000
ABNT20 KNHC 310531
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 31 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
An area of low pressure over the northern Gulf of America, located
more than 100 miles south of the coast of southern Louisiana
continues to produce a small but concentrated area of showers and
thunderstorms. Earlier satellite wind data indicated that the
circulation has not become much better defined from yesterday while
producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Regardless, additional development
is anticipated as the low moves slowly west-northwestward, and a
short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts by tonight or Tuesday morning.

Interests along the southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts
should monitor the progress of this system, as tropical storm
watches or warnings could be required for portions of the area later
today. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring
locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Upper Texas and
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next several days. An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the system later this morning. Additional information on this
system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, a surface trough of low
pressure, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms
from Hispaniola eastward to the northern Leeward Islands. Strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent redevelopment of this
system over the next day or two while it moves quickly westward to
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Conditions could become more
conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week as the system
reaches the southern Bahamas or Florida Straits. Regardless, the
system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions
of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
Hispaniola over the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 310522
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 30 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located well offshore of southwestern Mexico remain
disorganized. However, environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to form
within the next couple of days while the system continues to move
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the
Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Some gradual development is
possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward across the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

000
ACPN50 PHFO 310522
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM HST Sun Aug 30 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Karina, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands.

Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the
Hawaiian Islands in a couple of days. Some gradual development is
possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward across the
central Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Gibbs
NNNN