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CA-37 Election Results: Richardson Wins

by: Bob Brigham

Tue Jun 26, 2007 at 20:06:29 PM PDT


The polls have closed, you can view results here.

Discuss.

UPDATE: Absentee Results (8:24 PM)

Richardson: 3,893 (33.07%)
Oropeza: 3,519 (29.89%)
McDonald: 1,252 (10.63%)

UPDATE II (by dday): 8% reporting
LAURA RICHARDSON  DEM 4,534  34.95
JENNY OROPEZA  DEM 3,842  29.61
VALERIE MC DONALD DEM 1,358  10.47

That's not a lot of VOTES separating Richardson and Oropeza, but so far the first Election Day voters have tracked with the absentee voters.  There's really no substitute for boots on the ground in a race like this.  Richardson is looking good, and she ran a uniformly ugly race.

UPDATE III (blogswarm back): At 10:06 PM we have Richardson pulling away with 18.86% of precincts reporting (63 of 334)

Richardson 5,496 (36.79%)
Oropeza 4,410 (29.52%)
McDonald 1,550 (10.38%)

UPDATE IV: (blogswarm) Oropeza closed a little ground, but is still way back at the 10:35 mark (160 of 334 precincts reporting)

Richardson 7,174 (36.53%)
Oropeza 5,968 (30.39%)
McDonald 1,901 (9.68%)

UPDATE V: (blogswarm) As a blogger, I'm personally calling it for Assemblywoman Richardson. With 75.45% reporting at 11:00 PM (252 of 334 precincts)

Richardson 9,086 (36.71%)
Oropeza 7,777 (31.42%)
McDonald 2,371 (8.16%)

[UPDATE VI: (juls) That's it.  With 100% reporting Richardson is the winner.  The early lead held through to the end.

LAURA RICHARDSON  11,027 (37.76 %) 
JENNY OROPEZA 9,144 (31.31 %)
Now who runs for Richardson's Assembly seat?
Bob Brigham :: CA-37 Election Results: Richardson Wins
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CA-37 Election Results: Richardson Wins | 33 comments
what's the over/under on turnout? (0.00 / 0)
I say 12%.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!
OK (0.00 / 0)
I'll take the over.

- John McCain
[ Parent ]
I'll (0.00 / 0)
take the under.
[ Parent ]
Loser buys the first beer tomorrow (0.00 / 0)
At Zeitgeist for the SF Calitics Quarterly.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!
[ Parent ]
This (0.00 / 0)
is one of the many times when I wish I was in SF.  But I did have plenty of QT w/you boys this weekend.
[ Parent ]
Aw (0.00 / 0)
You're not going to be there tomorrow night? I was looking forward to meeting you there! Ah well.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave
[ Parent ]
Unfortunately not (0.00 / 0)
I have been to SF twice in the last week.  Just can't do it for a third time.
[ Parent ]
Don't blame you (0.00 / 0)
Neither Sacramento nor Monterey are exactly close to SF.

You can check out any time you like but you can never leave
[ Parent ]
Now that (0.00 / 0)
Is a matter of perspective ;)

"We need men who can dream of things that never were." -JFK
[ Parent ]
gotta love (0.00 / 0)
Announcing the stakes after the fact. ;)

- John McCain
[ Parent ]
Haha! (0.00 / 0)
The winner is under by the way.  Turnout was just about 11% of registration.  I was pretty darn close.

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!
[ Parent ]
still absentees and provisionals (0.00 / 0)
Pre-counted absentees were around 40% and so it wouldn't be surprising to have the number rise a good bit. And with the harassment of brown people provisional ballots counted over the next week or so, I could be looking solid.

- John McCain
[ Parent ]
still no results (0.00 / 0)
c'mon LA Cty!

Shouldn't 3 strikes apply to Arnold? Strike 1, Strike 2, Strike 3. Life Sentence!
Why are you surprised? ; ) (0.00 / 0)
LA County ALWAYS takes forever in releasing results. But trust me, it's always worth it in the end. : )

Had enough of the "red county" right-wing crazy-talk bulls***? Well, then come and visit us at The Liberal OC! Yes, there ARE liberals in The OC! : )
[ Parent ]
8.08% Precincts Reporting (0.00 / 0)
LAURA RICHARDSON  DEM 4,534  34.95
JENNY OROPEZA  DEM 3,842  29.61
Well, it's early... (0.00 / 0)
Come on, Jenny! Catch up soon! : )

Had enough of the "red county" right-wing crazy-talk bulls***? Well, then come and visit us at The Liberal OC! Yes, there ARE liberals in The OC! : )
[ Parent ]
No (0.00 / 0)
real way to judge this without knowing which precincts are reporting.  It is damn early and they are notoriously slow down there about reporting results.

The absentee vote totals says a lot more than the 8% returned thus far.

[ Parent ]
16% Precincts Reporting (0.00 / 0)
LAURA RICHARDSON  DEM  5,496  36.79%
JENNY OROPEZA  DEM  4,410  29.52%
Proving, I guess, that one should (0.00 / 0)
not piss off Labor in a low-turnout election without much competition on the calendar.  Or maybe that one should not have cancer or be Latina, one of those.

I think that Richardson's campaign was dirty enough that she will not have the impunity from challenge that Waters and Watson have (and Millender-McDonald had.)  This district's boundaries will be changed for the 2012 election, and what goes around tends to come around.

[ Parent ]
Or be bought and paid for by the tribes... (8.00 / 1)
Cruz is not a good role model...
[ Parent ]
47.90% in (0.00 / 0)
Richardson  7,174  36.53
Oropeza  5,968  30.39

Going to be real hard to pick up 1,200 votes.

Next Question (0.00 / 0)
Who's running for Richardson's Assembly Seat?
indeed (0.00 / 0)
If Oropeza were to win, Richardson would be tee'd up for the senate seat in a special, but now it is kinda a reset of all the dynamics.

Hopefully, interested candidates will come around here to tell us why they are the best choice.

- John McCain

[ Parent ]
AD-55 Map (0.00 / 0)
[ Parent ]
Ted Lieu would have been the instant frontrunner (0.00 / 0)
had Oropeza won.  He had already secured vital endorsements and seriously, how hard would it be to run against Richardson had she lost this race?  It would have been Laura's 3 election for a different office in just over a year.  The ads write themselves...
[ Parent ]
Richardson still ahead (0.00 / 0)
LAURA RICHARDSON  DEM   9,086 36.71
JENNY OROPEZA  DEM   7,777 31.42
Richardson Elected (0.00 / 0)
LAURA RICHARDSON  DEM   11,027 37.76
JENNY OROPEZA  DEM   9,144 31.31
11,000 voters (8.00 / 2)
just elected a Congresswoman for the next 20 years.  In a district with 265,000 registered voters.  Turnout appears to have been under 15%; more like 12%.

And people wonder why it's hard to take back America...

indeed