Election Projection - 2012 Edition

Scandal-scarred Republican Ex-Gov Mark Sanford holds SC-1 for the GOP

Tue, 07 May 2013 21:57:00 -0500

In a race that had this conservative confronting my own convictions, Mark Sanford has won the special election for South Carolina's 1st District. As you may recall, Sanford gained fame..er..imfamy by visiting his mistress in Argentina while claiming to be "hiking the Appalachian trail." ...

Military bans access to Southern Baptist website - updated

Wed, 24 Apr 2013 22:32:00 -0500

From Todd Starnes, Fox News: The U.S. Military has blocked access to the Southern Baptist Convention's website on an unknown number of military bases because it contains "hostile content" - just weeks after an Army briefing labeled Evangelical Christians and Roman Catholics ...

Max Baucus' decision leaves Democrats with another open Senate seat to defend

Tue, 23 Apr 2013 21:00:00 -0500

Six-term Montana Senator Max Baucus has decided against trying for a seventh in 2014. His departure represents the seventh open seat Senate Democrats will be defending next year. Of those, however, only three - Tom Harkin's seat in Iowa, Jay Rockefeller's seat in West Virginia and Baucus' seat ...

Massachusetts special senate election primary poll

Sun, 21 Apr 2013 23:14:00 -0500

In nine days, Bay Staters will head to the polls to choose their parties' choices to replace former Senator John Kerry, the new Secretary of State in the Obama administration. A new poll conducted by Western New England Polling Institute shows ...

Rothenberg: House likely to stay in Republican hands in 2014

Mon, 18 Mar 2013 23:04:00 -0500

Stuart Rothenberg, a well-respected expert on congressional elections and a long-time member of my "pundit panel" for projecting House races here at Election Projection, has published a quick overview of the 2014 landscape in the House with attention to Democrats' opportunities for retaking the House. ...

Economic growth - another casualty of Obamacare?

Wed, 13 Mar 2013 10:26:00 -0500

It appears economic growth will be at least stifled as a result of Obamacare. According to Mike Ruffer, franchise owner of eigth Five Guys burger joints, plans to expand are on hold because of the economic impact Obamacare will bring. ...

Doctor who "cured" HIV baby was a Southern Baptist missionary

Fri, 08 Mar 2013 12:38:00 -0500

The apparent cure of an infant infected with the HIV virus has made national news. What has not be so widely published is the fact that Dr. Hannah Gay, the doctor whose aggressive treatment led to the cure, and her husband served as Southern Baptist missionaries in Ethiopia back in the 1980's. ...

More Obamacare insanity - from Ben Stein - updated

Mon, 25 Feb 2013 14:11:00 -0500

This speaks so very loudly about the merits of Obamacare. (corrected) ...

2013 Elections: Interesting races

Wed, 20 Feb 2013 09:40:00 -0500

One of the things I want to focus on this year is the few off-year elections taking place around the country. To be sure 2013 will not be brimming with exciting contests, but, still, there will be several worth keeping an eye on. ...

Ideas I'm tossing around for Election Projection

Fri, 15 Feb 2013 14:24:00 -0500

Six weeks, two posts - yes, I know that's pretty slack of The Blogging Caesar. In case you're wondering, I do intend on blogging more often very soon. In the meantime, I wanted to let you in on some possible new features for Election Projection. ...

This is not the USA I grew up in

Mon, 21 Jan 2013 21:49:00 -0500

A look at the headlines just now on MSN.com tells a dramatic story of change from what I knew as a child. ...

Refreshed after a holiday hiatus and a Bahamas cruise with the family, The Blogging Caesar is back!

Mon, 14 Jan 2013 22:33:00 -0500

A new year has dawned and life goes on - despite a most disappointing election result two months ago. The blogging here at Election Projection will resume now that I've been able to rest and enjoy Christmas and a cruise to the Bahamas with the family. Actually, I'm looking forward to the future of EP. ...

Happy Thanksgiving!

Thu, 22 Nov 2012 11:09:00 -0500

You may have been wondering if I had fallen off the face of the earth. Well, I haven't. I'm still here. These last two weeks I have been in recuperation mode. It is not until after the election every two years that I realize how much it takes out of me ...

2012 turnout matches 2008, not 2004

Fri, 09 Nov 2012 15:15:00 -0500

For much of September and October, talking heads on the right repeatedly pointed to the partisan breakdown of the polls and touted the predicted outcome of the election based on "unskewing" those polls. Even I dabbled a bit in that line of thinking by posting my version of unskewed polls ...

Barack Obama re-elected; Election Projection 49/50; the polls weren't skewed - updated

Wed, 07 Nov 2012 13:18:00 -0500

(This post was published before many of the votes were counted. See the update at the end for corrected information.)
Yesterday, Barack Obama received 10 million votes less than he did four years ago but still won the presidency for another term. Remarkably, the much-maligned John McCain garnered 3 million more votes in 2008 than Mitt Romney did this year. ...

Final Election Projection Update, Election Day November 6 - updated

Tue, 06 Nov 2012 09:48:00 -0500

President Obama, 303-235 - The final Election Projection is posted, and the numbers are not what this conservative Republican had hoped they would be. President Obama is projected to fall a bit short of his convincing victory four years ago but still comfortably win re-election. ...