Moscow - Economic Crisis

What Would It Take to Restore a Peace Order in Europe?

Dmitri Trenin, Marc Pierini, Andrei Kolesnikov — Wed, 11 Feb 2015 10:37:31 +0000

Western leaders’ recent attempts to assure a diplomatic resolution of the Ukraine crisis may come to no avail. Is it possible to restore the peaceful, European status quo amidst such rapidly growing East-West animosity? Eurasia Outlook asked Carnegie’s experts to share their thoughts.

What Is the Future for Donbas?

Alexey Malashenko, Balázs Jarábik, Andrei Kolesnikov — Tue, 27 Jan 2015 09:18:07 +0000

This past weekend’s intensified fighting and shelling in southeastern Ukraine, from Donetsk to Mariupol, escalated the Ukraine crisis to a new level. As more people die, political negotiations and eventual diplomatic compromise look less and less likely. What, under these circumstances, does the future hold for Donbas?

Ukraine Fatigue: To Be or Not to Be (Bailed Out)

Balázs Jarábik — Tue, 20 Jan 2015 09:01:52 +0000

Ukraine is teetering on the brink of default and its government is devoting more energy to public relations than actual reforms. Recent developments in Ukraine are likely to fuel the creation of a new black hole in Europe.

Putin’s Biggest Challenge Is Public Support

Dmitri Trenin — Thu, 15 Jan 2015 17:13:11 +0000

To escape the analogy of a revolution, Vladimir Putin must rise above the rapacious elite, and to avoid being overthrown, he must replace it.

Despite Crisis, Reform Elusive for Russia

Dmitri Trenin — Wed, 31 Dec 2014 22:15:38 +0000

For the Russian economic and political system, as well as for the country’s foreign relations, the current economic crisis is an existential one. Russia will exit from it in a very different form from what it is today.

Looking Back on 2014

Alexei Arbatov, Mikhail Krutikhin, Alexey Malashenko — Tue, 30 Dec 2014 10:19:15 +0000

Eurasia Outlook asked its experts to reflect on the dramatic events of 2014 and to share their predictions for Russia's future and for its role on the global stage going forward.

What Should We Do About the Weakening Ruble, Lower Oil Prices and Sanctions?

Sergei Aleksashenko, Mikhail Krutikhin, Yuval Weber — Tue, 23 Dec 2014 11:02:51 +0000

Eurasia Outlook asked several experts what, if anything, can be done by Russian policymakers in order to weather the perfect storm descending on the country's economy.

From Inside Putin’s Parallel Universe, the Crisis Looks Bright

Eugene Rumer — Mon, 22 Dec 2014 22:03:50 +0000

The crisis presents Putin with an opportunity to tighten his grip on business, to see who is loyal and who is not, to pick winners and losers, to decide who will receive state support and whose assets should be “redistributed”.

Unexpected Blow: How Falling Oil Prices and the Depreciating Ruble Influence Russia’s Pivot to Asia

Alexander Gabuev — Thu, 04 Dec 2014 09:32:05 +0000

The falling oil price and rapid devaluation of Russian currency not only affect the economy, the budget, and the joking habits of the elite, but also have an effect on Moscow’s foreign policy.

OPEC Cuts Into Russian Coffers, But Will Expensive Grand Strategy Live On?

Yuval Weber — Tue, 02 Dec 2014 10:54:43 +0000

In reduced economic circumstances the big test for Russia is whether it will be forced to retrench, or whether Vladimir Putin will take his chances on expansionist foreign policy at a moment when there’s less money to go around to combat legitimate threats.

Weak Ruble Exchange Rate Represents Political Bargaining Challenge

Yuval Weber — Wed, 19 Nov 2014 09:48:08 +0000

The financial troubles of the ruble represent the most striking and dangerous strategic challenge facing the Russian state since the conflict in Ukraine began.

Russia, Ukraine, and the Visegrad: Time to Get Real

Balázs Jarábik — Fri, 14 Nov 2014 20:53:13 +0000

The crisis in Ukraine has betrayed fault lines in the Visegrad Group. Unless Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic change course, the “golden age” of Central Europe may come to an end.

For Russia, Asia Is No Substitute for the West

Akio Kawato — Thu, 16 Oct 2014 09:56:18 +0000

Facing Western sanctions, some Russian pundits are rushing to find an easy way out through increased cooperation with Asia. However, nothing can replace the West for Russia.

Hot Water in Ukraine

Balázs Jarábik — Tue, 23 Sep 2014 20:17:45 +0000

Ukraine needs more than the current level of Western assistance. But the Ukrainian government also needs to pull its weight, promising (and delivering) transparency.

Transatlantic Trends 2014

Constanze Stelzenmüller, Lev Gudkov, Dmitri Trenin — Fri, 12 Sep 2014 04:00:00 +0000

According to this year’s Transatlantic Trends survey, Russians have an increasingly unfavorable view of the United States and the EU. Americans and Europeans also had more negative outlooks toward Russia in 2014 than previous years.