http://electionprojection.com/ Projecting the upcoming elections ... and commenting on things along the way. en-us Sun, 15 Nov 2009 22:29:00 -0500 Sun, 15 Nov 2009 22:29:00 -0500 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss 319 319 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/aFT31dtyRrQ/fifty_state_tour_arizona_preview_111509.php The Grand Canyon state has been a reliable electoral vote haul for the GOP. But, while it is favorable to GOP candidates seeking other statewide offices, Arizona has been known to elect a Democrat from time to time. In 2010, the usual trends should hold ... Sun, 15 Nov 2009 22:29:00 -0500 Sunday, November 15, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/fifty_state_tour_arizona_preview_111509.php http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/rhxaFYcm-eI/index.php OH Gov: Kasich catches Up to Strickland Thu, 12 Nov 2009 11:01:00 -0500 http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php?quick=110024 316 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/eXOIPjL5jwg/fifty_state_tour_alaska_preview.php Frank Murkowski is a former long-time senator and one-term governor of Alaska. For nearly 3 decades, from 1980 to the mid 2000's, he cast a long and often controversial shadow on Alaska politics. ... Thu, 12 Nov 2009 00:12:00 -0500 Thursday, November 12, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/fifty_state_tour_alaska_preview.php http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/9hrpzfeHIHQ/index.php Healthcare: once the foot is in the door... - John Muhammad, Nidal Hasan - peas in a pod Tue, 10 Nov 2009 10:10:00 -0500 http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php?quick=100756 314 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/ZB8i-zZLJZo/fifty_state_tour_alabama_preview.php And so the tour begins. Over the next few weeks, I'll be taking a look at each state, evaluating all 37 Senate races (38 if Hutchinson runs for Texas governor), 37 statehouse contests and nearly 60 top-tier competitive House races. Since we'll be travelling alphabetically, we start today in Alabama. ... Tue, 10 Nov 2009 00:23:00 -0500 Tuesday, November 10, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/fifty_state_tour_alabama_preview.php http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/G62tQvOdox8/index.php After Hoffman, conservatives to aid Rubio in FL - Arizona Gov: Brewer will run for re-election - Will Dems survive '10 after passing Obamacare? Mon, 09 Nov 2009 11:59:00 -0500 http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php?quick=103051 311 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/0HEEL7JqDS0/election_projection_2010_edition_comes_online.php I've done a lot of work behind the scenes recently to get ready for the launch of Election Projection - 2010 Edition. The hours have paid off, and now I'm ready to go. Sat, 07 Nov 2009 21:37:00 -0500 Saturday, November 7, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/election_projection_2010_edition_comes_online.php http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/fOcxp1xanmA/index.php AARP to endorse gov't health care takeover - Obama's ideas are losers for other Dems - Virginia GOP plans to clean house in 2010 - Abortion, immigration stall health care bill Thu, 05 Nov 2009 21:40:00 -0500 http://www.electionprojection.com/index.php?quick=211707 308 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/4tIHlIP723g/takeaways_from_election_2009.php All-in-all it was a very good night last night for conservatives. Virginia and New Jersey both have GOP governors-elect, a third-party conservative garnered 45% of the vote in a liberal GOP district, and traditional marriage ran its record to 31-0 as Maine joined 30 other states whose voters have affirmed the true meaning of matrimony. ... Wed, 04 Nov 2009 20:32:00 -0400 Wednesday, November 4, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/takeaways_from_election_2009.php 307 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/WjCH3jOlcUA/election_night_2009.php You can watch the election returns come in tonight for the three headlining contests of Election 2009 at these websites. ... Tue, 03 Nov 2009 18:23:00 -0400 Tuesday, November 3, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/election_night_2009.php 307 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/YRn4_-cUHm4/jonah_goldberg_on_new_york_cd23.php Well said... I wish talking heads could keep it straight. NY-23 is definitely a historically Republican district, that doesn't mean it's a historically conservative one. ... Tue, 03 Nov 2009 11:59:00 -0400 Tuesday, November 3, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/jonah_goldberg_on_new_york_cd23.php 306 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/i1TNeJD1j_U/ny_cd_23_scozzafava_withdrawal_helps_hoffman_or_does_it.php Planned-parenthood-approved GOP candidate Dede Scozzafava saw the precipitous decline in her polling numbers and decided to quit the race for the House seat in New York's 23rd congressional district. Considering she is a GOPer, the move should help Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman ... Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:27:00 -0400 Monday, November 2, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/ny_cd_23_scozzafava_withdrawal_helps_hoffman_or_does_it.php 306 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/yIxgQiB6PFg/2008_premium_content_now_available.php Last year, as in 2006, Election Projection provided in depth state-by-state information for subscribers to EP's Premium Content. The "Name Your Price" subscription program allowed readers to gain access to these pages by simply making a contribution of any size. Mon, 02 Nov 2009 08:41:00 -0400 Monday, November 2, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/nov09/2008_premium_content_now_available.php 300 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/H1u_5eVOl88/election_projections_2009_predictions.php I know we are still a week away from Election Day, 2009, but I feel confident that the outcomes of the two statehouse races and one special congressional race are already predictable. Tue, 27 Oct 2009 20:06:00 -0400 Tuesday, October 27, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/election_projections_2009_predictions.php 293 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/-eDK9odmCHY/it_doesnt_matter_whats_in_it.php Today I received an email from the American Family Association trumpeting the AP's "admission" that abortion will be paid for by your tax dollars if Obamacare becomes the law of the land. ... Tue, 20 Oct 2009 20:41:00 -0400 Tuesday, October 20, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/it_doesnt_matter_whats_in_it.php 291 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/7X7ZFAOFm8U/echos_of_06_and_08_temper_gop_outlook.php There is a very good article in today's Washington Post which looks at the prospect of large GOP gains across the board next year. ... Sun, 18 Oct 2009 22:04:00 -0400 Sunday, October 18, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/echos_of_06_and_08_temper_gop_outlook.php 285 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/fCMmucfc4Gw/nv_senate_harry_reid_is_in_trouble.php Nevada Senator Harry Reid is one of the most powerful figures in Washington. He's the Senate Majority Leader and an entrenched four-term member. ... Mon, 12 Oct 2009 23:49:00 -0400 Monday, October 12, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/nv_senate_harry_reid_is_in_trouble.php 281 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/dCItMxla5mc/va_governor_deeds_momentum_stalls_indeed.php Last month, I explained why Virginia gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds' Washington Post editorial might slow the obvious momentum he had enjoyed during the two or three weeks prior. Thu, 08 Oct 2009 21:59:00 -0400 Thursday, October 8, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/va_governor_deeds_momentum_stalls_indeed.php 280 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/e26JE3sLMhk/de_senate_castle_will_run.php GOP hopes at gaining a senate seat in a blue state just got a little brighter. Mike Castle has announced that he will run for Vice President Joe Biden's seat in Delaware. Wed, 07 Oct 2009 19:11:00 -0400 Wednesday, October 7, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/de_senate_castle_will_run.php 279 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/WWiA6CsT82s/nj_gov_first_poll_showing_corzine_with_lead.php Last week, I pointed to New Jersey's habit of teasing Republicans with early promising polls, only to disappoint them come Election Day. With that in mind, I fully expect embattled Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine to retain residency in New Jersey's governor's mansion. Most recent polls, one from Rasmussen and one from Fairleigh Dickinson, give me more confidence in my pessimistic expectations. ... Tue, 06 Oct 2009 19:15:00 -0400 Tuesday, October 6, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/nj_gov_first_poll_showing_corzine_with_lead.php 277 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/oIffqtmvwKM/de_sen_will_castle_run.php A Rasmussen Poll released late last week gives GOP Congressman Mike Castle an edge over Vice President Joe Biden's son, Beau, in the special election race for the Veep's old senate seat. Even though he has made a career out of running for office in the blue state of Delaware, Castle has never lost a race in over 40 years. Sun, 04 Oct 2009 21:18:00 -0400 Sunday, October 4, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/de_sen_will_castle_run.php 274 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/zVueCby3KJM/nj_gov_new_jersey_ever_the_tease.php Republicans are looking at this year's govenor race in New Jersey with great anticipation. Hopeful of captilaizing on current Democratic Governor Jon Corzine's dismal approval numbers, the GOP is confident of wresting the statehouse away from the entrenched incumbent party in this deep blue state. ... Thu, 01 Oct 2009 12:30:00 -0400 Thursday, October 1, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/oct09/nj_gov_new_jersey_ever_the_tease.php 267 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/sycW_POTX9c/va_gov_deeds_admission_may_stall_momentum.php There are two important statehouse races that will be decided this November - Virginia and New Jersey. In the Old Dominion, the GOP is hopeful of recapturing the governorship after suffering several high-profile statewide losses over the last two or three election cycles. Polls until recently showed the Republican candidate, Bob McDonnell, with comfortable margins over Democratic candidate, Creigh Deeds. Last week, however, ... Thu, 24 Sep 2009 14:27:00 -0400 Thursday, September 24, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/sep09/va_gov_deeds_admission_may_stall_momentum.php 266 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/LDHy2DVAEwI/mo_senate_blunt_r_46_carnahan_d_46.php In what is sure to be one of the most hotly-contested and hard fought senate races next year, Republican Roy Blunt is tied with Democrat Robin Carnahan according to the latest Rasmussen poll out of Missouri. Both candidates garner 46% support in the poll. Interestingly, only 5% of those polled are undecided - even though we're still have almost 14 months of campaigning left. Wed, 23 Sep 2009 15:58:00 -0400 Wednesday, September 23, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/sep09/mo_senate_blunt_r_46_carnahan_d_46.php 263 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/lbBCpruOBpo/generic_ballot_poll_tightening.php Last Tuesday, Rasmussen Reports released their weekly congressional generic ballot poll. After several weeks of substantial leads, the GOP didn't fare as well in this latest edition. ... Sun, 20 Sep 2009 23:08:00 -0400 Sunday, September 20, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/sep09/generic_ballot_poll_tightening.php 255 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/o6EhTZm8Wwo/myrtle_beach_here_we_come.php My family and I are headed off to the Grand Strand in South Carolina for a week of much-needed R and R. We're leaving after Sunday School tomorrow morning and won't be back until next Sunday! Needless to say, there won't be much in the way of updates while we're gone. However, now that I have my blogposting software running well, ... Sat, 12 Sep 2009 12:55:00 -0400 Saturday, September 12, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/sep09/myrtle_beach_here_we_come.php 250 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/sGcW3PnCIYQ/website_rework_underway.php Please bear with me over the next week as I rework some aspects of the website. Actually, I'm pretty much gutting most of it in favor of a simpler and more search-engine-optimized architecture. But the look and feel won't change much to the reader. Most of the changes are of the "behind-the-scenes" variety. While the changes are ongoing, you may experience some broken links and other inconveniences. Your patience is much appreciated during this transition. Mon, 07 Sep 2009 00:31:00 -0400 Monday, September 7, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/blog/archives/sep09/website_rework_underway.php 244 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/xRXDp3pWNTI/politics.php Some of you know that I spent several years as a teenager in Central America, mostly in Honduras. The time there is a wonderful memory which I will always treasure. Honduras and her people hold a special place in my heart. One of the many characteristics I have always loved about the country is the people's desire for peace and representative government. From my earliest recollections, Honduras has been a model of Latin American democracy. But that admirable trait has landed it on the wrong side of the Obama administration and its brand of U.S. foreign policy. Tue, 01 Sep 2009 22:31:00 -0400 Tuesday, September 1, 2009 http://www.electionprojection.com/politics.php?id=69001 238 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/5xmN6z9SzUw/politics.php There's a famous scene in the first Crocodile Dundee movie where Dundee and his female companion are accosted by a knife-wielding mugger while walking alone at night. The companion shrieks, "He's got a knife!" To which Dundee replies confidently, "That's not a knife!" and as he pulls out a mega blade from its sheath by his side, he says proudly, "That's a knife!" Wed, 26 Aug 2009 14:34:00 -0400 http://www.electionprojection.com/politics.php?id=68006 236 http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/epfeed/~3/9u1zbEirpvY/politics.php Back in April, 2006, I met our local talk show host, Bill LuMaye, at the North Carolina Conservative Leadership Conference. At that time, we talked briefly about the possibility of having some of the prominent bloggers in the Raleigh area come on his show. Nothing came out of the meeting...until now. ... Mon, 24 Aug 2009 23:10:00 -0400 http://www.electionprojection.com/politics.php?id=68005