Bullish India

Nifty Short Strangle

2020-06-18T10:39:00.000+05:30

Sell 25 June 2020 Nifty Call 10100 @ Rs.85
Sell 25 June 2020 Nifty Put 9500 @ Rs.65
Total Cash Inflow 150 x 75 = Rs11250
Breakeven Levels = 10250 and 9350

SBI - Strategy before SBI Card IPO

2020-02-28T07:27:00.003+05:30

Buy 330 PE @ 18.6
Sell 310 PE @ 8.8
Margin required Rs. 170000
Max Profit at expiry Rs.30600
Max Loss at expiry Rs.29400

Budget strategy - Long Strangle

2020-01-31T12:35:00.000+05:30

Buy CE 12200 @ 72.5 - 6 Feb 2020
Buy PE 11800 @ 76.4 - 6 Feb 2020
Max Loss Rs.11168
Max Profit - unlimited

Economic Events to Watch

2020-01-19T22:57:00.002+05:30

Date	India Time	Event	Geography	Info
Thursday, January 30, 2020	12.30 AM	Fed Interest Rate Decision	USA	One of the most important events in global markets.A higher-than-expected interest rate hike is bad for markets. The market is factoring in a high chance of rate hike, as indicated by a rally in US Bond yields and USD recently
Friday, January 31, 2020	5.30 PM	India GDP Growth Rate Final 2018-19	India	A higher than expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) number means the Indian economy is in good shape - good for markets. A lower than expected number means the economy is in bad shape - bad for markets.
Saturday, February 1, 2020	9.15 AM	India Union Budget	India	The mother of all events. Expect huge volatility

SBI - Bull Put Option Strategy

2020-01-19T09:56:00.000+05:30

Sell 320 PE @ 8.25
Buy 310 PE @ 4.5
Max Profit Rs.11250
Breakeven 316.3
Margin Required Rs.171000
Capital Required Rs.184000
Max Loss Rs.18750

Chola Finance - Bear Call Option Strategy

2020-01-18T20:01:00.002+05:30

Sell 325 CE @ 11
Buy 335 CE @ 4.85
Max Profit Rs.15375
Breakeven 331.2
Margin Required Rs.152000
Capital Required Rs.162000
Max Loss Rs.9625

TVS Motor - Bear Call Option Strategy

2020-01-18T18:58:00.001+05:30

Sell TVS Motors CE 480 @ 14.6
Buy TVS Motors CE 500 @ 6.6
Max Profit Rs.10800
Breakeven @ 488
Capital Required Rs.135000

Reliance Industries

2020-01-17T09:42:00.001+05:30

Buy RIL 1600 CE @20 Target 30 Stoploss 15

TCS - Bull Put Strategy

2020-01-05T17:19:00.000+05:30

Sell TCS 2200 PE CMP 67.15
Buy TCS 2160 PE CMP 49.25
Net Credit received 17.90 x 250 = Rs.4475
Max Profit = Rs.4475
Stoploss 28

Nifty Strategy

2020-01-03T13:01:00.001+05:30

Buy Nifty PE 12200 9 Jan 2020: CMP: 57
Sell Nifty PE 12100 9 Jan 2020: CMP: 25
Cost:22
Target:35
Stoploss:15

TCS - Option Strategy

2019-11-25T07:51:00.003+05:30

Sell 2060 PE - CMP 24.2
Buy 2040 PE - CMP 17
Capital Required - Rs.95000
Max Profit - Rs.1800
Expiry - Nov 2019

HDFC Bank - Option Strategy

2019-11-25T07:46:00.000+05:30

Sell 1270 CE - CMP 11.8
Buy 1280 CE - CMP 7.7
Capital Required - Rs.115000
Max Profit - Rs.2050
Expiry - Nov 2019

Axis Bank Strategy

2019-11-14T11:58:00.001+05:30

Sell 1 700 PE 28 Nov. @ Rs.9.8
Buy 1 670 PE 28 Nov @ Rs. 3.9
Premium Get Rs.7548
Breakeven point 694
Capital Required Rs.1.40 lakhs Aprox

Nifty Strategy

2019-11-14T11:50:00.001+05:30

Sell 28 Nov 2019 CE 11900 @ Rs.118.25
Buy 28 Nov 2019 CE 12100 @ Rs.40.15
Get Premium Rs.5858
Max Profit at Expiry Rs.5858
Max loss at Expiry Rs.9143
Breakeven points 11979
Margin Required Rs.98000 aprox

Nifty Short Straddle

2019-10-24T10:02:00.001+05:30

Sell Nifty 11650 CE 31 October @ 92

Sell Nifty 11650 PE 31 October @ 108

Premium received 75 x 200 = 15000

Target 100

Profit 7500

Nifty Quarterly Chart Analysis

2019-10-03T23:37:00.002+05:30

Since 2008, 3 times Nifty has given 4 quarters consecutive negative returns

1st - Jan 2008 to Dec 2008 - Nifty Range - 6357.1 - 2252.75
2nd - Jan 2011 to Dec 2011 - Nifty Range - 6181.05 - 4531.15
3rd - April 2015 to March 2016 - Nifty Range - 8844.8 - 6825.8

Last quarter (July - Sept 2019) has given negative return. Nifty range 11981.75 -10637.15
In last 11 years, whenever 2 red candles (quarterly) are formed, then same trend continues for 2 more quarters.
Caution: If on 31st Dec. 2019, Nifty closes below 11515.20 then we might be heading for more fall in next 6 months.

Now the next Question how much NIFTY can fall?

1st Scenario - 25% Fall - Nifty Target of 8986

4 Quarter Fall cycle	High	Low	Difference	% fall from high
1st	6357.1	2252.75	4104.35	65%
2nd	6181.05	4531.15	1649.9	27%
3rd	8844.8	6825.8	2019	23%
4th(In formation)	11981.75	8986.313	2995.438	25%

2nd Scenario - 20% Fall - Nifty Target of 9585

4 Quarter Fall cycle	High	Low	Difference	% fall from high
1st	6357.1	2252.75	4104.35	65%
2nd	6181.05	4531.15	1649.9	27%
3rd	8844.8	6825.8	2019	23%
4th(In formation)	11981.75	9585.4	2396.35	20%

Indusind Bank - Bear Call Strategy

2019-09-29T22:40:00.000+05:30

Sell 1500 CE 31 Oct - CMP 65.85
Buy 1520 CE 31 Oct - CMP 50.10

Max Profit - Rs.6296
Max Loss - Rs.1704
Margin Required - Rs.175000

Biocon - Bull Put Strategy

2019-09-29T22:26:00.001+05:30

Sell 210 PE 31 Oct - CMP 8.45
Buy 200 PE 31 Oct - CMP 5.20
Capital Required - Aprox. Rs.85000
Max Profit - Rs.5850

Nifty Strategy - Iron Condor

2019-09-28T12:08:00.001+05:30

Buy 11100 31 Oct Put - CMP 63.6
Sell 11300 31 Oct Put - CMP 106.05
Sell 11600 31 Oct Call - CMP 200
Buy 11800 31 Oct Call - CMP 113.2

Premium Received - Rs.9694
Max Profit at Expiry - Rs.9694
Max Loss at Expiry - Rs.5306

Nifty - Bull Call Spread

2019-08-27T07:36:00.001+05:30

Nifty may open gap up ...above 11100
Buy Nifty CE 11100 & Sell Nifty CE 11200
Target for Nfty Future 11180-11270

US Bond Yield- Inverted Yield Curve

2019-08-27T07:27:00.002+05:30

10 Year Bond Yield again falls below 2 Year Bond Yield

What's Happening With Trump's Trade Fights? | Wall Street Journal

2019-08-25T20:38:00.000+05:30

China's trillion dollar plan to dominate global trade

2019-08-24T23:57:00.002+05:30

Economy Booster Package

2019-08-24T23:42:00.001+05:30

HDFC Bank ADR

2019-08-24T23:10:00.003+05:30

HDFC Bank ADR closed + 0.74%
Weightage in

Nifty 10.73%
Bank Nifty 31.54%