Sentient Trader

The Macro Brief – 8 June 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 16:45:40 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting Gold and Bitcoin.

General outlook: Gold Down (->80D trough). Bitcoin Up (20W trough).

Gold – approaching 80 day cycle trough zone. Down.

Nearing 80 day cycle trough zone, but expect downside to play more until the trough sticks.

Bitcoin – tested 20 week cycle trough. Up.

The 20 week cycle trough zone has been tested.

This post was first published on Hurst Cycles Notes.

The post The Macro Brief – 8 June 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

Macro Outlook – 8 June 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Mon, 08 Jun 2026 13:53:52 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

Read the full post here.

The post Macro Outlook – 8 June 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

The Macro Brief – 1 June 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Mon, 01 Jun 2026 17:20:03 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting the US Dollar and Bitcoin.

General outlook: US Dollar Up (20D trough). Bitcoin SmallDown (20W trough).

US Dollar – in a pro-trend 20 day cycle trough. Up.

In a shallow pro-trend 20 day cycle trough zone. Looking for next 20 day cycle peak.

Bitcoin – nearing 20 week cycle trough. SmallDown/ Up.

Falling into a 20 week cycle trough zone, after which likely to rally well. Standby.

This post was first published on Hurst Cycles Notes.

The post The Macro Brief – 1 June 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

Macro Outlook – 1 June 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Mon, 01 Jun 2026 12:04:27 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (20D trough). Gold SmallUp (->20D peak). Oil SmallUp (->20D peak). Copper SmallUp (->40D peak). USDJPY Up (-> 40D peak). EURUSD SmallUp (->40D peak). SPX E-minis Up (->80D peak). Nikkei futures Up ((->80D peak). Bitcoin SmallDown (20W trough). Ten Year Notes Down (->20W trough).

Read the full post here.

The post Macro Outlook – 1 June 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

The Macro Brief – 26 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 26 May 2026 16:45:39 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting Gold and Bitcoin.

General outlook: Gold Down (->80D trough). Bitcoin Up (80D trough).

Gold – counter-trend 20 day cycle trough. Down.

Counter-trend bounce into weak 20 day cycle peak then down into next 80 day cycle trough.

Bitcoin – 80 day cycle trough zone. Up.

Potentially in an 80 day cycle trough zone.

This post was first published on Hurst Cycles Notes.

The post The Macro Brief – 26 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

Macro Outlook – 26 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 26 May 2026 12:49:29 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (20D trough). Gold Down (->20D trough). Oil Up (20D trough). Copper Down (40D peak). USDJPY Up (-> 40D peak). EURUSD Down (->80D trough). SPX E-minis Up (40D trough). Nikkei futures Up (20D trough). Bitcoin Up (80D trough). Ten Year Notes Down (->80D trough).

Read the full post here.

The post Macro Outlook – 26 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

The Macro Brief – 19 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 19 May 2026 16:45:02 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting the US Dollar and 10-Year Treasury Notes.

General outlook: US Dollar Up (->20D peak). Ten Year Notes Down (->20W trough).

US Dollar – heading towards 20 day cycle peak. Up.

The new 80 day cycle is driving price towards the next 20 day cycle peak. The underlying trend is strong up – the January low was at least a 54 month cycle trough.

10 Year Treasuries – falling towards next 20 week cycle trough. Down.

Treasuries are falling hard into the next 20 week cycle trough zone.

This post was first published on Hurst Cycles Notes.

The post The Macro Brief – 19 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

Macro Outlook – 19 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 19 May 2026 11:05:45 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (->20D peak). Gold Down (->20D trough). Oil Up (->20D peak). Copper Up (->20D trough). USDJPY Up (-> 20D peak). EURUSD Down (->80D trough). SPX E-minis Down (->40D trough). Nikkei futures Down (->20D trough). Bitcoin Up 20D trough). Ten Year Notes Up (40D trough).

Read the full post here.

The post Macro Outlook – 19 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

The Macro Brief – 12 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 12 May 2026 16:45:35 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

The Macro Brief is an excerpt from our weekly Macro Outlook newsletter. Today we are highlighting Gold and Oil.

General outlook: Gold Up (->20D peak). Oil Up (->20D peak).

Gold – Heading towards 20 day cycle peak. Up.

Gold has just emerged from a 40 day cycle trough.

Oil (WTI) – Heading towards 20 day cycle peak. Up.

The 20 day cycle may have just formed its trough and we are looking for a refresh up into the next 20 day cycle peak.

This post was first published on Hurst Cycles Notes.

The post The Macro Brief – 12 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.

Macro Outlook – 12 May 2026

Christopher Grafton CMT — Tue, 12 May 2026 13:30:53 +0000

You will come across specific terms in these notes (FLD, VTL, and so on). Rather than explain them each time, you will find definitions here: guidance notes for Hurst cycles terminology.

US Dollar Up (80D trough). Gold Up (->20D trough). Oil Up (->20D peak). Copper Up (->40D peak). USDJPY Up (80D trough). EURUSD Down (->40D trough). SPX E-minis Down (->40D trough). Nikkei futures Down (->40D trough). Bitcoin Down (->20W peak). Ten Year Notes Up (40D trough).

Read the full post here.

The post Macro Outlook – 12 May 2026 appeared first on Sentient Trader.