing #RelianceIndustries, #RIL #Reliance

Today is the last day of trading for Reliance pre-merged entity.

A spectacular rally has taken it up 11% in the last 1 month and 14% in 6 months and 16% in last 12 months.

Buy on dips today to get Shares of Jio Financial soon to be listed after de-merger

Prakash Pipes Limited - Slow mover

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 17:06:00 +0000

Prakash Pipes is in the business of manufacturing PVC Pipes and Fittings since 1981. Over the years, Prakash has emerged as a trusted brand for PVC Pipes and Fittings in the market, owing to our utmost focus on quality. We manufacture a wide range of products such as Agri Pipes, Column Pipes, Plumbing Pipes, Casing Pipes, SWR Pipes, Garden Pipes and their related Fittings. Our products find application in irrigation, drainage, housing, and sanitation.

The company has ventured into flexible packaging with state-of-the-art plant conforming to ISO 22000:2005, ISO 9001:2015, and BRC standards. We manufacture high performance barrier films and laminates that find application in packaging of food , beverages, oil, personal care and pharmaceutical products .

Considering the Industry trends and to further strengthen its PVC and plastic division, Prakash Pipes have forayed into Flexible Packaging to provide complete packaging solutions to its customers.

A Flexible Packaging Unit has been commissioned at Kashipur, Uttarakhand for manufacturing laminates and pouches used for packaging consumer products like snacks, soaps, shampoos, etc. Our Packaging team works actively to evolve cost-effective and quality packaging solutions.

Prakash Pipes is committed towards constant innovations in irrigation, sewerage, and plumbing technologies. Innovations that meet the nation’s constantly increasing water demands.

From Agri pipes to Sanitation pipes, each and every product manufactured at Prakash Pipes undergo a quality control test so as to ensure that it conforms to both international as well as Indian standards.

Company plants are at Kashipur, Uttarakhand, is spread across 60 acres of land area, with more than 50% area being utilized for forestation and plantation.

https://prakashplastics.in/

Current Market Price - Rs.180

Year High - 199

Year Low - 134

Returns -

1 month - up 7%

6 months - 10%

1 year - 6%

Date 6 July 2023

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3i Infotech - Challenging times

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 16:42:00 +0000

3i Infotech – Ready to Reinvent Cloud and Digital Solutions

Poised at the cusp of a new digital era, the all-new 3i Infotech has transformed itself. In keeping with the needs and challenges of the times, we have enhanced and made relevant our portfolio of offerings to propel our customers forward in a brave new world of variables.

It’s all about seamless workspaces, continuous connectivity, a global workforce working from anywhere, and zero-trust solutions to safeguard data integrity and privacy. Ready today for tomorrow and beyond, 3i Infotech is emerging as a leader in its chosen niche – with its solutions for enterprises of all sizes seeking digital transformation and Cloud-based solutions.

Leaders in Global IT Infrastructure Services

The service offerings at 3i Infotech exemplify a fine amalgamation of our deep domain knowledge, varied industry expertise, and extensive implementation experience.

As a global provider of IT Infrastructure services with proven global delivery capabilities, 3i Infotech has forged strategic alliances with large OEMs.

Powered by cutting-edge technology solutions, 20+ IP-based software products, solution accelerators, tried tested methodologies, and a vast talent pool of technology experts, our services are driving business transformation for 1,000+ customers across 50 countries.

Our IT services and support enables you to save on your business funds and focus on your core business by freeing up more of your time, improving the efficiency of operations, and bringing in a new perspective to manage your IT infrastructure with innovative and problem-solving capabilities.

https://www.3i-infotech.com/

Current Market Price - Rs.34

Year High - 54

Year Low - 26

Returns -

1 month - up 3%

6 months - minus 18%

1 year - minus 17%

Small cap IT company. Avoid unless there is turnaround in business scenario for IT sector.

Date 6 July 2023

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Bharat Dynamics Limited - Great Potential

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 13:55:00 +0000

BDL has been working in collaboration with DRDO & foreign Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) for manufacture and supply of various missiles and allied equipment to Indian Armed Forces.

2. The lead taken by the Nation to develop indigenous, sophisticated and contemporary missiles through the Integrated Guided Missile Development Programme (IGMDP), gave BDL an opportunity to be closely involved in the programme, wherein it was identified as the Prime Production Agency. This opened up a plethora of opportunities to assimilate advanced manufacturing and programme management technologies and skills.

3. Today, BDL has evolved as one among the few industries in the world having state-of-the-art facilities for manufacture and supply of Guided Missiles, Underwater Weapons, Air- borne products and allied defence equipment for the Indian Armed Forces. The Company also offers Product Life Cycle Support and Refurbishment / Life Extension of vintage Missiles.

4. BDL has graduated from being a missile manufacturer to a Weapon System Integrator and has emerged as a complete solution provider for the Indian Armed Forces.

5. BDL has four manufacturing units, out of which three are located in Telangana State (Hyderabad, Bhanur and Ibrahimpatnam) and one Andhra Pradesh (Visakhapatnam). As a part of its expansion plan, BDL is setting up one unit at Amravati in Maharashtra to cater to the growing demands of the Armed Forces.

6. BDL, with the support of DRDO, has been manufacturing various types of indigenously designed and developed missiles and underwater weapons. One such product being produced by BDL is the Akash Weapon System, a Surface-to-Air indigenous Missile, involving of a large number of supply chain partners from the industry. Similarly, The Heavy Weight Torpedo and Light Weight Torpedo developed by NSTL, DRDO, are being manufactured by BDL at its Visakhapatnam Unit with active participation from the industry. The Light Weight Torpedo is also being exported.

7. BDL is now set to produce the world class ‘Beyond Visual Range’ Astra Weapon System for the Indian Armed Forces. The weapon system has been developed by DRDO.

8. The announcements made by Government of India on ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’’ cover a wide range of opportunities for the Indian industry paving way for a self-reliant India in the coming years. To take forward the ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ initiative of the Government, BDL has taken up several measures such as creation of Seeker Facility Centre and Warheads production facility at BDL, launch of indigenously designed and developed equipment by BDL namely, Konkurs Launcher Test Equipment and Konkurs Missile Test Equipment, setting up of new facilities like Surface – Mount Technology, ‘High Performance Computing facility’ at BDL premises, issue of ‘Expression of Interest’ for the items to be indigenized. These measures will not only contribute towards the realization of ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’, but also result in substantial saving of foreign Exchange for the Nation.

9. Among the various policies announced by the Government in Defence sector, the creation of negative list of imports will also develop the defence manufacturing sector. In this direction, BDL has successfully achieved significant levels of indigenization for the "all-time import items" of the weapon systems being currently supplied to the Indian Army. BDL is also offering various items for indigenization of various missiles to the industry including MSMEs.

10. The Company is also extending its technical support to its vendors including providing test facilities available with BDL. The procedures have been streamlined to encourage active participation of ‘start ups’. BDL is also working with DRDO for Transfer of Technology for products like Infra-Red Flares, which are a part of Counter Measures Dispensing System to be manufactured and offer to Indian Armed Forces as a ‘comprehensive counter measure solution’. These items are currently under import category.

https://bdl-india.in/

Current Market Price - Rs.1117

Year High - 1247

Year Low - 665

Returns -

1 month - minus 3%

6 months - 19%

1 year - 61%

Company is performing well and is likely to grow further from the current levels. Buy on dips

Date 6 July 2023

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SIS Limited - Better business visibility

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 13:44:00 +0000

SIS Security Solutions India

No one covers the Nation like us

SIS Group Enterprises is an essential solutions market leader, offering a gamut of comprehensive technology-enabled security solutions across multi-segments – pan India.

With a presence in Asia-Pacific and over 4 decades of industry know-how, the company delivers world-class service quality and compliance assurance across 630 districts in India. Through its innovative and proprietary applications, SIS Security delivers world-class security solutions across 33,128 sites.

The group provides security personnel for specialized guarding, technology-enabled Security Solutions, e-surveillance, system integration, alarm monitoring and response services to a wide range of customers across the private and public sector undertakings across the country.

SIS Group Enterprises provides technology-enabled solutions, that provide our customers with better visibility, real-time accountability, more control and ultimate transparency.

Through our strong network of trusted OEMs and world-class technology partners and JVs, we have successfully installed various Tech solutions across 4240 sites, across 1100+ customers in India. Our interoperable AI-enabled video and IoT-enabled access providers help to build more custom solutions to our customer’s needs.

The keyless door entry access and AI-enabled visitor management platform work in a SaaS environment to deliver best-in-class tech solutions.

Our biometric authentications, from fingerprint scanners and palm thermo-sensors to facial and iris recognition, have bolstered technology adoption while optimizing cost and bringing greater efficiency to our customers.

Be it contractual staff management at manufacturing plants or vehicle pass management in large warehouses, inventory, or fire audits, our digital solutions have been designed to bring greater efficiency to the security of the premises.

With our state-of-art drones, we can cut back on human involvement in often-dangerous situations, while bolstering safety at the same time. Our security experts even provide retrofitting existing systems and upgrades of old systems as well, thereby covering all challenges of security needs.

https://sisindia.com/

Current Market Price - Rs.423

Year High - 480

Year Low - 318

Returns -

1 month - 5%

6 months - 11%

1 year - minus 6%

Company is performing well and is likely to grow further from the current levels. Buy on dips

Date 6 July 2023

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BCL Industries - steady growth

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 12:29:00 +0000

Oil Seed Crushing Unit

We are one of the leading vertically integrated plants in the country with the capacity of processing 1000 metric tonnes per day.

Solvent Extraction Plant

The only company in India and the South Asian region that has a forward and backward integrated distillery ethanol plant.

Edible Oil refinery for Refined Oil

Open your doors to a world that mirrors life as it is supposed to be, where you can relax to the music of the wind and sleep deep…

Physical Refinery to process CPO

An unprecedented revolution is sweeping across the globe for publishing through information technology, telecommunication…

Physical Refinery to process RB OIL

An unprecedented revolution is sweeping across the globe for publishing through information technology, telecommunication…

Rice Sheller

We are one of the leading vertically integrated plants in the country with the capacity of processing 1000 metric tonnes per day.

Distillery-Ethanol Industry

The only company in India and the South Asian region that has a forward and backward integrated distillery ethanol plant.

https://www.bcl.ind.in/

Current Market Price - Rs.508

Year High - 534

Year Low - 278

Returns -

1 month - 6%

6 months -36%

1 year - 33%

Company is performing well and is likely to grow further from the current levels. Buy on dips

Date 6 July 2023

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Lemon Tree Hotels - Bright future

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 11:15:00 +0000

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited is India’s largest hotel chain in the mid-priced hotel sector, and the third largest overall, on the basis of controlling interest in owned and leased rooms, as of June 30, 2017, according to the Horwath Report. We operate in the upscale segment and in the mid-market sector, consisting of the upper-midscale, midscale and economy segments. We deliver differentiated yet superior service offerings, with a value-for-money proposition.

LTHL opened its first hotel with 49 rooms in May 2004 and currently operates ~8,550 rooms in 91 hotels across 57 destinations, in India and abroad, under its various brands viz. Aurika Hotels & Resorts, Lemon Tree Premier, Lemon Tree Hotels, Red Fox Hotels, Keys Prima, Keys Select and Keys Lite. As the current pipeline becomes operational, LTHL will be operating ~10,450 rooms in 106 hotels across 64 destinations, in India and abroad.

Lemon Tree Hotels, including Keys Hotels, are located across India, in metro regions including the NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Hyderabad and Chennai, as well as numerous other tier I and II cities such as Pune, Ahmedabad, Chandigarh, Jaipur, Indore, Aurangabad, Udaipur, Vishakhapatnam, Kochi, Ludhiana, Thiruvananthapuram and Vijayawada. The company expanded internationally with hotels opening in Dubai in December 2019 and in Bhutan in February 2020. New hotels are also set to open internationally in Bhutan and Nepal.

To know more, visit lemontreehotels.com

1. Aurika Hotels & Resorts

Aurika Hotels & Resorts is the upscale brand of Lemon Tree Hotels. The brand curates extraordinary experiences in a stunning ambience. Aurika hotels are stylishly elegant yet comfortably informal, allowing you to be just as relaxed as you wish. With an emphasis on design, Aurika hotels are a reflection of the soul of the destination where they are located, and each has its own personality. These hotels feature new-age dining and innovative entertainment options, complemented by invigorating fitness and wellness facilities, that add a sparkle to your stay. The smart, attentive team enhances your experience with efficient service, while still respecting your privacy. The essence of the brand is reflected in ‘beyond the unusual’. Inspiring spaces, flawless delivery and cutting edge technological solutions ensure that you can work, play and relax effortlessly.

2. Lemon Tree Premier

The plush and spacious interiors at Lemon Tree Premier take the zing up a notch. This chain of upper midscale business and leisure hotels elevates the Lemon Tree experience while retaining the same freshness, quirkiness and energy that Lemon Tree is well known for.

Lemon Tree Premier pampers the style conscious and upbeat traveller with its personalized services, premium in-room amenities, award winning restaurants and fun experiences.

3. Lemon Tree Hotels

Lemon Tree Hotels are midscale business and leisure hotels that uplift your spirits at the end of a long day. Like the fruit they are named after, Lemon Tree Hotels are fresh, cool and sparkling with zest.

Cheery greetings, a friendly smile and a whiff of the signature lemon fragrance welcome you at Lemon Tree. This stylish business hotel with fresh and bright interiors refreshes you with its witty humor and spirited environment.

Lemon Tree’s ‘close to home’ comfort helps you unwind with its smart in-room amenities, vibrant café, recreation bar, pool and fitness center. All this, at an unbeatable value.

These two brands offer:

An exciting range of dining options:

• Citrus Café (all hotels) the bright and inviting 24x7 (most hotels) coffee shop offers an eclectic Indian and international menu.

• Slounge (select hotels) the recreation bar, offers a fun memorable way to chill and have a spirited night out.

• Republic of Noodles (select hotels) the award winning pan Asian restaurant offers the best of popular food from Thailand, Vietnam, Singapore, Cambodia, Indonesia and Myanmar.

• Kebab Theater (select hotels) brings you traditional mouth watering kebab delicacies from provincial cuisine across India.

• A fitness center (Life Fitness equipped), a refreshing swimming pool (where available) and a rejuvenating spa-Fresco (where available) promise to keep you feeling as freshas-a-lemon.

• A well equipped business center and meeting rooms make business on the move more productive.

4. Red Fox Hotels

Red Fox Hotels welcome you with its fresh bold interiors as well as crisp and clean rooms. These economy hotels delight you with its unbeatable value and reliable safety standards. Here friendly smiles and a lively environment go hand in hand with professional service.

The business facilities at Red Fox Hotels include hi-speed WiFi, Cyber Kiosk, Clever Fox Café, an efficient meeting room, a well-equipped gym and laundry service.

Hotels that are young at heart, Red Fox lets you be yourself whether you are working on your laptop or winning a game of carom in the lounge. Add to this, Clever Fox Café’s scrumptious food and the hotels' ‘close to home’ environment - these hotels become the first choice for price conscious travelers.

5. Keys Prima

This premium brand, offers stylish features and excellent service. These hotels feature a spa, salon, swimming pool and an array of cuisines.

6. Keys Select

This popular brand offers comfort and convenience, for both business and leisure travelers. The promise includes a warm welcome, efficient service, impeccable hygiene, delectable food and a good night’s sleep.

7. Keys Lite

This budget brand is targeted at smart consumers who look for affordable and stress free accommodation when they travel. These hotels offer hygienic rooms, multiple amenities, a selection of delicious food, safety and security for the price conscious traveler.

Current Market Price - Rs.93

Year High - 103

Year Low - 63

Returns -

1 month - 1%

6 months - 17%

12 months - 43%

Hotel indusry is doing good and investors can accumulate around 90 levels for a target of Rs.120 for a holding period of 4-6 months.

Date 6 July 2023

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Oriental Aromatics - Falling interest

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 07:41:00 +0000

A splash of after shave, a dab of your favourite scent, a spritz of body mist can bring a smile to your face, uplift you, and make you feel ready to take on the world!

The art of perfume dates back as far as 3300 BC during the Indus Valley Civilization. Our Indian roots hold us in good stead. Fragrance is in our DNA and we have a range of fragrance molecules in our portfolio. A whiff of perfume can literally define the way you see a person.

It awakens a sixth sense, a primal response that triggers awareness. From sandalwood to musk, lime to patchouli, oud to rose. We are a leading supplier of fine fragrance and perfume raw materials.

One of fragrance’s oldest uses in the world is to mask body malodours. In the courts of Arabia and France, they used a different fragrance each day. Today, we don’t think twice about reaching for our favourite scented shampoo, soap, deodorant, cologne or talcum powder to feel more hygienic and energetic. We manufacture a range of soap perfume and personal hygiene fragrances.

From removing the sweaty smell from your clothes, to camouflaging the chemical smell of an insect repellent, the masking property of fragrance in home care is endless. Whether it’s a scented candle, a shoe polish, upholstery cleaner, fabric softener, laundry detergent, or air freshener, there’s no limit to how fragrance can enhance your surroundings.

We are a leading manufacturer of candle fragrances, functional fragrances and detergent perfumes. Masking sanitation malodours is another vertical where fragrance can create a dramatic positive impact with far reaching effects.

O-CAPS

Micro-encapsulation is one of the key techniques we deploy to exude the perfect fragrance.

https://www.orientalaromatics.com/

Current Market Price - Rs.334

Year High - 624

Year Low - 295

Returns -

1 month - 1%

6 months - minus 20%

12 months - minus 39%

Scrip has been losing during the last 1 year and is an underperformer. In the short term avoid.

Date 6 July 2023

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Nykaa - long way to prosperity

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 07:17:00 +0000

The Nykaa Story

India’s largest omnichannel beauty destination

Since our launch, we have not only redefined the art of e-retailing beauty and personal care in India, but also have been instrumental in fostering the growth of a previously relatively nascent ecosystem.

From bringing you domestic brands, international brands, luxury and prestige brands, premium brands, niche and cult brands and expert advice and videos, coupled with our understanding of the needs and preferences of the consumers,to more than 72 Luxe and On-Trend and Kiosk Stores, an ever growing online community for beauty buffs, and a Beauty Helpline, we go out of our way to give you only the very best.

With 2400+, 100% authentic brands Nykaa offers a well curated comprehensive selection of makeup, skincare, haircare, bath and body, fragrance, grooming appliances, personal care, and health and wellness categories.

Derived from the Sanskrit word ‘Nayaka’ meaning actress or one in the spotlight, Nykaa is all about celebrating the star in each woman, and being her confidante and companion as she embarks on her own journey to discover her unique identity and personal style.

From the widest selection of genuine beauty products from around the world to beauty advice, Nykaa is truly passionate about catering to your every beauty and wellness need. Because after all, Your Beauty is Our Passion.

https://www.nykaa.com/

Current Market Price - Rs.143

Year High - 663

Year Low - 114

Returns -

1 month - 6%

6 months - minus 6%

Trading absolutely flat. Await Q1 results for any indicator of green shoots. In the short term avoid.

Date 5 July 2023

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West Coast Paper Mills Ltd - declining

noreply@blogger.com (SmartInvestor) — Thu, 06 Jul 2023 02:22:00 +0000

Overview

WCPM product-line features well-established brands of commercial to premium grades of paper and boards ranging from 52 to 600 GSM, catered to across six different product segment namely; Writing, Printing, Business stationery, specialty, industrial and packaging...

Premium Printing Papers

WCPM offers WESCO brand premium printing papers to suit high-end printing applications. Paper made on new generation former that features a combination of Fourdrinier wire section with a top former that facilitate

Business Stationary

WCPM present the finest Range of premium office papers of international standards, tailor-made to suit all kinds of high-end office printers. The feature-rich branded range comes in a right blend of surface

Printing & Writing Papers

WCPM presents a range of quality printing & writing papers from 52 to 120 gsm that suits to the entire needs of modern print-houses who demand high quality papers for commercial to premium printing of at reasonable price.

Security & HI-Value Grades Paper

The company enjoys the distinction of being a strong player in some of the value added, customized and niche product segments for high-end applications.

Cup Stock & Coated Duplex Board

WCPM presents a wide range of boards to the packaging industry viz; single and double coated Boards with Grey-Back, white-Back and kraft-Back options, offered in 230 to 600 GSM.

MG Varieties

WCPM presents a range of high quality machine-glazed paper and boards offered in grammage ranging from 80 to 250 GSM , that enjoy a special position in the market.

https://www.westcoastpaper.com/

Current Market Price - Rs.471

Year High - 663

Year Low - 332

Returns -

1 month - minus 9%

6 months - minus 13%

1 year - 40%

Date 5 July 2023

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