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Inspired by my friend Jay, whose predictions are wildly biased in favor of the Sharks, here are my own predictions for the 2014 NHL playoffs...

Eastern Conference Round 1

Boston Bruins over Detroit Red Wings (in 7) - The Red Wings are badly outmatched here, but it's worth noting they won the regular season series, and they have a coach who will make Boston work very hard to win this one.
Tampa Bay Lighting over Montreal Canadiens (in 4) - Tampa will frustrate Montreal with stingy defensive hockey and a knack for capitalizing on mistakes.
Pittsburgh Penguins over Columbus Blue Jackets (in 5) - Pittsburgh handily won the regular season series, and I wish I could say that the playoffs would be different, but Columbus doesn't have what it takes to tackle the Pens.
Philadelphia Flyers over New York Rangers (in 6) - The Flyers will just barely overcome their MSG curse and steal home ice advantage. They will rely on scoring depth, since the Rangers will mostly neutralize Giroux.

Western Conference Round 1

Anaheim Ducks over Dallas Stars (in 6) - I admit I know almost nothing about the Dallas Stars, so this prediction is based solely on how hard it was for teams to beat Anaheim at home this season.
Los Angeles Kings over San Jose Sharks (in 7) - This series has a hate factor that rivals Philly-NYR. The main problem with the Sharks is teal, and teal teams don't win championships. If they wear their black sweaters, they'll push this series to the distance, but it will be won (and lost) by the goalies.
Colorado Avalanche over Minnesota Wild (in 7) - Minnesota is another team I know almost nothing about. So, uh... Colorado.
St. Louis Blues over Chicago Blackhawks (in 7) - The Blues started to show cracks at the end of the season, but lucky for them the Hawks are pretty banged up.

Semifinals

Boston Bruins over Tampa Bay Lighting (in 5) - The Detroit series will have taken a toll, but Boston won't let the Lightning capitalize on it
Philadelphia Flyers over Pittsburgh Penguins (in 6) - The Flyers have shown they can neutralize Crosby and Malkin. They just have to figure out Letang and Neal.
St. Louis Blues over Colorado Avalanche (in 6) - The Blues will be happy to see Colorado after making it past Chicago in round one
Anaheim Ducks over Los Angeles Kings (in 7) - The Kings might not score any goals against Anaheim in this series, but they won't allow many either.

Conference Finals

Boston Bruins over Philadelphia Flyers (in 5) - Sadly, this is where the Flyers season ends. They just don't hate Boston like they hate New York and Pittsburgh. And they don't have the offense, defense, or goaltending required to beat the Bruins without a healthy dose of the hate sauce.
Anaheim Ducks over St. Louis Blues (in 7) - This will be a war of attrition, with about three goals scored during the series, and a lot of overtimes.

Stanley Cup Finals

Boston Bruins over Anaheim Ducks - The Ducks will be running on fumes after battling St. Louis for seven games and a bunch of overtimes. Boston on the other hand, will have a couple days to chomp at the bit. Fucking Boston will add another championship to the city's trophy case.

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Once I laid these two approaches out in my head, I realized I'd basically described waterfall and agile. Buy Diclofenac Without Prescription, I also realized that there's a huge misconception among business people about agile development, which is that it's faster than waterfall. "Getting it done soon" is not a good way to describe it at all. You might release something sooner than you would with waterfall, but then you inevitably have to keep building on it and enhancing it, release after release. Not to mention all the new bugs you now have to fix. Bottom line is, the whole thing is 'done' in about the same amount of time with either approach.

I should also mention that this version of agile is far from optimal, Buy Diclofenac Without Prescription. Even with agile, you should have well-written user stories that include good success criteria before engineering begins, and there should be a collaboration with the developers along the way, instead of just a handoff of requirements.

I thought about all this on my way home from work today, and after I got home I read an amazing couple of blog posts one of our engineers sent me:

The first is, Coding, Fast and Slow: Developers and the Psychology of Overconfidence by someone name Dan Milstein. There are so many nuggets of insight in this post, I won't attempt to summarize it. It's a total must-read if you want a wise perspective on why stuff takes as long as it takes, and much longer than anyone thinks it will. I like it better than this Quora answer to the same question Buy Diclofenac Without Prescription, , which is also fantastic.

The other post, No Deadlines For You. Software Dev Without Estimates, Specs or Other Lies, is Milstein's (sort of) solution to the problem. I like to think I follow his strategy in the sense that I have a compulsion to make sure I fully understand the problem we're trying to solve before I go too far down any solution path. But my way of pushing things back upstream to the 'problem' too often feels like pushback. For me, Milstein's post provides a good template for asking the same kinds of questions while keeping things positive.