VEDIC METEOROLOGY

2023 EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

(Prepared between April & November 2022)

Every year there are thousands of earthquakes occur and recorded as per the data of Seismic centres. Except those earthquakes which cause ‘Devastations and fatalities’ most of the uneventful earthquakes are not getting reported.

My research is aimed at identifying these ‘Devastating and the Killer earthquakes’.

I have been showing steady improvement in forecasting the period of some of the major killer earthquakes from 2002. I am confident to claim that “Based on my research of VEDIC METEOROLOGY THEORIES” “THE PERIOD OF DEVASTATING, KILLER EARTHQUAKES’ can be accurately forecasted. I have limitations in identifying the exact location of the earthquakes. This is due to my insignificant competence in theoretical astronomy, related skill and lack of understanding verses in Sanskrit and ancient Tamil. Despite these my research is showing marked improvement in ‘earthquake forecasting.

I have been validating my forecast with the related Earthquake & Weather events as and when they unfold and have been posting them in my “Twitter Page” https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08 &
“Facebook page”: https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri

If Government of India forms a ‘Vedic Meteorology Research Centre’, I assure my fullest co-operation by sharing my complete research work. Once this research is handled by experts of Astronomy, Geology and Vedic Astro-meteorology; I am confident that within a couple of years we will be able to generate a ‘TIME TABLE OF EARTHQUAKES AND WEATHER’ for the next 3000 years.

MAIN POINTS:

A) The first Earthquake Cycle begins from the last week of February, 2023 and continues till the end of July, 2023. Catastrophic Earthquakes, Tsunamis and Volcanic eruptions are warned during the above period. Indonesia, China, Philippines, South Pacific Islands, Chile, US West coast, Turkey, Mediterranean region and Mexico are locations likely to be affected.

B) The Second Earthquake Cycle begins from the last week of April, 2023 and will continue till the first week of October, 2023. Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, China, US West coast, West African coast, Mediterranean region, Turkey and Mexico are locations likely to be affected.
C) The third Earthquake Cycle (combination of two cycles) begins from the second week of November, 2023 and continues till middle of February, 2024. Central America, North Latin America, Central Asia, Indonesia, South Indian Ocean, South Pacific islands, South China Sea, Chile and Turkey are locations likely to be affected.

DETAILED FORECAST:
A) The first Earthquake Cycle begins from the last week of February, 2023 and continues till the end of July, 2023. Catastrophic Earthquakes, Tsunamis and Volcanic eruptions are warned during the above period. Indonesia, China, Philippines, South Pacific Islands, Chile, US West coast, Turkey, Mediterranean region and Mexico are locations likely to be affected.

B) The Second Earthquake Cycle begins from the last week of April, 2023 and will continue till the first week of October, 2023. Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, China, US West coast, West African coast, Mediterranean region, Turkey & Mexico are locations likely to be affected.

Peak Activity Periods:

(1) Massive Earthquake & Tsunami is forecast between 28th March and 5th/6th April, 2023. Probable location: Closer to equator west/northwest of Papua New Guinea/ South Pacific Islands, Peru, Chile. Strong Aftershock waves are forecast to travel round the globe in sine wave pattern: Peak Activity Dates:
(a) From 12th to 16thApril, 2023, (b) From19th to 22nd April, 2023 (location as above)

(2) Next Major Earthquake is forecast between 10th May and 15th May, 2023.
Location: US west coastal region, China around southeast Tibet and west Sichuan. Type TWO Earthquake cycle beginning from the first week of May will continue till the 3rd week of August, 2023. Strong Aftershock waves are forecast to travel round the globe in sine wave pattern:
(a) Between 17thand 20th May, 2023 (location East China/Southwest Philippines, Central/Latin America),
(b) From 26th to 29th May, 2023 (Location: US west coast region, Turkey).
(c) Next Major Earthquake is forecast between 10th May and 15th May, 2023.
Location: US west coastal region, China around southeast Tibet and west Sichuan.

(3) Type TWO Earthquake cycle beginning from the first week of May will continue till the 3rd week of August, 2023. Strong Aftershock waves are forecast to travel round the globe in sine wave pattern:
(a) Between 17thand 20th May, 2023 (location East China/Southwest Philippines) and
(b) From 26th to 29th May, 2023 (Location: US west coast region, Turkey).

(4) (a) Very Severe Earthquakes due to two different cycles are forecast between 7th June and 15th June, 2023. TWO different part of the World are likely to experience these Devastating Earthquakes. Locations: (1) China’s Sichuan region, Gulf of Aden-Arabian Sea region; (2) USA eastern costal region, Central America/West Africa.
(b) Severe Earthquake & Landslides are warned from 24th to 27th June, 2023, Location Taiwan, Philippines & Caribbean region.
(c) Severe Earthquakes & Volcanic eruptions are warned from 29thJune to 3rd July, 2023. Volcanic eruption Locations: North/Central Pacific ring of fire region, Central & Latin American region, Earthquakes Locations: East China (Tsunami?), Italy, Turkey, Latin America and US west coast.
(d) From 8th to 11th July, 2023. Locations: Ring of Fire Volcanoes closer to north of Equator, Mediterranean region & Mexico region.

(5) Severe Volcanic eruptions (under the ocean also), dangerous lava flow and Landslides are warned:
(a) From 16th to 21st July, 2023 (Location: North Pacific close to Alaska, Hawaii) and
24th to 26th July, 2023 (Location: Philippines, New Zealand)
(b) From 6th to 9th August, 2023. (Pacific Ring of Fire close to Equator, Turkey) & (West Mexico, West African coast &Italy)

Powerful Earthquakes are forecast on:

(i) 16th to 21st July, 2023 Mexico, Indonesia, Southern Chile,
(ii) 24th July to 27th July, 2023,
(iii) Again From 1st August to 4th August, 2023 (China, Turkey,
(iv) From 7th to 11th August, 2023 and
(v) Again from16th to 20th August, 2023 (US west coast, Indonesia. Catastrophic Volcanic eruptions Locations: Alaska, Iceland, Mediterranean region.,)
Strong aftershocks are warned from (i) 24th to 26th August, 2023, (ii) 30th/31st August, 2023, (iii) 6th to 8th September, 2023 and (iv) 14th/15th September, 2023 and (vii) from 28th September to 2nd October, 2023. Landslides, mine disasters and mudflows are warned during the above periods.

C) The third Earthquake Cycle (combination of two cycles) begins from the second week of November, 2023 and continues till middle of February, 2024. Central America, North Latin America, Central Asia, Indonesia, South Indian Ocean, South Pacific islands, South China Sea, Chile, Mediterranean region, Turkey, Iran and countries around Red Sea are locations likely to be affected.

Peak Activity Periods:
A) Powerful Earthquake (Tsunami?) is warned between 14th & 17th November, 2023. Location: Central America, North Latin America & Central Asia.
B) Strong Earthquake is warned between 20th & 22nd November, 2023.
Location: Mediterranean Region (East?), Countries around Red Sea, Turkey..,
C) Look for Powerful Earthquake between 24th and 30th November, 2023.
Location: Central America, North Latin America, Mediterranean Region (West) & South China Sea. Strong aftershocks are waned from 4th to 7th December, 2023.
D) Powerful Earthquake & Tsunami is forecast between 11th & 16th December, 2023. Locations: South Indian Ocean (northwest of Australia), Central America, North Latin America. Strong aftershocks are waned from 19th & 22nd December, 2023.
E) Massive Earthquake & Tsunami is warned between 24th and 26th December, 2023. Location: Northern Chile, Turkey, Countries around Red Sea. Severe Aftershocks are warned on 2and 8th December, 2023 and again between 3rd and 5th January, 2024.
F) Powerful Earthquake is warned between 7th and 11th January, 2024.
Location: South Pacific Island, Southern Chile, Mediterranean region.
Strong aftershocks are waned from 17th to 19th January, 2024.
G) Between 25th and 29th January, 2024 look for a Strong Earthquake (Under the Ocean?). Location: South China Sea, Central America, North Latin America.
H) Powerful Earthquake is forecast between 2nd and 6th February, 2024. Location: South pacific Islands, and Countries around Red Sea. Another Powerful Earthquake & Tsunami is forecast between 8th and 11th February, 2024. Location: Chile, Turkey, Mediterranean region.

# Look for series of under ocean Earthquakes, Volcanic eruptions from the middle of March till the last week of April, 2024. Location: South China Sea, Latin America, Mediterranean region.

S. RAMACHANDRAN. Vedic Astro Meteorologist.
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08

VEDIC METEOROLOGY

2023 ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST

For the Indian Sub-Continent (Prepared during October, 2022)

(1) WINTER 2022/23: Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warmer”. Negative Indian Ocean Di-Pole is forecast from the middle of January, 2023 till the end of March 2023 Squally winds, Thunderstorms; Cyclonic Circulation and Convective activity related abnormal rainfall is forecast at many places in the districts around & below 14degree.N Latitude. Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast on the Eastern side of Western Ghats and also at isolated places in the hilly CLOUDBURST, KILLER LIGHTNING, FLASH  FLOODS  and  LANDSLIDES  are  warned  during  the  above  period. SEVERE CYCLONE in the Bay of Bengal is warned during the second & third week of March, 2023. During the period Southern & Central states will experience “Far above Normal Temperatures”.

(2) WINTER 2022/23: Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Strong Western Disturbances (Extra-Tropical Storms) causing Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/Icy Rainfall upsetting normal life from the beginning of January, 2023 till middle of March, 2023. CLOUDBURST, Hail storms, Avalanches & Landslides are warned during the above period. Northwest states and west of Northern states will be affected more. Plains of the above region will be experiencing devastating Flash Floods due to heavy to very heavy rainfall.

AIR POLLUTION: In the plains of Northern States of India  “Tropospheric level Fog, Smog and Air Pollution” will be “More in 2023 than what was experienced during 2022”. While ground conditions have avoidable factors; Meteorologists have been ignoring/ignorant of the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “Abnormal Air Pollution” at habitable levels during certain years of every decade.

B)(1) From the third week of March’23 till the end of April’23 “Widespread rainfall with occasional Heavy to very Heavy spells” is forecast. These conditions will be experienced more in locations “Above and Around Lat. 15 deg. (N) with an axis tilted upwards towards Northeast”. Below this region moderate & occasional heavy rainfall is Conditions will remain “HOT with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES” in the Central and Northern States from the Last week of March till the end of October, 2023. Severe Flooding in Northern states warned.

(2)From the last week  of  April’23  till  the  first week  of  June’23 “CHAOTIC WEATHER CONDITIONS”  will  prevail.   “A  Severe  Cyclone  in  the  Bay  of  Bengal  will  cross Bangladesh/Myanmar coast (OR) cross Andhra/Odisha coast and emerge as low pressure trough in the Arabian Sea”. Dry Conditions & Squally winds, Thunderstorms, Powerful Western Disturbances, Cyclonic Circulation, convective activity related (unevenly spread) abnormal rainfall are forecast in cyclic pattern. West, Northwest and Southern Peninsular States will experience the above conditions & are Warned of DEVASTATING FLOODS, KILLER LIGHTNING and MASSIVE LANDSLIDES during the above periods (1&2): Above Normal Pre-monsoon Rainfall is

C)(1) Feeble & Weak “Onset of 2023 SOUTHWEST MONSOON” is forecast between 27th May and 6th June, 2023. “Indifferent Distribution of Rainfall” is forecast from 9th June, till middle of July, 2023 “Dry conditions & Heavy spells”. First Best Rainfall Period is forecast from the middle of July till end of August, Strong Western Disturbances & Cyclones in the Arabian Sea are warned during the above period. West, Northwest states & Central states above Lat. 14/15 deg. (N) will get maximum benefits, but North-eastern & Southern peninsular states below Lat. 14/15 deg. (N) will suffer Deficit Rainfall. CLOUDBURSTS, KILLER LIGHTNING, Localised Storms, Mine disasters, Landslides & Severe floods due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall are warned during the above period.

(3)From the beginning of September till the third week of October, 2023 Southwest monsoon will experience “Devastations due to Cyclones, Cloudbursts, Killer Lightning, Flash Floods and Landslides due to heavy to very heavy rainfall. Central, Northwest, Northern states will experience the above conditions. “Simultaneous Cyclones in the Arabian Sea & Bay of Bengal” are

2023 SOUTHWEST MONSOON PERFORMANCE: Northeast & Southern peninsular states around and below Lat. 18 Deg. (N) will get Deficit rainfall till end of September, 2023 and in October, 2023 near normal rainfall with occasional heavy spells is forecast. Interior districts of these states will get better rainfall. Overall 2023 Southwest Monsoon will yield Excess Rainfall for areas above Lat. 14/15 deg. (N) and “Below Normal/Deficit Rainfall in the remaining areas. SW Monsoon 2023 will withdraw by the 3rd week of October, 2023.

D)Northeast Monsoon will set during the last week (28th/29th) of October, 2023. Chain of cyclonic circulations in the Arabian Sea would “Aggravate 2023 Northeast Monsoon. From the last week of October, 2023 till the middle of January, 2024 there will be Cyclones both in Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. These systems and depression related Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall are forecast during the above period and “CLOUD BURSTS, SEVERE FLOODS, LANDSLIDES and KILLER LIGHTNINGS” are warned.

SEVERE FLOOD WARNING: During the above period WIDESPREAD SEVERE FLOODING will “RECREATE  2015 LIKE  FLOOD  SITUATIONS” in Tamilnadu,  Andhra Pradesh,  Kerala and Karnataka.

WINTER 2023: (A) Winter will begin from the last few days of October, 2023, but central and the plains of northern states will register “Above Normal Temperatures” till the second week of December, 2023. Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Due to Strong Western Disturbances (Extra-Tropical Storms) Sub-Himalayan region will experience Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to very heavy snowfalls/Icy rainfalls from the Second week of November, 2023 till the end of December, 2023. Winter will continue till the end of February, 2024. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/Icy Rainfall upsetting normal life.  Avalanches, CLOUDBURST and Devastating floods and Severe Landslides are warned during the above periods.

#AIR POLLUTION ALERT: Tropospheric level “Fog, Smog and Air Pollution” in the plains of Northern States of India will be “More than what was experienced during 2023”. From 2024 these conditions will be reaching “Progressively Alarming Levels” peaking in 2026. While ground conditions have avoidable factors; Meteorologists’ have been ignoring/ignorant of the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “Abnormal Air Pollution” at habitable levels during certain years of every decade.

(B) Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warm. From the second week of January, 2024 till the last week of February 2024 widespread abnormal rainfall at many places in & around the districts below 16 degree Lat. (N) and also at isolated places in “High Altitude Hilly Regions” are forecast. Flash floods are warned during the above period. A “Severe Cyclone is forecast in the Bay of Bengal” between the last week of February and the first week of March, 2024 and Spate of Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal are warned till the middle of April, 2024. Emergence of Positive Indian Ocean Di- pole is forecast between February and May, 2024.

Detailed Forecast:
(1) WINTER 2022/23: Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warmer”. Negative Indian Ocean Di–Pole is forecast from the second week of January, 2023 till the third week of March 2023 Squally winds, Thunderstorms; Cyclonic Circulation and convective activity related abnormal rainfall is forecast at many places in the districts around & below 14 degree Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast on the Eastern side of Western Ghats and also at isolated places in the hilly regions. CLOUDBURST, KILLER LIGHTNING, FLASH FLOODS and LANDSLIDES are warned during the above period. SEVERE CYCLONE in the Bay of Bengal is warned during the Second and Third week of March, 2023. During the above period Southern & Central states will experience “Far above Normal Temperatures”.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

(a)Look for a Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 2nd and 11th January, 2023. This system will cross the coast @ 7th/8th January, 2023 between Pondicherry and Devastations due to storms & flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned.
(b)Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast between 13th & 20th January, 2023, again between 27th January and 6th February, 2023 & between 10th & 15th February,
(c)Moderate to Heavy rainfall is forecast between 23rd February and 2nd March, 2023 & 6th and 9th March,
(d)Severe Cyclone is forecast in the Bay of Bengal from 11th to 18th March, 2023. Cyclone will cross the coast between Mahabalipuram & Bapatla (AP) (or) drift towards Bangladesh-Myanmar Devastations due to storm and flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall in North Tamilnadu, South & Central Andhra Pradesh is forecast.

(2) WINTER 2022/23: Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Strong Western Disturbances (Extra-Tropical Storms) causing Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/Icy Rainfall upsetting normal life from the beginning of January, 2023 till middle of March, 2023. CLOUDBURST, Killer lightning (till Mid Feb) Hail storms, Avalanches & Landslides are warned during the above period. Northwest states and west of Northern states will be affected more. Plains of the above region will be experiencing devastating Flash Floods due to heavy to very heavy rainfall.

AIR POLLUTION: In the plains of Northern States of India  “Tropospheric level Fog, Smog and Air Pollution” will be “More in 2023 than what was experienced during 2022”. While ground conditions  have  avoidable  factors;  Meteorologists  have   been  ignoring/ignorant   of   the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “Abnormal Air Pollution” at habitable levels during certain years of every decade.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

(a)Between 26th December 2022 and 2nd January, 2023 Blizzards with Heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall and Avalanches are warned,
(b)Between 4th and 8th January, 2023 Very Powerful Blizzards with massive snowfall/Icy rainfall and CLOUDBURST are Devastating Floods, Landslides and Avalanches are forecast during this period. Uttarakhand, Northeast Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh need to be on highest alert.
(c)Powerful Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall will cause Avalanches & Flash floods & widespread Catastrophic devastations to life and property;
(i) 14th to 19th January, 2023; & 23rd -24th January, 2023 (catastrophic), (ii) 28th Jan to 7th Feb, 2023, (iii) 11th to 17th February, 2023, (catastrophic) (iv) 25th Feb to 1st Mar, 2023, (v) 3rd to 7th March, 2023 and (vi) 11th to 16th March, 2023 (Very Severe, catastrophic). Northwest Kashmir, Jammu, Ladakh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, and Himachal Pradesh will be mainly affected.

B)(1) From the third week of March’23 till the end of April’23 “Widespread rainfall with occasional Heavy to very Heavy spells” is These conditions will be experienced more in locations “Above and Around Lat. 15 deg. (N) with an axis tilted upwards towards Northeast”. Below this region moderate & occasional heavy rainfall is forecast. Conditions will remain “HOT with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES” in the Central and Northern States from the Last week of March till the end of October, 2023. Severe Flooding in Northern states warned.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. From 19thto 23rd March 2023, again from 27th to 31st March, 2023; Northwest, West states will be Southern peninsular states will get moderate to heavy rainfall. Around 6th/7th April, 2023 there could be a Tropical Cyclone in the Arabian Sea crossing gulf of Oman. (Too Early for this time of the year, It will be history if this happen)
2. On 8th/9th April, 2023 (at isolated places) and again between 13th & 16th April, 2023 damages due to localised storm with widespread heavy rainfall is forecast. Southern peninsular states, West and Northwest states will experience these conditions. During the above period there could be a Tropical Cyclone in the Arabian Sea crossing gulf of (Too Early for this time of the year, It will be history if this happen).
3. Between 19th & 30th April, 2023 (peak 23rd to 29th April; Deep depression) Widespread Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall. Severe flooding in northern states warned. Moderate to Heavy rainfall is forecast for the southern peninsular

(2)From the last week of April’23 till the first week of June’23 “CHAOTIC WEATHER CONDITIONS” will “A Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal will cross Bangladesh/Myanmar coast (OR) cross Andhra/Odisha coast. Cyclones in the Arabian Sea are forecast till July’23. Dry Conditions & Squally winds, Thunderstorms, Powerful Western Disturbances, Cyclonic Circulation, convective activity related (unevenly spread) rainfall are forecast in cyclic pattern. West, Northwest and Southern peninsular States will experience the above conditions & are Warned of DEVASTATING FLOODS, KILLER LIGHTNING and MASSIVE LANDSLIDES during the above periods (1&2).  Above Normal Pre-monsoon Rainfall is forecast.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal is forecast between 28th April & 4th May, This Cyclone might drift towards Bangladesh (or) cross the coast between Nellore and Paradeep around 3rd May, 2023. This system will continue to travel inland till 8th May, ‘23 and cause Catastrophic damages due to storm surge and Severe Flooding. During the above period a Tropical Cyclone in the Arabian Sea will be crossing the coast of Oman.
2. Look for another Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 10th & 18th May, 2023. Cyclone will cross the coast around 17th May, 2023 between Pondicherry and Nellore (or) drift towards Odisha. Heavy to very Heavy rainfall at isolated places is forecast from 12th to 14th May, 2023 and widespread rainfall; storm surge will cause devastations from 15th May Coastal districts of north Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh & Odisha will experience these conditions. This system will travel inland causing Severe flooding till 22nd May, 2023. Also West, Northwest states will experience heavy rainfall & flooding.

2) c) Between 24th and 31st May, 2023 Cyclone/Deep depression in the Bay of Bengal will be dumping heavy to very heavy rainfall from 26th to 29th May,’23 and cross the coast @ 30th May, 2023 between Ongole (AP) and Brahmapur (Odisha). This system will enter Arabian Sea as a low pressure and cross the coast of Oman around 3rd June, 2023 as a depression (Cyclone?).

C)(1) Feeble & Weak “Onset of 2023 SOUTHWEST MONSOON” is forecast between 27th May and 6th June, 2023. “Indifferent Distribution of Rainfall” is from 9th June, till middle of July, 2023 “Dry conditions & Heavy spells”. First Best Rainfall Period is forecast from the middle of July till end of August, 2023. Strong Western Disturbances & Cyclones in the Arabian Sea are warned during the above period. West, Northwest states & Central states above Lat. 14/15 deg. (N) will get maximum benefits, CLOUDBURSTS, KILLER LIGHTNING, Localised Storms, Mine disasters, Landslides & Severe floods due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall are warned during the above period. North- eastern & Southern peninsular states below 14/15 deg. (N) will suffer Deficit Rainfall.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. Between 9th and 12th June, 2023 Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated place is forecast. Interior districts of southern peninsular states will benefit more, Central, West and Northwest states will experience flash flooding due to widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall between 14th and 22nd June, 2023. Coastal Southern peninsular states will experience moderate rainfall,
2. Deep depression/Cyclone is forecasted in the Bay of Bengal between 23rdJune, and 28th June, During this period coastal regions of southern peninsular states above 15 deg. Lat.(N) will experience heavy to very heavy rainfall. This system will cross the coast between Gopalpur & Paradeep @ 26th June, 2023 (or) drift towards Bangladesh causing “Catastrophic Devastations” till 3rd July, 2023.
3. A depression in the Bay of Bengal and Cyclone Arabian Sea is forecast between 5th and 17thJuly, 2023. The depression in the Bay of Bengal will breach the coasts of Andhra Pradesh-Odisha @ 8thJuly, 2023 and cause catastrophic damages; Floods due to heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall will continue till 21st July, 2023. Northern regions of southern peninsular states, eastern part of Central & Northern states will experience these The Cyclone in the Arabian Sea will cross the coast @ 16th/17th July, 2023 between Karachi and Gwadar.
4. From the middle of July till the third week of October, 2023 Vigorous SW Monsoon rainfalls will cause Severe floods in “Rivers Ganga, Yamuna, Narmada, Tapi and all their Tributaries”. Rivers Godavari, Mahanadi and Krishna will be reaching Brim level from the third week of August and floods are warned till year Peak Activity dates:
5. Between 22nd and 31st July, 2023 a “Low pressure in the Bay of Bengal will become a Deep depression/Cyclone”. This system will cross the coast around 25/26th July, 2023 between Kakinada and Severe Devastations due to Storm Surge, Cloudburst and Killer Lightning are warned during the above period till 2nd August, 2023,
6. Between 6th and 17th August, 2023 a Super Cyclone in the Arabian Sea is This Cyclonic system will dump heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall along the western coastline & cross the coast @ 13th/14th August, 2023 between Alibag (Maharashtra) & Karachi (Pakistan). During the above period west, northwest states & interiors of southern states will experience widespread Moderate to Heavy rainfall (Cloudburst). Killer Lightning, severe Floods, Landslides are warned.
7. Moderate to Heavy Rainfall at isolated places with Killer Lightning and Cloudburst are warned from 18thto 20th August, Powerful Extra Tropical Depression /Depression in the Bay of Bengal will dump Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall with Killer Lightning at fairly widespread places and cause Flash floods, Landslides from 24th to 30th August, 2023. West, Northwest, Northern and Central states will experience these conditions.

(3)From the beginning of September till the third week of October, 2023 Southwest monsoon will experience “Devastations due to Cyclones, Cloudbursts, Killer Lightning, Flash Floods and Landslides due to heavy to very heavy Central, Northwest, Northern states will experience the above conditions. “Simultaneous Cyclones in the Arabian Sea & Bay of Bengal” are forecast.

2023 SOUTHWEST MONSOON PERFORMANCE: Northeast & Southern peninsular states around and below Lat. 18 Deg. (N) will get Deficit rainfall till end of September, 2023 and in October, 2023 near normal rainfall with occasional heavy spells is forecast. Interior districts of these states will get better rainfall. Overall 2023 Southwest Monsoon will yield Excess Rainfall for areas above Lat. 14/15 deg. (N) and “Below Normal/Deficit Rainfall in the remaining areas. SW Monsoon 2023 will withdraw by the 3rd week of October, 2023.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. Between 3rd and 8th September, 2023 moderate to heavy rainfall with killer lightning at isolated places is West, North & Central states will experience these conditions.
2. A Severe Cyclone in the Arabian Sea is forecast between 5th & 17th September, 2023. This Cyclone will cross the coast @ 15th September, 2023 between Alibag (Maharashtra) & Diu (Gujarat). Catastrophic damages to life & property due to storm surge & heavy to very heavy rainfall are During the above period Interiors of West, Northwest and Central states will experience fairly widespread heavy to heavy rainfall; but isolated places in east coastal districts lower Assam & neighbouring states will experience moderate to occasional heavy rainfall. Flash floods & Landslides are warned. Between 16th& 24th September, 2023 (22nd to 24th) fairly widespread rainfall is forecast for the Interior districts of southern peninsular states.
3. Between 28th Sep & 3nd Oct, 2023 there will be a depression in the Arabian Sea and a low pressure system in the Bay of Bengal. Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast at isolated places in the west, central and northern states. Low pressure in the Bay of Bengal will become a Depression (Cyclone?) @30th September, 2023; isolated rainfall in the coastal regions of Andhra Pradesh & Odisha is This system will cross the coast @ 1st/2nd October, 2023 between Srikakulam and Balasore with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall (Cloudbursts). The depression in the Arabian Sea will drift away & weaken.
4. Flash floods due to Heavy, Very Heavy rainfall is forecast from 6th to 8th October, 2023 at isolated places in the central, north and lower northeast
5. Look for a Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 10th & 21st October, 2023. Fairly widespread Moderate to Heavy rainfall is forecast from 13th to 15th October, 2023. This Severe Cyclone will cross around 18th /20th October, 2023 between Chennai and Catastrophic Devastations due to Storm surge, Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall (CLOUDBURST), Killer Lightning and Landslides are warned during the above period and till 28th October, 2023. Between 9th & 18th October, 2023 there is a possibility of Cyclone in the Arabian Sea & will cross the coast of Oman @ 17th October, 2023. Withdrawal of 2023 SW Monsoon will be complete by 25th October, 2023.

D)Northeast Monsoon will set during the last week (28th/29th) of October, 2023. Chain of Cyclonic circulations in the Arabian Sea would “Aggravate 2023 Northeast Monsoon. From the last week of October, 2023 till the middle of January, 2024 there will be Cyclones both in the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. These systems and Depressions related Heavy to Very Heavy rainfalls are forecast during the above period and “CLOUD BURSTS, SEVERE FLOODS, LANDSLIDES and KILLER LIGHTNINGS” are warned.

SEVERE  FLOOD  WARNING:  During  the  above  period  WIDESPREAD  SEVERRE  FLOODING  will “RECREATE 2015 LIKE FLOOD SITUATIONS” in Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. Between 30th October and 8th November, 2023 a Cyclone is forecast in the Arabian Around 7th November, 2023 this system as a Cyclone (or) Depression will cross the coast between Goa and Alibag. Devastations due to storm and Severe Flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall, Killer lightning and Landslides are warned.
2. From 5thto 7th November, 2023 a well-marked low pressure in the Bay of Bengal will yield moderate to heavy rainfall. Between 10th and 17th November this low pressure system will become a Cyclone/Depression and likely to cross the coast between Marakkanam and Ongole around 13th/14th November, 2023. During the above period “Catastrophic damages, Severe floods are warned due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall, Cloudbursts (13th/14th & 17th), Killer lightning and
3. Coastal regions of Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh will experience low pressure trough related moderate to heavy rainfall between 19th and 22nd November, 2023. Interior Tamilnadu, Kerala and southwest Karnataka will experience moderate to heavy rainfall between 24thand 30th November, 2023 due to low pressure system becoming a Depression and breaching the coast between Mangalore and.
4. Look for a low pressure system becoming a depression in the Bay of Bengal between 5th and 17th December, 2023. This system will dump widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall from 5thto 7th December, 2023; again from 9th to 17th December, Severe floods and Landslides are warned during the above periods. Interior districts; Central, north Tamilnadu coastal district & Kerala are need to be on Extreme alert.
5. Between 19thand 28th December, 2023 look for a Depression/ Cyclone in the Bay of Widespread heavy rainfall is forecast from 19th to 23rd December, 2023. The depression/Cyclone will cross the coast around 27th/28th December, 2023 between Nagapattinam and Nellore “Massive Cloudburst, Killer Lightning and Catastrophic flash floods are warned.
6. Another Depression/Cyclone is forecast between 1st and 8th January, 2024. Fairly widespread moderate/heavy rainfall is forecast from 3rd to 5th January, 2024. Depression/Cyclone will cross the coast around 7th/8th January, 2024 causing Severe Cloudburst, Killer lightning and Flash floods. Location is same as above.

WINTER 2023: Winter will begin from the last few days of October, 2023, but central and the plains of northern states will register “Above Normal Temperatures” till the second week of December, 2023. Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Due to Strong Western Disturbances (Extra- Tropical Storms) Sub-Himalayan region will experience Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to very heavy snowfalls/Icy rainfalls from the Second week of November, 2023 till the end of December, 2023. Winter will continue till the end of February, 2024. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Blizzards  with  Heavy  to Very  Heavy  Snowfall/Icy  Rainfall  upsetting  normal  life.   Avalanches, CLOUDBURST and Devastating floods and Severe Landslides are warned during the above periods. #AIR POLLUTION ALERT: Tropospheric level “Fog, Smog and Air Pollution” in the plains of Northern States of India will be “More than what was experienced during 2023”. From 2024 these conditions will be reaching “Progressively Alarming Levels” peaking in 2026. While ground conditions  have  avoidable  factors;  Meteorologists’  have  been  ignoring/ignorant   of  the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “Abnormal Air Pollution” at habitable levels during certain years of every decade.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

1. Thunder snow flurry storm/Icy rainfall is forecast between 5th and 7th November, 2023. Fog/Smog air pollution disturbances,
2. Heavy snowfall/ Icy rainfall is forecast between 12thand 14th November, 2023,
3. Between 16th and 22nd November, 2023 (Avalanche); again from 24th to 30th November, 2023 Severe Thunder snow/Icy rainfall, Fog/Smog air pollution @ 24th/25thNovember, 2023
4. From 27th to 30th November, 2023 and again between 4th and 7th December, 2023 Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall is forecast,
5. Heavy snow fall/Icy rainfall between 9th and 18th  December, 2023. Avalanches are warned between 14th and 16th December, 2023,
6. Massive snowfall/avalanche is forecast between 19th and 23rd December, 2023,
7. Severe Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall (Thunder Snow)/icy rainfall/avalanches are warned between 25thDecember and 2nd January, 2024,
8. Between 4th &13th January, 2024 (Peak activity 8th to 11th January) look for Severe Blizzards with  heavy  to  very  heavy  snowfall/Icy  rainfall  (Thunder  Snow/Cloudburst)/Avalanches are warned,
9. After dry winter conditions from 14th to 17th January, 2024; look for Severe Blizzards with heavy  to  very  heavy  snowfall/Icy  rainfall  (Thunder  snow)  between18th  &  25th January, 2024,
10. Between 2nd and 11th February, 2024 look for Severe Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall (Thunder snow)causing widespread devastations & flooding,
11. Heavy snow fall/Icy rainfall is warned between 16th & 19th February, 2024. Look for a Severe extra-tropical storm between 24th February and 3rd March, 2024 dumping heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall causing widespread flooding and devastation

(B) Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warm. From the second week of January, 2024 till the last week of February 2024 widespread abnormal rainfall at many places in & around the districts below 16 degree Lat. (N) and also at isolated places in “High Altitude Hilly Regions” are forecast. Flash floods are warned during the above period. A “Severe Cyclone is forecast in the Bay of Bengal” between the last week of February and the first week of March, 2024 and Spate of Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal are warned till the middle of April, 2024. Emergence of Positive Indian Ocean Di-pole is forecast between February and May, 2024.

1. Southern Peninsular states will register below normal temperatures during third and the last week of November, 2023. Winter night Temperatures will be normal during December, 2023 and January, 2024, but daytime temperatures will be “Hot” and progressively above
2. Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall due to convective activity is forecast from the third week of January, 2024 till the last week of February, 2004. Killer lightning warned during the above
3. Very Hot and summer like conditions will emerge from the last week of February, Depression and Cyclonic circulation related conditions and rainfall are forecast during the above period.

RAMACHANDRAN.
Vedic Astro Meteorologist.
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08

2022 GLOBAL WEATHER FORECAST

(Prepared during October-November, 2021)

I extend from the bottom of my heart my sincere PRANAMS/THANKS to all those people from different parts of the World for extending their overwhelming recognition, appreciation and encouragement for my research. Their overwhelming following of my forecasts since my first GLOBAL WEATHER FORECAST in the year 2018 prompted me to register the accuracy of my forecasts. Please check my forecasts @ https://tamilnadumandram.com & also https://independent.academia.edu/RamachandranSeshadri
I have been validating my forecast with the related weather events as and when they unfold and have been posting them in my “Twitter” & “Face book pages: https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri

I humbly say that the armies of Modern Meteorologists’ mandatory dependence on Observational data even for their “VAGUE FORECASTS” a fortnight in advance exposes the limitations of the science they depend on. It’s obvious that it is “Impractical, Unimaginable” for access to “Observational data” YEARS IN ADVANCE; yet the “ULTIMATE FUNDAMENTALS” of “Vedic Meteorology Science” allows even a NOVICE like me to provide ‘Dependable Specific Long Range Weather Forecast’.

MAIN POINTS:
1) (A) [for the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region] From the last week of December, 2021 till early February, 2022 Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall, Avalanches are forecast. From the first week of February, 2022 till the last week of March, 2022 “Warmer & wet Spring” is forecast. Hailstorms, localised thunderstorms tornadoes are warned during the above period. From the last week of March, 2022 till the second week of May, 2022 more widespread snowfall/Icy rainfall, hailstorms, devastating mid-latitude cyclones, tornadoes are warned during the above period. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

1) (B) [for the southern hemisphere mid-latitude region] From the last week of December, 2021 till early February, 2022 “Warmer conditions with above normal temperatures”, widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall, tropical cyclones, hailstorms are warned.

From the first week of February and till the last week of March flooding due to more widespread rainfall, devastating Tropical cyclone/Typhoon are forecast. During the second fortnight of February and March isolated rainfall and drier conditions are forecast. These conditions will prevail in South Pacific countries, Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand & countries around it, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries.

2) (A) There will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2022 and the second week of July, 2022: [a] Between the last week of March and the third week of May, 2022 emergence of “Positive Indian Ocean Dipole” is forecast. During the above period “Spring season” will be “VERY HOT with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES”; spate of Powerful tornadoes, mid-latitude cyclones, Typhoons, Tropical cyclones, thunderstorms and “Killer Lightning” are warned; [b] Between the last week of May and the second week of July, 2022 mid-latitude cyclonic circulations related widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall will cause catastrophic flooding, fatalities and upset normal life. Hurricanes/Typhoons are warned from the last week of June till the second week of July, 2022. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

2) (B) The Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere and the tropical region will experience TWO distinctively different weather conditions from the last week of March, 2022 and the second week of July, 2022: [a] With the emergence of “Positive Indian Ocean Di-Pole” from the last week of March till the third week of May, 2022 the autumn season will be “Very Hot with Far Above normal Temperatures”. During the above period Tropical Cyclones, Cell storms, Hail storms, “Killer Lightning” and flash floods due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are forecast; [b] From the last week of May till the second week of July, 2022 due to persistent multiple low pressure/depression systems widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall causing severe flooding are forecast. Tropical cyclones/Typhoons are warned between the last week of June and the second week of July, 2022.

#Southern hemisphere “WINTER”: 2022 Winter over the Southern hemisphere will be recording “Lower temperatures “in comparison to 2021. Beginning June, 2022 till the third week of July, 2022 Blizzards, Widespread heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are forecast for the southern mid-latitude region, but the region bordering tropic of Capricorn will experience heavy to very heavy rainfall causing widespread flooding. From 2023 the Southern mid-latitude regions will be experiencing progressively “Harsher Winter” with 2025, 2026 and 2027 being peak years.

3) (A) & (B) Between the third week of July and the last week of September, 2022 emergence of Very Strong El Nino is forecast. During this period VERY HOT CONDITIONS with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES are forecast, also Spate of Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones mid-latitude cyclones and powerful tornadoes are warned. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries and Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries. The Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will experience ‘Record Severe Heat Waves”. During the above period (ii) African countries below tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand will experience Progressively Warm Winter & Dry Spring, Cell storms Hail storms with isolated heavy to Very heavy rainfall are forecast during September. The changes in the Global weather conditions over the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere will be progressing in a “Sine wave pattern”.

4) (A) Between last week of September, 2022 and the third week of October, 2022 Temperatures will remain “Far Above Normal” and widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall due to convective activities, mid-latitude wave cyclones and localised thunderstorms will cause Massive Flooding. Hurricane, typhoon & Killer lightning are warned during October, 2022. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

4) (B) From the last week of September till the third week of October, 2022 Widespread Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall and severe flooding are warned over the mid-latitude regions of the southern hemisphere and its “Torrid zone”. South Pacific countries, Indonesia & countries around it,, Australia, New Zealand, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries will be experiencing these conditions. Tropical cyclones and Killer lightning are forecast during October, 2022. Australia and countries around it will experience “Hot, Humid & wet Spring” during the above period. Heavy to very heavy rainfall, landslides/mudflows will upset normal life.

5) (A) From the last week of October, 2022 till the end of December, 2022 temperatures will be above normal and catastrophic flooding due to mid-latitude wave cyclonic circulations, localised thunderstorms, landslide/mudflows and tornadoes will cause fatalities and upset normal life. #WINTER: Severe winter conditions with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are forecast “From the second week of November, 2022 till the first few days of 2023”. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. WARMER CONDITIONS with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, spate of tornadoes, (Blizzards till February, 2nd week), heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned from the first week of January, 2023 till third week of March, 2023. Catastrophic devastations, fatalities and flash floods will cripple normal life during the above periods.

5) (B) The mid-latitude regions of the southern hemisphere and its “Torrid zone”. South Pacific countries, Indonesia & countries around it,, Australia, New Zealand, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries will be experiencing “Two distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of October, 2022 and till the end of December, 2022. (a) Tropical cyclones, Sub-Tropical cyclones, localised thunder storms with heavy to very heavy rainfall are forecast from the last week of October, 2022 till the second week of November, 2022.

(b) Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall with KILLER LIGHTNING are forecast starting from the third week of November, 2022 till the last week of December, 2022. Conditions will be Very Hot with ‘Far Above Normal Temperatures” from the beginning of January, 2023 till the third week of March, 2023 due to the development of “Negative Indian Ocean Di-Pole”. During this period spate of Tropical cyclones, thunderstorms & Tornadoes will upset normal life. During the above period damages to life and property and “Severe Flooding “due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned.

DETAILED FORECAST:

1) (A) [for the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region] From the last week of December, 2021 till early February, 2022 Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall, Avalanches are forecast. From the first week of February, 2022 till the last week of March, 2022 “Warmer & wet Spring” is forecast. Hailstorms, localised thunderstorms tornadoes are warned during the above period. From the last week of March, 2022 till the second week of May, 2022 more widespread snowfall/Icy rainfall, hailstorms, devastating mid-latitude cyclones, tornadoes are warned during the above period. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Powerful Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned between 5th and 16th January, 2022(peak dates 12th/13th January, 2022). Devastations due to Tornadoes are warned between 6th and 11th January, 2022,
(ii) Devastations due to Powerful Tornadoes are warned between 24th & 26th January, 2022. Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned between 24th and 30th January, 2022,
(iii) Early “Spring conditions will emerge from the first week of February, 2022. WIDESPREAD FLOODING due to Heavy to very heavy Icy rainfall/snowfall is forecast between 4th February and 15th February, 2022. Spate of Tornadoes warning issued for 3rd/4th February, 2022. Devastating BOMB CYCLONE, Typhoon/Cloud Burst/Tornadoes are warned between 9th February and 13th February, 2022,
(v)Widespread heavy to very heavy Icy rainfall than snowfall are warned between 21st February and 4th March 2022. During the above period “Bomb Cyclone, powerful Tornadoes and KILLER LIGHTNING are warned between 23rd and 27th February, 2022, Catastrophic flooding warned between 1st and 3rd March 2022,
1) (A) (vi) Tornadoes, Killer Lightning and heavy to very heavy Icy rainfall are warned between 8th March and 11th March, 2022. Spring conditions will become “Hot & Dry during the last two weeks of March, 2022.

1) (B) [for the southern hemisphere mid-latitude region] From the last week of December, 2021 till early February, 2022 “Warmer conditions with above normal temperatures”, widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall, tropical cyclones, hailstorms are warned. From the first week of February and till the last week of March flooding due to more widespread rainfall, devastating Tropical cyclone/Typhoon are forecast. During the second fortnight of February and March isolated rainfall and drier conditions are forecast. These conditions will prevail in South Pacific countries, Indonesia, Australia, New Zealand & countries around it, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Widespread Heavy to Very heavy rainfall causing Severe Flooding is forecast between 9th & 17th January, 2022(Peak dates:9th to 11th Jan & 13th to 17th Jan, 2022). During the above period landslides/mud flows are warned, (ii) Devastating floods due to Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulation/Tropical Cyclone dumping Widespread Heavy to Very heavy rainfall/Cloud Burst are warned between 23rd Jan & 4th Feb, 2022. (Peak dates: 23rd to 27th Jan and 30th Jan to 4th February, 2022),
(iii) Due to severe Tropical Cyclone between 7th & 16th February, 2022 Widespread Heavy to Very heavy rainfall (Hail Storms) causing Severe Flooding is forecast. Landslides are warned during the second week of February, 2022 and the CYCLONE will CROSS the coast with devastating storm surge around 12th February, 2022 and will swing around causing more damages till 16th February, 2022,
(iv) CATASTROPHIC FLOODING due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall and CLOUDBURST are warned from 21st February to 25th February, 2022 and again between 28th February and 4th March, 2022(Peak dates:1st-2nd March) During the above periods Devastating CELL STORM and KILLER LIGHTNING are warned,
(v) Heavy to Very heavy rainfall is forecast from 9th to 11th March, 2022. Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast at isolated locations between 20th and 26th March, 2022.

2) (A) There will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2022 and the second week of July, 2022: [a] Between the last week of March and the third week of May, 2022 emergence of “Positive Indian Ocean Dipole” is forecast. During the above period “Spring season” will be “VERY HOT with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES”; spate of Powerful tornadoes, mid-latitude cyclones, Typhoons, Tropical cyclones, thunderstorms and “Killer Lightning” are warned; [b] Between the last week of May and the second week of July, 2022 mid-latitude cyclonic circulations related widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall will cause catastrophic flooding, fatalities and upset normal life. Hurricanes/Typhoons are warned from the last week of June till the second week of July, 2022. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
[a] (i) Look for a Powerful Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon between 30th March, 2022 and 5th April, 2022. Pacific Island Mindanao in Southern Philippines will be the likely location experiencing the above system. During the same period
“Devastating Tornadoes” are warned over Southeast, Ohio Valley & Northeast regions of US.
ii) Between 8th April and 18th April, 2022 another Powerful Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon is forecast. During the same period the Atlantic is likely to experience the first Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane of 2022 hurricane season.
iii) Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 22nd April and 25th April, 2022 due to a depression, which will become a Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon/Hurricane and cross the coast around 2nd May, 2022. Flooding due to more widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast after 27th April till 2nd May, 2022,
iv) Look for another Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane between 5th May and 16th May, 2022. This system will cross the coast @ 16th May, 2022l causing more rainfall till 19th May, 2022. Devastations due to powerful storm and severe flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned during the above period.
[b] (i) Powerful mid-latitude cyclonic circulations/Sub-Tropical cyclones will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall causing “CATASTROPHIC FLOODING” from the last week of May, 2022 till the second week of July, 2022:

Important dates for Preventive measures:
(1) From 21st May to 25th May, 2022, (2) from 28th May to 2nd June, 2022,
(3) 7th June to 9th June, 2022, (4) 12th June to 15th June, 2022,
(5) From 20th to 22nd June, 2022 (Tornadoes Warned) and
(6) From 25th June to 2nd July, 2022.

3) (A) & (B) Between the third week of July and the last week of September, 2022 emergence of Very Strong El Nino is forecast. During this period VERY HOT CONDITIONS with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES are forecast, also Spate of Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones mid-latitude cyclones and powerful tornadoes are warned. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries and Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries. The Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will experience ‘Record Severe Heat Waves”. During the above period (ii) African countries below tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand will experience Progressively Warm Winter & Dry Spring, Cell storms Hail storms with isolated heavy to Very heavy rainfall are forecast during September. The changes in the Global weather conditions over the northern hemisphere and the southern hemisphere will be progressing in a “Sine wave pattern”.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Between 6th July, 2022 and 17th July, 2022 look for Powerful Typhoon /Hurricane in Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea & in Indian Ocean. These systems will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 6th July to 13th July, 2022 and swing around before crossing the coast around 16th July, 2022. “Killer Lightning” are warned till end of July, 2022 and again during the 2nd & 3rd week of August, 2022,
ii) Cat. 2 Hurricane in East Pacific/Very powerful Typhoon / Very Severe Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea & in the Indian Ocean are forecast between 19th July and 30th July, 2022. These systems will cross the coast first time around 22nd July, 2022 dumping heavy to very heavy rainfall from 20th to 23th July, 2022 swing around after 26th July and will cross the coast for the second time around 30th July, 2022,
iii) Between 2nd August and 13th August look for another Powerful Typhoon /Hurricane in Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea & in the Indian Ocean. From 5th to 7th August these systems will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall and will swing around and cross the coast around 12th August, 2022,
iv) Devastations due to Very Severe Typhoon/Cat-3 Hurricane in East Pacific & Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea & in the Indian Ocean are warned between 15th August and 27th August, 2022. These systems will dump Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall from 18th to 21st August, 2022 and swing around before crossing the coast around 26th August, 2022,
v) Between 29th August and 6th September look for Typhoon Pacific/Cat-2 Hurricane in East Pacific & Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea South Pacific & in the Indian Ocean, Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall warned from 2nd to 6th September, 2022,
vi) Look for Typhoon in west Pacific/Hurricane in East Pacific & Atlantic /Tropical Cyclone in the Indian Ocean between 9th and 14th September 2022. Landslides, Mudflows are warned during the above period,
vii) Very Severe Typhoon/hurricane in Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea/South Pacific and in the Indian Ocean are warned between 15th September & 26th September, 2022. These systems will dump Heavy to Very heavy rainfall causing Severe floods from 17th September and will cross the coast as a WEAK SYSTEM or a Depression around 24th September, 2022.
(ii) African countries below tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand will experience Progressively Warm Winter & Dry Spring, Cell storms Hail storms with isolated heavy to Very heavy rainfall are forecast during September.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
(1) Between 2nd & 6th September, 2022 mid –latitude tropical storms, Severe Cell storms/Hail storms are warned,
(2) Between 9th & 12th September, 2022 and again between 14th & 20th September, 2022 mid –latitude tropical storms, Severe Cell storms/Hail storms are warned and
(3) Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall will cause “Catastrophic Flooding” due to Very Severe Mid –latitude tropical storms, Severe Cell storms/Hail storms between 23rd & 29th September, 2022.

4) (A) Between last week of September, 2022 and the third week of October, 2022 Temperatures will remain “Far Above Normal” and widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall due to convective activities, mid-latitude wave cyclones and localised thunderstorms will cause Massive Flooding. Hurricane, typhoon & Killer lightning are warned during October, 2022. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Between 2nd & 6th October, 2022,
(ii) Between 8th & 10th October, 2022,
(iii) Between 15th & 26th October, 2022 look for a Typhoon/ Hurricane in Atlantic/Tropical Cyclone in Mediterranean Sea/South Pacific and in the Indian Ocean. These systems will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 16th to 21st October and again from 23rd October before crossing the coast as a weak system around 26th October, 2022. Killer lightning and massive landslides/mudflows are warned during the above period.

4) (B) From the last week of September till the third week of October, 2022 Widespread Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall and severe flooding are warned over the mid-latitude regions of the southern hemisphere and its “Torrid zone”. South Pacific countries, Indonesia & countries around it,, Australia, New Zealand, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries will be experiencing these conditions. Tropical cyclones and Killer lightning are forecast during October, 2022. Australia and countries around it will experience “Hot, Humid & wet Spring” during the above period. Heavy to very heavy rainfall, landslides/mudflows will upset normal life.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulations related heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned between 2nd & 6th October, 2022, (ii) From 8th to 12th October, 2022, (iii) Between 14th and 20th October, 2022. (iv) Look for a Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone between 22nd and 30th October, 2022. These systems will dump widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall before crossing the coast around 27th October, 2022. Severe flooding, Landslides, Mudflows and Killer lightning during the above period will upset normal life.

5) (A) From the last week of October, 2022 till the end of December, 2022 temperatures will be above normal and catastrophic flooding due to mid-latitude wave cyclonic circulations, localised thunderstorms, KILLER LIGHTNING, landslide/mudflows and tornadoes will cause fatalities and upset normal life. #WINTER: Severe winter conditions with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are forecast “From the second week of November, 2022 till the first few days of 2023”. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. WARMER CONDITIONS with FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, spate of tornadoes, (Blizzards till February, 2nd week), heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned from the first week of January, 2023 till third week of March, 2023. Catastrophic devastations, fatalities and flash floods will cripple normal life during the above periods.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) The effects of Cyclonic systems from the last week of October will continue and dump widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall causing Severe Flooding between 30th October and 3rd November, 2022,
ii) Polar Vortex, Bomb cyclone and Powerful Blizzards with “Record Snowfall”/Icy Rainfall are warned between 4th November and 11th November, 2022 (Polar Vortex on 9th November,’22). Devastating Tornadoes are warned between 5th & 8th November, 2022.
iii) Between 15th and 18th November, 2022 another series of Blizzards dumping heavy to very heavy Snowfall/Icy rainfall & Killer lightning are warned during the above period and till the first week of February, 2023.
iv) Devastating Tornadoes are forecast on 20th/21st November, 2022, and Blizzards from 20th to 26th November, 2022 are warned.
v) Another series of Blizzards dumping heavy to very heavy Snowfall and Icy rainfall are warned between 28th November and 3rd Dec ember, 2022 and again From 5th to 9th December, 2022, Tornadoes are warned on 2nd/3rd December, 2022,
vi) Again between 15th & 17th December, 2022 Tornadoes are warned. Powerful Blizzards dumping heavy to Very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall will upset normal life between 15th December and 24th December, 2022,
vii) Tornadoes are warned from 29th to 31st December, 2022. Powerful Blizzards dumping heavy to very heavy Snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned between 29th December, 2022 and 7th January, 2023. During the above period Powerful ‘Bomb Cyclone” dumping heavy to very heavy Icy rainfall will cause Severe flooding and upset normal life. Avalanches warned during the above period.
viii) Very Powerful “Bomb Cyclone” causing Severe Flooding due to heavy to very heavy Icy rainfall is warned between 13th and 21st January, 2023. This system will swing around and cause flooding till 24th January, 2023. Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall and Avalanches are warned during the above period. Tornadoes are warned on 13th/14th and around 26th January, 2023,
ix) Blizzards, Bomb Cyclone and series of Tornadoes are forecast between 28th January, 2023 and 6th February, 2023 and again between 10th February and 20th February, 2023,
x) Look for a Powerful Typhoon/Hurricane/Tropical Cyclone between 23rd February and 7th March, 2023. These systems will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 25th to 27th February, 2023, will swing around and cross the coast around 6th March, 2023,
xi) Telescopically more Powerful Typhoon/Hurricane/Tropical Cyclone and Devastating Tornadoes are forecast between 7th and 16th March, 2022.

5) (B) The mid-latitude regions of the southern hemisphere and its “Torrid zone”. South Pacific countries, Indonesia & countries around it,, Australia, New Zealand, Latin American countries, Central, southeast African countries and South Indian Ocean countries will be experiencing “Two distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of October, 2022 and till the end of December, 2022. (a) Tropical cyclones, Sub-Tropical cyclones, localised thunder storms with heavy to very heavy rainfall are forecast from the last week of October, 2022 till the second week of November, 2022.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Look for Tropical Cyclone/Sub-Tropical cyclone between 30th October, 2022 and 9th November, 2022. These systems will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall, cross the coast for the first time around 4th November, 2022, finally around 9th November, 2022 and continue till 12th November,2022,

5) (B) (b) Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall with KILLER LIGHTNING are forecast starting from the third week of November, 2022 till the last week of December, 2022. Conditions will be Very Hot with ‘Far Above Normal Temperatures” from the beginning of January, 2023 till the third week of March, 2023 due to the development of “Negative Indian Ocean Di-Pole”. During this period spate of Tropical cyclones, thunderstorms & Tornadoes will upset normal life. During the above period damages to life and property and “Severe Flooding “due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned.

Important dates for Preventive measures:
i) Localised Thunderstorms with Killer lightning and widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 15th and 18th November, 2022. KILLER LIGHTNING are warned till the first week of February, 2023,
ii) Sub-Tropical cyclone related widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 20th November and 27th November, 2022,
iii) Localised Thunderstorms with heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned from 30th Nov to 3rd December, 2022 & again from 5th to 9th December, 2022,
iv) Heavy to very heavy rainfall due to sub-tropical cyclone, localised thunderstorms are forecast from 16th December to 23rd December, 2022, iv) Look for a Powerful Tropical Cyclone between 29th December, 2022 and 7th January, 2023. Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall and flooding warned,
v) Between 13th January and 23rd January, 2023 Localised thunderstorms/ Sub-Tropical cyclone are forecast. These systems dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 14th January will cross the coast around 20thJanuary, 2023,
vi) Powerful Tropical Cyclone/ Sub-Tropical cyclone is forecast between 27th January and 7th February, 2023,
vii) Look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone between 10th & 20th February, 2023,
viii) Powerful Sub-Tropical cyclone/Tropical Cyclone is forecast between 25th February and 7th March, 2023,
ix) Very Severe Tropical Cyclone/Sub-Tropical Cyclone is forecast between 9th March and 15th March, 2023. This system will cross the coast around 14th/15th March, 2023 and continue its devastations till 22nd March, 2023.

S. RAMACHANDRAN, Vedic Meteorologist
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08

For the Indian Sub-Continent (Prepared during October-November, 2021)

Research & Article By : Puyal Ramachandran

Main Points:

A) (1) Winter above the Vindhyas will be “Normal & Subdued” from the last week of December, 2021 till the last week of February, 2022. During this period few Blizzards and heavy to very heavy Snowfall and Icy rainfall are forecast. Early Spring conditions will emerge from 16^th February, 2022. Less snowfall and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall (Hail storms) is forecast till the last week of March, 2022. A (2) During the same period the southern peninsula below the Vindhyas will experience “Warmer, Rainy & Dry Winter”. Above Normal “Warmer Conditions” will emerge from the beginning of March, 2022. Moderate rainfall during the first fortnight of March, 2022 and Dry weather during the second fortnight is forecast. Rainfall will be more widespread in the southern peninsula during the above period.

B) “Strong Positive Indian Ocean Di-Pole” is forecast from the last week of March, 2022 till the third week of May, 2022. Very Hot conditions with “Far Above Normal Temperatures”, Tropical Cyclones, Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulations and squally winds with thunder storms are forecast during the above period. “Moist & Humid conditions” will prevail during “The first 15 days” of the above period, but “Hot & Dry conditions” will prevail during “The second 15 days” till the third week of May, 2022. Peninsular States and Central States of India will experience the above conditions more than Northern states of India.

C) Early onset of “Southwest Monsoon 2022” is forecast between 22^nd May, 2022 and 26^th May, 2022. Rainfall during Southwest Monsoon 2022 will be indifferently distributed among the southern peninsular states and the northern states of India from the last week of May, 2022 until the second week of July, 2022. This will be the first period of best rainfalls during Southwest Monsoon 2022. Central states and the southern peninsular states will experience “Hot conditions with Far Above Normal Temperatures”.

D) “Poor Rainfall” and “Draught Conditions” will emerge due to the development of “STRONG EL NINO” between the third week of July, 2022 and the last week of September, 2022. During the above period conditions will be “Very Hot & Dry” and “Far Above Normal Temperatures” will prevail throughout North and Central States of India. Southern peninsular Indian states will also experience moderately above normal “Dry & Hot conditions. During the above period Squally winds thunderstorms, Sub-Tropical Cyclonic circulations and Tropical Cyclones related rainfalls on isolated periods are forecast. Effective propaganda is must to avoid fatalities due to “KILLER LIGHTNING” from the second week of July till the third week of August, 2022. From the last week of September, 2022 Southwest monsoon will continue till the third week of October, 2022. This will be the second period of best rainfall of Southwest Monsoon 2022. Eastern, Central and Southern peninsular states will get maximum benefits and the West, Northwest will remain mostly dry. Overall 2022 Southwest Monsoon will be Weak & Indifferent with 40 to 50 % Deficit rainfall resulting in “Severe Draught Conditions”. West & Northwest states will be worst affected.

E) Withdrawal of 2022 Southwest monsoon and the “Onset of Northeast Monsoon 2022” will be simultaneous. Northeast Monsoon will set between 20^th & 23^rd October, 2022. Beginning with a “Deep depression/Moderate Cyclone” Northeast Monsoon 2022 will yield low pressure trough related rainfall till the first week of January, 2023. Simultaneous ‘Low Pressure systems” in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian sea are forecast during second week of January, 2023. The Low Pressure system in the Bay of Bengal will become a Cyclone and will cross the coast between Cuddalore and Chennai around 8^th January, 2023. Overall “Near Normal rainfall” is forecast for the Northeast monsoon season 2022.

#WINTER 2022: Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Heavy to very heavy snowfalls/Icy rainfalls and “Avalanches” are forecast from the beginning of third week of November, 2022 till end of December, 2022. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/Icy Rainfall upsetting normal life from the beginning of January, 2023 till early March, 2023. Avalanches are warned during the above period.

Fog, Smog and Air Pollution in the Northern States of India will be “More than what was experienced during 2021”.  Meteorologists’ have been ignoring/ not realizing the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “More Air Pollution” during certain years of every decade.

Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warmer”.  From the second week of January,2023 till the third week of March 2023 squally winds thunderstorms, Cyclonic Circulation related abnormal rainfall at many places in & around the districts below 10 degree latitude and also at isolated places in the hilly regions are forecast. Flash floods are warned during the above period.

Detailed Forecast:

A) (1) Winter above the Vindhyas will be “Normal & Subdued” from the last week of December, 2021 till the last week of February, 2022. During this period few Blizzards and heavy to very heavy Snowfall and Icy rainfall are forecast. Early Spring conditions will emerge from 16^th February, 2022. Less snowfall and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall (Hail storms) is forecast till the last week of March, 2022.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

a) Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/icy rainfall are forecast between 26^th December, 2021 and 3^rd January, 2022,

(b) Severe Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/icy rainfall are warned from    7^th to 16^th January, 2022 (peak dates 9^th to 11^th January, 2022 & 13^th to 16^th January, 2022 – Avalanches),

(c) Severe Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/icy rainfall are warned between 25^th January, 2022 and 31^st January, 2022. Avalanches are warned during this period.

(d) Very Severe Blizzards are warned between 3rd February, 2022 and 13^th February, 2022. Avalanches are warned on 3^rd, February, 2022 & again from 8^th February, 2022 to 13^th February, 2022,

(e) Early Spring conditions will emerge from 16^th February, 2022. Less snowfall and isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall (Hail storms) is forecast till the last week of March, 2022.   Peak dates: (i) 21^st to 25^th February, 2022, (ii) 28^th February, 2022 to 4^th March, 2022, (iii) 8^th to 15^th March, 2022.

A (2) During the same period the southern peninsula below the Vindhyas will experience “Warmer, Rainy & Dry Winter”.  Above normal “Warmer Conditions” will emerge from the beginning of March, 2022. Moderate rainfall during the first fortnight of March, 2022 and Dry weather during the second fortnight is forecast. Rainfall will be fairly widespread in the southern peninsula during the above period.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

a) Between 26^th December, 2021 and 3rd January, 2022, TamilNadu, Kerala and Karnataka will experience Moderate to heavy rainfall.

(b) Look for a Cyclone/Deep depression around southeast Arabian Sea/adjoining Gulf of Mannar between 7^th January and 16^th January, 2022. With heavy to very heavy rainfall this system will breach the coast between Cochin & Kozhikode around 9^th-13^th January, 2022 and will continue to travel inland causing widespread flooding till 17^th January, 2022.

c) Between 19^th January, 2022 and 27^th January, 2022 look for Deep depression in the Bay of Bengal. Dumping heavy to very heavy rainfall from 21^st January, 2022; this system will cross the coast 25^th/26^th January, 2022 between Nagapattinam and Pondicherry and will continue to travel inland till 30^th January, 2022.. Flash floods are warned during the above period.

d) Severe Cyclone is “POSSIBLE” between 3^rd February, 2022 and 13^th February, 2022. This Cyclone will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 4^th February, 2022 and will cross the coast around 9^th/10^th February, 2022 between Cuddalore & Nellore (OR) will drift away towards Bangladesh-Myanmar coast.

e) “CLOUD BURSTS”, Thunderstorms, Killer lightning with heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned between 19^th February and 25^th February, 2022 and again between 28^th February and 3^rd March, 2022. Flash floods are warned during the above periods. Again Fairly widespread rainfall is forecast between 8^th & 13^th March, 2022.

B) “Strong Positive Indian Ocean Di-Pole” is forecast from the last week of March, 2022 till the third week of May, 2022. Very Hot conditions with “Far Above Normal Temperatures”, Tropical Cyclones, Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulations and squally winds with thunder storms are forecast during the above period. “Moist & Humid conditions” will prevail during “The first 15 days” of the above period, but “Hot & Dry conditions” will prevail during “The second 15 days” till the third week of May, 2022. Peninsular States and Central States of India will experience the above conditions more than Northern states of India.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

a) Above the Vindhyas look for moderate to heavy rainfall at isolated locations from 20th March, 22^nd to 26^th March, 2022. Look for Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall From 29^th March to 5th April, 2022 causing catastrophic flooding (Tropospheric system).

b) In the southern peninsula a low pressure system will dump moderate to heavy rainfall between 20^th and 26^th March, 2022; from 27^th March, 2022 this system will develop into a Super Cyclone & will cross the coast between Cuddalore and Nellore around 4^th April, 2022. (OR will drift away towards Bangladesh-Myanmar coast). This system moving into land will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 12^th April, 2022.

c) (i) Moist & Humid weather with wild squally winds & thunderstorms at more places are forecast from13th to 17^th April, 2022 (Isolated places will experience damages due to storms & flash floods), (ii) Hot & Dry conditions with squally winds thunderstorms at isolated places are forecast till the last week of April, 2022. Damages due to Killer lightning, squally winds and storms will be more than rainfall from 23^rd April to 25^th April 2022, (iii) Very hot conditions and Tropical Cyclone, squally winds, killer lightning, thunderstorms related moderate to heavy rainfall at many places are forecast (1) From 27^th April to 5^th May, 2022 & (2) From 8^th May to 12^th May, 2022. (during the above period a depression in the Bay of Bengal will drift away to Bangladesh/Myanmar)

C) Early onset of “Southwest Monsoon 2022” is forecast between 22^nd May, 2022 and 25^th May, 2022. Central states and the southern peninsular states will experience “Hot conditions with Far Above Normal Temperatures”. Rainfall during Southwest Monsoon 2022 will be indifferently distributed among the southern peninsular states and the northern states of India from the last week of May, 2022 until the second week of July, 2022. This will be the “First Best Rainfall Period of Southwest Monsoon 2022”. Despite the rainfall Temperatures will remain Far Above normal.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

a) With favorable conditions emerging from19^th/20^th May, 2022; Southwest Monsoon 2022 will SET between 22^nd & 26^th May 2022. Heavy to very heavy widespread rainfall and landslides will upset normal life during the above period. Northeast Karnataka, Telungana and northeastern states will get maximum benefits. Coastal areas of Bay of Bengal will experience moderate/light rainfall.

d) Normal advancement of SW monsoon on the western coastline with Widespread Heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast till the end of June, 2022. Catchment areas of the Western Ghats will also experience the above conditions. Flash floods are warned during the above period.

Peak activity dates: (i) From 27^th May, 2022 to 1^st June, 2022, (ii) From 4^th June, 2022 to 9^th June, 2022. During the above periods rainfall conditions will be more widespread “ABOVE” North latitude 13 /15 Degrees and tilted upwards towards the Northeast. Landslides are warned during the above periods,

(iii) Light to moderate rainfall is forecast between 11^th June and 15^th June, 2022 & again from 19^th June to 23^rd June, 2022. During the above periods rainfall activities will be “BELOW & Across” North latitude 13 /15 Degrees &tilted upwards towards the Northeast and

(iv) Look for Widespread Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall due to active Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulations, Anti-Cyclonic system between 25^th June and 4^th July, 2022. Flash floods are warned during this period. These conditions will be active “ABOVE” North latitude 13 /15 Degrees and tilted upwards towards the Northeast,

(v) Widespread Heavy to very heavy rainfall due to Persistent Sub-Tropical cyclonic circulations is forecast between 6^th July and 14^th July, 2022. Rainfall will start fading away and Very Hot and Dry conditions will emerge from 16^th/17^th July, 2022.

D) “Poor Rainfall” and “Draught Conditions” will emerge due to the development of “STRONG EL NINO” between the third week of July, 2022 and the last week of September, 2022. During the above period conditions will be “Very Hot & Dry” and “Far Above Normal Temperatures” will prevail throughout North and Central States of India. Southern peninsular Indian states will also experience moderately above normal “Dry & Hot conditions. During the above period Squally winds thunderstorms, Sub-Tropical Cyclonic circulations and Tropical Cyclones related rainfalls on isolated periods are forecast. Effective propaganda is must to avoid fatalities due to “KILLER LIGHTNING” from the second week of July till the third week of August, 2022. From the last week of September, 2022 Southwest monsoon will continue till the third week of October, 2022. This will be the second period of best rainfall of Southwest Monsoon 2022. Eastern, Central and Southern peninsular states will get maximum benefits and the West, Northwest will remain mostly dry. Overall 2022 Southwest Monsoon will be Weak & Indifferent with 40 to 50 % Deficit rainfall resulting in “Severe Draught Conditions”. West & Northwest states will be worst affected.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

a) Isolated Heavy to very heavy rainfall due to Sub-Tropical depression, convective activity, localised thunderstorms & Killer lightning (i to iv) are forecast on the following periods:

(i) Between 18th July and 24^th July, 2022,(Cloud Burst in north Kashmir @ Kargil) (ii) from 26^th July to 31^st July, 2022, (locations above the Vindhyas),

(iii) Between 4^th August and 12^th August, 2022 – Southern peninsular states,

(iv) From 16^th August to 20th August, 2022 and again from 23^rd August to 29^th August, 2022, locations States above the Vindhyas and the central states;

(v) From 3^rd September to 6^th September, 2022 – Southern peninsular states,

(vi) From 10^th September to 12^th September, 2022, (Central states & northern part of southern peninsular states),

(vii) From 14^th September to 19^th September, 2022 (locations above the Vindhyas), and

(viii) Look for a Low pressure system the Bay of Bengal between 21^st September and26th September, 2022. This system will become a deep depression, with fairly widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall will cross the Odisha coast on 24^th September, 2022 between Paradwip and Chandipur. This system will continue to travel inland dumping heavy to very heavy rainfall till 28^th September, 2022. Devastations due to strong winds and flooding are warned during the above period.

(ix) With the beginning of “The second Best Rainfall period of Southwest monsoon” widespread rainfall is forecast from 29^th September to 4^th, October, 2022, Locations: Central states and below the Vindhyas)

(x) With the Southwest monsoon start withdrawing from the northern states, More widespread rainfall in the central states and northern part of Southern peninsula is forecast between 8^th October and 10^th October, 2022,

(xi) Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall with KILLER LIGHTNING is forecast between 12^th October, 2022 and 20^th October, 2022. With the Onset of Northeast Monsoon during this period, Andhra Pradesh, Telungana, Karnataka and TamilNadu will experience the above conditions.

E) Withdrawal of 2022 Southwest monsoon and the “Onset of Northeast Monsoon 2022” will be simultaneous. Northeast Monsoon will set between 20^th & 23^rd October, 2022. Beginning with a “Deep depression/Moderate Cyclone” Northeast Monsoon 2022 will yield low pressure trough related rainfall till the first week of January, 2023. Simultaneous ‘Low Pressure systems” in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian sea are forecast during second week of January, 2023. The Low Pressure system in the Bay of Bengal will become a Cyclone and will cross the coast between Cuddalore and Chennai around 8^th January, 2023. Overall “Near Normal rainfall” is forecast for the Northeast monsoon season 2022.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

(i) Light to moderate rainfall is forecast between 23^rd October and 26^th October, 2022. Andhra Pradesh and north TamilNadu will experience the above conditions, Killer lightning warned during the above period.

(ii) Moderate to heavy rainfall due to a low pressure is forecast between 30^th October and 2^nd November, 2022. This system will become a depression around 3^rd November, 2022 and will cause widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall till it cross the coast between Chennai and Nellore around 5^th November, 2022. North TamilNadu and Andhra Pradesh will experience these conditions. Moving into land this system will continue to dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 9^th November, 2022. Andhra Pradesh, Telungana and coastal Odisha will experience these rainfalls. Flash floods are warned during the above periods.

(iii) More moderate to heavy rainfall Landslides and KILLER LIGHTNINGs are forecast between 15th November, 2022 and   7^th December, 2022 for Tamilnadu, Andhrapradesh Kerala & east Karnataka. Peak rainfall activity dates: (a) from 15^th November, 2022  to 18^th November, 2022    (b) from 20^th November to 26^th November, 2022, (c) from 29^th November to 2^nd December, 2022, Rainfall will continue till 7^th December, 2022,

(iv) Look for Low pressure system becoming a depression between 14^th December and 23^rd December, 2022. Flooding & Landslides due to widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast during the above period. Southern, Central districts of TamilNadu, Kerala will experience these conditions more than the northern districts. More widespread rainfall in Central and Northern Tamilnadu is forecast between 27^th December and 1^st January, 2023,

(v) Between 4^th January, 2023 and 10^th January, 2023 a depression in the Bay of Bengal will become a Cyclone and will cross the coast between Pondicherry and Nellore around 8^th January, 2023. Heavy to very heavy rainfall with strong winds will upset normal life.

(vi) Look for another depression between 12^th January and 20^th January, 2023south of Gulf of Mannar and west of Colombo. This system will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall from 14^th January, 2023 and will breach the northwest SriLanka coast   around 19^th January, 2023. Devastations due to storms and flooding will upset normal life.

#WINTER 2022: Above the Vindhyas Winter will be Subdued. Heavy to very heavy snowfalls/Icy rainfalls and “Avalanches” are forecast from the beginning of third week of November, 2022 till end of December, 2022. Sub-Himalayan region will experience Spate of Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy Snowfall/Icy Rainfall upsetting normal life from the beginning of January, 2023 till early March, 2023. Avalanches are warned during the above period.

Fog, Smog and Air Pollution in the Northern States of India will be “More than what was experienced during 2021”.  Meteorologists’ have been ignoring/ not realizing the involvement of “Axis & the plane of active upper air circulations” in causing “More Air Pollution” during certain years of every decade.

Winter over the Southern Peninsula will be “Wet and Warmer”.  From the second week of January,2023 till the third week of March 2023 squally winds thunderstorms, Cyclonic Circulation related abnormal rainfall at many places in & around the districts below 10 degree latitude and also at isolated places in the hilly regions are forecast. Flash floods are warned during the above period.

Important dates for Preventive measures:

Well below Sub-Zero Temperatures with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall:     (a) From 23^rd to 26^th November, 2022, (b) from 29^th November to  2^nd December, 2022, (c) from 6^th  to 10^th December,2022, (d) From 15^th to 17^th December, 2022 and  (e) From 20^th to 26^th December, 2022.

Massive blizzards and Avalanches are warned   between 28^th & 31^st December, 2022 and again from 2^nd January to 7^th January, 2023 and till 10^th January, 2023.

RAMACHANDRAN, Astro-Meteorologist.
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08

The last date to link Permanent Account Number (PAN) with Aadhaar number has been extended till June 30, 2021. The decision was taken considering the disruption caused by COVID-19, said the Income Tax Department on Wednesday.

Originally, the deadline for linking PAN with Aadhaar was expiring on March 31, 2021, with the end of the current financial year. Failing to link the two would by the last date would render the PAN invalid.

“Representations have been received from taxpayers that the last date for intimating the Aadhaar number may further be extended in the wake of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Keeping in view the difficulties faced by the taxpayers, the central government has issued notification today extending the last date for the intimation of Aadhaar number and linking thereof with PAN to June 30, 2021,” the tax department said.
Check their Tweet here: https://twitter.com/IncomeTaxIndia/status/1377265588347707398?s=20

2021 EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

Forecast by: ‘Puyal’ Ramachandran

Every year there are thousands of earthquakes as per the data of Seismic recording centres all over the World. Except those earthquakes which cause ‘Devastations and fatalities’ most of the uneventful earthquakes are not getting reported. My research is aimed at identifying these ‘Devastating and the Killer earthquakes’. Over the years (from 2002) I had shown steady improvement in forecasting the period of some of the major killer earthquakes. I am confident to claim that ‘THE PERIOD OF DEVASTATING, KILLER EARTHQUAKES’ can be accurately forecasted “Based on my research of VEDIC METEOROLOGY THEORIES”. I have difficulty and limitations is in identifying the exact location of the earthquakes.

This is due to my insignificant competence in theoretical astronomy, related skill and lack of understanding verses in Sanskrit and ancient Tamil. Despite these my research is showing marked improvement in ‘earthquake forecasting. If Government of India forms a ‘Vedic Meteorology Research Centre’, I assure my fullest co-operation by sharing my complete research work. Once this research is handled by experts of Astronomy, Geology and Vedic Astro-meteorology; I am confident that within a couple of years we will be able to come out with a ‘TIME TABLE OF WEATHER AND EARTHQUAKES’ for the next 3000 years.

MAIN POINTS:

A) Starting from the last week of December, 2020 till the third week of February, 2021 a cycle of Moderate/Strong earthquakes and Volcanic eruptions are forecast. During the above periods series of Mine disasters, Landslides are warned. Central American countries, Latin American countries East Mediterranean and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea.

B) From the last week of March, 2021 “A Powerful Earthquake cycle” will develop and will continue till the first week of August, 2021. In between the above period, “Another cycle of Earthquakes will be active”; starting from the beginning of April third week till the middle of August, 2021. During these periods Tsunami causing Powerful Earthquakes are warned. These conditions will prevail in the following locations: Countries around Mediterranean Sea, Middle east, Central Asia, China, South Asia, USA, Central American countries, Latin American countries and regions around Sea of Japan & Sea of Okhotsk (Northeast Russia).

C) Moderate/Powerful Earthquakes are forecast during the month of September, 2021. Severe Landslides, Mine disasters are forecast from the last week of September, 2021 and the third week of October, 2021. The last cycle of Powerful Earthquakes is forecast between the third week of October, 2021 and the first week of December, 2021. Moderate Earthquakes, Mine disasters and Landslides are forecast between the third week of December, 2021 and the first week of February, 2022. The Insular region (Southeast Asia), Indonesia, China, Taiwan and South Pacific ring of Fire region.

DETAILED FORECAST:

A) Starting from the last week of December, 2020 till the third week of February, 2021 a cycle of Moderate/Strong earthquakes and Volcanic eruptions are forecast. During the above periods series of Mine disasters, Landslides are warned. The following locations need precautionary measures: Central American countries, Latin American countries, Northwest Africa, Horn of Africa, South Africa, East Mediterranean, Australia and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea.

Peak Activity dates for Precautionary Measures & Preparedness: (A)
i) Between 27th & 31st December, 2020 and again between 6th & 8th January, 2021, Latin American countries, East Mediterranean countries are likely to experience Strong earthquakes. Severe Volcanic eruptions are warned between 11th & 13th January, 2021. Latin America, Eastern Indonesia and South Pacific ring of fire region will experience these eruptions. and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea are likely to experience “Severe landslides/Mudflows” & Mine disasters. The locations will be Latin American countries East Mediterranean and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea.

ii) (a)Between 27th & 31st January, 2021, (b) between 2nd & 5th February, 2021 and (c) 9th & 14th February,
2021 Severe Mine disasters, Landslides/Mudslides are warned. The locations will be, East Mediterranean countries, North Latin American countries, Horn of Africa, South Africa and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea.

iii) Between 19th & 22nd February,2021 Very Severe Mine disasters and landslides/Mudflows are warned. The locations will be Central American countries, North Latin American countries, Horn of Africa, South Africa and Eastern Indonesia/Islands in Banda Sea.

B) From the last week of March, 2021 “A Powerful Earthquake cycle” will develop and will continue till the first week of August, 2021. In between the above period, “Another cycle of Earthquakes will be active”; starting from the beginning of April third week till the middle of August, 2021. During these periods Tsunami causing Powerful Earthquakes are warned. These conditions will prevail in the following locations: Countries around Mediterranean Sea, Middle east, Central Asia, China, South Asia, Southeast Asia, USA, Central American countries, Latin American countries and regions around Sea of Japan & Okhotsk (Northeast Russia).

Peak Activity dates for Precautionary Measures & Preparedness: (B)
i) Look for Strong Earthquake between 21st March, 2021 and 28th March, 2021. Middle east, Countries in East Mediterranean Sea, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Gujarat are among the locations likely to experience the above earthquake.

ii) Very Powerful Earthquake is forecast between 31st March,2021 & 4th April, 2021. Damages to properties and fatalities will be more comparing the earlier earthquake. Middle east, Countries in East Mediterranean Sea, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Gujarat are among the locations likely to experience the above earthquake.

iii) Strong Earthquake is forecast between 3rd April, 2021 and 7th April, 2021. Philippines, East Indonesia Central America and Latin America are among the locations likely to experience the above earthquake.

iv) Look for Powerful Earthquakes between 11th April,2021 and 15th April,2021. Central America, West coast of USA, Philippines, and Latin America are among the locations likely to experience the above quakes.

v) Beginning of Twin cycle of Earthquakes are forecast from 17th April, 2021. Look for Powerful Earthquakes between 17th April, 2021 and 20th April, 2021. Countries around east of Mediterranean Middle east, Central Asia, China, Philippines and Taiwan are the likely locations for Cycle one. Central America, West coast of USA and region around Sea of Japan.

vi) Look for Strong Earthquake between 26th April, 2021 and 29th April, 2021. Powerful aftershocks are warned between 1st May & 5th May, 2021; again between 9th May & 14th May, 2021. Philippines, East Indonesia Central America and Latin America are among the locations likely to experience the above earthquake.

vii) Moderate Earthquakes, Severe Mine disasters/Landslides/Mudflows are warned between (a)19th May & 21st May, 2021, (b) 25th May & 27th may, 2021 and (c) 29th/30th May, 2021. China, South Asia, Southeast Asia and Latin America will the locations experiencing the above mishaps.

viii) Continental shaking cycle of Massive Earthquakes are forecast between 1st & 5th June,2021 and again between 9th & 12th June,2021. Tsunami is possible during the above periods. China, Southeast Asia, East Mediterranean countries, Middle East, USA and Latin America will be the locations. During the same period massive Mine Disasters and Landslides/Mudslides are forecast.

ix) Powerful Earthquakes (Tsunami?) are forecast between 17th & 20th June,2021. During the same period massive Mine Disasters and Landslides/Mudslides are forecast. The locations that require disaster preparedness are East Mediterranean countries, Middle East, China, USA & region around Sea of Japan.

x) Tsunami causing Earthquake is forecast between 21st & 25th June,2021. USA West coast, North Pacific ring of fire, China, East Mediterranean countries and Middle East are the locations require disaster preparedness. During the same period massive Mine Disasters and Landslides/Mudslides are forecast.

xi) Powerful Earthquakes (Tsunami?) are forecast between 29th June & 3rd July, 2021. Another series of Powerful Earthquakes are forecast between 5th & 10th July,2021. USA West coast, North Pacific ring of fire, China, East Mediterranean countries and Middle East are the locations require disaster preparedness.

xii) Another Powerful Earthquake with the possibility of Tsunami is forecast between 17th & 23rd July,2021. China, Southeast Asia, East Mediterranean countries and Latin American countries are the likely locations.

xiii) Moderate/Strong Earthquakes are Forecast between 11th & 18th August, 2021 and again between 21st/22nd August 2021. East Mediterranean countries, Latin American countries and USA west coast will experience these quakes. Series of Volcanic eruptions are warned between 14th & 19th August, 2021. Pacific Ring of Fire, volcanos in Europe, and Latin America are the locations.

C) Moderate/Powerful Earthquakes are forecast during the month of September, 2021. Severe Landslides, Mine disasters are forecast from the last week of September, 2021 and the third week of October, 2021. The last cycle of Powerful Earthquakes is forecast between the third week of October, 2021 and the first week of December, 2021. Moderate Earthquakes, Mine disasters and Landslides are forecast between the third week of December, 2021 and the first week of February, 2022. The Insular region (Southeast Asia), Indonesia, China, Taiwan and South Pacific ring of Fire region, Latin American countries, USA, East Mediterranean countries, Middle East & Central Asia.

Peak Activity dates for Precautionary measures & Preparedness: (C)
i) Look for Powerful Earthquakes between 29th August & 1st September,2021. Latin American countries, USA, East Mediterranean countries, Middle East & Central Asia will experience these quakes.

ii) Massive Earthquakes with the possibility of Tsunami is Forecast between 5th & 7th September,2021. East Mediterranean, USA, Latin American countries, Southeast Asia & Southern ring of fire region will be the locations. Powerful aftershocks are warned between 13th & 15th September,2021 and again between 19th & 21st September,2021.

iii) Look for Powerful Earthquakes, Severe Landslides/Mudslides between 26th & 30th September,2021 and again between 2nd & 6th October,2021. China, Southeast Asia, South Asia, East Mediterranean and Latin America will be the locations experiencing these conditions.

iv) Series of Landslides/Mudslides are forecast between 11th & 14th October,2021. China, Southeast Asia, South Asia and Latin America will be the locations experiencing these conditions.

v) Between 20th & 22nd October,2021 look for Powerful Earthquake (Tsunami?). Indonesia, Southeast Asia and Latin America will be the locations.

vi) Next series of Powerful Earthquakes are Forecast between 27th & 30th October,2021, again between 3rd & 5th October,2021 and more Severe between 10th & 13th November,2021. Indonesia, Southeast Asia and Latin America will be the locations.

vii) Powerful Earthquake is Forecast between 17th & 21st November,2021 and again between 26th & 29th November,2021. China, Indonesia, Southeast Asia and Latin America will be the locations.

viii) Between 1st & 6th December,2021 Look for Powerful Earthquakes (Tsunami?). China, Indonesia, Southeast Asia and Latin America will be the locations. Strong aftershocks are warned between 10th & 12th December,2021.

RAMACHANDRAN, Astro-Meteorologist.
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08

Also Read 2021 ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST

2021 GLOBAL WEATHER FORECAST

Forecast by: ‘Puyal’ Ramachandran

I extend from the bottom of my heart my sincere PRANAMS/THANKS to all those people from different parts of the World for their overwhelming recognition, appreciation and encouragement for my research. Their overwhelming following of my forecasts especially my 2020 GLOBAL WEATHER FORECAST prompted me to register the accuracy of my forecasts. Please check my forecasts @ https://tamilnadumandram.com & also https://independent.academia.edu/RamachandranSeshadri

I have been validating my forecast with the matching weather events as and when they unfold and have been posting them in my “Twitter page” & in my ”Face book page”.
https://twitter.com/seshchandran?s=08
https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri
Right from the First “BLIZZARDS “in the Midwest & Northeast USA, “CELL STORMS, SEVERE FLOODING” in Australia, from the First to the last “TYPHOONS “in the Pacific, from the First “Tropical Cyclone ‘ARTHUR’ to the last Hurricane “IOTA” of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season; “CATOSTROPHIC FLOODS in China”, Europe, African countries and the “KILLER LIGHTNING FATALITIES” in India were exactly matching my forecast dates. The one Glaring Contrariety was my forecast of “EL NINO” during this year.  As per World Meteorological centres. there was “No” ‘El Nino’ this year; but they are yet to submit their autopsy report for the “RECORD EXTREME HOT CONDITIONS” in Siberia and the Arctic. I humbly say that the army of Modern Meteorologists’ mandatory dependence on Observational data even for their “VAGUE FORECASTS” a fortnight in advance expose the limitations of the science they depend on. It’s obvious that it is “Impractical, Unimaginable” for access to “Observational data” YEARS IN ADVANCE; yet the “ULTIMATE FUNDAMENTALS” of “Vedic Meteorology’s Science” allows even a NOVICE like me to provide ‘Dependable Specific Long Range Weather Forecast’.

MAIN POINTS:

1) (A) Between the First week of December, 2020 and the Third week of February, 2021 the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region will experience “Severe Winter condition”. From last days of December, 2020 till the third week of February, 2021 “Spate of Blizzards, Heavy snowfall, Avalanches and Icy rainfall are forecast”.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. 2021 Winter will be “Warmer & Daytime Temperature will remain ‘Above Normal’.

1) (B) During the same period the Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere will experience Very Hot conditions and register “Far Above Normal Temperatures. “Negative Indian Ocean Dipole” will emerge from the last week of December, 2020 and till the third week of February, 2021. There will be Typhoons, Tropical cyclones, squally winds, Thunderstorms, Cell storms and Convective precipitations. These conditions will also prevail in Latin American countries, Central and southeast African countries, South Indian ocean countries, Indonesia, South Pacific countries, Australia and countries around it.

2 (A) Between the Third week of February, 2021 and the last week of March, 2021 the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region will experience; “WET & HUMID SPRING.  “Few Blizzards with Massive Snowfalls, but more Icy rainfalls” are forecast. During the same time Heavy to Very heavy “Incessant & Torrential” rainfall will cause WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS. Till the last week of February, 2021 “Avalanches & Landslides/Mudflows” will cause devastations & fatalities.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan and the North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. Average daytime temperatures will be “Above Normal” during the above period.

2 (B) Between the Third week of February, 2021 and the last week of March, 2021 the Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere and the tropical region will experience “Incessant & Torrential” Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall causing “WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS”. Till the last week of February, 2021 the ‘Mid Altitude & Hilly regions’ will experience record rainfall resulting in devastations due to “Flash Floods, Landslides and Mudflows”.  These conditions will prevail in Latin American countries, Central and southeast African countries, Middle East, South Indian ocean region and South Pacific countries, Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia and countries around it. Average daytime temperatures will be “Above Normal” during the above period.

3) (A) There will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2021 and the first week of June,2021. During the above period northern hemisphere mid-latitude region and its tropical region will experience (i) from the last week of March, 2021 till the third week of April,2021; Tropical Cyclones, Extra-tropical cyclones, spate of Tornadoes, multiple thunderstorms, hailstorms and “KILLER LIGHTNING” will cause devastations and (ii) between the last week of April, 2021 and the first week of June,2021; Sub-tropical systems, Typhoons, Cyclones, Tornadoes and thunderstorms will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall at “Fairly widespread areas” causing SEVERE FLOODING & Devastations. The FIRST Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane in the ATLANTIC is forecast during the Last week of May, 2021. During the periods it will be “Progressively Hot with Above normal Temperatures will be registered”. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

3) (B) The Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere and the tropical region will experience TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2021 and the first week of June,2021;.(i) between the last week of March,2021 and the third week of April,2021 Tropical Cyclones, Thunderstorms, Tornadoes ,Sandstorms are forecast. (ii) Fairly widespread moderate/heavy rainfall with thunderstorms/localised storms are forecast between the last week of April,2021 and the first week of June,2021.  During the second half of the above period “CLOUDBURST” and Landslides/Mudflows are forecast.  These conditions will prevail in Latin American countries, Central & southeast African countries, South Indian ocean region & South Pacific countries, Australia, New Zealand, Southeast Asian countries and South Asian countries.  I reiterate that “Australia will Enjoy BOUNTYFUL MONSOON IN 2021 after years of drought” as forecasted in my 2020 Global weather forecast.

4) (A & B) From the first week of June,2021 till the last week of September,2021 there will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions; (i) Between the first week of June,2021 and the first week of August,2021 Spate of Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones, Tornadoes, Extratropical cyclones, thunderstorms etc., are forecast. Devastations due to Strong gusts, Severe Flooding, Landslides/Mudflows are warned during the above period. This will be “First Active period of 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season” and (ii) Between the second week of August,2021 and the last week of September,2021 There will be few Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones but “More Widespread Torrential Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall will cause CATOSTROPHIC FLOODS.  During this period “KILLER LIGHTNINGS” LANDSLIDES/MUDFLOWS are warned.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries and Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries. The Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will also experience these conditions. During the period (ii) African countries below tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand will experience Progressively Warm Spring with heavy to Very heavy rainfall and mild snowfall/ Icy rainfall.

5) (A & B) Between the beginning of October,2021 and the first fortnight of January, 2022 there will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions. (i) Between the beginning of October, 2021 & the last week of November, 2021 the Atlantic Hurricane season will experience THE SECOND ACTIVE PERIOD of 2021, Similarly the Pacific and the Tropical regions will also experience VERY HIGH ACTIVITIES of Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones.  During the above period there will be at least THREE Very Powerful Storm Systems of more than Category 3+ in all regions. CATOSTROPHIC DEVASTATIONS and fatalities can be avoided/minimized by Advance Disaster Preparedness. During this period “TEMPERATURES will remain FAR ABOVE NORMAL” and (ii) From the last week of November,2021 till the first fortnight of January,2022 Strong Winter Conditions will emerge. Massive Snowfalls/Icy Rainfalls but with less Blizzards are forecast during the above period. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Central Asia, Turkey, China and Japan. The North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries, Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will also experience these conditions.

#  In the South Indian Ocean region, African countries around tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand, During the above mentioned period:

(i) From the beginning of October,2021 till the last week of November, 2021, The Spring weather will turn to ‘Very Hot & Severe Summer Conditions” registering “FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.” During this period squally winds with thunderstorms, KILLER LIGHTNINGS and Powerful Tropical Cyclones are warned.

(ii) From the last week of November,2021 till the first fortnight of January,2022 Excellent Pre-monsoon rainfall is forecast for the above locations. Tropical Cyclones, Extratropical cyclones, Severe Thunderstorms with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall coupled with Killer lightnings are forecast. Devastations due to storms and SEVERE FLOODING, Landslides/Mudflows will cripple normal life. The above conditions will merge with the beginning of 2022 Australian Monsoon. The monsoon will be fluctuating till the first week of April,2022; and VOLATILE WEATHER CONDITIONS will emerge due to a “Positive Indian Ocean Dipole” till the third week of May,2022. Australia will get ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL for the second year in a row.

DETAILED FORECAST:

1) (A) Between the First week of December, 2020 and the Third week of February, 2021 the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region will experience “Severe Winter condition”. From last days of December, 2020 till the third week of February, 2021 “Spate of Blizzards, Heavy snowfall, Avalanches and Icy rainfall are forecast”.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. 2021 Winter will be “Warmer & Daytime Temperature will remain ‘Above Normal’.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

a) Between 30^th December, 2020 and 7^th January,2021 Powerful Blizzards similar to Polar Vertex/Arctic Blast will dump heavy to very heavy snowfall. Bomb Cyclone with heavy to very heavy icy rainfall is also forecast during the above period. Massive pile ups and floods will cripple normal life during the above period.

b) Between 9^th January,2021 and 15^th January,2021 another set of Powerful Blizzards will dump heavy to very heavy snowfalls and Bomb Cyclone with heavy to very heavy icy rainfall are forecast. Devastations and Severe flooding will upset normal life.

c) Between 19^th January,2021 and 27^th January,2021 series of Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall will cripple normal life. During the same period look for another Bomb Cyclone with heavy to very heavy icy rainfall will cause severe damages and flooding.

d) Another Severe Bomb Cyclone with Heavy to Very Heavy icy rainfall will cause severe damages to life property between 29^th January,2021 and 8^th February,2021. During the same period Powerful Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall and Avalanches will cause devastations.

e) Between 10^th February,2021 and 14^th February, 2021 Blizzards with Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall and Avalanches will upset normal life and

(f) Between 15^th February, 2021 and 22^nd February,2021 Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/icy rainfall are forecast. Avalanches and Massive pile ups will upset normal life. Europe may experience these conditions more than North American continent.

1) (B) During the same period the Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere will experience Very Hot conditions and register “Far Above Normal Temperatures. “Negative Indian Ocean Dipole” will emerge from the last week of December, 2020 and till the third week of February, 2021. There will be Typhoons, Tropical cyclones, squally winds, Thunderstorms, Cell storms and Convective precipitations. These conditions will also prevail in Latin American countries, Central and southeast African countries, South Indian ocean countries, Indonesia, South Pacific countries, Australia and countries around it.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

a) Look for a Powerful Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon between 30^th December, 2020 and 8^th January, 2021. Countries in the Southwest Indian Ocean, Southeast Pacific Ocean and Latin America will be affected.

b) Look for a Powerful Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone between 10^th January,2021 and 29^th January, 2021. During the above period Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with squally winds/thunderstorms are warned on the following periods: 10^th to 15^th January,2021 and 19^th to 21^st January,2021. The Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone (category 3+) will cross the coast (between 11 & 16-degree North Latitude & E longitude) around 24^th January, 2021 and swing around continue till 29^th January,2021.

c) Look for another Powerful Typhoon/Tropical Cyclone (category 3+) between 1^st February, 2021 and 10^th February,2021. During the above period Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with squally winds/thunderstorms. Devastations to life and property due to Severe flooding, Landslides/Mudflows in Southwest Indian Ocean Australian east coast and Latin American countries are warned.

d) Between 10^th February, 2021 and 21^st February,2021 another set of Typhoon/Tropical Cyclones are warned. These systems will cross the coast (between 15 & 19-degree N Lat. & E long.), Devastations to life and property due to Severe flooding, Landslides/Mudflows are warned during the above periods.

2 (A) Between the Third week of February, 2021 and the last week of March, 2021 the northern hemisphere mid-latitude region will experience; “WET & HUMID SPRING.  “Few Blizzards with Massive Snowfalls”, but more “Icy rainfalls” are forecast.  During the same time Heavy to Very heavy “Incessant & Torrential” rainfall will cause WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS. Till the last week of February, 2021 “Avalanches & Landslides/Mudflows” will cause devastations & fatalities.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan and the North Indian states bordering the Himalayas. Average daytime temperatures will be “Above Normal” during the above period.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

a) “Incessant & Torrential” Snowfall/Icy rainfall with Heavy to Very heavy spells will cause WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS. Peak activity period as per forecast: (i) 25^th & 26^th February,2021, (ii) 2^nd March to 6^th March,2021, (iii) 10^th March to 14^th March,2021 and (iv) 18^th March to 22^nd March,2021.

2 (B) Between the Third week of February, 2021 and the last week of March, 2021 the Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere and the tropical region will experience “Incessant & Torrential” Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall causing “WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS”. Till the last week of February, 2021 the ‘Mid Altitude & Hilly regions’ will experience record rainfall resulting in devastations due to “Flash Floods, Landslides and Mudflows”.  These conditions will prevail in Latin American countries, Central and southeast African countries, Middle East, South Indian ocean region and South Pacific countries, Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia and countries around it. Average daytime temperatures will be “Above Normal” during the above period.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

(a) “Incessant & Torrential” rainfall with Heavy to Very heavy spells will cause WIDESPREAD CATOSTROPHIC FLOODINGS. Peak activity period as per forecast: (i) Look for a Sub-Tropical cyclonic system will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 26^th February, 2021 and 2^nd March,2021, (ii) Between 5^th March,2021 & 7^th March,2021, (iii) Between 10^th March, 2021 & 14^th March, 2021 and (iv) Between 19^th March,2021 & 22^nd March,2021.

3) (A) There will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2021 and the first week of June,2021. During the above period northern hemisphere mid-latitude region and its tropical region will experience (i) from the last week of March, 2021 till the third week of April,2021; Tropical Cyclones, Extra-tropical cyclones, spate of Tornadoes, multiple thunderstorms, hailstorms and “KILLER LIGHTNING” will cause devastations and (ii) between the last week of April, 2021 and the first week of June,2021; Sub-tropical systems, Typhoons, Cyclones, Tornadoes and thunderstorms will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall at “Fairly widespread areas” causing SEVERE FLOODING & Devastations. The FIRST Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane in the ATLANTIC is forecast during the Last week of May, 2021. During the periods it will be “Progressively Hot with Above normal Temperatures will be registered”. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Middle-East countries, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

i) Look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon between 28^th March,2021 and 7^th April,2021. Gaining strength and speed around 3^rd April,2021 this system will cross the coast around 6^th April,2021. Devastations due to powerful gusts and flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall will cripple normal life. The residual low pressure system will dump moderate to heavy rainfall between 10^th & 11^th April,2021. Tornadoes are warned during the above periods.

ii) Another Strong Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon/Hurricane is forecast between 13^th April, 2021 and 21^st April,2021. This system will weaken near the coast around 19^th April,2021. Flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall during the above period will upset normal life. Rainfall will continue till 23^rd April,2021.

iii) Sub-tropical/Extra-Tropical Cyclonic system associated heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between (a)26^th April,2021 and 29^th April,2021, (b) between 3^rd and 6^th May,2021, (c) between 10^th May,2021 and 15^th May,2021 and (d) 18^th May,2021 and 20^th May,2021. Tornadoes are warned during the above periods.

iv) Tropical Cyclone/Typhoon/Hurricane is forecast between 23^rd May,2021 and 28^th May,2021. This system will cross the coast around 27^th/28^th May, 2021 with powerful gusts and flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall like” CLOUDBURST” will upset normal life. Central America likely to be one among the locations with an early hurricane of 2021 season. This system will ‘SWING AROUND’ and cross the coast again @ 4^th June, 2021 and cause Severe Flooding due to CLOUDBURSTs”. Killer lightnings, Severe Landslides/Mudflows are warned between 27^th May,2021 and 4^th June,2021. Tornadoes are warned during the above periods.

3) (B) The Mid-latitude region of the southern hemisphere and the tropical region will experience TWO distinctively different weather conditions between the last week of March, 2021 and the first week of June, 2021; (i) between the last week of March,2021 and the third week of April,2021 Tropical Cyclones, Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, Sandstorms are forecast. (ii) Fairly widespread moderate/heavy rainfall with thunderstorms/localised storms are forecast between the last week of April,2021 and the first week of June,2021.  During the second half of the above period “CLOUDBURST” and Landslides/Mudflows are forecast.  These conditions will prevail in Latin American countries, Central & southeast African countries, South Indian ocean region & South Pacific countries, Australia, New Zealand, Southeast Asian countries and South Asian countries.  I reiterate that “Australia will Enjoy BOUNTYFUL MONSOON IN 2021 after years of drought” as forecasted in my 2020 Global weather forecast.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures:

i) Look for a Powerful Tropical Cyclone(s) between 28^th March, 2021 and 7^th April, 2021. This system will swing and cross the coast around 7^th April, 2021. Devastations due to strong storms and flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned during the above period.

ii) Another set of Tropical Cyclones are warned between 10^th April,2021 and 17^th April, 2021. The cyclone will cross the coast around 16^th April, 2021. These systems continue to dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 22^nd April, 2021 causing Severe Flooding.

iii) Heavy to Very Heavy rainfalls due to Favourable upper air circulations, Convective activities are forecast on the following periods:

(a) 26^th to 29^th April,2021, (b) 3^rd to 6^th May, 2021, (c) 10^th to 15^th May, 2021, (d) 19^th May to 22^nd May, 2021, Anti-Cyclonic circulations between the first and the last week of May,2021 will impact rainfall.

iv) Look for a Powerful Tropical Cyclones/Hurricane between 24^th May, 2021 and 4^th June, 2021. Devastations due to strong gusts and severe flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned. These systems will cross the coasts more than once and on each occasion causing “CLOUDBURSTS”.

4) (A & B) From the first week of June,2021 till the last week of September,2021 there will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions; (i) Between the first week of June,2021 and the first week of August,2021 Spate of Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones, Tornadoes, Extratropical cyclones, thunderstorms etc., are forecast. Devastations due to Strong gusts, Severe Flooding, Landslides/Mudflows are warned during the above period. This will be “First Active period of 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season” and (ii) Between the second week of August,2021 and the last week of September,2021 There will be few Hurricanes, Typhoons, Tropical Cyclones but “More Widespread Torrential Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall will cause CATOSTROPHIC FLOODS.  During this period “KILLER LIGHTNINGS”, LANDSLIDES/MUDFLOWS are warned.  These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Turkey, Central Asia, China, Japan & North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries and Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries. The Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will also experience these conditions. During the period (ii) African countries below tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand will experience Progressively Warm Spring with heavy to Very heavy rainfall and mild snowfall/ Icy rainfall.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures: (First part)

i) Look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane between 6^th June,2021 and 12^th June,2021. During this period the potential of the storm systems will be of “Category 2”. (Landslides/Mudflows)

ii) Another set of Tropical cyclone, Typhoon, Hurricane are forecast between 14^thJune,2021 & 24^th June,2021. During this period the potential of the storm systems will be “Category 2+”. (Landslides/Mudflows)

iii) Look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane between 30^th June,2021 and 12^th July, 2021. During this period the potential of the storm systems will be “Category 3+”.

iv) Next set of Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane are forecast between 16^th July,2021 & 23^rd July,2021. During this period the potential of the storm systems will be “Category 2”.

v) Next set of Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane between 26^th July, 2021 & 9^th August,2021. During this period the potential of the storm systems will be “Category 3+”. (CLOUDBURSTS warned)

Important dates for disaster preventive measures: (Second part)

Peak activity periods of Widespread Torrential Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing CATOSTROPHIC FLOODS, “KILLER LIGHTNINGS” and LANDSLIDES/MUDFLOWS:

a) 14^th August to 19^th August, 2021, (b) 21^st August to 23^rd August,2021, (c) 25^th August to 27^th August,2021, d) 29^th August to 31^st August, 2021, (e) 4^th September to 6^th September, 2021, (f) 8^th September to 15^th September, 2021, (g)19^th September to 22^nd September, 2021, (h) 28^th September to 30^th September, 2021(Beginning of more severe activities of the above warnings).

5) (A & B) Between the beginning of October,2021 and the first fortnight of January, 2022 there will be TWO distinctively different weather conditions. (i) Between the beginning of October, 2021 & the last week of November, 2021 the Atlantic Hurricane season will experience THE SECOND ACTIVE PERIOD of 2021, Similarly the Pacific and the Tropical regions will also experience VERY HIGH ACTIVITIES of Typhoons and Tropical Cyclones.  During the above period there will be at least THREE Very Powerful Storm Systems of more than Category 3+ in all regions. CATOSTROPHIC DEVASTATIONS and fatalities can be avoided/minimized by Advance Disaster Preparedness. During this period “TEMPERATURES will remain FAR ABOVE NORMAL” and (ii) From the last week of November,2021 till the first fortnight of January,2022 Strong Winter Conditions will emerge. Massive Snowfalls/Icy Rainfalls but with less Blizzards are forecast during the above period. These conditions will prevail in the North American continent, the Europe, Central Asia, Turkey, China and Japan. The North Indian states bordering the Himalayas, Peninsular India, South Asian countries, Equatorial & Southern tropic of Latin American countries, Northeast, Central, equatorial African countries and the Middle East will also experience these conditions.

# In the South Indian Ocean region, African countries around tropic of Capricorn and South Pacific countries Australia, New Zealand, During the above mentioned period:

(i) From the beginning of October,2021 till the last week of November, 2021, The Spring weather will change to ‘Very Hot & Severe Summer Conditions” registering “FAR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.” During this period squally winds with thunderstorms with KILLER LIGHTNINGS, Powerful Tropical Cyclones are warned.

(ii) From the last week of November,2021 till the first fortnight of January,2022 Excellent Pre-monsoon rainfall is forecast for the above locations. Tropical Cyclones, Extratropical cyclones, Severe Thunderstorms with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall coupled with Killer lightnings are forecast. Devastations due to storms and SEVERE FLOODING, Landslides/Mudflows will cripple normal life. The above conditions will merge with the beginning of 2022 Australian Monsoon. The monsoon will be fluctuating till the first week of April,2022; and VOLATILE WEATHER CONDITIONS will emerge due to a “Positive Indian Ocean Dipole” till the third week of May,2022. Australia will get ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL for the second year in a row.

Important dates for disaster preventive measures: (5) (A & B) Part(i)

i) Between 2^nd October, 2021 and 13^th October, 2021 look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane. These systems will be of “Category 3” strength & will cross the coasts around 12^th October, 2021. Devastations due to strong gusts, Severe flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall (CLOUD BURSTs) and “Landslides/Mudflows are warned.

ii) Next set of Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane are warned between 16^th October, 2021 and 24^th October, 2021. These systems will be of “Category 3+” strength. At some locations these systems will continue to travel on land and dump “Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall” between 27^th & 30^th October, 2021.

iii) Between 27^th October, 2021 and 5^th November, 2021 look for Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane. These systems will be of “Category 3+” strength.  Around 3^rd November, 2021 these systems will cross the coast with heavy to very heavy rainfall (CLOUDBURSTs).  Killer lightnings and Landslides/Mudflows are warned.

iv) Next set of Powerful Tropical Cyclone, Typhoon and Hurricane are forecast between 8^th November, 2021 and 20^th November, 2021. These systems will be of “Category 2+” strength. These systems will cross the coast more than once. Severe flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall coupled with killer lightnings will cripple normal life. (Peak activities warned between 10^th & 13^th November and 18^th & 20^th November, 2021).

Important dates for disaster preventive measures: Part(ii)

i) Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are forecast on 27^th & 28^th November, 2021. With the plunge of POLAR VERTEX between 2^ndDecember and 5^thDecember, 2021 Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall and Icy rainfall are warned.

ii) More powerful blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned between7th December and 11^th December, 2021 and again between 17^th December and 20^th December, 2021.

iii) Between 26^th December, 2021 & 2^nd January, 2022 and again between 5^th January, and 13^th January, 2022 Very powerful blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall/Icy rainfall are warned.

More widespread heavy to very heavy snowfalls/Icy rainfalls will continue till the third week of February, 2022. Avalanches are warned from middle of January, 2022 till the first week of February, 2022. With “Massive Blizzards towards the second week end of February, 2022.
From the second week of February till the first week of april,2022 “Warmer and Wet Spring” is forecast.
First North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane of 2022 is forecast during late March and early April,2022.

RAMACHANDRAN, Astro-Meteorologist.
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com  https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri

World weather forecast 2021

2021 ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST

(For the Indian sub-continent)

Forecast by: ‘Puyal’ Ramachandran

MAIN POINTS:

1) Volatile winter is forecast for the North & Northeast Himalayan region from the last week of December, 2020 till the middle of February, 2021. Warmer daytime temperatures are forecast. During the above period Spate of blizzards, avalanches are forecast. The Central and the Southern states of India will experience moderate winter and also likely to experience, Cyclones, cyclonic circulations related fairly widespread rainfall. Landslides/mudslides are forecast during this period

2) From the third week of February, 2021 till the end of March, 2021 “Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall causing Catastrophic flooding” is forecast for the Northwest, North and Western states of India. Interior districts of Southern Peninsula will experience “Widespread rainfall & flooding” during the above period. During the above period daytime temperatures will be above normal.

3) Central, Eastern and southern states of India will experience “Above Normal Temperatures” from the beginning of April, 2021 till the first fortnight of August, 2021.  Cyclonic circulation related rainfall, squally winds with thunderstorms and localised storms are forecast during the first three weeks of April, 2021. Above Normal Pre-Monsoon rainfall is forecast from the beginning of March, 2021 till the first week of June, 2021. “Killer lightnings” and Landslides are forecast during the last week of May, and early June, 2021. South west monsoon for the year 2021 will set around 28^th May, 2021.

4) Above Normal Daytime temperatures will be registered from the beginning of June till the beginning of August,2021.  Cyclonic circulation related rainfall, squally winds with thunderstorms & localised storms are forecast during (A & B) of 2021 Southwest monsoon. Monsoon this year will have three different phases. (A) From the second week of June, 2021 till the first week of July, 2021 “Fairly widespread rainfall” is forecast, (B) Inconsistent rainfall at scattered locations with occasional heavy rainfall is forecast between “the second week of July, 2021 and the first week of August, 2021 and (C) EXCELLENT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL of 2021 Southwest Monsoon” is forecast between the second week of August, 2021 and the end of September, 2021.  Except the West & Northwest states of India rest of the Indian states will enjoy “ABOVE NORMAL’ monsoon rainfall. With a “Super Cyclone” during the first fortnight of October, the Southwest monsoon 2021 will start to withdraw.

5) NORTHEAST MONSOON for the year 2021 will set on time around 23^rd -25^th October, 2021. Spate of Cyclonic circulations, squally winds with thunderstorms & localised storms are forecast between the second week of October, 2021 and the end of November, 2021. Depression/Low pressure systems related rainfall is forecast during the entire month of December, 2021. “Near Normal Rainfall” is forecast during this NE Monsoon 2021 Winter 2021will be moderate/subdued over the Himalayan region and the plains of north Indian states.  Central & Southern states below the Vindhyas will experience warmer/normal winter.

DETAILED FORECAST:

1)Volatile winter is forecast for the north & northeast Himalayan region from the last week of December, 2020 till the middle of February, 2021. Warmer daytime temperatures are forecast. During the above period Spate of blizzards, avalanches are forecast. The central and the southern states of India will experience moderate winter and also likely to experience, Cyclones, cyclonic circulations related fairly widespread rainfall.  Landslides/mudslides are forecast during this period.

Important dates for “Preventive measures”:

a) Between 28^th, December, 2020 and 7^th January, 2021 Severe Blizzard is forecast. Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall and Avalanches will upset normal life. These conditions will be mostly experienced in the North & northeast Himalayan region.

# Look for a Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 5^th and 15^th January, 2021. This cyclone will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 6^th & 9^th January, 2021; will cross the Tamilnadu coast between Kodiyakarai and Cuddalore around 14^th January, 2021.

b) Strong blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfall is forecast between 10^th January & 15^th January, 2021 and again between 19^th-22^nd January & 27^th January,2021 Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, the sub-Himalayan plains of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Sikkim &the northeast Himalayan region will experience the above conditions. During the above periods “Avalanche Warning” is issued for Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand & Sikkim.

# Squally winds with thunderstorms/cyclonic circulation related rainfall is forecast for Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh between 18^th January and 28^th January,2021.  Heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 19^th & 21^st January, 2021. During the above period “Severe cyclone” will cross north Tamilnadu/south Andhra coast around 27^th January, 2021.

c) Next set of Strong Blizzards with heavy to very heavy snowfalls and “Avalanches” are forecast between 2^nd February and 14^th February, 2021. Severe warnings are issued for 3^rd to 5^th Februar,2021 and 7^th to 12^th February, 2021.

# Squally winds with thunderstorms/cyclonic circulation related rainfall is forecast for Tamilnadu, Andhra Pradesh between 1^st February & 14^th February, 2021. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 2^nd February & 5^th February, 2021. During the above period “Severe cyclone” will cross north Tamilnadu/south Andhra coast around 11^th February, 2021. Landslides/mudslides are forecast during the above periods.

2) Between the third week of February, 2021 and the end of March, 2021 “Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfalls causing Catastrophic flooding” are forecast for the northwest, north and western states of India. Interior districts of southern peninsula will experience “Widespread rainfall & flooding” during the above period. Daytime temperatures will be above normal during the above period.

Important dates for “Preventive measures”:

i) Initially during the third week of February (19^th to 22^nd),2021 the coastal and interior districts of Tamilnadu and Andhra Pradesh & south Karnataka will experience widespread moderate to heavy rainfall. Severe ‘Landslides / Mudflows are warned during the above period.

ii) Between 23^rd to 26^thFebruary, 2021 and again between 2^nd and 9^th March, 2021 thunderstorms with widespread moderate/heavy rainfall and landslides/mudslides are forecast. West, Northwest, Northern states and interior districts of central, southern peninsular India will experience Widespread rainfall & Severe flooding.

iii) Central & northern states of India will experience “Localised thunderstorms” with moderate to heavy rainfall between 11^th & 14^th March, 2021.

iv)Between 19^th & 22^nd March and again between 25^th & 28^th March,2021 Northwest and western states of India will experience “Severe Localised thunderstorms”.  Widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall sure to inflict damages to life and property due to flooding and storms.

# Interior districts of southern peninsular states will experience moderate/heavy rainfall at isolated places. During the above period a Severe Cyclone is forecast in the Arabian Sea. This Cyclone most likely will cross the western coast of India between Goa and Gujarat (Gulf of Khambhat) during the last few days of March/ first week of April,2021.

3) Central, Eastern and southern states of India will experience “Above Normal Temperatures” from the beginning of April, 2021 till the first fortnight of August, 2021.  Cyclonic circulation related rainfall, squally winds with thunderstorms & localised storms are forecast during the first three weeks of April, 2021. Above Normal Pre-Monsoon rainfall is forecast from the beginning of March, 2021 till the first week of June, 2021. “Killer lightnings” & Landslides are forecast during the last week of May, & early June, 2021. South west monsoon for the year 2021 will set around 28^th May, 2021.

Important dates for “Preventive measures”:

i) Cyclonic circulation related/localised thunderstorms will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall between 2^nd & 5^th April, 2021. West, Northwest, Northern and central states of Indian states will experience the above conditions. Flash flooding and damages due to severe storm at isolated locations are forecast.

ii) Heavy to very heavy rainfall due to a Cyclone in the Arabian Sea, localised thunderstorms are forecast between 9^th April and 16^th April,2021. (12^th to15th April,’21 Severe).

iii) Severe localised thunderstorm is forecast between 18^th April and 23^rd April, 2021. Heavy to very heavy rainfall (Cloud Burst?) during the above period will cause flash floods. The southern peninsular states, North and North-eastern states will experience the above conditions.

iv) Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast between 26^th and 29^th April,2021. Central, North-eastern states and East coastal regions will enjoy more benefits.

v) Moderately reduced rainfall is forecast throughout the month of May,2021. Look for fairly widespread rainfall between 2^nd May and 6^th May, 2021 and again between 8^th May & 14^th May,2021. Interior and east coastal regions of the southern peninsular states, East and North-eastern states of India will get more benefits. Southern & central states of India will experience VERY HIGH TEMPERATURES during this month.

vi) Between 18^th May and 20^th May,2021 moderate/heavy rainfall at isolated locations is forecast. Locations same as above.

vii) A Cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal is possible between 22^nd May and the first week of June,2021. This system will swing “TO & FRO’ (North to South) on the coastline between North Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal. Catastrophic damages to life and property due to Strong Storms and Flooding due to CLOUDBURST/HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL from 25^th May,2021 and 4^th June, 2021is forecast. During this period due to western cyclonic circulations the North, Northwest states will also experience these conditions. KILLER LIGHTNINGS and SEVERE LANDSLIDES are warned during the above period. South west monsoon for the year 2021 will set around 28th May, 2021.

4) Above Normal Daytime temperatures will be registered from the beginning of June till the beginning of August,2021. Cyclonic circulation related rainfall, squally winds with thunderstorms & localised storms are forecast during (A & B) of 2021 Southwest monsoon. Monsoon this year will have three different phases. (A) From the second week of June, 2021 till the first week of July, 2021 “Farley widespread rainfall” is forecast, (B) Inconsistent rainfall at scattered locations with occasional heavy rainfall is forecast between “the second week of July, 2021 and the first week of August, 2021 and (C) EXCELLENT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL of 2021 Southwest Monsoon” is forecast between the second week of August, 2021 and the end of September, 2021.  Except the West & Northwest states of India rest of the Indian states will enjoy “ABOVE NORMAL’ monsoon rainfall. With a “Super Cyclone” during the first fortnight of October, the Southwest monsoon 2021 will start to withdraw. 

i) Cyclonic circulation related heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast between 5^th June,2021 and 12^th June,2021. During this period monsoon will be aggressive causing FLASH FLOODS and SEVERE LANDSLIDES over the west coastal region from Kerala to south Gujarat. Interior Southern states will also get moderate to heavy rainfall during the above period.

ii) Fairly widespread rainfall due to Cyclonic circulation/localised storm is forecast between 17^th June and 20^th June,2021 and again between 24^th June and 27^thJune,2021. While the West, Northwest, Northern and central states of India will enjoy the best benefits during the above periods; interiors of southern peninsular states and the northeast will get moderate rainfall. Landslides are warned till the third week of June,2021. A Cyclone is forecast in the Arabian Sea between 13^th June and 22^nd June,2021 & it’s likely to cross south Gujarat coast around 19^th June,2021.

iii) Simultaneous depressions in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea are forecast between 29^th June,2021 and 10^th July,2021. The depression in the Arabian Sea will move inland around 4^th July,2021. Due to this “Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with Killer Lightnings” is forecast for the West, Northwest and Central states between 29^th June,2021 and 4^th July, 2021. During the above period moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast for the interior districts of southern peninsular states. The depression in the Bay of Bengal will become a Cyclone between 5^th July and 10^th July, 2021 and will cross the coast between Odisha and Bangladesh around 9^th July,2021.

iv) Another Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal is forecast Between 14^th July,2021 and 24^th July, 2021 During the above period heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast at “Isolated places” in Central, North, North-eastern states and East coastal areas. Warning issued about Severe Thunderstorms and Killer Lightnings between 17^th & 18^th July, 2021. The Cyclone with devastating storm will cross the coast around 22^nd July,2021 between Odisha and West Bengal.

v) Look for a Very Severe Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 30^th July and 10^th August,2021. There could be TWO cyclonic circulations during this time. Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall coupled with Killer Lightnings will upset normal life between 31^st July and 4^th August,2021. North, North-eastern and Central states will experience these conditions. The Cyclone with “Devastating winds and CLOUDBURST” will cross the coast between North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha around 9^th August,2021. Advance precautionary disaster management will definitely avoid loss of human life and life-stock.

vi) The Best phase of WIDESPREAD rainfall activities is forecast between the second week of August,2021 & the end of September, 2021. Severe Thunderstorms with Killer lightnings and Flooding at many places due to heavy to very heavy rainfall are warned during the above period. Important dates of Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall:

(a) Between 14^th and 20^th August, 2021; North, Central, North-eastern states and the Southern peninsular states will get the benefits. Severe flash flooding (Cloud Burst) warned around 18^th/20^th August,2021.

(b) Between 22^nd and 24^th August, 2021 and again Between 29^th and 31^st August,2021; East Maharashtra, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Odisha and Uttar Karnataka will experience Thunderstorms/Killer lightnings with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall causing severe flooding.  North, North-eastern and southern states will experience Heavy/Moderate rainfall during the above period,

(c) Between 2^nd September, 2021 and 11^th September, 2021 more widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall causing Severe Flooding is forecast. North, North-Eastern states will experience these condition more than the central and the southern peninsular states.

(d) Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast between 13^th & 15^th September, 2021 and again between 18^th & 22^nd September,2021. The southern Peninsular states and Central States will experience these conditions. North and North-Eastern states will experience moderate/heavy rainfall.

(e)Look for Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall between 26^th and 30^th September, 2021. North, North-Eastern and Central states will experience these conditions. Landslide warned around 28^th September,2021.

(f) Far “Above Normal Temperatures’ will be registered during the entire month of October,2021. Between 2^nd October and 14^th October, 2021 a depression in the Bay of Bengal will become a Very Severe Cyclone will cross the North Andhra Pradesh – Odisha coast (between Srikakulam & Gopalpur) on 11^th/12^th October,2021. Devastation due to Severe Storms and Flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall (CLOUDBURST @ 2^nd /3^rd October and again @ 13^th/14^th October) are warned during the above period. Severe Landslide/ Mudslides (till 3^rd week of October’21) and Killer Lightnings are also warned during the above period. Advance precautionary disaster management will definitely avoid loss of human life and life-stock.  After the above cyclone 2021 Southwest monsoon will hasten its withdrawal.

5) NORTHEAST MONSOON for the year 2021 will set on time around 23^rd -25^th October, 2021. Spate of Cyclonic circulations, squally winds with thunderstorms & localised storms are forecast between the second week of October, 2021 and the end of November, 2021. Depression/Low pressure systems related rainfall is forecast during the entire month of December, 2021. “Near Normal Rainfall” is forecast during this NE Monsoon 2021. Winter 2021will be moderate/subdued over the Himalayan region and the plains of north Indian states.  Central & Southern states below the Vindhyas will experience warmer/normal winter.

Important dates for “Preventive measures”:

i) More dry and hot conditions are forecast between 15^th and 24^th October, 2021. A Dry Cyclone is possible between 17^th October and 24^th October,2021. This cyclone will cross the coast between North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha around 22^nd October,2021. (CLOUD BURST) Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with strong storm will cause devastations only at the time of crossing.

ii)Look for a Severe Cyclone between 26^th October and 5^th November, 2021. Devastations & loss of life and property due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall (CLOUD BURST) coupled with Killer Lightnings” is forecast during (a) 28^th to30th October, 2021 and (b) between 1^st & 4^th November, 2021.  This cyclone will cross the coast around 3^rd/4^th November,2021 between Pondicherry and Ongole, Andhra Pradesh.

iii) Another Severe Cyclone between 8^th November, 2021 and 19^th November, 2021. With Very Powerful Winds and heavy to very heavy rainfall this Cyclone will cross the coast on 13^th November, 2021between Cuddalore and Chennai. This system will continue to travel inland & cause moderate/heavy rainfall between 17^th & 19^th November,2021. Fatalities due to KILLER LIGHTNINGS, devastations due to storms & Severe flooding due to heavy to very heavy rainfall (CLOUD BURST) will upset normal life.

# Winter 2021: North Indian states above the Vindhyas will start experiencing below normal night-time temperatures from the third week of November, 2021. Except for the month of December,2021, day time temperatures will be above normal. North and Northwest Himalayan regions will experience more snowfall than the Eastern Himalayan region. (A) Blizzards will dump heavy to very heavy snowfall between 29^thNovember and 5^th December,2021, Avalanches warned; (B) Again between 9^th & 14^th December, 2021, (C) Between 17^th & 20^th December,2021 and (D) Blizzards & Avalanches between 26^th December,2021 and 2^nd January, 2022.   More Icey rainfalls than snowfalls are forecast during the month of January,2022.

iv) Depression/Low pressure trough related localised storms dumping heavy to moderate rainfall are forecast between 24^th November, 2021 and 4^th December,2021. With Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall from 26^th to 29^th November,2021and again between 2^nd & 4^th December, 2021 with devastating storm upset normal life between Vedaranyam and Cuddalore.

v) December, 2021 will experience “The Best Rainfall during this year’s North East Monsoon” Depression/Low pressure trough related (mostly in the southwest Bay of Bengal or close to the Arabian Sea) localised storms will dump heavy to moderate rainfall at many place between 7^th & 12^th December, 2021 and again between 16^th & 19^th December, 2021.

vi) Depression/low pressure trough related localised storms will dump heavy to moderate rainfall is forecast between 26^th December, 2021 and 2^nd January, 2022. Tamilnadu will experience Fairly widespread moderate to heavy rainfall during the entire month of January 2022.

Important dates: (a) 5^th to 7^th January,2022, (b) 9^th to 14^th January,2022, (c) Look for a cyclone in the Bay of Bengal between 17^th January, 2022 and 27^th January,2022. This Cyclone will cross the coast around 24^th January,2022 between Karaikal and Pondicherry. During the above period Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall with severe storm will cause flooding and damages. Landslides/mudslides are also warned.

RAMACHANDRAN, Astro-Meteorologist.
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com  https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri