BLOnG

Super Bowl LIII Pick

2019-02-03T08:50:00.001-05:00

For some reason this Super Bowl just doesn't have the same intrigue as it did last year. Wonder if that has something to do with the lack of a certain bird...

Anyway, Super Bowl LIII will be played between the New England Patriots (again) and the Los Angeles Rams, in Atlanta. Should be a good game, hopefully a back and forth battle that provides a few hours of entertainment. Let's cut the crap, here's the pick:

Super Bowl LIII
New England Patriots over Los Angeles Rams, 28-25 (NE -2.5)

pick as of 2/3, 8:45am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]
Week 17: 13-3 [10-6]

Season: 168-87-2 (65.9%) [118-128-11 (48%)]

Wild Card: 2-2 [2-1-1]

Divisional: 4-0 [3-1]

Conference: 1-1 [1-1]

Playoffs: 7-3 (70%) [6-3-1 (66.6%)]

2018 NFL Picks for Conference Championships

2019-01-20T02:55:00.000-05:00

I was perfect picking straight up for the Divisional Round, and a couple points away from going 4-0 ATS. Still, 3-1 isn't too bad, as I am now 5-1-1 in the playoffs. Straight up I am 6-2 with 3 games left to pick. For playoff upsets I am 2-1 straight up and 3-1-1 ATS.

Dallas was unable to cover the 7 point spread against LAR for my only blemish last week.

On to the picks to decide who will play in Super Bowl LIII:

Sunday
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints (LAR +3) [3:05pm]
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -3) [6:40pm]

Picks as of 1/20, 2:45am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]
Week 17: 13-3 [10-6]
Season: 168-87-2 (65.9%) [118-128-11 (48%)]
Wild Card: 2-2 [2-1-1]
Divisional: 4-0 [3-1]
Playoffs: 6-2 (75%) [5-2-1 (71.4%)]

2018 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

2019-01-12T16:27:00.000-05:00

As is usually the case each year, I did OK picking the first round of the playoffs. I was 2-2 straight up, and 2-1-1 ATS as the Seattle/Dallas game was a push. I would have been better off picking all upsets, as all but the Seahawks ended the game victorious. At the end of the day Indianapolis, Dallas, the LA Chargers, and the E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES move on to the divisional round.

I plan to have a regular season recap soon, but I nearly reached my goal of 2 of 3 straight up while falling short of my 50% goal ATS.

Let's see what's in store for the Divisional Round:

Saturday
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -4.5) [4:35pm]
Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams (DAL +7) [8:15pm]
Sunday
Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (NE -4) [1:05pm]
Philadelphia Eagles at New Orleans Saints (PHI +8) [4:40pm]

picks as of 1/12, 4:20pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]
Week 17: 13-3 [10-6]
Season: 168-87-2 (65.9%) [118-128-11 (48%)]

Wild Card: 2-2 [2-1-1]
Playoffs: 2-2 (50%) [2-1-1 (66.7%)]

2018 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

2019-01-05T13:12:00.001-05:00

I’ll have my usual recap later, but for now here are my picks for Wild Card Weekend:

Saturday
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (HOU -1.5) [4:35pm]
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys (SEA +2) [8:15pm]
Sunday
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (LAC +3) [1:05pm]
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears (PHI + 6.5) [4:40pm]

Picks as of 1/5, 1pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]
Week 17: 13-3 [10-6]
Season: 168-87-2 (65.9%) [118-128-11 (48%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 17

2018-12-30T12:50:00.000-05:00

Another forgettable week picking ATS, as I finished 4-10-2. I did finish 10-6 straight up for the second consecutive week, at least. I would need to finish 15-1 both straight up and ATS to reach my goal of 66%/50% respectively. Indy barely pulled it out over NYG for my PotW, and I improve to 11-3 this year thanks to 2 missed weeks. Upsets were 0-1 straight up (18-6 overall), and 3-3 ATS (40-31 overall).

4 of my incorrect picks in both formats were upsets, and of course the one game I picked as an upset in both formats was wrong. Too bad for me, on to Week 17 with all the games that matter being played after 4:25pm:

Sunday, 1pm

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (NYG -7)

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (CAR +8)

New York Jets at New England Patriots (NYJ +14)

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (GB -7.5)

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (HOU -7)

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (ATL -2.5)

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (BUF -5)

Sunday, 4:25pm

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (OAK +14)

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (PHI -6)

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (BAL -7)

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (CIN +14)

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (CHI +6)

Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos (LAC -6.5)

Arizona Cardinals at *Seattle Seahawks* (SEA -14)

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (LAR -10.5)

Sunday, 8:20pm

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (IND -4.5)

Picks as of 12/30, 12:45pm

*Pick of the Week*

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Week 16: 10-6 [4-10-2]
Season: 155-84-2 (64.85%) [108-122-11 (47%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 16

2018-12-22T00:54:00.001-05:00

Forgettable Week 15, so I won't dwell on it. I went a respectful 10-6 straight up, but an abysmal 4-11-1 ATS. Upsets I was 1-1/1-3; now 18-5/37-28 on the season. The Rams (thankfully) lost as my PotW to drop me to 10-3 this year.

Recap of my losses? No thanks, on to Week 16:

Saturday, 12/22
Washington Redskins at Tennessee Titans (WAS +11.5)*
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -4)
Sunday, 1pm
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -7)
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (BUF +13.5)
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers (ATL -3)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins (MIA -3.5)
New York Giants at *Indianapolis Colts* (IND -10)
Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -2.5)
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (DET +6)
Green Bay Packers at New York Jets (NYJ +3)
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (CLE -10)
Sunday, 4pm
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +14)
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (CHI -5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints (PIT +6.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks (KC -1.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (DEN -3)

*picks as of 12/22, 10:30pm

*Pick of the Week*

Previous Results

Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]

Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Week 13: 11-5 [8-8]
Week 14: 8-8 [7-9]
Week 15: 10-6 [4-11-1]
Season: 145-78-2 (65%) [104-112-9 (48.1%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 15

2018-12-13T19:59:00.002-05:00

Week 14 was very disappointing, as I picked very average. I finished 8-8 straight up and 7-9 ATS, which dipped me to a game under .500 ATS. My only 2 straight upset picks were incorrect, as I fall to 17-14 for the season. I faired better picking upsets ATS, going 2-3 to bring my total to 36-25 on the year. I forgot to pick a Pick of the Week again, so I remain at 10-2 (though I likely would have picked the Chargers).

There were 7 games in which I incorrectly picked both straight up and ATS. 5 of those were upsets, and of course the 2 upsets I picked were not among them (PHI, WAS). Buffalo was unable to win as home favorites over the New York Jets, NE was upset again in MIA, the 49ers held off the Broncos at home, Oakland prevailed over Pittsburgh, and the Chicago Bears completely shut down the Los Angeles Rams.

On to Week 15, with 2 Saturday games on the slate:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -3.5)
Saturday, 12/15
Houston Texans at New York Jets (HOU -7) [4:30pm]
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (DEN -1.5) [8:20pm]
Sunday, 1pm
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings (MIA +7.5)
Oakland Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (OAK +3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens (BAL -8.5)*
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts (IND -3)*
Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills (BUF -2.5)
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (GB +5.5)*
Tennessee Titans at New York Giants (TEN -1.5)*
Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars (JAC -7.5)*
Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -9.5)*
Sunday, 4pm
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (SEA -3)*
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT +2.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Philadelphia Eagles at *Los Angeles Rams* (LAR -13)*
Monday, 8:15pm
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (NO -6)

*updated picks as of 12/16, 12:25pm

*Pick of the Week*

Previous Results

Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]

2018 NFL Picks Week 14

2018-12-06T20:20:00.000-05:00

Week 13 was so-so, as I finished 10-6 straight up and 8-8 ATS. There were 6 upsets out of the 16 games, but at least my 2 picks were correct. I improve to 17-12 straight up in upsets, and 34-22-2 ATS after going 3-2. Seattle easily won as my Pick of the Week, as I reach 10-2 on the year.

Biggest shocker of the week was New Orleans losing at home to Dallas, followed by Green Bay losing to Arizona at home. The Bears couldn't beat the Giants as road favorites, but the Rams could at the Lions despite not covering the 10 point spread. Speaking of 10 point spreads, the Jets were able to cover at the Titans, and Seattle covered against the 49ers.

On to Week 14!

Thursday, 8:20pm
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (TEN -5.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -6.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (IND +4.5)
Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns (pick)
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (GB -4.5)
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB +10)
New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (BUF -4)
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (NE -7.5)
New York Giants at Washington Redskins (WAS +3)
Sunday, 4pm
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers (DEN -3.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers (CIN +15)
Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals (DET -3)
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (PHI +3)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Oakland Raiders (PIT -10)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears (LAR -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (SEA -3)

*Pick of the Week*

picks as of 12/7, 12am

Previous Results

Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]

2018 NFL Picks Week 13

2018-11-29T00:58:00.001-05:00

Well week 12 was my best week of picks since Weeks 8/9 where I averaged 11 wins straight up and 9 ATS. I went 13-2 and 12-3 ATS, and I am now picking better than 2 of 3 straight up and slightly over .500 ATS.

I was very good with my upset picks, going 2-0 and 4-1. For the season I am 15-12 straight up and 31-20-2 ATS. Baltimore won easily against Oakland as my pick of the week, bringing my record to 9-2. On to Week 13, with a full slate of 16 games:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints (NO -7.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (IND -4)
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CAR -3)
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (BAL +2.5)
Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (HOU -5.5)
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (MIA -3.5)
Chicago Bears at New York Giants (CHI -3.5)
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals (DEN -4.5)
Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions (DET +10)
Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers (GB -13.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (KC -14)
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans (NYJ +10)
Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots (NE -5)
San Francisco 49ers at *Seattle Seahawks* (SEA-10)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (LAC +3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (WAS +6)

*Pick of the Week*

Picks as of 12/2, 2:30am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Week 12: 13-2 [12-3]
Season: 116-59-2 (66.3%) [85-84-8 (50.3%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 12

2018-11-22T11:59:00.000-05:00

Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 11 wasn't too bad straight up (8-5), but was terrible ATS (3-8-2). I got to 100 correct picks straight up for the year, and at this rate I'll be lucky to reach that milestone ATS. My goal remains 70% straight up, and I'll settle for 50% ATS as long as my upset picks are good.

Speaking of upsets, I was 1-2 straight and 1-1-2 ATS, bringing my season totals to 13-12 and 27-19-2. New Orleans won as my PotW and then some, bringing my season record to 8-2 since I forgot to pick one Week 10.

Green Bay neglected to go for it on 4th down and thus lost as one of my upset picks at Seattle, but they did push against the 3 point spread. Detroit prevailed as a home upset over Carolina (+4.5), but TB couldn't come back for the road upset over NYG (but pushed against the 3 point spread). LA lost as heavy home favorites to DEN, and Chicago had no problem winning big as light home favorites. The Rams survived a shootout with the Chiefs, but were unable to cover the 3.5 point spread.

On to Week 12, the last of the bye weeks:

Thanksgiving Day
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (CHI -3) [12:30pm]
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -7) [4:30pm]
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (ATL +12.5) [8:20pm]
Sunday, 1pm
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (JAC -3)
Oakland Raiders at *Baltimore Ravens* (BAL -10.5)
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB -3)
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (NYG +6)
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3)
New England Patriots at New York Jets (NE -10)
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (SEA +3.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -13)
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (MIA +7.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (DEN +3)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (MIN -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (HOU -6.5)

Byes: Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams

*Pick of the Week*

Picks as of 11/22, 12pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Week 11: 8-5 [3-8-2]
Season: 103-57-2 (64.4%) [73-81-8 (47.4%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 11

2018-11-15T20:28:00.000-05:00

Week 10 was pretty average for me, as I finished 9-5 straight up and 6-7-1 ATS. My overall win % barely moved as a result, as I guess that's better than dropping significantly.

Looking back it appears I forgot to make a Pick of the Week, so I'll just skip it even though I think I would have picked Green Bay. I'll remain at 7-2 for POTW. Washington beat Tampa Bay for my only upset pick straight up (now 12-10), and I was 2-1 in upsets ATS (now 26-18).

Games of note: Buffalo remains a hard team to pick, as they dominated NYJ on the road. Atlanta proved they shouldn't have been heavy road favorites, and TEN proved the same to NE. KC couldn't cover the ridiculous 16.5 point spread against ARI, and the fucking Eagles sucked it up against Dallass.

On to Week 11:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks (GB +3)
Sunday, 1pm
Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (DET +4.5)
Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -3)
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (BAL -5.5)
Tennessee Titans and Indianapolis Colts (IND -1.5)
Houston Texans at Washington Redskins (HOU -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Giants (TB +3)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars (PIT -5.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -7)
Oakland Raiders at Arizona Cardinals (ARI -5.5)
Philadelphia Eagles at *New Orleans Saints* (PHI +7.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (CHI -2.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams (LAR -3.5)

Byes: Buffalo Bills, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots, New York Jets, San Francisco 49ers

*Pick of the Week*

Picks as of 11/18, 12am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Week 10: 9-5 [6-7-1]
Season: 95-52-2 (64.6%) [70-73-1 (49%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 10

2018-11-08T20:15:00.003-05:00

I had a lengthier recap typed up by it didn't save and I really don't feel like redoing it. I did great in both straight up and ATS for the second consecutive week though, going 10-3 and 9-4 respectively.

Chicago dominated Buffalo as my PotW to get me to 7-2, while I was 3-0 in straight upsets and 3-1 ATS. I'm now 11-10 straight up and 24-17 ATS.

I had PIT/BAL, ATL/WAS, and TEN/DAL wrong for both picks, and my only other blemish was picking TB to cover the 6.5 point spread at CAR.

Thursday, 8:20pm
Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT -3.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (NYJ -7.5)
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns (ATL -6)
New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals (NO -5)
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (WAS +3)
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans (NE -6.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (IND -3)
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (DET +7)
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -16.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders (LAC -10)
Miami Dolphins at *Green Bay Packers* (GB -10)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (SEA +9.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -7)
Monday, 8:15pm
New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (SF -3.5)

Byes: Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Minnesota Vikings

*Pick of the Week*

Picks as of 11/10, 11:30pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Week 9: 10-3 [9-4]
Season: 86-47-2 (64.7%) [64-66-4 (49.2%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 9

2018-11-01T20:08:00.000-04:00

Week 8 was definitely my best week of picks all year, as I finished 12-2 straight up and 9-5 ATS. KC won as my PotW to get me to a respectable 6-2. I also fared well in upsets, going 2-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS. I'm still only 8-10 straight up, but 21-16 ATS.

Cleveland was unable to cover the 8 point spread at Pittsburgh, KC won but couldn't cover 9.5 against Denver, Detroit lost as a home favorite to Seattle, and MIN was unable to win at home against NO in a pick. On to Week 9 where I hope to continue my winning ways, though I'm not feeling too confident in most of these games:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Oakland Raiders at San Francisco 49ers (SF +1.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (MIN -5)
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns (KC -7.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (BAL -2.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (TB +6.5)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (MIA -2.5)
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins (WAS -2)
*Chicago Bears* at Buffalo Bills (CHI -10.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos (HOU +1)
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (LAC -0.5)
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints (NO +2)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (NE -5.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -4)

Byes: Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles

Picks as of 11/3, 11pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Week 8: 12-2 [9-5]
Season: 76-44-2 (63.3%) [55-62-4 (47%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 8

2018-10-25T19:39:00.000-04:00

I'll keep the recap quick this time, as I had another good week picking straight up (10-4) but another so-so week ATS (6-8). Atlanta won as my PotW (but couldn't cover the spread) to improve me to 5-2. I was 2-2 in straight upsets (now 6-10) and 2-3 ATS (18-15).

I was way off in the DEN/ARI game as it was never close. MIA couldn't pull off the home upset against DET, Philly and Jacksonville still suck, INDY won and covered the 7 point spread, and the Saints upset the Ravens. Week 8, here we come:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans (HOU -7.5)
Sunday, 9:30am (London)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (PHI -3.5)*
Sunday, 1pm
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (CLE +8)
Denver Broncos at *Kansas City Chiefs* (KC -9.5)*
New York Jets at Chicago Bears (CHI -8)*
Washington Redskins at New York Giants (WAS -1)*
Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (DET -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -3.5)*
Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers (CAR +2.5)*
Sunday, 4pm
Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (IND -3)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +1.5)*
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams (GB +9)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings (pick)*
Monday, 8:15pm
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (NE -14)

Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee Titans

Picks as of 10/25 7:15pm
*Updated 10/27 11:15pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Week 7: 10-4 [6-8]
Season: 64-42-2 (60.4%) [46-57-4 (44.7%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 7

2018-10-18T08:31:00.000-04:00

I had my best week since week 1 picking straight up (10-5) but still can't figure out picking ATS just yet (7-7-1). I now see why most "experts" don't pick every game each week; it's just too hard to predict. That being said, I've done fairly well if you take out Weeks 3 and 4.

Houston outlasted Buffalo as my Pick of the Week (now 4-2) but couldn't cover the 10 point spread. For upsets I was 1-1 straight up and 3-1 ATS; I'm now 4-8 and 16-12 respectively.

The LA Chargers won in an upset pick at Cleveland, Minnesota beat Arizona but the game was a push ATS, JAX got destroyed at DAL, the Titans are terrible, and KC lost at NE but covered the 3.5 point spread. On to Week 7:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals (ARI +1.5) - I was way off
Sunday, 9:30am (London)
Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -6.5)
Sunday, 1pm
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears (NE -2)
Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB -3.5)
Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins (MIA +3)
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -5)
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts (IND -7)
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets (MIN -3.5)
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX -4)
Sunday, 4pm
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens (NO +3)
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (WAS +1.5)
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (SF +9)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -6)
Monday, 8:15pm
New York Giants at *Atlanta Falcons* (ATL -4)

Byes: Green Bay Packers, Oakland Raiders, Pittsburgh Steelers, Seattle Seahawks

Picks as of 10/21, 1:15am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Week 6: 10-5 [7-7-1]
Season: 54-38-2 (58.7%) [40-49-4 (44.9%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 6

2018-10-11T20:11:00.000-04:00

Week 6 was another mixed bag of picks, as I finished 8-8 straight up and ATS. Even a third into the season I feel some teams still don't know who they are. Baltimore, Buffalo, Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Green Bay, Philly, Houston, etc. all have been up and down and hard to predict. At this point anything close to 50% is decent.

New England won easily as my PotW to improve my record to 3-2. I lost by upsets straight up (now 3-7), but was 3-2 ATS (now13-11).

Cleveland won again in a touchdown-less game against Baltimore, KC smoked JAX, LAR remained undefeated but SEA covered the 7.5 point spread, HOU won the battle of Texas, and the Eagles suck.

Moving on to Week 6:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (PHI -2)
Sunday, 1pm
Seattle Seahawks vs Oakland Raiders (SEA -3)* - London
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (MIN -10)
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns (LAC +1)*
Chicago Bears at Miami Dolphins (MIA +7)*
Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins (CAR -1)*
Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (NYJ -2.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -1.5)*
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -3)
Buffalo Bills at *Houston Texans* (HOU -10)
Sunday, 4pm
Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos (LAR -6.5)*
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys (JAX -3)
Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (TEN +2.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (KC +3.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (GB -9.5)

Byes: Detroit Lions, New Orleans Saints

Picks as of 10/11, 8pm
*Updated 10/14, 12pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Week 5: 8-8 [8-8]
Season: 44-33-2 (57%) [33-42-3 (44%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 5

2018-10-04T18:52:00.000-04:00

Looks like I have some learning to do when it comes to picking against the spread, as I finished Week 4 at a miserable 3-9-2. That puts me at 8-20-2 over the last 2 weeks, as I have done worse each week this season. I'm still ok picking straight up, going 9-6 last week.

The Chargers won over the 49ers as my PotW, improving me to only 2-2 this year. For upsets I was the same as last week (aka terrible), going 0-2 straight up and 1-4 ATS; I'm now 3-5 and 10-9 respectively. There were a lot of OT and close games, so I blame that for my poor picks.

Indy literally gave the game away against Houston, but had it stayed tied it wouldn't have helped me much. I simply cannot pick ATL correctly this season, as they lost at home to CIN. GB won, but actually covered the 9.5 point spread. Cleveland could not win 2 in a row, and couldn't cover the 2.5 point spread either. PIT put up a dud at home to give me losses for both picks.

Thursday, 8:20pm
Indianapolis Colts at *New England Patriots* (NE -10.5)
Sunday, 1pm
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns (BAL -3)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -3)
Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (BUF +5.5)*
New York Giants at Carolina Panthers (CAR -6.5)
Denver Broncos at New York Jets (DEN -1)*
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (ATL +3)
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (GB +1)*
Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (CIN -6)*
Sunday, 4pm
Oakland Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers (LAC -5)
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (SF -3.5)
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -3)
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (SEA +7.5)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (DAL +3.5)
Monday, 8:15pm
Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (NO -6)*

Byes: Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Picks as of 10/4, 6:30pm
*Spreads updated 10/7, 8:30am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Week 4: 9-6 [3-9-3]
Season: 36-25-2 (59%) [25-34-3 (42.4%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 4

2018-09-27T20:16:00.000-04:00

Well that was a forgettable week of picks! I finished 8-8 straight up and an awful 5-11 ATS, thankfully I haven't put any money on these games yet. Still early in the season with plenty of surprises. Has New England reached the end of their reign? Will the Rams ever lose? Miami can't sustain right? Dallas sucks, that much I know.

Minnesota completely shit the bed at home against Buffalo to drop me to 1-2 for Picks of the Week. I was 0-2 picking upsets straight up (Dallas at Seattle and Tampa vs Pittsburgh) to drop me to 3-3 on the season. ATS I was even worse at 1-4, dropping me to 9-5 so far.

There were 6 upsets last week, and of course none were the 2 I picked. Cleveland was able to win their first game in almost 2 years, and they were actually the favorite shockingly. JAX were heavy home favorites, but couldn't win the game let alone cover the 9.5 point spread. HOU were 6 point home favorites, but couldn't win their first game of the season. On to Week 4 and the start of the bye weeks:

Thursday, 8:20pm
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams (LAR -7) - already correctly picked, push ATS
Sunday, 1pm
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (MIA +6.5)
Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts (IND -1)
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -3.5)
Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers (BUF +9.5)
Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys (DET +2.5)
New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars (NYJ +7.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears (CHI -3)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans (PHI -3)
Sunday, 4pm
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (SEA -3.5)
Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders (CLE +2.5)
San Francisco 49ers at *Los Angeles Chargers* (LAC -10)
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants (NO -3.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (KC -4)

Byes: Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins

Picks as of 9/30, 11:30am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 [9-6-1]
Week 2: 9-6-1 [8-8]
Week 3: 8-8 [5-11]
Season: 27-19-2 (58.7%) [22-25-1 (46.8%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 3

2018-09-20T19:59:00.001-04:00

Holy shit, Cleveland won!

I've started off Week 3 on the right foot, but what about Week 2? It ended up pretty close to Week 1, as I went 9-6-1 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. That was just a bit lower than my Week 1 results. The LA Rams managed to win easily over Arizona for my PotW (now 1-1), and covered the 13 point spread in the process. I was nearly flawless in upsets, going 1 for 1 straight up (KC over PIT), and 4-1 ATS (only loss was CAR +6 at ATL); I'm 3-1 and 8-3 respectively.

Of course there was another tie (MIN at GB), so of course Green Bay couldn't cover the -1 point spread (keep in mind I don't count ties when calculating overall %). New Orleans pulled out the victory against Cleveland, but weren't able to cover the -9.5 point spread. I debated for a while picking Jacksonville at home against New England, but by the end of the day I took a loss in both formats as Jacksonville just outplayed New England.

Enough talk, let's get on to the Week 3 picks:

Thursday, 8:20pm
New York Jets at Cleveland Browns (CLE -3) - already correctly picked this straight/ATS
Sunday, 1pm
Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -6.5)*
Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers (CAR -2.5)*
Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX -9.5)
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -2)*
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens (DEN +6)*
New York Giants at Houston Texans (HOU -6)
Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins (MIA -3)
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (GB -2.5)
Buffalo Bills at *Minnesota Vikings* (MIN -16.5)
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -6)*
Sunday, 4pm
Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams (LAC +7)
Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals (CHI -6)*
Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (DAL +1)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (DET +6.5)*
Monday, 8:15pm
Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB +1)*

Picks as of 9/22, 10:15pm
*Spreads updated as of 9/23 11:45am

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 (66.7%) [9-6-1 (60%)]
Week 2: 9-6-1 (60%) [8-8 (50%)]
Season: 19-11-2 (63.3%) [17-14-1 (54.8%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 2

2018-09-15T22:40:00.001-04:00

Week 1 is in the books, and I did pretty well considering the first week of any NFL season can be a clusterfuck for lack of a better word. No game epitomizes this more than the Steelers and Browns game resulting in a tie. That's so Cleveland. I finished 10-5-1 straight up, and 9-6-1 against the spread. Not too bad for my first time.

I won't be recapping losses this year, because I don't have the time or care to do so. I will highlight some games as I see fit, as well as go over the upset picks. In that department I actually fared better against the spread, correctly picking 4 of 6 games. I was 2 of 3 straight up. New Orleans decided not to play defense against Tampa Bay, thus I start the season 0-1 in Picks of the Week.

Houston came close to beating the spread against New England, but fell a half point short. Denver beat Seattle, but the 3 point win resulted in a push with the spread. Green Bay came back to beat Chicago, but Chicago covered the 7 point spread in the 4 point loss.

On to the picks for Week 2, in which I am already down 0-1:

Thursday, 8:30pm
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (BAL -1)
Sunday, 1pm
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Redskins (IND +6)
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta ~~Panthers~~Falcons (CAR +6)
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (GB -1)
Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills (LAC -7)
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (HOU -3)
Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (KC +5)
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (NYJ - 2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (PHI -3)
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (CLE +9.5)
Sunday, 4pm
Arizona Cardinals at *Los Angeles Rams* (LAR -13)
Detroit Lions at San Francisco 49ers (DET +6)
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars (NE -1.5)
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (DEN -6.5)
Sunday, 8:20pm
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (DAL -3)
Monday, 8:15pm
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears (CHI -3)

Picks as of 9/15 9:45pm

Since I'm doing both straight up and picks against the spread, I will format the weekly results as I have in the past, with my record against the spread in [brackets]:

Previous Results
Week 1: 10-5-1 (66.7%) [9-6-1 (60%)]

2018 NFL Picks Week 1

2018-09-06T19:15:00.000-04:00

2018 marks the 7th year I've been making NFL picks, but this is the first year I'll be picking straight up and also with the spread. Let's see how that pans out!

I finished the 2017 season with a correct Super Bowl LII Pick (E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!), which brought me to a 10-3 playoff record. I correctly picked 68.75% in the regular season, which ended up being my best season by 0.75% over 2014's 68%. I am still trying for that elusive 70%, so hopefully it happens this year.

For those new to my picks, or those that need a refresher:

Winners will be bolded
Upsets will be italicized
*Pick of the Week* will be offset by asterisks
Picks will be made straight up and with the spread (in parentheses +/- points)
Upsets determined from SportsLine
Click the "NFL Picks" tag below to see all of my previous picks

Let's get picking the 2018 season, in which the Eagles will begin their title defense against the Falcons tonight:

Thursday, 8:30pm
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles (PHI +1)
Sunday, 1pm
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (PIT -3.5)*
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings (MIN -6)*
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (IND +1)*
Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (BAL -7.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants (JAX -3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at *New Orleans Saints* (NO -10)*
Houston Texans at New England Patriots (HOU +6.5)*
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (no spread)*
Sunday, 4pm
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (KC +3.5)
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (DEN -3)
Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers (CAR -3)
Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (WAS +2)*
Sunday, 8:20pm
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (CHI +7)*
Monday Night Football
7:10pm New York Jets at Detroit Lions (DET -6.5)
10:20pm Los Angeles Rams at Oakland Raiders (LAR -4.5)*

Picks as of 9/6 7:15pm
*Spreads updated prior to 1pm games

Super Bowl LII Pick

2018-02-03T20:06:00.000-05:00

Oh, how sweet it is!!! THE PHILADELPHIA EAGLES ARE IN THE SUPER BOWL!!! THEY'LL FACE OFF AGAINST, ahem, they'll face off against the New England Patriots to see who will become Super Bowl LII champions. It's a rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX, in which the Patriots bested the Eagles 24-21. The matchup means I went 2-0 in my Conference Championship picks (including correctly picking the underdog Eagles), which puts me at 7-3 for the 2018 playoffs. The Eagles are underdogs again for the big game, which will make them the only #1 seed to not be favored in a single playoff game. They're 4.5 point dogs this time, and I'd take them with those points (which I will be doing next year). But who will I pick straight up?

Super Bowl LII
Philadelphia Eagles over New England Patriots, 24-21

upset pick as of 2/3 7:45pm

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-4
Week 2: 14-2

Week 3: 9-7

Week 4: 10-6

Week 5: 6-8

Week 6: 6-8

Week 7: 11-4

Week 8: 11-2

Week 9: 9-4

Week 10: 10-4

Week 11: 10-4

Week 12: 13-3
Week 13: 12-4

Week 14: 9-7

Week 15: 13-3

Week 16: 12-4

Week 17: 10-6

Season: 176-80 (68.75%)

Wild Card: 2-2

Divisional: 3-1

Conference: 2-0

Playoffs: 7-3 (70%)

2017 NFL Picks for Conference Championships

2018-01-21T01:20:00.000-05:00

For those that care, posts from the last few weeks are now updated.

I had a much better time picking the Divisional Round games, going 3-1 last week. That improves my 2017 post-season record to 5-3 so far, which is a far cry from the 7-1 I was at this point last year. Pittsburgh was upset by Jacksonville as my only loss last week, as Philadelphia upset Atlanta (as home dogs and the #1 seed mind you), New England destroyed Tennessee (as expected), and Minnesota won on a miracle in New Orleans.

Next up are the AFC/NFC Conference Championships, which will determine the participants in Super Bowl LII:

Sunday
Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots (3:05pm)
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (6:40pm)

upset pick as of 1/21 1am

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-4
Week 2: 14-2

Week 3: 9-7

Week 4: 10-6

Week 5: 6-8

Week 6: 6-8

Week 7: 11-4

Week 8: 11-2

Week 9: 9-4

Week 10: 10-4

Week 11: 10-4

Week 12: 13-3
Week 13: 12-4

Week 14: 9-7

Week 15: 13-3

Week 16: 12-4

Week 17: 10-6

Season: 176-80 (68.75%)

Wild Card: 2-2

Divisional: 3-1

Playoffs: 5-3 (62.5%)

2017 NFL Picks for Divisional Round

2018-01-13T16:54:00.000-05:00

So-so start to the post-season, as I went 2-2 during Wild Card Weekend. I went with all the home teams (foreshadowing?), but was surprised with upset wins by Tennessee and Atlanta. Kansas City and Andy Reid blew another big game, as the Los Angeles Rams were unable to continue their surprising season. All of the Divisional Round games should be entertaining, but how well will I pick the winners?

Saturday
Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles
Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots
Sunday
Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

upset pick as of 1/13

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-4
Week 2: 14-2

Week 3: 9-7

Week 4: 10-6

Week 5: 6-8

Week 6: 6-8

Week 7: 11-4

Week 8: 11-2

Week 9: 9-4

Week 10: 10-4

Week 11: 10-4

Week 12: 13-3
Week 13: 12-4

Week 14: 9-7

Week 15: 13-3

Week 16: 12-4

Week 17: 10-6

Season: 176-80 (68.75%)

Wild Card: 2-2

Playoffs: 2-2 (50%)

2017 NFL Picks for Wild Card Weekend

2018-01-06T09:41:00.002-05:00

I finished up the regular season by going 10-6, which dropped me below 69% overall to end up at 68.75%. Had I correctly picked 4 more games I would have reached my goal of 70% on the year, so not too bad when all is said and done. The Eagles lost to Dallas as my only upset pick last week, which evens me out at .500 for the year (22-22). That means I would have done just as well picking all the favorites each week, but what's the fun in that?

For some reason I picked Baltimore for the second straight week as my PotW, but I figured they'd win with a playoff berth in their grasp. They lost to Cincinnati though, as I end the year 13-4 in that category.

Week 17 saw all division matchups, but very few of them actually had any meaning before kickoff. At least that's my excuse for going 10-6, with my incorrect picks being Washington at the New York Giants, Philadelphia at home against Dallas (upset), Baltimore at home vs Cincinnati (PotW), New Orleans at Tampa Bay, Seattle at home against Arizona, and Denver at home vs Kansas City.

I may do an in-depth post about the regular season, but for now let's move on to the Wild Card round of the 2017 playoffs:

Saturday
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
Atlanta Falcons at Los Angeles Rams
Sunday
Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

No upset picks

Previous Results
Week 1: 11-4
Week 2: 14-2

Week 3: 9-7

Week 4: 10-6

Week 5: 6-8

Week 6: 6-8

Week 7: 11-4

Week 8: 11-2

Week 9: 9-4

Week 10: 10-4

Week 11: 10-4

Week 12: 13-3
Week 13: 12-4

Week 14: 9-7

Week 15: 13-3

Week 16: 12-4

Week 17: 10-6

Season: 176-80 (68.75%)