Sunday, June 17, 2007

PARIS — The main story at the world’s biggest air showcase hasn’t changed this year: The trans-Atlantic rivalry between Boeing Co. and Airbus again will dominate the 47th Paris Air Show, which opens today at Le Bourget, north of the French capital.

In contrast to the last Paris show in 2005 when Airbus shone, the European plane maker will be struggling to regain ground from its American rival.

“The show falls at a good point in the cycle for the airline industry,” said Pierre Boucheny, an analyst with Kepler Equities in Paris. “Plane orders are increasing on the back of global economic growth. That might help Airbus catch up a little with Boeing.”



After two years in the red, the commercial airline industry will make a profit of more than $5 billion this year, despite rising fuel costs, says the International Air Transport Association, whose 250 members claim to represent 94 percent of international air traffic.

The event’s anticipated success shows that the airline industry is in “globally good shape,” Charles Edelstenne, president of French aerospace industry group GIFAS, said at a briefing about the show earlier this month.

Airbus and Boeing will be fighting over high-profile orders. Airlines often reserve big announcements for the weeklong fair to ensure maximum effect.

At the 2005 show, Airbus announced orders worth $33.5 billion, double Boeing’s $15 billion, based on list prices that usually are discounted.

“Since the last show, Boeing has got well back into the game,” said Christophe Quarante, a Natexis Bleichroeder analyst in Paris.

Two years have made a huge difference to both companies’ fortunes. Boeing reclaimed the top sales spot last year, winning more orders than Airbus for the first time since 2000 after the introduction of a hot new plane — the 787 Dreamliner — and a revamped sales team that was freed to offer discounts.

Confidence began returning to the American plane maker after upheavals in 2004 and 2005, including the removal of two top executives and defense contracting scandals that sent two other senior officials to prison.

Meanwhile, Airbus’ management began to attract negative attention. A series of increasingly worrying announcements, beginning in June 2005, revealed missteps, technical setbacks, communication failures and financial improprieties that tarnished the plane maker’s image.

The result: an overhaul of top executives and a restructuring plan that foresees 10,000 job cuts over four years, not to mention billions of dollars in lost profit. The setbacks saddled Airbus with its first-ever loss last year and slashed net profit at parent group EADS.

Botched management of the flagship A380 superjumbo dashed Airbus’ hopes of dominating the market. The world’s largest passenger plane — which made its first appearance at the 2005 Paris show — is two years late because of wiring difficulties and communication failures between Airbus plants in Germany and France.

The 525-seat plane will make a second appearance at this year’s air show, with daily flying displays designed to wow visitors into forgetting about the last two years. Analysts say the plane’s problems were largely managerial, and technically it should be hailed a success.

Airbus has taken 160 orders and pledges for the A380, which it says has the combined advantage of high capacity and long range. Airbus chief Louis Gallois said he expects new orders after the first delivery to Singapore Airlines later this year.

“I’m not expecting a brand new customer right now because they are waiting,” he told journalists at Airbus’ headquarters earlier this month. “All the companies say they want to see the airplane in the hands of Singapore Airlines.”

That statement doesn’t rule out repeat orders from existing clients. Richard Carcaillet, director of product marketing for the A380, said the plane’s recent tour of Asia drew a positive response from Asian airlines seeking to ease airport congestion.

India’s Kingfisher Airlines said in May it is negotiating the purchase of more Airbus planes with the five A380s it has ordered. The airline, which began flying between Indian cities two years ago, plans to operate international flights by 2010.

Airbus’ main task, however, will be to convince the industry that its revamped A350 XWB has a glittering future.

Airbus was forced last year to begin a costly redesign of the planned A350 after airlines scorned its earlier model and is renegotiating existing orders.

Airbus has 13 firm orders for the midsize, long-range plane, compared with 584 orders for Boeing’s fast-selling Dreamliner, the first commercial jet made mostly of light, sturdy carbon-fiber composites instead of aluminum. Boeing hopes to put its first plane in the air in about late August.

Sizzling sales of the 787 may allow Boeing to reclaim the title of the world’s largest plane maker next year. The first 787 is scheduled to be shipped to All Nippon Airways Co. in May, giving Boeing a five-year lead over Airbus, whose A350 won’t be delivered until 2013. But Boeing’s books are so backed up that clients placing orders now can expect to wait as long as for the Airbus model.

Mr. Gallois said he expects to book more than 100 firm orders for the A350 XWB by the end of the air show.

The show runs today through Sunday.

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