tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11973653486287938082024-12-19T10:24:03.039+07:00Seeing the World through a Cambodian's eyes.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.comBlogger51125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-11175888594164885802012-06-02T17:36:00.000+07:002012-06-02T18:00:14.386+07:00

    I have to say this. I’ll explain later. There’s no shortage news/op-eds/analyses that Assad would fall. I’m less sure. I was told Assad regime is running out of money and the economic sanctions are causing pain. But few people are answering an equally important question. What’s next after Assad fall? Remember Syria consists of many sectarians hostile to one another. Shiite

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-87258519283035787952012-03-11T13:58:00.001+07:002012-03-11T14:04:56.841+07:00

  I’m not supposed to write another article on Iran. I don’t have many new points to add. But I’m surprised to see more and more people start to believe Israel has got to strike Iran’s nuclear sites.  Hasn’t Iran been a threat to US and Israeli security for decades? The threat is overblown. The case is being politicized. The Economist has powerful arguments against striking Iran.&nbsp

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-48964336776498476682012-02-07T17:35:00.001+07:002012-03-11T02:43:34.933+07:00

Is Israel going to strike Iran?  I saw this title in a number of websites I visited. The chances are close to nil, for me.  Stephen M. Walt rightly pointed in Foreign Policy may be Israel wants to distract everyone from their continued expansion of West Bank settlements and other brutalities against Palestinians. And I don’t believe striking its nuclear sites would make Iran

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-31550559820507953522012-01-08T21:21:00.002+07:002012-01-08T21:25:24.545+07:00

   2012 is a roller coaster year, fasten your seat belt. It’s going be another bad year. I’m not sure how bad it would be. Eurozone is still unpredictable. China is slowing and US may experience the combination of worst economy and politics. The situation is turning from bad to worse.  The real disaster will play out in quarter 3 or 4, if we allow it to play out. Still, I think we

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-53562539309504111582011-12-29T17:23:00.001+07:002011-12-29T17:26:32.629+07:00

I know it’s too late for this time to write an article on North Korea. Better late than never!  I was preoccupied with midterm exams. But I was also following the news. Will Kim Jung En be able to consolidate power? Who is really in charge of? A number of media outlets questioned those “less important” issues.  I don’t think conflicts over leadership will lead the collapse of North

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-56967773684690422062011-12-13T20:17:00.001+07:002011-12-13T20:50:51.916+07:00

I finally can manage the time to write an article.  Putin has brought stability to Russia although sometimes with his iron fist. He fails to decrease the feelings of fear among Russian people. Journalists are being killed. Media is working to Kremlin advantage. A number of people officials get rich without hard work. I’m not saying he does or manages it. But all things happen under his

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-59409286567127179002011-12-04T05:34:00.002+07:002011-12-04T05:34:47.448+07:00

One of the most dangerous fallacies of our time is that austerity will spur growth. Wait, I’m not a neo –Keynes. The notion austerity will grow growth is just a pretext European politicians use to appease the people when their countries are in the process of painful structural adjustment programs. It makes their economy more competitive in the long run, although it’s at the expense of near and

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-88086050153947289792011-11-28T03:52:00.002+07:002011-11-28T03:52:55.113+07:00

Believe your eyes! The title reads “How to Make Euro Collapse”.  They are on the way, if nothing is done to buck the trend, to collapse. Greece is seriously sick; Germany’s bonds auction was a mess, Portugal’s credit rating was reduced to Junk status and that of France still hangs in the balance. To make that happens; they need to redouble their efforts on initiating Euro-stability bonds

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-26097742143087937482011-11-18T04:54:00.001+07:002011-11-18T04:57:51.035+07:00

He recently said China needed to behave like a grown up. It may be the toughest rhetoric he made to China. I’ve been followed that development for a while too.  There was somewhat strong backlash from China. It invited unnecessary anti-Chinese sentiment in the States.I read articles and analyses on Renmibi undervaluation. Very, very few articles impressed me. Some are misleading, some are

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-37888834278465554562011-11-14T02:20:00.004+07:002011-11-18T04:21:48.728+07:00

  I just finished a new book by Bill Clinton. The title reads: Back to Work: Why We Need Smart Government for a Strong Economy. In this book, he offers advice and some criticisms for Obama. He regrets that Obama didn’t raise debt ceiling when Democrats hold majority voice in the Congress. OK, leave that story to the historians. There are two points I’m really interested in. Firstly, he

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-58881355552186744582011-11-07T01:23:00.001+07:002011-11-07T01:25:10.229+07:00

I attended seminar lectured by Mr. Siv Sichan more than a week ago. The lecture was delivered under the banner “From the Killing Fields to the White House”.  He is a killing field’s survivor, an author, and also a former US ambassador to United Nations.His story is more than inspiring. The only thing I regret is that there weren’t many participants. It was held at night and there were

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-87810270883266981412011-10-28T05:37:00.002+07:002011-10-31T01:48:21.854+07:00

"We can claim that a new day has come for Greece, and not only for Greece but also for Europe," said Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, whose country's troubles touched off the crisis two years ago. "Let's hope the worst is over." Greek’s worst day may be over. But I don’t think it’s true for Europe. The deal was struck and stocks and oil are on the rise. There will be a reduction of

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-27570831104631869302011-10-24T21:50:00.000+07:002011-10-24T21:50:16.672+07:00

One of the messages read: “Ben Ali escaped, Mubarak is in jail, Qaddafi was killed. Which fate do you prefer, Ali Abdullah Saleh? You can consult with Bashar.” Another was more direct: “Bashar al-Assad, how do you feel today?” That’s a quote from The New York Time.Three dictators are gone. Has the job been finished? In 2004, Mr. Obama delivered a keynote address opposing war in Iraq. I was

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-59940678732143473572011-10-20T23:11:00.001+07:002011-10-20T23:17:04.694+07:00

Greece default is not a problem. What’s matter is what would happen after that default? European financial stability facility can cover well the losses resulting from Greece default. Will the market clam down? Will investor’s confidence remain untouched? Those are two important questions need to be addressed.Why I think Greece is going to default again?  If one looks at bailout packages to

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-19551219722346857652011-10-16T05:08:00.001+07:002011-10-20T22:23:30.784+07:00

  I was shocked by being told global financial crisis is a golden opportunity for China. For me, it doesn’t make any sense. That crisis just enhances the image of China in global stage only. It doesn’t present any opportunity. On the contrary, it presents threats, not challenges. The spectacular growth during global recession was largely fueled by debt not by export earnings. Foreign media

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-39888586814404130842011-10-11T01:43:00.001+07:002011-10-11T01:45:04.223+07:00

I write this article to pinpoint the challenges we are to face in the 21st century. I help to diagnose the problems of could think of.  And I left the solution to our policymakers. I’m afraid that we are not ready for the coming job war.What worries me is not about getting the job for our people but about getting a decent-paying job. Remember that we compete not only with our neighbors but

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-48788347572827314062011-10-03T21:32:00.000+07:002011-10-03T21:32:05.419+07:00

 It’s not an economic crisis but a silent coup against world economy. That’s the title of my forthcoming book. I’m not free enough to finish it. I decided to writing articles giving an overview on that coup. It will be written in series, just like Harry Potter of J.K Rowling or Women’s Murder Club of James Patterson.  This article is just a note. It was a successful coup to topple

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-37691919098605694012011-09-26T20:45:00.001+07:002011-09-29T16:41:44.952+07:00

  Double dip recession is the most frequent phrase I usually encounter while reading news. The stories developing in Europe are boring. Greece default, Greece default, Greece default and the need of contagion! It shouldn’t have made any headlines.In last article, I suggest only a new bold action will solve the crises in Eurozone. I was puzzled by the ways Europe deals with global

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-35353649519258739672011-09-18T20:51:00.001+07:002011-09-20T01:19:55.239+07:00

What do the United States and Europe have in common for now? A short answer, confidence crisis.  Animal spirits literally means confidence in economic sense. There are warnings about Eurozone confidence crisis. IMF, World Bank, veteran investor George Soros and most recently Gordon Brown said the crises in Europe have more potential to be devastating than the collapse of Lehmon

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-25756183674441214412011-09-14T19:04:00.002+07:002011-09-14T19:10:36.968+07:00

War for Wealth is a provocative book written by Gabor Steingart, a Germany journalist. He begins the book by comparing two experts on globalization. Naomi Klein, a Canadian authored The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism has been skeptical of globalization.  Henry Paulson argued Globalization is doing the West good, a view that Klein didn’t share. Is globalization a force for

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-24953740165724368692011-09-12T19:54:00.003+07:002011-09-15T00:36:02.593+07:00

Just read an article by The New York Times and my computer is downloading a documentary. So, I’m decided to write an article to buy the time. That article said Greece is the epicenter of the Europe’s financial disarray. Not really! It’s the Germany that is the epicenter of economic problems in Europe. The situation in Europe is bad and it was worsen by politics and the moves of Germany and

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-60299748753797366312011-09-06T06:11:00.005+07:002011-09-15T21:04:55.519+07:00

  I used to argue America is not in decline but in transition. For this article, I’m trying to make a similar case. The world is not in decline but in transition. But in transition to a disastrous future. In 20th century, most countries employed military war game as the cornerstone of their foreign policies. In 21th century; we are playing economic war game.  So, the history of

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-31849499515329879462011-08-31T21:43:00.002+07:002011-09-01T05:15:26.309+07:00

    Let me say a few words about my blog. There are some people who say articles in my blog are too technical to read. I don’t share that view. I’m also having problems with technical words. But I do acknowledge that the topics I write about are controversial and might require substantial knowledge. In the next few months, Chinese currency should appreciate against the US dollar.

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-4812599709606313572011-08-28T20:31:00.003+07:002011-08-28T20:50:01.839+07:00

  As you see in my blog, I’m not really interested in regional politics, let alone local one. It has to do with news. News is not widely available for regional political context. So, I find it hard-pressed to write a good article. Now, the Preah Vihear case is in the hands of ICJ. At the same time, the situations in Thailand remain largely volatile. But the political earthquake was

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1197365348628793808.post-88368116550080992762011-08-25T21:19:00.003+07:002011-08-28T01:02:34.797+07:00

  Firstly, I’m not an expert on China. It’s still the case for an expert on US. So, I’m talking as an observer. Speculation is high that China and the United States are becoming one economy. The military relations have been up and down for years. Now, economic ties are at crossroad. The recent political earthquake in Washington was over. But the aftershocks remain. China feels the

Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13917679706840810667noreply@blogger.com0