http://www.hindustantimes.com/Specials/Coverage/Assembly-Elections-2012/Chunk-HT-UI-AssemblyElections2012-UP-TopStories/SP-safe-bet-BSP-stocks-down/SP-Article10-814434.aspx

I agree the fact that Yogendra had predicted NDA victory in the Bihar Elections correctly in the Post Poll Survay. But even in that and in the shows before that, Yogendra was saying that the Upper Cast Votes will be tranferred to Congress from BJP. Further he was consistantly undermining the BJP by maintaining that the victory was more because of JDU. But when the results came, BJP fared better in terms of seats won against those contested.

But Satta Bazar can be correct. Wonder what the satta market tells for the BSP, SP, BJP and Congress after 5 rounds of polling.

I think Nitin Gadkari has astute leadership qualities, he is very effective in the same. The result is evident in Nagpur Municipality which was fought under his direct leadership and BJP improved on tally to 52 from 43 last time, where Congress,NCP performed worst.

http://ibnlive.in.com/news/up-exit-poll-bsp-on-top-bjp-gains/39354-4.html

Margin of error in Exit poll is less as they ask people after they have voted.

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New Delhi: The Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party continued to rule on top while BJP surged past Samajwadi Party to the second spot in a new exit poll after the fifth round of polls for the UP Assembly elections on Saturday.

Three different exit polls conducted after the fifth phase of voting showed that the BSP continues to hold on to its top position in the race for power in the heartland state. The Bharatiya Janata Party gained remarkably in the last few rounds to edge past the ruling Samajwadi Party to secure second place, the polls showed.

According to an exit poll by NDTV, BSP is projected to get 120 to 130 seats while BJP follows closely with 115 to 125 for BJP in the 403-member UP Assembly. The poll gave 95 to 105 seats to the SP, 35 to 45 to Congress and 15 to 25 seat to other parties and Independents.

BJP seems to have made a huge gain in the fifth round of polls, bagging 21 of the 57 constituencies that went to poll on Saturday. BSP is projected to get 14 seats from the fifth round while SP will get 10, Congress nine and others three.

An exit poll by Star News showed BSP and BJP in a neck-and-neck contest in the fifth phase with 24 and 23 seats respectively followed by SP with 22 and Congress with 14. It predicted 141 seats for BSP, 104 for BJP and its allies, 91 for SP, 29 for Congress and 37 for others.

The India TV-C Voter exit poll, however, predicted 18 to 22 seats for BSP in the fifth phase. The exit poll projected 12 to 16 for

SP, eight to 12 seats for BJP, seven to 11 seats for the Congress and three to seven for others in the fifth round of polls.

These channels are sponsored by Congress. Aren’t you sick of the footage Rahul Gandhi, Priyanka Gandhi (although she just campaigned in 10 seats), Robert Vadhra , Priyanka’s children are getting. Congress and English Media, CNN-IBN, NDTV are sick people and want to control people’s mind through Media.

In English media there is only one neutral channels, that is Times Now, the way Arnab Campaigned relentlessly covering Anna Hazare and highlighting Lok Ayukta issue, Congress spokeperson refused to come to his channels as he asked really tough questions. Unlike the game of reciprocity played between Burkha Dutt and
Congress, where Congress has given her padam bhushan for helping Cong form govt by become middleman dealing with DMK.

In Hindi Channels , watch India TV , Zee Tv and to some extent Star TV , they still work independent of Congress direct influence, paid news is different thing.

Something fishy is happening as far as UP is concerned. The Satta Market says that it will be 1:2.60 if BJP crosses 50 seats in UP which means, for a 1 rupee, the user will get 2.60 rupees if BJP crosses 50 seats.
There are others who says that BJP will come second in UP!!
There are people who says BJP will be routed out in UP and will get 20-25 seats!!

During the previous Punjab Assembly Elections, there was news in the main steam media that while the Akalis will win their seats, the BJP will loose in urban areas to Congress. When the result came the BJP did better than both Akali & Congress.

During Bihar Assembly Elections, there was news in the media that the Upper Cast votes will defenitely go to the Congress and NOT to the BJP. There were even ‘speculation’ of Nitish joing UPA since both are ‘secular’. But when the results came, BJP did better than JD (U) and the Congress.

In the just concluded BMC elections, it is the BJP that did better than both Shiv Sena, NCP & Congress by bettering their previous tally.

I am not saying that BJP will better their seats dramatically in UP, but I don’t trust the ‘Main Stream News Media’. I only hope that the BJP will do better in UP.

AP, BJP has now for the 1st time come up with complete support for Telengana , they just completed Telengana poru yatra. Now they are clear they need do well in telengana. Making Telengana is in their manifesto now. With congress & TDP not taking clear stance , Telengana will vote for NDA. Currently, there are 17 seats in Telengana, Hyd will go to MIM, TRS is having 2 seats , TDP 2 congress 12. BJP will have alliance with TRS for sure with BJP fighting 10 seats (in Loksabha) and 6 TRS and giving 60% – 70% assembly seats to TRS.

The telengana movement is so strong that Congress will score 0 here, and out of 25 seats in Coastal AP this time it will be direct fight Vs TDP , with no chiru to divide vote, Congress will lose 10 more seats to TDP.

You may be from Bengal, but I can bet if Mamta is going to rule like how she is doing now, calling a rape a fabricated , her arrogance will doom her, CPM will come back strongly in WB.

Maharashtra will face double incumbancy for 10 years of Misrule in both Centre and Mumbai, people know that and they’ll vote tactfully this time to avoid vote split.

I think after UP election there will be big time realignment of Political forces with SP joining UPA formally and BSP may join NDA before 2014 elections as both SP & BSP has maxed out there performance in UP and they know they need to join either of the front now.

Overall we’ll see more number of smaller parties in LS going forward and fragmented Mandate on National Level.