Since September 2016 we’ve published more than 2,000 posts from more than 500 different authors and, on behalf of the entire BrexitCentral team, I’d like to thank every single one of them for helping inform discussion and debate about a whole range of matters relating to Brexit these last three and a half years.

I can’t name every single one (you can see the full list for yourself here) but I would just like to highlight a few individuals who demonstrate how impressive a cross-section of contributors we have been privileged to publish.

Boris Johnson and a string of senior members of his Cabinet, including Priti Patel, Sajid Javid, Dominic Raab and Michael Gove, have all written for us, along with former ministers such as Liam Fox, David Davis, Sir Iain Duncan Smith, Steve Baker and Suella Braverman as well as rising stars on the Tory benches in Parliament like Conor Burns, Simon Clarke, Anne-Marie Trevelyan and Robert Courts.

Labour Leavers including Gisela Stuart, Kate Hoey, Bryan Gould, John Mills, Brendan Chilton and the indefatigable Austin Mitchell have kept the red Brexiteer flag flying, whilst we’ve regularly featured the writing of political figures from others parties such as Patrick O’Flynn, Sir Jeffrey Donaldson, Suzanne Evans, Richard Tice and Lord Owen.

We’ve had a business perspective offered by the likes of Sir Rocco Forte, John Longworth, Simon Boyd and Alastair MacMillan; we’ve regularly run pieces from legal and trade experts such as Martin Howe QC and Shanker Singham; academics like Patrick Minford, David Paton, Matthew Goodwin and Graham Gudgin have all shared their wisdom; and we’ve also appreciated the contributions of overseas observers like Alexander Downer, Pieter Cleppe, Ted Bromund and Peggy Grande.

It’s been great to publish pieces from some of those who campaigned for Remain at the referendum but then genuinely accepted the democratic outcome of the referendum and embraced the opportunities that Brexit affords – people like Chloe Schendel-Wilson, Murad Gassanly, Ben Bradley, Grant Shapps, Mark Harper and Stanley Johnson.

And I’ve especially enjoyed being able to give a platform to younger voices challenging the conventional caricature of what a Brexiteer looks like by publishing the work of people like Inaya Folarin Iman, Jack Walters, Samia Hersi, Emily Hewertson and Dominique Samuels.

So I thank each and every one of our authors.

I’d also like to thank all of those who have been part of the BrexitCentral team. First and foremost to our unpaid Editor-at-Large, Matthew Elliott, who conceived the idea of the website after running the victorious Vote Leave campaign and has remained a constant source of inspiration and wise counsel throughout; to my Deputy Editors past and present – Jordan Taylor, Darren Grimes, Hugh Bennett, David Scullion, Jordan Ryan, Drusilla Summers and Liam Vernon – who have, like me, worked many an early morning and late night to deliver the product; and to Georgiana Bristol, Suya Skanthan, Meg Hanks and Elizabeth Elliott, all of whom have done essential work for us behind the scenes.

I’d also like to reiterate my thanks to those who have supported us financially since 2016 because without those generous donations, there would have been no BrexitCentral.

And my final thanks are to you, our readers, for your loyalty and support throughout this process. We have been touched by the many messages you have sent – both in the last few weeks and over the last three and a half years – expressing gratitude for what we have done. It has meant the world to know how much our service has been appreciated, making those pre-6am alarm calls just a little more tolerable.

On our launch, Matthew promised:

“Not only will we be providing a resource for everyone wanting to follow the twists and turns of the UK’s departure from the EU, but we will also be promoting anew that positive vision of a confident, independent, free-trading, sovereign nation and seeking to counter the doom and negativity of those who remain unwilling to accept the referendum result.”

I am proud to submit that this is exactly what we did.

Last week, we published a list of websites and groups to follow in order to keep up to speed with post-Brexit negotiations and developments, which I hope will help to fill the void that we leave.

And as I sign off for the last time, if you haven’t done so already, can I urge you to read The Brexit Story, as told by BrexitCentral – my long read which chronicles the ups and downs of this exciting journey on which it has been a pleasure to have your company.

The post Thank you and farewell from BrexitCentral appeared first on BrexitCentral.

“I backed the campaign to remain in the EU because I worried about the economic impact of leaving the Single Market even more. I feared my constituents would end up paying a high price in lost jobs and falling incomes as a result of declining foreign investment and trade. But the immediate economic shock that the Remain campaign predicted has not materialised. Consumer confidence remains strong and recent data suggest that both the manufacturing and services sectors are buoyant. It is far too early to be certain about the long term impact of leaving the EU but the early signs are positive, and provide a basis for cautious optimism.”

And he was clear that a clean break from the EU was needed:

“Clinging onto the structures of the club we have just left – whether the Single Market or the European customs union – while having no say over their future development, would ensure that we end up in the worst of both worlds, neither in nor out, with no power to influence what the European Union does, and no freedom to do something different.”

He was right then – although, as we saw, there were many Remainers who said they accepted the result of the referendum whose subsequent actions suggested they really thought otherwise. Indeed, as the 2016 party conference season got underway, the Lib Dems effectively refused to accept the referendum result by agreeing a new policy that the UK should only leave the EU if a second referendum endorsed that position at the conclusion of negotiations (and even then the Lib Dems would campaign to remain members of the EU, regardless).

At the Conservative Conference in October 2016 – Theresa May’s first as Prime Minister – she confirmed that before the end of March 2017 she would trigger Article 50 – to begin the two-year countdown on the Brexit negotiations, at the end of which the UK would formally leave the EU. And she also used a phrase which became a regular refrain:

“The referendum result was clear. It was legitimate. It was the biggest vote for change this country has ever known. Brexit means Brexit – and we’re going to make a success of it.”

It was also in those early weeks that we published a reflective piece from Tory MP Mark Francois – which I reckon stands the test of time – arguing that it was the appalling handling of the Lisbon Treaty in 2007-2008 which sowed the seeds of Brexit. Meanwhile, future Brexit Secretary and current Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab wrote for us to observe that even with the worst trade deal Brussels could offer, the UK will thrive outside the EU.

In the autumn of 2016, despite Hugh Bennett’s entreaty that legal attempts to stop Theresa May from triggering Article 50 risked demeaning the integrity of June’s referendum, the High Court found in favour of Gina Miller and friends, meaning that the Government would indeed have to pass legislation in Parliament before Article 50 could be triggered. And in another reminder that the political establishment intended making life difficult for the Brexit cause, Remainer Hilary Benn beat Brexiteer Kate Hoey for the chairmanship of the newly established Exiting the European Union Select Committee.

Patrick O’Flynn – then an MEP and a regular BrexitCentral author over these years – was arguably correct in his prediction of November 2016:

“Whatever view you take of the High Court decision on ratifying Article 50, it is hard not to accept that the sourness and anger that characterised our politics in the days after 23rd June has returned. Fundamentally, many Brexit voters do not trust Remain politicians and do not believe them when the bulk of them insist they are not trying to derail the Brexit process but merely to make sure it works as well as it can. None of us really knows exactly how this process is going to pan out, but I am afraid that until Brexit is completed there does not really seem to me to be a way out of this atmosphere of anger and distrust.”

And our most prolific author, former Labour MP Austin Mitchell, also hit the nail on the head as far as the forces organising against Brexit were concerned in one of his first pieces for us:

“For Recalcitrant Remainers, the EU is so important that it’s become their religion; a deity which the people must obey whether they want to or not. These Remoaners never give up. They’re dedicated to re-fighting a battle which was decided by the people in the referendum. They’re so convinced that the people are wrong that they’re happy to act as secret agents for the EU, strengthening its hand in the Brexit negotiations, standing ready to reject the outcome if it fulfills the will of the British people and making every effort to sabotage anything which implements that popular will. Democracy can’t be allowed to stand in the way of the European Union.”

Mercifully not all Remainers remained recalcitrant, as we carried pieces by some of those who had backed the Stronger In campaign but who definitely were respecting the referendum result, like former Tory Chief Whip Mark Harper and former Conservative Party Chairman Grant Shapps, who memorably used our platform to declare: “I am backing Brexit all the way, as hard as you like”.

2017 began with two of the stars of the Vote Leave campaign writing for BrexitCentral. Gisela Stuart, who chaired the campaign, noted that Leave and Remain voters now shared the view that the referendum result was decisive and that the Government should get on with the job, while Michael Gove – during a brief sojourn on the backbenches – argued that a ‘Fake Brexit’ would not allow politicians to deliver the change which people had voted for. One perennial proposal from the forces trying to resist that change was for the UK to remain inside the EU’s customs union – an argument that was shot down by another regular contributor, Shanker Singham.

17th January 2017 was a big moment as Theresa May headed to Lancaster House to set out the Government’s ‘Plan for Britain’ and the priorities that the UK would use to negotiate Brexit – what swiftly became known as the Lancaster House Speech. It was widely welcomed by Brexiteers with our Editor-at-Large, Matthew Elliott, describing it as “an inspiring vision of a global Britain” and expressing particular satisfaction at her explicitly saying that no deal would be better than a bad deal, while Tory MP Steve Baker used a BrexitCentral article to praise it for providing “a crystal clear strategy for how we are to leave the EU” and “a bold vision for national renewal”.

Following the Government’s failure to win its appeal at the Supreme Court in the Miller case, ministers pressed on with getting the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill onto the statute book. At Second Reading in the Commons it was passed by 498 votes to 114 and we specifically saluted the 346 heroic Remainers who put democracy first and voted to trigger Article 50 by publishing a full roll call of their names. Given their later actions, it is notable to recall that this illustrious list included the likes of Anna Soubry, Chuka Umunna and Heidi Allen.

Meanwhile, in what was arguably a prophetic piece, given the events of December 2019, Fawzi Ibrahim of Trade Unionists Against The EU argued that Labour must embrace Brexit or risk becoming irrelevant, while Jacob Rees-Mogg – then a backbencher – used our platform to deconstruct the latest intervention on Brexit from Sir John Major, which he described as a “deeply negative, anti-American and defeatist speech” which “reminds people why John Major lost so heavily in 1997”.

29th March 2017 was the day that Theresa May formally triggered Article 50 – a moment which we marked with a piece from veteran eurosceptic Sir Bill Cash noting that the historic day would restore our democratic freedom to govern ourselves. But very quickly we found ourselves in the midst of a general election campaign, which Theresa May called against the backdrop of opposition parties and peers seeking to jeopardise preparations for Brexit while weakening the Government’s negotiating position in Europe. It was billed by some as the Brexit election, but with Labour having stated in terms in its manifesto that that it “accepts the referendum result”, the voters looked at a plethora of issues as they made their judgement. And the Tory decision to run a presidential-style campaign with a Prime Minister who wasn’t very presidential helped to deprive Theresa May of her already thin parliamentary majority, forcing her to come to a confidence and supply arrangement with the DUP in order to retain the smallest of working majorities.

The morning after the election I wrote:

“Last year’s referendum result still stands. And there is a consensus between the Conservative and Labour parties to accept that result – the fact that Jeremy Corbyn did so and appeared to accept an end to free movement, for example, will have given many Leave-inclined voters the confidence to vote for his party yesterday. There is no excuse for any delay in pursuing the all-important Brexit negotiations.”

In hindsight, perhaps a lot of us were naive to have taken Labour at their word – but in effect that Friday morning after the election should have been the moment we realised that another general election was going to be needed in order to deliver Brexit. As it was, the May Government remained in place and there was an early boost for Brexiteers with the appointment of Steve Baker to the Brexit Department. Businessman and Vote Leave veteran Simon Boyd told MPs they would not be forgiven if they did not respect the referendum result, while Labour Leave’s John Mills explained why both Labour and the Conservatives must stick to their manifesto commitments of leaving the Single Market and Tory MEP David Campbell Bannerman also made the case against EEA membership.

The post-election Queen’s Speech contained a raft of Brexit-related legislation, not least the European Union (Withdrawal) Bill – commonly referred to as the ‘Great Repeal Bill’ – to repeal the European Communities Act 1972 and end the authority of EU law in the UK. Talks began over the summer in Brussels between Brexit Secretary David Davis and the EU’s Michel Barnier and their respective teams and when Parliament returned in September 2017, the Repeal Bill was given a Second Reading by 328 votes to 292 – a majority of 36. Labour MPs were whipped to oppose it, despite Kate Hoey’s assertion that the party had no mandate to block it (she was one of seven Labour MPs to vote with the Government).

We then saw Theresa May deliver her Florence Speech in which she said the UK should be the EU’s “strongest friend and partner”, which led Richard Tice – then of Leave Means Leave and later Brexit Party Chairman – to conclude that she had “conceded everything and asked for nothing in return”.

At the 2017 Conservative Party Conference I was pleased to discover the latest Remainer to be converted to the Brexit cause was none other than Stanley Johnson, the ex-MEP, former European Commission official and father of Boris. He explained his volte-face for BrexitCentral thus:

“The critical moment came a couple of weeks ago when EU Commission President Juncker gave his State of the Union address to the European Parliament. The vision he presented of an EU with a single government, and with directly-elected EU ministers with EU-wide responsibilities, including finance and defence, was quite simply – it seemed to me – totally over the top. Up until then, I was still ready to argue that if you wanted to steer the ship in a different direction, the best thing surely was to stay on board and try to seize control of the steering wheel. In other words, fight from within for change. But the ship metaphor doesn’t really work. The train metaphor is a better reflection of reality. Mr Juncker’s Federal Express is heading down the track at an ever-increasing speed in a direction we really don’t want to go. Even if Britain stayed on board, I doubt if we would be able to change the points on the track ahead, or even slow the train down.”

As talks continued, an increasing number of Brexiteer voices started to suggest that if a bad deal was going to be what the EU offered the UK, then the Prime Minister should be held to her word that it would be better to have No Deal. This was the view proffered by Tory MP Sir Christopher Chope, for example, who wrote for BrexitCentral after a trip to Brussels with the Exiting the European Select Committee where they met, among others, Michel Barnier and the European Parliament’s Brexit Co-ordinator, Guy Verhofstadt:

“Having heard what they had to say, I’m afraid I’ve come to the conclusion that the only Brexit deal being offered to us from Brussels would be far worse for the UK than leaving without a deal in March 2019… While the EU negotiators sought to emphasise that they did not want to punish the UK, I find their negotiating stance to be inconsistent with such an assurance.”

Even Brendan Chilton of Labour Leave set out for us why the Government needed to prioritise preparing for a no-deal outcome. And speaking of Labour, it was in December 2017 that Austin Mitchell shared Tony Blair’s secret memo to Alastair Campbell with a 12-point plan for stopping Brexit – which a surprising number of people failed to realise was satire.

It was also at this time that Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain sounded an early warning that costly EU demands on regulatory alignment could prevent us securing trade deals elsewhere – but just a day later the UK and EU published a Joint Report marking the conclusion of the first phase of negotiations, which included the infamous Irish backstop in Paragraph 49. This stated that in the absence of agreed solutions to address the unique circumstances of the island of Ireland, “the United Kingdom will maintain full alignment with those rules of the Internal Market and the Customs Union”.

2018 began with former Prime Minister Tony Blair putting his oar in, doing his best to scupper Brexit and calling on the country to “re-think” its decision of 2016. Labour MP Kate Hoey was swift out of the traps to call on him to bin his latest ‘Dodgy Dossier’, while East of England MEP Patrick O’Flynn declared Blair’s attempts to derail the referendum result as contemptible. But then Nigel Farage was called out by Suzanne Evans for his mooting the idea of backing a second referendum. A government reshuffle saw European Research Group Chairman Suella Fernandes appointed a minister at the Department for Exiting the European Union, with Jacob Rees-Mogg elected in her place as the new Chairman of the ERG. And in an important staging post on the road to Brexit, the European Union (Withdrawal) Bill secured its Third Reading in the Commons by a majority of 29.

Those still in denial of the referendum result continued to call for the UK to remain in the EU’s Customs Union after Brexit: but Lawyers for Britain Chairman Martin Howe QC explained why remaining in the EU Customs Union after Brexit would be a political and economic disaster, while I sought to call a halt on the Remainer revisionism and explained that we did vote to leave the EU’s Customs Union at the referendum. Jeremy Corbyn was evidently not paying attention, since he proceeded to announce a new Labour policy of remaining in a customs union with the EU – an idea that was slated by Professor David Paton of Economists for Free Trade as “bizarre” and by international trade expert Shanker Singham as “a non-starter”. The issue of the Irish border also began to come to the fore and speaking to us, Nobel Peace Prize winner and former First Minister of Northern Ireland, Lord Trimble, explained why it was “rubbish” to suggest that Brexit would undermine the Good Friday Agreement.

March 2018 saw Theresa May deliver her third big Brexit speech at London’s Mansion House and by way of a reminder that the then Prime Minister still enjoyed broad support from much of the wider Brexit movement at that juncture, it was welcomed by John Longworth of Leave Means Leave as a defining moment on the path to successfully delivering Brexit. On the twentieth anniversary of the signing of the Good Friday Agreement in April 2018, DUP Deputy Leader Nigel Dodds explained why Northern Ireland had to accept the mandate for Brexit and respond accordingly, while Hugh Bennett accused the EU of cynically exploiting the Irish border to try to keep Britain under the thumb. Amidst continued attempts by some to push for continued British membership of the Customs Union, Priti Patel set out why we needed out of the protectionist racket that is the EU’s Customs Union, while we exclusively published the text of Jacob Rees-Mogg‘s Speaker’s Lecture offering his vision for a global-facing, outward-looking post-Brexit Britain. And as the latest lunatic theory to be propagated by Lord Adonis claimed that the BBC was responsible for creating Nigel Farage, I set out how Nigel Farage was actually created by Tony Blair.

It was in May 2018 that support among the wider Leave movement for the May Government’s Brexit strategy began to fracture, when its proposal for a “New Customs Partnership” with the EU post-Brexit was met with less than universal acclaim. Tory MP and International Trade Select Committee Member Marcus Fysh branded it “a non-starter”, while Henry Newman of Open Europe described the proposal as “bad politics, bad policy and a bad plan”. In the meantime, on 26th June 2018, the European Union (Withdrawal) Bill was passed into law, repealing the European Communities Act 1972 which took us into the then European Economic Community in the first place and setting in stone 29th March 2019 as the date on which we should be leaving the EU.

But within a fortnight the entire Government’s Brexit strategy was in disarray following the Cabinet gathering at Chequers, the Prime Minister’s Buckinghamshire residence, where senior ministers met to agree a White Paper setting out their Brexit vision. Hugh Bennett described the White Paper as an exercise in giving away control, while Martin Howe QC explained how the Chequers plan would still leave UK judges subservient to the ECJ. First to resign over Chequers was Brexit Secretary himself, David Davis (who was replaced by Dominic Raab), along with junior Brexit minister Steve Baker, followed by Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson (who was replaced by Jeremy Hunt) and a clutch of other more junior figures. Despite the efforts of Theresa May to sell her proposal to Tory MPs, many were left unconvinced. Tory Deputy Chairman James Cleverly valiantly insisted that it was a “workable plan”, but a string of his colleagues – such as Andrea Jenkyns, Marcus Fysh, Robert Courts and Ross Thomson – wrote for us explaining why they disagreed. During the ensuing summer recess, Jacob Rees-Mogg took it upon himself to marshal Tory grassroots opposition to Theresa May’s plan through his explosive “chuck Chequers” letter sent to local Conservative Associations, which we exclusively revealed to the world.

In September 2018, thirty years to the day after Margaret Thatcher’s prophetic Bruges speech was delivered, Tory MP Conor Burns set out why it sparked the debate that led to Brexit. Talking of speeches, Jean-Claude Juncker‘s latest federalising State of the Union speech provided Patrick O’Flynn with another reminder of why we needed out of the EU. And as the party conference season got underway, Labour delegates in Liverpool managed to pass an ‘all things to all people’ motion on Brexit which kept all options on the table, including the prospect of backing a second referendum. Conservative Party Chairman Brandon Lewis declared that Labour’s promises to respect the referendum result now lay in tatters, while Labour Leave’s Brendan Chilton lamented the damage being done to his party’s brand by all those talking of a second referendum and Global Britain’s Brian Monteith reported on prescient new polling showing that blocking Brexit or backing another referendum would cost Labour at the polls.

The party conference season continued with the Conservatives in Manchester, where we held the biggest of our BrexitCentral conference rallies, attracting a massive crowd, many of whom weren’t able to get into the venue. The entire event can still be viewed on YouTube or you can watch the individual speeches from Daniel Hannan, Ross Thomson, Andrea Jenkyns, Tees Valley Mayor Ben Houchen, our former BrexitCentral colleague Darren Grimes, Priti Patel, Conor Burns and Jacob Rees-Mogg – with ‘chuck Chequers’ being a recurring theme.

As debate continued about the Government’s proposals, former Cabinet Minister Lord Lilley explained for us what he described as the deceit at the heart of Chequers, while one-time Europe Minister David Heathcoat-Amory declared that the Government had ignored the basic principles of successful negotiation in its dealings with Brussels. Former Vote Leave Chair Gisela Stuart warned against walking into the trap of an extended transition period while Professor Matthew Goodwin explained why the Remainers’ caricature of Leave voters was wrong and showed that they still failed to understand why people backed Brexit.

And then, on 14th November 2018, Theresa May finally struck a Withdrawal Agreement with the European Union – but without the support of another brace of ministers who quit her Government in opposition to the deal. First among them was her latest Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab, who quit the Cabinet (to be replaced by Steve Barclay) along with Work and Pension Secretary Esther McVey, with Brexit Minister Suella Braverman, Northern Ireland Minister Shailesh Vara and another clutch of ministerial aides also resigning from the Government. Dr Lee Rotherham found some nasty surprises in the smallprint of the Brexit deal for us while Victoria Hewson found that the Irish protocol in the Withdrawal Agreement ruled out an independent trade policy and Martin Howe QC set out why that protocol was neither a “backstop” nor temporary. Gisela Stuart concluded that Theresa May’s Brexit deal did not deliver what people voted for at the referendum as Jacob Rees-Mogg urged fellow MPs to oppose the draft Withdrawal Agreement and we revealed the European Research Group’s own case against the Government’s Brexit deal.

MPs then began what was due to be a five-day debate on Theresa May’s Brexit deal, only for the Government – anticipating defeat – to pull it halfway through and delay its conclusion and the so-called ‘meaningful vote’ on it until after Christmas. I was not impressed. For many Tory MPs sceptical about May’s leadership, this was the final straw and the requisite number of signatures were collated in order to prompt a vote of no confidence in her leadership. However, May survived the vote by 200 votes to 117, giving here a year’s immunity from further challenges.

The year ended with us publishing a leaked House of Commons legal analysis of the Brexit deal which contradicted Theresa May and added to Brexiteers’ concerns, and former Cabinet Minister Theresa Villiers explaining in a piece for us that without a major rewrite, Theresa May’s Brexit deal would remain unacceptable.

After the Christmas recess, 2019 began with take two of the Commons debate on Theresa May’s Brexit deal. Priti Patel urged her colleagues to oppose it, as an anonymous civil servant set out how it created “a triple lock to shackle the UK to Brussels forever”. Shanker Singham also called on MPs to vote down Theresa May’s Withdrawal Agreement – and on 15th January, in what became known as Meaningful Vote 1, that is exactly what they did, by a margin of 432 votes to 202: a record-breaking defeat for a government on the floor of the House of Commons by a majority of 230.

The following day May won a confidence vote in the House of Commons that had been tabled by the Opposition and the following week went back to the Commons to explain how she intended to proceed: by taking a more consultative approach to the next phase of negotiations, giving stronger reassurances on workers’ rights and environmental standards and attempting to address the concerns about the Irish backstop – while ruling out a second referendum. When asked to endorse the approach, MPs backed the infamous Brady Amendment – proposed by Tory MP and 1922 Committee Chairman Sir Graham Brady – that broadly supported the Withdrawal Agreement while requiring that the Northern Ireland backstop be “replaced with alternative arrangements to avoid a hard border” – and the basis for alternative arrangements would emanate from the so-called Malthouse Compromise brokered by Leave-backing minister Kit Malthouse.

However, by Valentine’s Day, the Government had suffered another embarrassing defeat on its approach to Brexit, by a majority of 45, as dozens of Conservative MPs refused to back a motion which effectively included an endorsement of taking the no-deal option off the table. On BrexitCentral, Sir Bill Cash had been emphasising the positives to leaving the EU without a deal while Professor David Paton was calling on Labour MPs to start embracing a no-deal Brexit, as was John Mills of Labour Leave.

By the end of February, Theresa May had conceded that if her deal had not been passed by mid-March, she would give MPs a vote on ruling out a no-deal Brexit, with the opportunity of extending Article 50 past 29th March. This prompted the latest resignation from her Government when DEFRA minister George Eustice quit over what he called “a series of rather undignified retreats” from the Prime Minister over Brexit. Writing for BrexitCentral in advance of the Agreement being put to MPs for the second time, he said that if MPs voted down the Brexit deal, the only option for a serious country would be to leave without an agreement:

“If the Prime Minister’s agreement fails to get through, are we going to roll over like Greece did? Will we go back, cap in hand to ask for an extension, and then meekly accept whatever terms they attach to that extension, if it’s allowed at all? Or are we going to face them down, calmly get our coat and walk out the door?”

On 12th March, Meaningful Vote 2 saw the May deal again defeated by MPs, this time by 391 votes to 242 – a majority of 149. The following day, as May had provided for, MPs signalled their opposition to a no-deal Brexit – at that juncture still the default position in less than three weeks’ time – by 321 votes to 278, a majority of 43. So the day after that, MPs voted by 413 votes to 202 – a majority of 211 – to instruct the Government to seek an extension of the Article 50 period beyond 29th March, which Theresa May duly did.

It was only a minority of Tory MPs who backed the extension and amidst the most toxic, suspicious and fractious atmosphere I have ever observed around Parliament, I set out the dilemma facing Tory MPs expecting the deal to be brought back a third time thus:

“On the one hand, they are told by some that blocking a deal that would see the UK formally leaving the EU in a matter of weeks would provoke a backlash from voters who want Brexit delivered. Moreover, they are told that they risk no Brexit at all since it would likely lead to a long extension to the Article 50 period during which anything could happen. Indeed, they are reminded that campaigning most vociferously for the deal to be voted down right now are the so-called People’s Vote campaign, sensing it as their best opportunity to reverse Brexit altogether. On the other hand, they are advised by others that if they back the deal, there will be a public backlash some months down the line once it becomes clear to voters the constraints which it places on the British Government over the coming years. In other words, that what was a bad deal last week remains a bad deal this week.”

After EU leaders agreed to the extension to one of two possible dates – 22nd May 2019, should the Withdrawal Agreement gain approval from MPs before the end of March or 12th April 2019, should the Withdrawal Agreement not be approved by the Commons – MPs then voted to seize the Commons agenda on 27th March to allow for indicative votes on alternative ways forward in relation to Brexit. This was a ruse from the likes of Sir Oliver Letwin, Dominic Grieve, Hilary Benn and others, who were allowed by Speaker John Bercow to hang amendments on a neutral motion – a controversial move which contributed to the growing breakdown in trust between the Speaker and both the Government and Brexit-backing MPs alike. Yet when MPs discussed and voted on eight different proposals, they rejected every single one of them. And when Theresa May did bring her deal back to MPs for Meaningful Vote 3 on 29th March – the day we should have been leaving the EU – it was again rejected, this time by a majority of 58.

April Fool’s Day saw another day of indicative votes in the Commons and another day where every option put before MPs was voted down. The next day, following a seven-hour Cabinet meeting, Theresa May announced she was seeking another extension to the Article 50 period, as she also offered to sit down with Jeremy Corbyn to try to agree a plan for leaving the EU with a deal. But before she had written the letter seeking the extension, Labour MP Yvette Cooper had managed to force through the Commons in a matter of hours a Bill mandating the Prime Minister to do just that. And when EU leaders met to consider the request, it was agreed to extend Article 50 until 31st October 2019.

Anger among Brexiteers at the course of events was palpable. Rebecca Ryan of StandUp4Brexit explained that grassroots Tory Brexiteers were seething at May’s subcontracting Brexit to Jeremy Corbyn, while Viscount Ridley – better known as Matt Ridley – argued that May had betrayed those who loyally believed she meant what she said about No Deal.

More Tory MPs began openly to call for May to quit. Priti Patel wrote on BrexitCentral:

“In order to move on, what our country urgently needs now is strong leadership. Leadership that will stand up and defend our democracy, trust our people, protect our freedoms and take Britain out of the EU, immediately.”

ERG stalwart Mark Francois said it was time Tory MPs had an ‘indicative vote’ on Theresa May’s leadership before she destroyed the party.

And while Tory MPs were in open revolt, Nigel Farage had been plotting the launch of The Brexit Party, with the aim of standing candidates to fight the European Parliament election in May in which the UK would have to participate on the grounds that since we still hadn’t left the EU, we would be obliged to elect MEPs in accordance with the EU treaties. Michael Brown, a Tory MP between 1979 and 1997, explained for BrexitCentral why he had been moved to join the new party. Annunziata Rees-Mogg, a two-time Tory candidate and sister of MP Jacob, explained for us why she too had quit the Tories in order to stand as an MEP candidate for the party:

“Having joined the Conservative Party in 1984, it was a wrench to leave but I could no longer support a party whose leader appeared hellbent on riding roughshod over the largest democratic vote our nation had ever seen. I couldn’t just not support it, I felt compelled to highlight that what it was doing, driven by Mrs May, was destroying it.”

And it wasn’t only the Tories who were losing supporters over their Brexit stance. Tom Bewick, a Labour member of 25 years’ standing who had run the Vote Leave campaign in Brighton, set out why his party’s dissembling and duplicitousness on Brexit had driven him to quit.

It was during the European election campaign that Theresa May seemed to suggest during a select committee grilling that her “no deal is better than a bad deal” mantra only applied “in the abstract”, while a BBC documentary on Brexit showed the contempt in which the EU negotiators held us. Indeed, Mark Francois argued that it should be compulsory viewing before voting in the European election.

Two days before the European election, May unveiled yet another Brexit deal in which she conceded that the Northern Irish backstop could not be removed. Moreover, she would “commit in law to let Parliament decide” whether to adopt “a temporary customs union on goods only” and would include in legislation a requirement for MPs to hold a vote on whether to hold a second referendum. Tory MP Anne-Marie Trevelyan suggested that the new ‘offer’ looked beyond the pale, while Andrea Leadsom’s decision to resign as Leader of the House Commons in protest came less than 12 hours before polling stations opened for the European election.

The results were carnage for the Conservative Party: nationwide they came fifth with less than 10% of the vote, retaining just four MEPs out of 73. The Brexit Party topped the poll, winning 29 MEPs on 31.6% of the vote, while Labour languished in third place behind the Lib Dems. Tory MP Owen Paterson wrote that the reason for the defeat was obvious:

“Despite being told it time and again, the UK did not leave the European Union on 29th March. As soon as the Prime Minister opted to extend Article 50 and so necessitate the UK’s participation in these elections, the sense of betrayal – which had been long brewing – overflowed. When Mrs May compounded that sense by opening the door to a second referendum on Tuesday, it erupted. One by one, the 17.4 million people who voted to Leave the European Union had seen each and every promise which had been made to them since the referendum broken.”

Theresa May had in fact announced her decision to quit as Tory leader and Prime Minister the morning after polling day and before a single vote had even been counted, which set in train a two-month leadership contest that dominated the news agenda throughout June and July 2019.

Seven of the ten contenders for the job set out their vision for delivering Brexit during the campaign here on BrexitCentral, namely Mark Harper, Andrea Leadsom, Matt Hancock, Dominic Raab, Sajid Javid, the runner-up Jeremy Hunt and the winner, Boris Johnson, who (unlike his predecessor) then proceeded to appoint a Cabinet that believed in Brexit. In his piece for BrexitCentral, Johnson wrote:

“Three years of hand-wringing, of a managerial outlook that saw Brexit as a problem to be mitigated rather than an opportunity, has left us humiliated… Not only were we the architects of our own incarceration – in the form of the Irish backstop – but we also laid down the one weapon that might have got us what we wanted. By never truly meaning the threat to walk away, our demands were never taken seriously… Politics has changed and many of my colleagues understand this. MPs on all sides have got to understand it is their responsibility to deliver Brexit as democrats first and foremost. It was right to ask the people whether we should stay in the EU or leave, and it is right for Parliament to enact that decision. Dogs in the manger need to wake up – our democracy is too fragile to be played around with. We voted to leave and leave we will.”

But the parliamentary arithmetic had still not changed and looked like remaining a problem for Johnson as he sought to deliver Brexit. The day after the new Prime Minister took office, Fawzi Ibrahim of Trade Unionists Against The EU had another prophetic warning for Labour Remainers set on continuing to block a Brexit deal:

“The most likely scenario following Parliament failing to support a deal is a snap general election – a Brexit general election. In one single manoeuvre, the Government would pull the rug from under both Labour and the Brexit Party. The latter, whose rallying cry is ‘implement Brexit’ would be muted as the Tories would have a plan to do just that. If Labour went for Remain, it would be virtually indistinguishable from the revived Liberal Democrats and haemorrhage votes in the very constituencies that Labour is supposed to win votes. And if Labour went for respecting the 2016 referendum result but promising to negotiate its own deal, it would be seen as pie in the sky, chasing rainbows – the promise of an imaginary deal when there is a real one on offer would have little appeal. The prospect of more delay, years of uncertainty and chaos is not a vote winner; Labour would be trounced.”

In his first statement to the Commons as Prime Minister in late July, Johnson stated that “if an agreement is to be reached it must be clearly understood that the way to the deal goes by way of the abolition of the backstop” – and that became his key aim for the autumn, despite the commentariat and cognoscenti all claiming that it was an impossibility.

But with the clock ticking down to Brexit on Hallowe’en, Hilary Benn was up to his old tricks again in early September, publishing a Bill – with the support of recently-departed Cabinet ministers Philip Hammond and David Gauke – to force the Government to seek yet another extension to the Article 50 period, until January 31st 2020, unless a Brexit deal was reached or Parliament approved a no-deal Brexit by mid-October. Again, Remainers relied on Speaker Bercow to get the Bill debated by securing an emergency debate and then amending a neutral motion to seize control of the Commons agenda and the 21 Tory MPs who backed the bid to seize the agenda promptly had the party whip withdrawn – including the aforementioned Hammond and Gauke, Ken Clarke and Dominic Grieve.

Johnson said that voting for such a Bill would “plainly chop the legs out from under the UK position and make any further negotiation absolutely impossible” and that there were “no circumstances” in which he would ask Brussels to delay Brexit. He later nicknamed it the ‘Surrender Bill’ and said he would “rather be dead in a ditch” than go to Brussels and ask for an extension. But MPs voted for the Benn Bill all the same, giving it a Third Reading by 327 votes to 299, a majority of 28. After its passing, the Government proposed a motion for an early general election, but while 298 MPs backed it and only 56 opposed it, under the terms of the Fixed-term Parliaments Act, it failed to get the backing of the requisite two-thirds of MPs (434 MPs) to pass.

Austin Mitchell sagely observed that the recalcitrant Remainers kept on proposing a Brexit delay because they couldn’t agree on anything else and another eurosceptic former Labour MP, Bryan Gould, suggested that we had reached the position we were in because Remainers had collaborated with the EU to prevent an acceptable deal – and that they were doing incalculable damage to democracy with their ongoing sabotage of the referendum result. In turn, Tory MP Robert Courts took aim at the hypocritical Lib Dems for wanting to ignore the result of the Brexit referendum they had themselves demanded a decade ago.

After the Commons’ September sitting, Parliament was prorogued, to return after the party conference recess, but following legal action by a group of Remainers, the prorogation was ruled unlawful by the Supreme Court. This prompted Lord Lilley to express his sadness that British courts were becoming as politically predictable as the European Court of Justice and Patrick O’Flynn to conclude that the pro-Remain establishment’s efforts to block Brexit had reached new heights.

Speaking to the Commons on its resumption, Boris Johnson declared:

“I think the people of this country can see perfectly clearly what is going on. They know that this Parliament does not want to honour its promises to respect the referendum. The people at home know that this Parliament will keep delaying, it will keep sabotaging the negotiations because they don’t want a deal. The truth is that members opposite are living in a fantasy world. They really imagine – this is what they want to do – that they are going to cancel the first referendum, they are going to legislate for a second referendum. And that Parliament will promise that this time, it really will respect that vote — and they think that the public will therefore vote to Remain and everyone will forget the last few years… The public don’t want another referendum – what they want and what they demand, that we honour the promise we made to the voters to respect the first referendum.”

The Conservative Party Conference came and went, where the slogan ‘Get Brexit Done’ was unveiled and Johnson’s message to Brussels was that as far as he was concerned, it was a new deal or No Deal – and made a new offer to the EU. Following another (this time lawful) prorogation, the gridlocked and paralysed Parliament reassembled for a State Opening with a Queen’s Speech promising a legislative programme to “seize the opportunities” of Brexit – although it was unclear how long the session would last.

As the negotiations were reaching a conclusion in Brussels, former Tory MEP Syed Kamall revealed for us the eight mistakes he saw the UK make in the Brexit negotiations. And just a day later, news emerged from Brussels that a new deal had been struck between the UK and EU that involved replacing the backstop (that so many said would never be replaced). A number of our authors were swift to welcome the new deal, not least Jacob Rees-Mogg (now Leader of the House of Commons), Shanker Singham, Simon Boyd and Kate Andrews; and we revealed how Steve Baker had exhorted the European Research Group to back it as well.

On October 19th MPs then assembled for a rare Saturday sitting – the first since the Falklands War – to debate and vote on the new Brexit deal, but they proceeded to vote by a majority of 16 for an Oliver Letwin amendment to the Government’s motion so that MPs were unable to endorse the proposal in a Meaningful Vote, making the emergency “Super Saturday” sitting tantamount to farce. With the deal not having been endorsed, under the terms of the Benn Act/Surrender Act, the Government was forced to send to Brussels the text of a letter seeking a further Article 50 extension (albeit not signed by the Prime Minister).

Tory MP Richard Drax – a parliamentary neighbour of Letwin – did not hold back in his summation of the latest developments:

“The treachery of many MPs in this disgraced Palace of Westminster is literally sick-making… I am ashamed of this determined effort to prevent our departure from the EU. And, make no mistake, Oliver Letwin’s continued efforts to prevent a no-deal departure are only a fig-leaf for his and others’ true intentions.”

The Government swiftly introduced its European Union (Withdrawal Agreement) Bill to the Commons nonetheless and on 22nd October it secured a Second Reading by 329 votes to 299 – but the Government’s plans were immediately blown apart when MPs proceeded to vote down the timetable motion that would have ensured the Bill’s swift passage through Parliament. As a result the Government paused the legislation. A few days later the EU formally agreed a further Brexit extension until 31st January 2020 (which the terms of the Benn Act gave Johnson no option but to accept). But with the threat of a no-deal Brexit at the end of October now ruled out, opposition parties then finally relented and backed an early general election to take place on 12th December.

The rest, as they say, is history – and very recent history at that. Following Boris Johnson’s pledge not to extend the transition period beyond the end of 2020 and to seek a trade deal with the EU with no political alignment, Nigel Farage opted not to have Brexit Party candidates contest the 317 seats which the Conservatives won in 2017. Labour fought the election on a platform of negotiating a new Brexit deal and then holding a second referendum within six months, while the Conservative refrain was to “get Brexit done”. It was a refrain that resonated around the country and in places which voted Leave in 2016 that had not returned Conservative MPs for some time, if ever. Gisela Stuart, the former Labour MP who chaired the Vote Leave campaign, declared her support for the Tories, as did four Brexit Party MEPs, Annunziata Rees-Mogg, John Longworth, Lucy Harris and Lance Forman.

As Conservative campaigner Andrew Kennedy predicted here in September 2019:

“The next election will not be fought on traditional party lines. It will be fought on the battleground of ‘us versus them’, the people versus the establishment – an election between the national interest against their self-interest. And the people will win. Why? Because we will be fighting with our hearts and souls for our beliefs; they will be fighting simply to defend their privilege.”

In one of the most dramatic ever election nights, the Conservatives emerged victorious with a parliamentary majority of 80. Labour suffered their worst result since 1935. Unlike 2017, the 2019 contest really was the Brexit election: the Conservatives were promising to uphold the result of the 2016 referendum, whereas Labour, the Lib Dems, Greens and nationalist parties were all seeking either to block it or run it again (and with rules rigged to aid the Remain cause).

And what a difference an election made. In the first division of the new House of Commons on 20th December 2019, the latest incarnation of the EU Withdrawal Agreement Bill was given a Second Reading by a majority of 124. Earlier in January 2020 it completed its passage through Parliament before the European Parliament also gave its seal of approval on 29th January 2020. And at 11pm on Friday 31st January 2020 the UK’s membership of the European Union formally came to an end – 1,317 days after the referendum and 1,237 days after the launch of BrexitCentral. It took longer than we anticipated, but we got there in the end.

The post The Brexit Story, as told by BrexitCentral appeared first on BrexitCentral.

BC: When did you first come to the view that the UK would be better off out of the EU? Did you ever think that the EU could be reformed from within to make membership tolerable for the UK? Tell us how your views developed over time on the issue.

At the risk of opening myself up to a great deal of mockery, my interest in Britain’s relationship with the EU goes all the way back to my school days, when I wrote an article for my school magazine on the case for and against the Euro. It deepened during my time studying at the London School of Economics, where I interned at the European Foundation, who were the main think tank battling to prevent further transfers of power to the EU and, in particular, to keep the pound. I then worked in the European Parliament for a number of years, before setting up the TaxPayers’ Alliance in 2004. At the TPA, we had a longstanding campaign against wasteful spending by the EU, which including me co-authoring ‘The Great EU Rip-Off’. So when the Eurozone crisis struck shortly after the AV referendum (which I had been involved in as Campaign Director of NOtoAV), and it became apparent that Britain’s relationship with the EU would once again come to the fore, my longstanding interest in the issue was reignited.

I acted on this interest after David Cameron’s Bloomberg Speech, in January 2013, when he outlined his policy of renegotiation followed by a referendum. I was struck by the reaction to his speech. Business leaders called upon to appear in the media gave the proposal for a referendum a universal thumbs down, whereas the entrepreneurs I knew were virtually all supportive. So I set up Business for Britain (BfB) in March 2013 to bring together business leaders who supported a referendum on Britain’s membership of the EU. BfB’s general stance could be summarised as ‘Change, or Go’. If the Prime Minister managed to make the changes he outlined in his speech, then we should Remain in the EU. But if his renegotiation failed, we should go – or Leave the EU, to use the referendum parlance.

When David Cameron won an overall majority in the 2015 General Election, it was game on for the referendum, and BfB ramped up fundraising and campaign planning. It was more likely than not I would support leave, but it wasn’t certain. The crucial moment for me was when David Cameron conceded at the June 2015 European Council meeting that his reform agenda did not require treaty change. It was clear then that the promises he had outlined in his Bloomberg Speech couldn’t be achieved, so I went full steam ahead to transition BfB into Vote Leave.

BC: What was your most memorable moment during the referendum campaign?

There are so many memories! Aside from referendum night (see below), a special moment was Vote Leave getting designation from the Electoral Commission. I knew from having run the NOtoAV campaign in the 2011 referendum on electoral reform that a successful campaign needed to appeal to the centre ground, to swing voters. Business for Britain was pitched as a non-partisan focal point for people who shared our ‘Change, or Go’ message, and Vote Leave continued to target mainstream voters who felt, on balance, it was better to Leave the EU. Thanks to this pragmatic stance, we formed a natural home for politicians such as Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and Gisela Stuart who, in turn, successfully expanded the Leave coalition from its core voters to the members of the public who had yet to make up their minds. The designation of Vote Leave as the official Leave campaign sealed the deal and gave us the strong foundation that delivered the victory. It had been a three-year effort, from the formation of Business for Britain to getting designation, but we had successfully built a credible, mainstream Leave campaign.

The photo at the top of this article, taken on the morning of 24th June, shows another memorable moment. It includes Peter Cruddas, a stalwart of both Business for Britain and Vote Leave. Not only did Peter back both campaigns financially, but he also gave invaluable organisational support and leadership.

BC: Who was the most unlikely ally you campaigned with or shared a platform with during the referendum? Did you strike up any unexpected new friendships across traditional political divides?

As a longstanding Labour MP, Gisela Stuart was probably the most unexpected friendship I struck up. I first came across Gisela when she sat on the ‘European Convention on the Future of Europe’ – the EU’s attempt to reconnect with its citizens after the resignation of the Santer Commission. I was working as a researcher for another member of the Convention, Timothy Kirkhope MEP. Our paths then crossed again in the AV referendum, where Gisela was a strong support of NOtoAV. Fast-forwarding to 2016, I recruited her to join Vote Leave as our Chairman, rather than setting up a separate campaign to represent centre left Leave supporters. She was a superb figurehead for the campaign alongside Boris Johnson, a deft chairman of the Board, and a reassuring voice to Labour, mainstream and swing voters to support Leave. Here’s a photograph of Gisela, Sarah and myself on referendum night. It was taken shortly after the Sunderland result, the first rumblings of the electoral earthquake that was about to unfold.

BC: Where were you on referendum night? How did it feel?

As Vote Leave’s CEO, I had to be up in Manchester Town Hall for referendum night, where all the results from around the country were being collated. I was up there with Gisela Stuart, who chaired Vote Leave, Alan Halsall, Chairman of Business for Britain, and MPs including Steve Baker, Graham Brady and Nigel Evans. It was a remarkable evening. When polls closed, the news bulletins indicated that Remain had won. But I remember Gisela telling me as the news came through, “They haven’t even begun counting the vote yet. I’ve been involved in many election counts, and I know it’s way too soon to write this one off.” And she was right. We had been receiving reports on the turnout levels throughout the day, and the very high number of people turning out to vote indicated that something significant was happening. People who didn’t usually vote in elections were turning out to vote, and the data showed that they were likely than not to support Leave.

At dawn the following morning, once Gisela had spoken to the assembled media, we hotfooted it back to London to join the team at Vote Leave’s HQ overlooking Parliament. Arriving back at the office and greeting Dominic was a special moment, captured below. It had been tough few years growing Business for Britain and then building Vote Leave with Dom, but it had been worth it. The hard work had paid off.

BC: Did you think then that it would take as long as it has for Brexit to actually happen?

No, I didn’t. The post-referendum period has taken up more time than the period from David Cameron’s Bloomberg Speech to winning the referendum – a total of 1,317 days to be precise. The silver lining is that the foot-dragging by Parliamentarians riled the public so much that they rewarded Boris Johnson with his thumping majority in December. This has given us the strong, focused government that we need to capitalise on all the opportunities that Brexit presents us with, so things worked out in the end.

BC: Were there any moments in these last few years since the referendum when you thought the prize could yet be snatched from us?

Absolutely. There was a moment when I thought the Labour Party might get behind the Chequers Agreement, giving Theresa May the numbers she needed to get a Brexit in Name Only through Parliament, splitting the Conservative Party, and handing over the keys of No10 to Jeremy Corbyn. We came close to the nightmare scenario of BRINO (Brexit in name only) plus a Marxist, anti-Semitic government.

BC: Do you think the British electoral landscape will return to type once Brexit has been delivered? Or will Brexit have caused a lasting change to the political map of Britain?

I do think Brexit will cause a lasting change. The lifelong Labour voters who switched their support to Boris Johnson won’t forget how Labour MPs sought to reverse the EU referendum. When Labour lost its Scottish MPs in 2015, following the 2014 Independence referendum, they assumed they would come back at the following election. They didn’t in Scotland, and the same fate could well happen in England and Wales. But – crucially – only if the Government keeps the promises they made at the general election – which I’m confident they will.

One thing which I think isn’t appreciated enough is how Britain as a country is emerging from the Brexit process enhanced. Boris Johnson has already become a significant world leader, and he might possibly become leader of the free world over the coming years. With Donald Trump not trusted, Justin Trudeau wounded by losing the popular vote in his re-election campaign, Angela Merkel exiting the world stage and Emmanuel Macron facing political difficulties at home, Boris Johnson – buoyed by his electoral triumph in December – really has emerged as a key world leader. Far from losing our world standing as we exit the European Union, the UK is emerging from the process a stronger, more confident country. And as our economy pulls ahead of other EU members states – as all the leading forecasts suggest it will – the humiliation we faced with our Brexit difficulties last year is fast turning into admiration for us having had the guts as a country to leave a club which no longer suited our needs. It has been an epic struggle to get this far, but absolutely worth it. 

BC: What changes do you want/hope to see made now that the UK has taken back control? Can you summarise your vision for Brexit Britain?

My vision for Brexit Britain is as a liberal, internationalist country, working closely with nations across the world, trading freely to boost prosperity, and using our soft power to improve the lives of people around the globe. The whole point of Taking Back Control is that a future government might choose to follow a different agenda, but I believe that the common sense of voters will keep the country on this track. We have a great future ahead of us, and I predict that under this Government, we will be the most prosperous country in Europe.

BC: Do you have any special plans for 1st February, our first day outside the EU?

Sarah and I are looking forward to welcoming our second daughter into the world in April, and we are currently in the middle or redecorating our flat, so Saturday will be spent paintbrush in hand, working on the nursery. And then, in April, I’ll have the enjoyment of applying for her first British passport.

BC: Do you have a favourite photo of yourself from the Brexit process? If so, please share it and give us the context for it.

My favourite photograph has to be the one below of me and Sarah, shortly after 4.40am on Friday June 24th, when David Dimbleby declared on the BBC that Leave had won the referendum. We were ecstatic. I could not have got through that year without her belief in me, love, support and encouragement.

The post Brexit reflections from Matthew Elliott appeared first on BrexitCentral.

BC: When did you first come to the view that the UK would be better off out of the EU? Did you ever think that the EU could be reformed from within to make membership tolerable for the UK? Tell us how your views developed over time on the issue.

I cannot remember a time when I was enthusiastic about Britain’s membership of the EU or its preceding bodies. However, I did not think there was any prospect of leaving and therefore clung to the pious hope of reform until David Cameron came back with thin gruel from his attempted renegotiation. At that point it was clear that we had to Leave.

BC: What was your most memorable moment during the referendum campaign?

My most memorable moment was when I went to a debate in the Country Landowners Association tent at the Royal Bath and West Show where the chairman gave a long pro-Remain introduction, of which his members took no notice because the majority was pro-Leave. I thought: ‘Put that in your pipe and smoke it.’

BC: Who was the most unlikely ally you campaigned with or shared a platform with during the referendum? Did you strike up any unexpected new friendships across traditional political divides?

I have never found it difficult to have friendships across political divides, so no.

BC: Where were you on referendum night? How did it feel?

I was in TV studios. Between 3am and 4am I was with David Dimbleby and Hilary Benn discussing the results. It became clear we were going to win. I liked the fact that in 1975 David Dimbleby could have been interviewing both our fathers presenting the opposing view from their sons.

BC: Did you think then that it would take as long as it has for Brexit to actually happen?

No. I thought that everyone would accept the result and did not realise we needed to keep on campaigning. I did not have the prescience of those who set up BrexitCentral.

BC: Were there any moments in these last few years since the referendum when you thought the prize could yet be snatched from us?

Indeed, that is why I voted for Mrs May’s deal on the third go of asking.

BC: Do you think the British electoral landscape will return to type once Brexit has been delivered? Or will Brexit have caused a lasting change to the political map of Britain?

I think a number of things have happened which have reshaped the electoral map. These include the Scottish referendum and the realignment of Scottish politics away from the Labour Party and the concentration of Labour in metropolitan areas, which may have been accelerated by Brexit, but was not originated by Brexit.

The post Brexit reflections from Jacob Rees-Mogg appeared first on BrexitCentral.

The key, now, is that we seize the myriad of opportunities which await us now we are free of EU institutions, regulations and bureaucracy and a political class which seemed unable to break free of its EU-mindset. By delivering a bright, broad, global Brexit, we will re-unite our country and ensure an outstanding future for everyone in it.

That is what Global Vision is all about. As Chair, I want our mission as a news outlet to be two-fold: to cover Britain’s emergence back onto the world stage – including, we hope, trade deals with both the United States and our friends in the EU – but also to try and help shape what a global Brexit looks like. It’s about delivering for Brexit voters and holding our head high in the world. Positivity and optimism. But also responsibility and respect. For those who, like me, voted Remain and for those for whom 31st January will be a sad and not a joyous day, we want you also to contribute to finding the best solutions for Britain in the world so that we can create a truly aspirational society in which all boats can be lifted higher.

A comprehensive free trade deal with the United States is something we can all champion. Ignore the scare stories about chlorinated chicken; we already eat chlorinated salad and it is harmless. The risk of campylobacter and other diseases is much higher in the EU than it is in the US. Moreover, a million British people work in America and a million Americans here. Our defence and security is uniquely intertwined. We are partners in trade, partners in security – but also cultural partners too. Deepening our friendship benefits the UK, benefits the US – and benefits both our many shared allies and the wider world too. Let us build a truly transatlantic marketplace in financial services, in defence and in the key area of technology, from bioscience to the future of the internet.

Re-connecting with the Commonwealth will be key too. For too long, while we have turned our focus to the EU, we neglected our oldest allies, but we are now forging FTAs with Australia and New Zealand. The Commonwealth is an alignment of nations, a powerful network which shares our commitment to the rule of law, sound commercial policies and economic democracy. We must re-embrace them; and work together to boost our shared prosperity and security. We need to work with the fast-growing markets of Asia by acceding to the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans Pacific Partnership which includes eleven of these nations, many of them Commonwealth nations. We must also reach out to Africa, both in terms of new development policies that actually stimulate growth and opportunity in those countries, too long mired in conflict and poverty, and in terms of genuine Economic Partnership Agreements that are not hand-outs but really involve us opening our markets to these countries on the basis of equals.

We must not neglect Brexit voters at home. Repatriating our fishing rights, reinvigorating our fishing industry and supporting our fishermen is not just important for our economy, it has symbolic importance too. Our coastal communities must be rejuvenated; our fish must again be our own. We must also ensure we’re dealing with people’s concerns on immigration. Our country is by any reasonable measure one of the most open and tolerant in the world. Introducing a sensible, points-based immigration system will ensure it stays that way, whilst attracting the brightest and best from across the globe.

And we should not be afraid to innovate. Our economy is in good shape – happily outperforming the EU, even during recent avoidable but extended periods of “Brexit uncertainty”. It’s time to turbo-charge our economy. Yes, that will mean making the most of our opportunity to improve our domestic regulation and make it more competitive. We should embrace a tax policy that rewards our hard working people and allows them to keep more of what they earn. But it also means boosting small businesses; saving the high street and ensuring there’s the money we need to smarten up our schools and history-proof our NHS. Let’s be ambitious: Britain outside of the EU should be the best country in the world to live in, a country where no matter from where you have come your aspirations can be realised and your dreams can become real.

In December 2019, the public returned Boris Johnson to Downing Street with an 80-seat majority. The Withdrawal Agreement Act received Royal Assent and Britain leaves the European Union at 11pm on 31st January 2020. Together, we are embarking on an extraordinary journey. The Prime Minister and the Government have our very best wishes as we move into this crucial new phase. We at Global Vision intend to be a supportive, though if necessary critical, friend.

Launching on 3rd February, Global Vision will cover the latest news, comment and analysis as the United Kingdom steps back into the world as a sovereign trading nation. Its website is here, you can subscribe to its email newsletter here and you can follow Global Vision on Twitter and Facebook.

The post It’s time to seize the opportunities of Brexit and embrace a Global Vision appeared first on BrexitCentral.

They have often supplemented the compliment by asking how best to stay informed as the trade talks with the EU commence and we move to a completely different phase of thinking about what to do with the freedoms we have recovered from Brussels.

What follows is a selection of websites, campaign groups and think-tanks which we would suggest are worth keeping an eye on – and signing up for their email newsletters where they have them – in order to keep abreast of developments and debates in the post-Brexit UK. Needless to say, this is not a corporate endorsement of any of the sites or groups, or of the material they publish, but merely us trying to be helpful and collegiate!

Global Vision – Launching next week and chaired by Shanker Singham, it promises to provide the latest news, comment and analysis as the UK steps back into the world as a sovereign trading nation, with a weekly news email 
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

ConservativeHome – Must-read website if you want to keep in touch with what the Conservative Government is doing and the debates going on inside the party, with a daily email news digest sent out each morning
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Politico London Playbook – With an email despatched at 7am every weekday, this non-partisan round-up of political news is essential reading if you want a comprehensive yet readable summary of all that’s on the news agenda each morning
Website | Subscribe

Brexit-Watch – Founded by Brian Monteith and launching next week, it will analyse and report on the detail of the risks and benefits of the negotiation proposals through regular articles and a weekly email bulletin
Website (not yet live) | Twitter | Facebook

StandUp4Brexit – Campaign to ensure the democratic will of the British people to leave the EU is delivered which has successfully brought pressure to bear on the government since its establishment in July 2018
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Briefings for Britain – The new name for Briefings for Brexit, which will continue to provide academic and intellectual ballast for Brexiteers with factual evidence and reasoned arguments
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Economists for Free Trade – Originally formed as Economists for Brexit during the referendum, the group will keep a close eye on the kind of trade deal the Government negotiates with the EU
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Initiative for Free Trade – Established by Daniel Hannan to make the intellectual and moral case for free trade and to use Brexit as an opportunity to revitalise the world trading system
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Lawyers for Britain – Chaired by Martin Howe QC, the group of eminent eurosceptic lawyers will continue providing informed legal commentary on future negotiations
Website (includes subscribe link) | Twitter | Facebook

Veterans for Britain – Provides specialist commentary on defence aspects of the UK’s relationship with the EU
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Fishing for Leave – The fishing community campaign for Brexit, which now wants to ensure that the Government restores full control over UK fishing waters
Website | Twitter | Facebook

Get Britain Out – Grassroots campaign dedicated to supporting Brexit
Website | Subscribe | Twitter | Facebook

Campaign for an Independent Britain – Long-standing campaign which was originally founded to oppose Common Market entry in the first place
Website | Twitter | Facebook

The Red Cell – Small think-tank run by Lee Rotherham that regularly publishes Brexit-related material
Website

Freedom Association – Home of the Better Off Out campaign which began promoting UK withdrawal from the EU in 2006
Website

Politeia – Think-tank which has regularly been publishing Brexit-related material
Website | Twitter

Labour Leave – Political home for Labour-backing Brexiteers
Website | Twitter | Facebook

Bruges Group – Pro-Brexit think-tank inspired by Margaret Thatcher’s Bruges speech of 1988
Website | Twitter | Facebook

Open Europe – Think-tank providing regular analysis on the Brexit debate from London and Brussels
Website | Twitter | Facebook

The post How to keep up to speed with post-Brexit negotiations and developments appeared first on BrexitCentral.

BC: When did you first come to the view that the UK would be better off out of the EU? Did you ever think that the EU could be reformed from within to make membership tolerable for the UK? Tell us how your views developed over time on the issue.

In 1985/86 when I was first on the European Select Committee and saw the reality of what was an undemocratic system at work. I never believed that it was possible to reform the EU from within because of the centralised legal framework requiring unanimity to change the laws. My views accelerated at the time of Maastricht and I promoted the rebellion because Maastricht created European government, overriding our parliamentary democracy and parliamentary government, by our abdicating our sovereignty, as did the Lisbon Treaty as well. My first sovereignty amendment was on the Single European Act in June 1986, which is now replicated in Section 38 of the European Union Withdrawal Agreement Act. I was not even allowed to debate the issue of sovereignty in June 1986. My opposition to European integration has always been one step at a time. It is about self-government, democracy and sovereignty.

BC: What was your most memorable moment during the referendum campaign?

Hearing the Sunderland result in the early morning.

BC: Who was the most unlikely ally you campaigned with or shared a platform with during the referendum? Did you strike up any unexpected new friendships across traditional political divides?

Nigel Farage in the Oxford Union debate. He believes in proportional representation and I don’t, and I fundamentally disagreed with his ultimatum to the Conservative Party and in standing against us. As for friendships across the political divide, I have always admired the principled Labour members such as Kate Hoey, Kelvin Hopkins and Graham Stringer.

BC: Where were you on referendum night? How did it feel?

I was in my flat after midnight, having been with friends beforehand. I felt we would win because I’ve always trusted the British people and their common sense more than the establishment or the political class.

BC: Did you think then that it would take as long as it has for Brexit to actually happen?

Yes, all constitutional change on this scale takes about twenty years. It has always been a step-by-step process, as for example with the Corn Laws (1846) led by Cobden and Bright (my great-grandfather’s cousin), and the vote for the man in the street in 1867, by Bright, forcing Disraeli into accepting this democracy.

BC: Were there any moments in these last few years since the referendum when you thought the prize could yet be snatched from us?

I was deeply worried by the sheer undemocratic paralysis in Parliament during the late autumn last year, brought about by MPs reversing their previous votes and a deadlock which could only be undone by a general election. I always believed we would break through and the election of Boris Johnson as leader of the Conservative Party was fundamental to this – and the outcome of the General Election clinched it, endorsing the referendum result by our victory in the General Election.

BC: Do you think the British electoral landscape will return to type once Brexit has been delivered? Or will Brexit have caused a lasting change to the political map of Britain?

No I don’t think the landscape will return to type, because Brexit, the referendum vote and the General Election result demonstrated that British voters want to govern themselves, and the Conservative Party wants this and a reintegration on this basis of North and South. The Labour Party’s failure to understand this is why they lost and there is no evidence that they have learned their lessons. Brexit, being about self-government and democracy and sovereignty, is a fundamental reaffirmation of our system of parliamentary government which will last.

BC: What changes do you want/hope to see made now that the UK has taken back control? Can you summarise your vision for Brexit Britain?

That the government of the United Kingdom in future will make its own laws, through the majority of its own elected representatives, in line with the wishes of the British people in general elections. Also, that the Civil Service, the Establishment and the judiciary will regain the confidence to make their own decisions, as we have for centuries, and no longer be subjugated to qualified majority voting of laws made in the Council of Ministers, without even a transcript, and generally speaking by consensus.

This is not a vision. This will be a fact. And will enable us to trade on our own terms throughout the world, where 90% of all future trade will be outside the EU, and where we can trade across the world as we always have for centuries, not only with the European Union (because they need us to trade with them), but also independently with, for example, the United States, the Commonwealth and the Anglosphere, and indeed with all other countries, without our trade policy being determined by the EU. We will regain our democracy and our sovereignty, upon which everything else ultimately depends.

BC: Do you have any special plans for 1st February, our first day outside the EU?

Breathe a deep sigh of relief.

BC: Do you have a favourite photo of yourself from the Brexit process? If so, please share it and give us the context for it.

As above, taken by a colleague, of me voting on the Third Reading in the House of Commons of the Withdrawal Agreement Bill, as I went through the lobby, putting the seal on the democratic decision to leave the European Union in the elected chamber.

The post Brexit reflections from Sir Bill Cash appeared first on BrexitCentral.

BC: When did you first come to the view that the UK would be better off out of the EU? Did you ever think that the EU could be reformed from within to make membership tolerable for the UK? Tell us how your views developed over time on the issue.

After the debacle of the Lisbon Treaty, which gave the EU the legal personality of a state and was rammed through without the promised referendum in Britain, I concluded that the EU was dead set on becoming a superstate and that we would be better off out.

I remember a notable conversation about the issue with Matthew Elliott, who was then boss of the TaxPayers’ Alliance, some time around 2008. I suggested the Lib Dems under Nick Clegg had just called for an In/Out referendum because they thought that was the one EU referendum issue that could be won by their side. But Matthew told me he thought a Leave campaign could win if the campaign was pitched correctly. That stuck with me.

As Chief Political Commentator of the Daily Express, the main task at the time was to see off Gordon Brown and help David Cameron get elected. But shortly after the 2010 election, I pitched the idea of the paper launching a Better Off Out campaign to the editor and his deputy. Slightly to my surprise, they went for it.

We launched in November 2010 and despite having had an instinct for the pent-up anti-EU feeling in the country, I was astonished by the volume of support it attracted from the off – hundreds of thousands of people were signed up supporters within a few weeks.

BC: What was your most memorable moment during the referendum campaign?

I had several very memorable moments. Appearing for the Vote Leave side, along with the Tory MEP David Campbell Bannerman, in the main BBC TV Look East live referendum debate against the likes of Liz Truss was a great honour. I may be biased, but I think we performed rather well.

Being master of ceremonies at a huge Leave rally in Peterborough starring Nigel Farage was another great moment and appearing for the Leave side at the Cambridge Union in a debate organised by my old school in a very pro-Remain city was also a lovely experience.

BC: Who was the most unlikely ally you campaigned with or shared a platform with during the referendum? Did you strike up any unexpected new friendships across traditional political divides?

I’ve been campaigning for Leave since the back end of 2010, so I have been on platforms with a lot of people over the years. I very much enjoyed sharing platforms with various newspaper journalists such as Tony Parsons, Allison Pearson and Leo McKinstry at events I organised. It was very important to our chances of success that a core of newspaper columnists came out for Leave and as a former newspaper man myself, I was delighted to contribute to encouraging some of them to get involved in campaigning – not that they needed much encouragement!

As a long-standing political journalist, I always had friends and acquaintances across the parties. My respect for some politicians grew enormously during the campaign though – people like Graham Stringer for Labour and also Iain Duncan Smith who rang me during the campaign as he had heard I was concerned Vote Leave hadn’t been making enough of a case about the economic risks of Remain.

I’d written a piece for the Express about it and IDS was very interested to go through the arguments. I’d given him quite a tough time when I was Daily Express Political Editor and he was Leader of the Opposition, so I was especially impressed by his willingness to set that aside for the greater cause. He also struck me as one of the best-briefed senior politicians on the Leave side – a relatively unsung hero of the campaign. Shortly after our conversation, Boris Johnson wrote a piece in his Telegraph column covering similar territory, so I hope it got fed into the system.

BC: Where were you on referendum night? How did it feel?

During the day I campaigned with my friend Stewart Jackson in Peterborough, where I had my MEP office and where Stewart was the MP. I felt rather gloomy by late afternoon, feeling that the Remainers were likely to narrowly win – although I remember Stewart reporting that Andrew Bridgen had rung to say the queues in his patch were remarkable and they weren’t formed by people waiting to vote to stay in the EU!

On the night itself I decided not to go to any receptions, but sat at home watching on television. It felt very emotional. Not for the first time – and not for the last – I found the stoicism and courage of the British people, particularly of working class communities, in the face of the Project Fear bombardment quite humbling. We have to deliver for those patriotic communities that never stopped believing in Britain and were ready to take a risk on our vision, despite not having the cushion of lots of money in the bank.

BC: Did you think then that it would take as long as it has for Brexit to actually happen?

Not really. I was naïve enough to think that the other side would be sensible and honourable enough to try and make the best of a new political paradigm outside the EU. At one point – around autumn 2016 – I think most of them were of that mindset. But May’s “Dithering Doris” antics and her failure to instil any sense of confidence or enthusiasm about the Brexit process let them back in the game.

BC: Were there any moments in these last few years since the referendum when you thought the prize could yet be snatched from us?

Yes, absolutely. I thought May’s terrible “lock-in” deal on the backstop could easily turn into a prelude to Britain rejoining and assumed that the Remainers might see this and help push it through. Fortunately they became so arrogant that they focused on blocking our EU departure altogether.

Last autumn I thought the so-called “Remain Alliance” was likely to block an early election and keep ratcheting up the pressure for a second, rigged referendum. But luckily that is not how things turned out in the end, mainly thanks to the Lib Dems believing their own hype after coming second in the European elections.

BC: Do you think the British electoral landscape will return to type once Brexit has been delivered? Or will Brexit have caused a lasting change to the political map of Britain?

I think Brexit has delivered lasting change to the political complexion of the country. It has broken the grip of the liberal left elite and the consequences will unfurl over many years. It has led working-class voters to stop allowing Labour to take them for granted and to regain a confident, distinctive voice. That can only be a good thing in my book.

BC: What changes do you want/hope to see made now that the UK has taken back control? Can you summarise your vision for Brexit Britain?

The changes are up to the electorate. Our general elections will become more substantial events, with many more policy issues decided at the national level once more. Obviously I hope for a more sensible immigration policy, but the biggest change is the return to nation state democracy so that the people can decide.

BC: Do you have any special plans for 1st February, our first day outside the EU?

I expect to be nursing a rather sore head, but am also likely to be at a football match, surrounded by fellow supporters who on the main are of a Brexity persuasion, so I should be in good company.

I will be hosting a lunch some time in February for some of the people who’ve helped me the most in my own campaigning and also trying to seek out other long-term collaborators from the early days – people like Malcolm Pearson and Toby Blackwell – to pass on my heartfelt thanks and raise a toast with them to our marvellous country and the many millions of brilliant, patriotic people who reside within it.

BC: Do you have a favourite photo of yourself from the Brexit process? If so, please share it and give us the context for it.

One of my favourite photos is as above, from the early days of the Daily Express campaign. It shows a small group of us walking, Reservoir Dogs-style, up Downing Street early in 2011 to deliver some of the hundreds of thousands of campaign coupons to David Cameron’s front door. I remember being flanked by Peter Bone and Kate Hoey, while Philip Hollobone, Philip Davies and Douglas Carswell were also there.

There was only a small band of MPs prepared to put their heads above the parapets back then. I can’t emphasise enough what a radical departure campaigning to leave the EU was seen as. I think some lobby colleagues on the likes of The Sun, Daily Mail and Telegraph – let alone the BBC and other broadcasters – just thought this was a moonshot from me and that I had lost the plot.

The post Brexit reflections from Patrick O’Flynn appeared first on BrexitCentral.

We should make it a genuinely national celebration by a magnanimous gesture to those who’ve buggered us around for the last three years: why not give a pound bag of Brussels sprouts to all the Euroflag wavers as they hand in their redundant flags? No need to reward the senior fifth column. They’re sure to get a plastic medal allowing free access to every pay toilet in Europe…

Celebration is justified. But don’t think the battle is over. The goal of a fair break to boost Britain rather than shackling it to the decaying hulk of the EU is still to be won.

Forget all the bromides about close and meaningful relationships. For the EU that means accepting their rules, their shackles and their decisions. We’re now their consumer of last resort keeping their industry and agriculture going. So they won’t welcome efforts to reduce our huge balance of trade deficit, any effort to build up our industries or any relationships with alternative suppliers to offer a better deal.

The EU can’t negotiate. It can only demand. It won’t relax its inflexible rules about free movement of labour and capital, the ban on state aid and the neoliberal economics which subject them all to Germany. These are the conditions for belonging to its protective bloc – and it can’t allow them to be undermined, particularly by a neighbour as close and important as Britain.

So instead of negotiating as they should do under Article 50, their aim will be to drag things out, delay decisions and claim that with 27 members needing to agree, they can’t meet deadlines – thereby making things as difficult as possible for our negotiators.

This in turn re-empowers their fifth column which has divided the country and encouraged the EU to be as difficult as possible for three wasted years. At the moment they’re bemused and battered, with Labour beginning to think they should shut up on Brexit and accept that the job of opposition is to see that government implements the wishes of the people. Sadly that lesson hasn’t been learned by the last ditchers for whom the EU is a matter of religion, not national interest.

The fifth column which made the EU so obdurate is still there. Although it can’t now encourage the EU or justify any punishments it wants to impose on us as negotiations prove difficult, they will undermine our case, demand that it should be agreed by Parliament and Tony Blair, raise the old fears of “No Deal” and urge the acceptance of an unsatisfactory one. The EU is still their religion and for them all’s fair in love and Brexit.

Don’t despair. The Government has a majority, the people want Brexit done and the EU will no longer be encouraged in intransigence by the British fifth column who’ve been deeply discredited. In an uncertain world where the EU is less relevant, it’s more difficult in the eyes of the world to set out to undermine and punish us.

Boris is right in settling a tight timetable for an institution which can delay and obfuscate forever. He’s right too to negotiate with other countries, particularly the US, to keep up the pressure. Yet in dealing with such a slippery and devious antagonist, it would be a mistake to take anything for granted.

The post Boris has a mandate to get Brexit done – but don’t underestimate how slippery Brussels will be appeared first on BrexitCentral.