Market Reviews

Asian Stocks Climb to a Record on Manufacturing Outlook, Metals

2007-07-03T09:34:00.000-07:00

Honda Motor Co. production plant

July 3 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rose, lifting a regional benchmark to a record, on signs of increasing demand for exports, metals and crude oil.

Honda Motor Co. and Samsung Electronics Co. led gains after reports showed the pace of manufacturing in the U.S. and Europe is accelerating. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company and Australia's No. 1 oil explorer, advanced to an all- time high.

``The manufacturing numbers gave the market the whiff of assurance it was looking for,'' said Leslie Phang, who helps manage $1 billion at Commonwealth Private Bank in Singapore. ``Things are chugging along nicely.''

Wesfarmers Ltd., Australia's biggest home-improvement chain, fell after it agreed to buy retailer Coles Group Ltd. for A$19.6 billion ($16.8 billion). New orders at some of South Korea's largest shipyards lifted shares of Hyundai Heavy Industries Co.

The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index added 0.6 percent to 155.54 at 7:09 p.m. in Tokyo, extending a three-day, 2.4 percent rally. Indexes in Hong Kong, India, Indonesia and the Philippines also rose to records, while Thailand's SET Index climbed 2.6 percent to the highest in more than a decade.

Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average was little changed while the broader Topix index added 0.1 percent. China Vanke Co. paced China's CSI 300 Index higher for the first time in four days, ending the measure's longest losing streak in six months. China Shenhua Energy Co. surged in Hong Kong after saying it may raise $6.3 billion in a share sale.

`Good Time'

U.S. shares climbed yesterday after the Institute for Supply Management's factory index rose to a 14-month high last month. In Europe, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc said its index of manufacturing in the 13 euro nations advanced to 55.6 from 55 in May, higher than a first estimate of 55.4 published June 21.

``Productivity is rising and that will lead to higher wages and increased consumer spending,'' said Koichi Takatsuka, who oversees $1 billion at UAM Japan Inc. in Tokyo. ``It's a good time to be invested in exporters.''

Honda, Japan's No. 2 automaker by sales, climbed 0.7 percent to 4,570 yen. Honda made about 80 percent of its sales outside Japan in the past business year. Samsung, Asia's biggest maker of chips and mobile phones, gained 1.1 percent to 571,000 won. It accounted for about 16 percent of South Korea's exports last year.

AU Optronics Corp., the world's third-largest liquid-crystal display maker, added 2 percent to NT$56.90 in Taiwan. HSBC Holdings Plc, whose North American business generated 21 percent of its pretax profit in 2006, rose 0.5 percent to HK$143.20 in Hong Kong.

Metals, Oil

BHP Billiton jumped 2.4 percent to A$35.88. Rio Tinto Group, the world's third-biggest mining company, gained 2.8 percent to A$100.70. Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Japan's second-largest copper smelter and No. 1 nickel producer, rose 1.5 percent to 2,785 yen.

A measure of six metals traded on the London Metal Exchange, including copper and zinc, rose 1.7 percent yesterday, with copper climbing 2.3 percent to a seven-week high. Crude oil rose 0.6 percent yesterday to $71.09 a barrel in New York, the highest close since August. Futures were recently at $70.84.

Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Australia's No. 2 oil explorer, added 1.4 percent to A$46.33. Cnooc Ltd., China's largest offshore oil explorer, jumped 4.3 percent to HK$9.24 in Hong Kong.

``If you've got good commodities prices, the big miners and outfits like Woodside go ahead and it helps drive the market higher,'' said Matthew Kidman, who helps manage the equivalent of $350 million at Wilson Asset Management in Sydney.

Wesfarmers, Hyundai Heavy

Shares of Wesfarmers dropped 6.8 percent to A$42.60, the biggest percentage decline on the MSCI World Index. Coles, Australia's No. 2 retailer, slid 3.1 percent to A$15.62.

In Australia's biggest takeover, Wesfarmers will issue as much as A$14 billion in new stock and take on more than A$8 billion in debt to secure control of Coles' 3,000 supermarkets, discount stores and office supply outlets.

The deal, which will double the company's size and make it Australia's biggest retailer, will lower Wesfarmers' earnings- per-share for at least the next three years, said Richard Johnson, an analyst at ABN Amro Holding NV in Sydney. He cut his rating on the stock to ``hold'' from ``buy'' today.

In South Korea, a measure of transport-equipment makers that includes Hyundai Heavy jumped 3.7 percent, the second-biggest gain among the Kospi index's 19 industry groups.

Hyundai Heavy, the world's biggest shipbuilder, surged 4 percent to 365,500. The company said yesterday it received a 722.4 billion won ($784 million) order to build container vessels for a buyer in Panama.

Its unit Hyundai Mipo Dockyard Co. also said yesterday it got 548.1 billion won in orders from Europe and Asia to produce 10 vessels. The shares added 3.8 percent to 274,000 won.

More Contracts

Samsung Heavy Industries Co., the world's No. 2 shipbuilder, climbed 6.3 percent to 50,500 won. It received a 566.5 billion won drill-ship contract from a shipowner in the Americas, the company said yesterday. Samsung Heavy has received $10.1 billion worth of orders this year, 92 percent of its full-year target.

``It's very good for yards that shipowners are making enough profit to keep ordering new ships,'' said Kwak Tai Ho, who helps manage $1.2 billion at Kyobo Investment Management Co. in Seoul. New orders are ``pushing up the stocks. It seems that shipyards can expect a lot more contracts in the second half.''

Separately, Moody's Investors Service said it placed South Korea's government credit rating on review for possible upgrade, citing the nation's fiscal prudence, favorable economic outlook and contained geopolitical risks.

China Vanke, Shenhua

China's CSI 300 rose 2 percent, snapping a three-day, 7 percent loss. The yuan added as much as 0.12 percent to 7.5955 against the dollar in Shanghai today, the first time that it climbed past 7.60 since the end of a dollar peg in July 2005.

A stronger local currency boosts the value of lenders' yuan- denominated assets and attracts speculative money from abroad, betting on further strengthening, into the property market, which offers higher returns than banking deposits.

China Vanke, the nation's largest listed property developer, gained 4.1 percent to 19.41 yuan. China Merchants Bank Co., the seventh-largest lender, rose 2.3 percent to 24.42 yuan.

China Shenhua, the nation's largest coal producer, jumped 6.6 percent to HK$29.10 in Hong Kong after the company said it may raise as much as $6.3 billion in what may become China's biggest share sale this year.

The company will sell as many as 1.8 billion yuan- denominated shares in Shanghai to raise funds for expansion as demand for the fuel surges.

China Shenhua contributed to a 3.4 percent rally in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks the so-called H shares of 41 mainland companies. Shares also rose on speculation Chinese investors will pour funds into Hong Kong once the government eases restrictions on overseas investment on July 5.

Mobius, Rogers

Mark Mobius, who oversees $30 billion at Templeton Asset Management Ltd., said yesterday he prefers China's H shares because they are cheaper and ``growth is good.'' Jim Rogers, chairman of New York-based Beeland Interests Inc. and who predicted the start of the commodities rally in 1999, said he's sold out of all emerging markets with the exception of China.

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. , which operates the city's stock market, advanced as investors bet an increasing market turnover will boost the bourse's earnings. An average HK$77 billion ($9.9 billion) changed hands daily in June, compared with HK$30 billion a year earlier.

The stock soared 7.4 percent to HK$118.70, the highest close since its trading debut in June 2000.

There is too much liquidity in China and investors are ``chasing after concepts and new ideas,'' said Yoon Lai Choo, who helps manage $10 billion of global assets at Comgest (Far East) Ltd. in Hong Kong.

U.S. Stocks Advance; Wendy's International, Apple Shares Climb

2007-07-03T09:31:00.000-07:00

Danone's Petit Ecolier biscuits on display

July 3 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks gained for a second day after factory orders fell less than forecast and Kraft Foods Inc.'s $7.2 billion takeover bid for a unit of Groupe Danone SA fanned speculation mergers will extend this year's rally.

Wendy's International Inc., the third-biggest hamburger chain, advanced the most in two months after billionaire investor Nelson Peltz said he may make a bid for the company. Apple Inc. jumped to a record after Goldman, Sachs & Co. said the iPhone sold twice as fast as forecast.

Mergers and acquisitions carried the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to a record June 4 before the highest interest rates in five years helped push the benchmark down 1.3 percent. A government report today showing factory orders fell by less than half the rate economists forecast reinforced expectations that manufacturing will fan economic growth.

``We're seeing that the economy is still growing and corporate profits will be strong,'' said Hans Olsen, who oversees $34 billion as chief investment officer at Wilmington Trust Boston in Boston. ``The deals are psychologically great for the marketplace.''

The S&P 500 added 3.02, or 0.2 percent, to 1522.45 as of 11:49 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 26.83, or 0.2 percent, to 13,562.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 7.58, or 0.3 percent, to 2639.88.

U.S. stock markets will end trading at 1 p.m. today and be closed tomorrow for the Independence Day holiday.

Kraft Foods slipped 57 cents to $34.96. The world's largest cookie maker offered 5.3 billion euros ($7.2 billion) for Danone's biscuit unit to become the market leader in France, Italy and Poland. Paris-based Danone said it's in exclusive talks with Kraft and an agreement may be reached by the fourth quarter of this year.

Factory Orders

Orders placed with American factories fell 0.5 percent in May, the Commerce Department said, as demand for computers, electronics and fuel helped make up for a decline in aircraft bookings. Orders were forecast to retreat 1.2 percent, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Wendy's International Inc. surged $1.11 to $38.50. Peltz said his Triarc Cos. investment company is considering a bid for Wendy's. Triarc, which operates the Arby's chain of restaurants, requested information on financing being offered by Wendy's financial advisers.

Apple climbed $4.07 to $125.57. Goldman Sachs analyst David Bailey estimated shoppers took home 700,000 iPhones, twice his initial projection. Apple said on its Web site that 95 of 164 stores sold out of the combination mobile phone and music player. The iPhone sells at more than double production costs, reported research firm ISuppli Corp.

Thomas & Betts Corp. gained $2.56 to $61.62. Danaher Corp., the maker of Craftsman hand tools, agreed to sell its power quality division to the maker of electric components for about $280 million. Danaher Corp. added 75 cents to $77.31.

Avon, Caterpillar

Avon Products Inc. gained $1.04 to $37.79. The world's largest door-to-door cosmetics seller was raised to ``market perform'' from ``underperform'' by analysts at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.

Caterpillar Inc. dropped $2.23 to $78.22. The world's largest maker of earthmoving equipment was cut to ``reduce'' from ``neutral'' at UBS AG, which said revenue growth will slow because of rising competition.

General Motors Corp. lost 22 cents to $37.80, while Ford Motor Co. fell 26 cents to $9.38. Automakers report June sales today.

GM and Ford probably posted lower U.S. sales in June after the carmakers trimmed low-profit transactions with rental-car companies, according to the average estimate of nine analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

In other economic reports, the National Association of Realtors' index of pending home resales dropped 3.5 percent to a five-year low of 97.7 in May. The unexpected decline came as buyers waited for lower prices and lenders made it harder to get mortgages. Economists in a survey expected the index to rise 0.5 percent.

U.K. Bomb Probe Focuses on Medics; Australia Holds 1 (Update11)

2007-07-03T09:30:00.000-07:00

U.K. Home Secretary Jacqui Smith

July 3 (Bloomberg) -- Australian police arrested an Indian doctor in connection with an attack on Glasgow's airport and two attempted car bombings in London that are alleged to have been carried out by medics. Six men and a woman are held in the U.K.

A counterterrorism team detained the 27-year-old man at Brisbane International Airport late yesterday as he tried to leave Australia, Attorney-General Philip Ruddock told reporters in Canberra. Ruddock declined to say how the man, who isn't an Australian citizen, may be linked to the U.K. case. Australia's terrorist-threat level remains at ``medium,'' he said.

The Indian man is one of four non-British doctors affiliated with the U.K.'s National Health Service to be held in connection with the incidents June 30 in Glasgow and June 29 in London, suggesting that Britain's hospitals may have been penetrated by a terrorist network.

The Glasgow attack and attempted London bombings prompted the biggest terrorism alert in the U.K. since authorities foiled an Islamist plot in August to blow up planes flying from Heathrow airport to the U.S. Terrorists killed 52 people in London on July 7, 2005, in suicide bombings on the subway and a bus.

Two men were arrested at Glasgow International Airport after their Jeep Cherokee, filled with flammable material, rammed into a terminal entrance and caught fire on impact. One was hospitalized for burns.

The airport attack came as police were conducting one of their biggest manhunts after dismantling two car bombs made from gas canisters, gasoline and nails left in the heart of London's West End shopping and theater district.

`Caring Profession'

``We were shocked to hear of the recent attempted bombings. The news that members of a caring profession may be involved in these atrocities was even more appalling,'' Hamish Meldrum, chairman of British Medical Association Council, said today in an e-mailed statement. ``It would be dreadful if the trust that exists between patients and doctors, whatever their background, was harmed by these events.

Australian security officers, who were ``acting on advice from U.K. authorities,'' were searching properties in the northern state of Queensland where the suspect worked as a senior doctor at the Gold Coast Hospital, Ruddock said. The suspect held a one-way ticket to Pakistan, Sky News reported.

The man, an Australian resident, hasn't been charged and is helping police with their inquiries, Ruddock added.

``We are not aware of any threat to any building or any activity in Queensland at all,'' state Premier Peter Beattie told reporters today.

Recruited by U.K.

The Indian doctor was recruited through an advertisement in the British Medical Journal and had worked in Australia since September, Beattie said. He served his internship in India and worked as a doctor in Liverpool, in northwestern England, before moving to Queensland, Beattie added.

Australian Prime Minister John Howard told reporters the man's visa was sponsored by the Queensland Health Department.

The doctor held in Australia is Mohammed Haneef, said a spokeswoman for the U.K.'s North Cheshire NHS Trust. He worked as a substitute doctor at the Halton Hospital in Runcorn, in Cheshire, until 2005, she said. The doctor arrested in Liverpool on June 30 also worked at the Halton Hospital and at Warrington Hospital, the spokeswoman said. She declined to name him.

Another doctor, who also came to Australia from Liverpool, is being questioned by Australian police, Beattie said, adding that authorities are ``not aware of any particular link'' to the plot. Three of the U.K. detainees are doctors, U.K. police said.

Blackburn Arrests

Two men were arrested today under the Terrorism Act in an industrial area of Blackburn, in northwestern England, said Lancashire police, add that it is ``too early'' to say whether the arrests are linked to events in London and Glasgow. Sky News said the arrests were linked to a delivery of gas canisters.

U.S. law enforcement officials received intelligence reports two weeks ago warning of terrorist attacks against airport infrastructure and aircraft in Glasgow and Prague, ABC News reported, citing an unidentified senior U.S. official. The information didn't reach officials in Scotland, ABC said.

U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown's government stepped up security nationwide in response to the Glasgow attack and the attempted bombings in London.

Controls were tightened at airports, cars checked and more police patrolled public areas, including London's two financial districts, the City and Canary Wharf. The U.K. Home Office raised its terrorist threat level to ``critical,'' the highest, meaning an attack is expected imminently.

Sniffer dogs are checking cars entering the Canary Wharf office complex in east London, where companies such Citigroup Inc, HSBC Plc and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc employ 82,000 workers.

Heathrow Delays

BAA Plc, which runs London's Heathrow airport, said it is increasing passenger searches after a suspect package was found in Terminal 4. The searches are resulting in delays to flights.

At the Wimbledon tennis championships in southwest London, concrete blocks are being use to protect entry and exit points and the organizers asked visitors to use public transportation rather than private cars.

``You can never be certain but clearly the vast majority of people involved in this have been picked up,'' London Mayor Ken Livingstone told reporters today. The speed of the police investigation has been ``breathtaking,'' he said.

London Visitors

The terrorism threat isn't expected to deter the more than 2 million people who are expected in London this weekend for events including the Tour de France cycling competition, the mayor said. There will be extra police at key locations, Livingstone said.

Among the seven detained in Scotland and northern England, are two men, 25 and 28, who were arrested July 1 in the Paisley area, southwest of Glasgow, under anti-terrorism laws, police said, without giving further details. A man, 26, was arrested in Liverpool on the same day. A 26-year-old man and a 27-year-old woman were arrested July 30 on the M6 highway in northwest England. The man arrested on the M6 is a neurosurgeon. His family in Jordan denied he had any connection to extremism.

Three of the four suspects arrested in Scotland have been moved to London, the Scottish Crown Office said in a statement. They include one of the men detained at the scene of the attack on Glasgow airport, and the two men arrested in the Paisley area.

The other suspect, who was in the vehicle used to attack the airport, remains in a critical condition in a Scottish hospital.

Controlled Explosion

Yesterday, police sealed off a building that provides temporary accommodation for doctors at the Royal Alexandra Hospital in Paisley and searched the offices of a doctor at University Hospital in North Staffordshire, north of Birmingham. Today, police carried out a controlled explosion on a car parked outside a Glasgow mosque, Sky News said.

In London, police were examining images from security cameras to try to establish the cars' routes into the center of the city. They found the first bomb in a Mercedes parked outside a packed nightclub in Haymarket, close to Piccadilly Circus, at 1:30 a.m. on June 29. The second device, in a Mercedes parked between Haymarket and Trafalgar Square, was found hours after it was towed to a garage on Park Lane for being parked illegally.

U.S. Economy: Factory Orders Decline Less Than Forecast in May

2007-07-03T09:28:00.000-07:00

July 3 (Bloomberg) -- Factory orders fell less than predicted in May and Americans signed fewer contracts to buy existing homes, reinforcing forecasts that manufacturing will help overcome the housing slump.

Orders placed with U.S. factories fell 0.5 percent after a 0.5 percent gain in April, the Commerce Department said in Washington. The National Association of Realtors' index of contracts to buy previously owned homes unexpectedly dropped 3.5 percent to 97.7, the lowest since September 2001.

Economists and the Federal Reserve predict growth will accelerate from its first quarter pace, the weakest since 2002, even as housing remains a burden. Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last month there was no sign of ``major spillovers'' from the housing slide. Industry reports for June show manufacturers are raising production as businesses spend on investment.

``The second half is coming together almost perfectly according to the Fed's plan,'' said Mark Vitner, senior economist at Wachovia Corp. in Charlotte, North Carolina. ``Housing is going to be a drag but if we get some strength in business spending then the economy will be able to handle it.''

Demand for computers, electronics and fuel helped make up for a decline in aircraft bookings in May, the Commerce Department report showed. Excluding transportation equipment, bookings increased 0.7 percent after rising 1.0 percent.

Factory orders were forecast to fall 1.2 percent after a gain of 0.3 percent reported earlier for April, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 67 economists. Forecasts ranged from a 1.9 percent decline to a gain of 0.5 percent.

Treasuries Fall, Stocks Rise

Investors shrugged off the housing report, with Treasury securities dropping and stocks rising. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note was 5.04 percent at 12:10 p.m. in New York, up from 4.99 percent late yesterday. The Standard & Poor's 500 added 4.04 to 1523.47. Trading may be less than usual as markets close early today before the Independence Day holiday tomorrow.

``Economic growth will be fairly healthy in the second half, though housing itself will be a drag,'' said Russell Price, senior economist at H&R Block Financial Advisors in Detroit. ``The factory sector is rebounding.''

Economists expected pending sales to rise 0.5 percent, following an originally reported decline of 3.2 percent the prior month, according to the median of 27 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey of economists. Estimates ranged from a drop of 2.5 percent to an increase of 2 percent.

Last Recession

Today's report showed that the May reading was the lowest level since September 2001, when the economy was in the midst of the last recession. April pending home resales were revised to a decline of 3.5 percent.

Pending resales decreased 13.3 percent from May 2006. The measure of pending home resales is considered a leading indicator of sales because it tracks contract signings. The NAR's existing-home sales report tracks closings, which typically occur a month or two later.

Fed officials have said the housing slump may take longer to ease than previously anticipated. They kept the target overnight interest rate unchanged at 5.25 percent last week and reiterated that the economy will continue to grow at a ``moderate'' pace.

Housing `Near Bottom'

Some executives and officials have indicated optimism that the housing recession, the worst since 1991, may be past its worst. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said June 20 that ``we are at or near the bottom.''

``You'll see the economy begin to pick up in the third and fourth quarters'' and the slowdown in home sales is ``just about to be over,'' Kenneth Lewis, chief executive officer of Bank of America Corp., said in an interview last month in New York.

Orders for durable goods, which make up about 55 percent of factory demand, fell a revised 2.4 percent after a 1 percent gain in April. The government last week, in a preliminary estimate, reported a 2.8 percent decline in durables orders for May.

Orders for capital goods excluding aircraft and military equipment, a measure of future business investment, fell 2.1 percent after rising 2.0 percent. The Commerce Department had previously estimated a 3 percent drop. Shipments of these goods, part of the government's calculation of gross domestic product, rose 0.1 percent after a gain of 0.9 percent in April.

Business Investment

Business fixed investment, which includes spending on software and equipment, will probably grow at an annual rate of 6.4 percent this quarter, up from a 2.6 percent pace in the first quarter, according to Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Such spending fell 3.1 percent in the final three months of last year.

Civilian aircraft orders fell 22.6 percent after declining 11 percent in April. Chicago-based Boeing Co., the world's second-biggest commercial-aircraft maker, said it received 92 orders in May, down from 136 the prior month. The government's figures don't always correlate with industry reports.

Bookings for machinery fell 1.4 percent after declining 1.7 percent, today's report said.

Orders for computers and electronic products rose 4.2 percent after rising 1.2 percent. Bookings for automobiles rose 3.5 percent after declining 4.1 percent.

Food, Chemicals

Bookings for non-durable goods, including food, petroleum and chemicals, rose 1.6 percent in May after no change in April.

Inventories rose 0.3 percent after rising 0.4 percent, Commerce Department figures showed. Today's report showed businesses had enough goods to last 1.23 months at May's sales pace, down from 1.24 months.

United Technologies Corp.'s Pratt & Whitney unit, the world's second-biggest jet engine maker, last month won an order valued at as much as $1 billion from Spain's Grupo Marsans for engines and service for Airbus SAS's A330.

Other reports show a pickup in demand for factory goods.

Manufacturing growth in the U.S. accelerated last month to the highest level in 14 months, boosted by an increase in production and new orders, based on the Institute for Supply Management's factory index. Yesterday's report showed new orders climbed to the highest since February last year.

The National Association of Purchasing Management-Chicago reported last week that its business barometer held near a two- year high, signaling strength in manufacturing.

Manufacturing in the Philadelphia region accelerated in June at the fastest pace in more than two years as orders surged, according to a June 21 report from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

Asian Stocks Fall for First Time in Three Weeks on U.S. Housing

2007-07-01T09:17:00.001-07:00

June 30 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks dropped for the first time in three weeks on concern a U.S. housing slump will curb growth in the region's biggest export market. Samsung Electronics Co. and James Hardie Industries NV led the slide.

``Markets seem unable to push higher as we get more news every day about the U.S. economy, particularly the housing troubles there,'' said Hans Kunnen, who helps manage $107 billion at Colonial First State Global Asset Management in Sydney.

The Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index lost 0.4 percent in the past five days to 152.90, after climbing to a record in the previous week. Benchmarks in Pakistan, Taiwan, Thailand, and India were the only ones to rise in the region. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average lost 0.3 percent and the broader Topix index slid 0.2 percent.

China's CSI 300 Index fell 7.1 percent this week, the worst performer among 89 major indexes tracked by Bloomberg, on concern the government will implement measures to cool the world's fastest-growing major economy. China's central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan said the country's shares may be overvalued and interest-rate increases couldn't be ruled out.

Taiwan's Taiex index rose for the seventh week. JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its 2007 estimate for the measure, citing the potential for increased liquidity and a possible rally ahead of Taiwan's 2008 presidential election.

Housing Woes

A U.S. report showed purchases of previously owned homes declined 0.3 percent in May, while the supply of unsold houses jumped to a record, the National Association of Realtors said this week. Purchases of new homes dropped in May, a report by the Commerce Department showed, while an index of consumer confidence fell this month to the lowest since August.

``We had news the past few days suggesting the U.S. housing sector is coming back to haunt all markets,'' said Jason Teh, who helps manage about $4.3 billion at Investors Mutual Ltd. in Sydney. ``We stay away from all investments that are directly linked to that industry.''

Samsung, Asia's largest chipmaker, fell 4.2 percent, to 566,000 won. James Hardie, the No. 1 supplier of home siding in the U.S., slid 3.8 percent to A$8.72 in Australia. Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., whose customers include Apple Inc., dropped 1.7 percent, to NT$284.

``Stocks globally take a fall every time there's more bad news on U.S. housing-related or lending data because there's a threat that this may spill over into other parts of the economy,'' said Eric Betts, a strategist at Nomura Australia Ltd. in Sydney. ``This wouldn't be good for companies that depend on the U.S. consumer.''

Chinese Economy

Citic Securities Co., China's biggest publicly traded brokerage, lost 9.1 percent to 52.97 yuan.

China is worried its equity markets may be overvalued and is watching developments closely, Zhou told reporters in Basel, Switzerland, where he attended a meeting of central bankers at the weekend.

``We don't rule out further rate increases if necessary'' and inflation remains a concern, Zhou said.

``Zhou's remarks are damping sentiment in the market and as a result investors may be selling for fear of further'' policy initiatives, said Fan Dizhao, who helps manage about $1.8 billion at Guotai Asset Management Co. in Shanghai.

The China Financial Futures Exchange said on June 28 it will introduce futures based on the index, while the Ministry of Finance announced plans to raise 1.55 trillion yuan ($204 billion) selling bonds to fund the State Investment Co.

``Both these measures are bearish for the stock market as they tend to divert funds,'' said Wang Zheng, who manages the equivalent of $500 million at the asset management unit of Everbright Securities Co. in Shanghai.

Taiwan Target Raised

Taiwan's Taiex index target was raised to 9,000 from 8,600, Bernard Liu, head of Taiwan research at JPMorgan wrote in a note. JPMorgan recommends investors to be ``overweight'' on Taiwanese financial and material companies, while ``underweight'' on technology stocks, Liu wrote in the note dated June 29. Taiwan's Taiex climbed 9.1 percent in June, its biggest monthly advance since July 2003.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's biggest supplier of made-to-order chips, rose 2.8 percent to NT$70.90. Formosa Plastics Corp., the world's second-largest maker of polyvinyl chloride, or PVC, added 2.7 percent to NT$83.40.

Meanwhile, Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. rose 1.5 percent to HK$110.50 on expectations a surge in share trading will boost profit at the operator of the city's stock market.

An average HK$75 billion ($9.6 billion) worth of shares changed hands in the past month, compared with HK$29 billion of daily turnover in the same period a year earlier. Hong Kong Exchanges was the best performer of the 39-member Hang Seng Index during the period. The measure fell 1 percent this week.

Elsewhere, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. advanced 1.3 percent to 7,960 yen after a study found the company's Actos drug may lower the risk of heart attack and death in diabetic patients with kidney disease.

S&P 500 Stalls on Concern Subprime Losses to Worsen; Dow Gains

2007-07-01T09:16:00.000-07:00

June 30 (Bloomberg) -- The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was little changed amid heightened concern that losses from loans to the riskiest borrowers will mount, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained, capping its biggest quarterly advance since 2003.

Bear Stearns Cos., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. led financial firms to the second- steepest retreat among 10 industries in the S&P 500. Bear Stearns this week said it would spend $1.6 billion to bail out two hedge funds that made bad bets on bonds backed by subprime mortgages.

``The issue with subprime could be far-reaching,'' said John Davidson, who helps oversee more than $11 billion as president of PartnerRe Asset Management in Greenwich, Connecticut. ``The week has been focused on what's going on at Bear Stearns. The thought was that this could affect the housing market, the consumer and the overall economy.''

Shares of AT&T Inc., the largest U.S. telephone company, rose every day this week, before sales of Apple Inc.'s iPhone began yesterday. AT&T is the mobile device's service provider. General Motors Corp. surged, giving it the Dow's No. 2 gain behind AT&T, after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. advised buying the stock.

The S&P 500 added 0.79, or less than 0.1 percent, to 1503.35. Yesterday's decline prevented the index from posting the biggest quarterly gain since 2003.

The Dow average increased 48.36, or 0.4 percent, to 13,408.62. Its 8.5 percent advance in the second quarter was the most since the final three months of 2003. The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 14.27, or 0.6 percent, to 2603.23.

`Favorable Direction'

U.S. Treasuries advanced following a government report that showed a gauge of inflation watched by the Federal Reserve slowed and concern over acts of terrorism in London. That sent the yield on benchmark 10-year notes down 0.10 percentage point to 5.03 percent, the biggest decrease since the week ended March 2, according to bond broker Cantor Fitzgerald LP.

Reports yesterday showed Americans spent less than forecast in May and the Fed's preferred inflation gauge cooled, signs that a consumer slowdown is restraining price pressures.

``The inflation trend is heading in a favorable direction,'' said Marshall Front, who helps manage about $800 million at Front Barnett Associates in Chicago.

Financial firms in the S&P 500 lost 0.8 percent. The group extended the prior week's 2.9 percent slump, which was the steepest weekly loss since March. Bear Stearns slipped 2.6 percent to $140. Goldman fell 2.5 percent to $216.75. Lehman retreated 1.1 percent to $75.80.

IPhone

AT&T had its biggest weekly gain since July 2006, surging 6.8 percent to $41.50. Apple Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs has set a goal of selling 10 million iPhones in 2008, giving the company a 1 percent share of the mobile-phone market. Reviewers for the Wall Street Journal, New York Times and USA Today this week praised the software and design of Apple's phone, iPod media player and Internet device.

Apple shares slipped 0.8 percent to $122.04.

Shares of GM, the biggest U.S. automaker, added 6.6 percent to $37.80. Goldman Sachs gave the stock a ``buy'' rating. Also, United Auto Workers members at Delphi Corp. approved an agreement with the bankrupt auto-parts maker that settles a two-year dispute by exchanging pay cuts for employee buyout incentives. Delphi is GM's largest parts supplier.

Research In Motion, Apollo Group

Research In Motion Ltd. shares gained 17 percent to $199.99, including the biggest one-day gain in 3 1/2 years, after the maker of the BlackBerry e-mail phone reported first-quarter profit that topped analysts' estimates. The company's profit soared last quarter while rival Palm Inc.'s earnings fell, underscoring the gap between the two companies as they prepare for new competition from the iPhone.

Apollo Group Inc. surged the most among S&P 500 members, jumping 19 percent to $58.43. The education company reported higher profit than analysts estimated in a Bloomberg survey and said it plans to buy back as much as $500 million in stock.

Nike Inc. rose 10 percent to $58.29, including the biggest one-day rise in 4 1/2 years. The world's largest sneaker maker said orders for clothing and shoes rose the most since 1997. The company capitalized on increased demand in Europe and Asia. Rising incomes and sporting events such as the 2008 Olympic Games ignited consumer spending on footwear and clothes in China.

Commerce Bancorp Inc. advanced 12 percent to $36.99, the No. 2 gain in the S&P 500. New Jersey's biggest bank abruptly replaced founder Vernon Hill as chief executive officer after regulators forced the company to stop doing business with firms controlled by his family.

Israeli Forces Kill Seven in Attacks on Islamic Jihad in Gaza

2007-07-01T09:15:00.000-07:00

July 1 (Bloomberg) -- Israeli aircraft struck three targets in the Gaza Strip late yesterday, leaving seven dead and 10 wounded.

In two separate attacks, Israeli forces hit militants belonging to the Islamic Jihad group near Khan Younis and al- Mughazi refugee camp, an army spokesman, speaking on condition of anonymity, said today by telephone. A third raid destroyed what he said was an arms warehouse used by the group al-Mughazi.

The raid on Khan Younis in southern Gaza killed three people and wounded five, a medic at the city's Nasser Hospital said, asking not to be identified. Four more died and five others were injured in the al-Mughazi attacks, said medics at Shiffa Hospital in Gaza City.

Fighting between Israel and Palestinian militants, triggered by the Islamic movement Hamas's decision to call off a cease-fire with Israel, is now in its sixth week. More than 300 unguided Qassam rockets have hit Israel from Gaza, launched by Hamas and other groups, prompting Israeli air and ground raids.

Five of the rockets have hit the Israeli town of Sderot since the night of June 29, injuring one person lightly, the Israel Defense Forces spokesman said.

He said the militants hit near Khan Younis were on their way to stage a suicide attack against Israeli settlements near the Gaza border or at the crossing. Islamic Jihad said in a statement the three dead were ``senior commanders,'' and took responsibility for launching two homemade rockets from Gaza at Sderot.

Hamas seized control of the Gaza Strip last month, taking over the security forces of the Palestinian Authority, which it had ruled in a national unity government with the rival Fatah movement. Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas has since set up an emergency government in the West Bank that is dominated by Fatah.

Israel has backed Abbas's government while trying to isolate Hamas-ruled Gaza. Among other things, it has proposed sending an international force to prevent arms reaching Gaza and to stop rocket attacks. Abbas said yesterday in France that he backed the idea of a force as well as early elections to end the Palestinian division.

The military wing of the Hamas movement said in a statement yesterday it opposed any international force, saying it would be treated ``as an occupation force and will be received with missiles and rockets.''

Apple's IPhone Sells Out at Most AT&T Stores, Swamping Network

2007-07-01T09:14:00.000-07:00

Customers buy iPhones in New York

July 1 (Bloomberg) -- Apple Inc.'s U.S. debut of the iPhone drew thousands of shoppers over the weekend, emptying most of AT&T Inc.'s inventory and causing network glitches as the flood of customers began activating the device.

Shoppers snapped up as many as 200,000 iPhones the first day after the device went on sale June 29, according to Global Equities Research. While it was still available at all 164 Apple stores yesterday, AT&T said most of its 1,800 stores no longer had the phone in stock. AT&T is the only mobile-phone service that works with the iPhone.

``A lot of our stores have sold out,'' said Mark Siegel, a spokesman for San Antonio-based AT&T, the largest U.S. wireless service. ``We're restoring our inventory as fast as we can.''

The sales met the expectations of most analysts, giving Apple a foothold in the mobile-phone industry. Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs is counting on the device to become Apple's third major source of revenue, alongside the iPod media player and the Macintosh computer. The iPhone combines a Web-surfing phone with the iPod.

Some buyers had problems activating the phones because of the large number signing up at the same time, Siegel said. There also were delays switching customers from other carriers.

Wozniak's Test

``Some of my friends are having activation difficulties,'' Apple co-founder Steve Wozniak, who got in line at 4 a.m. on June 29 to buy his iPhone, said in an e-mail interview.

He successfully activated his phone and said he's impressed with the software and how the device serves up Web pages. ``I was going to only use the iPhone as a test phone at first, but I'm ready now to make it my primary number,'' Wozniak said.

Apple stores sold an estimated 128,000 iPhones on the first day, while AT&T stores sold 72,000, said Trip Chowdhry, an analyst with San Francisco-based Global Equities.

The stores stayed open until midnight June 29. Customers could buy one phone at AT&T's stores and two at Apple's outlets. Shoppers can check Apple's Web site to see if the iPhone is in stock at any of its stores.

There's a wait of two to four weeks for customers who order the phone online from Apple, according to the site.

The iPhone comes in two versions: a 4-gigabyte model that sells for $499 and an 8-gigabyte version that costs $599. The phone requires a two-year service contract with AT&T.

Shoppers interviewed at Apple's stores in New York and California favored the 8-gigabyte model.

``For $100 more, you get double the storage,'' said engineer Rick Evans, 50, who bought his iPhone on opening night at Apple's store in Stanford, California. ``It's a no-brainer.''

Miles Barken, a shopper in Santa Monica, California, bought the 4-gigabyte version after the other model sold out.

``I was having trouble deciding between the two of them anyway,'' he said. ``This just made the decision easier for me.''

EBay Sales

The iPhone is already selling at a premium on the auction site EBay Inc., despite it still being in stock at Apple's stores. The phone has sold on EBay for an average of $978.75, the company said.

Jobs said last week that Apple tried to estimate demand and increased manufacturing. ``We've taken our best guess, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if it ain't enough,'' Jobs said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal.

Apple's investors are betting that Jobs, 52, can deliver on a pledge to capture a least 1 percent of the mobile-phone market by selling 10 million iPhones in 2008. Anticipation helped propel the company's market value above $100 billion in May for the first time.

The Cupertino, California, company's shares rose $1.48 to $122.04 on June 29 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading.

Apple's annual profit has surged to almost $2 billion from $65 million in the past five years, while sales more than tripled to about $20 billion.

Asian Stocks Advance as Oil Climbs, Yen Halts Gain; Cnooc Rises

2007-06-28T10:00:00.000-07:00

Honda Motor Co. production plant

June 28 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rebounded from a two- week low, led by energy producers and Japanese exporters, after crude oil prices advanced and the yen halted a three-day climb.

Cnooc Ltd., China's largest offshore explorer, gained for the first time in six days. Toyota Motor Corp. advanced after Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Nomura Securities Co. said a weaker yen will boost automakers' profits.

LG.Philips LCD Co. rose after Woori Investment & Securities Co. lifted its share price estimate. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. gained after Oracle Corp. predicted higher sales than analysts forecast.

``I don't think Asia needs to worry too much about earnings,'' said Hugh Young, who oversees $35 billion as managing director at Aberdeen Asset Asia Ltd. in Singapore.

Energy shares posted the biggest gains on the Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index. The measure climbed 0.6 percent to 151.77 at 5:30 p.m. in Tokyo, after yesterday posting its lowest close since June 14.

China's CSI 300 Index plunged 4.5 percent, the region's biggest drop. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average added 0.5 percent to 17,932.27, halting a four-day, 2.1 percent loss. Benchmarks rose elsewhere in Asia, except for Indonesia, Malaysia and New Zealand.

HSBC Holdings Plc climbed in Hong Kong after the chief executive of Merrill Lynch & Co. said he sees few risks of widespread turmoil in credit markets as a result of rising defaults on U.S. subprime mortgages.

Oil Price

U.S. stocks rose yesterday for the first time in four days, helping the Standard & Poor's 500 Index climb 0.9 percent.

Cnooc jumped 4.1 percent to HK$8.81, snapping a five-day, 7.3 percent slump. PetroChina Co., the nation's largest oil explorer, climbed 2.5 percent to HK$11.62. Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Australia's second-largest producer, added 3 percent to A$45.75, while BHP Billiton Ltd., the largest, rose 2 percent to A$34.89.

Crude oil for August delivery gained 1.8 percent yesterday to $68.97 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was recently at $69.11. Futures dropped 2 percent on June 26, the biggest loss in more than two weeks.

``We were due for some relief'' after recent losses, said Atul Lele, who helps manage about $380 million at White Funds Management in Sydney. ``Oil stocks are the clear winners from oil's jump yesterday, which is being sustained.''

Weaker Yen

Toyota, Japan's largest automaker, added 0.9 percent to 7,620 yen, its biggest advance since June 15. Goldman Sachs raised its rating on the stock to ``buy'' from ``neutral,'' while Nomura raised its rating on the industry to ``bullish'' from ``neutral.''

Japan's currency weakened to as low as 123.36 per dollar from 122.67 at yesterday's close of trading in Tokyo. The yen rose the most in 10 weeks against the dollar yesterday, completing three days of gains. Against the euro, it fell to 165.97 from 164.83 yesterday.

Honda Motor Co., Japan's No. 2 automaker by sales, climbed 2.1 percent to 4,420 yen, the most since June 11. Nissan Motor Co., the third biggest, added 1.4 percent to 1,301 yen. The shares also advanced after a report today said vehicle output in Japan by the country's 12 automakers rose 6.3 percent in May.

Nintendo Co., whose Wii game console is outselling rivals in the U.S., jumped 2.2 percent to 45,050 yen.

The yen has lost 4.3 percent against the dollar since the start of Japan's financial year in April, the worst performance among the 73 currencies tracked by Bloomberg, and 5.1 percent versus the euro. Most companies expected the currency to climb to about 114 per dollar this year, according to the Bank of Japan's latest Tankan business confidence report.

Significant Impact

``The yen has caught some people by surprise by how weak it's been and most people don't see the yen bouncing back too much,'' said Tathagata Guha Roy, who helps manage $1 billion for Alliance Trust Plc in Hong Kong. ``It has been significant enough'' to impact exporters' earnings.

LG.Philips, the world's second-largest maker of liquid- crystal displays, added 1.4 percent to 41,000 won. Woori raised its 12-month price estimate by 6.3 percent to 51,000 won.

LG.Philips' second-quarter consolidated operating profit, or sales minus the cost of goods sold and administrative expenses, will be 190 billion won ($205 million), compared with the market consensus of 61 billion won, analyst Young Park wrote in a report.

Taiwan Semiconductor, the world's largest customized-chip maker for computer and communication companies, rose 1.3 percent to NT$70.40. Lenovo Group Ltd., China's No. 1 personal-computer maker, surged 5.6 percent to HK$4.69.

`Solid Outlook'

Oracle, the world's third-largest software maker, said sales may rise to as much as $4.43 billion in its fiscal first quarter. Analysts had expected sales of $4.11 billion, according to a Bloomberg survey.

``The Oracle news signals the solid outlook for the computer-related industry,'' said Charles Chen, who helps manage the equivalent of $3.7 billion at JF Asset Management Co. in Taipei.

Shares tumbled in China, sending the CSI 300 to its biggest drop since June 4. The China Financial Futures Exchange said today it will introduce futures based on the index, while the Ministry of Finance announced plans to raise 1.55 trillion yuan ($204 billion) selling bonds to fund the State Investment Co.

About 40 stocks including Tianjin FAW Xiali Automobile Co. fell by the 10 percent daily cap on the CSI 300. Tianjin FAW, a Chinese partner of Toyota, slumped 0.93 yuan to 8.36. Huadian Power International Corp., a power producer in the eastern province of Shandong, plunged 0.81 yuan to 7.29.

`Containable'

HSBC, the world's third-largest bank by market value, gained 0.4 percent to HK$143.50. Two-thirds of HSBC's $10.6 billion in loan defaults last year were in North America.

Merrill Lynch Chief Executive Officer Stanley O'Neal said yesterday the rising foreclosure rates on U.S. subprime mortgages aren't sapping confidence in other parts of the global debt market.

Concern of subprime fallout ``will come and go,'' said Khiem Do, who helps oversee $8.7 billion at Baring Asset Management (Asia) Ltd. in Hong Kong. ``It's not the end of bad news. But it's definitely containable.''

Meanwhile, Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Ltd. jumped 2.2 percent to HK$108.90 on expectations a surge in share trading will boost profit at the operator of the city's stock market.

An average HK$75 billion ($9.6 billion) worth of shares changed hands in the past month, compared with HK$29 billion of daily turnover in the same period a year earlier. Shares of Hong Kong Exchanges were the best performers on the 39-member Hang Seng Index during the period.

U.S. Stocks Gain, Led by Oil, Technology Shares; Intel Rises

2007-06-28T09:58:00.000-07:00

June 28 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose, led by fuel producers and technology companies, after oil prices jumped and analysts upgraded Intel Corp. and Cisco Systems Inc. on prospects for profit growth.

Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp., the biggest U.S. oil companies, advanced after crude prices rose to a nine-month high. Intel, the world's largest computer-chip manufacturer, and Cisco Systems, the biggest maker of networking equipment, led the Standard & Poor's 500 Index higher for a second day.

The potential for higher profit growth at technology companies and energy producers helped equities rebound from early losses spurred by a government report showing inflation climbed more than forecast in the first quarter. Economists expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged after meeting today and for the rest of the year.

``People are underestimating what earnings are going to do here,'' said Wayne Wicker, who helps oversee $31.5 billion as chief investment officer of Vantagepoint Funds in Washington. ``Increasing earnings and global growth are going to be responsible for higher equity prices later on this year.''

The S&P 500 rose 4.61, or 0.3 percent, to 1510.95 as of 12:42 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 20.64, or 0.2 percent, to 13,448.37. The Nasdaq Composite Index added 11.3, or 0.4 percent, to 2616.65.

Oil Climbs

Crude oil for August delivery rose 1.7 percent to $70.14 a barrel in New York as U.S. refineries increased output of gasoline and other fuels.

Exxon added 42 cents to $83.90. Chevron climbed 61 cents to $84.50.

Technology shares in the S&P 500 increased 0.4 percent as a group and contributed the most to the index's advance.

Intel gained 22 cents to $24.01. Lehman Brothers upgraded the shares to ``overweight'' from ``equal weight,'' saying a new series of semiconductors designed for laptop computers may boost revenue and earnings growth.

Cisco climbed 93 cents to $28.20. Merrill Lynch & Co. upgraded the world's largest maker of computer networking equipment to ``buy'' from ``neutral,'' saying fiscal fourth- quarter earnings may exceed analysts' estimates on ``strong'' business demand.

Dillard's Inc. had the S&P 500's top gain after a group of investors sent a letter to the department-store chain urging management to take action that will lift the share price. The stock added $3.06, or 9 percent, to $36.99.

Dominion Resources Inc. jumped $3.94 to $87.49 after the largest U.S. utility owner said it will offer to buy back almost 16 percent of its stock, following through on a plan to use cash from sales of oil and gas assets to reduce shares outstanding.

Monsanto

Monsanto Co. added $1.24 to $67.24. The world's biggest seed producer said third-quarter profit jumped to $1.03 a share from 60 cents a year earlier as U.S. corn farmers bought more of the company's products to meet rising demand for ethanol and animal feed. Profit was projected to be $1 a share, the average estimate of eight analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.

A gauge of raw-materials producers in the S&P 500 climbed 0.5 percent, helped also by the biggest jump in copper prices in two weeks and a second day of gains in the price of gold.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world's largest publicly traded copper company, added 94 cents to $83.01.

Airlines climbed after JPMorgan upgraded the industry and said it expects mergers next year. American Airlines parent AMR Corp. added 96 cents to $26.81. Alaska Air Group Inc., parent of Alaska Airlines, rose $1.49 to $28.45. United Airlines parent UAL Corp. increased $1.33 to $40.28.

The Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which strips out food and energy costs, climbed at a 2.4 percent annual rate, faster than economists' forecast and the government's previous estimate, both of which were 2.2 percent. The economy grew at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the first quarter, the slowest pace in four years.

The policy-making Federal Open Market Committee will hold its target for the benchmark overnight-lending rate between banks at 5.25 percent for an eighth consecutive meeting today, according to the unanimous forecast of economists surveyed. The announcement is due at about 2:15 p.m.

Immigration Legislation Blocked Again in U.S. Senate (Update1)

2007-06-28T09:57:00.000-07:00

June 28 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Senate again blocked passage of comprehensive immigration legislation, almost certainly ending chances Congress will act this year on the centerpiece of President George W. Bush's domestic agenda.

Supporters got just 46 of the 60 votes needed to conclude debate and proceed to final passage. Fifty-three senators voted against cutting off debate.

The measure, the biggest rewrite of U.S. immigration law since 1986, would offer 12 million illegal immigrants a path to citizenship while tightening the border with Mexico and creating a guest-worker program to help employers fill low-paying jobs.

Today's vote dimmed prospects the House of Representatives would act on immigration. Bush's fellow Republicans in the House voted 114-23 this week vote to adopt a resolution disapproving of the Senate measure.

``This vote effectively kills comprehensive immigration legislation in the 110th Congress,'' said Representative Zoe Lofgren, the chairwoman of a House Judiciary subcommittee on immigration.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a California Democrat, has said she wants the support of 50 to 70 Republicans before she would bring the immigration measure to a vote. The House hasn't acted on immigration legislation this year while awaiting the Senate outcome.

Today's vote came three weeks after Majority Leader Harry Reid, a Nevada Democrat, pulled the measure off the Senate floor when supporters lost a similar procedural vote to limit debate. The measure was revived after a bipartisan group agreed on a package of some two dozen amendments that would be voted on.

Republican opponents of the legislation denounced it as amnesty for lawbreakers and said their constituents demanded it be rejected, with our without any amendments.

U.S. Economy: First-Quarter Expansion Was Slowest in 4 Years

2007-06-28T09:54:00.000-07:00

June 28 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. economy expanded at an annual pace of 0.7 percent last quarter, the slowest in four years, and a gauge of inflation watched by the Federal Reserve was unexpectedly revised up.

The increase in gross domestic product compares with the 0.6 percent rate estimated last month and followed a 2.5 percent gain in the last three months of 2006, according to a Commerce Department report today in Washington. The price measure rose at the fastest rate since the second quarter of 2006.

The slower growth, combined with the greater-than-forecast inflation, increases the chances that the Federal Reserve, which is projected to leave rates unchanged today, will do so for many months. More recent reports on trade, retail sales and inventories suggest the pace of expansion has already picked up and may exceed 3 percent in the quarter ending this week.

``The economy will accelerate from the first half into the second half,'' said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital in New York. ``We are probably going to have continued pressures'' on inflation.

Economists forecast first-quarter growth would be 0.8 percent, according to the median of 73 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Projections ranged from 0.5 percent to 1.5 percent annual growth. Today's report is the final of three growth estimates.

The Fed's preferred inflation measure, which is tied to consumer spending and strips out food and energy costs, rose at a 2.4 percent annual rate, faster than the 2.2 percent previously estimated. The new estimate reflected higher costs for medical services.

Higher Prices

Some economists boosted forecasts for a report due tomorrow based on today's price revision. The Commerce Department's personal income and spending report was projected to show the price gauge rose 1.9 percent in the year ended May, easing within the 1 percent to 2 percent range preferred by policy makers such as Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke.

``Core inflation now is probably still running above 2 percent going into today's'' Fed meeting, said John Shin, an economist at Lehman Brothers Inc. in New York. ``That is significant. Inflation is still above the Fed's comfort zone.''

Fewer Americans filed first-time claims for unemployment benefits last week, signaling the labor market remains healthy, a Labor Department report today also showed. Initial jobless claims decreased by 13,000 to 313,000 in the week that ended June 23.

Trade Deficit

Today's GDP revision mainly reflected a narrower trade deficit than previously estimated.

The trade gap last quarter was $606.2 billion at an annual pace, compared with $611.8 billion estimated last month. Trade subtracted 0.8 percentage point from growth, rather than the 1 percentage point estimated last month.

Companies reduced stockpiles at a $4.2 billion annual pace last quarter, compared with previous estimates of a $4.5 billion reduction.

``The inventory correction is over and with that usually comes an acceleration of growth,'' Jonathan Basile, an economist at Credit Suisse Holdings in New York, said before the report. ``What was ailing the economy last year and early this year is really behind us.''

One part of the economy still reeling is housing. Spending on residential construction projects fell at a 15.8 percent annual pace last quarter, after contracting at a 19.8 percent rate in the fourth quarter. The drop subtracted 0.9 percentage point from growth.

Home Sales

Combined sales of new and existing home dropped to a 6.905 million annual pace last month, the lowest level in four years, according to figures from the Commerce Department and the National Association of Realtors. Builders broke ground on fewer homes last month and the drop in sales suggests the slump will persist, economists said.

``We continue to see weak, and perhaps deteriorating, market conditions,'' Stuart Miller, chief executive officer of Lennar Corp., said in a statement this week. ``We currently expect to be in a loss position in our third quarter.''

Miami-based Lennar, the largest U.S. homebuilder, reported an unexpected loss for the quarter ended May 31 and said losses may persist into the next three months. New orders last quarter dropped 31 percent even as incentives rose 77 percent.

Bernanke said this month that restrictions on the availability of mortgage credit may slow housing demand even more. At the same time, he and other officials have said the slump hasn't spilled over into other parts of the economy.

Spending Moderating

Consumer spending will probably cool this quarter as record gasoline prices siphon money away from purchases of other goods and services, economists said.

Spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy and grew at a 4.2 percent annual rate last quarter, will expand at about half that pace this quarter, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed earlier this month.

The rebound in growth this quarter is based on trade and inventories rather than stronger demand, so the improvement is unlikely to be sustained, according to Jan Hatzius, chief U.S. economist at Goldman.

``Economic growth in the first half of 2007 is shaping up to look much stronger than seemed likely a couple of months ago,'' Hatzius said in a June 22 note to clients. ``The caveat is that final domestic demand is softening, a development that could foreshadow a renewed slowdown later in the year.''

Business Investment

A report yesterday cast doubt on the strength of a rebound in business investment. Durable goods orders excluding transportation equipment unexpectedly dropped 1 percent in May, according to a report from Commerce.

Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a proxy for future business investment, dropped 3 percent, and shipments of those items, used in calculating GDP, fell 0.2 percent, the report also showed.

Increases in business investment are key to sustaining the expansion now that consumer spending is cooling, economists said.

Today's GDP report included a revised look at corporate profits for the quarter. Earnings adjusted for the value of inventories and depreciation of capital expenditures, known as profits from current production, rose 1.4 percent. For all of last year, profits were up 21 percent.

Asian Stocks Slide to Two-Week Low on Metals, U.S. Home Sales

2007-06-27T10:23:00.000-07:00

Toyota Motor Corp.'s Premio

June 27 (Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks fell to the lowest in two weeks after commodity prices dropped and on concern a U.S. housing slump will curb growth in the region's biggest export market.

Toyota Motor Corp., Japan's largest automaker, declined the most in almost three weeks. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company, slid for a third day, its longest losing streak since January.

``It's not a great time for exporters, and we have lower commodities driving the miners down too,'' said Hans Kunnen, who helps manage $107 billion at Colonial First State Global Asset Management in Sydney. ``Markets seem unable to push higher as we get more news every day about the U.S. economy, particularly the housing troubles there.''

Shanghai Automotive Co. paced China's CSI 300 Index to a second day of gains after a government report showed profits by industrial companies jumped.

All 10 industry groups that make up the Morgan Stanley Capital International Asia-Pacific Index retreated. The measure, which rose to a record last week, lost 1.2 percent to 151.03 as of 7:33 p.m. in Tokyo, the lowest since June 14 and its biggest slide since June 8.

Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average dropped for a fourth day, falling 1.2 percent to 17,849.28, its longest string of declines in three months. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index slid 2 percent, the most since March 14. Benchmarks fell elsewhere in the region, except in Thailand and Pakistan.

In the U.S., the Standard & Poor's 500 Index slid 0.3 percent yesterday, heading for its biggest monthly retreat in more than a year. Purchases of new homes dropped in May, a report by the Commerce Department showed, while an index of consumer confidence fell this month to the lowest since August.

Reassessing the Risks

Toyota, which made almost two-thirds of its sales outside Japan last year, slipped 1.7 percent to 7,550 yen, the most since June 8. James Hardie Industries NV, the No. 1 maker of home siding in the U.S., dropped 3.2 percent to A$8.59, the lowest since April 17. HSBC Holdings Plc, who North American business generated 21 percent of its total pre-tax profit in 2006, lost 0.8 percent to HK$143. Samsung Electronics Co., the world's largest memory-chip maker, declined 1.2 percent to 581,000 won.

``The U.S. housing market is looking bad,'' said Koshi Kumagai, a fund manager at BNP Paribas Asset Management in Tokyo, which manages about $438 billion in assets worldwide. ``Global investors are now reassessing how much risk they're willing to take and that's causing shares to fall.''

Meanwhile, Japan's currency climbed for a third day against the dollar, trading at 122.69 at the close of share trading in Tokyo. The currency fell to a more than four-year low of 124.14 on June 22. The yen also gained against the euro for a third day to 164.84, from a record low of 166.94 last week.

Sony Corp., the maker of the Vaio computer and PlayStation console, lost 2.2 percent to 6,260 yen. Canon Inc., the world's largest digital-camera maker, slid 2.3 percent to 7,210 yen.

Metals, Oil

BHP Billiton retreated 1.8 percent to A$34.20. Its three-day loss is the longest since the period ended Jan. 8. Rio Tinto Group, the third biggest, fell 2.6 percent to A$95.75, extending a five- day, 2.8 percent drop. Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Japan's biggest nickel producer, dropped 3.9 percent to 2,625 yen.

Signs of slowing consumption in China and the U.S., the world's largest users of copper, helped push prices of the metal 1.5 percent lower yesterday. Zinc and nickel prices also fell, sending a measure of six metals traded on the London Metal Exchange down 2.1 percent, its biggest drop since June 12.

Crude oil for August delivery fell 2 percent to $67.77 a barrel in New York yesterday, the biggest one-day decline since June 8. Futures were recently trading at $67.69.

Inpex Holdings Inc., Japan's largest oil explorer, slid 1.7 percent to 1.13 million yen. Santos Ltd., Australia's third- biggest producer, fell 3.4 percent to A$13.80. Cnooc Ltd., China's biggest offshore oil explorer, lost 1.6 percent to HK$8.46.

China Gains

Stocks in China gained after a government report showed profits generated by industrial companies climbed. Combined net income for five months through May 31 increased 42.1 percent from a year earlier to 902.6 billion yuan ($119 billion), the National Bureau of Statistics said today. Total sales jumped 27.4 percent to 14.2 trillion yuan.

``The figures boosted optimism about first-half earnings for listed companies,'' said Yan Ji, an investment manager at HSBC Jintrust Fund Management Co. in Shanghai, which manages about $517 million. ``Growth is still pretty fast.''

Shanghai Automotive, China's largest automaker, climbed 4 percent to 18.95 yuan. Shanghai Zhenhua Port Machinery Co., the world's biggest maker of container cranes, rose 7.3 percent to 20.77 yuan.

Melco International Development Ltd., a casino operator in Macau, southern China, soared 6.8 percent to HK$11.60 in Hong Kong, its biggest advance since April 3 and the No. 1 percentage gainer on the MSCI World Index. The company will operate the gaming operations of Playboy Enterprises Inc.'s entertainment complex in Macau, said Christie Hefner, Playboy's chairman and chief executive.

U.S. Stocks Advance, Led by Energy Producers; Oracle Gains

2007-06-27T10:22:00.000-07:00

Freddie Mac headquarters, McLean, Virginia

June 27 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks rose after a rebound in oil lifted energy producers and technology companies rallied on Oracle Corp. results that beat analyst estimates.

Exxon Mobil Corp., the biggest crude producer, and Chevron Corp., the second largest, advanced. Oracle, the No. 3 software maker, gained after saying sales may rise 21 percent.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index added 1.91, or 0.1 percent, to 1494.8 as of 12:10 p.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 4.88 to 13,332.78. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 8.6, or 0.3 percent, to 2582.76.

Exxon gained 98 cents to $82.80. Chevron climbed 82 cents to $83.52.

Crude oil for August delivery rose 44 cents to $68.21 a barrel in New York after an Energy Department report showed an unexpected decline in U.S. gasoline inventories last week.

Oracle added 34 cents to $19.50. The software industry's most acquisitive company said sales may rise as much as 21 percent in the quarter ending Aug. 31 to between $4.32 billion and $4.43 billion. Analysts had expected sales to rise 15 percent to $4.11 billion, according to a Bloomberg survey.