Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels College Football Point Spread Pick from Freddy Wills: September 22nd 2018

| September 22, 2018

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
College Football Point Spread Pick: NC +3.5 (September 22nd 2018)

I expect North CArolina to show up big time for their state following the hurricane.  They’ll be fresh this week while Pitt faced Georgia Tech and 56 rushing attempts with cut blocking.  I think North Carolina can run the ball here. They actually outplayed a very good California team in week 1 but had 4 turnovers.  They had 164 yards rushing at California. That’s the same Justin Wilcox defense that stuffed BYU rushing attack for 91 yards, which just got done going on the road and beating up on Wisconsin with 191 yards rushing.  Meanwhile Pitt has given up 500+ rushing yards the last two weeks.

North Carolina has line value because they lost 41-19 against East Carolina in what I am just calling a flukey game.  Pat Narduzzi has not beaten Larry Fedora since he has joined the ACC and I don’t expect they will here, but they are a 3.5 point favorite based on what North Carolina did against East Carolina.  The last 7 meetings have all been decided by 7 points, and North Carolina has the better special teams and the field goal plus the hook, playing at home.

Boston College Eagles vs. Purdue Boilermakers NCAA Football Point Spread Pick: September 22nd 2018

| September 22, 2018

Boston College Eagles vs. Purdue Boilermakers
NCAAF Point Spread Pick: Purdue +7 (September 22nd 2018)

The Key: Purdue is one of the most underrated teams in the country right now.  That’s because the Boilermakers are 0-3 when they could easily be 3-0.  Their 3 losses have come by a combined 8 points to the likes of Northwestern, Eastern Michigan and Missouri.  They have played a really tough schedule to this point.  They’ll be prepared to face Boston College now.  BC has only really been tested once this season, and they won 41-34 at Wake Forest, but that was an evenly-played game.  I think Purdue is every bit as good as Wake Forest, if not better.  David Blough through for a school-record 572 yards against Missouri last week.  The Boilermakers certainly have the firepower offensively to keep up with Boston College.  Jeff Brohm is 8-0 ATS all-time as a head coach in home games after gaining 100 or fewer rushing yards in his previous game.  Take Purdue.

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Coastal Carolina vs. UL Lafayette College Football Point Spread Pick from Matt Fargo: September 22nd 2018

| September 22, 2018

Coastal Carolina vs. UL Lafayette
College Football Point Spread Pick: CC +3 points (September 22nd 2018)

Sun Belt Conference action opens for Coastal Carolina and Lafayette an we give the edge to the Chanticleers who should dominate the line of scrimmage. They opened the season with an expected blowout loss against South Carolina but they bounced back with an upset win at home over UAB and then trounced Campbell last week in a game that was moved up to Wednesday because of the hurricane. That is a significant edge as Coastal Carolina has the benefit of three extra days of rest and preparation. The Chanticleers are averaging 253.3 ypg on 5.1 ypc and will face a Cajuns defense that is allowing 239.0 ypg on 5.8 ypc so they will be able to run at will. Louisiana is coming off a blowout loss at Mississippi St. which came after a bye week following a win over Grambling. The defense has struggled as a whole as they have only three starters back from the team that allowed 493.0 ypg and 40.0 ppg last season. A whole new coaching staff is in place so the early struggles are not surprising and as good as this team has been over the years, Louisiana is just 10-8 at home over he last three-plus seasons with four of those wins coming against FCS opponents. The Cajuns are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game and fall into a negative situation where we play on road teams after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (375) Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.

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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Football Point Spread Pick from Sean Murphy: September 22nd 2018

| September 21, 2018

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
College Football Point Spread Pick: Under 60.5 points (September 22nd 2018)

Saturday NCAAF Free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Notre Dame and Wake Forest at 12 noon et on Saturday.

We won a big play on the ‘over’ in Wake Forest’s wild 41-34 home loss to Boston College last week but I won’t hesitate to switch gears and back the ‘under’ as the Demon Deacons host the Irish on Saturday afternoon.

While the Notre Dame offense has struggled a bit in the early going this season, its defense has been stout to say the least. The Irish have yet to allow more than 17 points in a game. Last week they didn’t allow Vanderbilt to reach the end zone until the closing seconds of the third quarter (we won with the ‘under’ in that contest).

Even against a quality Michigan offense back in Week 1, Notre Dame held the Wolverines offense out of the end zone until the final three minutes of the fourth quarter (it did give up a kick return touchdown in the second quarter).

While Wake Forest has put up a whopping 85 points over its last two games, one of those came against FCS squad Towson and it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Demon Deacons were held out of the end zone until the back half of the second quarter in their season-opener at Tulane (they didn’t score another touchdown until the fourth quarter in that one).

Defensively, Wake Forest got ripped by Boston College last week but we’re talking about a multi-dimensional Eagles offense. That game really opened up after Wake Forest blocked a punt and returned it for a touchdown nearly halfway through the second quarter. The Deacons will undoubtedly need to do a better job of limiting big plays but it’s not as if the Irish offense has been lighting it up. Take the under (8*).

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