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DARPA's Chilling Pre-COVID Blueprint: Predict, Manufacture, & Deploy Pandemics On Demand

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 23:50:00 +0000

DARPA's Chilling Pre-COVID Blueprint: Predict, Manufacture, & Deploy Pandemics On Demand

Authored by Jon Fleetwood, via Substack,

A sprawling, multi-institution effort for "predicting" future pathogen characteristics, developing vaccines "in advance of need," and building the very systems intended to validate those predictions.

The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) spent the early 2010s constructing what may have been the most ambitious predictive vaccine-development infrastructure ever attempted: a sprawling, multi-institution effort designed to determine the future characteristics of purported pathogens before they emerged and ultimately use those predictions to develop drugs and vaccines before they were needed.

The program, known as PROPHECY—short for Pathogen Defeat—was announced in 2010 under Broad Agency Announcement DARPA-BAA-10-93 and was managed by DARPA’s Defense Sciences Office.

DARPA itself described the vaccine-centric purpose of the program unambiguously.

According to the agency: “The Prophecy (Pathogen Defeat) program will explore the evolution of viruses in the hopes of predicting viral mutations and ultimately developing drugs and vaccines in advance of need.”

The effort was not limited to coronaviruses, influenza, or any other single disease category.

DARPA repeatedly stated that the goal was understanding: “the natural evolution of any virus.”

The result was a massive architecture that brought together machine learning researchers, statisticians, bioinformaticians, computational biologists, laboratory scientists, surveillance specialists, universities, contractors, and national laboratories into a single “predictive” framework.

Yesterday, this website reported that DARPA’s PROPHECY program expanded into the laboratory of coronavirus researcher Ralph Baric years before the COVID-19 pandemic and nearly a decade before the DARPA/DEFUSE proposal documented all three defining structural features of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein prior to the outbreak.

DARPA Wanted to Turn Vaccine Development from Reactive to Predictive

DARPA openly believed that existing vaccine development operated backwards.

The agency described the modern pharmaceutical model as: “observational and reactive.”

PROPHECY was intended to replace that model with one that was: “predictive and preemptive.”

Rather than waiting for future purported disease threats to appear before beginning the process of characterization and countermeasure development, DARPA sought systems capable of determining the characteristics of future pathogen populations in advance.

Everything in PROPHECY flowed from that objective.

Building the Blueprint Before the Pathogen

DARPA’s ambitions extended far beyond outbreak forecasting.

The agency stated: “DARPA seeks to achieve the ability to successfully predict the natural evolution of any virus, via platforms and algorithms which are capable of monitoring rare advantageous viral events…”

The program sought systems capable of determining:

future mutations,
future reassortments,
future genetic events,
the order in which mutations would emerge,
genotype-to-phenotype relationships,
and ultimately the characteristics of future pathogen populations.

DARPA acknowledged: “there is at present no reliable capability to predict viral reassortment or mutations responsible for the emergence of new viral strains.”

Its proposed solution was: “An investigative platform to predict mutations and possibly reassortments in advance of their occurrence.”

The agency further explained that PROPHECY sought: “predictive algorithms of viral evolution that are informed and validated experimentally using high throughput biological platforms…” and: “the integration of a viral evolution platform with an algorithm that predicts mutations which confer an evolutionary advantage to the viral population.”

Among the formal requirements of the program was the ability to: “reproducibly predict the genomic, proteomic, and/or functional attributes of the final viral population.”

DARPA also sought to determine: “the rate and order of mutation acquisition” as well as: “the correlation of genotype to phenotype.”

The objective was not merely individual mutations.

It was the endpoint population itself.

Prediction Was Only the First Layer

PROPHECY was never designed to stop at prediction.

DARPA required participants to construct what it called: “biological validation systems” and repeatedly emphasized: “testing and validation of the system and algorithm.”

The BAA instructed performers to: “Perform a ‘real world’ test of the predictive algorithm and biological validation system…”

The purpose of that exercise was to determine whether researchers could: “reproducibly predict the genomic, proteomic, and/or functional attributes of the ending viral population.”

DARPA further instructed participants to: “develop a research strategy and solicit collaborations from partners” that would assist in: “applying their predictive methodology to surveillance data from the real world.”

The architecture described by PROPHECY therefore extended beyond prediction alone.

The program sought to construct systems capable not only of generating future pathogen blueprints, but also of attempting to validate those predictions experimentally and through subsequent observational frameworks.

Bottom Line

Amid COVID-19 debates, public attention has focused on later programs such as DEFUSE, ADEPT, pandemic mRNA platforms, and Operation Warp Speed.

But PROPHECY confirms that by 2010, DARPA was openly attempting to build a generalized predictive infrastructure capable of deciding the future characteristics of purported pathogens, using those predictions to enable drugs and vaccines in advance, and constructing systems intended to validate those predictions experimentally and through later observational frameworks.

Most importantly, the effort was never intended for a single disease.

PROPHECY sought to build this capability for: “any virus.”

Whether viewed as predictive biodefense, anticipatory genomics, preemptive countermeasure development, or something else, the architecture described by DARPA followed a remarkably consistent sequence:

vaccines as the objective;
future pathogen blueprints as the enabling technology;
“validation” systems as the final layer.

That architecture may ultimately prove to be one of the most consequential and least understood developments in the history of modern biodefense research.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 19:50

DHS Deports Convicted Child Rapist Gov. Tim Walz Pardoned

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 23:15:00 +0000

DHS Deports Convicted Child Rapist Gov. Tim Walz Pardoned

The Department of Homeland Security deported Tou Lue Vang on Friday, the Laotian national Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz pardoned last month in an effort to keep him in the country.

Vang, 42, entered the United States illegally and built a life in Minnesota that included, by his own admission, sexually abusing a 10-year-old girl. He pleaded guilty in 2006 to first-degree criminal sexual conduct after admitting he abused the girl over four years, starting in 2002. When police arrested him in 2005, he offered no denial. Instead, he told investigators that marrying and having sex with girls as young as 12 was a cultural practice.

The Department of Homeland Security said Vang also offered his victim $10 to stay quiet while the abuse continued.

By pleading guilty, Vang avoided prison, but lost legal status. A judge issued him a final removal order in October 2006, and under any normal enforcement regime, that would have been the end of the story. Instead, Vang stayed in the country for nearly two decades, until Trump administration agents caught up with him last year through Operation Metro Surge, a Minnesota-based immigration enforcement effort.

Records show Vang applied for a pardon in July 2025, anticipating his inevitable deportation. Walz granted it through the state's three-member pardon board, which also includes Attorney General Keith Ellison and Minnesota Chief Justice Natalie Hudson. The pardon wiped Vang's conviction from his record entirely.

"The Minnesota Board of Pardons made a unanimous decision to grant Tou Vang this pardon after an exhaustive process which included a statement of support for the pardon from the victim, a recommendation to grant the pardon from the Clemency Review Commission and a large number of community support letters," Ellison's office said in a statement.

The New York Times noted that Democratic governors "have long faced scrutiny for pardoning immigrants with criminal records who have served their sentences, in an effort to slow or halt their deportations. They often weigh a number of factors as part of their decision, including the severity of the crime," and added that "Mr. Vang's situation is notable in that it involves a sex offense against a child, a type of crime that is widely reviled."

The Department of Homeland Security condemned the decision to pardon him.

"These are the criminal illegal aliens [Walz] and his Minnesota sanctuary politicians are protecting," Lauren Bis, a spokeswoman for the Department of Homeland Security, said in a statement. "Tou Lue Vang lost his legal status following his conviction for repeatedly sexually assaulting a 10-year-old girl."

While the pardon effectively removed the conviction that was the basis for his deportation, the Department of Homeland Security announced Friday that ICE had taken Vang into custody and removed him from the United States despite the efforts of Walz and Ellison.

.@ICEgov has DEPORTED Tou Vang, the illegal alien CHILD RAPIST @GovTimWalz pardoned in an attempt to allow him to remain in our country. While Walz and his fellow sanctuary politicians fight to protect heinous criminals like this, we will continue putting the safety of the…
— Homeland Security (@DHSgov) July 10, 2026

Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the arrest himself in a video posted to X. "Just weeks ago, a convicted sex offender and a foreign national was shielded from deportation by the Governor of Minnesota," Rubio said. "Laotian national Tou Lue Vang was convicted of repeatedly sexually abusing a 10-year-old girl in the state of Minnesota. He even tried to pay his victim for her silence. And he called his heinous crimes a minor thing." Rubio noted the pardon came "just days before this foreign sex offender was scheduled to be deported," and said Walz "issued him a pardon setting him free to once again endanger the children of America." He described the response in plain terms. "This week I revoked his legal status in the United States and as a result, federal agents took him into custody. And as of today, he has been removed from the United States. Because of our action, this foreign criminal will never pose a threat to any American ever again." Rubio closed with a broader point about the arrangement voters are being asked to accept. "Americans must never be forced by their elected leaders to live alongside foreign sex criminals who have no right to begin with to reside in our country. This administration will always stand with the American people and defend them from violent criminals."

Laotian national Tou Lue Vang was convicted of sexually abusing a 10-year-old girl in Minnesota. He was set to be deported until @GovTimWalz issued him a pardon. Then, I revoked his legal status. @ICEgov has removed him from the U.S. and he will never endanger another…
— Secretary Marco Rubio (@SecRubio) July 10, 2026

The White House was even more blunt. "This case exposes the depravity of the Radical Left: they will literally pardon child rapists and defy federal law to protect criminal illegals," it said in a Friday statement.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 19:15

The Real Grid Crisis Is A State Policy Problem Dressed Up As A Market Failure

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 22:40:00 +0000

The Real Grid Crisis Is A State Policy Problem Dressed Up As A Market Failure

Authored by Todd Snitchler via RealClearEnergy,

There's a critique of PJM making the rounds: PJM - the largest grid operator in the United States - is too big. There are too many state interests at play, and PJM doesn't have the ability to function cohesively or quickly enough. FERC even scheduled a governance technical conference this month to examine whether PJM's stakeholder structure can move fast enough to respond to demand. The reality is that policy disagreements at the state level are dressed up as a procedural defect with the grid, opening the way for critics to point their reforms at the wrong target.

Disagreements at the state level are just what you'd expect, pitting those that generate enough power to export against those that depend on imports. Pennsylvania is PJM's energy workhorse, shipping out roughly a quarter of everything it generates. Illinois, West Virginia, and Michigan also produce more than they consume. The others - Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and Delaware - are net importers, and increasingly so as data centers expand across their footprints.

Exporters like Pennsylvania that are rich in nuclear, gas, and coal generation have fundamentally different interests in capacity pricing and transmission cost allocation from an importer state, which has restricted natural gas development, leaned hard into renewables, or joined an ambitious emission reduction program. When Virginia pulls in more expensive power from its neighbors, or when Maryland absorbs double-digit rate hikes, that isn't a governance failure - it's the market doing its job by revealing the cost of divergent state policy preferences (and thus resource access).

These state policy preferences are then lobbed at the market and its participants to respond to, whether by prematurely retiring generation, relying on tax subsidies, or simply building generation that is more expensive per megawatt when compared against traditional baseload fuels.

PJM is actively working to continue the evolution of the market to meet the demand of today and the future. It has cleared more than 60% of its interconnection backlog under a reformed study process and opened a new study cycle this spring in partnership with Google to apply AI to speed up the review process. A separate PJM program, the Reliability Resource Initiative, pulled in more than 11,000 MW of new projects that could come online quickly. PJM has also adjusted its review processes to allow more wind, solar, and storage to compete directly in the capacity auction. It's even accepted a price collar through 2030, demonstrating that it is willing to make short-term adjustments in response to concerns by state executives.

More than 46,000 MW of approved projects - over a quarter of PJM's existing capacity - already hold the right to build but are unable to move forward. Some 37,000 MW of PJM-approved generation can't even break ground at all because of state and local permitting fights. At the same time, state policy mandates have pushed working plants into early retirement, further tightening supply from the other end. The same governors demanding faster action are often the ones holding the permits and slow-walking the buildout of energy infrastructure while forcing closures of dispatchable power.

PJM is not too big. It has demonstrated time and again that it can run a competitive power market and ensure the reliable transportation of power across 13 very varied states and the District of Columbia. It's been successfully doing this for more than 30 years, delivering $5 billion in savings annually to customers, just as it was designed to do. It's accelerated the queue and kept the lights on. What the market cannot do is permit projects or draft legislation. States must recognize their role in restricting the full benefits of the market.

Asking PJM to continue navigating these policy issues in the same manner - trying to respond to all of them - is a recipe for disaster. The states are absolutely responsible for chucking icebergs into the path of this ship, and if it goes down, they'll have themselves to blame for the aftermath.

Todd Snitchler is President and CEO of the Electric Power Supply Association (EPSA).

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 18:40

Pro-Palestine Activist Reportedly Murdered By Migrant Boyfriend

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 22:05:00 +0000

Pro-Palestine Activist Reportedly Murdered By Migrant Boyfriend

The phrase "suicidal empathy" has exploded like wildfire across social media in the past year largely because there are so many tragic stories of migrant crime against people who advocate for open immigration. Liberal women and devout leftist activists work in immigration centers or open their homes to third world migrants, only to be brutally assaulted or murdered by those same people.

It's important to understand that the third world views the west not as a new home or an opportunity for integration, they view the west as a target for conquest. By extension, they see western citizens as people to be subdued; as fat cattle to be culled. Coexistence is simply impossible, but woke activists consistently risk their own lives and the lives of others in a foolish attempt prove the opposite.

Case in point: Prominent Irish Pro-Palestine activist Jamey Carney was found dead by her 13-year-old daughter in their rented home in Killarney, Ireland on July 7th, 2026 - Her skull was violently bludgeoned, though the official cause of death is listed as "suffocation".

The one and only suspect? Ahmad Al-Saqar, a Jordanian migrant who Carney met at a Pro-Palestine rally. She invited the man to stay at her home on occasion, though his primary residence was the government run asylum center (migrant hotel) in Killarney. Neighbors report a loud argument between Al-Saqar and Carney just before she was found dead.

The couple were in a romantic relationship and Al-Saqar often referred to Carney as his "bride" and his "princess" on social media.

The migrant is now on the run and is believed to have fled the UK for Turkey immediately after the murder. The chances of apprehension and punishment are slim. UK authorities are more likely to sweep migrant crimes under the rug than they are to pursue international suspects. Al-Saqar is believed to be Muslim (95% of Jordanians are Muslim), though official reports do not mention his religious background.

Jamey Carney was previously a US citizen, living in New York and working in real estate and insurance. Her reasons for moving to Ireland and diving into the activist movement in 2021 are not clear. However, relocation to Europe has been a growing trend among American liberals since 2016.

The irony of a woke activist being murdered by a migrant from Jordan is not surprising. The cultural divide in how women are treated in Islamic society vs western society is vast and violence against women is common. A number of progressive activists have been attacked by migrants across the US and Europe while engaging in advocacy programs. Yet, progressives continue to deny that third world immigration is dangerous.

Brenda Blainey, An 87-year-old woman in Thornton-le-Dale, North Yorkshire, befriended and invited Shahin Darvish-Narenjbon (a failed Iranian asylum seeker she met in a restaurant years earlier) to live with her. She treated him like a grandson, but he murdered her in her home in a vicious attack in 2023. He was later convicted of manslaughter (diminished responsibility).

Jean Dussine, a well-known 63-year-old French activist who headed a local migrant assistance organization and frequently hosted migrants in his personal home was bludgeoned to death in his sleep in May 2020. Police arrested a 21-year-old Afghan migrant who had confessed to the attack.

Numerous assaults, sexual assaults and murders have been reported across the UK and Europe in relation to migrant hotels. In many cases, these attacks target the very people working or volunteering at the hotels. However, most countries in Europe purposely avoid tracking the immigration status of suspects to prevent public backlash against multicultural projects.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 18:05

Fifth Circuit Rules Against In-State Tuition For Illegal Aliens

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 21:30:00 +0000

Fifth Circuit Rules Against In-State Tuition For Illegal Aliens

Authored by Catherine Salgado via PJMedia.com,

The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled in favor of the Trump administration and against woke states or universities that try to provide special tuition breaks to illegal aliens.

Brett Shumate, who serves as the assistant attorney general for the Department of Justice (DOJ) Civil Division, celebrated the court win on Thursday, July 9. This is a victory not only for the Trump administration, which is trying to enforce laws at the state level against law-breaking foreigners, but also for American taxpayers, who perforce contribute to public universities that then give special deals to illegal aliens. Meanwhile, many Americans can’t afford to attend college.

It is important to note that the ruling specifically states that universities cannot provide in-state tuition to aliens when it does not provide such benefits to American nationals regardless of residency. It therefore undercuts the tuition break for foreigners on the explicit argument of it being unfair to citizens not residing in the state in question.

The case concerned whether Texas universities could provide in-state tuition to illegal aliens in defiance of federal law while denying lower tuition to non-Texas students. The state’s governor, Greg Abbott, is very pleased with the new circuit court ruling. “Texas and the Trump DOJ just secured another major victory for the rule of law,” he declared. “The Fifth Circuit upheld the END of in-state tuition for illegal immigrants in Texas.”

Judicial Hub reported that the judges appointed by Ronald Reagan (Judge Jerry Smith) and Donald Trump (Judge Don Willett) issued the majority ruling while the Joe Biden-appointed Judge Irma Ramirez dissented. The ruling stated, as mentioned above, “Section 1623(a) preempts what we call the Challenged Provisions vis-à-vis illegal aliens, barring states from conferring postsecondary education benefits on any illegal alien based on residence unless the same benefit is available to all U.S. citizens and nationals irrespective of residency.”

As of October 2025, 22 states were reportedly offering in-state tuition to illegal aliens. That represents almost half of the United States. Hopefully the federal government can now enforce the restrictions given the Fifth Circuit Court ruling, presuming Democrats do not make the move they so often make of simply ignoring court decisions they dislike.

To give just one example of how unfair many universities and states can be, the University of Arizona provides advice to “DACA/Dreamer Applicants” (i.e., illegal aliens) on how to obtain in-state tuition prices and merit scholarships. The University of Arizona also slashed the amount of merit scholarships it was giving to American citizen students for the incoming fall 2026 freshman class. Maybe if the university would stop wasting money on foreigners who are not legally allowed to be present in the state, it would have more money for American students.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 17:30

The COVID Reckoning That Never Came

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 20:20:00 +0000

The COVID Reckoning That Never Came

Authored by Ed Dowd via 'Beyond The Narrative' substack,

The COVID Reckoning That Never Came... And the Silence That Proves the Psyop

Over the last several years I have been posting nonstop on X about the same nightmares we’ve been living through…the COVID psyop, the experimental mRNA shots, the mandates that destroyed lives, the injuries, the excess deaths, and the relentless propaganda machine that tried to silence anyone who noticed the bodies piling up. I have watched it all in real time: the fear porn, the goalpost moving, the “safe and effective” lies repeated like gospel while real-world data told a different story.

Now we have fresh, documented revelations that should have blown the lid off of everything. Instead? Crickets from the media and, more disappointingly, from the current administration that promised accountability.

Senator Ron Johnson dropped another devastating report and hearing in late April 2026: “Unmasked: How Biden Health Officials Purposely Turned a Blind Eye Toward COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Signals.” Internal records show FDA officials knew their VAERS monitoring was inadequate to say least. They had better data-mining tools ready to flag clear safety signals: cardiac deaths, strokes, pulmonary issues, Bell’s palsy but they chose not to use them. Why? To avoid “vaccine hesitancy.”

This was not screw-up territory. It was deliberate. Vaccine-injured people sat across from Peter Marks and other top FDA brass begging for acknowledgment. They got stonewalled. Johnson rightly calls this one of the biggest scandals in his decades in public service. Then in early June he held another hearing exposing potential cancer links to the mRNA shots and the systematic suppression of critical studies. Same playbook: inconvenient science gets buried or attacked.

Around the same time, Tulsi Gabbard, in one of her final moves as DNI, declassified documents laying out Fauci’s role in funding gain-of-function research at Wuhan, the lab-leak cover-up, the intelligence manipulation, and the retaliation against truth-tellers. Millions of taxpayer dollars funneled into risky biolabs, followed by the full narrative-control machine kicking in to blame nature instead of the obvious.

These are not anonymous X threads. This is a sitting Senator with subpoena power and the former Director of National Intelligence dropping official records.

So where is the firestorm? Where are the front-page exposés, the prime-time specials, the demands for real hearings and prosecutions? In 1976 the swine flu vaccine was pulled after 25 deaths and 500 cases of Guillain Barre Syndrome. In the covid shot era we have approximately 39,000 deaths reported to VAERS following the shot. Apparently lives got cheaper over the last 50 years. The legacy media has mostly ignored it, downplayed it, or run the usual “right-wing conspiracy” dismissals. Paid to lie… and crickets on recent FDA COVID vax revelations. Their complicity is not an understatement, rather it was essential to the entire psyop.

Even more frustrating is the relative silence from the current Trump administration. After years of vowing to expose the lies and drain the swamp on the pandemic response, these revelations land and… not much follow-through. No aggressive push for accountability. No sustained public reckoning for the officials who covered up safety signals or manipulated the origins story. That silence hits hard. Additionally the vaccines are still on the market and this administration is now complicit. What an epic failure!

A lot of us did not need Johnson’s reports or Gabbard’s declassifications to see the fraud. Back in 2022 and 2023, my team at Phinance Technologies was already digging into the data and uncovering the real narrative through our Humanity Projects. We analyzed excess deaths, disability surges, absence rates, and the human and economic costs of mass inoculations when almost no one else wanted to touch it. Check out the full body of work here: Humanity Projects

What we found through cold, hard numbers lined up with what the bodies on the ground were showing. We weren’t surprised by the latest revelations from Senator Johnson. We had been sounding the alarm years earlier, while getting labeled conspiracy theorists for it.

We watched the institutionally well-established benefits of natural immunity get summarily dismissed and memory holed. We saw “two weeks to flatten the curve” turn into endless boosters for the compliant and job losses for the unvaccinated. We saw friends and family injured or worse, then told it was “rare,” “coincidence,” or “misinformation.” Those of us who protested the mandates and the experimental mRNA shots were labeled Russian disinformation, dangerous spreaders, even domestic terrorists. It did not stick, but they tried.

For those who saw through the propaganda early, resisted it, and watched peers fall for it our worldview has forever changed. The greatest cover-up ever. But despite the MSM blackout, word has gotten out through underground channels, thanks in no small part to Senator Ron Johnson and others who refused to let subject die.

The betrayal runs deep. These new revelations do not surprise us but rather they confirm what the data and our own eyes showed years ago. They lied. They knew they were lying. They censored, gaslit, and destroyed lives to protect the narrative. Many institutions including public health, intelligence, media, Big Pharma were all in on it and still propagating the lies today.

That loss of trust is profound and permanent for millions of us. We no longer default to believing official statements. We demand primary data. We assume self-preservation and narrative control from authorities until proven otherwise. The COVID era did not just damage credibility on one issue instead it shattered how an entire group of people view government, “experts,” and authority. “Doing your own research” proved to be a critical lifesaver.

The people in authority still defending the garbage jab or pretending none of this matters can keep taking their 12 boosters (dirty little secret… they are not). The rest of us are done. We are profoundly changed. More skeptical. More data driven. Less willing to comply. Team Humanity was born out of this mess.

The window for real accountability is slamming shut. Even if these official revelations get memory-holed, the lesson is clear: they never planned to come clean. They want us to forget and move on to the next crisis.

I am not forgetting. And from what I see every day, millions are not either. As time rolls forward and the cognitive dissonance of those who took the vaccine wears off…our numbers will continue to grow.

“For nothing is hidden that will not be made manifest, nor is anything secret that will not be known and come to light.” — Luke 8:17

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 16:20

Rubio Convenes 60-Nation Summit To Confront Transnational Far-Left Terrorism

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 19:45:00 +0000

Rubio Convenes 60-Nation Summit To Confront Transnational Far-Left Terrorism

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has requested that senior officials from more than 60 countries convene in Washington next Thursday to discuss the alarming rise of transnational far-left terrorism, according to a Washington Post report.

The State Department confirmed the meeting in a post on X Friday afternoon titled, "Secretary of State Marco Rubio Is Setting His Sights on Antifa."

.@NEWSMAX: "Secretary of State Marco Rubio is setting his sights on Antifa." pic.twitter.com/dHZvcpFrHf
— Department of State (@StateDept) July 10, 2026

The initiative is intended to expand intelligence sharing, law-enforcement cooperation and potential terrorist designations targeting militant groups with alleged ties to Antifa.

Administration officials have discussed whether foreign-terrorism links could unlock broader investigative and surveillance powers against US-based far-left revolutionaries that are a part of subversion networks.

The problem is that countries have been addressing far-left revolutionaries as a domestic threat, but in fact it's transnational.

Due to overwhelming interest, we’re expanding the Ministerial on the Resurgence of Political Terrorism to additional countries who are working to combat the growing international threat of far-left violence. https://t.co/3LxNkhGY64
— Department of State (@StateDept) July 11, 2026

State Department spokesman Tommy Pigott said the upcoming event is in response to the rise of the radical left. He said far-left terrorism is "an old threat re-emerging with strong transnational links and new convergences."

🚨 Rioters in L.A. are burning self-driving Waymo cars, each worth $600K. Police are asking the company to shut down the app as people lure cars into protest zones and set them on fire.#LosAngelesProtests #california pic.twitter.com/dp9jEqXaSp
— Tom Valentino (@TomValentinoo) June 9, 2025

"Because this threat has not been adequately addressed in the past, each engagement, designation, or security assistance program creates a compounding effect supporting countermeasures at home and abroad," Pigott said in a statement.

In November, the State Department designated four European far-left groups as foreign terrorist organizations and directed agencies to investigate networks accused of fomenting political violence. One of the militant groups in Germany is called Antifa Ost. Two more were in Greece and one in Italy.

Germany's AfD Tricks Thousands Of Antifa Revolutionaries

During the Antifa roundtable at the White House last October, Seamus Bruner, Director of Research at the Government Accountability Institute, briefed the president and his cabinet on a complex network of dark-money NGOs and activist groups fueling unrest nationwide via the permanent protest-industrial complex.

"We have identified dozens of radical organizations, not just the decentralized Antifa organizations, but dozens of radical organizations that have received more than $100 million from the Riot Inc investors," Bruner told Trump.

via Government Accountability Institute...

Elon Musk chimed in on X, commenting on a video featuring Bruner's public briefing to the president about the dark-money NGOs, saying, "Way more than $100M of US taxpayer money.

Way more than $100M of US taxpayer money
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 8, 2025

Investigators have honed in on what appears to be foreign subversion networks operating in the US - one from Cuba and the other from China.

Last month, Secretary of State Marco Rubio sanctioned the Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples, or ICAP, a Castro-era organization used to spread Marxist ideology abroad.

As we've pointed out before (see the report), ICAP sits at the center, functioning as a partner to NNOC. Think of NNOC as a pathway for foreign subversion operations to infiltrate US NGOs.

Take a look at NNOC's member organizations, and you might notice several socialist and communist-linked NGOs, including the Democratic Socialists of America, whose members have actively promoted "destroying America from within."

Frank, Aaron, Hank and Sam are Communist insurgents, radicalized marxist revolutionaries hiding behind personal ideologies to justfy their 1A expressions of the right to promote the insurrection of the Constitutional Republic of the United States of America pic.twitter.com/XLzzjisOqd
— AnimalFarm1945 (Moshe) (@Farm1945A) July 6, 2026

DSA has stated they're ICAP partners...

Just days ago, independent Cuban news outlet ADN Cuba revealed that a US-based Cuba solidarity coalition was giving orders to their far-left revolutionaries embedded within the US to prepare rapid-response protests at US federal buildings, military bases, recruitment centers, and ICE facilities in the event of a military confrontation between the US military and the communist regime in Havana. As we've seen before, these protests tend to turn into riots, especially at ICE facilities.

Read leaked memo here.

🚨 PRIMERO EN ADN | Documentos revisados por ADN Cuba revelan un plan nacional de “respuesta rápida” distribuido por la Red Nacional sobre Cuba (NNOC), una coalición con vínculos documentados con el ICAP, para coordinar protestas contra oficinas de ICE, bases militares y…
— ADNCuba - Noticias de Cuba (@CubaAdn) July 8, 2026

Meanwhile, U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton for the Southern District of New York, authorized by Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, is examining whether far-left China-based tech financier Neville Roy Singham, who has reportedly funneled hundreds of millions of dollars into left-wing nonprofits, media operations, and activist networks that seek to sow chaos and spread communism inside the US, has committed wire fraud, bank fraud, money laundering, or other financial crimes.

FIRST ON FOX: A federal grand jury is investigating China-based tech tycoon Neville Roy Singham over alleged financial improprieties involving $278 million that investigators say moved through his financial network over the past decade.

Federal investigators are examining… pic.twitter.com/cqqt9QthU6
— Fox News (@FoxNews) June 29, 2026

It gets better because even top officials in the Democratic Party are calling for investigations into far-left revolutionary groups, including a Bill Clinton insider:

Bill Clinton Insider Warns Of Socialist Takeover, Calls For Probe Into Possible DSA Foreign Ties

And we wonder why:

Hasan Piker calls on his followers to kill capitalists:

“Yeah kill them! KiII those motherfuckers and murder those motherfuckers in the streets. Let the streets soak in their fucking red capitalist blood, dude.”

Democrats are campaigning with him. pic.twitter.com/YiZxGgRkgc
— Eyal Yakoby (@EYakoby) April 9, 2026

Jordan Garces of Rhode Island DSA: “We’re here to overthrow the entire capitalist state.” pic.twitter.com/MSaBllyXnr
— DSA Watch (@DSA_Watch) July 9, 2026

REMINDER: The DSA = ANTIFA pic.twitter.com/CD4chd6jzz
— 🇺🇸 Jason Curtis Anderson (@JCAndersonNYC) September 20, 2025

Simultaneously, there has been a disturbing pattern arising across the West:

Troubling Pattern Of Left-Wing Revolutionaries Targeting "Capitalists" Raises Alarm Over Youth Radicalization

Whether it is Antifa, other far-left revolutionary movements, foreign subversion networks tied to intelligence operations from Cuba to China, or DSA figures openly calling for the destruction of the US, the common ideological thread is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. Even establishment globalist outlets such as The Atlantic have recently acknowledged the broader pattern:

More or less, the rise of the far-left revolutionary movement is driven by a shared objective: dismantling America from within and killing capitalism. The resurgence of these revolutionaries is creating a growing national-security and political problem.

President Trump's recent barrage of Truth Social posts attacking communism suggests the administration may be preparing to dramatically escalate its campaign against these revolutionary networks and what only appears to be foreign subversion networks that support them.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 15:45

5 Charts To Navigate This Chaotic Market

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 19:10:00 +0000

5 Charts To Navigate This Chaotic Market

Authored by Adam Sharp via DailyReckoning.com,

I have 5 charts for you today which put this crazy market into context and give some clarity on what might come next.

We’re at a fascinating crossroads for markets, geopolitics, and finance.

Let’s get started.

Semis Party Like It’s 1999

First up, semiconductor returns. The index below includes U.S. semi stocks like Nvidia, Micron, Intel, Broadcom, Marvell, Texas Instruments, and more:

Source: Charlie Bilello

As you can see, during the dotcom bubble, semiconductor stocks soared 234% over 14 months in the period leading up to February 2000. That was the peak of the market, and tech stocks wouldn’t recover for about 15 years.

And in the past 14 months, SOX is up 237%. Reminiscent of the dotcom days.

Maybe this time is different, and yes, the stocks are more profitable today. But it’s undeniable that markets are getting bubbly. Semis are looking especially frothy. When AI spending inevitably slows down, watch out below…

+$2.99 Trillion

Over the past year, America’s federal debt jumped by $2.99 trillion.

Needless to say, our current trajectory is unsustainable. We’re paying about $1.2 trillion per year just in interest on federal government debt.

This is the key reason I believe interest rates will need to go down to near zero sometime in the next few years. Even if inflation remains above target. And it’s why I still believe holding precious metal investments is key to wealth preservation and growth.

AI Infrastructure Surpasses Humans

We all know data centers are booming. But the chart below puts it all into perspective. It compares office construction (blue) to data centers (red):

Source: Zerohedge

Simply remarkable. We’re spending more on infrastructure for AI than humans.

And since 2016, spending on data centers is up more than 10x.

But all around the country, locals are pushing back against big tech. Data centers are extremely loud. They spike local electricity prices to unaffordable levels. In some cases, they pollute the water with nitrites and other chemicals.

And most importantly, our power grid is hitting its limits. We can’t build new power plants fast enough to keep up. So eventually, the data center boom will have to slow down significantly. And that will likely mark the top of this boom/bubble.

Silver vs Stocks

Silver has had a rough few months. After rising almost 4x in a year, it has been cut in half.

The chart below compares silver to the S&P 500. As this chart rises, silver is beating stocks. When it falls, it is losing.

Source: Tavi Costa

As you can see, even at the recent highs we didn’t get anywhere near the levels we saw in 2011, when silver outperformed stocks for an extended period.

We’ve gotten our big correction, and I believe the next 5 years will be excellent for silver. It still has a long way to go to reach 2011 levels (compared to stocks). And supply deficits today are far more extreme than they ever were back then. Solar is booming and investment demand is soaring, especially in Asia.

I remain convinced silver will find new highs over the next few years. Maybe sooner.

-$246B Gambling Losses

The USA’s gambling problem is getting worse. As a whole, Americans are on track to lose $246 billion this year.

Source: Joey Politano

As we highlighted last week, Americans invest about $600 billion in 401ks every year. That number could be $850 billion if we ever learn that gambling has horrible odds.

Look, if you can afford to gamble and enjoy it, great. But many people are trying to strike it rich. And that almost never happens.

Gambling is all around us, and we should be on guard against its pernicious effects. Saving and investing should always come first.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 15:10

China Lands Reusable Rocket On Barge, But SpaceX Remains Years Ahead

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 18:35:00 +0000

China Lands Reusable Rocket On Barge, But SpaceX Remains Years Ahead

China successfully landed the first-stage booster of a Long March 10B rocket on a floating barge during an orbital launch test earlier Friday, marking the first major step in reusable launch technology, albeit roughly a decade behind Elon Musk's SpaceX.

"This mission … signifies a historic breakthrough in China's reusable rocket technology and a solid foundation for accelerating the improvement of China's space access capabilities," the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation wrote in a social media post.

China has achieved its first-ever controlled recovery of a rocket booster, a breakthrough for the country's reusable space tech. On the maiden flight of Long March-10B, the rocket successfully placed its payload into orbit, and its first stage returned and was captured by a net… pic.twitter.com/YZRcgbneTg
— China Xinhua Sci-Tech (@XHscitech) July 10, 2026

Reusable rockets are key to SpaceX's dominance of the global launch market, with Musk's company having mastered booster recovery and reuse a decade ago:

December 21, 2015: First successful landing of an orbital-class Falcon 9 booster.
April 8, 2016: First successful landing on an ocean drone ship.
March 30, 2017: First relaunch of a previously flown Falcon 9 booster, marking the start of operational reuse.

Ten Years Ago: SpaceX Falcon 9 First Stage Landing

Blue Origin, SpaceX's closest U.S. rival, completed the first successful landing of a New Glenn first-stage booster last November.

pic.twitter.com/0WzaWjjjL9
— Jeff Bezos (@JeffBezos) April 19, 2026

BryceTech's latest launch report for Q1 2026 shows how SpaceX's reusable-rocket technology has transformed Musk's space and AI company into a market leader.

SpaceX launched 40 rockets during the quarter, compared with 12 for China, five for Rocket Lab, and four for Russia, reinforcing the widening gap between SpaceX and the rest of the global launch industry.

More evidence of SpaceX's dominance:

And again:

SpaceX is a major reason America's space program continues to lead the world today and should maintain that lead through 2030.

Investors are waiting for the commercialization of Starship...

84% chance Starship is fully reusable before 2028. https://t.co/PZiahSxMgo
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) July 7, 2026

With SpaceX maintaining roughly a decade-long technological lead over nation-state-backed programs such as China's, it is little surprise that Wall Street analysts are piling in with bullish ratings on SPCX. Raymond James is the most aggressive, setting a Street-high 12-month price target of $800. Read the report here.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 14:35

China Bans Helium Exports As Qatar Outage Deepens Global Supply Squeeze

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:44:00 +0000

China Bans Helium Exports As Qatar Outage Deepens Global Supply Squeeze

China has abruptly banned helium exports, a key component in semiconductors, which adds yet another serious constraint to a global market already reeling from the loss of production in Qatar.

In a two-sentence Friday announcement, China's Ministry of Commerce and General Administration of Customs said helium covered by customs code 2804290010 was subject to a temporary prohibition on exports, effective immediately. The agencies cited China's Foreign Trade Law but provided no explanation, expiration date, transition period or exemptions. Any future adjustments, they said, would be announced separately. See the official Chinese government announcement.

The decision is more restrictive than an export-licensing requirement. It appears to prevent covered shipments to all foreign destinations, regardless of buyer or intended use. The announcement does not explain how customs officials will treat previously signed contracts, cargo awaiting departure or helium originally imported into China and subsequently repackaged for re-export.

Nor does it carve out exceptions for hospitals, scientific laboratories, semiconductor manufacturers or humanitarian users.

The physical volume removed from the international market may be relatively small. China accounted for an average of 5 percent of U.S. helium imports between 2021 and 2024, compared with 47 percent from Canada, 28 percent from Qatar and 10 percent from Algeria, according to the U.S. Geological Survey's 2026 helium commodity summary - but the significance of the move lies in its timing.

China produces only a fraction of the helium it consumes and imports roughly 85 percent or more of its requirements, according to reporting by Reuters, with the Associated Press places China's domestic production at no more than ~ 15 percent of its needs. This suggests the ban is principally an effort to conserve helium for domestic industry rather than a measure capable, by itself, of depriving foreign buyers of large quantities. It also implies that Beijing expects the present shortage to persist.

Chinese companies have increasingly acted as intermediaries - importing some Russian helium and re-exporting volumes to overseas markets, including Europe. The ban could therefore remove more internationally traded material than China's domestic production figures alone would suggest.

Qatar Shock Ripples Through A Concentrated Market

The global helium market was already under severe pressure before China's announcement. Helium is generally recovered as a byproduct of natural-gas processing. When a large gas complex stops operating, helium production cannot simply continue independently. That vulnerability became evident after attacks forced QatarEnergy to stop production of liquefied natural gas and associated products at its Ras Laffan complex - causing them to subsequently declared force-majeure on affected contracts.

Further missile attacks damaged LNG Trains 4 and 6. QatarEnergy said the damaged facilities could take between three and five years to repair and estimated that the attacks had removed 17 percent of Qatar's LNG export capacity. See the company's statement on the damage and repair timetable.

Qatar produced an estimated 63 million cubic meters of helium in 2025, close to one-third of estimated world production, according to the USGS. A disruption there is therefore a worldwide rather than regional problem.

Helium prices reacted quickly. Spot prices doubled after the Middle East conflict began, according to industry participants interviewed by Reuters. Some market specialists warned that an extended disruption could push prices toward levels last seen during previous severe shortages.

The problem is compounded by the peculiar logistics of the helium trade. Liquid helium must remain at extraordinarily low temperatures and gradually evaporates during transportation. One industry executive told Reuters that suppliers effectively have about 45 days to move liquefied helium to the end user.

Unlike oil, helium lacks a large and transparent spot market. Most volumes are sold under private, long-term contracts, making real-time prices difficult to observe. Supply stress often emerges through customer allocations, surcharges and force-majeure notices rather than through a widely quoted futures contract.

China's exposure to Qatar is not accidental. In February 2025, QatarEnergy signed a 20-year agreement to deliver 100 million cubic feet of high-purity helium annually to China. It was the first direct, long-term helium supply agreement between Qatar and a Chinese buyer.

The new ban therefore raises an important question: Is China merely stopping helium produced domestically, or is it also preventing imported Qatari, Russian and other foreign-origin helium from being resold abroad?

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 13:44

Iran Rejects US Talks As Mojtaba Calls For 'Vengeance'; Trump Warns 1,000 Missiles Are 'Locked & Loaded'

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:25:00 +0000

Iran Rejects US Talks As Mojtaba Calls For 'Vengeance'; Trump Warns 1,000 Missiles Are 'Locked & Loaded'

Iran has thrown Trump's ultimatum and Saturday deadline right back at Washington, saying that instead it is the United States that must first meet the agreed-upon conditions in order to normalize shipping and energy transit in the Strait of Hormuz.

Fars news agency reports Saturday that Iranian leadership is demanding that the US implement "agreed-upon understandings" before any talks take place. While the White House has declared the ceasefire to be 'over' - it has also indicated ongoing contacts and talks with Iran via mediators. But this appears to have been reduced to simple ultimatums being shuttled between capitals by Qatari mediators. There are no actual sit-down talks on the horizon after two rounds of fresh tit-for-tat attacks broke out this past week.

The memorandum of understanding (MoU) itself is barely alive at this point, also with Iran's ambassador to the United Nations, Amir-Saeid Iravani, separately announcing that Tehran could stop honoring the MoU if US attacks continue.

"Should the United States continue to violate its obligations under the MoU, Iran will no longer be bound to fulfil its obligations under the MoU," Iravani told reporters at UN headquarters.

But he did make clear that Iran is still committed to the agreement "provided that the United States fully and faithfully complies with its own obligations."

President Trump has meanwhile continued to issue his own warnings and threats. He said Friday that the US military would "completely decimate" Iran if its leaders attempted or carried out his assassination. He took it a step further in an overnight Truth Social Post, saying he has 1,000 missiles "locked and loaded" - aimed at Iran - should he be targeted by Tehran's agents.

Strangely, the US President signed off with his puzzling "praise be to Allah!" reference - perhaps mockingly or sarcastically.

Meanwhile, Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei still hasn't been seen in public after the Feb.28 US-Israeli airstrikes took out his father, killed members of his family, and reportedly badly wounded him. Mojtaba is said to be observing a private memorial for his slain father, and made no known appearance at the week-long funeral processions and burial.

But on Saturday he did call for revenge in a rare public message. "It is our certain and undeniable duty that this revenge be carried out," he said.

"We pledge to avenge your pure blood and the blood of all the martyrs of these two [recent] wars by taking revenge against the criminal, disgraceful murderers," the Ayatollah also stated. "This vengeance is what our nation is demanding, and this must definitely be done."

He issued a series of statements tinged with Shia Islamic references. His words contain repeat vows to enacting vengeance, including this not so veiled threat to kill Iran's enemies:

The criminal, disgraceful murderers of the martyred Leader, whose names are fully documented from the highest to the lowest ranks, will carry their dream of a peaceful death in bed to the grave.
— Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei (@MKhamenei_ir) July 11, 2026

As for the big picture of where things stand, University of Chicago political scientist Robert Pape, who authors "The Escalation Trap," has pointed out that that the millions of Iranians who took to the streets last week to attend the late Ayatollah's funeral demonstrate growing nationalist resolve. He explained that this only makes further escalation more likely later this summer, as public sentiment gets hardened against the US.

"The balance of military capabilities did not change over the weekend," Pape said. "The balance of political will shifted."

Referencing the now unraveling ceasefire and negotiations process, Pape is predicting: "The pause appears to be another stage in the escalation process rather than the beginning of de-escalation."

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 13:25

Without Subsidies, Is AI Unaffordable?

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 16:50:00 +0000

Without Subsidies, Is AI Unaffordable?

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

Let's pull all this into an undeniable conclusion: AI is based on massively subsidizing users' costs.

What's already abundantly clear but verboten to say as it would pop the bubble of AI valuations and triumphalism is that AI is unaffordable once the direct and indirect subsidies are withdrawn. Nothing that consumes this much electricity and requires such an immense scale of costly processing and memory capacity can be low-cost, never mind free.

The major AI platforms and vendors are subsidizing corporate and individual users in the hopes that they can achieve AI sector dominance --and the pricing power that comes with it--via the network effect, the dominance generated by having the majority of users bound by habit or dependence to your platform or tools.

This battle for network effect dominance is playing out in full view:

AI Giants Are Handing Out Tons of Free Computing Power to Grab Startup Share: (wsj.com) Pitched battle for business users comes as AI companies seek lasting streams of revenue.

Hans Ibarra, a founder building an AI-voice startup, has found himself on the receiving end of a big opportunity: Top artificial-intelligence companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic and others desperate to win his business are ramping up discounts.

Across Silicon Valley, startup founders like Ibarra are enjoying a wave of computing credits and fielding competing offers from AI-model makers racing to land new enterprise customers. Cursor, the AI-coding company bought by Elon Musk's SpaceX, offered a 75% discount through July 5.

"If I'm choosing between a really cheap Chinese model that I actually have to pay for, and a very expensive Anthropic model that I don't have to pay for, I'm going to pick the Anthropic model," Acker said. "I'm always going to pick the one for which I have free credits."

Meanwhile, back in the real world of costs, AI Costs More Than The People It Replaced (forbes.com)(via Tom D.)

It turns out that experienced human workers doing the work right in the first place is cheaper than having AI run a probability distribution process that needs vetting and corrections. And remember, AI isn't actually "intelligent," it's just a probability distribution using natural language.

As management guru Peter Drucker observed, enterprises don't have profits, they have costs. Purveyors of AI platforms and tools have costs, and so do their customers. Those costs are currently being funded by investors, who are in effect subsidizing the AI companies' "free" giveaways of horrendously costly "tokens" in a manic, desperate attempt to grab the brass ring of network effect dominance before their cash runs out.

This raises a question: Is this any way to run a railroad? In other words, is this actually a viable business model, burning billions of dollars in cash to lock in network effect dominance in a field that is rapidly obsoleting every iteration of an innately limited mode of computation? Is claiming that a probability distribution is "intelligent" in the same way humans are intelligent a viable business model when there is ample evidence this simply isn't true?

AI and human intelligence are drastically different--here's how (scientificamerican.com)

What happens when enterprises have to pay the unsubsidized costs of AI is they immediately curtail their AI spending because the customer-facing / financial benefits of AI are at best elusive and often negative. Peter Drucker was onto something that is currently being lost in the PR-propaganda push of those trying to cash in on the AI euphoria: enterprises don't have profits, they have costs, and the real-world costs of AI are extraordinarily high while the payoffs are ambiguous.

There are many other hidden subsidies within the AI machinery. There are corporate tax write-off subsidies, energy subsidies, tax credit subsidies for building data centers, and so on. If these were stripped out, what would the real unsubsidized costs of AI be? No one knows, but they would be higher than what's presented as the cost now.

Then there's the if it's legal, it's moral, and what's legal is for sale subsidy: AI is built on the systemic theft of copyrighted content. Last month alone, AI scrapers gorged on 246,000 pages from my Of Two Minds server, and hundreds of thousands of pages of my copyrighted works on my mirror site and other sites posting my work.

This is legal, but is it moral? Nobody asks such questions because the important thing is to avoid saddling AI users with the real costs. So if all those content creators get nothing--in effect, subsidizing both AI companies and the users of their AI platforms and tools--well, so what, because if it's legal, it's moral, and what's legal is for sale.

Well that's just peachy, but let's do a thought experiment where every creator of copyrighted work got paid for supplying AI with its database, and every user of AI had to pay us content creators. How about a penny a page / image / sound clip? so 246,000 pages per month (again, only a fraction of the total volume of my work that was scraped by AI companies for their "free" use in a single month) would be $2,460 a month paid to me by AI users benefiting directly from my copyrighted work. Wouldn't that be fair, i.e. moral?

Recall that US copyright law is explicit: all creative content is copyrighted upon completion, period.

How many current users of AI are willing to pay the full unsubsidized costs for their use of AI? We can safely say far fewer than are using the tools for "free" due to subsidies both direct and indirect.

Let's pull all this into an undeniable conclusion: AI is based on massively subsidizing users' costs. Once those subsidies end, what's left are costs, not profits. Play that any way you like, but massive subsidies are not sustainable, though they generate a temporary illusion of viability that can be exploited by those selling a fantasy of future profitability to credulous investors and enterprises.

Left unsaid is a lot of money is being gambled on the illusion that subsidies are sustainable. They're not. Enterprises don't have profits, they have costs.

* * *

My book Investing In Revolution is available at a 10% discount ($18 for the paperback, $24 for the hardcover and $8.95 for the ebook edition). Introduction (free). Become a $3/month patron of my work via patreon.com. Subscribe to my Substack for free

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 12:50

Maine Dems Will Pick Platner Replacement At Rushed Convention This Month

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 16:15:00 +0000

Maine Dems Will Pick Platner Replacement At Rushed Convention This Month

After their nominee for the 2026 Maine Senate race dropped out on Friday in the wake of sex assault allegations, Democrats will pick his successor at a convention on July 25th, the state party chair announced Friday afternoon. That's just two days before the deadline for making the change and securing a new nominees' place on the general election ballot. It's a tall order for one of the smallest state party organizations in the country, and Democrats haunted by the rushed 2024 insertion of deeply-flawed candidate Kamala Harris into Joe Biden's nominee slot are uneasy -- all the more so given how tight the race for Senate control could be.

The crisis springs from previous nominee Graham Platner's withdrawal from the contest on Friday. He won the June 9th primary, but was done in by a Politico report in which a former girlfriend claimed a drunk Platner spontaneously showed up at her house and sexually assaulted her. Democrats who were already uneasy about Platner's profile -- which includes a history of philanderous sexts sent to multiple women, old Reddit posts self-identifying as a "communist," other posts calling cops "bastards," and a Nazi tattoo (though not a particularly obvious one). Setting aside the new rape allegation, all those black marks on his resume were public information before the primary election.

“The voters of Maine, the Democratic primary voters of Maine, owe the rest of Mainers an apology.”

A thing that was actually said on CNN: pic.twitter.com/A8HOqYfWN7
— Ryan Grim (@ryangrim) July 10, 2026

The new Democratic nominee will take on five-term Republican Susan Collins, a shaky-voiced 73-year-old who's considered the GOP's most vulnerable incumbent. The Cook Political Report says the state's Senate race is one of four toss-ups this fall, along with the contests in Ohio, Michigan and Alaska. To wrest control of the Senate from the GOP, Democrats must flip four seats.

"The convention will be fair, representative and as transparent as possible," said Maine Democratic Party Chairman Charlie Dingman in a video statement. "In coordination with our legal counsel, we have put together a plan for this nominating convention that will allow us to choose a qualified candidate who has the energy, ideas and popular support to defeat Susan Collins." On its site, the party implied that a snap primary election was out of the question due to the tight time constraints. The Democratic State Committee "overwhelmingly" voted for the convention process after a long emergency meeting on Wednesday, according to PunchBowl's Ally Mutnick.

Democrats searching for Platner’s replacement… pic.twitter.com/XqfKUyIrPe
— David Santa Carla 🦇 (@TheOnlyDSC) July 9, 2026

Held on the last Saturday of this month, the convention will comprise a whopping 601 delegates, 101 of whom will be members of the Democratic State Committee -- who are elected by voters -- and 500 delegates appointed by Maine's 16 counties. The proceedings will take place at the Cross Insurance Center in Bangor. "Voting will be conducted in rounds until one candidate reaches a majority," the party explained in an FAQ. "The five candidates receiving the highest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round. Each subsequent round will eliminate the lowest vote-getter until one candidate is chosen."

It appears there will be no party-organized debates or town halls before the convention. "The nominating convention will provide an opportunity for candidates to address delegates directly," said the party. "Candidates are encouraged to campaign in any way they see fit."

A brokered convention, in late July in Maine, with control of the Senate potentially on the line — what more could the political press corps possibly ask for? pic.twitter.com/nwQa5nIbrS
— Alex Seitz-Wald (@aseitzwald) July 10, 2026

Democratic politicians who lost bids for other offices are pouring out the woodwork to take their shot at winning the nomination in a half-month sprint to the July 25th convention, including former public health official Nirav Shah, former Maine Senate president and logger Troy Jackson, and Maine secretary of state Shenna Bellows. All three of them sought the 2026 nomination for governor. Other hopefuls include former congressional staffer (for Katie Porter) Jordan Wood and social worker Paige Loud -- who both lost in the same congressional primary this year -- and Maine Beer Company co-founder Dan Kleban, who took an initial stab at the Senate nomination last year.

If nothing else, this could make for some great political theater.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 12:15

Key Revelations From 4th Batch Of Pentagon UFO Files

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 15:40:00 +0000

Key Revelations From 4th Batch Of Pentagon UFO Files

Authored by Jacob Burg via The Epoch Times,

The Pentagon released its fourth new batch of UFO files on July 10, including a transcript from a conference that included scientists who worked on the Manhattan Project.

This release of information on UFOs, which the government refers to as unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), has a total of 40 files, including 19 videos, 14 documents, four audio clips, and three images.

The mix of partially unredacted files and historical documents is sourced from multiple agencies, including the CIA, FBI, Pentagon, NASA, and the Department of Energy.

The Pentagon said it is not the last release of UFO files in relation to President Donald Trump’s executive order, according to a statement from chief Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell.

High-Speed ‘Rectangle’

In one report, five U.S. military-affiliated personnel witnessed a strange object over the eastern United States in 2019.

“I noticed an object with flight characteristics unlike anything I had seen in my 28 years of performing [REDACTED] for the [Army] and Navy. A small object was below us and appeared to be traveling in a straight line opposite our direction at high speed,” the observer wrote.

“I tracked it for ~10-15 seconds before we turned on the recorder to provide the attached video. When I zoomed in to try and achieve more resolution, the object’s speed took [it] out of my [field of view] and I was unable to reacquire, even at a lower zoom.”

The military service member said the object “appeared to be rectangular,” and said others “with equal or more experience” were also unable to identify it.

In the 20-second video, the object is tracking quickly to the left of the screen before it zooms out of view.

The report came from a “range fouler debrief,” which is a “standardized reporting form the U.S. Navy uses to record the circumstances surrounding an unauthorized intrusion into controlled airspace during active military operations or training,” according to the Pentagon.

Balloon Over the Atlantic?

Another range fouler debrief described a sighting over the Atlantic in 2020 of what an observer suggested could have been an unidentified balloon.

The heavily redacted report stated that the object “traveled with the wind, the closer we came to it,” and that it was difficult to ascertain which direction it was heading, but it was “generally” moving south without any “maneuvers or change in direction.”

“The object itself was a darker, maroonish color, approximately 12-15ft in height. Structurally, it appeared as a large, somewhat deformed balloon, but we were unable to verify that as we passed at the merge,” the observer wrote.

The strange object slowly comes into focus in the 32-second video, which was captured by a U.S. military infrared sensor, before the footage abruptly cuts off.

Manhattan Project Scientists

One of the historical documents included in the Pentagon’s fourth batch of UFO files is a transcript of a conference at the-then Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory in Los Alamos, New Mexico, in 1949.

Now known as the Los Alamos National Laboratory, the facility was hosting leading scientists and physicists at the time, including many who had worked on the Manhattan Project.

After unknown “green fireballs” had been observed for several months near the laboratory, the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission convened the conference to determine their origin and explain the phenomenon.

The panel failed to reach a consensus to explain the “green fireballs,” with one hypothesis suggesting they could be meteors entering the atmosphere at a “shallow” angle and altitude.

Lincoln LaPaz, an expert specializing in meteorics at the time and one of the key witnesses, said “95 percent of the observations indicate a very nearly horizontal path” of the objects, which he estimated were moving “between 3 miles per second and 12 miles per second.”

That would equal roughly 10,800 to 43,200 miles per hour, within the range of speed for a meteor.

However, after running calculations based on the objects’ estimated light, speed, and kinetic energy, Edward Teller suggested that if they were not characteristic of a “material body,” they “might be an electron phenomenon.”

LaPaz replied, “You see why I’m puzzled, Dr. Teller.”

“Nothing like this, to my knowledge, has ever been observed in the case of meteorite drops,” he added.

At the conclusion of the meeting, another scientist said, “The puzzling thing is the long horizontal path; also, absence of noise is puzzling.”

When meteors fall through the atmosphere, their high speed creates a sonic boom, along with other noises, sometimes a crackling or “whooshing” sound.

‘Six-Pointed Star’ Near China

A 12-second infrared sensor video came from the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command last year, showing “an area of contrast resembling a six-pointed star” that remains in the center of the screen.

The Pentagon said the video was taken near China over the Yellow Sea.

The area of contrast looks similar to the “eight-pointed star with arms of alternating length” that was submitted by U.S. Central Command in 2013, and featured in the Pentagon’s initial batch of UFO files released in early May.

Another video taken in 2025, this time over the East China Sea, shows what appears to be an object tracking across the sky for nearly five minutes.

What is seemingly multiple areas of contrast moving in formation across the sky, at times appearing like a curved line similar to a massive, fast-moving flock of birds, was shown in a video taken over the South China Sea in 2024.

Intrusion Near Nuclear Facility

The Energy Department included a file detailing a UFO sighting in the airspace over the Pantex nuclear weapons facility near Amarillo, Texas, in 2015.

Two officers reported seeing the object at 7 a.m. local time flying northward “in a non-threatening manner” at roughly 10 to 15 miles per hour.

As the facility was placed on lockdown, the officers continued tracking the object and, through binoculars, reported that it looked to be approximately four feet tall and two feet wide at the bottom.

“They noted that the object did not make any sound. Furthermore, the [lieutenant and security police officer] stated that they were unable to identify any type of propulsion system on the object while using binoculars to assess the object. After viewing it for 1-2 minutes, the object then continued north offsite,” the report states.

Observers were split on the object’s color, with some reporting it looked black, while others said it “appeared to be silver, red, and blue.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 11:40

Was SK Hynix's US Debut The AI Bubble Top? BNP Says It's Still 1998

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 15:05:00 +0000

Was SK Hynix's US Debut The AI Bubble Top? BNP Says It's Still 1998

With SK Hynix's American depositary receipts now trading under the temporary ticker SKHYV as of late Friday morning, the seven-times-oversubscribed offering highlights Wall Street's rush for more direct exposure to high-bandwidth memory amid the AI infrastructure boom.

Against the backdrop of mounting concerns about an AI infrastructure bubble, Roth Capital Partners' sales trading team asked clients earlier Friday: "How will investors, looking back two years from now, view the timing and significance of SK Hynix's US offering?"

Taking a look at the GS TMT Memory Exposed Index (GSTMTMEM Index), Goldman Sachs' thematic basket tracking companies with high exposure to the memory chip cycle, the trade appears to have peaked in mid-June.

Zooming in on the recent price action in the GSTMTMEM Index:

That rollover has since spread into the broader South Korean market, with the Kospi entering a bear market this week as the memory stock euphoria begins to fade.

Adding to the AI bubble doomerism camp is UBS' proprietary Market Fragility Index, an internal risk gauge measuring how vulnerable markets are to a sharp reversal or volatility shock, which currently prints at an eye-popping high.

UBS proprietary market fragility index hits all time high pic.twitter.com/zwOUS0dbGk
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) July 10, 2026

But not everyone on Wall Street is pessimistic, and analysts at BNP Paribas say the AI boom increasingly resembles the late 1990s.

João Torres, a European credit strategist at BNP Paribas based at the bank's Portugal branch, penned a note on Friday with a title that suggests the AI bubble has more room to inflate: "The Bubble Playbook: It's still 1998."

"Technological progress can create industrial bubbles. Chart 2: Equity IPOs following late 90s path, led by Tech We analysed the extent to which the AI buildout is evolving in line with previous industrial bubbles. The late 1990s provide a fitting playbook. In our view, AI has similarities of an industrial bubble but is not yet extreme," Torres wrote in the note.

The BNPP Bubble Indicator currently stands around the 84th percentile, driven by elevated animal spirits, valuations and earnings expectations. At that level, near-term stock returns could be positive, but historical patterns suggest softer performance over six to 12 months if the indicator moves to the 85th percentile level.

Torres put together a compelling chartpack that suggests today's environment is more like the late 1990s:

Chart 1: Technological breakthroughs can lead to industrial bubbles

Chart 2: Equity IPOs following late 90s path, led by Tech

Chart 3: Spreads tend to widen when balance sheets deteriorate

Chart 4: Supply in late 90s – from K-shaped to a crowding-in effect

Chart 5: Expectations are rising faster just as they did in the late 90s

Chart 6: Great Expectations – a new paradigm ahead

Chart 7: $ HY Risk Premium – low but not extreme

Chart 8: Credit Conditions are not restrictive yet

Chart 9: The Fed could resume rate hikes, as in the late 90s

Chart 10: BNPP Bubble Indicator is currently at the 84th percentile

Chart 11: Closest template is the dotcom bubble

Chart 12: Overweight $ IG Banks vs. $ IG Corporates

Chart 13: € IG TMT: Reverse Yankees are trading wide vs. Domestic

Professional subscribers can read more on memory and KOSPI at our new Marketdesk.ai portal.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 11:05

Muhammad Tops Baby Boys' Names In England And Wales For Third Straight Year

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:55:00 +0000

Muhammad Tops Baby Boys' Names In England And Wales For Third Straight Year

Official Office for National Statistics (ONS) data released today shows Muhammad - including variant spellings - has once again claimed the top spot as the most popular name for newborn boys in England and Wales.

This marks the third consecutive year Muhammad has led the boys' chart, continuing a trend that has drawn significant public attention and debate about demographic changes.

The ONS figures for 2025 births confirm Muhammad's dominant position. In previous years, when spellings are combined, it has frequently outranked traditional English names like Oliver and Noah.

Commentators have linked the sustained popularity to the UK's growing Muslim population, which now makes up a significant and increasing share of births in many areas.

Reform UK MP Rupert Lowe responded strongly to the news, posting: “Muhammad has comfortably topped the list for the most popular boy name for the third year running. You can call me Islamophobic, I really don’t care… This is awful and demonstrates the rapidly changing demographics of our country.”

'Muhammad' has comfortably topped the list for the most popular boy name for the third year running.

You can call me Islamophobic, I really don't care.

This is awful and demonstrates the rapidly changing demographics of our country.

Only Restore Britain will fight this.
— Rupert Lowe MP (@RupertLowe10) July 9, 2026

Lowe, who recently chaired an independent Rape Gang Inquiry Report, has highlighted concerns about integration, cultural shifts, and failures in addressing grooming gangs. His report estimates that at least 250,000 young, mostly white British girls have been victims of systematic abuse by predominantly Pakistani Muslim grooming networks over decades, with institutional cover-ups exacerbating the crisis.

The report and Lowe's comments tie into broader discussions about rapid demographic transformation, with critics arguing that names like Muhammad's dominance reflect communities that have not fully integrated and, in some cases, parallel issues seen in grooming gang scandals where perpetrators often shared similar names and backgrounds.

Broader Implications

While many celebrate Britain's multiculturalism, others like Lowe warn of parallel societies and strain on social cohesion. The baby name data is often cited alongside grooming gang reports as evidence of deeper cultural challenges.

Full ONS rankings for 2025 are expected to provide more context on rising and falling names across both genders.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 09:55

Small Business Chapter 11 Filings Increase 50% Year Over Year

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:20:00 +0000

Small Business Chapter 11 Filings Increase 50% Year Over Year

Authored by Naveen Athrappully via The Epoch Times,

Small business Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings jumped 50 percent in the first half of 2026 from the same period last year, signaling pressure on business owners.

Chapter 11 is a type of bankruptcy filing that reorganizes a company’s debt to keep it afloat and allow the entity to become solvent. Subchapter V of Chapter 11 relates to small business filings. In the first half of this year, a total of 1,663 Subchapter V bankruptcy filings were made, up from 1,107 filings in the first half of 2025, the American Bankruptcy Institute (ABI) said in a July 8 statement.

Overall commercial Chapter 11 bankruptcy filings also increased, with 4,589 filings in the first half, up by 28 percent annually.

“The increase in bankruptcy filings over the past year, particularly among small businesses, reflects ongoing financial pressures facing households and employers,” ABI Executive Director Amy Quackenboss said in a statement.

“Higher borrowing costs, increasing expenses, and geopolitical volatility are leading more debtors to turn to the bankruptcy system to restructure obligations and pursue a financial fresh start.”

Optimistic sentiment among small businesses has dipped. In a June 9 statement, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said that its Small Business Optimism Index declined in May. The index is based on surveys of NFIB members.

Eighteen percent of respondents cited inflation as the single most important business problem they face, the highest level since December 2024.

A net 36 percent of respondents in the survey raised their average selling prices, the highest since March 2023. A net 34 percent said they planned to raise prices.

The NFIB had called on Congress to advance small business priorities this year, according to a Jan. 6 statement from the organization.

Top priorities include lowering healthcare costs for small business owners, reducing fuel and electricity costs, passing regulatory reforms, minimizing labor mandates, and granting the right to repair cars, smartphones, and tractors.

“2025 was an eventful year for small businesses, highlighted by the permanent extension of the 20 percent Small Business Deduction, which stopped a massive tax hike on more than 33 million small business owners nationwide,” NFIB Senior Vice President for Advocacy Adam Temple said in a statement.

A tax relief provision that allowed small businesses to deduct up to 20 percent of their qualified business income was set to expire after 2025, but was made permanent under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed by President Donald Trump last year.

Congress should now “pass legislation that will allow the small business economy to flourish and make life more affordable for consumers,” Temple added.

Supporting Small Businesses

In May, the Small Business Administration announced a new $50 million grant to support the Made in America manufacturing initiative.

The fund aims to ensure small domestic manufacturers receive the necessary technical assistance and training.

During March 30 remarks at a business conference, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act led to a reduction in taxes for roughly 12 million small business owners by almost $7,000 on average.

President Donald Trump, joined by Republican lawmakers, signs the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law during an Independence Day military family picnic on the South Lawn of the White House on July 4, 2025. Samuel Corum/Getty Images

“Across the country, households and businesses are already seeing the benefits of this legislation, with millions of Americans keeping more of what they earn and watching their paychecks go further,” Bessent said at the time.

The unemployment situation has also improved, with fewer Americans applying for unemployment benefits in the week ending July 4 than in the previous week. At 215,000 claims, the figure was also below economists’ expectations of 218,000 claims.

This was a reversal from a rising trend over the previous two months, which economists attribute to the trend of non-teaching staff from educational institutions applying for unemployment benefits during the summer holiday.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce called for maintaining the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) deal in a June 29 statement, citing benefits for American businesses.

The Chamber said that more than 13 million U.S. jobs in agriculture, manufacturing, energy, and service sectors are dependent on North American trade.

Streamlined trade facilitation measures and preferential treatment enabled by the USMCA allowed small businesses to compete in international markets, the Chamber said.

On July 1, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said that the United States opted not to renew the USMCA deal in its current form.

Washington will discuss with partners to “address the Agreement’s shortcomings and our trade deficits with these countries,” he said. The deal has not been canceled and remains in force pending the resolution of disagreements or until it expires.

Lawmakers have criticized USMCA for offshoring manufacturing jobs from the United States and causing a depression in domestic wages.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 09:20

Cuba Plunges Into Second Island-Wide Blackout As Communist System Unravels

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 12:45:00 +0000

Cuba Plunges Into Second Island-Wide Blackout As Communist System Unravels

Cuba suffered its second nationwide blackout in a matter of days late Friday, another sign that the communist-controlled island is sliding deeper into economic collapse amid tightening US sanctions and renewed pressure from the Trump administration.

Havana blames US "gunboat diplomacy" and the financial sanctions for its economic demise, but the roots of the crisis are decades of communist rule, chronic underinvestment, widespread economic mismanagement and a crumbling power grid.

Yet America's Democratic Party is increasingly embracing socialism and communist ideology, a deeply misguided political messaging campaign at a time when Cuba is offering a real-world case study in how such systems repeatedly fail, leaving economic ruin, institutional decay and human suffering in their aftermath.

The latest islandwide blackout came as four US lawmakers urged the Trump administration to sanction Cuba's state-run overseas medical-services operator, arguing it exploits healthcare workers and generates revenue for the communist regime.

As we've described, the Feds are in the process of dismantling the command and control structure of a Cuba/China foreign subversion network with alleged links to left-wing NGOs and Democratic Party socialists:

Even top Democrats are calling for investigations:

Bill Clinton Insider Warns Of Socialist Takeover, Calls For Probe Into Possible DSA Foreign Ties

Back to the blackout. Just before the first nationwide outage earlier this week, Raúl Castro's grandson, Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro, told USA Today that he was prepared to negotiate with President Trump.

The timing is notable. The Trump administration is intensifying pressure on Havana as Cuba's communist regime continues to implode, and at some point, will eventually force the regime toward market reforms and a greater role for capitalism.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 08:45

Leftists Celebrate Murder Of Conservative British Politician

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 12:10:00 +0000

Leftists Celebrate Murder Of Conservative British Politician

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity News,

The savage killing of 78-year-old Reform UK spokeswoman Ann Widdecombe has unleashed a torrent of vile celebration from left-wing activists, revealing the depths of ideological hatred among the left in the UK.

Widdecombe, the outspoken former Conservative MP and prisons minister, was found dead with serious injuries at her Dartmoor home, prompting an immediate murder investigation by Devon and Cornwall Police.

Police keenly informed the public that a 26-year-old white British man has been arrested on suspicion of the crime. The incident is not being treated as terrorism, but the public reaction - particularly from leftist corners - has shocked many and exposed a chilling tolerance for violence against political opponents.

BREAKING: Man arrested on suspicion of murdering former MP Ann Widdecombehttps://t.co/mtdJgvyXmG
— GB News (@GBNEWS) July 10, 2026

Detective Chief Inspector Ilona Rosson emphasized the tragedy: "This is an extremely tragic incident and our thoughts are very much with the family and friends of Ann Widdecombe at this difficult time. Our murder enquiry is in its early stages but moving at a significant pace." The force urged against speculation while deploying resources for house-to-house inquiries.

BREAKING:

A 26-year-old white British man has been arrested for the murder of former Conservative and Reform UK spokeswoman Ann Widdecombe.

The 78-year-old former politician was found dead with serious injuries at her remote home in Haytor on the edge of Dartmoor.

?? pic.twitter.com/Jo0u2oYQyV
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) July 10, 2026

FULL STATEMENT BY DEVON & CORNWALL POLICE

A murder investigation has been launched following the suspicious death of former MP Ann Widdecombe at her home on Dartmoor in Devon.

Police officers were called to an address at Haytor by the ambulance service at around 11.40am on...
— Guido Fawkes (@GuidoFawkes) July 10, 2026

What followed was a mask-off moment. Rather than universal condemnation, platforms like Bluesky - often touted as a "kinder" alternative - filled with jubilation, with users openly celebrating the death of the elderly conservative.

They're actually celebrating Ann Widdecombe's murder over on Bluesky

It's just endless

I just cannot comprehend why someone would do that pic.twitter.com/CLUC5rlWc4
— Basil the Great (@BasilTheGreat) July 10, 2026

This bitch is the worst. This was just the beginning of her rant.. she just continues pic.twitter.com/Fo3HpHYDZS
— justamum ??????????? (@emma_ese67) July 10, 2026

You can be murdered in your own home for holding a few conservative beliefs and they will celebrate.

The modern left is not simply wrong, but fundamentally evil. pic.twitter.com/QRnRymnPtS
— Landeur ??????? (@Landeur) July 10, 2026

This you, ya vile C*nt? https://t.co/b1Q5WONz7b pic.twitter.com/Us42HXexuq
— Tommy Robinson ?? (@TRobinsonNewEra) July 10, 2026

There's nothing to gain from debating these people. They're sick in the head. pic.twitter.com/liDsXu10v6
— Chris Rose (@ArchRose90) July 10, 2026

I literally cannot believe what I am seeing. An elderly woman has been murdered in her own home and the left are celebrating!!! And they call us dangerous!! God help us ?? @rhysss_ pic.twitter.com/71f5blVXOZ
— Orla Minihane (@orlaminihane) July 10, 2026

The stream of derogatory and celebratory posts include accusations that Widdecombe was a "racist old bitch" and a comment that "Science produced an answer to Ann Widdecombe," referencing her past comments on gender ideology.

Users shared cartoons, GIFs, and barbs that treat her violent end as punchline or progress.

Widdecombe served as MP for Maidstone for many years and held roles including Minister of State for Prisons and Shadow Home Secretary. A staunch Eurosceptic, she backed Brexit and later joined Reform UK. Her socially conservative views - opposition to abortion, support for traditional marriage, and criticism of leftist policies - made her a lightning rod. Yet she commanded respect for consistency and wit, appearing on entertainment shows while maintaining principles.

BREAKING:

A 26-year-old man has been arrested for the murder of Reform UK's Immigration and Justice Spokeswoman Ann Widdecomb.

Rest in Peace Ann ? pic.twitter.com/KDlhfFGtoD
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) July 10, 2026

Leftist celebrations aren't anomalies; they stem from years of framing conservatives as villains. Terms like "bigot" or "racist" dehumanize, paving the way for glee at misfortune. This echoes reactions to other figures, revealing a worldview where ideological purity trumps basic humanity. Platforms shielding such content while censoring dissent exacerbate division.

Critics rightly note two-tier dynamics. Emphasis on the suspect's description here contrasts with vagueness elsewhere, fueling skepticism. Broader failures - open borders straining cohesion, cultural erosion, elite dismissal of native concerns - create fertile ground for extremism. Widdecombe warned against these trends. Her death amplifies those warnings.

Reform UK figures now face heightened risks. Leader Nigel Farage's security needs underscore the stakes. Media and activist demonization of "the right" as fascistic contributes to a climate where violence seems justifiable to some.

Widdecombe's passing, tragic as it is, spotlights the stakes. A principled voice silenced violently amid cheers reveals civilizational fragility. Defenders of freedom - pro-sovereignty, anti-woke, pro-debate - must push back. The alternative is descent into the very barbarism celebrated by the unhinged.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 08:10

Visualizing Europe's Soaring Youth Unemployment

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 11:35:00 +0000

Visualizing Europe's Soaring Youth Unemployment

Breaking into the workforce looks very different depending on where you live in Europe. While some countries have relatively smooth transitions from education into employment, others continue to struggle with stubbornly high youth unemployment.

This visualization, created by DataPulse Research via Visual Capitalist, uses Eurostat data alongside additional analysis from DataPulse Research to compare unemployment rates among 15- to 24-year-olds across the EU in June 2025. Under Eurostat’s methodology, unemployed young people are those actively seeking work and available to start within two weeks.

Europe’s Youth Employment Divide

The table below ranks youth unemployment rates across EU member states in June 2025.

The spread is striking. Estonia’s 26.9% rate is more than four times Malta’s 6.2%, highlighting how dramatically employment prospects can differ across the bloc even as the EU-wide average remained steady at 14.8%.

Southern European countries continue to feature many of the highest rates of youth unemployment, with Spain (24.0%), Italy (20.1%), Portugal (18.9%), and Greece (18.8%) all posting elevated numbers. France also remained above the EU average at 18.7%, while Nordic economies presented a mixed picture, with Finland and Sweden ranking among the highest despite generally strong labor markets.

Why Are the Gaps So Large?

Youth unemployment reflects more than the health of an economy. Structural factors such as education-to-work transitions, labor market regulations, skills mismatches, and regional economic differences all influence how easily young people secure their first job. Research has long shown that these structural differences help explain why some European countries consistently experience higher unemployment than others.

Spain illustrates this complexity. Although the country continues to record one of Europe’s fastest-growing economies, youth unemployment remains among the continent’s highest, partly due to skill mismatches and regional labor market frictions.

At the same time, Spain has expanded pathways for international workers through new visa programs aimed at attracting talent in sectors facing labor shortages. Similar initiatives are appearing elsewhere in Europe as governments attempt to address demographic pressures and reduce hiring bottlenecks.

Why Some Countries Perform Better Than Others

Countries such as Germany (6.3%), Malta (6.2%), and the Netherlands (8.7%) have benefited from tighter labor markets, strong vocational training systems, and robust employer demand for apprentices and skilled workers. These economies have generally been more successful at connecting education with employment, reducing the time many young people spend searching for their first job.

The uneven outlook also helps explain broader migration trends across Europe, as workers often relocate in search of stronger employment opportunities, contributing to Europe’s shifting talent landscape.

To explore more global demographic and migration trends, check out Ranked: Countries With the Fastest Immigration Growth (2019–2024) on the Voronoi app.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 07:35

Afghan Asylum Seeker Walks Free After Sexually Assaulting Multiple Young Girls At German Pool

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 11:00:00 +0000

Afghan Asylum Seeker Walks Free After Sexually Assaulting Multiple Young Girls At German Pool

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity News,

A 21-year-old Afghan asylum seeker stands accused of sexually assaulting at least four girls between the ages of 12 and 14 at the Bud Spencer outdoor pool in Schwäbisch Gmünd, southwestern Germany.

According to police accounts detailed in German media coverage, the suspect touched the victims on their buttocks or thighs and attempted to pull down their bikini bottoms. In one instance he reportedly tried to penetrate a girl's intimate area with his fingers. The girls resisted and fought him off before he stopped.

Police reports confirm the attacks occurred in the adventure pool area, yet an arrest warrant was suspended under limited conditions that do little to shield the public from further risk.

A 21-year-old Afghan asylum seeker has been allowed to walk free after sexually assaulting at least four girls, aged 12-14, at the Bud Spencer outdoor pool in Schwäbisch Gmünd, southwestern Germany.

He inappropriately touched the girls, attempted to remove their bikini bottoms,... pic.twitter.com/ohcn194Fl7
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) July 8, 2026

Authorities have indicated they do not rule out additional victims and continue to seek witnesses. The suspect was arrested, but a judge suspended the arrest warrant subject to conditions, including a ban on entering public swimming pools. Incredibly he has walked free pending the outcome of the investigation.

This case fits a recurring pattern of sexual violence and harassment targeting women and children in German public swimming facilities.

Prior investigations have laid bare the scale of the problem through official statistics and internal assessments that reveal stark disparities in perpetrator backgrounds.

Research established that 65 percent of sexual assault suspects in swimming pools were foreigners.

Separate analysis showed foreigners vastly overrepresented in sexual assaults as well as other crimes committed at these locations.

Another examination concluded that German authorities have not been fully honest about the identities of those assaulting children at swimming pools, with patterns of omission in official and media descriptions.

Coverage of the Schwäbisch Gmünd incident itself drew attention to selective reporting practices. Some German outlets described the suspect only as a 21-year-old man without noting his Afghan nationality, consistent with earlier criticisms of incomplete disclosure around perpetrator backgrounds in similar cases.

An internal assessment cited in reporting on the broader trend confirmed a surge in sex crimes at bathing establishments. It stated particular concern over rape and the sexual abuse of children, noting that the perpetrators are for the most part immigrants.

The president of the Federal Association of German Swimming Champions previously warned that he could no longer recommend families visit outdoor pools on weekends, adding that he would be acting irresponsibly if he took his own three grandchildren.

These documented realities have prompted concrete policy adjustments at some facilities.

Certain German swimming pools have begun barring visitors who cannot speak German, citing safety concerns tied to communication failures and behavioral patterns that complicate supervision and intervention in shared spaces.

The conditions imposed in the current case - a pool ban while the suspect otherwise remains free - illustrate the narrow tools available under current practices.

A targeted restriction does nothing to address potential risks in other public settings or to deter future incidents involving the same individual.

Girls who fought off the attacker at the adventure pool now rely on the hope that he complies with the limited order while the investigation proceeds.

Recurring episodes at pools, schools, and other everyday venues have exposed the downstream effects of rapid demographic change without corresponding integration or enforcement standards.

Cultural and language barriers frequently surface in official descriptions of incidents, yet public discourse often treats acknowledgment of these factors as off-limits. The result is a cycle where statistics accumulate, incidents repeat, and responses remain incremental.

Families seeking ordinary recreation at public pools encounter an environment shaped by these accumulated failures. The statistical overrepresentation, the documented reluctance to identify patterns clearly, and the narrow conditions placed on released suspects combine to shift the burden of vigilance onto parents and children themselves.

Official appeals for witnesses after each new case underscore how many incidents may go unreported or unresolved.

The Schwäbisch Gmünd events add to a ledger of cases stretching back years, where similar profiles of suspects and similar gaps in transparency have appeared repeatedly.

Germany's experience with these issues at swimming pools offers a clear window into the practical limits of policies that prioritize volume of migration over selection, vetting, and assimilation.

The pattern of incidents, the data on disparities, and the incremental restrictions now appearing at some pools all point to the same conclusion: current approaches have produced measurable costs in security and social cohesion that continue to mount.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Sat, 07/11/2026 - 07:00

Why Trump Is Right To Warn Americans About Communism

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 03:10:00 +0000

Why Trump Is Right To Warn Americans About Communism

Authored by William Brooks via The Epoch Times,

Early this month, U.S. President Donald Trump delivered increasingly forceful warnings about what he sees as a growing communist threat within the United States.

During what will be his final years in office, Trump appears more determined than ever to defend the principles of American liberty against the influence of Marxist ideas. Employing rhetoric reminiscent of the Cold War, he declared on July 3: “There is now a resurgence of the communist menace in our land.”

On Independence Day, the president reinforced his message, stating:

“The communist system is the opposite of the American system, and the communist system has never worked.

“Our warriors did not fight communism on battlefields across the world, only to have that menace rear its ugly head right back here in America. We’re not going to let it happen. It’s like a cancer—you’ve got to cut it out, you’ve got to cut it out fast.”

Predictably, Trump’s remarks were greeted with widespread cynicism by political opponents and media pundits. For decades, establishment intellectuals have dismissed concerns about communism as misguided rhetoric designed only to gin up a public reaction. Some implied that Trump was stoking ideological division and indiscriminately branding progressives, social democrats and advocates of government intervention as communists. Others argued that there is no significant communist movement in America and that the real threat to democracy is the president himself.

Yet dismissing Trump’s warnings would compel us to ignore some of the most important lessons in modern history.

First, communism has the worst human rights record of any political ideology in the world. From the Soviet Union to the Republic of China, Cambodia, North Korea, Cuba, and elsewhere, communist regimes have imprisoned, tortured, and executed millions of their own citizens.

Repression of political opponents was not just an unfortunate side effect of the transition to communism; it became an essential feature of regimes that concentrated absolute power in a single party. Recent episodes of political violence in the United States should remind us that revolutionary transformation is not necessarily a peaceful process.

Second, socialist economic systems have consistently failed to produce prosperity. Karl Marx envisioned a society in which the abolition of private ownership would eliminate exploitation and create abundance.

The historical record tells a very different story. Central planning repeatedly produced shortages, inefficiency, and stagnation. The Soviet Union eventually collapsed under the weight of its own economic contradictions. Mao Zedong’s Great Leap Forward contributed to one of history’s worst famines. Even today, North Korea remains among the poorest and most isolated countries on Earth.

Third, Marxist ideology is fundamentally incompatible with the liberties guaranteed by the American Constitution. Freedom of speech, freedom of religion, private property, an independent judiciary, and a free press all place limits on state power.

Classical communist theory, by contrast, envisions a society in which the state ultimately controls the major institutions of economic and social life. History demonstrates that governments seeking such control rarely tolerate independent churches, schools, universities, newsrooms, enterprises, or political opposition.

Fourth, failed communist ideas are constantly reintroduced wearing attractive new clothes. Few progressives openly advocate establishing a Soviet-style state. But fashionable concepts, such as capitalist exploitation, class struggle, revolutionary transformation, and the unfair division of society between oppressors and oppressed, have enormous influence in American schools and universities.

Marxist critical theory should shape intellectual debates in ways that require careful examination rather than automatic assent.

Fifth, experience shows that free societies become most vulnerable when they forget history. As the generation that experienced the Cold War dies away, younger Americans have little knowledge of communist repression. To many students, communism appears to be an interesting philosophical theory rather than a tyranny that governed one-third of humanity throughout the twentieth century.

Surveys have suggested that younger people often express favorable attitudes toward socialist ideas with almost no knowledge of the record of communist governments. A society that fails to gain insight through history always risks repeating it.

Finally, strong warnings against communism have seldom come from play-it-safe Western politicians. More often, it is people who lived under communist rule who have been willing to speak out. Soviet and Eastern European dissidents, Cuban refugees, survivors of Mao’s Cultural Revolution, and victims of the Chinese Communist Party’s takeover of Hong Kong have all described similar experiences: censorship, fear, corruption, economic hardship, and the destruction of civil society.

Perhaps better than anyone, the late Soviet dissident Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn understood the essential paradox of communism. Reflecting on its horrors, he observed, “To do evil a human being must first of all believe that what he’s doing is good.” The architects of communist regimes never thought of themselves as villains. They believed history was on their side, and that any sacrifice—including the lives of ordinary people—was justified in pursuit of a utopian future.

History has taught us that destructive ideas must be exposed, explained, understood, and confronted. Trump has been one of the few Western leaders willing to take on this task.

Communists promise equality, fairness, and liberation, but they have always delivered power into the hands of a political elite. The 20th century demonstrated that communist systems consistently produce political repression, economic failure, and immense human suffering. These lessons should not be forgotten simply because they are coming from a man who is particularly unpopular in progressive media and academic circles.

The U.S. president has often employed provocative language, and reasonable people might disagree with his style or some of his policies. But common sense requires us to separate the message from the messenger. As ideas rooted in Marxist ideology gain increasing influence in Western cultural and political life, Americans would be wise to examine the well-documented horrors of communism with open minds.

The resurgence of what the late American scholar Lionel Trilling once called an “adversary culture” warrants more serious attention than Trump’s critics are willing to admit.

Tyler Durden Fri, 07/10/2026 - 23:10

Socialist NYC Mayor Mamdani Inadvertently Hands ICE A Target Map To Catch Illegals

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 02:35:00 +0000

Socialist NYC Mayor Mamdani Inadvertently Hands ICE A Target Map To Catch Illegals

Far-left New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who has repeatedly denounced capitalism while promoting a socialist reconstruction of the metro area, sparked uproar this week after releasing a map highlighting 30 migrant enclaves while omitting historic Italian, Irish, and Jewish communities.

The map includes areas such as Little Palestine, Little Pakistan, Little Yemen and Little Guyana, but leaves out Little Italy, Irish enclaves including Woodlawn and Sunnyside, and Brooklyn's heavily Orthodox Jewish Borough Park.

Mamdani's decision to leave out Little Italy on his map of enclaves within New York is beyond shameful.

Italian-Americans contribute so much, not just in New York City, but the entire nation.

He also left out Irish and Jewish enclaves.

We all know what's going on here... https://t.co/hHFUXna0Ea pic.twitter.com/wDLgm763sa
— Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) July 9, 2026

But perhaps the Democratic Socialists of America mayor and his band of far-left anti-American clowns, who spend more time trying to erase and rewrite history in typical Marxist fashion, inadvertently created one of the greatest gifts for President Trump's Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Ryan James Girdusky of the 1776 Project PAC wrote on X, "This is actually a map of where ICE needs to conduct raids."

This is actually a map of where ICE needs to conduct raids https://t.co/fx2rZB7TEb
— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) July 9, 2026

To note:

X users said:

How nice of him to map ICE raids out by DHS
— NorwichFan (@SiosNorwich) July 10, 2026

A roadmap, if you will, for ICE.
— Lisette Ribas (@WDRALR) July 9, 2026

Nice of Mamdani to be so helpful with pointing it out
— Magnolia Rose (@MarthaD80784116) July 10, 2026

How nice of Mayor Mamdani to make a map for ICE
— Robin 🦞 (@rnadeau12) July 10, 2026

Set up like bowling pins for ICE to knock down🤣
— Arts, Politics & Culture (@rosewdc) July 10, 2026

Mamdani's immigrant map appears less like a celebration of New York's diversity and more like a Marxist ideology that divides residents into competing identity blocs. Before the socialist takeover of City Hall, there was a simpler civic identity: New Yorkers were New Yorkers.

Tyler Durden Fri, 07/10/2026 - 22:35

The Day The Grid Failed: The Seventeen Minutes That Exposed The Fragile Foundations Of Modern Civilization

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 02:00:00 +0000

The Day The Grid Failed: The Seventeen Minutes That Exposed The Fragile Foundations Of Modern Civilization

Authored by Milan Adams via Preppgroup,

This is a fictionalized scenario exploring a hypothetical grid collapse.

By the time the first official statement reached the public, the statement itself no longer mattered. Television networks were already off the air across much of the continent, mobile networks had fragmented into isolated pockets, and the internet - once assumed to be nearly indestructible - had become a collection of disconnected islands separated by an invisible wall of silence. Rumors traveled farther than verified information, speculation outran evidence, and for the first time in generations millions of people discovered how completely their understanding of the world depended on a stream of data they had always taken for granted. Historians would later argue over the precise moment the crisis began, but among engineers and emergency planners there was remarkably little disagreement. The collapse did not start when cities lost power. It started hours earlier, hidden inside measurements so small that they resembled ordinary background noise rather than the opening chapter of the largest infrastructure failure in modern history.

Three months before the blackout, engineers working at several independent transmission operators had submitted technical reports describing unusual synchronization anomalies affecting equipment connected to long-distance high-voltage networks. None of the incidents resulted in service interruptions. Most lasted only seconds before disappearing, leaving behind little more than incomplete diagnostic logs and confused maintenance teams. Similar anomalies occur every day somewhere in the world, usually explained by faulty sensors, timing errors, firmware bugs, or brief disturbances caused by weather. On paper, nothing justified escalating the reports beyond routine analysis. Yet a handful of specialists noticed an uncomfortable coincidence. Facilities separated by hundreds of kilometers, operated by different companies using different hardware, were documenting nearly identical irregularities with surprising consistency. Individually, each report looked insignificant. Viewed together, they formed a pattern that nobody could adequately explain.

Among the few people attempting to connect those isolated observations was electrical systems analyst Dr. Elena Varga, whose career had been built on studying failures that most people never noticed. She was not the kind of scientist who chased extraordinary theories. Colleagues often described her as frustratingly cautious, the sort of researcher who preferred saying "we don't know yet" over making bold predictions. Her office shelves held decades of technical journals instead of trophies, and she had spent more time inside substations than conference halls. When the anomaly reports began arriving from different operators, she did not suspect sabotage or some revolutionary new technology. She assumed someone had discovered an obscure software defect hidden inside synchronization protocols used by aging infrastructure. What concerned her was not the disturbance itself but the remarkable geographical distribution. Independent systems are supposed to fail independently. When they begin exhibiting nearly identical behavior over enormous distances, experienced engineers stop asking what is broken and start asking what every affected system has in common.

The answer, at least initially, appeared disappointingly ordinary. Every installation relied on highly accurate timing signals to coordinate power flowing across thousands of kilometers of transmission lines. Modern electrical grids function less like isolated power plants and more like orchestras whose musicians never meet. Every generator must maintain frequency within extremely narrow tolerances while responding continuously to changing demand. Tiny timing discrepancies can ripple through protective systems in unexpected ways, which is precisely why grid operators invest enormous resources monitoring them. Elena spent weeks comparing datasets from operators across multiple regions, convinced the evidence would eventually point toward a mundane explanation. Instead, every new dataset deepened the mystery. The disturbances did not spread like conventional faults. They appeared almost simultaneously, lingered briefly, then disappeared without damaging equipment or triggering emergency shutdowns. Whatever produced them behaved less like a malfunction and more like an external influence brushing against the grid before vanishing.

Her preliminary findings attracted little attention outside a small circle of specialists. Infrastructure warnings rarely make headlines because successful infrastructure is almost invisible. Society notices bridges only after they collapse, water systems only after taps run dry, and electrical networks only after lights fail to turn on. Government agencies acknowledged receiving technical briefings but found no evidence suggesting an immediate threat. Manufacturers reviewed equipment logs and concluded that no common hardware defect could account for every reported anomaly. Several academic reviewers argued that Elena's statistical model overstated the similarities between unrelated events. Others suggested increased solar activity as a possible explanation, although observatories monitoring space weather found nothing unusual during the relevant periods. By early autumn, the conversation had quietly faded. Budgets shifted toward more immediate priorities, research meetings were postponed, and another unexplained technical curiosity seemed destined to disappear beneath the endless flow of newer concerns.

Looking back after the disaster, investigators would discover that the most revealing evidence had been available from the beginning. It simply existed in places that rarely communicate with one another. Satellite operators had recorded fleeting disturbances affecting orientation sensors. Long-haul fiber operators noticed synchronization errors too brief to interrupt service but too consistent to dismiss completely. Maritime navigation systems documented isolated timing discrepancies that captains attributed to equipment calibration. Radio observatories logged bursts of interference that did not resemble known atmospheric phenomena. Each organization filed its own reports, reached its own conclusions, and archived its own data. No single institution possessed enough information to recognize that these isolated anomalies were fragments of a much larger picture.

Weeks later, when investigators finally reconstructed the timeline, one uncomfortable realization emerged again and again. The catastrophe had not arrived without warning. It had arrived with hundreds of warnings scattered across dozens of industries, each too small to trigger alarm on its own and too fragmented for anyone to assemble before it was too late.

The First Seventeen Minutes

The first indication that the event extended far beyond a conventional infrastructure failure did not come from a dramatic explosion or the sudden loss of an entire city. Instead, it emerged from dozens of control rooms that had never been designed to communicate with one another in real time. Electrical operators were watching frequency deviations, telecommunications engineers were troubleshooting synchronization faults, air traffic specialists were trying to understand disappearing radar returns, and satellite controllers were documenting brief anomalies that seemed too insignificant to justify escalating. Each organization believed it was confronting an isolated technical problem, and each followed procedures that had been refined over decades of responding to localized failures. Only much later, after millions of log entries had been reconstructed, did investigators realize that these seemingly unrelated incidents represented different perspectives of the same unfolding crisis.

Inside the National Energy Coordination Centre, conversations remained remarkably calm during those opening minutes. Nobody raised their voice. Nobody spoke about catastrophe. Engineers compared readings, requested confirmation from neighboring transmission operators, and assumed the irregularities would eventually reveal a familiar explanation. Modern electrical grids are constantly correcting themselves, balancing production against consumption with astonishing precision. Minor deviations are expected, and operators spend their careers distinguishing harmless fluctuations from genuine threats. What unsettled the room that morning was not the size of the disturbance but its consistency. Independent monitoring systems, separated by hundreds of kilometers and built by different manufacturers over different decades, were reporting nearly identical timing behavior. It was an outcome so statistically unusual that several technicians initially suspected a software fault affecting the monitoring platform itself rather than the infrastructure it was observing.

As additional reports arrived, the pattern grew increasingly difficult to dismiss. Regional substations that had no direct operational relationship began exhibiting synchronized protective responses within fractions of a second. Some transmission corridors automatically disconnected before reconnecting moments later. Others remained online but reported conflicting measurements that prevented automated balancing systems from determining whether the surrounding network was stable. None of these individual actions represented a malfunction. Every relay, breaker, and protection device performed exactly as it had been engineered to perform when confronted with uncertain operating conditions. The difficulty arose because thousands of perfectly functioning safety mechanisms were now responding simultaneously to a disturbance that existed outside the assumptions upon which those systems had been designed.

A Timeline That Would Later Define The Investigation

When the International Infrastructure Commission reconstructed the event months later, investigators established a sequence that became central to understanding why recovery proved so difficult. Although individual timestamps varied slightly across different regions, the broader progression remained remarkably consistent.

Time	Infrastructure Activity	Immediate Consequence
08:43	Grid synchronization anomalies detected across multiple transmission operators.	Automated monitoring classified the disturbance as low priority.
08:45	Satellite timing irregularities affected precision synchronization services.	Network timing drift began appearing across communications infrastructure.
08:47	Protective relays isolated sections of the transmission network.	Regional balancing capacity declined significantly.
08:50	Telecommunications providers reported widespread routing instability.	Emergency services experienced delayed digital communications.
08:56	Multiple regional grids entered self-protection mode simultaneously.	Cascading instability spread faster than manual intervention could contain it.

The timeline appears almost orderly when reduced to a table, yet the lived reality was anything but. Across countless cities, ordinary routines continued because almost nobody could perceive the invisible processes occurring beneath the surface of daily life. Financial institutions processed transactions more slowly than usual, hospitals switched briefly between redundant communication channels without interrupting patient care, and transportation networks quietly activated contingency software that had rarely been used outside controlled simulations. Even where warning indicators appeared, they were interpreted through the lens of previous experience. A railway dispatcher who had encountered signaling faults hundreds of times before saw no immediate reason to suspect that the issue belonged to a continental emergency. Likewise, a telecommunications engineer investigating unstable timing signals naturally searched for faults within his own network rather than imagining that identical symptoms were emerging across several countries at precisely the same moment.

Dr. Elena Varga would later describe those seventeen minutes as the most deceptive phase of the entire disaster. In her testimony before investigators, she argued that modern infrastructure had become exceptionally resilient against individual failures while simultaneously growing vulnerable to disturbances capable of affecting multiple sectors at once. The grid itself did not simply collapse; it attempted to preserve itself. Every protective decision made by automated systems reduced immediate risk within its own area of responsibility, but those local decisions gradually deprived neighboring regions of the stability they depended upon. It resembled thousands of watertight doors closing aboard a damaged ship. Each compartment protected itself exactly as intended, yet every sealed section made the vessel increasingly difficult to stabilize as a whole.

Beyond the control rooms, the first visible signs remained subtle enough that most people dismissed them as temporary inconveniences. Digital departure boards at railway stations displayed outdated schedules before freezing completely. Contactless payment terminals occasionally rejected valid cards despite functioning internet connections moments earlier. Navigation applications began calculating impossible routes as positioning data drifted beyond acceptable tolerances. In office buildings, secure access systems briefly denied entry to employees whose credentials had worked only minutes before. None of these incidents appeared alarming in isolation. Together, however, they reflected a common problem unfolding deep beneath the software that modern society depended upon but rarely acknowledged.

The situation changed irrevocably shortly after nine o'clock. Operators who had spent the previous twenty minutes attempting to understand scattered anomalies suddenly found themselves confronting a far more dangerous reality. Independent regions that normally exchanged enormous quantities of electrical power every second were no longer behaving as parts of a single synchronized network. Instead, they had begun separating into isolated electrical islands, each struggling to balance its own supply and demand without the support of neighboring systems. Some managed to stabilize temporarily through local generation. Others exhausted their available reserves within minutes, triggering automatic shutdown sequences designed to prevent catastrophic equipment damage. From that moment onward, the objective was no longer preventing the crisis. It was preventing the crisis from becoming irreversible.

The Morning After

At first light, the scale of the disaster became impossible to ignore.

From elevated highways overlooking major metropolitan areas, the familiar rhythm of morning traffic had disappeared. Thousands of vehicles remained exactly where they had stopped the previous evening, abandoned after drivers realized fuel could no longer be purchased and navigation systems had become unreliable. Office towers that normally reflected the first rays of sunlight stood silent, their glass facades concealing floors without lighting, ventilation, or functioning communications. The silence itself was unsettling. Modern cities are rarely quiet, yet without electric trains, traffic signals, industrial machinery, advertising displays, or the constant background hum of air-conditioning systems, entire districts seemed strangely detached from the world that had existed only a day earlier.

Emergency services quickly discovered that the greatest challenge was no longer the loss of electricity but the disappearance of coordination. Local police departments continued operating, hospitals remained open wherever backup generation could be maintained, and firefighters responded to emergencies as they always had. What had changed was the invisible network connecting those institutions. Dispatch centers could no longer exchange live information with neighboring regions. Fuel deliveries became unpredictable because logistics companies had lost access to centralized routing systems. Medical supplies accumulated in some cities while hospitals elsewhere struggled to obtain essential equipment. The crisis was no longer technological alone; it had become logistical, and logistics had always been the foundation upon which modern civilization quietly depended.

Inside government emergency headquarters, officials faced decisions unlike any they had rehearsed during previous exercises. Most continuity plans assumed that unaffected regions would assist those experiencing difficulties. This event offered no such luxury. Every province, every state, and every neighboring country was confronting variations of the same problem simultaneously. Resources still existed, but moving them efficiently had become increasingly difficult as transportation, communications, and energy systems continued operating at only a fraction of their normal capacity.

Reconstructing The Impossible

The first formal investigation began less than seventy-two hours after the initial failures. Engineers understood that memories fade quickly during disasters, and electronic records are often incomplete once systems begin shutting themselves down. Teams were dispatched to substations, telecommunications exchanges, satellite control facilities, airports, and power stations with a single objective: preserve every available log before damaged hardware deteriorated or backup storage systems exhausted their remaining power.

Contrary to early speculation, there was no indication that a conventional cyberattack had initiated the cascade. Security analysts found no malicious software capable of explaining the synchronized failures across independent infrastructure. Likewise, forensic examinations revealed no evidence of coordinated physical sabotage against transmission equipment. Individual components had behaved largely as their manufacturers intended. The failure had emerged from the interaction between systems rather than the destruction of any single one.

As additional datasets became available, investigators noticed another remarkable pattern. Equipment installed decades earlier often continued functioning long after newer digital systems had entered protective shutdown. Older relay mechanisms, mechanical switching equipment, and analog communication devices demonstrated a resilience few engineers had expected. The discovery prompted difficult questions about the unintended consequences of pursuing efficiency above all else. Modern infrastructure had become faster, more interconnected, and significantly more capable than previous generations, but it had also developed dependencies so intricate that relatively small disturbances could propagate farther than anyone had anticipated.

Several universities later collaborated on extensive simulations attempting to reproduce the sequence of failures described throughout the investigation. None produced identical results, yet they shared a common conclusion: the catastrophe was not inevitable. Small differences in infrastructure design, timing architecture, redundancy, and operational procedures frequently altered the outcome. Some simulated networks stabilized successfully after temporary disruptions, while others fragmented almost immediately. The lesson was uncomfortable but valuable. Resilience depended less on possessing the most advanced technology and more on ensuring that critical systems could continue functioning independently when every surrounding layer became unreliable.

Lessons Written In Darkness

In the months that followed, recovery became less about rebuilding damaged equipment than rediscovering forgotten ways of operating. Municipal governments restored paper maps to emergency vehicles. Hospitals expanded manual record-keeping procedures that had gradually disappeared from daily practice. Utility companies commissioned analog communication links alongside their digital networks, accepting that technological diversity could itself become a form of protection. Engineers who had spent decades optimizing efficiency now found themselves discussing concepts that previous generations would have considered ordinary: mechanical redundancy, local autonomy, and graceful degradation rather than absolute dependence on centralized coordination.

Communities adapted more quickly than many experts had predicted. Neighborhood organizations emerged spontaneously to distribute food, share information, and assist vulnerable residents. Amateur radio operators established communication corridors between isolated towns. Local workshops began repairing equipment that would previously have been discarded. Schools became supply centers during the day and community meeting places after sunset. The event revealed not only the fragility of infrastructure but also the resilience of ordinary people once they understood that recovery depended as much on cooperation as technology.

Months later, when electricity had returned to nearly every affected region and communication networks once again carried billions of messages each day, researchers noticed an unexpected social change. Public confidence in technology had not disappeared, but it had become more measured. Infrastructure was no longer viewed as an invisible certainty existing somewhere beyond public attention. Citizens who had rarely considered where their electricity originated or how digital networks synchronized across continents began asking questions that had once been confined to engineering conferences. Governments responded by publishing resilience strategies in far greater detail than before, while universities reported increased enrollment in electrical engineering, emergency management, and critical infrastructure research.

The commission responsible for documenting the event concluded its report with observations that extended beyond transformers, satellites, or transmission lines. Modern civilization, it argued, had achieved extraordinary complexity by connecting countless systems into a seamless whole. That achievement remained one of humanity's greatest accomplishments, but it also carried responsibilities that had too often been overlooked. True resilience was not measured solely by speed, efficiency, or automation. It depended equally on diversity, transparency, and the ability to continue functioning when assumptions that had remained unquestioned for decades suddenly ceased to hold true.

The final archive assembled by investigators occupied thousands of pages, preserving technical analyses, personal diaries, engineering logs, emergency broadcasts, handwritten notes, and countless individual accounts from those who had experienced the blackout firsthand. Some readers searched those documents hoping to identify a single decisive mistake that could explain everything. They found none. Instead, the archive documented something more profound: a civilization that had spent generations perfecting interconnected systems, only to discover that its greatest strength could also become its greatest vulnerability.

Long after cities returned to life and the familiar glow of illuminated skylines erased memories of those unusually dark nights, one question continued to appear in scientific conferences, parliamentary hearings, and engineering classrooms alike. It was not whether such a catastrophe could happen exactly as described again, but whether future societies would recognize the warning signs of the next crisis before they became visible to everyone else.

Tyler Durden Fri, 07/10/2026 - 22:00

With Friday Treasury Action, There Goes The 'No New Sanctions' Clause Of The MOU

Tyler Durden — Sat, 11 Jul 2026 01:25:00 +0000

With Friday Treasury Action, There Goes The 'No New Sanctions' Clause Of The MOU

The United States unveiled new sanctions on Iran Friday, an act which crucially breaks a key aspect of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) agreement signed last month - namely that no new sanctions can be imposed while the warring sides negotiate to reach a lasting peace.

The ceasefire itself is already out the window, President Trump has said late this week, amid contradictory reports over indirect talks being back on. The new US Treasury action specifically targets an Iranian businessman accused of managing a global financial network for the country's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei

The US is also going after multiple exchange houses that Washington says seek to get around sanctions and maintain access to foreign currency. The three entities named are Mohammad Darbani and Partners, Lavasani and Partners, and Mohsen Khandan and Partners - along with their managing partners.

After earlier boasting that he helped engineer a currency collapse in order to get masses into the streets - related to the last January protests - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent now says he cares about the "Iranian people"...

The so-called Supreme Leader is hiding in seclusion while his regime crumbles. Treasury will continue using every tool at its disposal to isolate him and other regime elites from the global financial system. We will preserve these assets for the Iranian people. https://t.co/cAtlx2Pplv
— Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent (@SecScottBessent) July 10, 2026

The new Friday action is perhaps the single biggest indicator that the United States is ready to abandon the MoU, and that it is already in effect crumbling and defunct, following a couple nights of major tit-for-tat attacks between the US, Iran, and involving strikes on Gulf countries by Iranian forces. But the bombs have stopped as of Thursday night through Friday.

There are a couple of key MoU points which deal with the question of sanctions on Iran during the negotiating process. Number seven of the 14-points reads as follows [emphasis by ZH]:

The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, IAEA Board of Governors resolutions, and all unilateral US sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned, and expressed their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.

And point number nine spells out no new sanctions:

Pending the final deal, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic of Iran will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program, and the United States of America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional forces in the region.

It is not only the ceasefire that's now effectively dead, but the MoU itself is clearly on life-support.

Both sides have already repeatedly accused the other of violating the terms of the MoU, but in many ways these new sanctions are confirmation that a 'new MoU' will have to be worked out, if there is a way forward.

Tyler Durden Fri, 07/10/2026 - 21:25