To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

88% Probability Of A Rate Hike

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

• The chart shows that yesterday the stock market dipped into zone 1 (support).
• RSI on the chart shows that yesterday the stock market was approaching the oversold level.
• The chart shows that this morning the stock market is bouncing and is now trading above the top band of zone 1 as of this writing.
• Overall, the news is not good this morning, but the stock market is trading higher for the following reasons:
  • Positioning had become overly negative ahead of CPI release. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post POSITIONING LEADING TO STOCK BUYING ON BAD NEWS, LIGHTNING FAST HOUTHI VICTORY RAISES RISKS appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Free Money Proposal

Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Note the following:

• The chart shows QQQ has been vacillating between zone 1 (resistance) and zone 2 (support).
• The chart shows QQQ is seeing selling today in the early trade as rising oil and rising yields blunt buying on the free money proposal.
• President Trump is proposing $5K in free money for every U.S. adult if the GOP wins the midterm elections.  In The Arora Report analysis, here are the points prudent investors need to keep in mind:
  • The free money will cost the U.S.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post TRUMP’S $5K FREE MONEY COULD BE MARKET BONANZA; CHINA, RUSSIA, IRAN LEADERS MEET IN INDIA; INFLATION DATA appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Oil Surge

Please click here for a chart of oil ETF (USO).

Note the following:

• The chart shows USO is approaching zone 1 (resistance).
• The chart shows oil was previously in zone 1 when there was peak Iran fear.
• RSI on the chart shows oil is very overbought.
• Prudent investors should make a note that Iran fear has faded away but oil is now close to where it was during peak Iran fear.  The predictive power of this simple observation is that the likelihood of oil breaking above zone 1 is fairly high.   

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post OIL SURGE AND CARRY TRADE WEIGH ON STOCKS; APPLE BETS BIG ON $2000 FOLDABLE IPHONE appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

AI Trade

Please click here for a chart of Snowflake stock (SNOW).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture.  The chart of SNOW stock is being used to illustrate the point. Snowflake is important because its accelerating growth shows enterprise AI spending is broadening beyond chips and data centers into the software and data infrastructure layer.
• The chart shows SNOW is gapping up about 23% after good earnings.
• Snowflake earnings are better than whisper numbers and consensus numbers.  Here are the details:
  • Snowflake reported Q2 EPS of $0.62 vs.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post SNOWFLAKE SHOWS AI DATA CLOUD DEMAND SURGING – BROADCOM SEES CHIP DEMAND STRONG THROUGH 2028; YEN STRONGER appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

Artificial intelligence could become the biggest technological revolution of our lives.

It could also produce one of the most consequential market corrections investors have experienced in decades.

In his latest Schwab Network interview, Nigam Arora examines the debt, valuations, interest-rate risk and money flows surrounding the AI trade. He explains why the stock market could face a 30% to 50% decline if AI investments fail to produce the returns investors now expect.

The long-term opportunity may be tremendous. The difficult part is getting from here to there.

A Strategically Bullish View Does Not Require a Tactically Bullish Position

Investors need to separate the strategic decision from the tactical decision.… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post AI’S DAY OF RECKONING: ARE YOU PREPARED FOR BOTH THE BULLISH AND BEARISH SCENARIOS? appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Long Bond In Danger Zone

Please click here for a chart of 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT).

Note the following:

• The chart shows that TLT has dipped back into the danger zone.  As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve about the potential of rising yields and the impact on the stock market, especially the AI trade.  More importantly, rising yields have already been taken into account in the Arora Protection Band.  This morning, many informed investors are scrambling for cover, but those following the Arora Protection Band are already set.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post LONG BOND AGAIN DIPS IN THE DANGER ZONE AND HIGHEST YIELD IN JAPAN SINCE 1996 – AI TRADE UNDER PRESSURE appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Oil Rising

Please click here for a chart of oil ETF (USO).

Note the following:

• The chart shows oil is rising this morning.
• The chart shows oil has risen significantly from the low in early July when optimism about the Iran deal prevailed.
• Oil is important because it contributes to inflation and inflation has proven to be sticky.
• The move up in oil is the result of the U.S. striking two rocket launchers on Larak Island.  The U.S. said that Iran was getting ready to launch rockets with sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post OIL RISES ON U.S. STRIKE ON IRAN; WARSH HAWKISHNESS REVERBERATES; WEAK STOCK MARKET SEASONALITY AHEAD appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. 

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

CRITICAL SPEECH FROM FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH AHEAD – WALL STREET POSITIONED FOR A BULLISH OUTCOME

Aug 28, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Positive Positioning

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

• The chart shows the stock market pulled back from recent highs to the top band of zone 1 (support).
• The chart shows that the stock market has rallied from the top band of zone 1, but it is still below recent highs.
• RSI on the chart shows that the stock market has room to go higher.
• A critical speech from Fed Chair Warsh is ahead at Jackson Hole at 10am ET.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post CRITICAL SPEECH FROM FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH AHEAD – WALL STREET POSITIONED FOR A BULLISH OUTCOME appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

Nvidia’s Unusual Move

Please click here for a chart of Nvidia (NVDA).

Note the following:

• The chart shows that NVDA gapped up above the low band of Zone 1 (resistance).
• RSI on the chart shows that NVDA has room to run.
• Prudent investors should carefully watch whether NVDA can break above Zone 1. If NVDA can break above Zone 1, it will be a tremendous positive.
• As an Arora Report member, you have been ahead of the curve. We have been sharing with you that the key question for investors is: Are these AI-driven earnings cyclical or secular?

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post NVIDIA’S UNUSUAL MOVE ANSWERS AI TRADE’S KEY QUESTION — BUT $40 TRILLION BOMB TICKS AHEAD OF KEY SPEECH appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Dangerous Choice For Investors

Please click here for a chart of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

• The chart shows the stock market is pulling back slightly after a slew of economic data.
• To the momo crowd’s dismay, the chart shows that since the breakout above zone 1 (support now but previous resistance), the stock market has not rocketed higher.  Instead, the stock market has pulled back.
• Prudent investors should carefully watch if the stock market bounces off to make new highs after bouncing from the top band of zone 1 or the stock market breaks below the top band of zone 1.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post AI BOOM COLLIDES WITH INFLATION – THE FED FACES A DANGEROUS CHOICE FOR INVESTORS, NVIDIA EARNINGS AHEAD appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Key Data Ahead

Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Note the following:

• The chart shows that QQQ did not reach the low band of zone 1 (resistance) before pulling back.
• The chart shows that this morning QQQ is rallying.  Buying in QQQ this morning is almost exclusively coming from the momo crowd.  The momo crowd is repeating its pattern of buying before key events.
• Two key events are ahead:
  • PCE, the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post MOMO CROWD BUYS AHEAD OF NVIDIA EARNINGS AND INFLATION DATA, TREASURY BOND BUYING A BAD IDEA appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Wild Stock Moves Ahead

Please click here for a chart of leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL).

Note the following:

• Semiconductors are the leading sector that drove the stock market higher.  SOXL is the momo crowd’s favorite semiconductor ETF.
• The chart shows SOXL rallied to the bottom band of zone 2 (resistance) but was not able to sustain the rally to get to the top band of zone 2.  This is a negative.
• The chart shows that SOXL has pulled back to the top band of zone 3 (support).

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post SAMSUNG CRASH BRINGS SEMI SELLING, IMPORTANT NVIDIA EARNINGS AHEAD, $1T TREASURY FIRE POWER TO BUY BONDS appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. 

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

SMART MONEY CONCERNED BUT MOMO CROWD LOVES BIGGER BAND-AID FOR FOR U.S. DEBT, JACKSON HOLE TEST FOR WARSH

Aug 21, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Danger Zone

Please click here for a chart of 20+ year Treasury bond ETF (TLT).

Note the following:

• As a member of The Arora Report, you have been ahead of the curve.  You have known about the danger zone shown on the chart for a while.
• The chart shows the TLT dipped in the danger zone.
• When The Arora Report first presented the danger zone, it was not known how spot on it would turn out.  With the benefit of hindsight, we know that when TLT dipped in the danger zone, Treasury Secretary Bessent acted with an unprecedented move to increase the buyback of long dated securities. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post SMART MONEY CONCERNED BUT MOMO CROWD LOVES BIGGER BAND-AID FOR U.S. DEBT, JACKSON HOLE TEST FOR WARSH appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Weakening Consumer

Please click here for a chart of Walmart stock (WMT).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of WMT stock is being used to illustrate the point.  Walmart is the largest U.S. retailer, and thus its earnings provide an important data point about the consumer.  The consumer is important because the U.S. economy is about 70% consumer based.
• The chart shows WMT stock has fallen into zone 1 (support) after earnings.
• RSI on the chart shows WMT stock is not yet oversold.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post WALMART MISS SIGNALS CONSUMER PULLBACK; TREASURY EUPHORIA FADES; SAMSUNG SOARS; BITCOIN SHORTS CRUSHED appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Watch Arora Protection Band 

Please click here for a chart of Moderna stock (MRNA).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of MRNA stock is being used to illustrate the point that innovation is providing great opportunities for investors.
• The chart shows a very large move in MRNA stock.
• RSI on the chart shows MRNA stock is now very overbought.
• There is a major breakthrough in cancer treatment from Moderna (MRNA) and Merck (MRK).  Personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, combined with Keytruda met the key endpoints in a Phase 3 melanoma trial, significantly reducing recurrence and distant metastasis compared with Keytruda alone. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post FIRST MRNA CANCER VACCINE SUCCEEDS, POSITION NOW FOR ROBOTS, MEMORY MAKER MOVES TO STEM STOCK SELLING appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

$40 Trillion Debt

Please click here for a chart of Home Depot stock (HD).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of HD stock is being used to illustrate the point.
• The trendline on the chart shows HD stock has been in a downtrend.  The reason has been persistently high interest rates.
• The chart shows HD stock is gapping up on earnings.
• Prudent investors should keep an eye if HD stock can break above the trendline shown on the chart. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post U.S. DEBT TO $40T – SMART MONEY PAYING ATTENTION TO THE RISK BUT STOCK MARKET MOMO CROWD OBLIVIOUS appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

AI Gets Even Hotter

Please click here for a chart of Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Note the following:

• The chart shows QQQ is approaching the low band of zone 1 (resistance).
• Of note is that S&P 500 has broken to new highs but Nasdaq 100 has not.  In The Arora Report analysis, how the divergence between S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 resolves will be important. The stock market is positioned for the divergence to be resolved by QQQ breaking to a new high.
• Think of market positioning at this time as everyone being on one side of the boat. 

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post PRUDENT INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION: ANTHROPIC 14X JUMP; CHINESE AI TARGETS NVIDIA’S MOAT; $3T AI COMMITMENTS appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

Weekly Digest from The Arora Report is popular among serious investors and money managers because they have found studying insights from the prior week gives them an edge over the coming weeks. Here is the day by day rundown from the morning capsules made available every morning before the market open in the Real Time Feeds to the paying subscribers of The Arora Report. 

Please scroll down for the section ‘Protection Bands and What To Do Now.’

APPLIED MATERIALS EARNINGS EXPOSE A TRAP FOR INVESTORS; RETAIL SALES STUMBLE

Aug 14, 2026

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post WEEKLY STOCK MARKET DIGEST: WHAT PRUDENT INVESTORS NEED TO KNOW NOW appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Investor Traps

Please click here for a chart of Applied Materials stock (AMAT).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of AMAT stock is being used to illustrate the point.  Applied Materials is one of the largest semiconductor manufacturing equipment manufacturers in the world and is critical to the AI revolution.
• The chart shows AMAT stock is falling after earnings.
• The chart shows the AMAT stock has fallen 32% from its high earlier this year.
• Applied Materials reported earnings better than consensus but below whisper numbers.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post NEW INSIGHT FROM ONE OF AI’S MOST IMPORTANT COMPANIES — AND THE TRAP MANY INVESTORS FELL INTO appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Important Earnings Ahead

Please click here for a chart of Cisco Systems stock (CSCO).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of CSCO stock is being used to illustrate the point.
• Cisco is important because it is an example of a legacy company that has been rerated due to surging demand from AI data centers for its networking equipment.
• The chart shows CSCO stock has surged about 50% this year.  Cisco has been the number one stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average year to date.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post SMART MONEY SELLS #1 DOW STOCK; APPLIED MATERIALS TO TELL AN IMPORTANT AI STORY; HIDDEN INFLATION IN PPI appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Surging AI Infrastructure Demand

Please click here for a chart of Super Micro Computer stock (SMCI).

Note the following:

• The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.  The chart of SMCI stock is being used to illustrate surging AI infrastructure demand.  Super Micro Computer manufacturers AI servers.
• The chart shows SMCI stock has not done particularly well, and herein may lie the opportunity.
• The chart shows the gap up after earnings.
• Super Micro Computer’s revenue projections are eye popping.  Here are the details:
  • Super Micro Computer projects Q1 revenue of $14.5B – $15.5B vs.

… Please click here or the title below to read more.

The post SUPER MICRO, LUMENTUM, AND COREWEAVE SHOW SURGING AI INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND; CPI RELIEF BUT STAGFLATION appeared first on The Arora Report Stock Market News.