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Last week the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said it was going to meet on November 18 “to discuss the global financial crisis, the world economic situation and the impacts on the oil market”.

Oil has followed movements in equity markets this month and with share prices down sharply worldwide, the price of a barrel of Brent crude in London was trading down $4.60 at $66.20 in afternoon trading - a 15-month low.

“Following consultations with the president of the OPEC Conference and colleague ministers, it has been decided to re-schedule the extraordinary meeting of the OPEC Conference,” the cartel said in a statement, citing a decision by Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries Secretary General Abdalla Salem El-Badri.

“The Organization is concerned about the deteriorating economic conditions,” it said in a statement.

“The subprime mortgage problems that have been observed for a long time have created a shock wave in financial institutions resulting in huge losses, and an escalating credit squeeze which has turned into a deep financial crisis.”

Tightening credit has eroded demand and pushed prices down 18pc from a year ago, and 51pc from the record $147.27 a barrel reached on July 11. Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries yesterday cut its forecast for demand next year by 450,000 barrels a day, or 0.5 pc, to 87.2m barrels a day because of “dramatically worsening” financial market conditions.

“Demand not just for energy but across all consumer products is going to be hit,” said Jonathan Kornafel, a director for Asia at Hudson Capital Energy in Singapore.

“That’s just going to export recession to Asia and the manufacturing economies. Next year is not going to be pretty.”

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said yesterday that efforts to calm financial markets will probably not result in an immediate economic rebound.

Fears that the world was heading for an economic slowdown saw oil prices fall to their lowest level for nearly 14 months, impacting on several areas of consumer spending and raising hopes that consumer price inflation, which hit a 16-year high in September at 5.2 per cent, may be about to decline.

One upside to the drop in oil to a 14-month low has been a cut in petrol prices. Yesterday oil company BP and supermarket chains Asda and WM Morrison cut the price of unleaded petrol to 99.9p a litre.

Source: Telegraph

Although most data on these communities and hydrocarbon seep/vent sites have been derived from water depths above 1,000m, in 2006 and 2007 projects were fielded to add to upper slope data by concentrating observations and collections at middle to lower slope depths. Co-funded by the Minerals Management Service (MMS) and the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 25 days of deep submersible vehicle (DSV) Alvin’s time in 2006 and 35 days of remote operated vehicle (ROV) Jason’s time in 2007 were focused on the task of expanding our knowledge of hydrocarbon seeps/vents and their associated biological communities below a water depth of 1,000m. These dives have produced seabed observations and samples that have greatly improved our understanding of the distribution and variability in biological communities and their hydrocarbon seep-related habitats. A total of 15 dive sites were visited during the 2006 and 2007 cruises (see Figure 1). Site selection for the 2006 Alvin dives was accomplished though sea-floor reflectivity analysis of the MMS slope-wide 3D seismic database. From 80 potential sites, 20 were subjected to photo reconnaissance, of which 10 were selected for Alvin dives. Three sites, found in AC 601, GC 852 and AT 340, had impressive and diverse chemosynthetic communities in addition to well-defined fluid-gas expulsion geology. In addition to chemosynthetic communities, GC 852 had abundant hard and soft corals seated on substrates of authigenic carbonate boulders. At AC 601 (WD ~2,340m) a brine lake (4m deep and 180m wide, salinity ~90%) was investigated and sampled. At the three key sample locations, autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) data were acquired prior to the 2007 ROV Jason cruise. Multibeam bathymetry from the AUV was used as a navigation underlay for detailed sampling by Jason. Depth and geographical ranges for key components of chemosynthetic communities were improved and our understanding of the geological aspects of hydrocarbon seep habitats was significantly advanced by data from the 2006 and 2007 dives. In this article, four of the high-priority sample sites will be discussed. The sites are found in the following lease blocks: Alaminos Canyon 601 (AC 601), Walker Ridge 269-270 (WR 269-270), Green Canyon 852 (GC 852) and Atwater Valley 340 (AT 340).

A better understanding of potential hazards to facility installation and pipelines on the slope have been gained through these studies, and more is now known about the location, density and diversity of the chemosynthetic communities associated with seeps. Additionally, these unique biological communities are protected by law and cannot be disturbed by industry activity. The dive programme proved that 3D seismic can be used to sucessfully identify these seep sites.

Alaminos Canyon Block 601
The AC 601 dive site (N 26º 23.3’; W 94º 30.8’; water depth ~2,340m) is located in a canyon-like re-entrant into the Sigsbee Escarpment. It is an anticlinal structure trending roughly east-to-west across the approximate mid-point of the canyon and has scattered fluid-gas expulsion features along its crest. Seismic profiles indicate that migration pathways from the deep subsurface are provided by faults and fractures that breach the anticline. The primary dive site in AC 601 is a circular depression with an elevated rim and high ground that appears to be an older expulsion centre (see Figure 2). Analysis of the 3D seismic sea-floor reflectivity data associated with this feature suggests it is a fluid-gas expulsion mound with evidence of small sediment flows running downslope away from the mound. This feature and a larger circular expulsion feature of very low relief to the south are easily recognisable on multibeam and 3D seismic sea-floor reflectivity maps, and both were observed and sampled during the 2006 and 2007 cruises.

The northernmost and smaller feature was investigated with Alvin in 2006. A previous MMS-sponsored ROV survey in 2005 found that the feature was a brine lake. The Alvin dive of 2006 allowed us to determine the dimensions of the lake, surrounding benthic communities and the origin of white ‘flocs’ floating in the brine as well as accumulated on the ‘shoreline’. The brine lake was found to be in water 2,334m deep, with a diameter of approximately 180m and a general depth of about 4m. Analysis of the brine indicated that it was nearly three times (~90% salinity) the salinity of normal seawater. The white material floating in the brine and precipitation on the lake bottom (see Figure 2) was found to be barite.4 No living organisms were found in the lake, but limited communities were observed and sampled around the lake margin. These communities consisted primarily of mussels and heart urchins. Authigenic carbonates were limited to very localised hardgrounds. High methane concentrations were observed in the sediments surrounding the lake and in the water column above the lake.4 In 2007, observation and sampling of the broad circular expulsion feature to the south verified the occurrence of fluidised mud and brine and extensive mussel beds. In fact, the largest mussel bed so far observed in the GOM was found at this site. However, more diverse chemosynthetic communities were not found.

Walker Ridge Blocks 269-270
A 3D seismic study of the Walker Ridge dive site5 (N 26º 41.2’; W 91º 39.9’; water depth ~1,950m) identified the dive objective as a ‘gas mound’ overlying gas hydrate in the shallow subsurface, as indicated by a distinct bottom-simulating reflector (BSR) crossing the stratigraphy of the area.5 The mounded area of interest occurs on the northern flank of a suprasalt sedimentary basin, where it appears that gas and perhaps fluids have migrated to the sea floor within porous and permeable upturned beds. The objective of the Alvin dive in 2006 was to explore the crestal area of a complex mounded sea floor (see Figure 3). On 3D seismic sea-floor reflectivity data, this area displays a high positive amplitude with a circular low amplitude centre, suggestive of an active vent and very soft sea floor. The Alvin dive confirmed hydrocarbon seep-related communities both on the flanks of the mound and at the apex (see Figure 3). At the crest, beds of very large mussels, numerous tubeworm ‘bushes’, exposed gas hydrate and abundant authigenic carbonates were found. We proved that the crestal mound was an active hydrocarbon seep site that supports a thriving chemosynthetic community. A dive in 2007 at this site using Jason improved on geological and biological sampling of this area.

Green Canyon Block 852
A prominent north-to-south trending elongated mound (N 27º 06.6’; W 91º 10.0’; water depth ~1,400m) that is nearly 4km long was the subject of Alvin dives in 2006 and Jason dives in 2007 (see Figure 4). The shallowest part of this feature (water depth ~1,400m) is characterised by large authigenic carbonate boulders. The ridge-like feature rises nearly 200m above the surrounding sea floor and in a regional context occurs at the south-east boundary of a well defined intraslope basin. The 3D seismic reflectivity data suggest that both the northern and the southern crestal areas as well as the western flank of the mound are characterised by localised hard seabed conditions. These areas are defined by high positive amplitudes and, on 3D seismic profiles, overlie regions of poor acoustic returns in the subsurface. These acoustic ‘wipeout’ zones are interpreted as migration pathways for fluids and gases to the sea floor. During the cruises, oil was observed on the sea surface over the southern crest of the GC 852 mound.

Hard bottom composed of authigenic carbonate hardgrounds and large carbonate boulders characterised these sites, and scattered but impressive benthic communities were observed. Gas was observed escaping from some mussel beds. In addition to chemosynthetic communities consisting of tube worms and mussels, the shallowest part of the mound supported well-developed hard and soft coral communities and other benthic species (see Figure 4). The corals are attached to the huge authigenic carbonate boulders (see Figure 4). During the dive at the coral site in 2006, a strong current was noted, which may supply the lush coral community with plankton for food and larvae for colonisation (see Figure 4). The GC 852 mound proved to be one of the key sampling sites during both the 2006 and the 2007 cruises. Not only did this site have abundant chemosynthetic communities, but the deepwater coral community was by far the most diverse and densely populated such community found so far in the northern GOM.

Atwater Valley Block 340
The AT 340 site (N 27º 38.8’; W 88º 21.9’; water depth ~2,200m) is the easternmost dive site and, regarding variability of surficial geology, is the most complex site visited during the 2006 and 2007 cruises. In a regional context, the site is a mound on the sea floor east of the mouth of the Mississippi Canyon where the canyon changes to a submarine fan. Seismic profiles across the site indicate that the mound is a salt-supported structure. Surface reflectivity patterns from 3D seismic data illustrate flow patterns radiating from a number of points of origin on the mound top. These data also discriminate high-amplitude mounds and low-amplitude depressions scattered over the mound surface. Multibeam bathymetry acquired by AUV clearly illustrates the complexity of this site (see Figure 5). Due to the variability of the surface geology, numerous chemosynthetic community sites and active seepage of hydrocarbons and brine occur at the AT 340 site. These interesting sea-floor conditions prompted us to make this a key sampling site after the first Alvin dive in 2006.

The individual mounded areas on top of the overall AT 340 site rise as much as 20m above the surrounding sea floor. These mounds are highly reflective on 3D seismic sea-floor amplitude data. They are composed largely of stacked carbonate blocks made up of mussel shells cemented by authigenic carbonate. Tube worms and living and dead mussels occur in the cracks and crevasses between carbonate blocks. Densely populated mussel beds can be found on the flanks of the mounds. Local areas between mounds support high densities of heart urchins where sediments are soft and reducing and show evidence of seepage. The trails caused by these mobile animals create an extremely complex pattern in the surface sediments (see Figure 5). In areas of brine seepage, flows and pools of brine-invaded fluidised mud occur without abundantly populated benthic communities. However, mussel aggregations are supported along the flanks (and sometimes within) the flows. The presence of shallow salt beneath the AT 340 mound suggests that dissolution of the salt body is probably the origin of the brine flows and seeps at the sea floor.

Source: Touch Oil & Gas| by Harry H Roberts, Jesse Hunt, Jr., William Shedd

“Two hurricanes back-to-back keeps Gulf of Mexico (drilling) activity muted for two weeks, perhaps three,” he said. “Remember, the Gulf of Mexico (is) generally a high-margin business with high fixed costs.”

Oil for October delivery edged up 11 cents to $106.34 a barrel. Hurricane Ike churned over Cuba on Monday, weakening to a Category 2 storm as it made landfall. Forecasters predict the storm will move into the Gulf of Mexico and hit somewhere between Texas and Alabama by this weekend. See Futures Movers.

Traders are also focusing on the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries meeting scheduled Tuesday in Vienna. The oil cartel’s widely expected to keep its production unchanged. The Amex Oil Index (XOI: 1,219.74, -2.47, -0.2%) fell 0.2% to 1,220, after rising a as much as 2% earlier in the day. The Philadelphia Oil Service Index ($OSX: 261.32, -4.77, -1.8%) dropped 1.8% to 261. The Amex Natural Gas Index (XNG: 550.96, -10.57, -1.9%) subtracted 1.9% to 551.

Among energy stocks in the spotlight, ConocoPhillips (COP: 74.69, -0.74, -1.0%) agreed to pay up to $8 billion for a 50% stake in coal seam assets of Australia’s Origin Energy Ltd., including a $5 billion upfront payment. See full story.
Shares of ConocoPhillips dropped 74 cents to $74.69.

Dan Pickering said every major oil-service player will see some impact from the hurricanes, but Smith International (SII: 63.67, +0.15, +0.2%) , Superior Energy Services (SPN: 37.80, -1.08, -2.8%) , Hercules Offshore (HERO: 18.11, -0.95, -5.0%) and Oceaneering International (OII: 54.23, -1.21, -2.2%) may have the most exposure. Among the group, Oceaneering fell 2.2% to $54.23.

Meanwhile, Transocean (RIG: 120.42, -1.85, -1.5%) was upgraded to hold from sell by Deutsche Bank, as the broker sees “more realistic” expectations embedded in the stock. “Additionally we believe RIG’s substantial backlog and visibility on cash flow provide some defensive qualities in the current challenging market environment,” the broker said.

Transocean’s shares fell 1.5% to $120.42.
Baker Hughes (BHI: 69.78, -2.71, -3.7%) said rig counts worldwide rose 87 to 3,523 in August, with the number of rigs in operation in the U.S. rose 55 to 1,987. The provider of oilfield services counts the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in the United States, Canada and international markets.

Shares of Baker Hughes fell 3.7% to $69.78.
Overseas, Royal Dutch Shell’s natural gas plan for Iraq has received provisional clearance from the Iraqi government, opening up the chance for Shell to invest $3 bllion to $4 billion to gather 500 million to 600 million cubic feet a day of associated natural gas in Iraq currently going to waste, Global Insight noted. U.S.-listed shares of Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA: 62.05, -0.52, -0.8%) fell 52 cents to $62.05.

Source: MarketWatch| By Steve Gelsi

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Lamar McKay, a top BP troubleshooter brought in to resolve a long-running dispute over strategy and management control at TNK-BP, held a five-hour meeting in London the week before last with Mikhail Fridman, the billionaire oligarch who calls the shots among the Russian shareholders, the source added.

“The initial idea was to negotiate a quick two-pager to cease hostilities but this has now turned into something more substantial around agreeing the principles of how to run the company,” the source said, speaking on condition of anonymity. “A deal is a few weeks away. They are likely to sign something.”

Stan Polovets, CEO of the billionaire’s AAR consortium, declined to discuss the talks. “We agreed not to comment on the negotiations, and we feel it’s really important to honor that agreement,” he said.

A BP spokesman in Russia also declined to comment, beyond confirming that general talks were going on. The source said talks were based on the idea that both sides would keep their 50-50 stakes but that any deal would probably give the oligarchs more say in how the company is run. One of the toughest issues in the talks is who would replace CEO Robert Dudley, the source said.

Source: The Moscow Times

Ready to play Backgammon, the old game that was played in ancient Greece as in ancient Rome. You need to know is a game with two players, played on a board consisting of twenty-four narrow triangles called points, each player has fifteen checkers of his own color. The initial arrangement of checkers is: two on each player’s twenty-four point, five on each player’s thirteen point, three on each player’s eight point, and five on each player’s six point. The points are alternating in color and are grouped into four quadrants of six points each and the quadrants are referred to as a players at home board and outer board. The board is divided in half by a center partition called the bar. The numbers distinguishes all points on a backgammon board. A players` outermost point is the twenty-four points, which is also his opponents` one point. A doubling cube, with the numbers 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, and 64, is used to keep track of the current stake of the game.

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By Staff Writer

The report assists in meeting New Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions reporting obligations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The report also contains a wealth of useful material for those with an interest in greenhouse gas emissions. Key features of the latest report are:

• Total emissions from the energy sector were around 4% lower in 2007 than in 2006.

• Emissions from thermal electricity generation were around 18% lower in 2007 than in 2006 due to the commissioning of the Huntly e3p combined cycle gas turbine and the relatively high hydro storage levels that were maintained through the year.

• Growth in emissions from transport appears to have slowed in recent years, with an average annual growth rate of 1% since 2004.

• Emissions from gas combustion increased by 11%, mainly due to fuel switching for thermal electricity generation.

• Emissions from coal combustion decreased by 34% between 2006 and 2007, due largely to a lower amount of coal used for thermal electricity generation in 2007 as a result of the commissioning of e3p and favourable hydrological conditions.

• Emissions from industrial processes increased by 6% between 2006 and 2007.

The report, and more detailed supplementary data tables, are available from the MED website: http://www.med.govt.nz/energy/ghg/

Hard copies of the report cost $40 (excluding postage and GST) and can be ordered from the MED website.

Source: Scoop

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