TORY DROPPINGS

Tory Messaging - Decay on Display

2009-01-19T01:01:00.005-06:00

The "medium" may indeed be "the message"? But the posting below illustrates we need to change our controlling 'medium'. The sooner the better. What's next, state sponsored rallies?

Who's heard Tory attack ads on the radio?

by DavidAkin

As originally posted on: David Akin's: On the Hill
January 16, 2009

"The Conservatives unveiled new radio spots in which they call on "all MPs" to get to work on the economy. It's an anti-coalition ad.

We've asked the Conservative Party what radio stations are playing this ad but they won't say.

Some of my more cynical colleagues suggest that the Party tells the Parliamentary Press Gallery that they're releasing these ads and then the media immediately puts them on their television or radio programs for free (as my old friends at CTV Newsnet just did).

So before I say any more about these ads, I'd like to know where they're playing. You can help: If hear one, tell me what the station is, the time, and what you thought of them."

Alberta's 'Natural Governing Party' and Abject Failure

2009-01-18T15:18:00.000-06:00

The "natural governing party" of Alberta for the past THIRTY-EIGHT YEARS has utterly failed to create an economy for its citizens that is robust and diversified.

Need any more proof that "Tory management" of an economy is an oxymoron? See below.

Diversification: Not Just For Your Portfolio Anymore

by Enlightened Savage

As originally posted on: The Enlightened Savage
January 18, 2009

"Nation, we've seen all too well the effect that the precipitous drop in resource prices, particularly oil, has had on the Albertan economy.

In 2 years, we've gone from record surpluses to having to muse openly about running "technical deficits" and dipping into the Sustainability Fund.

Now, there's a temptation in this post to lash out on political grounds against the people who are using this as an opportunity to attack Ed Stelmach, who has been running this province for all of 2 years. Premier Ed, as the Man In Charge, is SURELY to blame for the economic situation we find ourselves in, right? On December 15th, 2006, he should have instituted a sweeping reform of the entire government in this province, to recession-proof us. The price of Crude was, at market's close that day, $63.43 per barrel. Remember that number.

Here's the rub - these people aren't attacking Ed Stelmach because of the economy. They're USING the economic slow-down as a pretense for attacking him, because they don't like Ed. They'd attack him if he bought ice cream for every kid under 14 in the neighbourhood, because "there are some 15 year-olds who really like ice cream".

Ed Stelmach didn't cause a global economic melt-down. He didn't do it, his cows didn't do it, the change in royalty rates - now officially 18 days old - didn't do it. The entire world is undergoing a polar shift in the financial sector, and that is trickling down through every industry the financial sector touches - which is ALL of them. Any industry that borrows, saves, spends or invests money, particularly credit, is feeling the pinch. In just about every country in the world.

Ed Stelmach didn't do that.

The problem comes in that these critics of Stelmach, as I said, are just using this crisis as a pretense for attack. When Ed announced that we may have to dip into the Sustainability Fund and run a technical deficit, the critics were falling all over themselves with barely-concealed glee. "SEE!", they screamed. "He's a bumbling fool, can't even turn a profit in the cash-cow of the provinces, and he's breaking his own government's anti-deficit law! We need the Liberals in power!"

But, what if the Stelmach government had announced that, rather than maintaining the public service and the public programs and investing in infrastructure, cuts across the board would be coming? Taxes and user fees going up, spending going down, mandatory public sector roll-backs, all with an eye towards keeping the bottom line "in the black", no matter what? THEN those same critics would be crawling all over each other to get in front of a camera to declare "Ed Stelmach is the new Ralph Klein! He's attacking the elderly, the young and defenceless, the working poor, and every man and woman in the province with his cuts! He values money more than human life! We need the Liberals in power!".

Critics, you're nothing if not consistent in your hypocrisy.

NOW... let's get past the politics, and look at the cause of Alberta's problem, in particular.

Price of oil, per barrel, Dec. 15, 2006: $63.43 USD
Price of oil, per barrel, Dec. 14, 2007: $91.27 USD
Price of oil, per barrel, July 4, 2008: $145.29 USD
Price of oil, per barrel, Jan. 16, 2009: $36.51 USD

Yes, Nation, the price of oil - this province's bread-and-butter, has dropped nearly 75% in the past 6 months.

If your only real asset, the only thing you fully owned of any significant monetary value, was your $400,000 home and the market dropped so steeply that 6 months from now your home was worth $100,000... well, you'd be paying a lot less in city taxes, but I think you'd have to ask yourself several very important questions:

When did the Bloods and Crips move into the house next door?
When did Alberta Tory move into my neighbourhood?
Do I trust my realtor?
Is it maybe just possible that I want to diversify my assets, and stop carrying all my eggs in this one basket?

THIS is the problem Alberta faces - 27.2% of our Gross Domestic Product is directly related to the energy sector, and much of the rest relies on the money generated BY the energy sector. Oilmen, after all, buy trucks, eat in restaurants, stay in hotels, and go to movies - just like the rest of us. All of those industries suffer when an oilman gets laid off. Energy remains Alberta's Golden Goose - and yet, through no (or little) fault of own own, that Golden Goose has taken ill. What has gone wrong?

We're witnessing the power of the free market.

The global price of oil per barrel has dropped like a rock not because of something Ed Stelmach did or didn't do, but because the DEMAND has gone down... drastically. People are buying less oil, so the price goes down in the hope that they'll buy more now that it's so affordable. You'd rather sell it at a low price, making little or no profit than sit on it at high prices and suffer a total loss. It's basic economics.

And if you think things are bad NOW, wait until they come out with the first commercially-available and practical, mass-produced and marketed fully-electric car for less than $15,000. Whether it be the "targeted for 2010 launch" Chevy Volt or something else entirely, when North America and its affair with the "open road" no longer require petroleum to consummate their love, we're going to be waxing reminiscent about the salad days of $36-per-barrel oil.

It's entirely possible that, within a decade or 2, the only places that will even be remotely interested in petroleum as an energy source will be heavy industry and the developing world. And don't assume that China and India are going to keep us afloat, either. If China is ALREADY so aware of their pollution problems, it's a lot more reasonable to assume that they'll continue to dam their rivers and go with a car running on electricity than to hope they'll get a billion people into SUV's to keep our economy running smoothly.

Demand is down, demand is going to fluctuate in the short term but continue to trend downwards as technology renders the resource increasingly obsolete. So, what do we as a province do to stay ahead of the curve?

Diversify. Diversify our economy, as quickly as is reasonable. Follow the lead of jurisdictions like Newfoundland & Labrador, which realised that economies that are completely dependent on one resource are doomed to fail when supply, or demand, for that resource dries up (of course, in N&L's case, they diversified by ADDING oil and gas, which isn't looking too good right now). Learn from the mistakes of jurisdictions like Ontario, who rely so heavily on one sector (auto manufacturing) that when it starts to fall, the rest of the economy follows like a line of dominoes. It's not too late, Alberta - but we need to start preparing TODAY for the eventual reality of an Alberta in which we can rely on the energy sector for 5-10% of our GDP, at most.

Medical technology; the next big thing in clean, possibly renewable, energy; desalination technology... THESE are the types of things we should be putting our collective energies into working on. Things the world needs and will continue to need, that our well-educated workforce can help invent, perfect, and manufacture.

There's been resistance to work too hard at alternative energy, because it's hastening the death of our Golden Goose. But I've got news for you, folks... the Goose is going to die anyway. If you're under 60, it's got a decent chance of dying within your lifetime. And by the time it does finally kick the bucket, it will be too late to start looking at these things, because this province is going to be a barren economic waste-land. A Ferrari up on blocks with no engine. Someone else will have made the "big discovery", and whether it's Manitoba, Mumbai or Mazatlan, that's where the money will be, the investors will be, and the jobs will be.

I'd rather they be in Morinville, Millet or Magrath.

So let's get to work."

HAPERISM - Lies, lies, and more damn lies!

2009-01-17T02:37:00.000-06:00

The Speaking Notes Are Hot Off the Presses

by "900 ft. Jesus"

As originally posted on: The House and the Senate
January 16, 2008

"In the lead-up to the confidence votes - on the Jan. 26 throne speech and the next day's federal budget - the government has instructed ministers, MPs and strategists to communicate a handful of key messages to Canadians, their so- called "talking points."

The message: The government gets it, and the opposition doesn't. The tone: unapologetic.

Mhmmm....that means we will need to use one of these -

to forget about this and this and this and this.

The communications strategy calls for Conservatives to show empathy with Canadians' economic worries;

best to send them off for some serious training then. In fact, Steve needs a few lessons himself. You know, acting lessons to learn how to show empathy.

to stress that Conservatives won an "elected mandate" to manage the economy, unlike the Liberal-NDP coalition formed after the government's November economic statement;

Where’s that memory erasing thingy? Need it for this, and this. Before the CONs start using that eraser, remember that it was the opposition who kept bringing up the economy during the election, while Harper kept denying there was even a problem until the truth became obvious even to the dust bunnies under his bed. (Sorry, Laureen)

and to signal no appetite for the kind of spending that would build in long-term budgetary commitments or create a "structural" budget deficit.

Well, yeah. We know Steve has no appetite for that. But long term budgetary commitments are necessary since this downturn is likely to last a few years. I suspect that’s his ammo being loaded, what he’ll fall back on to present the opposition as a fiscal irresponsible bunch who just want to spend, spend, spend. Like Deficit Jim?

As far as Harper is concerned, and Conservatives will continue to repeat, the economic crisis "originated outside Canada's borders" and was not, as opposition critics argue, worsened by tax cuts or excessive spending by the government.

Let’s see... and this and of course, from Parliament’s own budget officer, Kevin Page, there’s this little reminder of reality.

Conservatives are instructed to declare that the government's actions put Canada in a better position to weather the storm and to point to the "stable leadership" Harper has shown.

Yes, let’s look at that stable leadership before our minds are blanked out.

Did you know, that apart for the fall farce, it will be 221 days since Parliament last sat, when Flaherty delivers his budget? Think about that, in the face of an economic storm, our government has been AWOL.

And why? Why did Harper prorogue? Because his leadership and party positions were UNSTABLE.

Saving the best for last -

Expect to hear lots of Conservatives mouthing phrases like this: "The political chaos of an unstable coalition would leave our economy, unity and public institutions at risk."

Political chaos...where did I hear something along that line before?...oh yeah...

I sure hope that the CONs don't go for one, big, mind erase exercise all at once, or we'll all be tabula rasa.

I knew a bull-shit con artist years ago, tried to pass herself off as a Zen master - used to say “empty your cup so I can fill it.” I thought it was a bad idea back then.

Hopefully, most Canadians will agree."

"Unreacheable": Hugh's Silence is Understandable

2008-12-16T00:59:00.000-06:00

My favorite line from yesterday's Winnipeg Free Press about a new Probe poll reporting that NDP fortunes are sagging in rural Manitoba was:

"Tory leader Hugh McFadyen was unreachable for comment Saturday."

Go figure? The first over-hyped 'good' news the man has had in months and he was what? "Unreachable"? Was there a Tony Robbins self-improvement cult meeting in Winnipeg this past weekend? Where was Hugh? Somewhere in a trance whispering: "Yes, I can, Yes, I can. Yes, I can ... choo, choo!!"

Amazing.

While the silly (and arrogant?) reaction of the NDP government to the poll has already been cited here - I think it is also fair to ask: what's all the fuss?

So there is a Probe-phone-probe (ha,ha,ha) showing the base of the Conservative party in RURAL Manitoba is now more predisposed to Hugh-Tory. So what? Even if little-Hugh's numbers were to approach an 60% favourable reading in all southern ridings outside Winnipeg, and an election were held today, little would change. Essentially Hughie would keep what he has - his narrow, narrow base. And Doer would keep what he has now - his Premiership.

That rural Manitoba has momentarily swung in favour of the Tories a few points here, or there, is about as meaningful as saying casualties are down in Iraq. Both beg the question - so what? In both cases, the fact is, neither the fortunes of the Tories or Iraqis are likely to improve anytime soon.

As Dan Lett rightly observes: "...most pollsters will tell you it's nearly impossible to get an accurate snapshot of provincial voting intentions when federal politics is providing the headlines." Aside from the fact that yesterday's poll story in the same paper forgot to highlight this point, one has to ask, if it is true that "for the most part, McFadyen has not been able to fundamentally shake Doer's support" then, really, why all the fuss?

I say, it is much ado about nothing. Just another ephemeral poll which, like a fleeting bout of intestinal gas , will haunt Hughie because he knows it is but an empty stink about something that portends nothing "reachable".

McFAYDEN ALL ABOUT FRESH IDEAS

2008-12-06T01:43:00.000-06:00

With friends like this who needs enemies?

When he won the Tory in 2006, Hughie was all about bringing "fresh ideas"!

Seems only yesterday the CBC was reporting his website depicted "a young, unassuming man leaning against a door frame wearing a T-shirt and sweater. The catchphrase comes straight out of the marketing textbooks: 'New day. Winning day. Join the winning way today.'" Oh, how little has changed.

A visit to Hugh's site proves his search for "new ideas' has run into a few problems and that, unfortunately, his personal knowledge cupboard remains largely bare. A visit to his "Issues Room" confirms it. Rather than disseminating knowledge in the 'room' he's decided he wants "to hear from you" and he encourages visitors to "use this issues room as a source of information for all issues being dealt with by myself and the Official Opposition in the Manitoba Legislature." Unfortunately, the room is just like Hughie's own idea board: absolutely empty. How odd.

As his undying endorsement of big-box stores along Kenaston has proven, Hughie is the sort hampered by thinking "within the box". Undoubtedly today will see him once again utter support for the inane - - a prorogation that has already been granted. Clearly, the man is not getting enough time to 'just think'. A change is needed.

In an effort to allow him to realize his promise to bring new ideas to the political arena, Hugh should be declared Manitoba's preeminent public intellectual. He must be given the time to seek out these ever elusive "new ideas". Perhaps, the University of Manitoba can create a special Chair (a very special high-chair?) called the Manitoba's Publicus Erectus Scientia that would allow Hugh to continue his quest to erect ideas for public consumption for years to come.

It is time to draft Hugh for Public Intellect.
Those interested in supporting Hugh may make donations to their local chapter of the Dustin Hoffman's "Rainman Fund".

Thanks in advance for your support.