What The People Want

The slow burning social upheaval powering One Nation

Graham Young — Tue, 31 Mar 2026 18:57:59 +1000

After our last poll we realised we lacked a mechanism that could explain the remarkable rise of One Nation on the one hand and the decline of the Coalition on the other.

Liberal Party was in desperate straits before the latest polling that puts One Nation on up to 29%

Graham Young — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 20:21:18 +1000

This is the full analysis of the political questions in our January qualitative survey of Australian voting intentions. I've put a summary of some of the major points below. You can download the full report with tables, Leximancer maps and representative verbatims by clicking here.

Election 2025: a sliding doors moment—but not how Peter Dutton imgained it

Graham Young — Wed, 21 May 2025 11:16:52 +1000

Peter Dutton called the 2025 election a “sliding doors moment”—and it was, though perhaps not as he intended. Our polling suggests the result was more a collapse in Coalition support than a surge to Labor.

Albanese moves ahead by default

Graham Young — Thu, 17 Apr 2025 12:43:21 +1000

This is the first set of results from our poll that closed on April 3. Compared to our January poll, Peter Dutton has faded while Anthony Albanese has moved ahead, mostly as a result.

Omnibus Poll January 2025

Graham Young — Thu, 30 Jan 2025 15:23:23 +1000

The race is tight between the two major parties on paper, but at this stage I’d prefer to be Peter Dutton than Anthony Albanese.
The Coalition seems to have a greater wave of enthusiasm behind it than any other group apart from Independents.

Exit Poll, Queensland 2024

Graham Young — Mon, 04 Nov 2024 22:04:30 +1000

This was a time for a change election. Generally, when the word “change” is present in responses in our surveys it is closely twinned with “climate”. This was still the case in questions about direction and general issues and election issues, but when we asked about final voting intentions “change” was most closely linked to “time”. David Crisafulli’s small target strategy was all about trying to cement this feeling in voters’ minds while minimising opportunities for the government to focus on his policies.

Crisafulli wins only because Labor loses

Graham Young — Wed, 23 Oct 2024 21:32:54 +1000

David Crisafulli’s small target strategy looks like it will pay off according to our poll taken in the first weeks of the official campaign.

NSW election 2023 Survey 1

Graham Young — Wed, 15 Mar 2023 16:40:38 +1000

Voters are unenthusiastic about the choice between the government and the opposition and moderately unenthusiastic about the direction of the state. Cost of living is the major issue, which includes housing affordability and the cost of electricity.

Andrews ahead, but opponents are legion

Graham Young — Tue, 22 Nov 2022 16:35:07 +1000

In 2018 Andrews started close to level with Guy on personal approval and pollsters predicted a close race. By the end of the campaign the ALP scored 57.3% of the two-party vote, and while Andrews’ approval had increased, Guy’s had collapsed, most dramatically amongst Liberal voters. This was a landslide of historic proportions.

Exit poll - it was a Seinfeld election

Graham Young — Sun, 28 Aug 2022 21:14:51 +1000

This election was a Seinfeld election – it was more about personalities than plot, and not a lot happened.