Equde.com

Who IS BUYING IN THE TOP ?

2018-08-28T14:28:00.000+05:30

Last few days ,if you check Share Market going up ,Indian Rupee going down close to all time LOW ,if foreign funds are coming in to the market ,how Rupee go this much down .For that you have to check Investor Turnover page (click here). Yesterday FII bought 252 cr only ,but DII bought 1118cr of Equity and Derivatives .

Who are DII or Domestic Institutional Investors ?
DIIs include banks, insurance companies, mutual fund houses etc.

So what that means, your insurance and mutual funds are investing at high end of the market.They made this type of investments in 2007 highs too ,those investors NAV didn't came back still now .

What has change compared to 2007 in 2018 ?

In 2007 ,when heavy selling of FII happened ,DII didn't had that much fund to absorb it, DII's total investment in 2017 at a record of Rs90,834.80 crore(29 jan 2018 figure)

So What give DII Confidence for Buying ?
Govt coming with disinvestment plans in Navaratna companies ,Positive Global Markets

Reliance's move from 942-1290 Levels

2018-08-27T10:08:00.001+05:30

From low of 28th July 942 ,stock touch 1290,stock gain around Rs.350 in just 2 month time ,so is it a good time to enter to this stock ?We recommend to wait for correction after this big rally in stock ,same time don't advise shorting

Bank Of Baroda -A Island Reversal Pattern coming ?

2018-08-15T16:58:00.002+05:30

After hitting a low of 109.5 on July 2nd stock hit 155.5 on Aug 9th.After a Bullish gap opening on July 30 ,scrip was consolidating and going sideway .Leading Indicators are in bearish territory, possibility of bearish gap down is more.

NOWADAYS BANKS DECIDES NIFTY DIRECTION

2018-08-07T13:30:00.004+05:30

With a Weightage of 25.4% in NIFTY50, Banks decides direction of market . Current Stocks from BANKING Sector in NIFTY are HDFCBANK,ICICI,KOTAK,AXIS,SBI,INDUSIND,YESBANK,BANKBARODA.

Regarding NIFTY CHART its peaking at current levels and deverging patterns are showing in charts,profit booking and Buy of dips is sensible idea for smart traders

NIFTY TRADING AT HIGHEST P.E EVER ,BE CAUTIOUS

2018-01-19T13:41:00.002+05:30

Market trading at highest P.E ever in last 19 yrs (Data taken from 1999-2018).Current at 27.38 ,Be cautious while trading especially in penny Stocks.An experienced trader once told ,if you start getting Stock Tips FREE regularly through SMS more frequently ,understand market is closer towards the top. :)

Courtesy:https://nifty-pe-ratio.com

HOW TO GET BITCOIN FREE ?

2017-03-17T00:45:00.002+05:30

At a time when bitcoin value is around $1200 ,its obvious to think about get it free .Most of sites which placed FREE tag in there home page ,but didn't give any thing for free. Most of them offers Surveys, online Jobs, Referral's etc . But there PAY differs from country to country. A person from USA /UK earns more than a person from CHINA /INDIA.
Regarding there PAYOUT ,depending up on work they offer 50 to 5000 BITs.(1 million bits = 1 bitcoin)

Referral Commissions is the best way to earn BITCOINS, but you have to be very careful about sites you refer. Always check how long website is operational ,there referral commission pay history etc.
One site I personally recommend is www.l0calbitcoins.com ,they operate in most countries ,there PAYOUT is daily ,and conversation rate is also good .They pay 20% commission of Trading Fee. They have all types of Payment options than any revivals in this field

I started few days back and My BITs start coming to my wallet automatically ,See image below

Now, How I promoting Affiliate Links ?

I share links through Facebook Groups and Facebook Pages and Twitter.

UNACCOUNTED MONEY GOING INTO BITCOINS ?

2016-12-29T21:58:00.000+05:30

Cryptocurrency Bitcoin again started moving towards $1000 mark (Now experts in bitcoin trading started talking about $2000 in coming years).Just check graph below ,after Nov 8 ,its a one way rally going on .Because bitcoins are no regulated in india ,it seem easy for people to transfer money to bitcoins especially with mobile wallets and all.

NIFTY BECAME BEARISH AFTER MONTHS OF BULLISHNESS

2016-10-15T20:36:00.001+05:30

Nifty which was in bullish face from February 2016 ,given bearish signs in last week of September ,confirmed it last week.So people who already entered SHORT positions can hold it ,bit more time than usually do in a bullish market. Nifty can touch 8300 levels in November series.RSI stay near support levels gives bulls usually a chance to get out of there positions in coming week.So if you are looking for an entry in to this market .a level close to 20 DMA will be safe bet.
See chart of NIFTY Below

IS RELIANCE SET FOR A ISLAND REVERSAL PATTERN ?

2015-10-19T14:01:00.002+05:30

ISLAND REVERSAL is a gap pattern where stock gives a gap in UP/DOWN direction and continue to stay below gap and one day give another gap in opposite direction .In Reliance case chart is bit hybrid ,but we have to give some concession because of huge weight age of reliance in INDICES.With Stop loss of 910 HOLD for Target of 1000.

Axis Bank Ltd

2015-06-08T00:19:00.000+05:30

Like Most of banking stocking AXIS is clearly in sell mode ,it closed below 20DMA ,and straightening 50 DMA ,shows more bearishness in stock.
510 levels will be a nice to re-enter in to this counter ,depending up on indicator

Asian Paints Ltd

2015-06-04T17:54:00.003+05:30

Trendline drawn from October ,November lows of 2014 is still giving ASIAN PAINTS nice supports in bearish face of NIFTY.Yesterday also stock took support on this trendline .Fast moving indicator are so close to give a sell Signal ,so if trendline break stock will move 730 levels ,and eventually to 700.Upper band of stock is 810 levels .If your in this stock HOLD position ,fresh position can be added above 50 DMA ,with indicator support only

AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD

2015-06-03T16:37:00.000+05:30

Stock is in slanting rectangle pattern ,it tried to break it and close above ,but couldn't succeed so because of heavy selling in Nifty .Now 240-245 strong resistance area for the stock ,Buy level for stock will be closer to 210(always buy at lower level of the pattern and sell at higher level of pattern )

ACC LTD

2015-06-02T18:13:00.000+05:30

After hitting 1774 high in march ,stock was in lower low formation till it made a low of 1387 on May 7.Stock moved back to level Fibonacci Retracement of 38.2% and 50 DMA and once again fell in BEAR hands .Last two days attempt to break levels fail in todays sell off

STAY WAY from Counter till it close above 50DMA let StochRSI move to buy mode for BULLISH trades.
Bearish targets are 1430 in near term

NIFTY 50 ANALYSIS SERIES

2015-06-02T17:01:00.002+05:30

From today we are starting a new series of analysis concentrating on CNX NIFTY INDICIES ,50 stocks will be analyzed with 1-3 months perspective .Every post will contain analysis of a single stock ,its charts ,key levels to enter and exit .So stay tuned for next 50 Posts

7640 IMPORTANT LEVEL FOR NIFTY

2014-09-26T01:31:00.001+05:30

If you go through weekly chart of nifty ,after Jauary-Feb all correction in this market was only up to MOV 11 ,other MOV's too far below from MOV 11 and a Catch up will happens in come days .With News like exposure in Various Bank's in COAL BLOCK CASE ,Worry about interest rate ,and hang over of BIG IPO's weighing on world market it will best time for NIFTY to correct and make a base for NEXT BIG MOVE by Diwali .

480 points SENSEX UP .140 points NIFTY UP -- WHO IS BUYING ?

2014-09-18T23:48:00.000+05:30

Indian Market made huge jump back to 8100 after day's of correction phase ,but am shocked after seeing FII and DII activity in CASH SEGMENT (See here).I even rechecked is it updated or not .480 point Sensex and 140 Point Nifty Rally and FII done nothing (Was expecting atleast 1000cr in BUY side)and DII less 100cr .

Experts in all News Channels are in view Retail investors didn't entered in this market yet,OR did they started accumulating .Let see market again visit 7850-7950 once more before expiry for retailers

LICK YOUR WOUNDS TRADERS VOLATILE WEEK IN OFFERING

2012-10-14T03:19:00.001+05:30

Even though earnings started coming last market was not highly influenced by these .But this week it will not be same .We have HIGH impact data's from entire world market,earnings,Presidential debate on 16thand Expiry on 19th.

See below Ecnomic Data points for World Market

Date	Country	Event	Impact	Previous	Consensus
Monday Oct 15, 01:30	China	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	High	2.00%	1.90%
Tuesday Oct 16, 01:30	Australia	RBA Meeting's Minutes	High
Tuesday Oct 16, 08:30	United Kingdom	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	High	2.50%
Tuesday Oct 16, 08:30	United Kingdom	Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)	High	2.10%
Tuesday Oct 16, 09:00	Germany	ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment	High	-18.2	-16
Tuesday Oct 16, 09:00	European Monetary Union	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	High	2.60%
Tuesday Oct 16, 09:00	European Monetary Union	ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment	High	-3.8
Tuesday Oct 16, 09:00	European Monetary Union	Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY)	High	1.50%
Tuesday Oct 16, 12:30	United States	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	High	1.70%

Wednesday Oct 17, 08:30	United Kingdom	Bank of England Minutes	High
Wednesday Oct 17, 08:30	United Kingdom	Claimant Count Change	High	-15
Thursday Oct 18, 00:00	European Monetary Union	EU Extraordinary Economic Summit	High
Thursday Oct 18, 02:00	China	Gross Domestic Product (YoY)	High	7.60%
Thursday Oct 18, 14:00	United States	Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Medium
Friday Oct 19, 00:00	European Monetary Union	EU Extraordinary Economic Summit	High
Friday Oct 19, 06:00	Germany	Producer Price Index (YoY)	High

India Clients have WPI inflation on monday (last time it was 7.55%) and on Friday Forex Reserve stat (last figure was $295.04)

All the Best and Enjoy Trading

KINGFISHER AIRLINES NEWS AND CHARTS

2012-09-24T00:33:00.002+05:30

After governments announcement of FDI in aviation most of airlines stock jump,even high debt Kingfisher moved from 7.40 to 14.15 with in few days,So question is ,SHOULD I BUY it now or we will get much cheaper coming months ?

Let see chart

After 7.4 low Stock made a sharp move to 11.9(first top),then it correct again but didn't gone below 7.4 ,indicator started diverging (not in graph),then it made a new high of 14.15 ,now there is news floating about 6.6% stake sale of KFA to a foreign carrier ,so it can move even to 17-18 levels.Chart shows a resistance band of 18-28 it will be breaking only after a conform news from company .(On Sep 26 there is AGM also).Value buyer will come in to counter above 28 levels. Speculator who taken stock from lows will sell it near 20-28 levels.

NOWADAYS ITS ALL ABOUT GAPS IN NIFTY

2012-09-23T17:16:00.000+05:30

(Click Chart for an enlarge view)

Above Chart shows daily chart of nifty from august 2011 till sep 21 2012.There are many Gap's in NIFTY chart.As per technical analysis market always fill GAP's ,expect GAP's formed in last two weeks all other GAP's filled and market gone below. Yellowish marking on the right side shows a GAP is filled but market didn't closed below Gap candle ,we can see How bullish is NIFTY after that.

NIFTY can be brought on dip till it close below 5430 levels and a near term target of 5850.

Economic Calendar For Sep 17, 2012-Sep 21, 2012

2012-09-16T01:19:00.001+05:30

After high volume and high voltage news from FED and ECB ,next week we have high impact data from UK,Japan,Canada,Australia.

Please see check list below

Date Country Event Impact Previous
Tuesday Sep 18, 01:30 Australia RBA Meeting's Minutes High

Tuesday Sep 18, 08:30 United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (YoY) High 2.60%
Tuesday Sep 18, 08:30 United Kingdom Core Consumer Price Index (YoY) High 2.30%
Tuesday Sep 18, 09:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment High -25.5
Wednesday Sep 19, 03:00 Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision High 0.10%
Wednesday Sep 19, 03:00 Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Statement and press conference High

Wednesday Sep 19, 08:30 United Kingdom Bank of England Minutes High

Wednesday Sep 19, 22:45 New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (YoY) High 2.40%
Thursday Sep 20, 05:00 Japan Bank of Japan Monthly Economic Survey High

Friday Sep 21, 12:30 Canada Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) High 1.70%
Friday Sep 21, 12:30 Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) High 1.30%

For Indian Clients
Even though impact on world market is low ,these data's will make NSE & BSE volatile.

Date Country Event Impact Previous
Monday Sep 17, 05:30 India RBI Interest Rate Decision (Repo Rate) Low 8.00%
Monday Sep 17, 05:30 India Reserve Repo Rate Low 7.00%
Monday Sep 17, 05:30 India Cash Reserve Ratio Low 4.75%
Tuesday Sep 18, 11:30 India M3 Money Supply Low 13.70%
Friday Sep 21, 11:30 India Bank Loan Growth Low 16.70%
Friday Sep 21, 11:30 India FX Reserves, USD Low $292.04

FINALLY QE3 IS HERE WOW FACTOR MISSING

2012-09-14T00:31:00.002+05:30

What a Week ? Two announcement for US people,Iphone5 and QE3 ,but both with out WOW factor.

Yes,after weeks and weeks of promise ,Fed Chairman finally given QE3.The policy, known as QE3, buying $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month.End of Purchase program is not supplied in statement,but we strongly believe ,FED don't want to give a NUMBER for this QE3 like few billion.In press conference also FED Chairman tried to keep it for a infinite time,He mentioned atleast till unemployment rate come to a better level. What Level its in his mind only

We are advising our clients to book profit in this bull move today and tomorrow ,come back next month.We are closely watching EURO which is moving to 1.30 levels a long term resistance.

MORE EASING TO FOLLOW WITH A "IF"

2012-08-23T00:36:00.001+05:30

FOMC minutes is out,The Federal Reserve is likely to deliver another round of monetary stimulus "fairly soon" IF economy didn't improves considerably.Again FED is asking for time ,knowing this investors started profit booking yesterday itself ,even after breaking 1420 resistance ,market retraced to 1407 level yesterday itself.

Check Daily S&P chart below

Rising Wedge pattern is coming to an end ,and a break out (UP/DOWN )can happen.Those who can take bit more risk can stay in position till 10 DMA HOLD.So better to "BOOK PROFIT AND ENJOY WEEKENDS AND ,COME BACK AFTER LABOUR DAY"

NIFTY MONTHLY CHART ANALYSIS

2012-08-13T02:34:00.001+05:30

Monthly chart reading shows a resistance near to 5380-5400,there is eight day's of trading left in this contract,so a break out of this levels with better global clues can take market to 5520 ,if market couldn't hold then we can see levels of 5200-5250 levels before expiry.NIFTY can take in a tight 120-170 levels till this expiry if it didn't breakout.Worst case scenario it can move to 5050 levels towards downside.(UNEXPECTED BAD GLOBAL NEWS ONLY will trigger this)

STRATEGY TO TRADE

Because of shorter trading day left in this contract go for a LONG STRADDLE (BUY A CALL AND PUT OF SAME STRIKE PRICE )(Unlimited profit minimum risk )

Total spend has to be maximum of 75 (ie,75*50=3750),but this has to be done wisely ,till end of Tuesday's trading we must have two position standing).TARGET of position combined is 145.
STOP LOSS for combined position is 25

LONDON OLYMPICS 2012 AND RALLY IN FTSE

2012-08-13T01:33:00.001+05:30

Past two three weeks markets around the world was good for bullish investors.If you look back there was no major bullish data points,NO QE3,NO ECB action (there was a "What ever "from ECB chairman)NO stimulus from CHINA.Yes one think was there all these weeks Olympics in LONDON . Hope of spending in such a major event also can trigger a rally. India investors and traders are looked in a 400-500 range in NIFTY because of indian government policy paralysis.Traders can trade in S&P and FTSE futures which are listed in NSE .FTSE is better because of we can trade atleast 3 hours before market close and have volume compared to S&P Futures.

Check FTSE in EOD below

http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^FTSE#symbol=^ftse;range=6m;compare=;indicator=volume;charttype=candlestick;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=off;source=undefined;

Like to know FTSE value in real time ?check this link below

http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/futsee.php

Disclamier :We have long positions in major indices Futures.

CRUDE WILL HALT GLOBAL EQUITY RALLY

2012-02-22T00:58:00.002+05:30

Crude started trading above $105,after fresh news saying even india,china looking for 10% cut in there oil exports.If this stays Crude will touch $108-110 coming week which will send investors to safe heaven like US Dollar ,which will internally resist equity indices from further rally.

US government in an election year will do every think to keep crude oil prices close to $100.If it go against then much hyped US recovery will be effect.Which will decrease Obama's chances for a second term.