TRADE GUILD

EU Downgrades and their mind numbing incompetence

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Mon, 13 Feb 2012 17:42:26 PST

Just as the Euro led the market today by gapping up on the passage of the Greek vote, as I suspected, it's now leading the way down and for more then 1 reason. First the market HATES uncertainty and the lack of comments or at least constructive comments from Greece's task masters today, caused the initial uncertainty in the FX market which effected the stock market (by killing momentum and

CL-Crude Futures and High Frequency Trading

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Mon, 13 Feb 2012 16:09:19 PST

Anything look unusual on this chart of Crude futures today? Pay attention to the timestamp on the chart... 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17 Uh, where's 14 (2 p.m.)? The chart goes right up to 14:04 then jumps to 14:21 then to 15:15 (2:04 p.m. EDT / 2:21 / 3:15) CME, where CL (Crude Futures) trade, went berserk apparently from an algo. They shut down the system, cancelled all open orders and

New Swing Trade Template

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Thu, 09 Feb 2012 18:49:03 PST

This is a look at the start of Wolf on Wall Street's Swing Trade Template. This is my Swing Trade Template I've been working on for StockFinder. I have the basics of the signals completed, but still need to add some indicators and a possible market index/breadth indicator so you know when the timing is best for a potential swing trade. This basically shows you some entry points, what is

The Bear Market Rally Part 1: Sitting Tight

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Thu, 09 Feb 2012 18:16:11 PST

This post is a recent post this week from Wolf on Wall Street, out member's site. For more information about Wolf on Wall Street, Click Here... One of the world's most famous and successful investors, Jesse Livermore, a self made man who started on Wall Street as a boy working in a bucket shop, was quoted as saying the following: “It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It

Disney Earnings Miss on Revenues, something is a little fishy

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 07 Feb 2012 13:57:50 PST

Disney (DIS) reported right after the bell, the beat on EPS and missed on revenues. Interestingly (coincidentally?) the miss that has DIS trading down 1.81% in after hours, erasing all of today's gains, just so happen to occur on the very same day that DIS broke out to end the primary downtrend, an enticing breakout to buy. If you are familiar with the dogma of technical analysis, a

Alarming rise in the Black Swan Indicator

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 17 Jan 2012 16:37:12 PST

Brought to you by Wolf on Wall StreetThis Sunday I showed you the SKEW Index which is brought to you by the CBOE (same place the VIX comes from). The SKEW is a rather new tool for the CBOE and is meant to reflect the probability of a "Black Swan" event. The SKEW runs between around 100 (probability of a market crash very small) to 150 with an average of 115. I noticed the rate of change of the

The Baltic Dry Index Hits Multi Year Lows

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 17 Jan 2012 16:15:08 PST

About a week ago at Wolf on Wall Street I featured a chart of the Baltic Dry Index which tracks the worldwide price of dry shipping cargo. The Index can be quite volatile, but the trend of the index is telling. The BDI tells us what demand is for the shipping dry goods (meaning it excludes Oil, Natural Gas, etc) across the world. When prices are low, there is plenty of capacity and it tells us

Thoughts on the Euro-Zone Short Term Debt Auctions

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 17 Jan 2012 15:29:08 PST

The analysis below is brought to you by Wolf on Wall Street.ECB Intervention in sovereign debt auctions today?This morning, my first post of the day talked about the large number of short term notes/debt that were by and large, well received despite last week's S&P downgrade. Also the EFSF was downgraded and also placed $1.5 billion euros in short term debt (barely a drop in the bucket

Alcoa and the Earnings Shell Game

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Mon, 09 Jan 2012 14:03:50 PST

I've been putting bits and pieces of passing news in my rather short term memory bank, but the trend is something that my long term memory bank remembers pretty well. So AA is kicking off earnings season, but how many of us remember what has happened running up to earnings season? Remember the song, "What have you done for me lately"? Earnings are about expectations, the entire market is

No Santa Claus Rally, Made a Few Bucks Anyway.

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Fri, 30 Dec 2011 13:34:23 PST

As I posted last Sunday in this video, I was skeptical of any seasonal Santa Rally, the video explains why and turns out to be right on track.At Wolf on Wall Street I always say, take what the market gives. We had a nice signal on BAC mid week and used some puts to make a 1 day gain of nearly 30%! (The video is linked).We also had a 10% 1 day gain in the IWM and today as slow as it was, made 5+%

A Boring Week, but some nice gains....

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Fri, 30 Dec 2011 13:24:41 PST

Brandt Uses Worden's TeleChart and StockFinder 5 Exclusively

Making 30% in 1 Day

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Wed, 28 Dec 2011 21:25:21 PST

Here's a trade where Wolf on Wall Street members made 30% in 1 day trading BAC.Information about Wolf on Wall StreetBecome a member today

Santa Rally 2011?

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Mon, 26 Dec 2011 15:37:13 PST

Small Caps and the Russell 2000 are lagging while the Dow-30 is leading, a more defensive posture in the market. Take a look at some of the metrics comparing the 2010 Santa Rally period vs now. Brandt Uses Worden's TeleChart and StockFinder 5 Exclusively

AAPL Follow up

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Wed, 14 Dec 2011 14:03:00 PST

Last Thursday I threw Trade-Guild readers a trade from our member site, Wolf on Wall Street. It was a perfect set up and it was published here before it even took place, all you had to do was watch for 1 thing to occur, that original post is right here.In the spirit of that trade which has already made us 14 points, I'll tell you that we are expecting a short lived market bounce that is

BBY Follow Up

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Wed, 14 Dec 2011 13:41:27 PST

Earlier in the year, I used 3C at Wolf on Wall Street to prove to members that earnings are routinely leaked, I picked 22 stocks and made the call on the direction prices would take after earnings, we hit 19 of the 22 earnings calls dead on, nearly a 90% success ratio. I looked at BBY (BestBuy) before earnings and posted what thought the outcome would be, the actual Wolf on Wall Street post is

Euro/Merkel Leak?

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 13 Dec 2011 08:55:04 PST

At Wolf on Wall Street 3C uncovers a lot of leaks, the Wednesday oil report is any easy one. Yesterday it uncovered strange behavior in BBY that suggested BBY would not react well to earnings and was published at WOWS yesterday before earnings (see the post below from WOWS on BBY). Today it looks like the Merkel news about the ESM that sent the Euro plummeting with risk assets looks like it was

Best Buy Earnings Reaction

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Tue, 13 Dec 2011 06:40:41 PST

One of the things we do at Wolf on Wall Street is use 3C to look for possible earnings leaks and stock reactions after earnings. Yesterday BBY was analyzed and we found that the most likely path was for the stock to trade down. Here's the WOWS BBY earnings post from yesterday.... Monday, December 12, 2011 Chart Request, BBY (Best Buy) BBY is coming out with earnings pre market. I

AAPL Follow Up

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Mon, 12 Dec 2011 07:41:51 PST

I brought you a trade idea from Wolf on Wall Street, a set up that gave you good risk positioning and a high probability swing trade before it happened.Here's the follow up charts. We always start working from the Macro to the micro, meaning first we are looking for market direction, then weak sectors/Industry groups or those that are turning, and then we look for specific tactical entries based

AAPL may be offering another short entry

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Fri, 09 Dec 2011 08:18:39 PST

Continued from yesterday's Wolf on Wall Street Post Yesterday's triangle head fake short sale set up in the white box, we have another small triangle, a head fake breakout may offer another opportunity to short AAPl at a better risk:reward level. Here's yesterday's 3C distribution on the false breakout, today we have a minor positive divergence. The longer term charts show what appears

AAPL Update

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Thu, 08 Dec 2011 12:57:13 PST

From Wolf on Wall StreetCould you have asked for a more timely set up?AAPL Update (see previous post) Wall Street is too predictable at times...Brandt Uses Worden's TeleChart and StockFinder 5 Exclusively

AAPL Short Swing Trade

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Thu, 08 Dec 2011 12:30:47 PST

From Wolf on Wall StreetAAPL looks like it is setting up a swing short trade on a false breakout of today's price triangle. This triangle should see an upside false breakout which should make for an interesting, low risk short. The long term daily chart is very negative/distribution. The hourly and 30 min charts are also showing distribution (above and below.) Worst of all, and

Today's Global Central Bank Intervention

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Wed, 30 Nov 2011 15:37:41 PST

Analysis from Wolf on Wall Street As you probably know by now, last night China lowered their banking sector RR ratios, this only a few months after tightening due to inflationary pressures that were causing riots in China. It is or was assumed that this was in reaction to the meltdown in Chinese real estate, however at 8 a.m. EDT, a Globally coordinated Central Bank intervention was

Wolf on Wall Street's New Technical Tools

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Sun, 20 Nov 2011 14:59:24 PST

3C has long been the main stay in the WOWS arsenal, uncovering the movements of institutional money, now we have added several more indicators that judge broad risk as well as some of the best places to enter trades (timing tools).Credit Markets lead Equity Markets and many of our new tools are based on this approach, forget about MACD and Stochastics, these are the tools combined with our

USO Outlook

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Fri, 18 Nov 2011 09:37:05 PST

This is a post from our member's site, Wolf on Wall Street, that was just put up minutes ago covering the strange behaviour in USO as well as our ongoing analysis of the situation that has led our members to significant 2 day profits in a market that has been otherwise fairly range bound recently. Here you will see how we don't put too much emphasis on the deception that is the trading action

Market Review

noreply@blogger.com (Brandt) — Wed, 09 Nov 2011 15:08:11 PST

It seems that my last post was not very far from reality, but the signs have been there and we have been monitoring them. Today Financials took the brunt of the blow. If you keep up with the news, you'll probably know that today wasn't about margin hikes on Italian debt, it was about Mer-Kozy's new vision of the EU and who will be allowed to stay in the club and who will be booted from the club.