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Life, Spirit and Sustainable Prosperity

Universe Spirit Blog Feed

  • Sunday, August 12, 2012 - 22:16
    Friday, August 24, 2012 - 12:06
    Are our families, businesses and nations prepared to adapt to increasing climate destabilization, weather extremes and the growing economic losses and resource shortages they cause?

    One can hardly turn on the news and not hear about another catastrophic drought, wildfire, extreme storm or flood breaking previous records. According to a leading global climate scientist on global warming these are NOT just naturally caused or random weather anomalies! (A link to this research is at the end of this copy.) 

    The current climate destabilization problem is rather simple at it core. Human caused carbon pollution of the atmosphere is causing a greenhouse effect trapping more solar energy in the form of heat inside our atmospheric greenhouse. This additional trapped increase in atmospheric heat energy is then available for use in and by the planet's weather (monsoons, hurricanes, typhoons, (and their storm surges,) heat waves, droughts, dust storms, wildfires, floods, etc.) This continually increasing trapped heat energy from the greenhouse effect is what is and will continue to create increasing cycles of climate destabilization and more and greater weather extremes. And --- this climate destabilization will increase in both unpredictable and irregular cycles of weather extremes of increasing scale, frequency and severity.

     

    These weather extremes mean many new and extreme challenges for the world. Our current infrastructure (dikes, dams, levies, water and sewage treatment plants and much of our other infrastructure,) has most often been designed to withstand the extreme climate events that occur about once every hundred years (century storms.) The increasing extreme weather and storms caused by our increasing human-caused atmospheric carbon pollution will eventually become known as millennial storms --- climate events of such an extreme and severity that there has been nothing like them on the planet for thousand of years.

     

    Climate Currents are Changing Quickly

     

    In the face of more good climate destabilization science even leading global warming critics are also changing their long time positions. Additionally, the terms global warming and climate change have recently evolved into the new terms of climate destabilization or catastrophic climate destabilization (CCD.) These new terms better reflect the accurate reality of the human caused atmospheric pollution problem immediately before us.

     
    Because overall research on CCD is still so poorly funded, the world still does not know the tipping points of critical catastrophic climate destabilization. When it comes to the climate destabilization tipping points we are still flying nearly blind --- even with the ultimate future of humanity's evolutionary experiment at stake.

    Current research cited in Six Degrees: Our Future On a Hotter Planet by Mark Lynas has projected that CCD related damage and losses will soon cost nations 5% of their total Gross Domestic Product (GDP,) and will likely continue rising far beyond there with each new level of CCD's unfolding. This comes as devastingly bad economic news for the markets because this additional 5% drain on the GDP can hardly be afforded by the nations of a planet that is still struggling to get out of the current global recession and near depression.
     
    Many countries are already experiencing resource shortage based spikes in food costs. The normally insulated US will likely follow soon because of the year-to-year averaging of the resilience-reducing effects of escalating CCD.
     
    In spite of all the new science on climate destabilization and its projected effects, few individuals, corporations or nations have worked out even basic preparation and adaptation plans to cope with the increasing scale, severity and frequency of the effects of catastrophic climate destabilization.
     
    The Key Climate Destabilization Tipping Points
     
    How can we resolve any problem without accurate information about that problem? The most scary thing about CCD is that CCD research is far too sparse right now on the accurate tipping points catastrophic of climate destabilization. It is so sparce that no one can yet conclusively tell us:
     
    a.) is the global average temperature going to go up an additional maximum of 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8 degrees Celsius? And no one can tell us yet, which of those temperatures will we be at in 5, 15, 25, 50 or 100 years?
     
    b.) Is sea level going to go up less than one meter, 1-3 meters, 8 meters (if Greenland melts,) or up to 25 meters (if all the other polar and glacial ice melts too?) Again, no one can tell us yet, which of those sea level ranges will we be at in 5, 15, 25, 50 or 100 years? (The current conservative estimate for sea level rise in the next 100 years is 1-2 meters of sea level rise.
     
    This estimate of 1-2 meters does not factor in any major climate tipping points being crosses during the projected period reached, which would throw the climate into a sudden and steep decline toward greater destabilization. This sea level rise also does not include and of the additional temporary rises in sea level at this new level caused by storm surges. Even if you do not including these two factors, just the 1-2 meter rise in sea level would cost the global human society hundreds of trillions of dollars in losses in costal real estate and costal infrastructure (highways, water treatment and waster water systems, etc would have to be rebuilt and relocated.)
     
    To put this in perspective, in 2008 the Wall St market crash cost will markets an estimated 28 trillion dollars and brought the world to the edge of global depression. At 8 meters of sea level rise (the melting of the the Greenland ice sheet,) an estimated 1/2 of the world's population would have to migrate resulting in thousands of trillions of dollars in real estate and infrastructure losses.)
     
    c.) At what level of carbon pollution in the atmosphere (measured in parts per million [ppm],) will produce which level of temperature increase and sea level rise --- and once again most importantly, when will we reach the various levels of projected atmospheric carbon pollution measured in parts per million;  i.e. carbon 450, carbon 500, carbon 700, carbon 850, etc?

    (We are currently at about 400 carbon ppm. Some our best scientists warn that anything over carbon 350 is courting climate catastrophe and that carbon 450 is near certain and potentially irreversible CCD. (We are currently adding approximately 2 ppm of carbon to the atmosphere per year, but that current annual 2 carbon ppm amount now appears to be rising in a non-linear, exponential growth curve as well.)
     

    d.) Will the many game-changing or wildcard feedback loop variables effecting the speed of temperature rise and sea level rise occur faster and more unpredictably than anyone could have imagined or, have we already crossed these tipping points?

    These feedback loops and climate wild cards would be things like massive loss of the atmospheric carbon-eating forests because of heat, drought and wildfires, massive releases of methane from the warming and decaying of the permafrost near the polar areas, (methane produces 20 times the greenhouse heat-holding effect that carbon does for three years in the atmosphere before it decays back into simple carbon again,) massive die offs of the carbon-eating sea plankton because of the growing carbonization and acidification of the oceans, massive loss of white polar and glacial ice that reflects much earth-heating solar heat back into space in what is called the Albedo effect and, the greatest threat of all --- at what level of rising ocean temperature will we thaw and release the gigatons of frozen methane hydrate crystals trapped along the continental shelves of our oceans.

    This last and sudden mega release of carbon into the atmosphere from methane hydrate crystals is predicted to be to what could become the last great planetary extinction event that will leave either no one left or as few as 200 million of us left living close to the poles. (Scientists have theorized this massive methane release occurred once before millions of years ago and was the most probable cause of one of the 5 previous great mass extinction events of our planetary history. It was called the PETM extinction event. Also see Six Degrees: Our Future On a Hotter Planet by Mark Lynas for more information on this. The 200 million survivor scenario is from The Vanishing Face of Gaia by James Lovelock.)
     
    e.) What is the momentum and/or inertia tipping points of heat capture in the oceans caused by the increasing temperature in the atmosphere? Oceans take up and release atmospheric heat slowly and, there is a lag time because of this inertia/momentum issue. This means that any changes we make now to reduce atmospheric carbon pollution may not have any significant effect for 50 years or more because of inertia/momentum of previously captured heat by the oceans.
     
    This additional set of ocean temperature inertia/momentum tipping points must also be factored into all the climate model calculations with all of the other still unknown climate tipping points. The population of earth needs to prepared that if we immediately stopped all human caused carbon pollution today the temperature of then planet still may continue going up to critical levels for another 50-100 years or more just due to ocean heating inertia/momentum and tipping points.
     
    f.) Here is some more bad news about political and social inertia that also has to be factored into realistic solution calculations. It takes about 25 years to evolve a whole industry from one product, and manufacturing and distribution system to another. It has been estimated that if every nation on the planet immediately enforced heavy penalties on all forms of carbon pollution and also stopped the construction of all new coal energy generation plants in 25 years we would have only about a 50-80 drop in current human caused carbon pollution levels. That has not happened yet and based on current attitudes and politics has almost no change of happening. Estimating political, economic and social take-action typing points will also be critical to all cataclysmic climate destabilization computer models if we are ever going to enact a solution to this global threat.  
     
    Also consider this, the above climate wild cards and tipping points are NOT currently built into and used by climate prediction models because the research on when these tipping points and will cards will occur is just not there yet. There are many ways these tipping points and wild cards can whipsaw against each other and the overall climate and become reinforcing feedback looks that would make sea levels rise and the temperature rise far faster and sooner that anyone could predict using the current climate models that do not contain the essential tipping point and wild card information.
     
    For example, what if the rise in temperature causes the melting permafrost to cross its tipping point where instead of releasing methane in a linear progression, it tips over into an exponential progression releasing far more methane into the atmosphere. (Methane has 20 times the heat-holding greenhouse effect of simple carbon.) Tthis surge in atmospheric greenhouse heat energy retention from methane then causes the global temperature to surge exponentially. Then triggers the ice melting tipping points where the already vulnerable West Antartica ice shelf breaks off destabilizing much of the the surrounding ice causing it too to break off the ice shelf and begin melting in the sea. The temperature surge causes massive melting in Greenland and other areas causing another tipping point to be reached --- the massive loss of heat reflecting ice (the Albedo effect,) causes another surge in global temperature.
     
    The previous crossed tipping points have added so much additional heat energy to the atmosphere that droughts and wild fires cause a massive kill off of atmospheric carbon eating trees, which then crosses another tipping point because far less carbon is being naturally being eaten by trees. This then causes another spike and surge in global temperature which makes many of the other tipping points factors deteriorate even faster and this then causes a massive die off of sea plankton (that also eat carbon,) due to the acidification of the oceans now absorbing more and more of the carbon pollution that was in the past converted by trees and plankton to oxygen or other harmless substances.
     
    Finally, the whipsawing and self reinforcing feedback loops of all the tipping points and wild cards collectively cause a tipping point to be crossed in ocean heating and the ocean begins to warm exponentially as well. (The oceans are the main place that atmospheric heat is eventually captured. When heat is captured in the oceans the heat causes the seas to expand also contributing to sea level rise.) The oceans keep heating up until the major catastrophic tipping point is crossed where frozen methane hydrate crystals begin to thaw in mass and suddenly release gigatons of additional methane into the atmosphere spiking both temperature and sea levels once again to extinction level events.
     
    Some researchers have implied that the increasing human-caused carbon pollution in the atmosphere (that is the controllable and main cause for increasing catastrophic climate destabilization,) has the potential to cause more human suffering and death as well as political, social and economic destabilization than the total sum of all wars in all of human history. In spite of this shocking and real climate caused possibility, as of yet, no national intelligence agency in any country (even with all their super computers and unlimited budgets,) has either discovered or published the accurate tipping point answers to any of the tipping point questions and wildcard issues mentioned above. This in and of itself should by viewed by every citizen as the greatest single national security failure by the world's intelligence agencies to protect their own populations and respective national security interests from a real, growing and potentially game-ending threat to civilization and human life as we know it.
     
    Some experts fear that when more science is in on these climate tipping points we may discover ourselves to be either already beyond or soon beyond the critical tipping points. If we have passed any major climate tipping point unknowingly, we may be experiencing significantly worst climate extremes in as little as 5-15 years. Others researchers suggest we have 20-30 years until it gets really bad while other researchers say it will take 50-100 years.

    Good CCD tipping point research is simply just not solid enough yet. If it was, it would allow us to decide which researchers with differing time estimates for when the worse CCD consequences will hit us right or wrong. Without this critical climate tipping point research being completed, it is also impossible to propose and implement an optimally effective and rational plan and know it will work in time to prevent the worst of the consequences of catastrophic climate destabilization.


    Catastrophic climate destabilization is complex. It takes real effort and dialectical systems thinking skill sets to understand the current science and uncover the gaping lack of reliable information concerning the correct time frames, evolving locations and consequences for the climate destabilization tipping points.
     
    Once I personally really understood coming consequences of increasing CCD and our current state of collective lack of understanding it, I realized how unlikely it is that our governments will address CCD in time to avoid real global climate catastrophe. Because of this realization I became deeply saddened for months.
     
    There are still many CCD deniers, ignorers and uninformed. If we do not immediately change our increasing carbon polluting ways both individually or collectively we will all have to begin preparation and adaption strategies for this emerging ecological, economic and societal nightmare.

    To help inform about these problems our organization UniverseSpirit.org has created a special web page and a few short blog posts that help you understand the scale of the CCD problem in more detail, particularly the tipping points as well as strategies to resolve, prepare for or adapt to CCD. Knowing when, where and to what level the key climate destabilization tipping points and wild cards will occur as well as more about their most probable chain of consequences is currently the world's most valuable information! Those nations, corporations, markets and individuals who possess it first not only have a vast survival edge, they can also prepare for or capitalize on that information to potentially become the most powerful and wealthy entities that have ever existed.
     
    The web links below contain short videos to make the how's and why's of catastrophic climate destabilization more simple as well as some of the most current research found in books like, Six Degrees: Our Future On a Hotter Planet by Mark Lynas or, Our Last Chance to Save Humanity, by James Hansen. (Please help spread this information by forwarding this CCD blog post to other individuals and organizations.)
     
       To get the basic overview of the CCD challenge,click here.
     
     
    To see the 4 most important things that you can do to help prevent catastrophic climate destabilization, click here.
     
    To go to the Universe Blog and see more blog postings about CCD tipping points and strategies for preparing for catastrophic climate destabilization, click here.

    Sincerely,
    Lawrence Wollersheim
  • Monday, May 14, 2012 - 14:27
    Tuesday, August 21, 2012 - 14:22

    More non-profit environmental groups, media, NGO's, corporations and governments are beginning to abandon the terms global warming and climate change for the new terms climate destabilization and catastrophic climate destabilization. They are doing so for many reasons.

    The term climate change is so vague it conveys almost nothing of the real importance of the current climate crisis. The climate is always changing in our daily experience of our weather --- so what is the big deal or importance of another discussion about something that seems so innocent as climate change!

    The term global warming has been confusing to the general public's personal experience of the ever-changing global weather. Global warming is also not accurate enough to describe the current climate conditions that humanity now faces since the idea of global warming was first introduced to the public in the 1970's.

    Global warming leads the average person to believe that the whole world will be getting warmer consistently. Yet, as the average temperature of the planet increases, certain places will actually become colder. Some places may become warmer, it's true, but the problem is not just that our air conditioning costs will rise. Because of other natural climate factors, some years it will be warmer and there will be worse storms and some years less, but in spite of this inconsistency the climate destabilization trend will be toward warmer temperatures and more extreme storms. 

    We'll also be dealing with more destructive, frequent and far more severe storms, which will take new drainage pathways never seen before. Sudden and extreme flooding will increase in certain places while intensifying drought, wildfires and desertification will be the issue in others. We will also be dealing with rising sea levels (possibly up to 2 to as many as 8 meters before the end of the century,) and storm surges from that rise in sea level like the planet has not seen in tens of thousands of years.

    Climate destabilization or catastrophic climate destabilization are the new terms of art because they are far more accurate and useful in reflecting what is already happening and what will continue to happen with increasing severity, scale and frequency --- unless we take effective planet-wide action immediately! Destabilization is accurate term because the global climate is being destabilized from a relatively stable post ice age state toward a much hotter state resembling a much hotter state from far earlier in the planet's fiery evolution. Destabilization is also reflective of what will happen to our economic, political and social systems as increasing human caused carbon pollution accelerates climate destabilization.

    If we do not take action, climate destabilization or catastrophic climate destabilization are the perfect terms for describing what will probably lead to the eventual catastrophic reduction of the human population from almost 8 billion to several hundred million people forced to live near the poles.

    The terms climate destabilization or catastrophic climate destabilization also convey the true urgency of the situation every time you use them. They re-frame and redefine the climate discussion toward the real problems and rapidly growing catastrophic consequences of the issue rather than toward vague or misleading descriptions of the ambiguity of the issue. (If your a farmer, and you lose your annual crop to CCD caused drought that's a catastrophe with urgency! If your a home owner, and you lose your home to CCD caused floods or wildfires that's a catastrophe with real urgency! If your a consumer and your food prices keep going up because of CCD caused droughts and shortages and you cannot afford enough food to eat --- that's an urgent serious problem and a catastrophe in the making for billions of individual people --- just like you and I.

    If CCD goes out of control to its potential projected maximums and 7.8 billion people die, that is the ultimate catastrophe. It will be the extinction or near extinction of the human species and many other species that will go with us. This is growing loss of species is already being called the sixth great mass extinction event.

    Bringing up the subject of catastrophic climate destabilization with others also engenders a whole new level of reaction and engagement. It sounds bad --- is bad and, can convincingly be argued that it is the most important single issue related to our species' survival or our descending environmental quality of life in the 21 st century.

    Simply put, resolving cataclysmic climate destabilization has become the single most important task in all of human history. Continuing to use the older, confusing or vague terms such as global warming or climate change hides the real consequence issues and the criticalness of the problem to all of humanity.

    "The greatest fear for the future of humanity is the still unknown critical tipping points involved in today's accelerating catastrophic climate destabilization. Without discovering these quickly, we could find ourselves facing complete extinction as a species without even knowing that we had passed the climate tipping points of no return (or reasonable recovery,) until it was too late to do anything about it. No other fear or human problem today matches the destructive scope, probability and immediacy of this climate destabilization challenge.

    Catastrophic Climate Destabilization should be thought of in the same scope of potential global destructiveness as a massive asteroid on a direct, certain and imminent collision course with earth. You certainly would not sit idle in that situation without demanding more and better information from your leaders on arrival dates, consequences and necessary preparations. Why aren't we collectively doing this now for catastrophic climate destabilization?" Lawrence Wollersheim

    Please stop using the confusing and misleading terms global warming and climate change and start using climate destabilization or catastrophic climate destabilization and watch what happens. The global warming and climate change conversation has been going on for over 30 years with little success. Please encourage other individuals and organizations to help change the climate conversation by using more accurate and the more useful terms climate destabilization and catastrophic climate destabilization.

    This is something very simple and easy that everyone can do. This long overdue, appropriate and far more accurate re-framing of this issue alone will do a tremendous amount to move us closer to its resolution. Or as the Buddhists might say "right speech (words,) leads to right action."

    To learn more about what the key things that we need to do to effectively resolve cataclysmic climate destabilization, click here.

    Lawrence Wollersheim

    *The term catastrophic climate destabilization was first used by Greg Craven in his book, What's the Worst that Could Happen? A rational response to the climate change debate.

     

  • Monday, May 14, 2012 - 12:58
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 18:57

    The following is a prioritized list of the key things that can be done by anyone who understands that we cannot delay action on this issue any longer. The first two items on this list are ranked in order of highest priority, effectiveness and need.

    It is urgent that we act now. Averting the looming global climate catastrophe will take the most massive and immediate human effort ever coordinated in human history. For all of the effective actions you can do to prevent catastrophic climate destabilization, click here.

  • Tuesday, April 24, 2012 - 19:52
    Monday, July 30, 2012 - 13:29

    There is a gargantuan body of scientific evidence telling us that cataclysmic climate destabilization (commonly known as global warming or climate change) is a real, human-caused problem that is getting worse and could end human civilization and humanity as we know it, but shockingly --- is not being adequately addressed by our governments. But none of these things is the greatest of our current problems. No, the biggest current problem with cataclysmic climate destabilization (CCD) is that there are still far too many unknown tipping points that aren’t known or included in the current supercomputer climate models which, if discovered, could prove all recent timeline and severity predictions for catastrophic climate destabilization to be grossly incorrect.

     

    Because these CCD tipping points are still unknown, humanity may continue failing to take action in properly addressing the issue. We may then pass these tipping points unwittingly, moving beyond the scenario in which a manageable, expedient and realistic remedy to CCD exists. Specifically, this could mean that a predicted total global warming of 2 to 4° Celsius  in 100 years could turn out to be 4 to 7° in 30-50 years or less. It could also mean that ocean temperatures would continue rising for centuries and that the Arctic ice could melt quickly and also be gone for centuries.

     

    If you don’t know much about the catastrophic climate destabilization issue, this talk of tipping points might not mean much to you. If this is the case, I strongly recommend that you quickly read Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, by Mark Lynas and Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity, by James Hansen. These two books will help you prepare your family, your community and your country for what is coming—quite possibly much sooner than any of us have previously imagined.

     

    Not only is there widespread denial about current climate science, but there is a good deal of uncertainty about tipping points within the climate science and climate model literature. Thus, intelligence agencies and international corporations are still not certain about how to adjust their long-term strategies to address the increasingly catastrophic destabilization of the climate. And this leads to the subject of this posting. There is no crowdsourcing task that is more important than the discovery of the now-unknown tipping points that would push cataclysmic climate destabilization beyond the point of no return. As a first step, the nations and big corporations of the world have to direct a far larger portion of their resources to researching more accurate measurements of all of the factors that are either mitigating or increasing catastrophic climate destabilization. More comprehensive and regular measurements will create better models, which can then be used to gauge these tipping points with greater accuracy.

     

    The great reward for those individuals who are able to discover the key to climate change tipping points is survival for themselves and future generations, as well as the avoidance of global economic, political and social destabilization. Once we’ve successfully resolved the issue of tipping points through crowdsourcing, we can move on to finding ways to effectively reduce human-caused climate destabilization. This is necessary because existing solutions to CCD, such as eliminating coal-burning emissions by 2020 and the seldom-discussed idea to institute a carbon fee and public dividend, are currently locked in a national paralysis of opposing interests.

     

    If crowdsourcing does not solve the problems that governments, corporations and intelligence agencies have not been able to solve thus far, then perhaps it will be useful in determining how best to prepare for and adapt to the increasingly destructive effects of catastrophic climate destabilization that will be threatening humanity over the next 5 to 100 years; perhaps crowdsourcing will be what enables us, our children and grandchildren to survive with the minimal amount of loss, suffering and death.

     

    Lawrence Wollersheim

    For Universe Spirit

  • Tuesday, March 27, 2012 - 22:17
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 16:27

    But let us return to James Lovelock for a moment; early on in The Vanishing Face of Gaia he does recognize his pessimism and the fact that the the grim message in his last book, The Revenge of Gaia, gave us nothing to hope for. “But,” he writes in The Vanishing Face of Gaia, “Pessimism is justified by the difference between the forecasts of the IPCC and what observers find in the real world of September 2008.” (pp 6-7) And now it’s 2012 and there’s still cause for pessimism, especially after the UN Climate Conference in Durban, South Africa in 2011, which 350.org called “a cowardly, unacceptable delay on global climate action -- and a recipe for climate disasters.”

     

    But here’s a reason for hope, which Lovelock offers up on page 28: “We are the intelligent elite among animal life on earth...it has taken Gaia 3.5 billion years to evolve an animal that can think and communicate its thoughts.” Gaia is Lovelock’s idea that “the Earth’s biosphere behaves as though it were a single organism.” (p. XIII)

     

    Earth image and star field background

    Whether or not this is true, the idea that we are the intelligent elite is extremely important. And this is where the necessity for Universe Citizens comes in. As we recognize that we are the product of 13.7 billion years of evolutionary testing, that we are the universe become conscious of itself and that every human on this planet shares that distinction, we may be able to overcome our differences, disputes and previous mistakes and commit instead to partnering with the universe in consciously evolving a world that is more equitable and sustainably prosperous for everyone. Perhaps the climate destabilization issue is just the wake up call we need in order to come together in this way, deepen our awareness and live up to the title of “the intelligent elite.”   

     

    Please feel encouraged to leave comments, subscribe to our RSS feed and join in the Job One journey!

     

    ***Photo by: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio

     

     

  • Tuesday, March 27, 2012 - 21:44
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 16:29

    Catastrophic climate destabilization. Sounds scary, right? Well, quite frankly, most of the projected impacts of our changing climate are, in fact, very scary. But is fear useful to us in this situation? To be honest, when Lovelock says in The Vanishing Face of Gaia: A Final Warning that “it is too late for us to try to save our familiar world,” the effect for me is that hope and optimism quickly dissipate. It’s hard to act when failure is guaranteed.

     

    In Ondi Timoner’s documentary Cool It (based on his book by the same name) Bjorn Lomborg addresses the fear issue when he says that “the scare tactics used to motivate people have gone too far. The hysteria blocks clear thinking, diverts money to the wrong solutions.” This video takes a good look at the argument put forth by Lomborg, author of Cool It: The Skeptical Environmentalist's Guide to Global Warming. Lomborg fits Craven's definition of a skeptic because he doesn’t support the idea of making drastic, urgent carbon cuts. But he does believe that “global warming’s real, it’s man-made, and it’s an important problem,” and that we ought to invest in solutions that are both environmentally and economically viable. His message is even somewhat uplifting: the world is actually the best it’s ever been; we’ve never before had things so good. Plus there is a bevy of possible solutions, from water splitting to wave power, and if we would fund research, we might be able to actually enact change on the climate destabilization issue. The overall effect of this particular video was that I felt much more hopeful about our ability to address the climate change issue and to solve many of the world’s other problems in the meantime.

     

    Waves Beenbane Beach

    (harnessing the power of waves could help our climate, according to Lomborg.)

     

    After all, that’s what we’re really hoping for here at Universe Spirit. We feel we must first address the catastrophic destabilization of the climate so that humanity can continue--but in a new direction, with sustainable prosperity for all. This would mean that all humans have the same basic level of access to food, shelter and health care, for example. And and it appears that these are some of the issues that Bjorn Lomborg and the Copenhagen Consensus Center are also trying to address.  

    Please feel encouraged to leave comments, subscribe to our RSS feed and join the Job One journey!

     

    ***photo by Barbara Walsh, who is unaffiliated with our organization.

  • Tuesday, March 27, 2012 - 21:11
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 16:31

    So, on the advice of Greg Craven, we ask the question: what’s the worst that could happen? Looking to sources we believe are highly credible, we find James Lovelock, fellow of the Royal Society, former NASA consultant and author of The Vanishing Face of Gaia: A Final Warning, who tells us that “we do have to take seriously the possibility that global heating may all but eliminate people from the Earth.” A solemn response to our question.

     

    In addition, and for the more imminent future, he suggests that “the droughts of summer will intensify. In the United States, memories of the 1930s Dust Bowl will be revived. Australia has already suffered eleven years of continuous drought; Europeans will recall the awful summer of 2003; and in China, Africa and Southern Asia, famine is a familiar enemy. Like the foot of an elephant on an anthill, global heating will crush life from the continental plains.”

    NRCSDC01008 - Flickr - USDAgov

    (Dust Bowl, circa 1930s. By U.S. Department of Agriculture (NRCSDC01008) [CC-BY-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons)

     

    James Hansen, the director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies who is also well known for his 1988 testimony to the United States Senate committee and subsequent years of activism around mitigating the effects of climate change, is, in our mind, another very reliable source of climate information. His new book, Storms of My Grandchildren: The Truth About the Coming Climate Catastrophe and Our Last Chance to Save Humanity, was written despite the fact that he would really prefer to “to just do science.” In the preface of his book he writes that “If it hadn’t been for my grandchildren and my knowledge of what they would face, I would have stayed focused on the pure science, and not persisted in pointing out its relevance to policy.” But because he does understand the issue and feels compelled to share that information for the good of future generations, he continues to propose that action be taken.

     

    Quite early in this book Hansen provides one possible answer to our question of what’s the worst that could happen. “The startling conclusion,” he writes, “is that continued exploitation of all fossil fuels on Earth threatens not only the other millions of species on the planet but also the survival of humanity itself--and the timetable is shorter than we thought.”

     

    Such admonitions are part of the reason why we will henceforth refer to the issue commonly known as global warming--or climate change--as catastrophic climate destabilization, a term used by Craven in his book, What's the Worst That Could Happen?: A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate. The other labels just don’t seem to adequately describe what we are actually facing here. The term “global warming” is potentially confusing to people, since, as the average global temperature increases, some places on Earth could actually become much colder. And predictions for six degrees of overall warming include the possibility of “devastating massive extinction” and the breakdown of traditional social systems. So we think that with such catastrophic potentialities, “climate change” doesn’t quite cut it either. Of course, you’ll see all of these phrases used in this blog as various sources use different terms. But given the concern of such prominent scientists, we do feel that catastrophic climate destabilization is the most apt way of phrasing it.

  • Tuesday, March 27, 2012 - 19:07
    Tuesday, May 15, 2012 - 11:39

     

    Greg Craven, the high school science teacher who created The Most Terrifying Video You'll Ever See 2, also wrote a book called What's the Worst That Could Happen?: A Rational Response to the Climate Change Debate. A quick, easy, and fun read, this little book explains the platforms of the "warmers" and the "skeptics," or those who support the idea that we should take significant action to cut carbon emissions and those who oppose this idea, respectively.

     

    Electricity power plant, Kozani, Greece

    In this book, Craven doesn't attempt to decide who's right, but seeks instead to equip everyone with thinking tools that are actually helpful in deciding upon a course of action. In his view, it's all about "changing the question from, Is it true? to, What's the worst that could happen?" So he introduces  the decision grid and the credibility spectrum, two concepts that get us thinking for ourselves about the evidence that we do have, who's providing this evidence, and how to make a decision with it. As he points out, "part of the strength of the credibility spectrum and the decision grid is that they don't require perfection. You do what you can with the time you've got, make a provisional decision, and then remain open to new information."

     

    This is important, since scientists are telling us that we haven't actually got much time left in which to take decisive action before feedback loops kick in and we reach a tipping point in our climate system. Such a tipping point would mean irreversible changes, potentially catastrophic. In fact, although he uses "global warming" throughout his book to refer to the climate change issue, Craven frequently mentions "the risk we run of triggering abrupt and catastrophic climate destabilization." His advice for immediate action: get the word out. This blog is our attempt to do just that: to circulate the facts that we have, to facilitate discussion and to motivate policymakers to action.

     

    Please feel encouraged to join the discussion; share your comments and subscribe via RSS to our blog!

     

    ***Photo by Lisa Murray: Electricity Power Plant, Kozani, Greece

  • Tuesday, March 27, 2012 - 18:06
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 16:34

     

    As is evident from our previous call to action, Universe Spirit believes that Job One for Humanity is to reduce the impact of anthropogenic (human-caused) climate destabilization--a real threat to humanity with potentially catastrophic consequences--and that we must act quickly in order to mitigate and adapt to these consequences.

     

    But despite our certainty that action of some kind is required, we recognize that the climate destabilization issue includes a good deal of uncertainty--and some controversy. We plan to look at both sides of the debate as we search for a fuller understanding of the issue, for as John Stuart Mill points out in his classic essay On Liberty, “since the general or prevailing opinion on any subject is rarely or never the whole truth, it is only by the collision of adverse opinions that the remainder of the truth has any chance of being supplied.” That is why we’ll be researching--and inviting input from--the climate “skeptics” on our site. Even though we’ve already come to certain conclusions, we are aware that life in this universe is a constant learning process, and we welcome every point of view that may add to our search for solutions.

     

    Aurora Composite Image

     

    As we continue to learn about this issue (and share that learning with you through this blog) we will approach the problem from a multidisciplinary, universe-scaled evolutionary systems perspective, applying our knowledge of the Universe Evolutionary Principles and the new Universe Evolutionary Worldview at points along the way. We invite comments from anyone whose approach or opinion is based on a sincere desire to contribute to our mission with their particular version of the truth. We’re looking forward to making this site a forum for collaborative learning. We’d love for you to join us on this journey! 

    Please feel encouraged to share your comments and to subscribe via RSS in order to join the journey. 

     

    *** Thank you to the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, whose flickr photostream provided the above image. It beautifully illustrates how much we have learned about the universe in which we live. This is a composite image of a coronal mass ejection on the sun and the aurora it produces on earth--seen from space and from the earth itself.

  • Wednesday, February 29, 2012 - 14:49
    Saturday, August 18, 2012 - 16:42

    Our world is at a turning point; revolutions are happening everywhere, and the push for change is in the air. Yes, change is literally in the air. Human activity is causing carbon in the atmosphere to increase about 2 ppm per year. As of this writing, we are at 393 ppm, so if we continue with business as usual, it won’t be too long until we’ve reached 450 ppm. According to Jeremy Rifkin (referencing James Hansen, head of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies), 450 ppm would correspond to a temperature increase of six degrees Celsius in this century, and “the end of human civilization as we’ve come to know it.” So now’s the time to harness the revolutionary energy that is sweeping the world in order to save this planet and all of its beauty, to save all the glory of humanity’s existence.

    If we do not curb our greenhouse gas emissions in a timely manner, we will be dealing with dire consequences that will affect us all. In fact, we are dealing with consequences already; tropical storms are taking paths never seen before, causing surprising flash floods in the southern Phillippines. And according to Mark Lynas, author of Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet, if global temperatures continue to increase—even just two degrees Celsius—it would mean that “Miami would disappear entirely, as would most of Manhattan. Central London would be flooded. Bangkok, Bombay, and Shanghai would also lose most of their area. In all, half of humanity would have to move to higher ground.”

    Recognizing the scope of the potential calamity, the Maldives has committed to becoming carbon neutral by 2020. As President Nasheed said at the United Nations Summit on Climate Change in 2009, “If things go business as usual, we will not live, we will die. Our country will not exist.” Tuvalu also will cease to exist, should we be unable to curb the emissions that are causing temperatures and sea levels to rise so dramatically. How unlucky the citizens of those island nations would be if their homes just vanished completely. But truly, if these parts of our world disappear, it will be the loss of every inhabitant of Earth. Are we going to sit idly by and watch Earth’s various beauties sink and melt away in coming decades?

    Tuvalu - Funafuti - Beach #4

    The effects of climate change are perhaps not so visible to all of us at the moment, but if we give it enough time, they will be. If the Greenland ice sheet melts completely, we all lose something. This planet is full of so many treasures, treasures that we may not get back after they’re gone. So it is time for us to come together as global citizens in order to solve the problems associated with severe climate change, ahead of time, before it’s too late. If we bring our energy, attention and intelligence to finding the best solutions to this complicated issue, we could potentially solve many of the other problems humanity faces in the process. But if we fail to deal with the increasing amounts of greenhouse gases in our atmosphere, we won’t be doing much of anything at all. For, according to Mark Lynas, if we let our planet’s temperature increase by as much as six degrees Celsius, “it would cause a mass extinction of almost all life and probably reduce humanity to a few struggling groups of embattled survivors clinging to life near the poles." Thus, it’s time to make things better—not just to prevent the worst, but to really make everything better—for everyone on this planet.

    For more information on what you can do to resolve climate destabilization and be a part of the Job One for Humanity team, click here.

    *** thank you to Stefan Lins, from whose flickr photostream we got the beautiful photo (above) of Tuvalu!