Counting The Odds

Free E-book: Intro to the Math of Poker

I’ve compiled a short (just 7-pages) e-book, an introduction to the mathematics of poker. It’s basically covers how to calculate your expected value in a certain spot – starting with explaining what EV is, all ...

Pre-flop Raise, then C-bet Strategy

I was playing a live game on Friday night, and someone commented that I rely too much on the “preflop raise, then c-bet flop” strategy. It’s a strategy that I picked up from Daniel Negreanu’s ...

Get My Free Pocket Guide to Poker Odds

Have you ever wondered how well a suited connector does against a pocket pair? Or how likely a set on the flop is likely to hold up against an open ended straight flush draw? Or ...

Win a Free Poker Book of Your Choice

I’m sure that all of you have poker books that you want to read. I mean, no matter how good we are, we can always improve, right? So, in 2 week’s time, I’m giving away a ...

A Closer Look at the AQo Hand

Since my last post, I’ve had some discussions on the 2+2 forums about that hand. And so I thought I’d take a closer look at the hand. I realized I should be considering the odds ...

Folding AQ offsuit Preflop

[update: After some discussions on the forum, I realized I was missing something, and so I've taken a closer look at the hand. You can read the new analysis here.] I was playing in a live ...

Getting Value From Flush Draw on the Flop

This is a topic I’ve been wondering about, so I thought I’d do some calculations to figure out the best line of play here. So, imagine a situation like this. Poker Stars $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold’em ...

Opponent Modelling – Calling/Raising a 4-bet

One thing about poker math is that it’s not just about odds. A proper application of math to poker also looks at modelling opponents. So, today I want to take an initial look at this. Say, ...

WBCOOP 2010 So Far

So far I’ve played in two events of this year’s WBCOOP, finishing 233rd out of 1740 in Event #1, and and 329th out of 1876 in Event #4. It’s nice to be finishing in the ...

Small Ball Strategy – Flop Bet Sizing

In a previous post, I looked at this example from TrueGamble, and studied the preflop action; concluding that the ideal raise would have been between 2.5x to 3x the big blind, and that the 2x ...