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	<title>Predictable Success » Blog</title>
	
	<link>http://www.predictablesuccess.com</link>
	<description>Get your organization on the growth track - and keep it there</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 13 Feb 2012 20:24:05 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Why this is my last blog post</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PredictableSuccessBlog/~3/QM7oRlQ4VpY/</link>
		<comments>http://www.predictablesuccess.com/blog/why-this-is-my-last-blog-post/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2012 04:30:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lesmckeown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fast Train]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.predictablesuccess.com/?p=2449</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I've been blogging since 1999 (I'm old enough to remember the creaky transition from 'weblog' to 'blog' and the first incarnation of Blogger from Pyra Labs). For years I blogged five days a week, and for the last while, three days a week. But today...</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve been blogging since 1999 (I&#8217;m old enough to remember the creaky transition from &#8216;weblog&#8217; to &#8216;blog&#8217; and the first incarnation of Blogger from Pyra Labs). For years I blogged five days a week, and for the last while, three days a week. But today I&#8217;m writing my last blog post.</p>
<p><a href="http://files.predictablesuccess.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/high-speed-rail-update1.jpeg"><img src="http://files.predictablesuccess.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/high-speed-rail-update1-300x200.jpg" alt="You getting on board the Fast Train?" title="Fast Train" width="300" height="200" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2496" /></a>Why? Three reasons:</p>
<p><strong>1. It no longer serves the people I serve.</strong><br />
I&#8217;m not a blogger. I speak, consult and coach on the leadership of organizational growth. </p>
<p>The people I serve are C-level executives, founder-owners and others tasked with growing organizations, businesses, divisions, departments, projects, groups or teams. And frankly, they no longer read blogs, if they ever did (see point 3 for the main reason why).</p>
<p>You may be amazed at this (because, being here, <em>you</em> obviously <em>do</em> read blogs &#8211; and we&#8217;ll get to you in a minute), but I can assure you, 90% of the people who run businesses 24/7 for a living only rarely pull up a bunch of bookmarks and read a skad of online content. And if they do, they do so inconsistently, very, very quickly, and with little retention. Fact is, they&#8217;re barely clearing their email once a quarter.</p>
<p>People first interact with me because they want tools &#8211; tools that will help them grow their organization. They value tools they can use far above comment or opinion. An example: The <a href="http://predictablesuccess.info/quiz/quiz.php?id=4" target="_blank">free assessment that accompanies my book &#8216;The Synergist&#8217;</a> has been completed over 4,000 times since the book launched on Jan 3rd, and has generated more &#8211; and richer &#8211; interaction than was generated by a decade of blogging. The same applies to the <a href="http://www.predictablesuccess.com/resources/synergist-resources/" target="_blank">chapter by chapter resource tools</a> we&#8217;re putting online for readers of &#8216;The Synergist&#8217;.</p>
<p>These tools may not have the perceived cachet of a blog, or &#8216;position me&#8217; as a &#8216;thought leader&#8217; (*shudder*), but they do help people make a real change, every day, in their leadership abilities and how their organization is growing. </p>
<p>Serving the people I&#8217;m here to serve means providing what they need, not what I want.</p>
<p><strong>2. It doesn&#8217;t serve you.</strong><br />
I&#8217;m pleased that you&#8217;re here, and it&#8217;s been wonderful to build rich relationships with people like you over the years. I hope we continue to be friends for a very long time.</p>
<p>However, I can only serve your needs in this format around 20% of the time, and here&#8217;s why:</p>
<p>One of the delights of the Predictable Success model is that it works for organizations of all sizes, and at all stages of growth. As a consequence, Predictable Success is followed by start-up founders, micro- and solo-preneurs, medium-sized company owners, CEO&#8217;s and SVP&#8217;s in Fortune 100 organizations and everything in between, including a large number not-for-profit and faith-based leaders.</p>
<p>So guess what happens when I write a blog post? Answer: It&#8217;s right on the button for 20% of the readers and &#8216;interesting&#8217; (at best) for the rest of you.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t like that percentage, and I&#8217;m committed to raising it substantially. I want to produce content that wows you every single time. Tools that go right to the heart of where <em>you</em> are. Resources that you can depend on being able to use every single time. </p>
<p>I can&#8217;t do that here.</p>
<p><strong>3. The blogging model is dying.</strong><br />
When the supply of something outstrips demand, it becomes commoditized, and I&#8217;ve no interest in working in a commoditized environment.</p>
<p>The number of blog posts produced on any given day now far outstrips the number of actual page reads &#8211; which, to be truthful, is minuscule. To stand out from this background noise, an entire industry has developed around pimping blogs and individual blog posts, mostly using social media to &#8211; frankly &#8211; game the system. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m not making a moral judgment here, and I&#8217;m certainly at taking a dig at anyone, but it&#8217;s just not a game I want to play. Nor is it one in which you as the consumer get the best product possible. Competing to get &#8216;air time&#8217; for a blog post has long meant compromising with titles, content and promotional activities in a way that drives down the quality of the underlying material.</p>
<p><strong>So, what&#8217;s next?</strong></p>
<p>Like I say, I want to provide <em>you</em> with world-class content. Content that <em>you</em> can use every time: tools and resources that make <em>you</em> a better growth leader, whatever you&#8217;re engaged in, and whatever size your organization is. And while some of those materials may include blog-like commentary and opinion from me, it should only form part of the whole, and even then it must be highly highly focused to <em>your</em> specific needs.</p>
<p>Interested? </p>
<p>Want to hold hands with me, jump off this lumbering, stops-at-all-the-stations local steam train, on to a <a href="http://predictablesuccess.net/fast-train" target="_blank">speed-of-light bullet train</a> that&#8217;s going only &#8211; and directly &#8211; to your chosen destination? </p>
<p><a href="http://predictablesuccess.net/fast-train">Click here and hop on board. You&#8217;ll enjoy the ride, I promise</a>.</p>
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		<title>Don’t confuse brilliance with Vision</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PredictableSuccessBlog/~3/fpNVtZfj6-M/</link>
		<comments>http://www.predictablesuccess.com/blog/dont-confuse-brilliance-with-vision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Feb 2012 04:30:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lesmckeown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Processor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Visionary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.predictablesuccess.com/?p=2352</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Apologies for the Yoda-like speech pattern, but a brilliant Processor doth not a Visionary make. Some Processors are truly geniuses in how they use their P skills, but the sheer brilliance they exude in doing so is not the same as being a...</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Apologies for the Yoda-like speech pattern, but a brilliant Processor doth not a Visionary make.</p>
<p>Some Processors are truly geniuses in how they use their P skills, but the sheer brilliance they exude in doing so is not the same as being a Visionary &#8211; even though, at first glance or from a distance they might look the same. </p>
<p><img src="http://files.predictablesuccess.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/iStock_000018607243XSmall-300x245.jpg" alt="Don&#039;t mistake a brilliant Processor for a Visionary" title="Fireworks" width="300" height="245" class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2353" />Some companies &#8211; especially in the tech arena &#8211; are suffering from this category error. It took Jerry Yang almost 15 years to work this out (<a href="http://www.managementtoday.co.uk/news/1112652/" title="even though Yahoo [YHOO] shareholders got there long before he did" target="_blank">even though Yahoo [YHOO] shareholders got there long before he did</a>). <a href="http://ubuntuforums.org/showthread.php?t=435346" title="Everybody realized it in the case of Bill Gates at Microsoft [MSFT]" target="_blank">Everybody realized it in the case of Bill Gates at Microsoft [MSFT]</a> (including I think, Bill Gates himself). I believe <a href="http://allthingsd.com/20110405/exlusive-larry-page-mulls-google-reorg/" title="time will show it to be true of Larry Page at Google [GOOG]" target="_blank">time will show it to be true of Larry Page at Google [GOOG]</a>.</p>
<p>Tech isn&#8217;t alone in making this mistake, mind you. Vikram Pandit is a <a href="http://dealbreaker.com/2012/01/vikram-pandit-wants-to-crowdsource-bank-risk-management/" title="P struggling mightily at Citibank [C]" target="_blank">P struggling mightily at Citibank [C]</a> at a time when it desperately needs a V. Leo Apotheker fooled no-one in his <a href="http://online.wsj.com/community/groups/management-issues/topics/should-h-p-fire-leo-apotheker" title="short, ignominious stay at HP [HWP]." target="_blank">short, ignominious stay at HP [HWP].</a></p>
<p>That&#8217;s not to say there aren&#8217;t times when a Processor isn&#8217;t the right person to lead a company &#8211; BP [BP] <a href="http://host.madison.com/ct/news/article_e08e7918-730f-11df-a8e5-001cc4c03286.html" title="needed one a decade ago" target="_blank">needed one a decade ago</a>, and if it had one, it might have avoided the recent spill disaster. JetBlue [JBLU] needed one coming out of the <a href="http://www.fastcompany.com/blog/chuck-salter/dash-salt/grounded-david-neeleman-jetblues-erstwhile-ceo" title="David Neieleman Whitewater experience" target="_blank">David Neieleman Whitewater experience</a>, and <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/22/us-netflix-blockbuster-idUSTRE78L5VT20110922" title="Netflix could do with one now" target="_blank">Netflix [NFLX] could do with one now</a>. Almost all of Japanese industry benefitted from Processor leadership in the 80&#8242;s.</p>
<p>Just don&#8217;t make the mistake of thinking you&#8217;ve got a Visionary leader when you&#8217;ve actually got a pyrotechnically brilliant Processor &#8211; it&#8217;s a very expensive mistake to make.</p>
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		<title>How to get the most from attending a workshop</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PredictableSuccessBlog/~3/Zib-JIQiwaQ/</link>
		<comments>http://www.predictablesuccess.com/blog/how-to-get-the-most-from-attending-a-workshop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 04:30:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lesmckeown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seminars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[workshops]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.predictablesuccess.com/?p=2345</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I've been running workshops for oh...more than three decades now (ouch), and in that time I've taught somewhat over 15,000 people. After about two decades and 10,000-plus attendees some pattern recognition kicked in (I can be a little slow about...</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://predictablesuccess.safecheckout.info/workshops/public/apply"><img src="http://img.predictablesuccess.com/les-workshop.png" alt="Apply to attend the Predictable Success 1-day workshop" title="Apply to attend the Predictable Success 1-day workshop" width="250" height="166" class="alignright size-full wp-image-2346" /></a>I&#8217;ve been <a href="https://predictablesuccess.safecheckout.info/workshops/public/apply" target="_blank">running workshops</a> for oh&#8230;more than three decades now (ouch), and in that time I&#8217;ve taught somewhat over 15,000 people.</p>
<p>After about two decades and 10,000-plus attendees some pattern recognition kicked in (I can be a little slow about these things). I realized that within two minutes of meeting a workshop participant I could tell with a high degree of certitude whether or not they were going to get anything substantial out of the process.</p>
<p>Workshop attendees come in many shapes and sizes, and I&#8217;ve seen &#8216;em all many times. From the late-arriving, multi-tasking &#8220;I&#8217;m really too busy to actually be here&#8221; types to the slow-and-steady capture-every-word tortoises (I mean that non-pejoratively); the suck-the-air-out-of-the-room grandstanders and the quiet geniuses; the terminally unsure and the defiantly unshakeable  &#8211; I&#8217;ve worked with them all, and everything in between. </p>
<p>Of course by far the majority of workshop attendees are people just like you and me, solid types who arrive with reasonable expectations and a desire to take something away with them that they can put into practice back at the ranch, and as a result make a real change in their lives, their career and/or their business. They arrive, participate and leave just like the characters above, but without falling into any defined type or group &#8211; just fine, &#8216;normal&#8217;, unique individuals.</p>
<p>And here&#8217;s the interesting thing: when it comes to spotting those who will achieve real change as a result of devoting a morning, a day or a week to a workshop, none of the above matters. Personal style, presuppositions, how or why someone participates &#8211; none of these factors really make a difference.</p>
<p>What does make a difference &#8211; the factors that determine whether or not the next conference or workshop you go to will yield a high ROI for you or not, are delightfully prosaic. This is good news &#8211; it means that anyone can turn a good workshop into a game-changing experience, if they take the right steps. (I&#8217;m assuming presenter competence and quality of content here &#8211; nobody can squeeze high ROI out of crap, unless they&#8217;re in the waste management business.)</p>
<p>What used to amaze me is the small percentage of people who actually take those steps. And it really is a tiny percentage: I&#8217;d put it at less than 5%. That means just 2 attendees in a room of 50 people will make something real and measurable happen as a direct result of the next workshop or conference they attend.</p>
<p>I say &#8216;used to amaze me&#8217; because the percentage is so small that I set out to discover both what those steps are, and more importantly, why most people don&#8217;t take them. </p>
<p>In a way, I had no choice. I run high-risk workshops (not that we do anything dramatic &#8211; I&#8217;m teaching organizational growth and leadership after all, so no-one is going to die if anything goes wrong) but I teach a methodology that makes big claims for those who will implement it, and I couldn&#8217;t &#8211; can&#8217;t &#8211; afford to see 95% of the attendees not &#8216;get it&#8217;. Also, because I restrict public workshops to just 10 people, a 5% hit rate means I might deliver 2 or 3 workshops without helping someone make real, significant, game-changing change in their life, career or business &#8211; and that&#8217;s the precise opposite of why I do what I do.</p>
<p>So, after a few years of intently observing the patterns of highly successful workshop attendees I was able to identify the specific steps those people take to ensure game-changing results from their workshop or seminar attendance. I found out (as I indicated earlier) that the steps involved are simple, even prosaic, but incredibly powerful. </p>
<p>Along the way, I also discovered that the main reason 95% of workshop attendees don&#8217;t take these steps is not because the steps are complicated &#8211; quite the opposite &#8211; but that they simply simply don&#8217;t have time to think of them. So, eventually I turned it in to a PDF that I now send ahead of time to everyone who <a href="https://predictablesuccess.safecheckout.info/workshops/public/apply" target="_blank">signs up for a Predictable Success workshop</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://files.predictablesuccess.com/From-aha-to-ahh.pdf" target="_blank">Today, I&#8217;m making it available to everyone</a>. If you&#8217;re going to a workshop, seminar or convention this year, <a href="http://files.predictablesuccess.com/From-aha-to-ahh.pdf" target="_blank">print it out</a>, read it and act on it &#8211; and I guarantee you&#8217;ll be highly rewarded. Enjoy.</p>
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		<title>How to flourish in any crisis</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PredictableSuccessBlog/~3/NkeXEX9G5VQ/</link>
		<comments>http://www.predictablesuccess.com/blog/how-to-flourish-in-a-crisis/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 04:30:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>lesmckeown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[crisis management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Operator]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Processor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Synergist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[teams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Visionary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.predictablesuccess.com/?p=2291</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Ever wonder why every month brings another tale of a badly handled corporate disaster (here's last year's haul: BP, HP, Netflix, Groupon, HP, Bank of America, News International, Yahoo, HP, Toyota, Google, Kodak), yet you have to go back to 1982 for...</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ever wonder why every month brings another tale of a badly handled corporate disaster (here&#8217;s last year&#8217;s haul: BP, HP, Netflix, Groupon, HP, Bank of America, News International, Yahoo, HP, Toyota, Google, Kodak), yet you have to <a href="http://hbr.org/product/johnson-johnson-the-tylenol-tragedy/an/583043-PDF-ENG" title="go back to 1982" target="_blank">go back to 1982</a> for the last example of truly outstanding corporate leadership in the face of disaster?</p>
<p><img src="http://www.predictablesuccess.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/chinese-crisis-2.jpeg" alt="The definition of a crisis" title="Definition of a crisis" width="200" height="128" class="alignright size-full wp-image-2295" />Well, one reason of course is the nature of reporting: good stories don&#8217;t sell newspaper inches (or screen pixels), so the icky stuff gets featured much more heavily. But there is a deeper issue: The <a href="https://www.google.com/search?q=the%20leader%20as%20hero" title="lorification of the leader as hero personified" target="_blank">glorification of the leader as hero personified</a>.</p>
<p>We live in a 24-hour news cycle which must, in order to not seem like simply a random collection of talking heads, impose a narrative on events. At the time of writing we see it most clearly in the reporting of the current election campaign. Nothing is simply an event, a fact or a statement, instead everything must be parsed as part of an over-arching narrative &#8211; who&#8217;s up, who&#8217;s down, who&#8217;s next, who&#8217;s out?</p>
<p>The same thing happens in financial reporting. Everything needs to play out as a greek tragedy, with <a href="http://blogs.hbr.org/taylor/2010/07/where_have_all_the_business_he.html" title="heroes," target="_blank">heroes</a>, <a href="http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/assessment/2002/06/the_new_business_villains.html" title="villains" target="_blank">villains</a>, <a href="http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,941305,00.html" title="victims" target="_blank">victims</a> and <a href="http://wamu.org/news/morning_edition/12/01/26/government_business_leaders_growing_weary_of_occupy_dc" title="innocent bystanders" target="_blank">innocent bystanders</a>.</p>
<p>As a result, when a crisis strikes, <a href="http://www.upi.com/Business_News/Energy-Resources/2012/01/24/BPs-Hayward-under-fire-for-2010-spill/UPI-76941327402828/" title="some unlucky so-and-so gets pushed to the top of the news cycle" target="_blank">some unlucky so-and-so gets pushed to the top of the news cycle</a>, and his or her leadership style is placed under the microscope.</p>
<p>And guess what happens? The Visionary-, Operator- or Processor- leader finds their every move under scrutiny, and as a direct result, their V, O or P response becomes supercharged. Time and again we see <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/02/14/a-different-side-to-dick-fuld/" title="Dick Fuld" target="_blank">Visionary leaders under pressure who take even more risks, resort to even more hyperbole, swing even further for the fences than before</a>. Or an <a href="http://in.reuters.com/article/2012/01/19/newscorp-hacking-events-idINDEE80I0FC20120119" title="Kodak" target="_blank">Operator-leader who becomes more dogged, more stubborn, more ferocious than previously</a>. Or a <a href="http://www.investorplace.com/investorpolitics/obama-should-be-ashamed-kodak-ceo-is-on-jobs-and-biz-council/" title="Antonio Perez" target="_blank">Processor-leader who retreats behind more spreadsheets, more planning, more second-guessing than before the crisis hit</a>.</p>
<p>The answer? Behind any well-managed crisis you&#8217;ll find either a <a href="http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2007401,00.html" title="Alan Mulally" target="_blank">natural Synergist</a> (very rare) or more commonly,<a href="http://www.thestreet.com/story/11193232/1/schlumberger-announces-management-succession.html" title=" a Synergistic team" target="_blank"> a Synergistic team</a> &#8211; one which knows that the answer to a crisis is not V-ing, O-ing or P-ing your way through it, but <a href="http://www.predictablesuccess.com/blog/why-businesses-stumble-in-a-crisis/" title="using the team's natural VOP strengths in harmony, and with the proper choreography" target="_blank">using the team&#8217;s natural VOP strengths in harmony, and with the proper choreography</a>.</p>
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