The Disciplined Investor

Consumer Confidence – What to Make of it?

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Fri, 25 May 2012 17:00:10 +0000

Consumers seem awfully confident these days. Even in Europe the confidence numbers are down, but not out. It is rather remarkable that with all of the news that points to problems in Europe and Asia that there is still such a high level (the highest in years in fact) shown through the current conditions index [...]

Bogus Announcements at 3:30 PM Staring again

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Thu, 24 May 2012 19:38:04 +0000

As if 2011′s European announcement brigade was not enough to cause market jolting moves, May 2012 is starting to see a return of the jawboning from Euro leaders who are trying to sway markets into believing that a quick resolution is at hand. Now it is Monti’s turn to provide a quick relief rally as [...]

Facebook (FB) Friday and Live Trading Event – Recap

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Thu, 24 May 2012 13:28:01 +0000

Last Friday, we hosted a live event that showcased the TriggerPoint Research ALERTS!. Throughout the day we wrote about Breaking UP, Breaking Down and Bounce ALERTS! as well as the important aspects of the Facebook moves. If you have any interest in checking out the discussion, HERE it is. LIVE EVENT RECAP

TPR Site Upgrades and Updates

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Wed, 23 May 2012 17:37:22 +0000

Over the past few weeks TriggerPoint Research.com has been adding some features to the site as well as stocks to the TPR ALERTS! system. To help out with some of the more common questions, there is a new FAQ Page. Hopefully this will provide a decent amount of clarification on the TRP site and product [...]

2012 IPO Performance – The Best and The Worst

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Wed, 23 May 2012 13:12:53 +0000

2012 has not seen a slew of IPOs from U.S. based companies. But there are some of interest. China leads the pack on the overall amount and with the list of losers much longer than the list of winners, one has to wonder if the pipeline is soon to dry up. Clearly Facebok (FB) is [...]

From High to Low – A Look at World Markets

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 22 May 2012 18:29:47 +0000

It has been a wild ride over the past 52 weeks and some markets came out looking good, some not so good. Clearly the U.S. has the best overall return in 2011 and that shows through on the peak to trough range – and still holding up well. Europe (ex-Germany) has not had as good [...]

Patriot Coal (PCX) – Death By Green

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 22 May 2012 16:13:12 +0000

With all of the talk and blather about new jobs by green energy initiatives, did anyone every consider how many people would lose their job by what it would be replacing? The ugly fact is that the push to drive money into the solar and wind programs (many of which have cost taxpayers hundreds of [...]

Financial Conditions – Drooping

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 22 May 2012 14:23:55 +0000

The sudden shift of market sentiment over the past several weeks is not just due to the re-emerging concerns over Greece. There are some very strong indications that financial conditions are starting to show additional strain as economic reports and earnings outlooks are disappointing. A great tool to use to gauge the actual “conditions” is [...]

Facebook (FB) Friday and Live Trading Event – Recap

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 21 May 2012 18:10:32 +0000

A Greek Run on Banks – Charting the Flows

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 21 May 2012 17:10:54 +0000

There has been a consistent level of money leaving Greek banks for the past several months. But, last week saw a real surge in the withdrawals as the panic levels are rising since the government is in shambles. With all of the jawboning over the last 18 months, did the EU countries (Germany and France) [...]

The Eco Reports You Need to Watch For This Week

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 21 May 2012 12:19:46 +0000

The really good news is that the number of economic reports that will be making their way to the headlines is light this week. The markets have been very driven by any news and a breather is in order. While the focus will still be on anything that comes out of the mouths of the [...]

TDI Podcast: Curzio on Markets and Pro Tools with TAS (#264)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 21 May 2012 01:05:22 +0000

Guests: Frank Curzio, Stansberry Research and Peter Emmanuel of TAS Professional. Frank starts us off with his take of the current market conditions and why he is starting to buy some positions at these levels. Peter then explains why many “rookie” traders make the mistake of holding on to their losers and cut their winning [...]

Wicked Bounce Potential Ahead… (Spearman Update Too!)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Sun, 20 May 2012 21:52:33 +0000

We will see how the week plays. But we did some work to see if there is any support for a bounce from what appears to be a fear driven sell-off. Take a look at the weekly chart below. The 40-week is support, down a little from here. This is the similar look as last [...]

Sunday Fun: The Coolest Paper Airplane (No, Not Talking Facebook Today!)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Sun, 20 May 2012 12:54:18 +0000

The Facebook (FB) chatter needs to take a break. Everywhere I look there is something about the company and it is getting really boring. Now, this is much cooler anyway – I mean, a paper airplane flying 200+ feet! If you ever spent time in 5th grade English class trying to come up with the [...]

Friday Facebook (FB) and Live Trading Event TODAY! – Register FREE

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Fri, 18 May 2012 13:00:43 +0000

This coming Friday, we will host a live event that will showcase the TriggerPoint Research ALERTS!. Throughout the day we will be blogging Breaking UP, Breaking Down and Bounce ALERTS! as well as the important aspects of the Facebook moves. If you have any interest in following/trading along, resister and we will send you all [...]

Friday Facebook (FB) and Live Trading Event – Register FREE

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Wed, 16 May 2012 15:47:51 +0000

Retail Sales — Nothing To Get Excited About (Except The Silver Lining Crowd)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 15 May 2012 18:39:07 +0000

Whatever they say on the boob-tube, the retail sales print was awful. Yes, it was in-line with estimates, but that is nothing to cheer about. Of course the glass-half-full crowd will see this as a “resilient” consumer, even in the face of all sorts of headwinds around the world. Follow @andrewhorowitz Just taking a look [...]

How To Buy Facebook (FB)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 15 May 2012 14:17:47 +0000

I thought this was a rather well thought out guide (basic as it is) on how to best pick up shares of Facebook (FB) if you are not lucky enough to get in on the Pre-IPO price. Our friend Josh Brown sits down with Jeff Make to go through basic principals of the deal and [...]

Must Read: Student Loans Weighing Down a Generation With Heavy Debt

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Tue, 15 May 2012 13:38:49 +0000

This weekend, the NY Times did an extensive review of the college debt burden that is growing exponentially.It comes at an interesting time when the unemployment rate of under 25 is still close to record highs and the vote to extend the low cost loans is hanging overhead. Something is going to have to give [...]

Europe Risk – CDS and Yield Charts Are Not Pretty (What is Behind The Moves?)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 14 May 2012 17:00:47 +0000

The yields on Spanish debt are exploding over the “acceptable” levels again. At the same time, time, CDS levels are the highest since last December. The exit of Greece from the Eurozone is being talked up among the members in a way that is obviously for one or two purposes: A threat to Greece to [...]

Be Prepared: Economics To Watch This Week

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 14 May 2012 15:10:26 +0000

After a better than expected (weaker) PPI report last week, the CPI numbers will tell us just how much we are not paying more for fuel, food and housing. While we all know that prices have been driving higher for almost everything, however the survey of leading economists shows a 0% rise for the month-over-month [...]

Candle Sessions Reversal – New From The Gang at Bloomberg

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 14 May 2012 13:55:51 +0000

While the actual indicator is not new, it is now available on the Bloomberg Professional platform. My friend Bill Sindel is a whiz at making these indicators come alive on Bloomberg charts. This one I like as it has some interesting applications for a longer time-frame as shown below for the S&P 500 monthly. On [...]

TDI Podcast: Virtual Guestorama and The Facebook IPO (#263)

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Mon, 14 May 2012 01:30:13 +0000

We listen and discuss the Meet The Press interview of Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan (JPM) , Facebook’s (FB) IPO and much more Virtual guests include Simon Johnson, Art Cashin and Lakshman Achuthan. Fed minutes are due, China’s bank reserve reduction and a listener question is answered in this episode. Check out TriggerPoint Research ALERTS! [...]

Sunday Fun: 3-D Printing Comes to Life

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Sun, 13 May 2012 14:00:43 +0000

3D printing is still a dream that was popularized by early Star Trek episodes. The replicator was something that could create objects on the fly and that is what is being attempted today. One of my favorite sites to see some really cool inventions that are rolling out is KickStarter. There often some really interesting [...]

University Of Michigan Confidence – WOW!

The Disciplined Investor (The Disciplined Investor) — Fri, 11 May 2012 15:10:55 +0000

The UMich confidence numbers came in this morning with a bang. For whatever the reason, this group of respondents had a very upbeat view of their current position. That is on the heels of the a so-so month in April. The outlook was not as rosy and that may be as there was the beginnings [...]