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Alfa Transformers Ltd (517546) – Turnaround & Growth Packed

2024-02-04T19:49:00.000+05:30

Alfa Transformers Ltd (517546) closes at ₹ 114.00 with a Gain of +1.96 % on on 02-Feb-2024 with formation of a Upper Tick Candle ( Upper Circuit ) on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Incorporated in 1982, Alfa Transformers Limited manufactures small distribution transformers and offers related technical assistance and services, including repair work

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 72.70% Passed

Financials : Alfa Transformers Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹9.64 Cr & Net Loss of -₹3.96 Cr in FY2022, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹28.88 Cr & Net Profit of ₹1.01 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹45.58 Cr & Net Profit of ₹8.36 Cr in FY2024 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 3.3 of its valuations of FY2023 earnings with ~230 % and at X0.90of its FY2024 earnings with ~10% Discount.

EPS will improve from ₹1.10 in FY2023 to ₹ 9.13 in FY2024.Debt has increased from ₹5.02 in FY2022 to ₹7.74 in FY223. Spread between RoE & CoE is turned positive ( Last 4Quater considered ) to 5.9

Company is Growing +56 % and Future Growth Index ( Higher Is Better, If > 1 Cos. Is expending on Mkt. Products ) is 1.61 as per our valuations.

Early Trend : Infrastructure booms (Rail/road/Housing etc will create moat for it )

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 0%. FII – 0%

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.30 which to improve to 1.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹111.00

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹254 at lower end and ₹419 at higher end.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at Telegram # https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

Ganesh Housing Corporation Ltd (526367) – Booking High Profits

2024-01-23T08:36:00.001+05:30

Ganesh Housing Corporation Ltd (526367) closes at ₹ 671.30 with a Gain of +11.60 % on on 20-January-2024 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Ganesh Housing Corporation Limited (earlier known as Ganesh Housing Finance Corporation Limited) is a part of the Ganesh Group founded in 1991. GHCL has built a strong presence in and around Ahmedabad. GHCL has developed and sold over 22 million sq. ft. of real estate space, with another 2.5 million sq. ft. currently under development.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 60.90% Passed

Financials : Ganesh Housing Corporation Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹383.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹71.00Cr in FY2022, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹616.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹102.00 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹795.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹387.00 Cr in FY2024 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 1.40 of its valuations of FY2023 earnings with ~40 % and at X1.03 of its FY2024 earnings with ~3% Premium.

Company is holding New Cash of ₹321.40 Cr in its balance sheet ( FY2023). EPS has moderated from 12.49 in FY2022 to 12.00 in FY202; RoE has improved from 9.63 to 9.94 and Book Value per share has increased from ₹ 94.70 to 133.00 during the same period.

Company is Growing +29.00 % and it’s Payback Ratio ( Prefer < 1 : MultiBagger Finder ) is 1.60, as per our valuations.

Early Trend : Housing sector is in sunrise phase.

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 0.03%. FII – 0.87%

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.70 which indicates entry at lower side .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹666.70

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹907 at lower end & ₹1296 at higher end.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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EPL Ltd (500135) – New Management & Business Growth

2024-01-17T22:44:00.003+05:30

EPL Ltd (500135) closes at ₹ 197.50 with a Fall of -1.00 % on on 17-Jan-2024 with formation of a Small Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : EPL Limited (formerly known as Essel Propack Limited),is the largest specialty packaging global company, manufacturing laminated plastic tubes catering to the Beauty & Cosmetics, Pharma & Health, Food, Oral and Home.

The company was acquired by the Blackstone group on Aug – 2019 from the Essel group of companies. The Blackstone Group is one of the leading investment firms in the world with an AUM of around USD 511 billion across sectors like private equity, real estate, hedge fund solutions and credit businesses. The Group also has an exposure in the packaging industry through acquisition of varied companies such as the USA based Graham Packaging, Owens-Illinois Inc, Ohio and China based packaging firm ShyaHsin..

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 47.8% Passed

Financials : EPL Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹3694.10 Cr & Net Profit of ₹2226.70 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹3979.80 Cr & Net Profit of ₹230.30Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹4393.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹303.20 Cr in FY2025 ; Net Sales / Revenue of ₹4851.50 Cr & Net Profit of ₹378.50 Cr in FY2026

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 2.20 of its valuations of FY2023 earnings with ~120 % premium and at X1.97 of its FY2024 earnings with ~97% premium, X1.49 of its FY2025 earnings with ~49 % premium and X1.19 of its FY2026 earnings with ~19% premium.

EPS will improve from ₹ 7.1 in FY2023 to ₹ 11.90 in FY2026.Net Profit Margin will improve from 6.10% in FY 2023 to 7.80% in FY2026, Debt will reduce from ₹768.60Cr to ₹ 518.30Cr and New Worth will improve from ₹1992.80 Cr to ₹ 2327.50 Cr during the same period.

Early Trend : Grwoth in Personal Care Products.

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 12.42%. FII – 10.41 %

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.40 which makes is Mild .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹190.00

If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹365.20

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Hazoor Multi Projects Ltd (532467) – Discounted Infra Stock

2023-12-09T14:50:00.001+05:30

Hazoor Multi Projects Ltd (532467) closes at ₹ 257.85 with a Gain of +5.00 % on on 08-December-2023 with formation of a Star Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Incorporated in 1992, Hazoor Multi Projects Limited is engaged in the business of Infrastructure and Real Estate. n FY21, company changed its line of business and is now mainly engaged in infrastructural development and works as a sub-contractor in executing various national highway road projects awarded by government authorities such as Maharashtra State Road Development Corporation Ltd and National Highways Authority of India. Apart from this, company has also started the EPC contracting business.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 69.90% Passed

Financials : Hazoor Multi Projects Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹113.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹2.00 Cr in FY2022, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹776.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹46.00 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹658.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹64.00 Cr in FY2024 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 0.60 of its valuations of FY2023 earnings with ~40 % and at X0.44 of its FY2024 earnings with ~56% Discount.

EPS will improve from ₹ 46 in FY2023 to ₹ 64 in FY2024.Net Margin has improved from 2.21 5 in FY 2022 to 5.88 in FY2023, Free Cash Flow from ₹ 17.20 Cr to ₹ 81.60 Cr , Net Debt from ₹11.10 Cr to ₹15.40 ₹, Rod improved from 10.5% to 85.90%, RoA from 4.75 to 24% during the same period.

In November 2023, Hazoor Multi Projects bagged orders worth Rs 11.3 billion (bn) to upgrade and rehabilitate a section of NH-66 in Ratnagiri. The work was given to Hazoor Infra Projects (a wholly owned subsidiary company). The estimated value of the project is Rs 11.3 bn divided with annuities at Rs 5.2 bn, interest on annuities at Rs 4.6 bn, and operation and maintenance costs at Rs 1.4 bn.

Company is Growing +13.00 % and it’s Payback Ratio ( Prefer < 1 : MultiBagger Finder ) is 0.8, as per our valuations.

Early Trend : Infrastructure booms (Rail/road/Housing etc will create moat for it )

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 0%. FII – 5.90%Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 1.80 which makes is attractive.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹254.90

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹590.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Mallcom (India) Ltd (539400)- Infra & Safety Player

2023-09-18T09:23:00.001+05:30

Mallcom (India) Ltd (539400) closes at ₹1040.45 with a Gain of +0.10% on 15-Sep-2023 with formation of a Small Red candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Established in 1983, Mallcom (India) Ltd. is an ISO certified and government-registered star trading house. The company is in the business of manufacturing Personal Protective Equipment and Industrial Safety products.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 45.5% Passed

Financials : Mallcom (India) Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹410.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹36.90 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹453.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹39.50 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹521.40 Cr & Net Profit of ₹46.40 in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹600.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹58.90 Cr in FY2026.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.60 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~60% Premium ; at X1.26 of its FY2024 earnings with ~26% Premium ; at 1.18 of its FY2025 earnings with ~18% Premium and at X1.00 of its FY2026 earnings (Fairly Valued).

Company will increase its Networth of ₹203.20 Cr in FY 2023 to ₹342.40 Cr by FY 2026 along with Reduction in Debt from ₹90.70 to ₹63.30 Cr and EPS will also improve from 59.19 to 94.34 during the same period.

Company is Growing +18.9% and it’s a growth candidate, as per our valuations. The growth candidate value is 1.1 ( Benchmark >1) and Growth Advantage Period ( GAP) [ >1 GAP Yes : <1 GAP No ] is 1.33

Early Trend : Infrastructure booms (Rail/road/Housing etc will create moat for it )

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 0%. FII – 0.06%

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.60 which makes it a concern due to large capedx plan during 2023-2025.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹967 . It’s a Growth Stock as per our calculations , Growth Candidate ( If >1 ) is 1.10 . If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹2109.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at Telegram # https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd (542759)- New customers added in Q1FY24 increased by 144% YoY

2023-08-30T20:25:00.003+05:30

Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd (542759) closes at ₹799.10 with a Fall of -2.70% on 30-Aug-2023 with formation of a Red candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Spandana Sphoorty Financial is primarily engaged in the business of micro finance providing small value unsecured loans to low-income customers in semi-urban and rural areas.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 34.80% pass

Financials : Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd has posted Net Interest Income (NII) of ₹819.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹12.40 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post NII of ₹1270.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹515.40 Cr in FY2024, NII of ₹1680.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹724.20 in FY2025 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.70 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~70% Premium ; at X0.79 of its FY2024 earnings with ~21% Discount ; at X0.57 of its FY2025 earnings with ~43% Discount .

EPS will improve from 1.70 in FY2023 to 102 by FY2023 and RoAE from 0.2% to 5.1% ; Book Value Per Share will increase from ₹437 to ₹594 during the same period.

Early Trend : Increasing Loan Officer with opening of new office .

MF/FII : FII- 21.25; MF-0.64%

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.60 which will improve further..The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹659. If We factor its FY2025 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹2404.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at Telegram # https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

Ami Organics Ltd (543349)- Electrolyte business will add value

2023-08-29T20:50:00.003+05:30

Ami Organics Ltd (543349) closes at ₹1317.60 with a Fall of -1.30% on 29-Aug-2023 with formation of a Red candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Ami Organics Limited is one of the leading research and development-driven manufacturers of specialty chemicals. The company manufactures different types of Advanced Pharmaceutical Intermediates and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API) for New Chemical Entities, and materials for agrochemicals and fine chemicals.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 50.00 % pass

Financials : Ami Organics Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹616.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹83.30 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹753.40 Cr & Net Profit of ₹97.80 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹940.20 Cr & Net Profit of ₹146.10 in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1121.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹180.90 Cr in FY2026.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X5 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~400% Premium ; at X3.53 of its FY2024 earnings with ~253% Premium ; at X2.36 of its FY2025 earnings with ~136% Premium and at X1.91 of its FY2026 earnings with ~91% Premium.

Company will increase its Reserve & Surplus of ₹557.50 Cr in FY 2023 to ₹799.80 Cr by FY 2025 along with Improvement in ROD from 14.90% in FY 2023 to 20.60% by FY2025 and EPS from 23 to 37 during the same period.

Early Trend : Company is going through large Capex plan

MF/FII : Mutual Fund – 4.49%. FII – 6.73% ( MORGAN STANLEY ASIA SINGAPORE PTE NON ODI has purchased 621,898 shares on 29.08.2023)

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.20 which makes it a concern due to large capedx plan during 2023-2025.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹1301.00 . It’s a Growth Stock as per our calculations , Growth Candidate ( If >1 ) is 1.02 . If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹3450.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at Telegram # https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

India's Chandrayaan Success and Investment Theme

2023-08-23T20:41:00.005+05:30

Today(23.08.2023) is a historic day for India. The country's Chandrayaan-3 has landed on the lunar south pole. Now lets explore the Equity Space, which are going to be beneficial -

1. Larsen & Toubro Ltd (500510)

2. Avantel Ltd (532406)

3. Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd(541195)

4. Data Patterns (India) Ltd (543428)

5. Walchandnagar Industries Ltd ( 507410)

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd (530307)- Increased Basmati Rice Price Realisation in 2023

2023-08-16T21:12:00.002+05:30

Chamanlal Setia Exports Ltd (530307) closes at ₹183.50 with a Gain of +1.00% on 16-Aug-2023 with formation of a bullish Green candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : . Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSE) was incorporated in Amritsar, Punjab in 1994 by Mr. Chaman Lal Setia and his sons. [1] It’s one of the oldest Rice Millers cum Exporters of Basmati rice of all varieties from India. The company is engaged in the business of milling and processing basmati rice. The company has been involved in export operations since 1982 and was recognized as an export house by the Ministry of Commerce in 1989, at present the company is a ‘Star Export House’.

Sector Update : Positive

Trendlyne Checklist Score : 65.2% pass

Financials : Chaman Lal Setia Exports Limited (CLSE) has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1387.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹117.70 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1432.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹135.80 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1551.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹162.40 in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1671.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹172.50 Cr in FY20.26.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X0.70 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~30% Discount ; at X0.50 of its FY2024 earnings with ~50% Discount ; at X0.42 of its FY2025 earnings with ~68% Discount and at X0.40 of its FY2026 earnings with ~60% Discount.

Company will reduce its total debt of ₹120.50 Cr in FY 2023 to ₹118.50 Cr by FY 2026 along with Improvement in Operating Profit Maring(OPM) from 11.50% (FY2023) to 14.40% ( FY2026); Net Profit Magin from 8.5% to 10.30%; Net Worth from ₹608.50 Cr to ₹1063.70 Cr.

Price to Book Value Per Share will improve from X1.60 in FY2023 to X0.9 in FY2026 and EPS from 22.74 to 33.35 during the same period.

Early Trend : Government banned exports of non-basmati white rice in order to boost domestic supply and keep retail prices under check during the upcoming festive season.

MF/FII : FII/FPI have increased holdings from 1.17% to 1.85% in Jun 2023 qtr.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 1.40 which makes it attrative..The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹174.90 If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹464.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Highest YoY Net Profit Growth - June 2023

2023-08-09T22:21:00.001+05:30

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Laurus Labs Ltd (540222)- Growing in Contract Development and Manufacturing Organisation (CDMO) space

2023-08-07T21:34:00.000+05:30

Laurus Labs Ltd (540222) closes at ₹400.30 with a Gain of +2..10% on 07-Aug-2023 with formation of a bullish Green candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Founded in 2005, Laurus Labs is a research-driven pharmaceutical and biotechnology company having a global leadership
position in select Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) including anti-retroviral, oncology drugs (incl High Potent APIs), Cardiovascular, and Gastro therapeutics. They also offer integrated CMO and CDMO services to Global Innovators from Clinical phase drug development to commercial manufacturing.
Laurus employs 6500+ people, including around 1050+ scientists at more than 11 facilities approved by global agencies USFDA, WHO-Geneva, Japan-PDMA, UK-MHRA, EMA, TGA etc.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 2/ 10

Financials : Laurus Labs Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹6040.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹790.10 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹5885.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹567.30 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹6756.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹1838.70 in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹7666.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹1104.90 Cr in FY20.26.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X2.90 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~190% premium ; at X2.73 of its FY2024 earnings with ~173% Premium ; at X1.85 of its FY2025 earnings with ~85% Premium and at X1.40 of its FY2026 earnings with ~40% Premium

Company will reduce its total debt of ₹1923.50 Cr in FY 2023 to ₹1736.60 by FY 2026 along with Improvement in Net Margin from 13.10 (FY2023) to 14.40% ( FY2026).

Book Value Per Share will improve from ₹75.00 in FY2023 to ₹107.00 in FY2026 and EPS from 14.60 to 20.60 .

Early Trend : Huge Capex in FY2024 for CDMO Business.

MF/FII : 2.70% MF Holding & 5.40% FII Holding

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.4 which will increase in FY2024-25.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹400.30 If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹826.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Sagar Cements Ltd (502090 )- Growing in Line with Industry

2023-07-30T22:17:00.002+05:30

Sagar Cements Ltd (502090 ) closes at ₹208.06 with a Gain of +2.60 % on 28-July-2023 with formation of a bullish engulfing candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Sagar Cements Ltd is an India-based company, which is engaged in the manufacture and sale of cement. It is also focused on the generation of power for sale and captive consumption

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 5/ 10

Financials : Sagar Cements Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2229.50 Cr & Net Loss of - ₹88.60 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2743.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹12.20 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹3345.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹120.20 in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹353971.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹9029.20 Cr in FY20.26.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X0.54 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~46% discount ; at X16.02 of its FY2024 earnings with ~1502% Premium ; at X1.63 of its FY2025 earnings with ~63% Premium.

Company will reduce its total debt of ₹1475.70 Cr in FY 2023 to ₹1235.60 by FY 2025 with improving the Debt/Equity Ration to 0.6(FY2025) from 0.70(FY2023)

Book Value Per Share will improve from ₹129.20 in FY2023 to ₹138.40 in FY2025 and RoE from -5.90% to 6.80% during the same period and EPS from -6.8 to 9.20 .

Early Trend : Demand is healthy and housing and infra demand is strong. Management expects 8-10% industry growth in the market it services.(Lastest Con Call )

MF/FII : 19.59% HoldingMargin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.2 which will increase in FY2024 as soon as it comes out from Looses.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹192.70If We factor its FY2025 earnings/valuations, relative to current valuations, its Price arrives at ₹693.46

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at Telegram # https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd (543257 )- यात्रीगण कृपया ध्यान दें

2023-07-30T12:36:00.001+05:30

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd (543257 ) closes at ₹35.06 with a Gain of +0.70%% on 28-July-2023 with formation of a long-legged doji candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Incorporated in 1986, Indian Railway Finance Corporation borrows funds from the financial markets to finance the acquisition / creation of assets which are then leased out to the Indian Railways as finance lease^.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 06/ 10

Financials : Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹23892 Cr & Net Profit of ₹6314.30 Cr in FY2023 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹272369.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹6937.80 Cr in FY2024, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹310500.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹7914.80Cr in FY2025 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹353971.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹9029.20 Cr in FY2026.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X0.70 of its valuations of FY2023 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~30% discount ; at X0.47 of its FY2024 earnings with ~53% Discount ; at X0.41 of its FY2025 earnings with ~59% Premium and at X0.36 of its FY2026 earnings with ~64% Discount .

Book Value Per Share will improve from ₹34.80 in FY2023 to ₹50.70 in FY2026 and RoE(change) from 13.9%% to 13.60% during the same period.

Early Trend : The government, in the forthcoming budget, is also likely to propose laying 100,000 km of new railway tracks over the next 25 years. And also, complete the electrification of the entire rail network. IRFC's cumulative funding to rail sector has crossed Rs.5 trillion by March 2022. The funds are utilized for acquiring rolling stock assets and also building up infrastructure, of Indian Railways.

MF/FII : Baroda BNP Paribas Flexi Cap Fund Regular Growth was the highest buyer of 3,000,000 shares in Jun 2023 constituting 0.02% of the paid up equity of the company

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 1.6 which makes is attractive.The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹34.60

If We factor its FY2026 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹96.80

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd (543308)-Entry into Nagpur market

2022-09-12T22:15:00.007+05:30

Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd (543308) closes at ₹1238.35 with a Loss of -3.00% on 12-September-2022 with formation of a Long Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Krishna Medical Institution Ltd (KIMS) was Incorporated in the year 1973 and is one of the largest corporate healthcare groups in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana in terms of patients treated and treatments offered. The company offers multidisciplinary healthcare services with primary, secondary, and tertiary care across 2-3 tier cities and an additional quaternary healthcare facility in tier-1

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 09/ 10

Financials : Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1650.80 Cr & Net Profit of ₹332.70 Cr in FY2022 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2213.80 Cr & Net Profit of ₹334.60 Cr in FY2023, Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2405.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹392.60 Cr in FY2024 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2817.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹437.60 Cr in FY2025.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X2.90 of its valuations of FY2022 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~290% premium ; at X2.13 of its FY2023 earnings with ~213% Premium and at X1.82 of its FY2024 earnings with ~182% Premium .

EPS will improve from 41.60 in FY2022 to 54.70 in FY2025 and RoE from 29.60% to 20.40% during the same period.

Early Trend : Entring into Nagpur market.

MF/FII : ICICI PRUDENTIAL MUTUAL FUND A/C - ICICI PRUDENTIAL SMALLCAP FUND has bought it on 12.09.2022

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.40 which makes is attractive after 60% decline .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹1216

If We factor its FY2025 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹2204.

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Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd (532313) – Targeting a 2.5-fold jump in its annual sales bookings

2022-09-12T09:11:00.004+05:30

Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd (532313) closes at ₹537.65 with a Gain of +1.20% on on 09-September-2022 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd was incorporated in 1999, it is engaged in the business of development of the real estate, residential facilities, commercial complexes and through its subsidiary companies is involved in various infrastructure projects including the development of SEZs and Industrial Clusters.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 06/ 10

Financials : Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹393.60 Cr & Net Profit of ₹17.30 Cr in FY2022 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹766.30 Cr & Net Profit of ₹131.80 Cr in FY2023 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1017.10 Cr & Net Profit of ₹166.00 Cr in FY2023 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X3.50 of its valuations of FY2022 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~350% premium ; at X4.50 of its FY2023 earnings with ~450% Premium and at X3.58 of its FY2024 earnings with ~358% Premium .

EPS will improve from 1.10 in FY2022 to 10.7 in FY2023 and RoE from 13.90% to 16.20% during the same period.

Early Trend : Mahindra Lifespace Developers is looking to acquire a few land parcels this fiscal to build housing projects with sales potential of Rs 3,000-4,000 crore and targeting a 2.5-fold jump in its annual sales bookings to Rs 2,500 crore in the next three years.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.30 which makes is attractive after 70% decline .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹521

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹524.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 | e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com | Tel +91 8802230836 | Telegram # TheNiftyNext Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.inUse Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

Sikko Industries Ltd(SIKKO)- Business Objective changed to increase TOP Lines

2022-09-09T22:00:00.005+05:30

Sikko Industries Ltd(SIKKO) closes at ₹118.90 with a Gain of +5.0% on on 09-September-2022 with formation of a Long Head Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Sikko Industries Limited is one of the leading Manufacturer and Supplier of Organic Agricultural Pesticides, Fungicides, Bio Fungicides, Plant Growth Promoters, NPK Fertilizers, Weedicides, HDPE Bottles and Flexible Pouches.Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 05/ 10

Financials : Sikko Industries Ltd(SIKKO) has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹51.03 Cr & Net Profit of ₹1.88 Cr in FY2022 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹58.02Cr & Net Profit of ₹5.68 Cr in FY2023 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.80 of its valuations of FY2022 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~80% premium ; at X1.68 of its FY2023 earnings with ~68% Premium .

EPS will improve from 1.68 in FY2022 to 5.08 in FY2023 .

Early Trend : Cos. Is entering into manufacture, formulate, process, develop, refine, import, export, wholesale and/or retail trade all kinds of pharmaceuticals, surgical with surgical instruments, antibiotics, drugs, medicines, biologicals, nutraceuticals, healthcare, Ayurvedic and dietary supplement products, medicinal preparations, vaccines, chemicals, chemical products, dry salters, mineral waters, wines, cordials, liquors,soups, broths and other restoratives or foods and also to deal in medicinal goods such as surgical instruments,

contraceptives, photographic goods, oils, perfumes, cosmetics, patent medicines, soaps, artificial limbs, hospital requisites, proprietary medicines, veterinary medicines and tinctures extracts and to carry on the business of vialling, bottling, repacking, processing of tablets, capsules, syrups, injections, ointments, etc. and also to carry on the business of chemists, druggists, buyers, sellers, agents, distributors and stockists of all kinds of pharmaceuticals and allied products.

Web Address : https://sikkoindia.com/

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.60 which makes is attractive after 40% decline .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹118.70

If We factor its FY2023/24 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹161.

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IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd(524164)- Doubling revenue in next four years

2022-09-09T08:48:00.004+05:30

IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd(524164) closes at ₹381.75 with a Gain of +2.6% on on 07-September-2022 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd is a leading pharmaceutical (APIs) company and is a significant player in the specialty chemicals space. It serves the domestic and export market. It is the largest player of Ibuprofen (pain killer) globally with a world market share of 35%

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 05/ 10

Financials : IOL Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2184.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹166.0 Cr in FY2022 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2450.00 Cr (+12%) & Net Profit of ₹221.72 Cr in FY2023 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2630.00 ( +20.5%) Cr & Net Profit of ₹238.01Cr in FY2024.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.70 of its valuations of FY2022 (Last 4 Quarters ) earnings with ~70% premium ; at X0.75 of its FY2023 earnings with ~25% Discount and at X0.70 of its FY2023 earnings with ~30% Discount

EPS will improve from 22.80 in FY2022 to 44.450 in FY2024 .

Early Trend : As part of de-risking their business, Cos has started reducing the share of ibuprofen in their overall turnover, and add more popular products to the portfolio. It is spending Rs 100-150 crore in capex every year, and is adding production lines at its Barnala plant which is spread over 100 acres.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.70 which makes is attractive .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹358.00

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹928.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Syngene International Ltd (539268) – Best to get benefit of Pharma Sector Move in Future

2022-09-07T08:36:00.003+05:30

Syngene International Ltd (539268) closes at ₹565.00 with a fall of -2.40.00% on on 06-September-2022 with formation of a Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Syngene (established in 1993) as a Biocon subsidiary is India's first Contract Research Organization (CRO) which expanded later to be an integrated service provider offering end-to-end drug discovery, development, and manufacturing services on a single platform (CRAMS). Total research & manufacturing infrastructure for the company is spread across 1.9 million square feet across locations.

Sector Update : Positive

Financials : Syngene International Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2604.20 Cr & Net Profit of ₹426.50 Cr in FY2022 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹3120.20 Cr & Net Profit of ₹541.40 Cr in FY2023 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹3744.10 Cr & Net Profit of ₹665.10 Cr in FY2024.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 5.3 of its valuations of FY2022 earnings with ~530% Dpremium ; at X3.63 of its FY2023 earnings with ~363% Premium and at X2.80 of its FY2024 earnings with ~228% premium.

EPS will improve from 10.60 in FY2022 to 14.60 in FY2024, ROE from 12.90 to 13.70 and RoCE from 11.70 to 15.20 during the same period

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.2 which makes is overpriced .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹552.00

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹1041.60

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Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (500690) – Complex fertiliser prices rise

2021-09-25T10:33:00.002+05:30

Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd (500690) closes at ₹117.80 with a Gain of +4.00% on on 24-September-2021 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Gujarat State Fertilizers& Chemicals is principally engaged in production of fertilizers and chemicals.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 10 / 10

Financials : Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹7634.10 Cr & Net Profit of ₹450.10 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹10297.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹532.80 Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹10974.50 Cr & Net Profit of ₹549.90 Cr in FY2023.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 0.70 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~30% Discount ; at X0.54 of its FY2022 earnings with ~46% Discount and at X0.53 of its FY2023 earnings with ~47% Discount

EPS will improve from 11.30 in FY2021 to 13.80 in FY2023 and Book Value Per Share increased from ₹232.00 to ₹250.00 during the same period

Early Trend : The acute shortage of Di-Ammonium Phosphate (DAP) has pushed up prices of the next best alternative NPK and other complex fertilisers as farmers scramble to replenish their inventories ahead of critical rabi sowing season.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 2.30 which makes is attractive .The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹111.60

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹223.00

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Intellect Design Arena Ltd ( 538835 ) – Inking pact for digital banking solution

2021-09-19T10:48:00.003+05:30

Intellect Design Arena Ltd ( 538835 ) closes at ₹677.55 with a Gain of +2.30% on on 17-September-2021 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Intellect Design Arena has a comprehensive portfolio of products across Global Consumer Banking, Central Banking, Risk & Treasury Management, Global Transaction Banking and Insurance and is engaged in the business of software development.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 4 / 10

Financials : Intellect Design Arena Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1497.50 Cr & Net Profit ₹290.10 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1719.50 Cr & Net Profit of ₹370.20 Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1989.10 Cr & Net Profit of ₹496.40Cr in FY2023 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2131.70 Cr & Net Profit of ₹557.90 Cr in FY2024 .

Net Cash Position will improve from ₹723.40 Cr to ₹1150.90 CR by FY2024.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X2.50 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~150% Premium and X1.51 of its FY2022 earnings with ~51% Premium and X1.13 of its FY2023 earnings with ~13% Premium and X1.0 of its FY2024 earnings at Fair Value.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.6 which makes it attractive after ~40% dip in price . The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹666.20

Early Trend: Cloud based banking is evolving in new stage.

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹1392.00

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Hindustan Tin Works Ltd (530315) – Reviving Tin CAN industry

2021-09-19T08:22:00.007+05:30

Hindustan Tin Works Ltd (530315) closes at ₹123.00 with a Fall of -0.20% on on -September-2021 with formation of a Small Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Hindustan Tin Works is engaged mainly in the business of Manufacturing of Tin Cans, Printed/Lacquered Sheets, Components and trading in Tin Plates.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 9 / 10

Financials : Hindustan Tin Works Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹326.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹15.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹378.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹19.00 Cr in FY2022 .

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 0.90 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~10% Discount and at X0.71 of its FY2022 earnings with ~29% Discount.

EPS has improved from 7.32 in FY2020 to 14.00 in FY2021; Debt from ₹64.50 Cr to ₹87.30 Cr . Free Cash Flow will Turn Negative from ₹ 31.00 Cr to - ₹ 21.40Cr; and Book Value Per Share increased from ₹145.00 to ₹158.00 during the same period

Early Trend : The industry has been growing at a CAGR of 5-6 per cent. But with institutionalizing of retail, growth could be much higher in future.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 2.80 which makes is attractive after ~180% dip in price. The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹119.50.

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹296.40

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Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) – Doubling Portfolio

2021-09-18T19:28:00.004+05:30

Phoenix Mills Ltd ( 532782 ) closes at ₹850.30 with a Fall of -1.70% on on 17-September-2021 with formation of a Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : The Phoenix Mills Limited is an India-based company engaged in the construction of buildings carried out on own-account basis or on a fee or contract basis. The Company is engaged in the development and operation of malls and other real estate properties. It operates through twos segments: Property & Related Services, and Hospitality Services. It specializes in the ownership, management and development of retail-led mixed use properties that include shopping, entertainment, commercial, residential and hospitality assets, aggregating approximately 17.5 million square feet over 100 acres. Its core business includes Retail, Hospitality, Commercial and Residential. Under the Retail segment, it operates seven malls in six cities. Under Commercial and Hospitality segments, it operates five commercial centers in two cities and two completed hotel projects. The upscale mall houses various international brands, such as Gucci, Jimmy Choo, Bottega Veneta and Ermenegildo Zegna, among others.

Sector Update : Positive

Financials : Phoenix Mills Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1073.30 Cr & Net Profit ₹52.60 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹1505.80 Cr & Net Profit of ₹175.30 Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2202.20 Cr & Net Profit of ₹466.20 Cr in FY2023 and Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2734.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹631.10 Cr in FY2024 .

EPS will improved from 3.19 in FY2021 to 38.60 by FY2024; Debt from ₹3139.80 Cr to ₹3393.10 Cr . Free Cash Flow will Turn positive from -₹ 307.60 Cr to ₹ 295.50 Cr; ROA will increase from 0.48% to 2.59 (FY23) and Book Value Per Share will increase from ₹284 to ₹366 %during the same period.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X9.50 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~850% Premium and X5.15 of its FY2022 earnings with ~415% Premium and X1.94 of its FY2023 earnings with ~94% Premium and X1.43 of its FY2024 earnings with ~43% Premium .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.2 which makes it attractive after ~80% dip in price . The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹821.00

Early Trend: Phoenix Mills is looking to double its portfolio of retail properties by FY26 & it wants to add one million square feet each year post FY26.

If We factor its FY2024 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹1785.00 with a conservative view of X3 pricing.

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GPT Infraprojects Ltd (533761) – A premier Infrastructure Play

2021-09-16T22:57:00.004+05:30

GPT Infraprojects Ltd (533761) closes at ₹90.75 with a Gain of +2.30% on on -September-2021 with formation of a Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : GPT Infraprojects Limited, the flagship company of the GPT Group is a premier Infrastructure company based out of Kolkata, India engaged in the execution of civil and infrastructure projects and manufacture of concrete sleeper for Railways. The entity has strong project execution capabilities, a healthy financial base, and enviable growth prospects across all areas of operation.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 6 / 10

Financials : GPT Infraprojects Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹609.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹20.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹648.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹23.00 Cr in FY2022 .

The Company is constantly growing at 5.6% in FY2021 ( 4.90% in FY2020) along with Enterprise Value.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X 0.90 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~10% Discount and at X0.71 of its FY2022 earnings with ~29% Discount.

Early Trend : Indian govt. is taking pro-active steps in the area of Infrastructure.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 1.80 which makes is attractive after ~80% dip in price. The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹83.40

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹128.00

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Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) – Betting big on tinplate

2021-09-14T22:33:00.006+05:30

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) closes at ₹282.90 with a Gail of +1.10 % on on 14-September-2021 with formation of a Small Red Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : The Tinplate Company of India Limited (TCIL) is an India-based producer of tin coated and tin free sheets. The Company manufactures various grades of electrolytic tinplates, tin-free steel sheets and full hard cold rolled sheets (FHCR) used for metal packaging. The Company's product range includes Electrolytic Tinplate (ETP) line and Cold Rolling Mill (CRM) products. The Electrolytic Tinplate line products include single reduced tinplates, Open Top Sanitary Cans (OTSC), tin free steel and double reduced tinplate sheets. The CRM products include hot rolled pickled coils, full hard coils and temper rolled/double reduced (Dr) coils. The Company's works is located at Jamshedpur, Jharkhand and has over 11 offices in India and a distribution network with approximately 20 stocking points.

Sector Update : Positive

Refinitiv Average Score : 9

Financials : Tinplate Company of India Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2281.00Cr & Net Profit ₹98.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹2768.00 Cr & Net Profit of ₹174.00 Cr in FY2022 .

Cash Conversion Cycle has improved to 19Days in FY2021 from 44days in FY2020, which resulted in Net Cash Flow turning Positive of ₹73.00 Cr. ROCE is 17% and EPS will improve from 9.38 in FY2021 to 16.61 in FY2022.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.70 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~70% Premium and X1.04 of its FY2022 earnings with ~0.04% Premium.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 0.90 which makes is attractive after ~10% dip in price. The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹262

Early Trend: 1. Steel producers are ramping up capacity in tinplate with an increase in out-of-home consumption and implementation of quality control measures.

2. The industry has been growing at a CAGR of 5-6 per cent. But with institutionalizing of retail, growth could be much higher in future.

3. Effective July 17, 2021, the government has enforced Steel & Steel Products’ (Quality Control) Order, mandating usage of prime grades of BIS certified tinplate.

4. Domestic prices are currently lower than international prices. Even though it may not make commercial sense to import right now.

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹457.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 ) – Demerging for a Growth

2021-09-12T10:11:00.005+05:30

Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 ) closes at ₹552.55 with a Gail of +6.0% on on 09-September-2021 with formation of a Long Green Candle on Daily Price Chart.

About the Company : Surya is the second largest manufacturer of steel pipes (contributes 67% to EBITDA) and also the second largest LED manufacturer in India.

Sector Update : Positive

Financials : Surya Roshni Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue of ₹5554.40Cr & Net Profit ₹156.50Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue of ₹6220.90Cr & Net Profit of ₹258.80Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue of ₹6967.40Cr & Net Profit of ₹342.40 Cr in FY2023 .

ROE will improved from 12% in FY2021 to 19.60% by FY2023. ROCE will increase from 12.30% to 20.8 %during the same period.

Valuations : The Company is now Trading at X1.20 of its valuations of FY2021 earnings with ~20% Premium and X0.72 of its FY2022 earnings with ~28% Discount and X0.54 of its FY2023 earnings with ~46% Discount .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now 1.3 which makes is attractive . The Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is ₹552.30

Early Trend: Demerger of its pipes and lighting segment could unlock significant value.

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at ₹1221.60

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