Moscow - Foreign and Security Policy

Lieberman’s Trip to Russia: What Was Behind It?

Nikolay Kozhanov — Tue, 17 Feb 2015 09:52:22 +0000

It is still unclear whether Lieberman’s trip will bring any deep changes in Russian-Israeli relations. However, the fact that Lieberman’s agenda in Moscow included such a wide range of questions shows that, at present, the two countries’ interests intersect at many points.

Ukraine Points Towards the Start of a Tumultuous New Era in World Politics

Dmitri Trenin — Sun, 15 Feb 2015 10:03:49 +0000

Ukraine and the global crisis over it point to the start of a new period in world politics. Great powers—Russia overtly, China covertly—are challenging the U.S.-dominated order. Also, in the foreseeable future, there will be no common security system in Europe.

The Disturbing Legacy of the Ukraine Crisis

Dmitri Trenin — Thu, 12 Feb 2015 17:59:21 +0000

The new Minsk agreement will not necessarily prevent further escalation, but it might postpone it. The world should work hard to make sure that the truce does not founder, leading to a broader war.

What Would It Take to Restore a Peace Order in Europe?

Dmitri Trenin, Marc Pierini, Andrei Kolesnikov — Wed, 11 Feb 2015 10:37:31 +0000

Western leaders’ recent attempts to assure a diplomatic resolution of the Ukraine crisis may come to no avail. Is it possible to restore the peaceful, European status quo amidst such rapidly growing East-West animosity? Eurasia Outlook asked Carnegie’s experts to share their thoughts.

Moscow Takes BRICS Summit As New Launch Pad for Global Influence

Dmitri Trenin — Mon, 26 Jan 2015 20:25:53 +0000

By hosting the seventh summit of the BRICS group, Vladimir Putin will demonstrate to the Russian people and the world that his country is anything but isolated.

Putin’s Biggest Challenge Is Public Support

Dmitri Trenin — Thu, 15 Jan 2015 17:13:11 +0000

To escape the analogy of a revolution, Vladimir Putin must rise above the rapacious elite, and to avoid being overthrown, he must replace it.

The Russian Military in the Ukraine Crisis

Dmitri Trenin — Mon, 12 Jan 2015 10:09:53 +0000

The newest iteration of Russia’s military doctrine was clearly written with an eye to Ukraine. The military operation in late February 2014 to secure the Crimea has revealed new capabilities and tactics that the Russian military possesses today.

Eurasia Outlook

Dmitri Trenin — Thu, 01 Jan 2015 12:00:04 +0000

Throughout the year, Eurasia Outlook has been trying to bring to your attention a variety of views from across the vast region on the region itself. At the beginning of 2015, we are taking a customary holiday break. We will be back on January 12.

Despite Crisis, Reform Elusive for Russia

Dmitri Trenin — Wed, 31 Dec 2014 22:15:38 +0000

For the Russian economic and political system, as well as for the country’s foreign relations, the current economic crisis is an existential one. Russia will exit from it in a very different form from what it is today.

The Great Clash Explained: What Drives Dangerous Tensions Between the West and Russia

Dmitri Trenin — Tue, 30 Dec 2014 22:01:58 +0000

For over two decades, no one in the West felt the need for regulating Russia’s relations with NATO. The lesson of the Napoleonic wars about the need to integrate a former adversary—which was forgotten after WWI—has been forgotten again.

2014: Russia’s New Military Doctrine Tells It All

Dmitri Trenin — Mon, 29 Dec 2014 10:26:31 +0000

As one of his final acts in 2014, President Putin signed on December 26 the country’s new military doctrine. The new doctrine makes it clear that even if the West is not officially an adversary, it is a powerful competitor and a bitter rival, a source of most of military risks and threats.

Russia’s Breakout From the Post-Cold War System: The Drivers of Putin’s Course

Dmitri Trenin — Mon, 22 Dec 2014 20:33:19 +0000

In 2014, Russia broke out of the post-Cold War order and openly challenged the U.S.-led international system. Moscow’s new course is laid down first and foremost by President Vladimir Putin, but it also reflects the rising power of Russian nationalism.

Russia and the West: What Next?

Dmitri Trenin — Tue, 16 Dec 2014 05:00:00 +0000

In 2014, Russia broke out of the post–Cold War order and openly challenged the U.S.-led international system. The new period of rivalry between the Kremlin and the West is likely to endure for years.

The End of Consensus: What does Europe Want from Russia?

Dmitri Trenin — Mon, 15 Dec 2014 10:51:39 +0000

Many in Russia believe that the EU sanctions appeared as a result of the Ukrainian conflict and pressure from Washington. But the reasons for the current deterioration in Russia’s relations with Europe are far more profound.

Russia Must Sit Up and Take Notice of India

Dmitri Trenin — Tue, 09 Dec 2014 10:22:32 +0000

It appears that Vladimir Putin’s visit to India will not lead to a breakthrough in Russian-Indian relations. If nothing is done soon following his visit to materially upgrade the relationship, its stagnation will become qualitative, not just quantitative.